Longitudinal associations of reproductive factors and exogeneous estrogens with neuroimaging biomarkers of Alzheimer's disease and cerebrovascular disease.

INTRODUCTION: Female-specific reproductive factors and exogeneous estrogen use are associated with cognition in later life. However, the underlying mechanisms are not understood. The present study aimed to investigate the effect of reproductive factors on neuroimaging biomarkers of Alzheimer's disease (AD) and cerebrovascular pathologies. METHODS: We evaluated 389 females (median age of 71.7 years) enrolled in the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging with reproductive history data and longitudinal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans. We used linear mixed effect models to examine the associations between reproductive factors and changes in neuroimaging measures. RESULTS: Ever hormonal contraception (HC) use was longitudinally associated with higher fractional anisotropy across the corpus callosum, lower white matter hyperintensity (WMH) volume, and greater cortical thickness in an AD meta-region of interest (ROI). The initiation of menopausal hormone therapy (MHT) > 5 years post menopause was associated with higher WMH volume. DISCUSSION: HC use and initiation of MHT >5 years post menopause were generally associated with neuroimaging biomarkers of cerebrovascular pathologies. HIGHLIGHTS: Hormonal contraception use was associated with better brain white matter (WM) integrity. Initiation of menopausal hormone therapy >5 years post menopause was associated with worsening brain WM integrity. Hormonal contraception use was associated with greater cortical thickness. Ages at menarche and menopause and number of pregnancies were not associated with imaging measures. There were few associations between reproductive factors or exogenous estrogens and amyloid or tau PET.

Premenopausal bilateral oophorectomy and brain white matter brain integrity in later-life.

INTRODUCTION: Premenopausal bilateral oophorectomy (PBO) is associated with later-life cognition, but the underlying brain changes remain unclear. We assessed the impact of PBO and PBO age on white matter integrity. METHODS: Female participants with regional diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) metrics of fractional anisotropy (FA) and mean diffusivity (MD) were included (22 with PBO < 40 years; 43 with PBO 40-45 years; 39 with PBO 46-49 years; 907 referents without PBO < 50 years). Linear regression models adjusted for age and apolipoprotein E (APOE) genotype. RESULTS: Females with PBO < 40 years, compared to referents, had lower FA and higher MD in the anterior corona radiata, genu of the corpus collosum, inferior fronto-occipital fasciculus, superior occipital, and superior temporal white matter. Females who underwent PBO between 45 and 49 also had some changes in white matter integrity. DISCUSSION: Females who underwent PBO < 40 years had reduced white matter integrity across multiple regions in later-life. These results are important for females considering PBO for noncancerous conditions. HIGHLIGHTS: Females with premenopausal bilateral oophorectomy (PBO) < 40 years had lower FA versus referents. Females with PBO < 40 years had higher MD in many regions versus referents. Adjusting for estrogen replacement therapy use did not attenuate results. Females with PBO 45-49 years also had some white matter changes versus referents.

Risks and benefits of hormone therapy after menopause for cognitive decline and dementia: A conceptual review.

OBJECTIVE: The effects on the brain of hormone therapy after the onset of menopause remain uncertain. The effects may be beneficial, neutral, or harmful. We provide a conceptual review of the evidence. METHODS: We 1) provide a brief history of the evidence, 2) discuss some of the interpretations of the evidence, 3) discuss the importance of age at menopause, type of menopause, and presence of vasomotor symptoms, and 4) provide some clinical recommendations. RESULTS: The evidence and the beliefs about hormone therapy and dementia have changed over the last 30 years or more. Five recent observation studies suggested that hormone therapy is associated with an increased risk of dementia, and the association appears not to change with the timing of initiation of therapy. These harmful associations may be explained by a causal effect of hormone therapy on the brain or by several confounding mechanisms. We suggest that the use of hormone therapy should be customized for different subgroups of women. It may be important to subgroup women based on age at onset of menopause, type of menopause, and presence or absence of vasomotor symptoms. In addition, the effects may vary by type, dose, route, and duration of administration of estrogens and by the concurrent use of progestogens. DISCUSSION: The relation of hormone therapy with the risk of dementia is complex. Hormone therapy may have beneficial, neutral, or harmful effects on the brain. Hormone therapy should be guided by the clinical characteristics of the women being treated.

