Identifying models of care to improve outcomes for older people with urgent care needs: a mixed methods approach to develop a system dynamics model.

Background: We aimed to understand urgent and emergency care pathways for older people and develop a decision support tool using a mixed methods study design. Objective(s), study design, settings and participants: Work package 1 identified best practice through a review of reviews, patient, carer and professional interviews. Work package 2 involved qualitative case studies of selected urgent and emergency care pathways in the Yorkshire and Humber region. Work package 3 analysed linked databases describing urgent and emergency care pathways identifying patient, provider and pathway factors that explain differences in outcomes and costs. Work package 4 developed a system dynamics tool to compare emergency interventions. Results: A total of 18 reviews summarising 128 primary studies found that integrated social and medical care, screening and assessment, follow-up and monitoring of service outcomes were important. Forty patient/carer participants described emergency department attendances; most reported a reluctance to attend. Participants emphasised the importance of being treated with dignity, timely and accurate information provision and involvement in decision-making. Receiving care in a calm environment with attention to personal comfort and basic physical needs were key. Patient goals included diagnosis and resolution, well-planned discharge home and retaining physical function. Participants perceived many of these goals of care were not attained. A total of 21 professional participants were interviewed and 23 participated in focus groups, largely confirming the review evidence. Implementation challenges identified included the urgent and emergency care environment, organisational approaches to service development, staff skills and resources. Work package 2 involved 45 interviews and 30 hours of observation in four contrasting emergency departments. Key themes relating to implementation included: intervention-related staff: frailty mindset and behaviours resources: workforce, space, and physical environment operational influences: referral criteria, frailty assessment, operating hours, transport. context-related links with community, social and primary care organisation and management support COVID-19 pandemic. approaches to implementation service/quality improvement networks engaging staff and building relationships education about frailty evidence. The linked databases in work package 3 comprised 359,945 older people and 1,035,045 observations. The most powerful predictors of four-hour wait and transfer to hospital were age, previous attendance, out-of-hours attendance and call handler designation of urgency. Drawing upon the previous work packages and working closely with a wide range of patient and professional stakeholders, we developed an system dynamics tool that modelled five evidence-based urgent and emergency care interventions and their impact on the whole system in terms of reducing admissions, readmissions, and hospital related mortality. Limitations: Across the reviews there was incomplete reporting of interventions. People living with severe frailty and from ethnic minorities were under-represented in the patient/carer interviews. The linked databases did not include patient reported outcomes. The system dynamics model was limited to evidence-based interventions, which could not be modelled conjointly. Conclusions: We have reaffirmed the poor outcomes frequently experienced by many older people living with urgent care needs. We have identified interventions that could improve patient and service outcomes, as well as implementation tools and strategies to help including clinicians, service managers and commissioners improve emergency care for older people. Future work: Future work will focus on refining the system dynamics model, specifically including patient-reported outcome measures and pre-hospital services for older people living with frailty who have urgent care needs. Study registrations: This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42018111461. WP 1.2: University of Leicester ethics: 17525-spc3-ls:healthsciences, WP 2: IRAS 262143, CAG 19/CAG/0194, WP 3: IRAS 215818, REC 17/YH/0024, CAG 17/CAG/0024. Funding: This project was funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health and Social Care Delivery Research programme [project number 17/05/96 (Emergency Care for Older People)] and will be published in full in Health and Social Care Delivery Research; Vol. 11, No. 14. See the NIHR Journals Library website for further project information.

