Bluetongue disease in sheep in New South Wales - April 2023.

In 2016, bluetongue virus (BTV), serotype 16 (BTV-16), was detected in New South Wales (NSW) in sentinel cattle for the first time. Over the next 6 years, BTV-16 has been detected regularly and over an increasing area of the BTV zone in NSW. In April 2023, disease was reported in sheep on two farms on the Northern Tablelands of NSW. The consistent clinical signs included reduced exercise tolerance, facial swelling, serous nasal discharges with encrustation of the nasal plane, subcutaneous oedema of the neck and brisket and variable congestion of the coronary band. Affected sheep were mainly mature ewes and rams, with an estimated morbidity of 20% over a period of 6-8 weeks. Although there were several unexpected deaths, no veterinary examination was sought. Predominantly BTV-16 RNA was detected in sick sheep, with an incidence of infection of approximately 40% in a cross section of one flock. These events represent the first confirmation of disease due to bluetongue virus in NSW. As these cases occurred in a region with a high density of sheep, if there is ongoing transmission of BTV-16 during subsequent summers, further disease might be expected.

Moderate-intensity exercise performed in the evening does not impair sleep in healthy males.

The aim of this study was to examine the effect of single bouts of moderate-intensity aerobic exercise and moderate-intensity resistance exercise performed in the evening on the sleep of healthy young males. The study employed a repeated-measures, counterbalanced, crossover design with three conditions (control, evening aerobic exercise, evening resistance exercise). Twelve male participants (mean ± SD; age: 21.9 ± 2.7 yr) attended the laboratory on three occasions separated by one day between each visit. Between 20:45 h and 21:30 h, participants completed either no exercise, 30 min of aerobic exercise at 75%HRmax, or 30 min of resistance exercise corresponding to 75% of 10-repetition maximum. A 9-h sleep opportunity was provided between 23:00 h and 08:00 h. Core body temperature was measured using ingestible temperature capsules and sleep was measured using polysomnography. Core body temperature was higher during the aerobic exercise and resistance exercise compared to control (p = 0.001). There was no difference in core body temperature at bedtime between the conditions. Sleep onset latency, total sleep time, slow-wave sleep duration, REM sleep duration, wake after sleep onset and sleep efficiency were similar in each condition (p > 0.05). Single bouts of moderate-intensity aerobic exercise or moderate-intensity resistance exercise performed in the evening did not impact subsequent night-time sleep. Core body temperature increased during both forms of exercise, but returned to pre-exercise levels in the 90 min prior to bedtime. Healthy young males can engage in a single bout of moderate-intensity aerobic exercise or moderate-intensity resistance exercise ceasing 90 min before bed without compromising their subsequent sleep.

The impact of a simulated grand tour on sleep, mood, and well-being of competitive cyclists.

AIM: Professional cycling is considered one of the most demanding of all endurance sports. The three major professional cycling stages races (i.e. Tour de France, Giro d'Italia and Vuelta a España) require cyclists to compete daily covering between ~150-200 km for three consecutive weeks. Anecdotal evidence indicates that such an event has a significant effect on the sleep, mood, and general well-being of cyclists, particularly during the latter stages of the event. The primary aim of this study was to simulate a grand tour and determine the impact a grand tour has on the sleep, mood, and general well-being of competitive cyclists. METHODS: Twenty-one male cyclists (M±SD, age 22.2±2.7 years) were examined for 39 days across three phases (i.e. baseline, simulated grand tour, and recovery). Sleep was assessed using sleep diaries and wrist activity monitors. Mood and general well-being were assessed using the Brunel Mood Scale (BRUMS) and Visual Analogue Scales (VAS). RESULTS: The amount and quality of sleep as assessed by the wrist activity monitors declined during the simulated grand tour. In contrast, self-reported sleep quality improved throughout the study. Cyclists' mood and general well-being as indicated by vigour, motivation, physical and mental state declined during the simulated tour. CONCLUSION: Future investigations should examine sleep, mood and well-being during an actual grand tour. Such data could prove instrumental toward understanding the sleep and psychological changes that occur during a grand tour.

