Identifying factors associated with physical therapy use versus non-use among injured workers with back pain in Washington State.

BACKGROUND: There is little information about predictors of physical therapy (PT) use among injured workers with back pain. The primary objective of this study is to investigate the associations between PT use and baseline factors not routinely captured in workers' compensation (WC) data. METHODS: We conducted a secondary analysis using the Washington State Workers' Compensation Disability Risk Identification Study Cohort, which combines self-reported surveys with claims data from the Washington State Department of Labor and Industries State Fund. Workers with an accepted or provisional WC claim for back injury between June 2002 and April 2004 were eligible. Baseline factors for PT use were selected from six domains (socio-demographic, pain and function, psychosocial, clinical, health behaviors, and employment-related). The outcome was a binary measure for PT use within 1 year of injury. Bivariate and multivariable logistic regression models were conducted to evaluate the associations between PT use and baseline factors. RESULTS: Among the 1370 eligible study participants, we identified 673 (49%) who received at least one PT service. Baseline factors from five of the six domains (all but health behaviors) were associated with PT use, including gender, income, pain and function measures, injury severity rating, catastrophizing, recovery expectations, fear avoidance, mental health score, body mass index, first provider seen for injury, previous injury, and several work-related factors. CONCLUSION: We identify baseline factors that are associated with PT use, which may be useful in addressing disparities in access to care for injured workers with back pain in a WC system.

Mortality with concurrent treatment with gabapentin and opioids among people with spine diagnoses in the U.S. Medicare population: a propensity-matched cohort study.

IMPORTANCE: Given the negative impact of opioid use on population health, prescriptions for alternative pain-relieving medications, including gabapentin, have increased. Concurrent gabapentin and opioid prescriptions are commonly reported in retrospective studies of opioid-related overdose deaths. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether people who filled gabapentin and opioid prescriptions concurrently ('gabapentin + opioids') had greater mortality than those who filled an active control medication (tricyclic antidepressants [TCAs] or duloxetine) and opioids concurrently ('TCAs/duloxetine + opioids'). We hypothesized that people treated with gabapentin + opioids would have higher mortality rates compared to people treated with TCAs/duloxetine + opioids. DESIGN: Propensity score-matched cohort study with an incident user, active control design. The median (maximum) follow-up was 45 (1093) days. SETTING: Population-based. PARTICIPANTS: Medicare beneficiaries with spine-related diagnoses 2017-2019. The primary analysis included those who concurrently (within 30 days) filled at least 1 incident gabapentin + at least 1 opioid or at least 1 incident TCA/duloxetine + at least 1 opioid. EXPOSURES: People treated with gabapentin + opioids (n=67,133) were matched on demographic and clinical factors in a 1:1 ratio to people treated with TCAs/duloxetine + opioids (n=67,133). MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary outcome was mortality at any time. A secondary outcome was occurrence of a major medical complication at any time. RESULTS: Among 134,266 participants (median age 73.4 years; 66.7% female), 2360 died before the end of follow-up. No difference in mortality was observed between groups (adjusted hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for gabapentin + opioids was 0.98 (0.90, 1.06); p=0.63). However, people treated with gabapentin + opioids were at slightly increased risk of a major medical complication (1.02 (1.00, 1.04); p=0.03) compared to those treated with TCAs/duloxetine + opioids. Results were similar in analyses (a) restricted to less than or = 30-day follow-up and (b) that required at least 2 fills of each prescription. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: When treating pain in older adults taking opioids, the addition of gabapentin did not increase mortality risk relative to addition of TCAs or duloxetine. However, providers should be cognizant of a small increased risk of major medical complications among opioid users initiating gabapentin compared to those initiating TCAs or duloxetine.

Is More Always Better? Financially Motivated Therapy and Patient Outcomes in Skilled Nursing Facilities.

