Change in the Proportion of Death at Home during the COVID-19 Pandemic and Its Associated Factors in the Municipality Level: A Nationwide Study in Japan.

Introduction: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic may have led to an increase in home deaths due to hospital bed shortage and hospital visitation restrictions. This study aimed to examine changes in the proportion of home deaths before and after the COVID-19 pandemic and identify associated factors. Methods: We used publicly available nationwide data to describe the proportion of home deaths among total deaths from 2015 to 2021. Furthermore, we used municipal-level data to examine the factors associated with the increase in the proportion of home deaths from 2019 to 2021. The dependent variable was the absolute change in the proportion of home deaths from 2019 to 2021. The independent variables included each municipality's 2019 home death percentage, medical and long-term care (LTC) resources divided by the population of older people, population density, and cumulative number of COVID-19 cases. A multivariable linear regression analysis was conducted after the standardization of each variable. Results: The proportions of home deaths in 2015, 2019, and 2021 were 12.7%, 13.6%, and 17.2%, respectively, indicating a sharp increase in home death rate after the COVID-19 pandemic. In the multivariable linear regression analysis that included 1,696 municipalities, conventional home care support clinics and hospitals (HCSCs) (coefficient [95% confidence intervals (CIs)], 0.19 [0.01-0.37]), enhanced HCSCs (0.53 [0.34-0.71]), home-visiting nurses (0.26 [0.06-0.46]), population density (0.44 [0.21-0.67]), and cumulative COVID-19 cases (0.49 [0.27-0.70]) were positively associated with the increase in home deaths, whereas beds of LTC welfare facilities (-0.55 [-0.74--0.37]) and the proportion of home deaths in 2019 (-1.24 [-1.44--1.05]) were negatively associated with the increase. Conclusions: During the COVID-19 pandemic, home deaths significantly increased, particularly in densely populated areas with high cumulative COVID-19 cases. HCSCs, especially enhanced HCSCs, are crucial for meeting the demand for home-based end-of-life care.

Deprescribing Opportunities for Frail Residents of Nursing Homes: A Multicenter Study in Australia, China, Japan, and Spain.

OBJECTIVE: Deprescribing opportunities may differ across health care systems, nursing home settings, and prescribing cultures. The objective of this study was to compare the prevalence of STOPPFrail medications according to frailty status among residents of nursing homes in Australia, China, Japan, and Spain. DESIGN: Secondary cross-sectional analyses of data from 4 cohort studies. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: A total of 1142 residents in 31 nursing homes. METHODS: Medication data were extracted from resident records. Frailty was assessed using the FRAIL-NH scale (non-frail 0-2; frail 3-6; most-frail 7-14). Chi-square tests and prevalence ratios (PRs) were used to compare STOPPFrail medication use across cohorts. RESULTS: In total, 84.7% of non-frail, 95.6% of frail, and 90.6% of most-frail residents received ≥1 STOPPFrail medication. Overall, the most prevalent STOPPFrail medications were antihypertensives (53.0% in China to 73.3% in Australia, P < .001), vitamin D (nil in China to 52.7% in Australia, P < .001), lipid-lowering therapies (11.1% in Japan to 38.9% in Australia, P < .001), aspirin (13.5% in Japan to 26.2% in China, P < .001), proton pump inhibitors (2.1% in Japan to 32.0% in Australia, P < .001), and antidiabetic medications (12.3% in Japan to 23.5% in China, P = .010). Overall use of antihypertensives (PR, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.06-1.25), lipid-lowering therapies (PR, 1.78; 95% CI, 1.45-2.18), aspirin (PR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.04-1.64), and antidiabetic medications (PR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.00-1.72) were more prevalent among non-frail and frail residents compared with most-frail residents. Antihypertensive use was more prevalent with increasing frailty in China and Japan, but less prevalent with increasing frailty in Australia. Antidiabetic medication use was less prevalent with increasing frailty in China and Spain but was consistent across frailty groups in Australia and Japan. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: There were overall and frailty-specific variations in prevalence of different STOPPFrail medications across cohorts. This may reflect differences in prescribing cultures, application of clinical practice guidelines in the nursing home setting, and clinician or resident attitudes toward deprescribing.

