Incorporation of healthy volunteers data on receptor occupancy into a phase II proof-of-concept trial using a Bayesian dynamic borrowing design.

Receptor occupancy in targeted tissues measures the proportion of receptors occupied by a drug at equilibrium and is sometimes used as a surrogate of drug efficacy to inform dose selection in clinical trials. We propose to incorporate data on receptor occupancy from a phase I study in healthy volunteers into a phase II proof-of-concept study in patients, with the objective of using all the available evidence to make informed decisions. A minimal physiologically based pharmacokinetic modeling is used to model receptor occupancy in healthy volunteers and to predict it in the patients of a phase II proof-of-concept study, taking into account the variability of the population parameters and the specific differences arising from the pathological condition compared to healthy volunteers. Then, given an estimated relationship between receptor occupancy and the clinical endpoint, an informative prior distribution is derived for the clinical endpoint in both the treatment and control arms of the phase II study. These distributions are incorporated into a Bayesian dynamic borrowing design to supplement concurrent phase II trial data. A simulation study in immuno-inflammation demonstrates that the proposed design increases the power of the study while maintaining a type I error at acceptable levels for realistic values of the clinical endpoint.

Conditional Non-parametric Bootstrap for Non-linear Mixed Effect Models.

PURPOSE: Non-linear mixed effect models are widely used and increasingly integrated into decision-making processes. Propagating uncertainty is an important element of this process, and while standard errors (SE) on pa- rameters are most often computed using asymptotic approaches, alternative methods such as the bootstrap are also available. In this article, we propose a modified residual parametric bootstrap taking into account the different levels of variability involved in these models. METHODS: The proposed approach uses samples from the individual conditional distribution, and was implemented in R using the saemix algorithm. We performed a simulation study to assess its performance in different scenarios, comparing it to the asymptotic approximation and to standard bootstraps in terms of coverage, also looking at bias in the parameters and their SE. RESULTS: Simulations with an Emax model with different designs and sigmoidicity factors showed a similar coverage rate to the parametric bootstrap, while requiring less hypotheses. Bootstrap improved coverage in several scenarios compared to the asymptotic method especially for the variance param-eters. However, all bootstraps were sensitive to estimation bias in the original datasets. CONCLUSIONS: The conditional bootstrap provided better coverage rate than the traditional residual bootstrap, while preserving the structure of the data generating process.

Pharmacokinetic evaluation of vigabatrin dose for the treatment of refractory focal seizures in children using adult and pediatric data.

Vigabatrin is indicated as adjunctive therapy for refractory focal seizures. For children, European recommendations indicate maintenance doses varying from 30 to 100 mg/kg/day for this indication. Since cumulated dose was associated with retinal toxicity, it is essential to administrate the lowest effective dose to patients. This work was conducted with the purpose to determine the pediatric doses of vigabatrin that allow a similar exposure than effective doses in adults (2-3 g/day) through a pharmacokinetic (PK) study, using both pediatric and adult data. For this study, we focused on the active S(+) enantiomer of vigabatrin. First, the adult effective exposition range of vigabatrin-S was determined from an adult PK model. Then, this same model was scaled to the pediatric population using allometry and maturation principles to account for growth and development. The ability of the model to predict pediatric data was assessed by comparing population predictions with observed pediatric data. Finally, the extrapolated pediatric model was used to simulate pediatric expositions which were compared to the adult exposition range (36.5-77.9 mg.h/L). From those simulations, we determined that, for children aged between 3 months and 18 years, doses between 40 and 50 mg/kg/day allow vigabatrin-S expositions similar to those found in adults at the recommended posology. We proposed those doses as optimal maintenance doses that may be increased, if necessary, by slow titration.

Proposition of a Minimal Effective Dose of Vigabatrin for the Treatment of Infantile Spasms Using Pediatric and Adult Pharmacokinetic Data.

Vigabatrin is an antiepileptic drug indicated as monotherapy in infantile spasms. However, the pharmacokinetic profile of this compound in infants and young children is still poorly understood, as is the minimal effective dose, critical information given the risk of exposure-related retinal toxicity with vigabatrin. A reasonable approach to determining this minimal dose would be to identify the lowest dose providing a low risk of exposure overlap with the 36-mg/kg dose, which is the highest dose associated with an increased risk for treatment failure, based on randomized dose-ranging data. A population pharmacokinetic model was consequently developed from 28 children (aged 0.4-5.7 years) for the active S(+)-enantiomer, using Monolix software. In parallel, a population model was developed from published adult data and scaled to children using theoretical allometry and maturation of the renal function. A one-compartment model with zero-order absorption and first-order elimination described the pediatric data. Mean population estimates (percentage interindividual variability) for the apparent clearance, apparent distribution volume, and absorption duration were 2.36 L/h (24.5%), 17 L (38%), and 0.682 hours, respectively. Apparent clearance and apparent distribution volume were related to body weight by empirical allometric equations. Monte Carlo simulations evidenced that a daily dose of 80 mg/kg should minimize exposure overlap with the 36-mg/kg dose. Similar results were obtained for the adult model scaled to children. Consequently, a minimal effective dose of 80 mg/kg/day could be considered for patients with infantile spasms.