OBJECTIVE: To determine if financially motivated therapy in Skilled Nursing Facilities (SNFs) is associated with patient outcomes. DESIGN: Cohort study using 2018 Medicare administrative data. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: 13,949 SNFs in the United States. PARTICIPANTS: 934,677 Medicare Part A patients admitted to SNF for post-acute rehabilitation (N=934,677). INTERVENTIONS: The primary independent variable was an indicator of financially motivated therapy, separate from intensive therapy, known as thresholding, defined as when SNFs provide 10 or fewer minutes of therapy above weekly reimbursement thresholds. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Dichotomous indicators of successful discharge to the community vs institution and functional improvement on measures of transfers, ambulation, or locomotion. Mixed effects models estimated relations between thresholding and community discharge and functional improvement, adjusted for therapy intensity, patient, and facility characteristics. Sensitivity analyses estimated associations between thresholding and outcomes when patients were stratified by therapy volume. RESULTS: Thresholding was associated with a small positive effect on functional improvement (odds ratio 1.07; 95% CI 1.06-1.09) and community discharge (odds ratio 1.03, 95% CI 1.02-1.05). Effect sizes for functional improvement were consistent across patients receiving different volumes of therapy. However, effect sizes for community discharge were largest for patients in low-volume therapy groups (odds ratio 1.27, 95% CI 1.18-1.35). CONCLUSIONS: Patients who experienced thresholding during post-acute SNF stays were slightly more likely to improve in function and successfully discharge to the community, especially for patients receiving lower volumes of therapy. While thresholding is an inefficient and financially motivated practice, results suggest that even small amounts of extra therapy time may have contributed positively to outcomes for patients receiving lower-volume therapy. As therapy volumes decline in SNFs, these results emphasize the importance of Medicare payment policy designed to promote, not disincentivize, potentially beneficial rehabilitation services for patients.

Using the Functional Comorbidity Index with administrative workers' compensation data: Utility, validity, and caveats.

BACKGROUND: Chronic health conditions impact worker outcomes but are challenging to measure using administrative workers' compensation (WC) data. The Functional Comorbidity Index (FCI) was developed to predict functional outcomes in community-based adult populations, but has not been validated for WC settings. We assessed a WC-based FCI (additive index of 18 conditions) for identifying chronic conditions and predicting work outcomes. METHODS: WC data were linked to a prospective survey in Ohio (N = 512) and Washington (N = 2,839). Workers were interviewed 6 weeks and 6 months after work-related injury. Observed prevalence and concordance were calculated; survey data provided the reference standard for WC data. Predictive validity and utility for control of confounding were assessed using 6-month work-related outcomes. RESULTS: The WC-based FCI had high specificity but low sensitivity and was weakly associated with work-related outcomes. The survey-based FCI suggested more comorbidity in the Ohio sample (Ohio mean = 1.38; Washington mean = 1.14), whereas the WC-based FCI suggested more comorbidity in the Washington sample (Ohio mean = 0.10; Washington mean = 0.33). In the confounding assessment, adding the survey-based FCI to the base model moved the state effect estimates slightly toward null (<1% change). However, substituting the WC-based FCI moved the estimate away from null (8.95% change). CONCLUSIONS: The WC-based FCI may be useful for identifying specific subsets of workers with chronic conditions, but less useful for chronic condition prevalence. Using the WC-based FCI cross-state appeared to introduce substantial confounding. We strongly advise caution-including state-specific analyses with a reliable reference standard-before using a WC-based FCI in studies involving multiple states.

Intensity of physical therapy services: Association with work and health outcomes in injured workers with back pain in Washington State.

BACKGROUND: Associations between the intensity of physical therapy (PT) treatments and health outcomes among individuals with back pain have been examined in the general population; however, few studies have explored these associations in injured workers. Our study objective was to examine whether intensity of PT treatments is positively associated with work and health outcomes in injured workers with back pain. METHODS: We conducted a secondary analysis of prospective data collected from the Washington State Workers' Compensation (WC) Disability Risk Identification Study Cohort (D-RISC). D-RISC combined survey results with WC data from the Washington State Department of Labor and Industries. Workers with a State Fund WC claim for back injuries between June 2002 and April 2004 and who received PT services within the first year of injury were eligible. Intensity of PT treatment was measured as the type and amount of PT services within 28 days from the first PT visit. Outcome measures included work disability and self-reported measures for working for pay, pain intensity, and functional status at 1-year follow-up. We conducted linear and logistic regression models to test associations. RESULTS: We identified 662 eligible workers. In adjusted models, although the intensity of PT treatment was not significantly associated with work disability at 1-year follow-up, it was associated with lower odds of working for pay, decreased pain intensity, and improved functional status. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that there may be small benefits from receiving active PT, manual therapy, and frequent PT treatments within 28 days of initiating PT care.