A mixed-methods study on the pharmacological management of pain in Australian and Japanese nursing homes.

BACKGROUND: Understanding how analgesics are used in different countries can inform initiatives to improve the pharmacological management of pain in nursing homes. AIMS: To compare patterns of analgesic use among Australian and Japanese nursing home residents; and explore Australian and Japanese healthcare professionals' perspectives on analgesic use. METHODS: Part one involved a cross-sectional comparison among residents from 12 nursing homes in South Australia (N = 550) in 2019 and four nursing homes in Tokyo (N = 333) in 2020. Part two involved three focus groups with Australian and Japanese healthcare professionals (N = 16) in 2023. Qualitative data were deductively content analysed using the World Health Organization six-step Guide to Good Prescribing. RESULTS: Australian and Japanese residents were similar in age (median: 89 vs 87) and sex (female: 73% vs 73%). Overall, 74% of Australian and 11% of Japanese residents used regular oral acetaminophen, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs or opioids. Australian and Japanese healthcare professionals described individualising pain management and the first-line use of acetaminophen. Australian participants described their therapeutic goal was to alleviate pain and reported analgesics were often prescribed on a regular basis. Japanese participants described their therapeutic goal was to minimise impacts of pain on daily activities and reported analgesics were often prescribed for short-term durations, corresponding to episodes of pain. Japanese participants described regulations that limit opioid use for non-cancer pain in nursing homes. CONCLUSION: Analgesic use is more prevalent in Australian than Japanese nursing homes. Differences in therapeutic goals, culture, analgesic regulations and treatment durations may contribute to this apparent difference.

Symptomatic and preventive medication use according to age and frailty in Australian and Japanese nursing homes.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate symptomatic and preventive medication use according to age and frailty in Australian and Japanese nursing homes (NHs). METHODS: Secondary cross-sectional analyses of two prospective cohort studies involving 12 Australian NHs and four Japanese NHs. Frailty was measured using the FRAIL-NH scale (non-frail 0-2; frail 3-6; most-frail 7-14). Regular medications were classified as symptomatic or preventive based on published lists and expert consensus. Descriptive statistics were used to compare the prevalence and ratio of symptomatic to preventive medications. RESULTS: Overall, 550 Australian residents (87.7 ± 7.3 years; 73.3% females) and 333 Japanese residents (86.5 ± 7.0 years; 73.3% females) were included. Australian residents used a higher mean number of medications than Japanese residents (9.8 ± 4.0 vs 7.7 ± 3.7, p < 0.0001). Australian residents used more preventive than symptomatic medications (5.5 ± 2.5 vs 4.3 ± 2.6, p < 0.0001), while Japanese residents used more symptomatic than preventive medications (4.7 ± 2.6 vs 3.0 ± 2.2, p < 0.0001). In Australia, symptomatic medications were more prevalent with increasing frailty (non-frail 3.4 ± 2.6; frail 4.0 ± 2.6; most-frail 4.8 ± 2.6, p < 0.0001) but less prevalent with age (< 80 years 5.0 ± 2.9; 80-89 years 4.4 ± 2.6; ≥ 90 years 3.9 ± 2.5, p = 0.0042); while preventive medications remained similar across age and frailty groups. In Japan, there was no significant difference in the mean number of symptomatic and preventive medications irrespective of age and frailty. CONCLUSIONS: The ratio of symptomatic to preventive medications was higher with increasing frailty but lower with age in Australia; whereas in Japan, the ratio remained consistent across age and frailty groups. Preventive medications remained prevalent in most-frail residents in both cohorts, albeit at lower levels in Japan.