A field study of sleep and fatigue in a regular rotating 12-h shift system.

The aim of this study was to examine a regular rotating 12-h shift system (2D2N4Off) at an Australian Smelter. Sleep behavior, subjective fatigue and neurobehavioral performance were investigated over a 14-day period for 20 employees. Activity monitors, sleep/wake diaries, and 5-min psychomotor vigilance tasks were used. Sleep data showed differences between day and night shifts. While sleep prior to night1 was increased relative to day shifts, a reduced sleep length carried into the period leading to night2. Total wakefulness at the end of shift, and subjective fatigue were increased for night shifts, particularly night1. Decrements in performance data supported these findings. Both prior wakefulness and prior sleep are important in a 12-h shift system. Employees may "sleep in" after day shifts, rather than taking extra sleep prior to night work. Thus, sleep between day and night shifts is based on recovery rather than preparation.

Feasibility study for a low-cost 3D gamma-ray camera.

A novel gamma-ray camera is proposed based on Positron Annihilation Compton Scattering Imaging (PACSI). The camera comprises a positron source and a fast, position-sensitive gamma-ray detector. Monte Carlo simulations of the camera have demonstrated that it should be capable of forming 3-D images of objects that can only be viewed from one side. A simple 1-D PACSI camera has been constructed and tested in the laboratory. Prospects for the construction of a full 3-D prototype camera are discussed.

The amount of sleep obtained by locomotive engineers: effects of break duration and time of break onset.

AIMS: To determine the effects of break duration and time of break onset on the amount of sleep that locomotive engineers obtain between consecutive work periods. METHODS: A total of 253 locomotive engineers (249 male, 4 female, mean age 39.7 years) participated. Data were collected at 14 rail depots, where participants drove electric or diesel locomotives; worked with another engineer or drove alone; carried passengers, freight, or coal; and operated in rural or urban areas. Participants completed sleep diaries and work diaries for a two week period while working their normal roster patterns. RESULTS: For breaks that began at similar times of day, total sleep time (TST) increased with break duration. For breaks of similar duration, TST was greater for those that occurred during the night-time than for those that occurred during the daytime. An average of 3.1-7.9 hours sleep was obtained in 12 hour breaks (minimum break requirement in the Australian rail industry), depending on when the break began. CONCLUSIONS: The duration and timing of breaks are both important factors in determining the amount of sleep that locomotive engineers obtain between consecutive work periods. Consequently, minimum length break requirements that do not include a time of day component may not provide locomotive engineers with the opportunity to obtain a sufficient amount of sleep prior to resuming work.

The impact of a week of simulated night work on sleep, circadian phase, and performance.

AIMS: To investigate factors that may contribute to performance adaptation during permanent night work. METHODS: Fifteen healthy subjects participated in an adaptation and baseline night sleep, directly followed by seven simulated eight-hour night shifts (2300 to 0700 hours). At the end of each shift they were taken outside and exposed to natural light for 20 minutes. They then slept from approximately 0800 hours until they naturally awoke. RESULTS: There was a significant increase in mean performance on a visual psychomotor vigilance task across the week. Daytime sleep quality and quantity were not negatively affected. Total sleep time (TST) for each of the daytime sleeps was reduced, resulting in an average cumulative sleep debt of 3.53 hours prior to the final night shift. TST for each of the daytime sleep periods did not significantly differ from the baseline night, nor did TST significantly vary across the week. There was a significant decrease in wake time after sleep onset and sleep onset latency across the week; sleep efficiency showed a trend towards greater efficiency across the consecutive daytime sleeps. Hours of wakefulness prior to each simulated night shift significantly varied across the week. The melatonin profile significantly shifted across the week. CONCLUSIONS: Results suggest that under optimal conditions, the sleep debt that accumulates during consecutive night shifts is relatively small and does not exacerbate decrements in night-time performance resulting from other factors. When sleep loss is minimised, adaptation of performance during consecutive night shifts can occur in conjunction with circadian adaptation.

