Comparison of intraepidermal nerve fiber density and confocal corneal microscopy for neuropathy.

OBJECTIVE: Compare the diagnostic characteristics of intraepidermal nerve fiber density (IENFD) and confocal corneal microscopy (CCM) for distal symmetric polyneuropathy (DSP) and small fiber neuropathy (SFN). METHODS: Participants with obesity were recruited from bariatric surgery clinics and testing was performed prior to surgery. DSP and SFN were determined using the Toronto consensus definitions of probable neuropathy. IENFD was assessed from 3 mm punch biopsies of the distal leg and proximal thigh. CCM was performed on both eyes with manual and automated counting. The Michigan Neuropathy Screening Instrument questionnaire (MNSIq) was also completed. Diagnostic capability was determined using areas under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) from logistic regression. RESULTS: We enrolled 140 participants (mean [standard deviation [SD]] age: 50.3 years [7.1], 77.1% female, BMI: 44.4 kg/m2 [6.7]). In this population, 22.9% had DSP and 14.3% had SFN. Distal leg IENFD had the largest AUC (95% confidence interval) for DSP (0.78, 0.68-0.89) and SFN (0.85, 0.75-0.96). Proximal thigh IENFD (DSP: AUC: 0.59, 0.48-0.69, SFN: AUC: 0.59, 0.46-0.73) and CCM metrics (DSP: AUC range: 0.55-0.60, SFN: AUC range: 0.45-0.62) had poorer diagnostic capability than distal leg IENFD for DSP/SFN (P < 0.05). MNSIq had similar diagnostic capability to distal leg IENFD for both DSP/SFN (DSP: AUC: 0.76, 0.68-0.85, SFN: AUC: 0.81, 0.73-0.88). More participants (52%) preferred skin biopsies to CCM. INTERPRETATION: Distal leg IENFD was the best quantitative measure of DSP/SFN. CCM had poor diagnostic characteristics and fewer patients preferred this test to IENFD. The MNSIq had similar diagnostic characteristics to distal leg IENFD, indicating its value as a diagnostic tool in the clinical setting. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: clinicaltrials.gov: NCT03617185.

Costs Are Still on the Rise for Commonly Prescribed Branded Neurologic Medications.

OBJECTIVES: To observe medication cost trends for 5 common neurologic conditions. METHODS: We quantified annual out-of-pocket (OOP) and total medication costs for patients seen by a neurologist with epilepsy, multiple sclerosis (MS), Parkinson disease (PD), peripheral neuropathy (PN), and dementia/Alzheimer's disease in a commercial claims database cross-sectionally from 2012 to 2021. RESULTS: We identified 186,144 patients with epilepsy, 54,676 with MS, 45,909 with PD, 169,127 with PN, and 60,861 with dementia/Alzheimer. OOP costs for MS medications increased each year, by 217% on average. Branded epilepsy medications had higher OOP costs than generics. Decreases ranging from 48% to 80% in annual OOP costs of duloxetine, pregabalin, rasagiline, rivastigmine, and memantine were observed in the years after generic introduction. DISCUSSION: Preferentially selecting generic medications reduces OOP costs, other than for MS where costs continue to increase. Policy solutions, such as cost caps, are needed.

Intravenous immunoglobulin and plasma exchange prescribing patterns for Guillain-Barre Syndrome in the United States-2001 to 2018.

