Inflammation on the Waiting List Is a Risk Factor for New-Onset Prediabetes and Post-Transplant Diabetes Mellitus: A Prospective Study.

INTRODUCTION: Inflammation is a risk factor for diabetes in the general population. The role of inflammation in prediabetes or post-transplant diabetes mellitus (PTDM) is not clear. We evaluated the association between inflammatory markers in patients on the waiting list for renal transplantation and the onset of prediabetes and PTDM 12 months after transplantation. METHODS: This is a post hoc analysis of a prospective study that included nondiabetic patients on the waiting list for kidney transplantation who underwent an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) and were followed up to 12 months after transplantation. At this time, those patients without PTDM underwent another OGTT. At pre-transplantation, five cytokines: TNFα, IL6, IL1ß, CRP, MCP1 were determined. The association between inflammation and prediabetes/PTDM was evaluated using multiple regression models. RESULTS: 110 patients on the waiting list were enrolled: 74 had normal glucose metabolism and 36 had prediabetes or occult diabetes. At 12 months, 53 patients had normal glucose metabolism, 25 prediabetes, and 32 PTDM. In multiple regression analysis, pre-transplant inflammation was not a risk factor for prediabetes or PTDM. This was attributed to the high interrelation between obesity, prediabetes, and inflammation: about 75% of the cases had these conditions. In a sub-analysis, we analyzed only patients without prediabetes and occult diabetes on the waiting list and found that TNFα levels and BMI at pre-transplantation were independently associated with the onset of prediabetes or PTDM 1 year after transplantation. CONCLUSIONS: Pre-transplant inflammation and BMI are risk factors for prediabetes and PTDM in patients without glucose metabolism alterations.

Pretransplant evaluation and the risk of glucose metabolic alterations after renal transplantation: a prospective study.

BACKGROUND: Post-transplant prediabetes (PreDM) and diabetes (PTDM) are common and have an impact on cardiovascular events. We sought to investigate the pathogenesis and best approach for prediction. METHODS: We prospectively studied 115 waitlisted patients from a single center without manifest diabetes. An oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) was performed yearly until transplantation and 12 months later. Insulin secretion, insulin sensitivity (IS) and disposition index (DI) were derived from the OGTT. RESULTS: PreDM and PTDM were observed in 27% and 28.6% of patients, respectively. Pretransplant age, body mass index (BMI), 120 min glucose, IS, DI, and prediabetes or undiagnosed diabetes were significantly associated with these alterations. In multivariate analysis, pretransplant age [odds ratio (OR) 1.5; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.04-2.1], BMI (OR 1.16; 95% CI 1.04-1.3) and cumulative steroids (OR 1.5; 95% CI 1.02-2.2) were predictors of PreDM or PTDM. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed that pretransplant BMI and 120 min glucose had the highest area under the curve (0.72; 95% CI 0.62-0.8; and 0.69; 95% CI 0.59-0.79, respectively). The highest discrimination cut-off for BMI (≥28.5 kg/m2) and 120 min glucose (≥123.5 mg/dL) yielded a similar number needed to diagnose (2.5). CONCLUSIONS: PreDM or PTDM develops in waitlisted patients with an ineffective insulin secretion and BMI shows a similar diagnostic capacity to OGTT. Pretransplant interventions may reduce post-transplant glucose alterations.