Perceptions of labour pain by mothers and their attending midwives.

AIMS: The aim of the current study was to examine the perception of pain by labouring women and their attendant midwife, from the onset of labour to delivery. RATIONALE: Accurate measurement and appropriate management of pain is a significant problem for attendant medical and nursing personnel. Both the experience and perception of pain are regarded as subjective and are therefore difficult to measure objectively. Indeed, much of the literature reports that pain is often under- or over-estimated by nursing staff who as a consequence consistently fail to administer adequate analgesia. Few studies have specifically examined the ability of midwives to assess the pain of labouring women. DESIGN: The short form McGill Pain Questionnaire (SF-MPQ), routinely used to assess pain in obstetric environments, was used to determine pain perception. Thirteen labouring women and nine midwives completed the SF-MPQ every 15 minutes beginning at the time of admittance to the delivery suite. Peak pain ratings for the preceding 15 minutes were obtained without reference to prior ratings or each other's scores. Further, midwives in the maternity unit of The Queen Elizabeth Hospital (TQEH), Adelaide, South Australia completed a survey investigating the cues they use to assess pain during labour. RESULTS: On each measure of pain on the SF-MPQ, the midwives scores correlated with the mothers' scores across the entire pain range. Further analysis showed that mothers' and midwives' pain scores were similar at mild-moderate pain levels, but midwives significantly underestimated pain intensity at levels that mothers described as severe. The survey responses indicated that midwives rely on both verbal and nonverbal cues to assess pain levels. CONCLUSIONS: The cues used by midwives to differentiate pain intensities and qualities are similar to those used in other clinical settings, but may have limited discriminatory value as pain levels become severe.

Comparing the effects of fatigue and alcohol consumption on locomotive engineers' performance in a rail simulator.

Laboratory studies have established that the performance impairments due to fatigue and alcohol consumption are quantitatively similar. However, the generalisability of this phenomenon is not clear because comparisons have not been made in realistic work settings with experienced shiftworkers. The aim of the current study was to quantify the effects of fatigue on performance in a simulated work environment (i.e. rail simulator) and compare them with the effects of alcohol consumption. It was hypothesised that fatigue would significantly impair driving performance, and that this impairment would be quantitatively similar to that associated with moderate levels of alcohol consumption. Twenty locomotive engineers participated in the study with a randomised cross-over design and three conditions: baseline, fatigue, and alcohol. During each 8-hour condition, participants completed four driving sessions in the rail simulator. The results indicate that fatigue caused participants to disengage from operating the simulator such that safety was traded off, not necessarily deliberately, against efficiency. The impairment in safety due to fatigue was in a range similar to the impairment associated with moderate levels of alcohol consumption. In summary, the study demonstrated that the effects of fatigue in a simulated work environment can be quantified and may be considerable.

Performance, sleep and circadian phase during a week of simulated night work.

The current study investigated changes in night-time performance, daytime sleep, and circadian phase during a week of simulated shift work. Fifteen young subjects participated in an adaptation and baseline night sleep, directly followed by seven night shifts. Subjects slept from approximately 0800 hr until they naturally awoke. Polysomnographic data was collected for each sleep period. Saliva samples were collected at half hourly intervals, from 2000 hr to bedtime. Each night, performance was tested at hourly intervals. Analysis indicated that there was a significant increase in mean performance across the week. In general, sleep was not negatively affected. Rather, sleep quality appeared to improve across the week. However, total sleep time (TST) for each day sleep was slightly reduced from baseline, resulting in a small cumulative sleep debt of 3.53 (SD = 5.62) hours. Finally, the melatonin profile shifted across the week, resulting in a mean phase delay of 5.5 hours. These findings indicate that when sleep loss is minimized and a circadian phase shift occurs, adaptation of performance can occur during several consecutive night shifts.