INTRODUCTION/AIMS: Randomized controlled trials show that repeat intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) dosing and plasma exchange (PLEX) followed by IVIG (combination therapy) have no additional therapeutic benefit in Guillain-Barre Syndrome (GBS) non-responders. Furthermore, the delineation between GBS and Acute Onset CIDP (A-CIDP) can be particularly challenging and carries therapeutic implications. We aimed to evaluate the presence of repeat IVIG, combination therapy, and diagnostic reclassification from GBS to CIDP. METHODS: We performed a retrospective study of a large healthcare database for patients with GBS in the US from 2001 to 2018. We identified individuals initially diagnosed with GBS and later re-classified as CIDP. Multivariable logistic regression models were developed to determine associations between patient factors and repeat IVIG dosing, combination therapy, and diagnostic re-classification from GBS to CIDP. RESULTS: We identified 2325 patients with GBS. A total of 39.7% received repeat IVIG and 6.1% received combination therapy. The proportion of individuals initially diagnosed with GBS and then re-classified as CIDP was 32.0%. Repeat IVIG, combination therapy, and diagnostic reclassification remained stable over time. Female sex (OR 0.79, 95% CI 0.65-0.96) and medium-high net worth (OR 0.64, 95% CI 0.45-0.90) associated with repeat IVIG therapy, while Asian ethnicity associated with diagnostic re-classification from GBS to CIDP (OR 1.77, 95% CI 1.09-2.86). DISCUSSION: Repeat IVIG dosing was quite common in GBS before newer trials suggesting harm in non-responders, and IVIG/PLEX combination therapy continues to persist despite strong evidence against use in non-responders. Further, nearly one in three patients initially diagnosed with GBS is subsequently diagnosed with CIDP, but the reasons are unclear.

Possible sex and racial disparities in myasthenia gravis care.

INTRODUCTION/AIMS: Given the importance of early diagnosis and treatment of myasthenia gravis (MG), it is critical to understand disparities in MG care. We aimed to determine if there are any differences in testing, treatment, and/or access to neurologists for patients of varying sex and race/ethnicity with MG. METHODS: We used a nationally representative healthcare claims database of privately insured individuals (2001-2018) to identify incident cases of MG using a validated definition. Diagnostic testing, steroid-sparing agents, intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG), plasma exchange (PLEX), and thymectomy were defined using drug names or CPT codes. Steroid use was defined using AHFS class codes. We also determined whether an individual had a visit to a neurologist and the time between primary care and neurologist visits. Logistic regression determined associations between sex and race/ethnicity and testing, treatments, and access to neurologists. RESULTS: Female patients were less likely to get a computed tomography (CT) chest (odds ratio (OR) 0.73, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.64-0.83), receive steroids (OR: 0.85, 95% CI: 0.75-0.97), steroid-sparing agents (OR: 0.84, 95% CI: 0.72-0.97), and IVIG or PLEX (OR: 0.80, 95% CI: 0.67-0.95). Black patients were less likely to receive steroids (OR: 0.78, 95% CI: 0.63-0.96). No significant disparities were seen in access to neurologists. DISCUSSION: We found healthcare disparities in MG treatment with female and Black patients receiving less treatment than men and those of other races/ethnicities. Further research and detailed assessments accounting for individual patient factors are needed to confirm these apparent disparities.

Bidirectional Associations Between Mental Health Disorders and Chronic Diabetic Complications in Individuals With Type 1 or Type 2 Diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: To determine bidirectional associations between the timing of chronic diabetes complications (CDCs) and mental health disorders (MHDs) in individuals with type 1 or type 2 diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We used a nationally representative health care claims database to identify matched individuals with type 1 or 2 diabetes or without diabetes using a propensity score quasirandomization technique stratified by age (0-19, 20-39, 40-59, and ≥60 years). CDCs and MHDs were identified using ICD-9/10 codes. We fit Cox proportional hazards models with time-varying diagnoses of CDCs or MHDs to investigate their association with the hazard of developing MHDs or CDCs, respectively. RESULTS: From 2001 to 2018, a total of 553,552 individuals were included (44,735 with type 1 diabetes, 152,187 with type 2 diabetes, and 356,630 without diabetes). We found that having a CDC increased the hazard of developing an MHD (hazard ratio [HR] 1.9-2.9; P < 0.05, with higher HRs in older age strata), and having an MHD increased the hazard of developing a CDC (HR 1.4-2.5; P < 0.05, with the highest HR in age stratum 0-19 years). In those aged <60 years, individuals with type 1 diabetes were more likely to have CDCs, whereas individuals with type 2 diabetes were more likely to have MHDs. However, the relationship between CDCs and MHDs in either direction was not affected by diabetes type (P > 0.05 for interaction effects). CONCLUSIONS: We found a consistent bidirectional association between CDCs and MHDs across the life span, highlighting the important relationship between CDCs and MHDs. Prevention and treatment of either comorbidity may help reduce the risk of developing the other.