Facility staffing associated with potentially avoidable hospitalizations in nursing home residents in Japan: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Wide variations in facility staffing may lead to differences in care, and consequently, adverse outcomes such as hospitalizations. However, few studies focused on types of occupations. Therefore, we aimed to examine the association between a wide variety of facility staffing and potentially avoidable hospitalizations of nursing home residents in Japan. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study using long-term care and medical insurance claims data in Ibaraki Prefecture from April 2018 to March 2019, we identified individuals aged 65 years and above who were newly admitted to nursing homes. In addition, facility characteristic data were obtained from the long-term care insurance service disclosure system. Subsequently, we conducted a multivariable Cox regression analysis and evaluated the association between facility staffing and potentially avoidable hospitalizations. RESULTS: A total of 2909 residents from 235 nursing homes were included. The cumulative incidence of potentially avoidable hospitalizations at 180 days was 14.2% (95% confidence interval [CI] 12.7-15.8). Facilities with full-time physicians (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 0.59, 95% CI: 0.37-0.94) and a higher number of dietitians (HR: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.54-0.97) were significantly associated with a lower likelihood of potentially avoidable hospitalizations. In contrast, having nurses or trained caregivers during the night shift (HR: 1.72, 95% CI: 1.25-2.36) and a higher number of care managers (HR: 1.37, 95% CI: 1.03-1.83) were significantly associated with a high probability of potentially avoidable hospitalizations. CONCLUSIONS: We revealed that variations in facility staffing were associated with potentially avoidable hospitalizations. The results suggest that optimal allocation of human resources, such as dietitians and physicians, may be essential to reduce potentially avoidable hospitalizations. To provide appropriate care to nursing home residents, it is necessary to establish a system to effectively allocate limited resources. Further research is warranted on the causal relationship between staff allocation and unnecessary hospitalizations, considering the confounding factors.

Changes in Polypharmacy and Potentially Inappropriate Medications in Homebound Older Adults in Japan, 2015-2019: a Nationwide Study.

BACKGROUND: With rising worldwide population aging, the number of homebound individuals with multimorbidity is increasing. Improvement in the quality of home medical care (HMC), including medications, contributes to meeting older adults' preference for "aging in place" and securing healthcare resources. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the changes in drug prescriptions, particularly potentially inappropriate medications (PIMs), among older adults receiving HMC in recent years, during which measures addressing inappropriate polypharmacy were implemented, including the introduction of clinical practice guidelines and medical fees for deprescribing. DESIGN: A cross-sectional study. PARTICIPANTS: Using data from the national claims database in Japan, this study included older adults aged ≥ 75 years who received HMC in October 2015 (N = 499,850) and October 2019 (N = 657,051). MAIN MEASURES: Number of drugs, prevalence of polypharmacy (≥ 5 regular drugs), major drug categories/classes, and PIMs according to Japanese guidelines were analyzed. Random effects logistic regression models were used to evaluate the differences in medications between 2015 and 2019, considering the correlation within individuals who contributed to the analysis in both years. KEY RESULTS: The number of drugs remained unchanged from 2015 to 2019 (median: 6; interquartile range: 4, 9). The prevalence of polypharmacy also remained unchanged at 70.0% in both years (P = 0.93). However, the prescription of some drugs (e.g., direct oral anticoagulants, new types of hypnotics, acetaminophen, proton pump inhibitors, and ß-blockers) increased, whereas others (e.g., warfarin, vasodilators, H2 blockers, acetylcholinesterase inhibitors, and benzodiazepines) decreased. Among the frequently prescribed PIMs, benzodiazepines/Z-drugs (25.6% in 2015 to 21.1% in 2019; adjusted odds ratio: 0.52) and H2 blockers (11.2 to 7.3%; 0.45) decreased, whereas diuretics (23.8 to 23.6%; 0.90) and antipsychotics (9.7 to 10.5%; 1.11) remained unchanged. CONCLUSIONS: We observed some favorable changes but identified some continuous and new challenges. This study suggests that continued attention to medication optimization is required to achieve safe and effective HMC.

Consolidation of the perinatal care system and workload of obstetricians: an ecological study in Japan.