Many older people attending emergency care have poor outcomes; this project aimed to: describe best practice in emergency care understand how best practice might be delivered describe outcomes from emergency care, and synthesise this information in a computer simulation tool that can help teams decide which interventions might work best in their setting. The existing literature showed that holistic interventions (caring for the whole person), spanning emergency and community care, designed with the needs of older people in mind, work best. We checked these findings with front line clinicians, who agreed, but identified that implementing best practice in the emergency department was challenging. Limitations included the emergency department environment itself and the lack of staff with the right skillset. We also asked older people and their carers who had recently received emergency care what mattered. They prioritised basic needs such as comfort, communication, and timely care. They also stated that getting better, maintaining their usual level of function, and getting home safely were important outcomes. We then analysed data that linked together ambulance, emergency department, and hospital care in Yorkshire and Humber from 2011­17 for over 1 million emergency department attendances and hospital admissions. We found a novel and accurate predictor of long emergency department waits and hospital admission: the level of urgency according to the ambulance call handler. Drawing upon all the above and guided by a wide range of patient and professionals, we developed a computer model which allows emergency care teams to simulate different best practice emergency department interventions and estimate the impact on reducing admissions, readmissions, and hospital mortality. In summary, we have reaffirmed the poor outcomes experienced by many older people with urgent care needs. We have identified interventions that could improve patient and service outcomes, as well as implementation tools to help including clinicians, hospital managers and funders transform emergency care for older people.

Possible Influence of Ethnicity on CT Perfusion Parameter Thresholds in Acute Ischemic Stroke.

Introduction Tissue at risk, as estimated by CT perfusion utilizing Tmax+6, correlates with final infarct volume (FIV) in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) without reperfusion. Tmax thresholds are derived from Western ethnic populations but not from ethnic Asian populations. We aimed to investigate the influence of ethnicity on Tmax thresholds. Methods From a clinical-imaging registry of Australian and Indonesian stroke patients, we selected a participant subgroup with the following inclusion criteria: AIS under 24 hours and absence of reperfusion therapy. Clinical data included demographics, time metrics, stroke severity, premorbid, and 3-month Modified Rankin Score. Baseline CTP and MRI <72 hours were performed. Volumes of Tmax utilizing different thresholds and final infarct volumes (FIV) were calculated. Spearman correlation was used to evaluate relationship involving ordinal variables and calculate the optimal Tmax threshold against FIV in both populations. Results Two hundred patients were included in the study sample 100 in Jakarta and 100 in Geelong. The median National Institutes Health Stroke Scale (IQR) were 6(3-11) and 3(1-5), respectively. The median Tmax+6(IQR) was 0 (0-46.5) in Jakarta group and 0(0-7.5) in Geelong group. The median FIV(IQR) was 0 (0-30.5) and 0 (0-5.5). Tmax +8s in Jakarta population against FIV showed Spearman's coefficient =0.72, representing the optimal Tmax threshold. Tmax+6s showed Spearman's coefficient =0.51 against FIV in the Geelong population. Conclusions Tmax thresholds approximating FIV were possibly different in the Asian when compared with the non-Asian populations. Future studies are required to extend and confirm the validity of our findings.

What are the goals of care for older people living with frailty when they access urgent care? Are those goals attained? A qualitative view of patient and carer perspectives.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: Little is known of the goals of care of older people living with frailty when they access urgent care. Equally whether these goals are attained from a patient and carer perspective is often unclear. This qualitative study examined the views of older people living with frailty and their families in relation to specific episodes of urgent care, what they wanted to achieve and whether those goals were attained. METHODS: Semi-structured interviews with older people living with frailty and their families between Jan and July 2019. Patient and carer participants were recruited in three hospitals in England and interviewed following the urgent care episode. Interviews were audio-recorded, transcribed verbatim and analysed following the principles of the Framework approach. Results were validated by an older people's involvement group. RESULTS: Forty participants were interviewed either alone or jointly (24 patients and 16 carers), describing episodes of urgent care which started in ED for 28 patients. The goals of care for participants accessing emergency care were that their medical problem be diagnosed and resolved; information about tests and treatment be given to them and their relatives; they receive an appropriate well-planned discharge to their own home with support where needed and without readmission or re-attendance at ED; and that they retain mobility, function and normal activities. Participants perceived that many of these goals of care were not attained. CONCLUSIONS: Older people living with frailty have heterogeneous urgent care goals which require individual ascertainment. Identifying these goals of care early could result in improved attainment through person-centred care.