Obesity-related neuropathy: the new epidemic.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: To examine the evidence evaluating the association between obesity and neuropathy as well as potential interventions. RECENT FINDINGS: Although diabetes has long been associated with neuropathy, additional metabolic syndrome components, including obesity, are increasingly linked to neuropathy development, regardless of glycemic status. Preclinical rodent models as well as clinical studies are shedding light on the mechanisms of obesity-related neuropathy as well as challenges associated with slowing progression. Dietary and surgical weight loss and exercise interventions are promising, but more data is needed. SUMMARY: High-fat-diet rodent models have shown that obesity-related neuropathy is a product of excess glucose and lipid accumulation leading to inflammation and cell death. Clinical studies consistently demonstrate obesity is independently associated with neuropathy; therefore, likely a causal risk factor. Dietary weight loss improves neuropathy symptoms but not examination scores. Bariatric surgery and exercise are promising interventions, but larger, more rigorous studies are needed. Further research is also needed to determine the utility of weight loss medications and ideal timing for obesity interventions to prevent neuropathy.

Cost and utilization of healthcare services for persons with diabetes.

AIMS: Describe and compare healthcare costs and utilization for insured persons with type 1 diabetes (T1D), type 2 diabetes (T2D), and without diabetes in the United States. METHODS: Using a nationally representative healthcare claims database, we identified matched persons with T1D, T2D, and without diabetes using a propensity score quasi-randomization technique. In each year between 2009 and 2018, we report costs (total and out-of-pocket) and utilization for all healthcare services and those specific to medications, diabetes-related supplies, visits to providers, hospitalizations, and emergency department visits. RESULTS: In 2018, we found out-of-pocket costs and total costs were highest for persons with T1D (out-of-pocket: $2,037.2, total: $25,652.0), followed by T2D (out-of-pocket: $1,543.3, total: $22,408.1), and without diabetes (out-of-pocket: $1,122.7, total: $14,220.6). From 2009 to 2018, out-of-pocket costs were increasing for persons with T1D(+6.5 %) but decreasing for T2D (-7.5 %) and without diabetes (-2.3 %). Medication costs made up the largest proportion of out-of-pocket costs regardless of diabetes status (T1D: 51.4 %, T2D: 55.4 %,without diabetes: 51.1 %). CONCLUSIONS: Given the substantial out-of-pocket costs for people with diabetes, especially for those with T1D, providers should screen all persons with diabetes for financial toxicity (i.e., wide-ranging problems stemming from healthcare costs). In addition, policies that aim to lower out-of-pocket costs of cost-effective diabetes related healthcare are needed with a particular focus on medications.

Association between brain health outcomes and metabolic risk factors in persons with diabetes.

We performed a cross-sectional study to determine associations between cognition and MRI-derived brain outcomes, with obesity, diabetes duration, and metabolic risk factors in 51 Pima American Indians with longstanding type 2 diabetes (T2d) (mean [SD] age: 48.4 [11.3] years, T2d duration: 20.1 [9.1] years). Participants had similar cognition (NIH Toolbox Cognition Battery composite: 45.3 [9.8], p = 0.64, n = 51) compared to normative data. T2d duration, but not other metabolic risk factors, associated with decreased cortical thickness (Point Estimate (PE): -0.0061, 95%CI: -0.0113, -0.0009, n = 45), gray matter volume (PE: -830.39, 95%CI: -1503.14, -157.64, n = 45), and increased white matter hyperintensity volume (PE: 0.0389, 95%CI: 0.0049, 0.0729, n = 45).