Abdominal Body Composition Reference Ranges and Association With Chronic Conditions in an Age- and Sex-Stratified Representative Sample of a Geographically Defined American Population.

BACKGROUND: Body composition can be accurately quantified from abdominal computed tomography (CT) exams and is a predictor for the development of aging-related conditions and for mortality. However, reference ranges for CT-derived body composition measures of obesity, sarcopenia, and bone loss have yet to be defined in the general population. METHODS: We identified a population-representative sample of 4 900 persons aged 20 to 89 years who underwent an abdominal CT exam from 2010 to 2020. The sample was constructed using propensity score matching an age and sex stratified sample of persons residing in the 27-county region of Southern Minnesota and Western Wisconsin. The matching included race, ethnicity, education level, region of residence, and the presence of 20 chronic conditions. We used a validated deep learning based algorithm to calculate subcutaneous adipose tissue area, visceral adipose tissue area, skeletal muscle area, skeletal muscle density, vertebral bone area, and vertebral bone density from a CT abdominal section. RESULTS: We report CT-based body composition reference ranges on 4 649 persons representative of our geographic region. Older age was associated with a decrease in skeletal muscle area and density, and an increase in visceral adiposity. All chronic conditions were associated with a statistically significant difference in at least one body composition biomarker. The presence of a chronic condition was generally associated with greater subcutaneous and visceral adiposity, and lower muscle density and vertebrae bone density. CONCLUSIONS: We report reference ranges for CT-based body composition biomarkers in a population-representative cohort of 4 649 persons by age, sex, body mass index, and chronic conditions.

Older Tissue Age Derived From Abdominal Computed Tomography Biomarkers of Muscle, Fat, and Bone Is Associated With Chronic Conditions and Higher Mortality.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether body composition derived from medical imaging may be useful for assessing biologic age at the tissue level because people of the same chronologic age may vary with respect to their biologic age. METHODS: We identified an age- and sex-stratified cohort of 4900 persons with an abdominal computed tomography scan from January 1, 2010, to December 31, 2020, who were 20 to 89 years old and representative of the general population in Southeast Minnesota and West Central Wisconsin. We constructed a model for estimating tissue age that included 6 body composition biomarkers calculated from abdominal computed tomography using a previously validated deep learning model. RESULTS: Older tissue age associated with intermediate subcutaneous fat area, higher visceral fat area, lower muscle area, lower muscle density, higher bone area, and lower bone density. A tissue age older than chronologic age was associated with chronic conditions that result in reduced physical fitness (including chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, arthritis, cardiovascular disease, and behavioral disorders). Furthermore, a tissue age older than chronologic age was associated with an increased risk of death (hazard ratio, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.33 to 1.84) that was independent of demographic characteristics, county of residency, education, body mass index, and baseline chronic conditions. CONCLUSION: Imaging-based body composition measures may be useful in understanding the biologic processes underlying accelerated aging.

Risk and sex-specific trends of dementia and stroke in Italy Compared to European and high-income countries and the world: global implications.

BACKGROUND: Understanding the increasing trends in Italy may inform new prevention strategies and better treatments. We investigated trends and risk factors of dementia, stroke, and ischemic heart disease (IHD) in Italy with the second-oldest population globally, compared to European and high-income countries and the world. METHODS: We analyzed the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019 estimates on incidence and burden (i.e., disability and death combined) of the three conditions in both sexes. We also analyzed the burden attributable to 12 modifiable risk factors and their changes during 1990-2019. RESULTS: In 2019, Italy had 186,108 new dementias (123,885 women) and 94,074 new strokes (53,572 women). Women had 98% higher crude dementia and 24% higher crude stroke burdens than men. The average age-standardized new dementia rate was 114.7 per 100,000 women and 88.4 per 100,000 men, both higher than Western Europe, the European Union, high-income countries, and the world. During 1990-2019, this rate increased in both sexes (4%), despite a decline in stroke (- 45%) and IHD (- 17%) in Italy. Dementia burden attributable to tobacco decreased in both sexes (- 12.7%) during 1990-2019, while high blood glucose and high body mass index combined burden increased (25.4%). Stroke and IHD had similar trends. CONCLUSIONS: While decreases in new strokes and IHDs are encouraging, new approaches to their joint prevention are required to reverse the rising dementia trends, especially among women. Life course approaches to promoting holistic brain health should be implemented at the community, national, and international levels before the growing trends become overwhelming.