Some But Not Too Much: Multiparticipant Therapy and Positive Patient Outcomes in Skilled Nursing Facilities.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Physical and occupational therapy practices in skilled nursing facilities (SNFs) were greatly impacted by the 2019 Medicare Patient-Driven Payment Model (PDPM). Under the PDPM, the practice of multiparticipant therapy-treating more than one patient per therapy provider per session-increased in SNFs, but it is unknown how substituting multiparticipant therapy for individualized therapy may impact patient outcomes. This cross-sectional study establishes baseline relationships between multiparticipant therapy and patient outcomes using pre-PDPM data. METHODS: We used Minimum Data Set assessments from all short-term Medicare fee-for-service SNF stays in 2018. Using generalized mixed-effects logistic regression adjusted for therapy volume and patient factors, we examined associations between the proportion of minutes of physical and occupational therapy that were received as multiparticipant sessions during the SNF stay and 2 outcomes: community discharge and functional improvement. Multiparticipant therapy minutes as a proportion of total therapy time were categorized as none, low (below the median of 5%), medium (median to <25%), and high (≥25%) to reflect the 25% multiparticipant therapy limit required by the PDPM. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: We included 901 544 patients with complete data for functional improvement and 912 996 for the discharge outcome. Compared with patients receiving no multiparticipant therapy, adjusted models found small positive associations between low and medium multiparticipant therapy levels and outcomes. Patients receiving low levels of multiparticipant therapy had 14% higher odds of improving in function (95% CI 1.09-1.19) and 10% higher odds of community discharge (95% CI 1.05-1.15). Patients receiving medium levels of multiparticipant therapy had 18% higher odds of functional improvement (95% CI 1.13-1.24) and 44% higher odds of community discharge (95% CI 1.34-1.55). However, associations disappeared with high levels of multiparticipant therapy. CONCLUSIONS: Prior to the PDPM, providing up to 25% multiparticipant therapy was an efficient strategy for SNFs that may have also benefitted patients. As positive associations disappeared with high levels (≥25%) of multiparticipant therapy, it may be best to continue delivering the majority of therapy in SNFs as individualized treatment.

The Lumbar Stenosis Prognostic Subgroups for Personalizing Care and Treatment (PROSPECTS) study: protocol for an inception cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Lumbar spinal stenosis (LSS) is a common degenerative condition that contributes to back and back-related leg pain in older adults. Most patients with symptomatic LSS initially receive non-operative care before surgical consultation. However, there is a scarcity of data regarding prognosis for patients seeking non-surgical care. The overall goal of this project is to develop and evaluate a clinically useful model to predict long-term physical function of patients initiating non-surgical care for symptomatic LSS. METHODS: This is a protocol for an inception cohort study of adults 50 years and older who are initiating non-surgical care for symptomatic LSS in a secondary care setting. We plan to recruit up to 625 patients at two study sites. We exclude patients with prior lumbar spine surgeries or those who are planning on lumbar spine surgery. We also exclude patients with serious medical conditions that have back pain as a symptom or limit walking. We are using weekly, automated data pulls from the electronic health records to identify potential participants. We then contact patients by email and telephone within 21 days of a new visit to determine eligibility, obtain consent, and enroll participants. We collect data using telephone interviews, web-based surveys, and queries of electronic health records. Participants are followed for 12 months, with surveys completed at baseline, 3, 6, and 12 months. The primary outcome measure is the 8-item PROMIS Physical Function (PF) Short Form. We will identify distinct phenotypes using PROMIS PF scores at baseline and 3, 6, and 12 months using group-based trajectory modeling. We will develop and evaluate the performance of a multivariable prognostic model to predict 12-month physical function using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator and will compare performance to other machine learning methods. Internal validation will be conducted using k-folds cross-validation. DISCUSSION: This study will be one of the largest cohorts of individuals with symptomatic LSS initiating new episodes of non-surgical care. The successful completion of this project will produce a cross-validated prognostic model for LSS that can be used to tailor treatment approaches for patient care and clinical trials.

Long-term effectiveness of epidural steroid injections after new episodes of low back pain in older adults.