The effect of surgical weight loss on diabetes complications in individuals with class II/III obesity.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The aim of this study was to determine the effect of bariatric surgery on diabetes complications in individuals with class II/III obesity (BMI > 35 kg/m2). METHODS: We performed a prospective cohort study of participants with obesity who underwent bariatric surgery. At baseline and 2 years following surgery, participants underwent metabolic phenotyping and diabetes complication assessments. The primary outcomes for peripheral neuropathy (PN) were a change in intra-epidermal nerve fibre density (IENFD, units = fibres/mm) at the distal leg and proximal thigh, the primary outcome for cardiovascular autonomic neuropathy (CAN) was a change in the expiration/inspiration (E/I) ratio, and the primary outcome for retinopathy was a change in the mean deviation on frequency doubling technology testing. RESULTS: Among 127 baseline participants, 79 completed in-person follow-up (age 46.0 ± 11.3 years [mean ± SD], 73.4% female). Participants lost a mean of 31.0 kg (SD 18.4), and all metabolic risk factors improved except for BP and total cholesterol. Following bariatric surgery, one of the primary PN outcomes improved (IENFD proximal thigh, +3.4 ± 7.8, p<0.01), and CAN (E/I ratio -0.01 ± 0.1, p=0.89) and retinopathy (deviation -0.2 ± 3.0, p=0.52) were stable. Linear regression revealed that a greater reduction in fasting glucose was associated with improvements in retinopathy (mean deviation point estimate -0.7, 95% CI -1.3, -0.1). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Bariatric surgery may be an effective approach to reverse PN in individuals with obesity. The observed stability of CAN and retinopathy may be an improvement compared with the natural progression of these conditions; however, controlled trials are needed.

Costs and Utilization of New-to-Market Neurologic Medications.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to compare the utilization and costs (total and out-of-pocket) of new-to-market neurologic medications with existing guideline-supported neurologic medications over time. METHODS: We used a healthcare pharmaceutical claims database (from 2001 to 2019) to identify patients with both a diagnosis of 1 of 11 separate neurologic conditions and either a new-to-market medication or an existing guideline-supported medication for that condition. Neurologic conditions included orthostatic hypotension, spinal muscular atrophy, Duchenne disease, Parkinson disease, multiple sclerosis, amyotrophic lateral sclerosis, myasthenia gravis, Huntington disease, tardive dyskinesia, transthyretin amyloidosis, and migraine. New-to-market medications were defined as all neurologic medications approved by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) between 2014 and 2018. In each year, we determined the median out-of-pocket and standardized total costs for a 30-day supply of each medication. We also measured the proportion of patients receiving new-to-market medications compared with all medications specific for the relevant condition. RESULTS: We found that the utilization of most new-to-market medications was small (<20% in all but 1 condition), compared with existing, guideline-supported medications. The out-of-pocket and standardized total costs were substantially larger for new-to-market medications. The median (25th percentile, 75th percentile) out-of-pocket costs for a 30-day supply in 2019 were largest for edaravone ($712.8 [$59.8-$802.0]) and eculizumab ($91.1 [$3.0-$3,216.4]). For new-to-market medications, the distribution of out-of-pocket costs was highly variable and the trends over time were unpredictable compared with existing guideline-supported medications. DISCUSSION: Despite the increasing number of FDA-approved neurologic medications, utilization of newly approved medications in the privately insured population remains small. Given the high costs and similar efficacy for most of the new medications, limited utilization may be appropriate. However, for new medications with greater efficacy, future studies are needed to determine whether high costs are a barrier to utilization.

Diagnostic characteristics of nerve conduction study parameters for vasculitic neuropathy.