Associations of reproductive factors and exogenous estrogens with global and domain-specific cognition in later life.

INTRODUCTION: Few studies have comprehensively examined the impact of reproductive factors (i.e., reproductive window, parity, hormonal contraception [HC], and menopausal hormone therapy [MHT]) on global and domain-specific cognition in later life. METHODS: We studied a population-based sample of 2458 women (median age 74.2 years) residing in Olmsted County, Minnesota; participants underwent a clinical evaluation and comprehensive cognitive testing. RESULTS: The length of a woman's reproductive window was not associated with cognition. Higher parity was associated with greater cognitive decline in all domains. Ever HC use was associated with less decline in all domains. Ever MHT use was associated with greater decline in global cognition and all domain-specific z-scores except visuospatial; results were driven by women who initiated MHT 5 or more years after menopause. Additional adjustments for APOE and vascular-related covariates did not attenuate the results. DISCUSSION: Multiple reproductive risk factors are associated with cognitive decline in later life. HIGHLIGHTS: The length of a woman's reproductive window was not associated with cognition longitudinally. Greater parity was associated with greater cognitive decline longitudinally. Ever HC use was associated with less decline in global cognition and all domain-specific z-scores longitudinally (all p < 0.01). Ever MHT use was associated with greater decline in global cognition and all domain-specific z-scores except visuospatial longitudinally (all p < 0.01). The greatest cognitive decline was among women who initiated MHT more than 5 years after menopause.

Risk of dementia and psychiatric or sleep disorders after diagnosis of adrenal adenomas: a population-based cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Adrenal adenomas are commonly encountered in clinical practice. To date, population-based data on their impact on cognition, mental health, and sleep are lacking. We aimed to study possible associations between adrenal adenomas and dementia, psychiatric or sleep disorders. DESIGN: Population-based cohort study, Olmsted County, MN, 1995-2017. METHODS: Patients with adrenal adenoma and absent overt hormone excess were age- and sex-matched 1:1 to a referent person without adrenal adenoma. Outcomes were baseline and incident diagnoses of dementia, psychiatric or sleep disorders, assessed using ICD codes. RESULTS: Of 1004 patients with adrenal adenomas, 582 (58%) were women, and median age at diagnosis was 63 years. At baseline, and after adjusting for age, sex, education, BMI, and tobacco use, patients with adenoma had higher odds of depression (adjusted odds ratio, aOR: 1.3, 95% CI, 1.1-1.6), anxiety (aOR: 1.4, 95% CI, 1.1-1.8), and substance abuse (aOR: 2.4, 95% CI, 1.7-3.4) compared to referents. During a median follow-up of 6.8 years, and after adjusting for age, sex, socioeconomic status, BMI, tobacco, and substance abuse, patients demonstrated a higher risk of psychiatric and sleep disorders [adjusted hazard ratio (95% CI)]: depression [1.7 (1.3-2.2)], anxiety [1.4, CI (1.1-1.7)], insomnia [1.4 (1.0-1.9)], sleep-related breathing disorders [1.5 (1.1-1.9)], hypersomnias [2.1 (1.0-4.2)], parasomnias [2.1 (1.0-4.2)], and sleep-related movement disorders [1.5 (1.0-2.1)], but not dementia. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with adenomas demonstrate a higher incidence of psychiatric and sleep disorders, possibly due to the underlying subtle increase in cortisol secretion.

Biomarkers of cellular senescence and risk of death in humans.

A robust and heterogenous secretory phenotype is a core feature of most senescent cells. In addition to mediators of age-related pathology, components of the senescence associated secretory phenotype (SASP) have been studied as biomarkers of senescent cell burden and, in turn, biological age. Therefore, we hypothesized that circulating concentrations of candidate senescence biomarkers, including chemokines, cytokines, matrix remodeling proteins, and growth factors, could predict mortality in older adults. We assessed associations between plasma levels of 28 SASP proteins and risk of mortality over a median follow-up of 6.3 years in 1923 patients 65 years of age or older with zero or one chronic condition at baseline. Overall, the five senescence biomarkers most strongly associated with an increased risk of death were GDF15, RAGE, VEGFA, PARC, and MMP2, after adjusting for age, sex, race, and the presence of one chronic condition. The combination of biomarkers and clinical and demographic covariates exhibited a significantly higher c-statistic for risk of death (0.79, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.76-0.82) than the covariates alone (0.70, CI: 0.67-0.74) (p < 0.001). Collectively, these findings lend further support to biomarkers of cellular senescence as informative predictors of clinically important health outcomes in older adults, including death.