Daytime cardiac autonomic activity during one week of continuous night shift.

Shift workers encounter an increased risk of cardiovascular disease compared to their day working counterparts. To explore this phenomenon, the effects of one week of simulated night shift on cardiac sympathetic (SNS) and parasympathetic (PNS) activity were assessed. Ten (5m; 5f) healthy subjects aged 18-29 years attended an adaptation and baseline night before commencing one week of night shift (2300-0700 h). Sleep was recorded using a standard polysomnogram and circadian phase was tracked using salivary melatonin data. During sleep, heart rate (HR), cardiac PNS activity (RMSSD) and cardiac SNS activity (pre-ejection period) were recorded. Night shift did not influence seep quality, but reduced sleep duration by a mean of 52 +/- 29 min. One week of night shift evoked a small chronic sleep debt of 5 h 14 +/- 56 min and a cumulative circadian phase delay of 5 h +/- 14 min. Night shift had no significant effect on mean HR, but mean cardiac SNS activity during sleep was consistently higher and mean cardiac PNS activity during sleep declined gradually across the week. These results suggest that shiftwork has direct and unfavourable effects on cardiac autonomic activity and that this might be one mechanism via which shiftwork increases the risk of cardiovascular disease. It is postulated that sleep loss could be one mediator of the association between shiftwork and cardiovascular health.

A week of simulated night work delays salivary melatonin onset.

In most studies, the magnitude and rate of adaptation to various night work schedules is assessed using core body temperature as the marker of circadian phase. The aim of the current study was to assess adaptation to a simulated night work schedule using salivary dim light melatonin onset (DLMO) as an alternative circadian phase marker. It was hypothesised that the night work schedule would result in a phase delay, manifest in relatively later DLMO, but that this delay would be somewhat inhibited by exposure to natural light. Participants worked seven consecutive simulated 8-hour night shifts (23:00-07:00 h). By night 7, there was a mean cumulative phase delay of 5.5 hours, equivalent to an average delay of 0.8 hours per day. This indicates that partial circadian adaptation occurred in response to the simulated night work schedule. The radioimmunoassay used in the current study provides a sensitive assessment of melatonin concentration in saliva that can be used to determine DLMO, and thus provides an alternative phase marker to core body temperature, at least in laboratory studies.

Ineffectiveness of burst suppression therapy in mitigating perioperative cerebrovascular dysfunction. Multicenter Study of Perioperative Ischemia (McSPI) Research Group.

BACKGROUND: Cerebral injury is among the most common and disabling complications of open heart surgery. Attempts to provide neuroprotection have yielded conflicting results. We assessed the potential of propofol-induced burst suppression during open heart surgery to provide cerebral protection as determined by postoperative neuropsychologic function. METHODS: Two hundred twenty-five patients undergoing valve surgery were randomized to receive either sufentanil or sufentanil plus propofol titrated to electroencephalographic burst suppression. Blinded investigators performed neurologic and neuropsychologic testing at baseline, postoperative day (POD) 1 (neurologic testing only), PODs 5-7, and PODs 50-70. Neuropsychologic tests were compared with the results of 40 nonsurgical patients matched for age and education. RESULTS: Electroencephalographic burst suppression was successfully achieved in all 109 propofol patients. However, these patients sustained at least as many adverse neurologic outcomes as the 116 controls: POD 1, 40% versus 25%, P = 0.06; PODs 5-7, -18% versus 8%, P = 0.07; PODs 50-70, -6% versus 6%, P = 0.80. No differences in the incidence of neuropsychologic deficits were detected, with 91% of the propofol patients versus 92% of the control patients being impaired at PODs 5-7, decreasing to 52 and 47%, respectively, by PODs 50-70. No significant differences in the severity of neuropsychologic dysfunction, depression, or anxiety were noted. CONCLUSIONS: Electroencephalographic burst suppression surgery with propofol during cardiac valve replacement did not significantly reduce the incidence or severity of neurologic or neuropsychologic dysfunction. The authors' results suggest that neither cerebral metabolic suppression nor reduction in cerebral blood flow reliably provide neuroprotection during open heart surgery. Other therapeutic approaches must be evaluated to address this important medical problem.