BACKGROUND: There is limited research on the long-term effectiveness of epidural steroid injections (ESI) in older adults despite the high prevalence of back and leg pain in this age group. We tested the hypotheses that older adults undergoing ESI, compared to patients not receiving ESI: (1) have worse pain, disability and quality of life ('outcomes') pre-ESI, (2) have improved outcomes after ESI and (3) have improved outcomes due to a specific ESI effect. METHODS: We prospectively studied patients ≥65 years old presenting to primary care with new episodes of back pain in three US healthcare systems (BOLD registry). Outcomes were leg and back pain intensity, disability and quality of life, assessed at baseline and 3-, 6-, 12- and 24-month follow-ups. We categorized participants as: (1) ESI within 6 months from the index visit (n = 295); (2) no ESI within 6 months (n = 4809); (3) no ESI within 6 months, propensity-score matched to group 1 (n = 483). We analysed the data using linear regression and Generalized Estimating Equations. RESULTS: Pain intensity, disability and quality of life at baseline were significantly worse at baseline in ESI patients (group 1) than in group 2. The improvement from baseline to 24 months in all outcomes was statistically significant for group 1. However, no statistically significant differences were observed between outcome trajectories for the propensity-score matched groups 1 and 3. CONCLUSIONS: Older adults treated with ESI have long-term improvement. However, the improvement is unlikely the result of a specific ESI effect. SIGNIFICANCE: In this large, two-year, prospective study in older adults with a new episode of low back pain, back pain, leg pain, disability and quality of life improved after epidural steroid injections; however, propensity-score matching revealed that the improvement was unlikely the result of a specific effect of the injections, indicating that epidural steroids are unlikely to provide long-term benefits in older adults with new episodes of back and leg pain.

Trajectories of physical capacity among community-dwelling older adults in the United States.

OBJECTIVE: Although the prognostic value of physical capacity is well-established, less is known about longitudinal patterns of physical capacity among community-dwelling older adults. We sought to describe long-term trajectories of physical capacity in a nationally representative sample of Medicare beneficiaries. DESIGN: Cohort study SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Annually collected data on 6,783 community-dwelling participants in the National Health and Aging Trends Study from 2011 to 2016 were analyzed. METHODS: Performance-based physical capacity was measured using the Short Physical Performance Battery [(SPPB) range: 0-12, higher is better]. Self-reported physical capacity was measured using six pairs of activities with composite scores from 0 to 12 (higher is better). We then used group-based trajectory modeling to identify longitudinal patterns of each physical capacity measure over 6 years. Associations of baseline characteristics with trajectories were examined using multinomial logistic regression. RESULTS: The cohort was 57% female, 68% white, and 58% were ≥75 years. Six distinct trajectories of SPPB scores were identified. Two "high" groups (n = 2192, 43%) maintained high average SPPB scores. Two "moderate decline" groups (n = 1459, 29%) had a mid-range SPPB score at baseline and demonstrated gradual decline. A "low decline" group (n = 811, 16%) started with a low SPPB score and experienced a greater decline. A "very low" group (n = 590, 12%) had very low SPPB scores in all years. Six trajectories for self-reported physical capacity were also identified. Older age, worse health, lower income and education, and being Black or Hispanic were associated with lower and declining physical capacity.

Expected Organizational Costs for Inserting Prevalence Information Into Lumbar Spine Imaging Reports.

BACKGROUND: Modifying physician behavior to more closely align with guideline-based care can be challenging. Few effective strategies resulting in appropriate spine-related health care have been reported. The Lumbar Imaging With Reporting of Epidemiology (LIRE) intervention did not result in reductions in spine care but did in opioid prescriptions written. OBJECTIVES: To estimate organizational resource needs and costs associated with implementing a pragmatic, decision support-type intervention that inserted age- and modality-matched prevalence information for common lumbar spine imaging findings, using site-based resource use data from the LIRE trial. RESEARCH DESIGN: Time and cost estimation associated with implementing the LIRE intervention in a health organization. SUBJECTS: Providers and patients assessed in the LIRE trial. MEASURES: Expected personnel costs required to implement the LIRE intervention. RESULTS: Annual salaries were converted to daily average per person costs, ranging from $400 to $2,200 per day (base case) for personnel (range: $300-$2,600). Estimated total average cost for implementing LIRE was $5,009 (range: $2,651-$12,020), including conducting pilot testing with providers. Costs associated with a small amount of time for a radiologist (6-12 hours) and imaging-ordering providers (1-8 hours each) account for approximately 75% of the estimated total cost. CONCLUSIONS: The process of implementing an intervention for lumbar spine imaging reports containing age- and modality-appropriate epidemiological benchmarks for common imaging findings required radiologists, imaging-ordering providers, information technology specialists, and limited testing and monitoring. The LIRE intervention seems to be a relatively low-cost, evidence-based, complementary tool that can be easily integrated into the reporting of spine imaging.