INTRODUCTION/AIMS: In vasculitic neuropathy (VN), a 50% side-to-side difference in the amplitude of compound muscle action potentials and sensory nerve action potentials is considered meaningful, but unequivocal evidence is lacking. The aim of this study is to characterize electrodiagnostic features that best distinguish VN from other axonal polyneuropathies. METHODS: We conducted a case-control study between January 2000 and April 2021. We reviewed the records of patients with VN who had bilateral nerve conduction studies (NCS) and evaluated different electrodiagnostic models to help distinguish VN from non-inflammatory axonal polyneuropathies. RESULTS: We identified 82 cases, and 174 controls with non-inflammatory axonal neuropathies. The amplitude percent difference Z-score model showed the best discriminatory capability between cases and controls (area under the curve [AUC] 0.87; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.82, 0.93), and the number of nerves tested did not significantly influence the model. Individually, the ulnar motor nerve (AUC 0.86; 95% CI 0.77, 0.94) and median motor nerve (AUC 0.85; 95% CI 0.77, 0.94) showed the best discriminatory capability. A 50% amplitude difference between at least two bilateral nerves, either in the upper (AUC 0.85; 95% CI 0.77, 0.93) or lower (AUC 0.79; 95% CI 0.71, 0.87) extremity showed good discriminatory threshold for detecting VN. DISCUSSION: The best electrodiagnostic criteria for VN utilizes z-scores of percent differences in nerve amplitudes, but this approach may be difficult to implement at the bedside. Alternately, a 50% amplitude difference in at least two nerves is a reasonable approximation.

Monoclonal antibody-mediated immunosuppression enables long-term survival of transplanted human neural stem cells in mouse brain.

BACKGROUND: As the field of stem cell therapy advances, it is important to develop reliable methods to overcome host immune responses in animal models. This ensures survival of transplanted human stem cell grafts and enables predictive efficacy testing. Immunosuppressive drugs derived from clinical protocols are frequently used but are often inconsistent and associated with toxic side effects. Here, using a molecular imaging approach, we show that immunosuppression targeting costimulatory molecules CD4 and CD40L enables robust survival of human xenografts in mouse brain, as compared to conventional tacrolimus and mycophenolate mofetil. METHODS: Human neural stem cells were modified to express green fluorescent protein and firefly luciferase. Cells were implanted in the fimbria fornix of the hippocampus and viability assessed by non-invasive bioluminescent imaging. Cell survival was assessed using traditional pharmacologic immunosuppression as compared to monoclonal antibodies directed against CD4 and CD40L. This paradigm was also implemented in a transgenic Alzheimer's disease mouse model. RESULTS: Graft rejection occurs within 7 days in non-immunosuppressed mice and within 14 days in mice on a traditional regimen. The addition of dual monoclonal antibody immunosuppression extends graft survival past 7 weeks (p < .001) on initial studies. We confirm dual monoclonal antibody treatment is superior to either antibody alone (p < .001). Finally, we demonstrate robust xenograft survival at multiple cell doses up to 6 months in both C57BL/6J mice and a transgenic Alzheimer's disease model (p < .001). The dual monoclonal antibody protocol demonstrated no significant adverse effects, as determined by complete blood counts and toxicity screen. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates an effective immunosuppression protocol for preclinical testing of stem cell therapies. A transition towards antibody-based strategies may be advantageous by enabling stem cell survival in preclinical studies that could inform future clinical trials.