Long-term effects of premenopausal bilateral oophorectomy with or without hysterectomy on physical aging and chronic medical conditions.

OBJECTIVE: We examined the long-term effects of premenopausal bilateral oophorectomy (PBO) with or without concurrent or preceding hysterectomy on physical and cognitive function and on odds of chronic conditions. METHODS: We enrolled 274 women with PBO with or without concurrent or preceding hysterectomy and 240 referents aged 55 years and older who were residents of Olmsted County, MN as of the PBO or index date. Chronic conditions were assessed via medical record abstraction. Cognitive diagnoses were based on neurocognitive testing. A physical function assessment included measures of strength and mobility. Multivariable regression models compared characteristics for women with PBO <46 years, PBO 46-49 years, and referent women with adjustments for age and other confounders. RESULTS: The clinical visits (median age, 67 years) were a median of 22 years after the PBO or index date. Of 274 women with PBO, 161 (59%) were <46 years at PBO and 113 (41%) were 46-49 years. Compared with referents, women with a history of PBO <46 years had increased odds of arthritis (odds ratio [OR], 1.64; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.06-2.55), asthma (OR, 1.74; 95% CI, 1.03-2.93), obstructive sleep apnea (OR, 2.00; 95% CI, 1.23-3.26), and bone fractures (OR, 2.86; 95% CI, 1.17-6.98), and walked a shorter mean distance on a 6-minute walk test ( b = -18.43; P = 0.034). Compared with referents, women with a history of PBO at age 46-49 years had increased odds of arthritis (OR, 1.92; 95% CI, 1.16-3.18) and obstructive sleep apnea (OR, 2.21; 95% CI, 1.33-3.66). There were no significant differences in cognitive status in women with PBO compared with referents. CONCLUSIONS: Women with a history of PBO with or without concurrent or preceding hysterectomy, especially at age <46 years, have more chronic conditions in late mid-life compared with referents.

Identification of delirium from real-world electronic health record clinical notes.

Introduction: We tested the ability of our natural language processing (NLP) algorithm to identify delirium episodes in a large-scale study using real-world clinical notes. Methods: We used the Rochester Epidemiology Project to identify persons ≥ 65 years who were hospitalized between 2011 and 2017. We identified all persons with an International Classification of Diseases code for delirium within ±14 days of a hospitalization. We independently applied our NLP algorithm to all clinical notes for this same population. We calculated rates using number of delirium episodes as the numerator and number of hospitalizations as the denominator. Rates were estimated overall, by demographic characteristics, and by year of episode, and differences were tested using Poisson regression. Results: In total, 14,255 persons had 37,554 hospitalizations between 2011 and 2017. The code-based delirium rate was 3.02 per 100 hospitalizations (95% CI: 2.85, 3.20). The NLP-based rate was 7.36 per 100 (95% CI: 7.09, 7.64). Rates increased with age (both p < 0.0001). Code-based rates were higher in men compared to women (p = 0.03), but NLP-based rates were similar by sex (p = 0.89). Code-based rates were similar by race and ethnicity, but NLP-based rates were higher in the White population compared to the Black and Asian populations (p = 0.001). Both types of rates increased significantly over time (both p values < 0.001). Conclusions: The NLP algorithm identified more delirium episodes compared to the ICD code method. However, NLP may still underestimate delirium cases because of limitations in real-world clinical notes, including incomplete documentation, practice changes over time, and missing clinical notes in some time periods.