A systematic review and recommendations for prom instruments for older people with frailty in emergency care.

INTRODUCTION: The current service metrics used to evaluate quality in emergency care do not account for specific healthcare outcome goals for older people living with frailty. These have previously been classified under themes of 'Autonomy' and 'Functioning'. There is no person-reported outcome measure (PROM) for older people with frailty and emergency care needs. This study aimed to identify and co-produce recommendations for instruments potentially suitable for use in this population. METHODS: In this systematic review, we searched six databases for PROMs used between 2010 and 2021 by older people living with frailty receiving acute hospital care. Studies were reviewed against predefined eligibility criteria and appraised for quality using the COSMIN Risk of Bias checklist. Data were extracted to map instrument constructs against an existing framework of acute healthcare outcome goals. Instrument face and content validity were assessed by lay collaborators. Recommendations for instruments with potential emergency care suitability were formed through co-production. RESULTS: Of 9392 unique citations screened, we appraised the full texts of 158 studies. Nine studies were identified, evaluating nine PROMs. Quality of included studies ranged from 'doubtful' to 'very good'. Most instruments had strong evidence for measurement properties. PROMs mainly assessed 'Functioning' constructs, with limited coverage of 'Autonomy'. Five instruments were considered too burdensome for the emergency care setting or too specific for older people living with frailty. CONCLUSIONS: Four PROMs were recommended as potentially suitable for further validation with older people with frailty and emergency care needs: COOP/WONCA charts, EuroQol, McGill Quality of Life (Expanded), and Palliative care Outcome Scale.

What matters most in acute care: an interview study with older people living with frailty.

BACKGROUND: Healthcare outcome goals are central to person-centred acute care, however evidence among older people is scarce. Older people who are living with frailty have distinct requirements for healthcare delivery and have distinct risk for adverse outcomes from healthcare. There is insufficient evidence for whether those living with frailty also have distinct healthcare outcome goals. This study explored the nature of acute care outcome goals in people living with frailty. METHODS: Healthcare outcome goals were explored using semi-structured patient interviews. Participants aged over 65 with Clinical Frailty Score 5-8 (mild to very severe frailty) were recruited during their first 72 hours in a UK hospital. Purposive, maximum variation sampling was guided by lay partners from a Patient and Public Involvement Forum specialising in ageing-related research. Qualitative analysis used a blended approach based on framework and constant comparative methodologies for the identification of themes. Findings were validated through triangulation with participant, lay partner, and technical expert review. RESULTS: The 22 participants were aged 71 to 98 and had mild to very severe frailty. One quarter were living with dementia. Most participants had reflected on their situation and considered their outcome goals. Theme categories (and corresponding sub-categories) were 'Autonomy' (information, control, and security) and 'Functioning' (physical, psychosocial, and relief). A novel 'security' theme was identified, whereby participants sought to feel safe in their usual living place and with their health problems. Those living with milder frailty were concerned to maintain ability to support loved ones, while those living with most severe frailty were concerned about burdening others. CONCLUSIONS: Outcome goals for acute care among older participants living with frailty were influenced by the insecurity of their situation and fear of deterioration. Patients may be supported to feel safe and in control through appropriate information provision and functional support.