Associations of Multiple Chronic Conditions With Physical Performance and Falls Among Older Adults With Back Pain: A Longitudinal, Population-based Study.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the association of chronic conditions measured at baseline with physical performance and falls over time among older adults with back pain. We examined both number and type (depression, anxiety, arthritis) of chronic conditions. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: National Health and Aging Trends Study. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 2438 community-dwelling Medicare beneficiaries aged ≥65 years with bothersome back pain (N=2438). The sample was mostly female (62%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 59%-64%) and aged 65-74 years (56%; 95% CI, 53%-58%). INTERVENTIONS: Not applicable. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB) (range, 0-12, lower indicates worse function) and recurrent falls measured annually over 6 years. RESULTS: Multiple chronic conditions were highly prevalent (82%; 95% CI, 79%-84%) among those reporting back pain. Adjusted regressions using survey weights with Taylor series linearization method and containing interaction terms for comorbidity and time showed having 2-3 chronic conditions vs 0-1 was associated with lower SPPB scores, and differences grew over time (for example 0.61 points lower [95% CI, -0.88 to -0.34] and 1.22 points lower [95% CI, -1.76 to -0.67] in rounds 3 and 6, respectively). Having ≥4 chronic conditions was associated with lower SPPB scores at all time points vs 0-1 (point estimate range, -1.72 to -2.31). Arthritis alone; the combination of arthritis with depression; and the triad of arthritis, depression, and anxiety were associated with lower SPPB scores at all time points. Logistic regression models showed presence of 2-3 and ≥4 chronic conditions was associated with increased odds of recurrent falls in any given year (odds ratio, 1.91; 95% CI, 1.35-2.69 and odds ratio, 3.92; 95% CI, 2.81-5.46, respectively). Those with the triad of arthritis, depression, and anxiety had greater odds of recurrent falls vs none or 1 condition. CONCLUSIONS: Among older adults with back pain, those with multiple chronic conditions, including co-occurrence of arthritis, depression, and anxiety, have greater risk for poor physical functioning and falls over time.

Providing Epidemiological Data in Lumbar Spine Imaging Reports Did Not Affect Subsequent Utilization of Spine Procedures: Secondary Outcomes from a Stepped-Wedge Randomized Controlled Trial.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effect of inserting epidemiological information into lumbar spine imaging reports on subsequent nonsurgical and surgical procedures involving the thoracolumbosacral spine and sacroiliac joints. DESIGN: Analysis of secondary outcomes from the Lumbar Imaging with Reporting of Epidemiology (LIRE) pragmatic stepped-wedge randomized trial. SETTING: Primary care clinics within four integrated health care systems in the United States. SUBJECTS: 238,886 patients ≥18 years of age who received lumbar diagnostic imaging between 2013 and 2016. METHODS: Clinics were randomized to receive text containing age- and modality-specific epidemiological benchmarks indicating the prevalence of common spine imaging findings in people without low back pain, inserted into lumbar spine imaging reports (the "LIRE intervention"). The study outcomes were receiving 1) any nonsurgical lumbosacral or sacroiliac spine procedure (lumbosacral epidural steroid injection, facet joint injection, or facet joint radiofrequency ablation; or sacroiliac joint injection) or 2) any surgical procedure involving the lumbar, sacral, or thoracic spine (decompression surgery or spinal fusion or other spine surgery). RESULTS: The LIRE intervention was not significantly associated with subsequent utilization of nonsurgical lumbosacral or sacroiliac spine procedures (odds ratio [OR] = 1.01, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.93-1.09; P = 0.79) or any surgical procedure (OR = 0.99, 95 CI 0.91-1.07; P = 0.74) involving the lumbar, sacral, or thoracic spine. The intervention was also not significantly associated with any individual spine procedure. CONCLUSIONS: Inserting epidemiological text into spine imaging reports had no effect on nonsurgical or surgical procedure utilization among patients receiving lumbar diagnostic imaging.