Serum lipidomic determinants of human diabetic neuropathy in type 2 diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: The serum lipidomic profile associated with neuropathy in type 2 diabetes is not well understood. Obesity and dyslipidemia are known neuropathy risk factors, suggesting lipid profiles early during type 2 diabetes may identify individuals who develop neuropathy later in the disease course. This retrospective cohort study examined lipidomic profiles 10 years prior to type 2 diabetic neuropathy assessment. METHODS: Participants comprised members of the Gila River Indian community with type 2 diabetes (n = 69) with available stored serum samples and neuropathy assessment 10 years later using the combined Michigan Neuropathy Screening Instrument (MNSI) examination and questionnaire scores. A combined MNSI index was calculated from examination and questionnaire scores. Serum lipids (435 species from 18 classes) were quantified by mass spectrometry. RESULTS: The cohort included 17 males and 52 females with a mean age of 45 years (SD = 9 years). Participants were stratified as with (high MNSI index score > 2.5407) versus without neuropathy (low MNSI index score ≤ 2.5407). Significantly decreased medium-chain acylcarnitines and increased total free fatty acids, independent of chain length and saturation, in serum at baseline associated with incident peripheral neuropathy at follow-up, that is, participants had high MNSI index scores, independent of covariates. Participants with neuropathy also had decreased phosphatidylcholines and increased lysophosphatidylcholines at baseline, independent of chain length and saturation. The abundance of other lipid classes did not differ significantly by neuropathy status. INTERPRETATION: Abundance differences in circulating acylcarnitines, free fatty acids, phosphatidylcholines, and lysophosphatidylcholines 10 years prior to neuropathy assessment are associated with neuropathy status in type 2 diabetes.

Neuropsychological Outcomes in Individuals With Type 1 and Type 2 Diabetes.

Objective: To determine the prevalence of neuropsychological outcomes in individuals with type 1 diabetes compared to individuals with type 2 diabetes or without diabetes, and to evaluate the association of diabetes status and microvascular/macrovascular complications with neuropsychological outcomes. Patients and Methods: We used a nationally representative healthcare claims database of privately insured individuals (1/1/2001-12/31/2018) to identify individuals with type 1 diabetes. Propensity score matching was used as a quasi-randomization technique to match type 1 diabetes individuals to type 2 diabetes individuals and controls. Diabetes status, microvascular/macrovascular complications (retinopathy, neuropathy, nephropathy, stroke, myocardial infarction, peripheral vascular disease, amputations), and neuropsychological outcomes (mental health, cognitive, chronic pain, addiction, sleep disorders) were defined using ICD-9/10 codes. Logistic regression determined associations between diabetes status, microvascular/macrovascular complications, and neuropsychological outcomes. Results: We identified 184,765 type 1 diabetes individuals matched to 524,602 type 2 diabetes individuals and 522,768 controls. With the exception of cognitive disorders, type 2 diabetes individuals had the highest prevalence of neuropsychological outcomes, followed by type 1 diabetes, and controls. After adjusting for the presence of microvascular/macrovascular complications, type 1 diabetes was not significantly associated with a higher risk of neuropsychological outcomes; however, type 2 diabetes remained associated with mental health, cognitive, and sleep disorders. The presence of microvascular/macrovascular complications was independently associated with each neuropsychological outcome regardless of diabetes status. Conclusion: Microvascular/macrovascular complications are associated with a high risk of neuropsychological outcomes regardless of diabetes status. Therefore, preventing microvascular and macrovascular complications will likely help reduce the likelihood of neuropsychological outcomes either as the result of similar pathophysiologic processes or by preventing the direct and indirect consequences of these complications. For individuals with type 2 diabetes, risk factors beyond complications (such as obesity) likely contribute to neuropsychological outcomes.

Headache neuroimaging: A survey of current practice, barriers, and facilitators to optimal use.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to understand current practice, clinician understanding, attitudes, barriers, and facilitators to optimal headache neuroimaging practices. BACKGROUND: Headaches are common in adults, and neuroimaging for these patients is common, costly, and increasing. Although guidelines recommend against routine headache neuroimaging in low-risk scenarios, guideline-discordant neuroimaging is still frequently performed. METHODS: We administered a 60-item survey to headache clinicians at the Veterans Affairs health system to assess clinician understanding and attitudes on headache neuroimaging and to determine neuroimaging practice patterns for three scenarios describing hypothetical patients with headaches. Descriptive statistics were used to summarize responses, stratified by clinician type (physicians or advanced practice clinicians [APCs]) and specialty (neurology or primary care). RESULTS: The survey was successfully completed by 431 of 1426 clinicians (30.2% response rate). Overall, 317 of 429 (73.9%) believed neuroimaging was overused for patients with headaches. However, clinicians would utilize neuroimaging a mean (SD) 30.9% (31.7) of the time in a low-risk scenario without red flags, and a mean 67.1% (31.9) of the time in the presence of minor red flags. Clinicians had stronger beliefs in the potential benefits (268/429, 62.5%) of neuroimaging compared to harms (181/429, 42.2%) and more clinicians were bothered by harms stemming from the omission of neuroimaging (377/426, 88.5%) compared to commission (329/424, 77.6%). Additionally, APCs utilized neuroimaging more frequently than physicians and were more receptive to potential interventions to improve neuroimaging utilization. CONCLUSIONS: Although a majority of clinicians believed neuroimaging was overused for patients with headaches, many would utilize neuroimaging in low-risk scenarios with a small probability of changing management. Future studies are needed to define the role of currently used red flags given their importance in neuroimaging decisions. Importantly, APCs may be an ideal target for future optimization efforts.