Association Between Fluctuations in Blood Lipid Levels Over Time With Incident Alzheimer Disease and Alzheimer Disease-Related Dementias.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Prevention strategies for Alzheimer disease and Alzheimer disease-related dementias (AD/ADRDs) are urgently needed. Lipid variability, or fluctuations in blood lipid levels at different points in time, has not been examined extensively and may contribute to the risk of AD/ADRD. Lipid panels are a part of routine screening in clinical practice and routinely available in electronic health records (EHR). Thus, in a large geographically defined population-based cohort, we investigated the variation of multiple lipid types and their association to the development of AD/ADRD. METHODS: All residents living in Olmsted County, Minnesota on the index date January 1, 2006, aged 60 years or older without an AD/ADRD diagnosis were identified. Persons with ≥3 lipid measurements including total cholesterol, triglycerides, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), or high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) in the 5 years before index date were included. Lipid variation was defined as any change in individual's lipid levels over time regardless of direction and was measured using variability independent of the mean (VIM). Associations between lipid variation quintiles and incident AD/ADRD were assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression. Participants were followed through 2018 for incident AD/ADRD. RESULTS: The final analysis included 11,571 participants (mean age 71 years; 54% female). Median follow-up was 12.9 years with 2,473 incident AD/ADRD cases. After adjustment for confounding variables including sex, race, baseline lipid measurements, education, BMI, and lipid-lowering treatment, participants in the highest quintile of total cholesterol variability had a 19% increased risk of incident AD/ADRD, and those in highest quintile of triglycerides, variability had a 23% increased risk. DISCUSSION: In a large EHR derived cohort, those in the highest quintile of variability for total cholesterol and triglyceride levels had an increased risk of incident AD/ADRD. Further studies to identify the mechanisms behind this association are needed.

Smoking, early menopause and multiple sclerosis disease course.

Smoking is associated with an increased risk of multiple sclerosis (MS), and smoking and early menopause are related to poor outcomes in MS. Smoking is also associated with early menopause. To explore this intricate relationship between smoking status, age at menopause and disease course in MS, 137 women with MS and 396 age-matched controls were included in this case-control study. Age at menopause (median 49.0 vs. 50.0 years; p = 0.79) and smoking status (40.3% vs. 47.6%; p = 0.15) were similar among MS and control women. Relapsing MS onset was earlier in ever-smoker women with early menopause compared to the rest of the women (median 30.4 vs. 37.0 years; p = 0.02) and also compared to ever-smoker women with normal age at menopause (median 30.4 vs. 41.0 years; p = 0.008) and never-smoker women with early menopause (median 30.4 vs. 41.5 years; p = 0.004). Progressive MS onset was also earlier in ever-smoker women with early menopause compared to ever-smoker women with normal age at menopause (median 41.1 vs. 49.4 years; p = 0.05) and never-smoker women with early menopause (median 41.1 vs. 50.1 years; p = 0.12). Our results suggest that smoking and menopause associate with MS disease course, including the onset of relapsing and progressive MS in women.

Cohort study examining associations between ceramide levels and risk of multimorbidity among persons participating in the Mayo Clinic Biobank.

OBJECTIVE: Ceramides have been associated with several ageing-related conditions but have not been studied as a general biomarker of multimorbidity (MM). Therefore, we determined whether ceramide levels are associated with the rapid development of MM. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Mayo Clinic Biobank. PARTICIPANTS: 1809 persons in the Mayo Clinic Biobank ≥65 years without MM at the time of enrolment, and with ceramide levels assayed from stored plasma. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE: Persons were followed for a median of 5.7 years through their medical records to identify new diagnoses of 20 chronic conditions. The number of new conditions was divided by the person-years of follow-up to calculate the rate of accumulation of new chronic conditions. RESULTS: Higher levels of C18:0 and C20:0 were associated with a more rapid rate of accumulation of chronic conditions (C18:0 z score RR: 1.30, 95% CI: 1.10 to 1.53; C20:0 z score RR: 1.26, 95% CI: 1.07 to 1.49). Higher C18:0 and C20:0 levels were also associated with an increased risk of hypertension and coronary artery disease. CONCLUSIONS: C18:0 and C20:0 were associated with an increased risk of cardiometabolic conditions. When combined with biomarkers specific to other diseases of ageing, these ceramides may be a useful component of a biomarker panel for predicting accelerated ageing.