Cerebral injury after cardiac surgery: identification of a group at extraordinary risk. Multicenter Study of Perioperative Ischemia Research Group (McSPI) and the Ischemia Research Education Foundation (IREF) Investigators.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Cerebral injury after cardiac surgery is now recognized as a serious and costly healthcare problem mandating immediate attention. To effect solution, those subgroups of patients at greatest risk must be identified, thereby allowing efficient implementation of new clinical strategies. No such subgroup has been identified; however, patients undergoing intracardiac surgery are thought to be at high risk, but comprehensive data regarding specific risk, impact on cost, and discharge disposition are not available. METHODS: We prospectively studied 273 patients enrolled from 24 diverse US medical centers, who were undergoing intracardiac and coronary artery surgery. Patient data were collected using standardized methods and included clinical, historical, specialized testing, neurological outcome and autopsy data, and measures of resource utilization. Adverse outcomes were defined a priori and determined after database closure by a blinded independent panel. Stepwise logistic regression models were developed to estimate the relative risks associated with clinical history and intraoperative and postoperative events. RESULTS: Adverse cerebral outcomes occurred in 16% of patients (43/273), being nearly equally divided between type I outcomes (8.4%; 5 cerebral deaths, 16 nonfatal strokes, and 2 new TIAs) and type II outcomes (7.3%; 17 new intellectual deterioration persisting at hospital discharge and 3 newly diagnosed seizures). Associated resource utilization was significantly increased--prolonging median intensive care unit stay from 3 days (no adverse cerebral outcome) to 8 days (type I; P<0.001) and from 3 to 6 days (type II; P<0.001), and increasing hospitalization by 50% (type II, P=0.04) to 100% (type I, P<0.001). Furthermore, specialized care after hospital discharge was frequently necessary in those with type I outcomes, in that only 31% returned home compared with 85% of patients without cerebral complications (P<0.001). Significant risk factors for type I outcomes related primarily to embolic phenomena, including proximal aortic atherosclerosis, intracardiac thrombus, and intermittent clamping of the aorta during surgery. For type II outcomes, risk factors again included proximal aortic atherosclerosis, as well as a preoperative history of endocarditis, alcohol abuse, perioperative dysrhythmia or poorly controlled hypertension, and the development of a low-output state after cardiopulmonary bypass. CONCLUSIONS: These prospective multicenter findings demonstrate that patients undergoing intracardiac surgery combined with coronary revascularization are at formidable risk, in that 1 in 6 will develop cerebral complications that are frequently costly and devastating. Thus, new strategies for perioperative management--including technical and pharmacological interventions--are now mandated for this subgroup of cardiac surgery patients.

The concordance of intraoperative left ventricular wall-motion abnormalities and electrocardiographic S-T segment changes: association with outcome after coronary revascularization. Multicenter Study of Perioperative Ischemia (McSPI) Research Group.