A mixed-methods feasibility study of a goal-focused manualised intervention to support people with dementia to stay living independently at home with support from family carers: NIDUS (New Interventions for Independence in Dementia Study) Family.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the feasibility and acceptability of NIDUS-Family, a 6-8 session manualised, individually tailored, modular intervention supporting independence at home for people with dementia; and explore participants' and facilitators' experiences of the intervention. METHOD: In this single group multi-site feasibility study, trained, supervised non-clinically qualified graduates (facilitators) delivered NIDUS-Family to family carer and people living with dementia dyads. We recruited participants from GP practices and memory services in London and Bradford. We completed quantitative outcomes pre- and post-intervention; and conducted qualitative interviews with participants and facilitators. Our pre-specified main outcomes were proportion of potential participants approached who agreed to participate, intervention adherence and acceptability to family carers, and facilitator fidelity to the manual. RESULTS: We recruited 16 dyads (57% of those approached); 12 (75%) completed the intervention. Of 12 participants rating intervention acceptability, 9 (75%) agreed or strongly agreed that it had helped; 2 (18%) neither agreed nor disagreed and 1 (8%) disagreed. Mean facilitator fidelity was high (81.5%). Dyads set on average 3.9 goals; these most commonly related to getting out and about and increasing activity/hobby participation (n = 10); carer wellbeing (n = 6), managing physical complaints (n = 6); meal preparation/cooking (n = 5); and reducing irritability, frustration or aggression (n = 5). Almost all secondary outcomes changed in a direction indicating improvement. In our qualitative analysis we identified three overarching themes; relationships facilitate change, goal-focused versus manualised approach and balancing the needs of carers and people with dementia. CONCLUSION: NIDUS-Family was feasible and acceptable to participants. Following refinements, testing in a pragmatic trial is underway.

Presentations and outcomes of central nervous system TB in a UK cohort: The high burden of neurological morbidity.

OBJECTIVES: Most data for Central Nervous System Tuberculosis (CNS-TB) derive from high-incidence, resource-limited countries. We sought to determine the presentation, management and outcomes of CNS-TB in a low-incidence setting with accessible healthcare. METHODS: We undertook a retrospective, observational study of CNS-TB in adults at a single tertiary-referral London hospital (2001-2017). Cases were categorised as either TB meningitis (TBM) or TB mass lesions without meningitis (TBML), applying novel criteria for definite, probable, and possible TBML. RESULTS: We identified sixty-two cases of TBM (37% definite; 31% probable; 32% possible) alongside 14 TBML cases (36% definite; 29% probable; and 36% possible). Clinical presentation was highly variable. Among CSF parameters, hypoglycorrhachia proved most discriminatory for "definite" TBM. Neurosurgical intervention was required for mass-effect or hydrocephalus in 16%. Mortality was higher in TBM versus TBML (16% vs. 0%) but overall morbidity was significant; 33% of TBM and 29% of TBML survivors suffered persisting neurological disability at 12-months. In TBM, hydrocephalus, infarct, basal enhancement and low CSF white cell count were independently associated with worse neurological outcomes. CONCLUSION: Although mortality was lower than previously reported in other settings, morbidity was significant, highlighting the need for improved CNS-TB diagnostics, therapeutics and interventions to mitigate neurological sequelae.

An evaluation of the effect of tube potential on clinical image quality using direct digital detectors for pelvis and lumbar spine radiographs.

INTRODUCTION: High kVp techniques, 15% or 10-kVp rules, are well-known dose reduction methods. Traditionally, the use of high tube potential (i.e. increased kVp) is associated with decreased radiographic contrast and overall image quality. Recent studies suggest contrast and image quality are not heavily reliant on kVp with digital systems. This study aims to assess the effects of the high tube potential technique on clinical radiographic image quality when using digital systems, to validate high kVp as a dose saving technique. METHODS: A selection of comparable pelvis and lumbar spine radiographs were collected from the hospital's picture archiving and communication system (PACS), with technical factors recorded. All clinical radiographs were assessed by 5 senior radiographers using a 15-point visual grading analysis (VGA) rubric. RESULTS: For 40 AP pelvis radiographs and 40 lateral lumbar spine radiographs, reduction in the dose area product (DAP) with higher kVp is seen. Average pelvis DAP at 75 kVp = 14.06 mGy.cm2 ; 85 kVp = 7.47 mGy.cm2 . Average lumbar spine DAP at 80 kVp = 15.76 mGy.cm2 ; 90 kVp = 14.83 mGy.cm2 . Image quality and contrast scores showed no statistically significant difference between the high and low kVp groups (z = 0.06 and 0.12, respectively). Average pelvis VGA score at 75 kVp = 11.26; 85 kVp = 12.55. Average lumbar spine VGA score at 80 kVp = 9.23; 90 kVp = 10.64. CONCLUSIONS: The high tube potential techniques allowed for reduced patient radiation doses whilst showing no degradation of diagnostic image quality in a clinical setting. This study successfully validates the high kVp technique as a useful tool for reducing patient radiation doses whilst maintaining high diagnostic image quality for digital pelvis and lumbar spine radiography.