Prediction of extubation failure in the paediatric cardiac ICU using machine learning and high-frequency physiologic data.

BACKGROUND: Cardiac intensivists frequently assess patient readiness to wean off mechanical ventilation with an extubation readiness trial despite it being no more effective than clinician judgement alone. We evaluated the utility of high-frequency physiologic data and machine learning for improving the prediction of extubation failure in children with cardiovascular disease. METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis of clinical registry data and streamed physiologic extubation readiness trial data from one paediatric cardiac ICU (12/2016-3/2018). We analysed patients' final extubation readiness trial. Machine learning methods (classification and regression tree, Boosting, Random Forest) were performed using clinical/demographic data, physiologic data, and both datasets. Extubation failure was defined as reintubation within 48 hrs. Classifier performance was assessed on prediction accuracy and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. RESULTS: Of 178 episodes, 11.2% (N = 20) failed extubation. Using clinical/demographic data, our machine learning methods identified variables such as age, weight, height, and ventilation duration as being important in predicting extubation failure. Best classifier performance with this data was Boosting (prediction accuracy: 0.88; area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: 0.74). Using physiologic data, our machine learning methods found oxygen saturation extremes and descriptors of dynamic compliance, central venous pressure, and heart/respiratory rate to be of importance. The best classifier in this setting was Random Forest (prediction accuracy: 0.89; area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: 0.75). Combining both datasets produced classifiers highlighting the importance of physiologic variables in determining extubation failure, though predictive performance was not improved. CONCLUSION: Physiologic variables not routinely scrutinised during extubation readiness trials were identified as potential extubation failure predictors. Larger analyses are necessary to investigate whether these markers can improve clinical decision-making.

Osteonecrosis of the jaw risk factors in bisphosphonate-treated patients with metastatic cancer.

BACKGROUND: A case-control study was performed to define clinical and genetic risk factors associated with osteonecrosis of the jaw in patients with metastatic cancer treated with bisphosphonates. METHODS: Clinical data and tissues were collected from patients treated with bisphosphonates for metastatic bone disease who were diagnosed with osteonecrosis of the jaw (cases) and matched controls. Clinical data included patient, behavioral, disease, and treatment information. Genetic polymorphisms in CYP2C8 (rs1934951) and other candidate genes were genotyped. Odds ratios from conditional logistic regression models were examined to identify clinical and genetic characteristics associated with case or control status. RESULTS: The study population consisted of 76 cases and 126 controls. In the final multivariable clinical model, patients with osteonecrosis of the jaw were less likely to have received pamidronate than zoledronic acid (odds ratio = 0.18, 95% Confidence interval: 0.03-0.97, p = .047) and more likely to have been exposed to bevacizumab (OR = 5.15, 95% CI: 1.67-15.95, p = .005). The exploratory genetic analyses suggested a protective effect for VEGFC rs2333496 and risk effects for VEGFC rs7664413 and PPARG rs1152003. CONCLUSIONS: We observed patients with ONJ were more likely to have been exposed to bevacizumab and zoledronic and identified potential genetic predictors that require validation prior to clinical translation.