BACKGROUND: Transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) and Holter electrocardiography (ECG) are used to detect intraoperative ischemia during coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG). Concordance of these modalities and sensitivity as indicators of adverse perioperative cardiac outcomes are poorly defined. The authors tried to determine whether routine use of Holter ECG and TEE in patients with CABGs has clinical value in identifying those patients in whom myocardial infarction (MI) is likely to develop. METHODS: A total of 351 patients with CABG and both ECG- and TEE-evaluable data were examined for the occurrence of ischemia and infarction. The TEE and five-lead Holter ECGs were performed continuously during cardiac surgery. The incidence of MI (creatine kinase-MB > or = 100 ng/ml) within 12 h of arrival in the intensive care [ICU] unit, new ECG Q wave on ICU admission or on the morning of postoperative day 1, or both, were recorded. RESULTS: Electrocardiographic or TEE evidence of intraoperative ischemia was present in 126 (36%) patients. The concordance between modalities was poor (positive concordance = 17%; Kappa statistic = 0.13). Myocardial infarction occurred in 62 (17%) patients, and 32 (52%) of them had previous intraoperative ischemia. Of these, 28 (88%) were identified by TEE, whereas 13 (41%) were identified by ECG. Prediction of MI was greater for TEE compared with ECG. CONCLUSIONS: Wall-motion abnormalities detected by TEE are more common than S-T segment changes detected by ECG, and concordance between the two modalities is low. One half of patients with MI had preceding ECG or TEE ischemia. Logistic regression revealed that TEE is twice as predictive as ECG in identifying patients who have MI.

Urine and plasma catecholamine and cortisol concentrations after myocardial revascularization. Modulation by continuous sedation. Multicenter Study of Perioperative Ischemia (McSPI) Research Group, and the Ischemia Research and Education Foundation (IREF).

BACKGROUND: Cardiopulmonary bypass is associated with substantial release of catecholamines and cortisol for 12 or more h. A technique was assessed that may mitigate the responses with continuous 12-h postoperative sedation using propofol. METHODS: One hundred twenty-one patients having primary elective cardiopulmonary bypass graft (CABG) surgery were enrolled in a double-blind, randomized trial and anesthetized using a standardized sufentanil-midazolam regimen. When arriving at the intensive care unit (ICU), patients were randomly assigned to either group SC (standard care), in which intermittent bolus administration of midazolam and morphine were given as required to keep patients comfortable; or group CP (continuous propofol), in which 12 h of continuous postoperative infusion of propofol was titrated to keep patients deeply sedated. Serial perioperative measurements of plasma and urine cortisol, epinephrine, norepinephrine, and dopamine were obtained; heart rate and blood pressure were recorded continuously, and medication use, including requirements for opioids and vasoactive drugs, was recorded. Repeated-measures analysis was used to assess differences between study groups for plasma catecholamine and cortisol levels at each measurement time. RESULTS: In the control state-before the initiation of postoperative sedation in the ICU-no significant differences between study groups were observed for urine or plasma catecholamine or cortisol concentrations. During the ICU study period, for the first 6-8 h, significant differences were found between study groups SC and CP in plasma cortisol (SC = 28 +/- 15 mg/dl; CP = 19 +/- 12 mg/dl; estimated mean difference [EMD] = 9 mg/dl; P = 0.0004), plasma epinephrine (SC = 132 +/- 120 micrograms/ml; CP = 77 +/- 122 micrograms/ml; EMD = 69 micrograms/ml; P = 0.009), urine cortisol (SC = 216 +/- 313 micrograms/ml; CP = 93 +/- 129 micrograms/ml; EMD = 127 micrograms/ml; P = 0.007), urine dopamine (SC = 85 +/- 48 micrograms; CP = 52 +/- 43 micrograms; EMD = 32 micrograms; P = 0.002), urine epinephrine (SC = 7 +/- 8 micrograms; CP = 4 +/- 5 micrograms; EMD = 3 micrograms; P = 0.0009), and urine norepinephrine (SC = 24 +/- 14 mg; CP = 13 +/- 9 mg; EMD = 11 mg; P = 0.0004). Reductions in urine and plasma catecholamine and cortisol concentrations found for the CP group generally persisted during the 12-h propofol infusion period and then rapidly returned toward control (SC group) values after propofol was discontinued. Postoperative opioid use was reduced in the CP group (SC = 97%; CP = 49%; P = 0.001), as was the incidence of tachycardia (SC = 79%; CP = 60%; P = 0.04) and hypertension (SC = 58%; CP = 33%; P = 0.01), but the incidence of hypotension was increased (SC = 49%; CP = 81%; P = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Cardiopulmonary bypass graft surgery is associated with substantial increases in plasma and urine catecholamine and cortisol concentrations, which persist for 12 or more h. This hormonal response may be mitigated by a technique of intensive continuous 12-h postoperative sedation with propofol, which is associated with a decrease in tachycardia and hypertension and an increase in hypotension.

