3DTINC: Time-Equivariant Non-Contrastive Learning for Predicting Disease Progression from Longitudinal OCTs.

Self-supervised learning (SSL) has emerged as a powerful technique for improving the efficiency and effectiveness of deep learning models. Contrastive methods are a prominent family of SSL that extract similar representations of two augmented views of an image while pushing away others in the representation space as negatives. However, the state-of-the-art contrastive methods require large batch sizes and augmentations designed for natural images that are impractical for 3D medical images. To address these limitations, we propose a new longitudinal SSL method, 3DTINC, based on non-contrastive learning. It is designed to learn perturbation-invariant features for 3D optical coherence tomography (OCT) volumes, using augmentations specifically designed for OCT. We introduce a new non-contrastive similarity loss term that learns temporal information implicitly from intra-patient scans acquired at different times. Our experiments show that this temporal information is crucial for predicting progression of retinal diseases, such as age-related macular degeneration (AMD). After pretraining with 3DTINC, we evaluated the learned representations and the prognostic models on two large-scale longitudinal datasets of retinal OCTs where we predict the conversion to wet-AMD within a six-month interval. Our results demonstrate that each component of our contributions is crucial for learning meaningful representations useful in predicting disease progression from longitudinal volumetric scans.

Deep survival modeling of longitudinal retinal OCT volumes for predicting the onset of atrophy in patients with intermediate AMD.

In patients with age-related macular degeneration (AMD), the risk of progression to late stages is highly heterogeneous, and the prognostic imaging biomarkers remain unclear. We propose a deep survival model to predict the progression towards the late atrophic stage of AMD. The model combines the advantages of survival modelling, accounting for time-to-event and censoring, and the advantages of deep learning, generating prediction from raw 3D OCT scans, without the need for extracting a predefined set of quantitative biomarkers. We demonstrate, in an extensive set of evaluations, based on two large longitudinal datasets with 231 eyes from 121 patients for internal evaluation, and 280 eyes from 140 patients for the external evaluation, that this model improves the risk estimation performance over standard deep learning classification models.