The management of periorbital cellulitis secondary to sinonasal infection: a multicenter prospective study in the United Kingdom.

BACKGROUND: Periorbital cellulitis is a potential sight-threatening complication of sinusitis. The majority of patients improve with medical management. Previous studies have suggested significant variations in practice and lack of evidence regarding the optimal management of this condition. METHODS: A prospective study was conducted over a 12-month period at 8 centers in the United Kingdom assessing the management of patients requiring inpatient treatment for periorbital cellulitis secondary to sinonasal infections. RESULTS: A total of 143 patients were recruited, of whom 40 were excluded. Of the remaining 103 patients, 5 (4.9%) were diagnosed with neurosurgical complications. This resulted in 98 patients admitted with periorbital cellulitis secondary to an upper respiratory tract infection/sinusitis. A total of 72 were children, of whom 12 (16.7%) required surgical intervention; and of 26 adults, 5 (19.2%) required surgery: the most common antimicrobial regimes administered were intravenous ceftriaxone (with or without metronidazole), and co-amoxiclav. The use of both ceftriaxone and metronidazole from admission was associated with the shortest duration of inpatient stay (3.8 days) in comparison to ceftriaxone alone (5.8 days) or co-amoxiclav (4.5 days) and a reduction in number of patients requiring surgical intervention. There was also an association between the early use of intranasal decongestants and steroids and reduction in requirement for surgical intervention. CONCLUSION: For a condition where swab and blood cultures are often negative, this study supports the use of ceftriaxone in combination with metronidazole. The administration of intranasal decongestants and corticosteroids correlated with a smaller percentage of those progressing to surgery in those with and without periorbital abscesses.

Persistent eosinophilia among 21 historic cases of Strongyloides stercoralis infection: a case for routine follow-up and repeat treatment.

BACKGROUND: Strongyloidasis affects more than 100 million people worldwide and causes persisting infection. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed 21 cases of parasitologically confirmed Strongyloides stercoralis infection at our centre. RESULTS: We found four individuals who had eosinophilia (>0.5x109/litre) more than 6 mo after treatment. CONCLUSIONS: This may represent ongoing or relapsed infection. Our data support the need for continued follow-up of treated individuals, particularly those with abnormal host defences who are at risk of severe forms of the disease.

Contributions of patient and citizen researchers to 'Am I the right way up?' study of balance in posterior cortical atrophy and typical Alzheimer's disease.

The current report describes the journey from the sharing of a single, extraordinary experience during a support group conversation to the development of a novel scientific investigation of balance problems in a rarer form of dementia. The story centres around the involvement of people living with or caring for someone with posterior cortical atrophy (often referred to as the visual variant of Alzheimer's disease) in highlighting hitherto under-appreciated consequences of their condition upon their ability to know 'Am I the right way up?'. We describe how comments and descriptions of these balance symptoms were collated and communicated, and the involvement of people with posterior cortical atrophy in shaping a series of scientific hypotheses and developing and adapting appropriate experimental materials and procedures. We also reflect more broadly on how we might better recognise, acknowledge and encourage different forms of involvement, and describe several engagement-inspired extensions to the research involving people living with dementia, scientists and artists.

Results of Stent Graft Placement to Treat Cephalic Arch Stenosis in Hemodialysis Patients with Dysfunctional Brachiocephalic Arteriovenous Fistulas.