Survey of Physical Therapists' Attitudes, Knowledge, and Behaviors Regarding Diagnostic Imaging.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to describe physical therapists' attitudes, knowledge, and behaviors regarding the use of diagnostic imaging. METHODS: Physical therapists in the United States were recruited from July 2018 through May 2019 to complete a web-based, cross-sectional survey. Participants were asked about demographics, their perceived knowledge base and skills for recommending or ordering different imaging modalities, and their behaviors regarding diagnostic imaging. Descriptive statistics were used to characterize the participants' demographics and responses to all questions. Chi-square tests were performed to compare responses by characteristics of survey participants and Wilcoxon signed-rank tests to compare levels of agreement. RESULTS: The mean age was 43 years, and of the 739 respondents, 58% (n = 417) were female. Ninety-two percent of respondents (n = 595) reported having recommended diagnostic imaging to another provider at least once. Only 11.6% (n = 75) reported having ever directly ordered diagnostic imaging. Participants' attitudes about their knowledge base and skills for recommending or ordering plain radiographs were stronger compared with any other imaging modalities followed by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) over other imaging techniques. Participants' attitudes on recommending plain radiographs or MRI differed by professional education level, board-certification status, fellowship completion, and years since graduation. CONCLUSION: It is common for physical therapists to recommend imaging, but few have directly ordered imaging. Most survey participants believed that they have an adequate knowledge base and skills for recommending and ordering plain radiographs and MRI. IMPACT: These results can serve as a benchmark for future comparison as policies and educations evolve. Understanding physical therapists' attitudes, knowledge, and use of diagnostic imaging is important to inform research, policy, and education.

Predicting Persistent Disabling Low Back Pain in Veterans Affairs Primary Care Using the STarT Back Tool.

BACKGROUND: The Subgrouping for Targeted Treatment (STarT Back) is a stratified care approach to low back pain (LBP) treatment. The predictive validity of STarT Back in Veterans Affairs (VA) primary care has not been demonstrated. OBJECTIVE: To examine the validity of the STarT Back tool for predicting future persistent disabling LBP in VA primary care. DESIGN: Cohort study. SETTING: VA primary care in Washington State. PARTICIPANTS: Veterans seeking care for LBP in VA primary care clinics. INTERVENTIONS: Not applicable. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The STarT Back tool was used to classify Veterans according to their baseline risk group (low vs medium vs high). The primary study outcome, persistent disabling LBP, was defined as a Roland-Morris Disability Questionnaire (RMDQ) score ≥ 7 at 6-month follow-up. Analyses examined discrimination and calibration of the baseline STarT Back risk groups for prediction of persistent disabling LBP at 6-month follow-up. RESULTS: Of the study sample, 9% were female and 80% reported longstanding LBP (>5 year duration). Among 538 participants, the baseline STarT Back risk groups were associated with future persistent disabling LBP at 6-month follow-up. Within each baseline STarT Back risk group, the proportions with future persistent disabling LBP at 6-month follow-up were 54% (low risk), 88% (medium risk), and 97% (high risk). The baseline STarT Back risk groups had useful discrimination (area under the curve [AUC] 0.79) for predicting future persistent disabling LBP, but the proportion of Veterans with persistent disabling LBP at 6-month follow-up was substantially higher than that observed in non-VA primary care settings. CONCLUSIONS: The STarT Back risk groups had useful discrimination (AUC = 0.79) for future persistent disabling LBP, but calibration was poor, underestimating the risk of persistent disabling LBP. The STarT Back tool may require updating for use in VA primary care.

Development and Testing of Compatible Diagnosis Code Lists for the Functional Comorbidity Index: International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification and International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision, Clinical Modification.

BACKGROUND: The Functional Comorbidity Index (FCI) was developed for community-based adult populations, with function as the outcome. The original FCI was a survey tool, but several International Classification of Diseases (ICD) code lists-for calculating the FCI using administrative data-have been published. However, compatible International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM) and ICD-10-CM versions have not been available. OBJECTIVE: We developed ICD-9-CM and ICD-10-CM diagnosis code lists to optimize FCI concordance across ICD lexicons. RESEARCH DESIGN: We assessed concordance and frequency distributions across ICD lexicons for the FCI and individual comorbidities. We used length of stay and discharge disposition to assess continuity of FCI criterion validity across lexicons. SUBJECTS: State Inpatient Databases from Arizona, Colorado, Michigan, New Jersey, New York, Utah, and Washington State (calendar year 2015) were obtained from the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project. State Inpatient Databases contained ICD-9-CM diagnoses for the first 3 calendar quarters of 2015 and ICD-10-CM diagnoses for the fourth quarter of 2015. Inpatients under 18 years old were excluded. MEASURES: Length of stay and discharge disposition outcomes were assessed in separate regression models. Covariates included age, sex, state, ICD lexicon, and FCI/lexicon interaction. RESULTS: The FCI demonstrated stability across lexicons, despite small discrepancies in prevalence for individual comorbidities. Under ICD-9-CM, each additional comorbidity was associated with an 8.9% increase in mean length of stay and an 18.5% decrease in the odds of a routine discharge, compared with an 8.4% increase and 17.4% decrease, respectively, under ICD-10-CM. CONCLUSION: This study provides compatible ICD-9-CM and ICD-10-CM diagnosis code lists for the FCI.