Objectives: We examined the relationship between consolidation of delivery and the workload of obstetricians working at perinatal centers. Methods: We conducted a descriptive analysis using perinatal care areas classified into three types (metropolitan, provincial, and rural). We calculated the Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (HHI) as an index of consolidation and the proportion of the deliveries at clinics as an indicator of the low-risk deliveries and the deliveries per center obstetrician as an indicator of obstetricians' workload. We used >150 deliveries yearly as an excess indicator. The correlation between the HHI and obstetricians' workload and the proportion of deliveries at clinics was examined using the Pearson correlation coefficient. Results: The proportion of areas with >150 deliveries yearly was higher in the consolidated areas. In provincial areas, obstetricians' workload was positively correlated with the HHI and was negatively correlated with the proportion of deliveries at clinics. Conclusions: The obstetricians' workload may be increasing where more consolidation occurs. In provincial areas, the center obstetrician's workload could be reduced not only by consolidation but also by sharing the role of handling low-risk deliveries with clinics and hospitals with obstetric units other than perinatal centers.

Evaluation of enhanced home care support clinics regarding emergency home visits, hospitalization, and end-of-life care: a retrospective cohort study in a city of Japan.

BACKGROUND: To meet the increasing demand for home healthcare in Japan as the population ages, home care support clinics/hospitals (HCSCs) and enhanced HCSCs were introduced in 2006 and 2012, respectively. This study aimed to evaluate whether enhanced HCSCs fulfilled the expected role in home healthcare. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using linked medical and long-term care claims data from a municipality in Japan. Participants were ≥ 65 years of age, had newly started regular home visits between July 2014 and March 2018, and used either conventional or enhanced HCSCs. Patients were followed up for one year after they started regular home visits or until the month following the end of the regular home visits if they ended within one year. The outcome measures were (i) emergency home visits at all hours and on nights and holidays at least once, respectively, (ii) hospitalization at least once, and (iii) end-of-life care, which was evaluated based on the place of death and whether a physician was present at the time of in-home death. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were conducted for the outcomes of emergency home visits and hospitalizations. RESULTS: The analysis included 802 patients, including 405 patients in enhanced HCSCs and 397 patients in conventional HCSCs. Enhanced HCSCs had more emergency home visits at all hours than conventional HCSCs (65.7% vs. 49.1%; adjusted odds ratio 1.70, 95% CI [1.26-2.28]), more emergency home visits on nights and holidays (33.6% vs. 16.7%; 2.20 [1.55-3.13]), and fewer hospitalizations (21.5% vs. 32.2%; 0.55 [0.39-0.76]). During the follow-up period, 229 patients (152 patients in enhanced HCSCs and 77 patients in HCSCs) died. Deaths at home were significantly more common in enhanced HCSCs than in conventional HCSCs (80.9% vs. 64.9%; p < .001), and physician-attended deaths among those who died at home were also significantly more common in enhanced HCSCs (99.2% vs. 78.0%; p < .001). CONCLUSIONS: This study confirms that enhanced HCSCs are more likely to be able to handle emergency home visits and end-of-life care at home, which are important medical functions in home healthcare. Further promotion of enhanced HCSCs would be advantageous.

Proportion of subsequent clinic visits among persons without regular clinic visits who were screened as having hyperglycemia: A retrospective cohort study.

AIMS/INTRODUCTION: We aimed to examine the proportion of subsequent clinic visits for persons screened as having hyperglycemia based on glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels at screening and the presence/absence of hyperglycemia at health checkups before 1 year of the screening among those without previous diabetes-related medical care and attending regular clinic visits. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective cohort study used the 2016-2020 data of Japanese health checkups and claims. The study analyzed 8,834 adult beneficiaries aged 20-59 years without regular clinic visits who had never received diabetes-related medical care and whose recent health checkups showed hyperglycemia. The rates of 6-month subsequent clinic visits after health checkups were evaluated according to HbA1c levels and the presence/absence of hyperglycemia at checkups a year before. RESULTS: The overall clinic visit rate was 21.0%. The HbA1c-specific rates were 17.0, 26.7, 25.4 and 28.4% for <7.0, 7.0-7.4, 7.5-7.9 and ≥8.0% (64 mmol/mol), respectively. Persons with hyperglycemia at a previous screening had lower clinic visit rates than those without hyperglycemia, particularly in the HbA1c category of <7.0% (14.4% vs 18.5%; P < 0.001) and 7.0-7.4% (23.6% vs 35.1%; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The overall rate of subsequent clinic visits among those without previous regular clinic visits was <30%, including for participants with HbA1c ≥8.0%. Persons with previously detected hyperglycemia had lower clinic visit rates, despite requiring more health counseling. Our findings might be useful for designing a tailored approach to encourage high-risk individuals to seek diabetes care through clinic visits.