Adverse cerebral outcomes after coronary bypass surgery. Multicenter Study of Perioperative Ischemia Research Group and the Ischemia Research and Education Foundation Investigators.

BACKGROUND: Acute changes in cerebral function after elective coronary bypass surgery is a difficult clinical problem. We carried out a multicenter study to determine the incidence and predictors of -- and the use of resources associated with -- perioperative adverse neurologic events, including cerebral injury. METHODS: In a prospective study, we evaluated 2108 patients from 24 U.S. institutions for two general categories of neurologic outcome: type I (focal injury, or stupor or coma at discharge) and type II (deterioration in intellectual function, memory deficit, or seizures). RESULTS: Adverse cerebral outcomes occurred in 129 patients (6.1 percent). A total of 3.1 percent had type I neurologic outcomes (8 died of cerebral injury, 55 had nonfatal strokes, 2 had transient ischemic attacks, and 1 had stupor), and 3.0 percent had type II outcomes (55 had deterioration of intellectual function and 8 had seizures). Patients with adverse cerebral outcomes had higher in-hospital mortality (21 percent of patients with type I outcomes died, vs. 10 percent of those with type II and 2 percent of those with no adverse cerebral outcome; P<0.001 for all comparisons), longer hospitalization (25 days with type I outcomes, 21 days with type II, and 10 days with no adverse outcome; P<0.001), and a higher rate of discharge to facilities for intermediate- or long-term care (69 percent, 39 percent, and 10 percent ; P<0.001). Predictors of type I outcomes were proximal aortic atherosclerosis, a history of neurologic disease, and older age; predictors of type II outcomes were older age, systolic hypertension on admission, pulmonary disease, and excessive consumption of alcohol. CONCLUSIONS: Adverse cerebral outcomes after coronary bypass surgery are relatively common and serious; they are associated with substantial increases in mortality, length of hospitalization, and use of intermediate- or long-term care facilities. New diagnostic and therapeutic strategies must be developed to lessen such injury.

Multicenter preoperative stroke risk index for patients undergoing coronary artery bypass graft surgery. Multicenter Study of Perioperative Ischemia (McSPI) Research Group.

BACKGROUND: The paradox of present cardiac surgery is that the more elderly and debilitated patients benefit most from cardiac surgery compared with medical therapy, yet they sustain greater overall risk for morbidity and mortality after cardiac surgery. The goal of the present study was to develop a preoperative index predicting major perioperative neurological events in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass graft surgery. METHODS AND RESULTS: As part of a prospective, multicenter, observational study (McSPI Research Group), we enrolled 2417 patients at 24 academic medical centers in the United States. Patients who died intraoperatively or had concomitant open-heart procedures were excluded from analysis, resulting in a total of 2107 for analysis. Sixty-eight patients (3.2%) developed adverse neurological events, defined as cerebrovascular accident, transient ischemic attack (TIA), or persistent coma. Bivariate analysis was applied to determine associations between preoperative variables and neurological events. Significant bivariate predictors were identified then logically grouped, and for each cluster, a score was calculated based on principal components. Key predictor variables were age, history of previous neurological disease, diabetes, history of vascular disease, previous coronary artery surgery, unstable angina, and history of pulmonary disease, the coefficients for which were used to develop a preoperative stroke risk index that was validated by bootstrap (c-index = 0.778). Stroke risk could then be determined for each patient, calculating a patient's risk for stroke within 95% confidence intervals. CONCLUSIONS: With the McSPI stroke risk index developed in this study, neurological risk can be estimated, and the most appropriate group for perioperative therapy can be identified. Further refinement and validation of this index, however, are necessary and are under way in current studies.