The Effect of Including Benchmark Prevalence Data of Common Imaging Findings in Spine Image Reports on Health Care Utilization Among Adults Undergoing Spine Imaging: A Stepped-Wedge Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Lumbar spine imaging frequently reveals findings that may seem alarming but are likely unrelated to pain. Prior work has suggested that inserting data on the prevalence of imaging findings among asymptomatic individuals into spine imaging reports may reduce unnecessary subsequent interventions. Objective: To evaluate the impact of including benchmark prevalence data in routine spinal imaging reports on subsequent spine-related health care utilization and opioid prescriptions. Design, Setting, and Participants: This stepped-wedge, pragmatic randomized clinical trial included 250 401 adult participants receiving care from 98 primary care clinics at 4 large health systems in the United States. Participants had imaging of their backs between October 2013 and September 2016 without having had spine imaging in the prior year. Data analysis was conducted from November 2018 to October 2019. Interventions: Either standard lumbar spine imaging reports (control group) or reports containing age-appropriate prevalence data for common imaging findings in individuals without back pain (intervention group). Main Outcomes and Measures: Health care utilization was measured in spine-related relative value units (RVUs) within 365 days of index imaging. The number of subsequent opioid prescriptions written by a primary care clinician was a secondary outcome, and prespecified subgroup analyses examined results by imaging modality. Results: We enrolled 250 401 participants (of whom 238 886 [95.4%] met eligibility for this analysis, with 137 373 [57.5%] women and 105 497 [44.2%] aged >60 years) from 3278 primary care clinicians. A total of 117 455 patients (49.2%) were randomized to the control group, and 121 431 patients (50.8%) were randomized to the intervention group. There was no significant difference in cumulative spine-related RVUs comparing intervention and control conditions through 365 days. The adjusted median (interquartile range) RVU for the control group was 3.56 (2.71-5.12) compared with 3.53 (2.68-5.08) for the intervention group (difference, -0.7%; 95% CI, -2.9% to 1.5%; P = .54). Rates of subsequent RVUs did not differ between groups by specific clinical findings in the report but did differ by type of index imaging (eg, computed tomography: difference, -29.3%; 95% CI, -42.1% to -13.5%; magnetic resonance imaging: difference, -3.4%; 95% CI, -8.3% to 1.8%). We observed a small but significant decrease in the likelihood of opioid prescribing from a study clinician within 1 year of the intervention (odds ratio, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.91 to 1.00; P = .04). Conclusions and Relevance: In this study, inserting benchmark prevalence information in lumbar spine imaging reports did not decrease subsequent spine-related RVUs but did reduce subsequent opioid prescriptions. The intervention text is simple, inexpensive, and easily implemented. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02015455.

Longitudinal Patterns of Pain Reporting Among Community-dwelling Older Adults.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to identify and describe long-term trajectories of bothersome pain and activity-limiting pain in a population-based sample of older adults. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 6783 community-dwelling participants using 6 years of longitudinal data from the National Health and Aging Trends Study (NHATS). NHATS is a cohort of older adults that is representative of Medicare Beneficiaries aged 65 years and older. NHATS data collection began in 2011, and demographic and health data are collected annually through in-person interviews. Participants were asked if they had bothersome pain and activity-limiting pain in the past month. We used group-based trajectory modeling to identify longitudinal patterns of bothersome pain and activity-limiting pain over 6 years. We used weighted, multinomial logistic regression to examine associations with each trajectory. RESULTS: The cohort was 57% female, 68% white, and 58% were 75 years and older. Four trajectories were identified for the probability of bothersome pain: persistently high (n=1901, 35%), increasing (n=898, 17%), decreasing (n=917, 17%), and low (n=1735, 32%). Similar trajectories were identified for activity-limiting pain: persistently high (n=721, 13%), increasing (n=812, 15%), decreasing (n=677, 12%), and low (n=3241, 60%). The persistently high bothersome and activity-limiting pain groups had worse health characteristics, were more likely to have fallen in the past year, and had slower gait speed and worse physical capacity compared with the low groups. DISCUSSION: Approximately one half of older adults had a high or increasing probability of long-term bothersome pain, and over one quarter had a high or increasing probability of long-term activity-limiting pain.