Association of physical restraint duration and undesirable outcomes amongst inpatients comorbid with dementia and pneumonia in acute care settings.

AIMS AND OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to examine the association between physical restraint duration and undesirable outcomes amongst inpatients comorbid with dementia and pneumonia in acute care hospitals. BACKGROUND: Physical restraints are frequently used in the management of patients, especially amongst patients with dementia. No previous study investigated the potential undesirable effects of physical restraints in patients with dementia. METHODS: This was a cohort study using a nationwide discharge abstract database in Japan. Patients aged ≥65 years with dementia hospitalised for pneumonia or aspiration pneumonia between April 1, 2016 and March 31, 2019 were identified. The exposure was physical restraint. The primary outcome was hospital discharge to the community. Secondary outcomes included hospitalisation costs, functional decline, in-hospital mortality, and institutionalisation for long-term care. RESULTS: A total of 18,255 inpatients with pneumonia and dementia in 307 hospitals were included in this study. Of them, 21.5% and 23.7% had physical restraint during full and partial days of hospital stays, respectively. Discharge to the community incidence rates was lower in the full-restraint vs. the no-restraint group (27 vs. 29 per 1000 person-days; HR, 1.05 [95% CI, 1.01-1.10]) and the partial-restraint vs. the no-restraint group (17 vs. 29 per 1000 person-days; HR, 1.79 [95% CI, 1.71-1.87]). The risks of functional decline were higher in the full-restraint vs. the no-restraint group (27.8% vs. 20.8%; RR, 1.33 [95% CI, 1.22, 1.46]) and the partial-restraint vs. the no-restraint group (29.2% vs. 20.8%; RR, 1.40 [95% CI, 1.29, 1.53]). CONCLUSIONS: The use of physical restraints was associated with a lower incidence rate of discharge to the community and an increased risk of functional decline at discharge. Further research is needed to judge the benefit-risk balance of physical restraints in acute care settings. RELEVANCE TO CLINICAL PRACTICE: Understanding the risk of physical restraints allows medical staff to improve the process of decision making in everyday practice. No Patient or Public Contribution. REPORTING METHODS: The reporting of this article conforms to the STROBE statement.

Association between types of home healthcare and emergency house calls, hospitalization, and end-of-life care in Japan.

BACKGROUND: To meet the increasing demand for home healthcare in Japan, as part of the national healthcare system, home care support clinics/hospitals (HCSCs) and enhanced HCSCs were introduced in 2006 and 2012 respectively. This study aimed to evaluate whether HCSCs has succeeded in providing 24-h home care services through the end of life. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted using the national database in Japan. Participants were ≥ 65 years of age, had newly started regular home visits between July 2014 and September 2015, and used general clinics, conventional HCSCs, or enhanced HCSCs. Each patient was followed up for 6 months after the first visit. The outcome measures were (i) emergency house call(s), (ii) hospitalization(s), and (iii) end-of-life care defined as in-home death. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed for statistical analysis. RESULTS: The analysis included 160,674 patients, including 13,477, 64,616, and 82,581 patients receiving regular home visits by general clinics, conventional HCSCs, and enhanced HCSCs respectively. Compared to general clinics, the use of conventional and enhanced HCSCs was associated with an increased likelihood of emergency house calls (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] and 95% confidence intervals [CIs] of 1.62 [1.56-1.69] and 1.86 [1.79-1.93], respectively) and a decreased likelihood of hospitalizations (aOR [95% CIs] of 0.86 [0.82-0.90] and 0.88 [0.84-0.92] respectively). Among 39,082 patients who died during the follow-up period, conventional and enhanced HCSCs had more in-home deaths (aOR [95% CIs] of 1.46 [1.33-1.59] and 1.60 [1.46-1.74], respectively) compared to general clinics. CONCLUSIONS: HCSCs (especially enhanced HCSCs) provided more emergency house calls, reduced hospitalization, and enabled expected deaths at home, suggesting that further promotion of HCSCs (especially enhanced HSCSs) would be advantageous.