Association of Hypertensive Disorders of Pregnancy With Cognition in Later Life.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Studies of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP), including gestational or chronic hypertension (GH/CH) and preeclampsia/eclampsia (PE/E), suggest associations with early-life and mid-life cognition but have been limited by self-report or use of diagnostic codes, exclusion of nulliparous women, and lack of measurement of cognition in later life. We examined the effects of any HDP, GH/CH, PE/E, and nulliparity on cognition in later life. METHODS: Participants included 2,239 women (median age 73) enrolled in the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging with medical record-abstracted pregnancy information. A cognitive battery of 9 tests was conducted every 15 months. Global cognitive and domain-specific z scores (memory, executive/attention, visuospatial, and language) were outcomes. Linear mixed-effect models evaluated associations between pregnancy history (all normotensive, any HPD, HPD subtype [GH/CH, PE/E], or nulliparous) and cognitive decline, adjusting for age and education. Additional models adjusted for APOE, smoking, hypertension, dyslipidemia, body mass index (BMI), diabetes, stroke, and heart disease. Interactions between pregnancy history and age or education on cognitive performance were examined. RESULTS: Of the 2,239 women, 1,854 (82.8%) had at least 1 pregnancy (1,607 all normotensive, 100 GH/CH, and 147 PE/E); 385 (17.2%) were nulliparous. Cognitive performance did not cross-sectionally differ for women with a history of any HDP, GH/CH, or PE/E vs women with a history of all normotensive pregnancies; women who were nulliparous had lower global and domain-specific cognition (all p < 0.05) in age- and education-adjusted models. There was an interaction (p = 0.015) between nulliparity and education such that the lower cognitive performance was most pronounced among nulliparous women with ≤12 years of education (beta = -0.42, p < 0.001) vs 12 + years (b = -0.11, p = 0.049). Longitudinally, women with any HDP had greater declines in global cognition and attention/executive z scores compared with women with all normotensive pregnancies. When stratified by HDP type, only women with PE/E had greater declines in global cognition (beta = -0.04, p < 0.001), language (beta = -0.03, p = 0.001), and attention (beta = -0.04, p < 0.001) z scores. Adjustment for vascular risk factors, BMI, smoking, and APOE did not attenuate results. DISCUSSION: Women with a history of HDP, especially PE/E, are at greater risk of cognitive decline in later life.

Integrating Environmental Data with Medical Data in a Records-Linkage System to Explore Groundwater Nitrogen Levels and Child Health Outcomes.

Background: The Rochester Epidemiology Project (REP) medical records-linkage system offers a unique opportunity to integrate medical and residency data with existing environmental data, to estimate individual-level exposures. Our primary aim was to provide an archetype of this integration. Our secondary aim was to explore the association between groundwater inorganic nitrogen concentration and adverse child and adolescent health outcomes. Methods: We conducted a nested case-control study in children, aged seven to eighteen, from six counties of southeastern Minnesota. Groundwater inorganic nitrogen concentration data were interpolated, to estimate exposure across our study region. Residency data were then overlaid, to estimate individual-level exposure for our entire study population (n = 29,270). Clinical classification software sets of diagnostic codes were used to determine the presence of 21 clinical conditions. Regression models were adjusted for age, sex, race, and rurality. Results: The analyses support further investigation of associations between nitrogen concentration and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and bronchiectasis (OR: 2.38, CI: 1.64-3.46) among boys and girls, thyroid disorders (OR: 1.44, CI: 1.05-1.99) and suicide and intentional self-inflicted injury (OR: 1.37, CI: >1.00-1.87) among girls, and attention deficit conduct and disruptive behavior disorders (OR: 1.34, CI: 1.24-1.46) among boys. Conclusions: Investigators with environmental health research questions should leverage the well-enumerated population and residency data in the REP.

Synergistic interactions of obesity with sex, education, and smoking and accumulation of multi-morbidity (MM) across the lifespan.