Comparing the Performance of Comorbidity Indices in Predicting Functional Status, Health-Related Quality of Life, and Total Health Care Use in Older Adults With Back Pain.

OBJECTIVE: To determine how well the functional comorbidity index (FCI) predicts outcomes in older adults with back pain compared to Quan's modification of the Charlson comorbidity index (Quan-Charlson comorbidity index) and the Elixhauser comorbidity index. DESIGN: Secondary analysis of a prospective cohort study. METHODS: We included 5155 adults 65 years of age or older with new primary care visits for back pain. Comorbidity was measured using diagnosis codes 12 months prior to the new visit. Outcomes of functional limitation (Roland-Morris Disability Questionnaire), health-related quality of life (European Quality of Life-5 Dimensions [EQ-5D]), and total health care use (sum of relative value units) were measured 12 months after the new visit. We compared multivariable models containing preselected prognostic factors. RESULTS: Spearman correlation coefficients among the indices were 0.70 or greater. Multivariable models for the Roland-Morris Disability Questionnaire had similar R2 and root-mean-square error (RMSE) of prediction when using the FCI (R2 = 0.190; RMSE, 6.19), Quan-Charlson comorbidity index (R2 = 0.185; RMSE, 6.20), or Elixhauser comorbidity index (R2 = 0.189; RMSE, 6.19). Multivariable models for the EQ-5D score showed small differences in R2 and RMSE when using the FCI (R2 = 0.157; RMSE, 0.163), Quan-Charlson comorbidity index (R2 = 0.148; RMSE, 0.164), or Elixhauser comorbidity index (R2 = 0.154; RMSE, 0.163). Multivariable models for health care use had similar Akaike information criterion (AIC) values when using the FCI (AIC = 10.04), Quan-Charlson comorbidity index (AIC = 10.04), or Elixhauser comorbidity index (AIC = 10.01). CONCLUSION: All indices performed similarly in predicting outcomes. There does not seem to be an advantage to using one index over another for older adults with back pain. There is still a need to develop better function-based risk-adjustment models that improve prediction of functional outcomes versus standard comorbidity indices. J Orthop Sports Phys Ther 2020;50(3):143-148. Epub 23 Jul 2019. doi:10.2519/jospt.2020.8764.

Performance of the Functional Comorbidity Index (FCI) in Prognostic Models for Risk Adjustment in Patients With Back Pain.

BACKGROUND: The Functional Comorbidity Index (FCI) is a comorbidity measure associated with physical function and may contribute to risk adjustment models in rehabilitation settings, but an International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-9-CM) of the FCI has not been tested in outpatient settings. OBJECTIVE: This study examines the ability of an ICD-9-CM- based FCI to predict function, health-related quality of life, and overall health care use. DESIGN: Cohort study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: This was a secondary analysis of 5155 adults ≥65 years of age with a new back pain visit from the Back pain Outcomes using Longitudinal Data cohort study. INDEPENDENT VARIABLES: We measured 18 comorbidities with an ICD-9-CM version of the FCI using diagnosis codes 12 months prior to an index visit. MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS: Outcomes included the Roland Morris Disability Questionnaire (RMDQ, 0-24), health-related-quality-of-life (EQ5D, 0-1), and total health care use (sum of all relative value units [RVUs]) measured at baseline and 12 months after the index visit. Linear regression and generalized linear models estimated the association between the FCI and each outcome and to examine goodness of fit. We used a 10-fold cross-validation to develop and compare predictive models with and without the FCI. RESULTS: There were 1398 participants (27%) with two or more comorbidities. Adjusted estimates show that for every one unit increase in FCI, RMDQ increased by 1.0 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.8 to 1.1) and R2 = 0.093; EQ5D decreased by 0.023 (95% CI -0.028 to -0.019) and R2 = 0.076; and mean total RVUs increased by 13% (95% CI 1.09 to 1.17). Cross-validation showed that FCI contributed to small improvements in the performance of predictive models. CONCLUSION: An ICD-9-CM version of the FCI is associated with long-term function, health-related quality of life, and total health care use among older adults with back pain; however, it explains only a small proportion of the variance.