RESUMO
BACKGROUND: In the natural course of osteonecrosis of the femoral head, sclerotic changes at the boundary of necrotic lesion gradually occur until femoral head collapse. This study aims to examine the effects of bone mineral density at the lateral boundary of necrotic lesion on a subsequent femoral head collapse. METHODS: We developed patient-specific finite element models of 9 hips with subsequent collapse and 10 hips without subsequent collapse. Cubic regions of interest were selected at both subchondral areas of the lateral boundary and the adjacent necrotic lesion. Bone mineral density values of the regions of interest were quantitatively measured, and a ratio of bone mineral density values (lateral boundary/necrotic lesion) was calculated. Stress values at the lateral boundary were also evaluated. FINDINGS: The ratio of bone mineral density values was significantly higher in hips with subsequent collapse than that without subsequent collapse (p = 0.0016). The median equivalent stress and shear stress were significantly higher in hips with subsequent collapse than that without subsequent collapse (p = 0.0071, and p = 0.0143, respectively). The ratio of bone mineral density values showed a promising value in predicting the occurrence of subsequent femoral head collapse (AUC = 0.97). INTERPRETATION: Our results indicated that bone mineral density value at the lateral boundary of necrotic lesion may be associated with the occurrence of subsequent femoral head collapse in pre-collapse stage osteonecrosis of the femoral head.