The Effect of Home Care Support Clinics on Hospital Readmission in Heart Failure Patients in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure is common and is associated with high rates of hospitalization. Home care support clinics/hospitals (HCSCs) and enhanced HCSCs were introduced in Japan in 2006 and 2012, respectively. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to examine the effect of post-discharge care by conventional or enhanced HCSCs on readmission, compared with general clinics. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study using the Japanese nationwide health insurance claims database. PARTICIPANTS: Participants were ≥65 years of age, admitted for heart failure and discharged between July 2014 and August 2015 and received a home visit within a month following the discharge (n=12,393). MAIN MEASURES: The exposure was the type of medical facility that provides post-discharge home healthcare: general clinics, conventional HCSCs, and enhanced HCSCs. The primary outcome was all-cause readmission for 6 months after the first visit; the incidence of emergency house calls was a secondary outcome. We used a competing risk regression using the Fine and Gray method, in which death was regarded as a competing event. KEY RESULTS: At 6 months, readmissions were lower in conventional (38%) or enhanced HCSCs (38%) than general clinics (43%). The adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio (sHR) of readmission was 0.87 (95% CI: 0.78-0.96) for conventional and 0.86 (0.78-0.96) for enhanced HCSCs. Emergency house calls increased with conventional (sHR: 1.77, 95% CI:1.57-2.00) and enhanced HCSCs (sHR: 1.93, 95% CI: 1.71-2.17). CONCLUSIONS: Older Japanese patients with heart failure receiving post-discharge home healthcare by conventional or enhanced HCSCs had lower readmission rates, possibly due to compensation with more emergency house calls. Conventional and enhanced HCSCs may be effective in reducing the risk of rehospitalization. Further studies are necessary to confirm the medical functions performed by HCSCs.

Dispensing by Family Pharmacists as a Potential Factor in Pharmacist-initiated Prescription Change: A Retrospective Observational Study.

BACKGROUND: No studies in Japan have examined whether dispensing by family pharmacists, who are incentivized by reimbursement to provide continuous and exclusive medication management, results in prescription changes. Our primary objective was to identify the variables affecting prescription changes, particularly to investigate dispensing by family pharmacists as a possible factor. METHODS: We identified 333,503 records of pharmacy claims data from patients aged 65 years or older who received medication instructions at outpatient pharmacies at Tsukuba, a medium-sized city near Tokyo, between April 2018 and March 2019. We extracted data on dispensing by family pharmacists, number of medicines, patient sex, patient age, and pharmacy category. A multilevel modified Poisson regression analysis was performed to analyze the correlation between dispensing by family pharmacists and pharmacist-initiated prescription change. RESULTS: Dispensing by family pharmacists was 1.37 times more likely to involve a record of prescription change than dispensing by non-family pharmacists. Older age, female sex, polypharmacy, and small-scale pharmacies were also found to be factors. CONCLUSION: This study indicated that dispensing by family pharmacists was a potential factor for pharmacist-initiated prescription changes that may prevent excessive medication and limit pharmacological interactions. Since the likelihood of inappropriate prescriptions being issued varies from hospital to hospital, subsequent studies should take into account the quality of each institution.

Regional variation in long-term care spending in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Health inequalities are widening in Japan, and thus, it is important to understand whether (and to what extent) there is a regional variation in long-term care (LTC) spending across municipalities. This study assesses regional variation in LTC spending and identifies the drivers of such variation. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional study using publicly available municipality-level data across Japan in 2019, in which the unit of analysis was municipality. The outcome of interest was per-capita LTC spending, which was estimated by dividing total LTC spending in a municipality by the number of older adults (people aged ≥ 65). To further identify drivers of regional variation in LTC spending, we conducted linear regression of per-capita spending against a series of demand, supply, and structural factors. Shapley decomposition approach was used to highlight the contribution of each independent variable to the goodness of fit of the regression model. RESULTS: In Fiscal 2019, per-capita LTC spending varied from 133.1 to 549.9 thousand yen (max/min ratio 4.1) across the 1460 municipalities analyzed, showing considerable regional variation. The included covariates explained 84.0% of the total variance in LTC spending, and demand-determined variance was remarkably high, which contributed more than 85.7% of the overall R2. Specifically, the highest contributing factor was the proportion of severe care-need level and care level certification rate. CONCLUSIONS: Our results demonstrate that, even after adjusting for different municipalities' age and sex distribution, there is a large variation in LTC spending. Furthermore, our findings highlight that, to reduce the spending gap between municipalities, the issues underlying large variations in LTC spending across municipalities must be identified and addressed.

