External validation of the SI2NCAL2C score for outcomes following cerebral venous thrombosis.

OBJECTIVES: Prognostication for cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT) remains difficult. We sought to validate the SI2NCAL2C score in an international cohort. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The SI2NCAL2C score was originally developed to predict poor outcome (modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 3-6) at 6 months, and mortality at 30 days and 1 year using data from the International CVT Consortium. The SI2NCAL2C score uses 9 variables: the absence of any female-sex-specific risk factors, intracerebral hemorrhage, central nervous system infection, focal neurological deficits, coma, age, lower level of hemoglobin, higher level of glucose, and cancer. The ACTION-CVT study was an international retrospective study that enrolled consecutive patients across 27 centers. The poor outcome score was validated using 90-day mRS due to lack of follow-up at the 6-month time-point in the ACTION-CVT cohort. Model performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration plots. Missing data were imputed using the additive regression and predictive mean matching methods. Bootstrapping was performed with 1000 iterations. RESULTS: Mortality data were available for 950 patients and poor outcome data were available for 587 of 1,025 patients enrolled in ACTION-CVT. Compared to the International CVT Consortium, the ACTION-CVT cohort was older, less often female, and with milder clinical presentation. Mortality was 2.5% by 30 days and 6.0% by one year. At 90-days, 16.7% had a poor outcome. The SI2NCAL2C score had an AUC of 0.74 [95% CI 0.69-0.79] for 90-day poor outcome, 0.72 [0.60-0.82] for mortality by 30 days, and 0.82 [0.76-0.88] for mortality by one year. CONCLUSIONS: The SI2NCAL2C score had acceptable to good performance in an international external validation cohort. The SI2NCAL2C score warrants additional validation studies in diverse populations and clinical implementation studies.

Antithrombotic Treatment for Stroke Prevention in Cervical Artery Dissection: The STOP-CAD Study.

BACKGROUND: Small, randomized trials of patients with cervical artery dissection showed conflicting results regarding optimal stroke prevention strategies. We aimed to compare outcomes in patients with cervical artery dissection treated with antiplatelets versus anticoagulation. METHODS: This is a multicenter observational retrospective international study (16 countries, 63 sites) that included patients with cervical artery dissection without major trauma. The exposure was antithrombotic treatment type (anticoagulation versus antiplatelets), and outcomes were subsequent ischemic stroke and major hemorrhage (intracranial or extracranial hemorrhage). We used adjusted Cox regression with inverse probability of treatment weighting to determine associations between anticoagulation and study outcomes within 30 and 180 days. The main analysis used an as-treated crossover approach and only included outcomes occurring with the above treatments. RESULTS: The study included 3636 patients (402 [11.1%] received exclusively anticoagulation and 2453 [67.5%] received exclusively antiplatelets). By day 180, there were 162 new ischemic strokes (4.4%) and 28 major hemorrhages (0.8%); 87.0% of ischemic strokes occurred by day 30. In adjusted Cox regression with inverse probability of treatment weighting, compared with antiplatelet therapy, anticoagulation was associated with a nonsignificantly lower risk of subsequent ischemic stroke by day 30 (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.71 [95% CI, 0.45-1.12]; P=0.145) and by day 180 (adjusted HR, 0.80 [95% CI, 0.28-2.24]; P=0.670). Anticoagulation therapy was not associated with a higher risk of major hemorrhage by day 30 (adjusted HR, 1.39 [95% CI, 0.35-5.45]; P=0.637) but was by day 180 (adjusted HR, 5.56 [95% CI, 1.53-20.13]; P=0.009). In interaction analyses, patients with occlusive dissection had significantly lower ischemic stroke risk with anticoagulation (adjusted HR, 0.40 [95% CI, 0.18-0.88]; Pinteraction=0.009). CONCLUSIONS: Our study does not rule out the benefit of anticoagulation in reducing ischemic stroke risk, particularly in patients with occlusive dissection. If anticoagulation is chosen, it seems reasonable to switch to antiplatelet therapy before 180 days to lower the risk of major bleeding. Large prospective studies are needed to validate our findings.

Sex Differences in Perihematomal Edema Volume and Outcome After Intracerebral Hemorrhage.

BACKGROUND: Although larger hematoma volume is associated with worse outcome after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), the association between perihematomal edema (PHE) volume and outcome remains uncertain, as does the impact of sex on PHE and outcome. Here we aimed to determine whether larger PHE volume is associated with worse outcome and whether PHE volume trajectories differ by sex. METHODS: We conducted a post hoc analysis of the Factor VIIa for Acute Hemorrhagic Stroke Treatment (FAST) trial, which randomized patients with ICH to receive recombinant activated factor VIIa or placebo. Computerized planimetry calculated PHE and ICH volumes on serial computed tomography (CT) scans (at baseline [within 3 h of onset], at 24 h, and at 72 h). Generalized estimating equations examined interactions between sex, CT time points, and FAST treatment arm on PHE and ICH volumes. Mixed and multivariable logistic models examined associations between sex, PHE, and outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 781 patients with supratentorial ICH (mean age 65 years) were included. Compared to women (n = 296), men (n = 485) had similar median ICH (14.9 vs. 13.6 mL, p = 0.053) and PHE volumes (11.1 vs. 10.5 mL, p = 0.56) at baseline but larger ICH and PHE volumes at 24 h (19.0 vs. 14.0 mL, p < 0.001; 22.2 vs. 15.7 mL, p < 0.001) and 72 h (16.0 vs. 11.8 mL, p < 0.001; 28.7 vs. 19.9 mL, p < 0.001). Men had higher absolute early PHE expansion (p < 0.001) and more hematoma expansion (growth ≥ 33% or 6 mL at 24 h, 33% vs. 22%, p < 0.001). An interaction between sex and CT time points on PHE volume (p < 0.001), but not on ICH volume, confirmed a steeper PHE trajectory in men. PHE expansion (per 5 mL, odds radio 1.19, 95% confidence interval 1.10-1.28), but not sex, was associated with poor outcome. CONCLUSIONS: Early PHE expansion and trajectory in men were significantly higher. PHE expansion was associated with poor outcomes independent of sex. Mechanisms leading to sex differences in PHE trajectories merit further investigation.