PURPOSE: To determine effectiveness of the VIABAHN (W.L. Gore & Associates, Flagstaff, Arizona) stent graft to treat cephalic arch stenosis in patients with dysfunctional brachiocephalic arteriovenous fistulas after inadequate venoplasty response. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Between 2012 and 2015, patients with failed venoplasty of symptomatic cephalic arch stenosis received a VIABAHN stent graft. Follow-up venography was performed at approximately 3, 6, and 12 months. Data were retrospectively analyzed with patency estimated using Kaplan-Meier and log-rank methodology. There were 39 patients included. RESULTS: Technical and clinical success was 100%. Primary target lesion patency was 85% (95% confidence interval [CI], 69%-93%), 67% (95% CI, 50%-80%), and 42% (95% CI, 25%-57%) at 3, 6, and 12 months. There was no significant difference in patency with regard to sex or age (P = .8 and P = .6, respectively). Primary assisted patency was 95% (95% CI, 82%-99%) at 3, 6, and 12 months. Access circuit primary patency was 85% (95% CI, 69%-93%), 67% (95% CI, 50%-80%), and 42% (95% CI, 25%-57%) at 3, 6, and 12 months. There was no significant difference in patency between patients with the stent graft as the first treatment episode in the cephalic arch and those that had previous intervention at this site (P = .98). There were 48 repeat venoplasty procedures performed in the cephalic arch to maintain patency, including 7 repeat VIABAHN insertions. No complications were encountered. CONCLUSIONS: The VIABAHN stent graft is a safe, effective, and durable device for treating cephalic arch stenosis when venoplasty fails.

Oesophageal pleural fistula presenting with Parvimonas micra infection causing cervical and brain abscesses.

Parvimonas micra (P. micra) infections causing spinal cord compression are extremely rare. We report an occult oesophageal pleural fistula presenting with spinal epidural and brain abscesses resulting in severe neurological deficits caused by P. micra. Molecular detection proved to be instrumental in identifying the causative pathogen. Essential management with decompression, drainage, antibiotics and fistula repair lead to a good outcome.

Direct Oral Anticoagulants (DOACs): Current Status Among Distinct Patient Subgroups.

The landscape of anticoagulant therapy for atrial fibrillation and deep-vein thrombosis has evolved considerably in the last decade with the advent of Novel or Direct-Acting Oral Antiocoagulants (DOACs). The initial phase III randomized controlled trials established the individual DOACs as viable alternatives to warfarin for thromboprophylaxis but generalizations to the larger population were limited by the small number of protocol subjects with renal insufficiency, congestive heart failure, advanced age and other comorbidities. All the DOACs have some degree of renal excretion and while safe and effective in patients with mild to moderate renal insufficiency, dose adjustment is necessary based on creatinine clearance. Subsequent data registries and real-world experience with DOACs have continued to refine their role in these particular patient subgroups. Off-label use with both under- and overdosing is not uncommon in renal failure and carries increased risk. Their increasing use among the elderly, in patients with heart failure, hepatic and renal insufficiency and among the Asian population has been shown to be relatively safe and effective compared to warfarin. Gaps in our current understanding of this new class of anticoagulants will continue to narrow as additional data becomes available through ongoing registries and real-world experience. [Full article available at http://rimed.org/rimedicaljournal-2017-05.asp].

Radiation Safety Culture in the UK Medical Sector: A Top to Bottom Strategy.

UK professional bodies have established a number of sectorial working parties to provide guidance on the improvement of radiation safety (RS) culture in the workplace. The medical sector provides unique challenges in this regard, and the remit of the medical group was to review the current state of RS culture and to develop a framework for improvement. The review of current RS culture was based on measurable indicators, including data from regulatory inspections, personal monitoring data and incident data. An online survey to capture the RS-related views and experience of hospital staff at all levels was carried out, and the responses provided a wealth of information on RS awareness and implementation across the country. The framework for improving RS culture includes both 'top-down' initiatives to engage management and regulators, and 'bottom-up' initiatives relating to engagement and training of different staff groups. A 'Ten-point Assessment' on what constitutes a good approach to medical RS culture has been proposed, which provides a tool for management to assess RS culture in the workplace and has potential use in regulatory inspections in the UK.