National trends in gastrostomy in older adults between 2014 and 2019 in Japan.

AIM: Previous studies have shown temporal trends in the number of gastrostomies until 2016, but the recent trend is yet to be analyzed. This study aimed to evaluate temporal trends in gastrostomy (mostly percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy) in older adults in Japan in more recent years. METHODS: We extracted data on the numbers of gastrostomies and swallowing function assessment prior to gastrostomy, using the national aggregated open data (NDB Open Data) from 2014 to 2019. RESULTS: Adults in their 80s accounted for the largest portion of gastrostomy during the study period. A decreasing trend in the total number of gastrostomy was observed in older adults from 2014 to 2016, but became almost stable thereafter (57 103 in 2014, 47 228 in 2016, and 47 944 in 2019). The age group-stratified numbers of gastrostomy per 100 000 individuals decreased by -33.9% (≥90 years group) to -6.1% (65-69 years group) from 2014 to 2019. The implementation rate of the swallowing function assessment remained relatively low, despite a slight increase (21.4% in 2015 to 23.7% in 2019). CONCLUSION: We showed that the total number of gastrostomies remained almost stable after 2016 despite population aging. We considered that the avoidance of gastrostomy in frail or disabled older adults might explain the decrease, particularly for those aged over 80 years. Our findings would regain attention to appropriate decision-making for gastrostomy. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2022; 22: 648-652.

Drug prescribing changes in the last year of life among homebound older adults: national retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to evaluate the prescription patterns of drugs during the last year of life in homebound older adults who received home medical care. METHODS: We used a nationwide claims database in Japan and selected older adults aged ≥75 years who received home medical care services from ≥12 months before their death. We evaluated medications prescribed 12 months before death (month 12), 3 months before death (month 3) and in the last month of life (month 1). We explored the factors associated with the decreased number of cardiovascular preventive drugs from month 12 to both month 3 and month 1. RESULTS: A total of 118 661 participants were included, and the majority were aged ≥90 years and women. The prevalence of cardiovascular preventive drugs decreased but remained common in month 1, which included antihypertensives (34.7%), antiplatelets (15.9%), oral anticoagulants (7.6%), antidiabetic drugs (7.3%) and lipid-lowering drugs (6.1%). The relative decrease from month 12 to month 1 was the largest for lipid-lowering drugs (44.8%) and the smallest for oral anticoagulants (13.6%). Among other drugs, laxatives (enema), antiemetics, oral corticosteroids, analgesics, expectorants, bronchodilators and antibiotics showed a large relative increase. Older age, duration of home medical care services for <1 year and diagnoses of cancer, dementia and Parkinson's disease were associated with a greater likelihood of a decreased number of cardiovascular preventive drugs. CONCLUSIONS: There is room for deprescribing to avoid inappropriate polypharmacy by balancing preventive and symptom management drugs in those receiving home medical care with a limited life expectancy.