Objectives: Obesity is a potentially modifiable risk factor that has been consistently associated with the development and progression of multi-morbidity (MM). However, obesity may be more problematic for some persons compared to others because of interactions with other risk factors. Therefore, we studied the effect of interactions between patient characteristics and overweight and obesity on the rate of accumulation of MM. Methods: We studied 4 cohorts of persons ages 20-, 40-, 60-, and 80-years residing in Olmsted County, Minnesota between 2005 and 2014 using the Rochester Epidemiology Project (REP) medical records-linkage system. Body mass index, sex, race, ethnicity, education, and smoking status were extracted from REP indices. The rate of accumulation of MM was calculated as the number of new chronic conditions accumulated per 10 person years through 2017. Poisson rate regression models were used to identify associations between characteristics and rate of MM accumulation. Additive interactions were summarized using relative excess risk due to interaction, attributable proportion of disease, and the synergy index. Results: Greater than additive synergistic associations were observed between female sex and obesity in the 20- and 40-year cohorts, between low education and obesity in the 20-year cohort (both sexes), and between smoking and obesity in the 40-year cohort (both sexes). Conclusions: Interventions targeted at women, persons with lower education, and smokers who also have obesity may result in the greatest reduction in the rate of MM accumulation. However, interventions may need to focus on persons prior to mid-life to have the greatest effect.

Frequency and type of premature or early menopause in a geographically defined American population.

OBJECTIVE: There is limited information on the prevalence of premature and early menopause. Therefore, we studied the frequency and type of premature (age < 40 years) or early (age 40-44 years) menopause in a geographically-defined American population. METHODS: We studied a random sample of women aged 18 to 50 years who resided in Olmsted County, MN between 1988 and 2007. Women were followed through December 2021, and age at cessation of menses was assessed via review of the medical records included in a medical records-linkage system. Menopause was defined as cessation of menses due to spontaneous or induced ovarian insufficiency. RESULTS: 1015 women (71.3 %) underwent spontaneous menopause, 138 (9.7 %) underwent bilateral oophorectomy, 17 (1.2 %) had antecedent chemotherapy or radiation therapy, and 254 (17.8 %) underwent hysterectomy or endometrial ablation. The median age at cessation of menses was 51.0 years (IQR, 49.0-52.0) for spontaneous menopause, 46.0 years (IQR, 41.0-49.0) for menopause induced by oophorectomy, chemotherapy, or radiation therapy, and 38.0 years (IQR, 33.0-44.0) for hysterectomy. Considering both spontaneous and induced menopause, the frequency was 3.1 % (95 % CI, 2.2-4.2) for premature and 6.2 % (95 % CI, 5.0-7.8) for early menopause. Considering only spontaneous menopause, the frequency reduced to 0.4 % (95 % CI, 0.2-1.0) for premature and 5.2 % (95 % CI, 4.0-6.8) for early menopause. However, considering all types of cessations of menses, the frequency was 12.2 % (95 % CI, 10.6-14.0) for premature and 9.7 % (95 % CI, 8.3-11.3) for early cessation of menses. DISCUSSION: Approximately 3 % of women in the general population experienced either spontaneous or induced premature menopause. The most common cause of premature menopause was bilateral oophorectomy.

Convergence of four measures of multi-morbidity.

Objectives: To compare the agreement between percentile ranks from 4 multi-morbidity scores. Design: Population-based descriptive study. Setting: Olmsted County, Minnesota (USA). Participants: We used the medical records-linkage system of the Rochester Epidemiology Project (REP; http://www.rochesterproject.org) to identify all residents of Olmsted County, Minnesota who reached one or more birthdays between 1 January 2005 and 31 December 2014 (10 years). Methods: For each person, we calculated 4 multi-morbidity scores using readily available diagnostic code lists from the US Department of Health and Human Services, the Clinical Classifications Software, and the Elixhauser Comorbidity Index. We calculated scores using diagnostic codes received in the 5 years before the index birthday and fit quantile regression models across age and separately by sex to transform unweighted, simple counts of conditions into percentile ranks as compared to peers of same age and of same sex. We compared the percentile ranks of the 4 multi-morbidity scores using intra-class correlation coefficients (ICCs). Results: We assessed agreement in 181,553 persons who reached a total of 1,075,433 birthdays at ages 18 years through 85 years during the study period. In general, the percentile ranks of the 4 multi-morbidity scores exhibited high levels of agreement in 6 score-to-score pairwise comparisons. The agreement increased with older age for all pairwise comparisons, and ICCs were consistently greater than 0.65 at ages 50 years and older. Conclusions: The assignment of percentile ranks may be a simple and intuitive way to assess the underlying trait of multi-morbidity across studies that use different measures.