A population pharmacokinetic model taking into account protein binding for the sustained-release granule formulation of valproic acid in children with epilepsy.

PURPOSE: The objective of this work was to develop a population pharmacokinetic model for a prolonged-release granule formulation of valproic acid (VPA) in children with epilepsy and to determine the doses providing a VPA trough concentration (Ctrough) within the target range (50-100 mg/L). METHODS: Ninety-eight children (1-17.6 years, 325 plasma samples) were included in the study. The model was built with NONMEM 7.3. The probability to obtain Ctrough between 50 and 100 mg/L was determined by the Monte Carlo simulations for doses of 20, 30, 40, and 60 mg/kg/day and body weights between 10 and 70 kg. RESULTS: A one compartment model, with first-order absorption and flip-flop parameterization and linear elimination, but taking protein binding into account, was used to describe the data. Typical values for unbound VPA clearance and distribution volume were 6.24 L/h/70 kg and 130 L/h/70 kg respectively. Both parameters were related to body weight via allometric models. The highest probability to obtain a Ctrough within the target range for 10-kg children was obtained with a 40 mg/kg daily dose, whereas daily doses of 30 and 20 mg/kg were found appropriate for 20 to 30- and ≥ 40-kg children respectively. However, for these same doses, the exposure to unbound VPA could differ by 40%. CONCLUSIONS: If the present study supports the current dose recommendations of 20-30 mg/kg/day, except for children under 20 kg, who may need higher doses, it also highlights the need for further research on the pharmacokinetics/pharmacodynamic profile of unbound VPA.

Population Pharmacokinetics of Stiripentol in Paediatric Patients with Dravet Syndrome Treated with Stiripentol, Valproate and Clobazam Combination Therapy.

AIM: The aim of this study was to describe the pharmacokinetics of stiripentol in children with Dravet syndrome and to determine the concentrations of stiripentol achieved in this population for the usual 25 mg/kg twice-daily dose. METHODS: Thirty-five children with epilepsy were included in a prospective population pharmacokinetic study (using MONOLIX software). Four blood samples were drawn per patient. Stiripentol area under the plasma concentration-time curve (AUC) values and trough concentrations were simulated for 7000 theoretical children weighing between 10 and 70 kg for the 25 mg/kg twice-daily dose. RESULTS: The pharmacokinetics of stiripentol was described using a one-compartment model with zero-order absorption and first-order elimination. The apparent clearance (CL/F) and apparent volume of distribution (V d/F) of stiripentol were related to body weight by allometric equations. A dose-dependent non-linearity was also observed with an allometric model relating CL/F to the weight-normalised dose. Mean population estimates (% inter-individual variability) were 4.2 L/h (21%) for CL/F and 82 L (25%) for V d/F. The AUC of stiripentol increased by 300% when body weight increased from 10 to 70 kg. CONCLUSION: This population pharmacokinetic model of stiripentol in children with Dravet syndrome confirmed the dose-dependent non-linearity that has been evidenced in adults. It also supported that a 25 mg/kg twice-daily dose might lead to excessive exposure in children >30 kg, suggesting an eventual dose adjustment during adolescence. CLINICAL TRIAL IDENTIFIER: This study is part of the STIPOP study (EUDRACT number: 2007-001784-30).

Population pharmacokinetics of oxcarbazepine and its monohydroxy derivative in epileptic children.

AIMS: Oxcarbazepine is an antiepileptic drug with an activity mostly due to its monohydroxy derivative metabolite (MHD). A parent-metabolite population pharmacokinetic model in children was developed to evaluate the consistency between the recommended paediatric doses and the reference range for trough concentration (Ctrough ) of MHD (3-35 mg l-1 ). METHODS: A total of 279 plasma samples were obtained from 31 epileptic children (age 2-12 years) after a single dose of oxcarbazepine. Concentration-time data were analysed with Monolix 4.3.2. The probability to obtain Ctrough between 3-35 mg l-1 was determined by Monte Carlo simulations for doses ranging from 10 to 90 mg kg-1  day-1 . RESULTS: A parent-metabolite model with two compartments for oxcarbazepine and one compartment for MHD best described the data. Typical values for oxcarbazepine clearance, central and peripheral distribution volume and distribution clearance were 140 l h-1  70 kg-1 , 337 l 70 kg-1 , 60.7 l and 62.5 l h-1 , respectively. Typical values for MHD clearance and distribution volume were 4.11 l h-1  70 kg-1 and 54.8 l 70 kg-1 respectively. Clearances and distribution volumes of oxcarbazepine and MHD were related to body weight via empirical allometric models. Enzyme-inducing antiepileptic drugs (EIAEDs) increased MHD clearance by 29.3%. Fifty-kg children without EIAEDs may need 20-30 mg kg-1  day-1 instead of the recommended target maintenance dose (30-45 mg kg-1  day-1 ) to obtain Ctrough within the reference range. By contrast, 10-kg children with EIAEDs would need 90 mg kg-1  day-1 instead of the maximum recommended dose of 60 mg kg-1  day-1 . CONCLUSION: This population pharmacokinetic model of oxcarbazepine supports current dose recommendations, except for 10-kg children with concomitant EIAEDs and 50-kg children without EIAEDs.