Association of Oral Function and Dysphagia with Frailty and Sarcopenia in Community-Dwelling Older Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Studies investigating the associations of oral function and dysphagia with frailty and sarcopenia in community-dwelling older adults are increasing; however, they have not been systematically summarized. We conducted a systematic review to investigate these associations. We searched electronic databases and synthesized relevant data using conventional (frequentist-style) and Bayesian meta-analyses. Twenty-four studies were found to be eligible for our review, including 20 cross-sectional and four prospective cohort studies. Older adults with frailty or sarcopenia had lower tongue pressure, according to the results of conventional meta-analysis (mean difference [95% confidence interval or credible interval]: -6.80 kPa [-10.22 to -3.38] for frailty and -5.40 kPa [-6.62 to -4.17] for sarcopenia) and Bayesian meta-analysis (-6.90 kPa [-9.0 to -4.8] for frailty, -5.35 kPa [-6.78 to -3.89] for sarcopenia). People with frailty had a higher odds ratio (OR) for dysphagia according to the results of conventional meta-analysis (3.99 [2.17 to 7.32]) and Bayesian meta-analysis (1.38 [0.77 to 1.98]). However, the results were inconclusive for people with sarcopenia. A prospective association could not be determined because of the lack of information and the limited number of studies. Decreased oral function and dysphagia can be important characteristics of frailty and sarcopenia in community-dwelling older adults.

Development and validation of a risk score to predict the frequent emergency house calls among older people who receive regular home visits.

BACKGROUND: The demand for home healthcare is increasing in Japan, and a 24-hour on-call system could be a burden for primary care physicians. Identifying high-risk patients who need frequent emergency house calls could help physicians prepare and allocate medical resources. The aim of the present study was to develop a risk score to predict the frequent emergency house calls in patients who receive regular home visits. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study with linked medical and long-term care claims data from two Japanese cities. Participants were ≥ 65 years of age and had newly started regular home visits between July 2014 and March 2018 in Tsukuba city and between July 2012 and March 2017 in Kashiwa city. We followed up with patients a year after they began the regular home visits or until the month following the end of the regular home visits if this was completed within 1 year. We calculated the average number of emergency house calls per month by dividing the total number of emergency house calls by the number of months that each person received regular home visits (1-13 months). The primary outcome was the "frequent" emergency house calls, defined as its use once per month or more, on average, during the observation period. We used the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression with 10-fold cross-validation to build the model from 19 candidate variables. The predictive performance was assessed with the area under the curve (AUC). RESULTS: Among 4888 eligible patients, frequent emergency house calls were observed in 13.0% of participants (634/4888). The risk score included three variables with the following point assignments: home oxygen therapy (3 points); long-term care need level 4-5 (1 point); cancer (4 points). While the AUC of a model that included all candidate variables was 0.734, the AUC of the 3-risk score model was 0.707, suggesting good discrimination. CONCLUSIONS: This easy-to-use risk score would be useful for assessing high-risk patients and would allow the burden on primary care physicians to be reduced through measures such as clustering high-risk patients in well-equipped medical facilities.

Postoperative Pain Treatment in Patients with Dementia: A Retrospective Observational Study.

BACKGROUND: Inadequate postoperative analgesia has been noted in patients with dementia, but this topic has only been studied in hip fractures. This study aimed to examine whether the duration of postoperative analgesia associated with three surgical procedures was shorter in patients with dementia than in those without dementia. METHODS: This retrospective observational study was based on a nationwide discharge database of acute care hospitals in Japan and included patients aged ≥ 65 years diagnosed with lung cancer, rectal cancer, or hip fracture, who underwent surgery in 366 hospitals between April 2013 and September 2018. The primary outcome was the incidence of injectable analgesic use during the postoperative hospital stay. The number of person-days of opioid, non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug, or acetaminophen use was calculated for patients with and without dementia after each surgery using generalized estimating equations to obtain the age-adjusted incidence per 100 person-days. RESULTS: Among the 32,379 patients included, 4828 (14.9%) had dementia. The duration of opioid administration per 100 person-days was 14% shorter in patients with dementia than in those without dementia after open rectal cancer surgery (incidence rate ratio [IRR] 0.86; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.74-1.00) and 20% shorter in patients with dementia after open lung cancer surgery (IRR 0.80; 95% CI 0.70-0.91). In patients who underwent thoracoscopic lung cancer surgery, laparoscopic rectal cancer surgery, or hip replacement surgery, the duration of opioid administration was shorter in patients with dementia than in those without dementia, but the difference was not statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: The length of postoperative opioid administration after lung and rectal cancer surgery was reduced in patients with dementia, suggesting that the duration of postoperative analgesia in patients with dementia may be insufficient. More careful pain assessment and management of postoperative analgesia in these patients may be necessary.