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PURPOSE: Novel interventions for the prevention or treatment of acute kidney injury (AKI) are currently lacking. To facilitate the evaluation and adoption of new treatments, the use of the most appropriate design and endpoints for clinical trials in AKI is critical and yet there is little consensus regarding these issues. We aimed to develop recommendations on endpoints and trial design for studies of AKI prevention and treatment interventions based on existing data and expert consensus. METHODS: At the 31st Acute Disease Quality Initiative (ADQI) meeting, international experts in critical care, nephrology, involving adults and pediatrics, biostatistics and people with lived experience (PWLE) were assembled. We focused on four main areas: (1) patient enrichment strategies, (2) prevention and attenuation studies, (3) treatment studies, and (4) innovative trial designs of studies other than traditional (parallel arm or cluster) randomized controlled trials. Using a modified Delphi process, recommendations and consensus statements were developed based on existing data, with > 90% agreement among panel members required for final adoption. RESULTS: The panel developed 12 consensus statements for clinical trial endpoints, application of enrichment strategies where appropriate, and inclusion of PWLE to inform trial designs. Innovative trial designs were also considered. CONCLUSION: The current lack of specific therapy for prevention or treatment of AKI demands refinement of future clinical trial design. Here we report the consensus findings of the 31st ADQI group meeting which has attempted to address these issues including the use of predictive and prognostic enrichment strategies to enable appropriate patient selection.
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Injúria Renal Aguda , Ensaios Clínicos como Assunto , Projetos de Pesquisa , Humanos , Injúria Renal Aguda/terapia , Injúria Renal Aguda/prevenção & controle , Projetos de Pesquisa/normas , Ensaios Clínicos como Assunto/normas , Ensaios Clínicos como Assunto/métodos , Consenso , Técnica DelphiRESUMO
Introduction: Elevated skin autofluorescence (SAF), a measure of tissue accumulation of advanced glycation end products (AGEs), is a strong predictor of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the hemodialysis population. However, prospective studies investigating the association between changes in SAF over time and mortality are scarce. We therefore aimed to investigate the prognostic value of SAF trend for predicting mortality in a hemodialysis population. Methods: We enrolled 120 patients on hemodialysis in a 5-year observational, prospective study. SAF was measured at baseline, 3, 6, 9, 12, and 24 months. Rate of change in SAF (i.e., SAF trend) was calculated using linear regression. Time to event was the number of days from baseline to death, kidney transplantation, or March 31, 2022. Results: Mean age, mean baseline SAF, and median SAF trend were 65 ± 14 years, 3.4 ± 0.9 arbitrary units (AU), and an increase of 0.1 (-0.1 to 0.4) AU/yr, respectively. Median observation time was 42 months, during which 59 participants (49%) died. Univariable analysis identified age, history of smoking, lower serum albumin, higher baseline SAF, and increase in SAF as significant predictors of higher mortality. In multivariable analysis, higher baseline SAF (hazard ratio: 1.45; 95% confidence interval: 1.08-1.94; P = 0.01) and increasing SAF trend (2.37 [1.43-3.93]; P < 0.001) were independent predictors of increased mortality. Conclusion: An increasing SAF trend and higher baseline SAF were independent predictors of all-cause mortality in this hemodialysis population, suggesting that monitoring of SAF may have clinical utility. Strategies to improve outcomes by reducing or preventing the increase in SAF should now be investigated in prospective studies.
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Background: Hip fractures in frail patients result in excess mortality not accounted for by age or comorbidities. The mechanisms behind the high risk of mortality remain undetermined but are hypothesized to be related to the inflammatory status of frail patients. Methods: In a prospective observational exploratory cohort study of hospitalized frail hip fracture patients, 92 inflammatory markers were tested in pre-operative serum samples and markers were tested against 6-month survival post-hip fracture surgery and incidence of acute kidney injury (AKI). After correcting for multiple testing, adjustments for comorbidities and demographics were performed on the statistically significant markers. Results: Of the 92 markers tested, circulating levels of fibroblast growth factor 23 (FGF-23) and interleukin-15 receptor alpha (IL15RA), both involved in renal disease, were significantly correlated with 6-month mortality (27.5% overall) after correcting for multiple testing. The incidence of postoperative AKI (25.4%) was strongly associated with 6-month mortality, odds ratio = 10.57; 95% CI [2.76-40.51], and with both markers plus estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)- cystatin C (CYSC) but not eGFR-CRE. The effect of these markers on mortality was significantly mediated by their effect on postoperative AKI. Conclusion: High postoperative mortality in frail hip fracture patients is highly correlated with preoperative biomarkers of renal function in this pilot study. The effect of preoperative circulating levels of FGF-23, IL15RA, and eGFR-CYSC on 6-month mortality is in part mediated by their effect on postoperative AKI. Creatinine-derived preoperative renal function measures were very poorly correlated with postoperative outcomes in this group.
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Injúria Renal Aguda , Biomarcadores , Fator de Crescimento de Fibroblastos 23 , Fraturas do Quadril , Humanos , Fraturas do Quadril/cirurgia , Fraturas do Quadril/mortalidade , Fraturas do Quadril/sangue , Masculino , Feminino , Biomarcadores/sangue , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Injúria Renal Aguda/mortalidade , Injúria Renal Aguda/etiologia , Injúria Renal Aguda/sangue , Injúria Renal Aguda/diagnóstico , Estudos Prospectivos , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/sangue , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/mortalidade , Complicações Pós-Operatórias/etiologia , Fatores de Crescimento de Fibroblastos/sangue , Taxa de Filtração Glomerular , Inflamação/sangue , Período Pré-OperatórioRESUMO
Fibrosis, driven by fibroblast activities, is an important contributor to morbidity and mortality in most chronic diseases. Endotrophin, a signaling molecule derived from processing of type VI collagen by highly activated fibroblasts, is involved in fibrotic tissue remodeling. Circulating levels of endotrophin have been associated with an increased risk of mortality in multiple chronic diseases. We conducted a systematic literature review collecting evidence from original papers published between 2012 and January 2023 that reported associations between circulating endotrophin (PROC6) and mortality. Cohorts with data available to the study authors were included in an Individual Patient Data (IPD) meta-analysis that evaluated the association of PROC6 with mortality (PROSPERO registration number: CRD42023340215) after adjustment for age, sex and BMI, where available. In the IPD meta-analysis including sixteen cohorts of patients with different non-communicable chronic diseases (NCCDs) (N = 15,205) the estimated summary hazard ratio for 3-years all-cause mortality was 2.10 (95 % CI 1.75-2.52) for a 2-fold increase in PROC6, with some heterogeneity observed between the studies (I2=70 %). This meta-analysis is the first study documenting that fibroblast activities, as quantified by circulating endotrophin, are independently associated with mortality across a broad range of NCCDs. This indicates that, irrespective of disease, interstitial tissue remodeling, and consequently fibroblast activities, has a central role in adverse clinical outcomes, and should be considered with urgency from drug developers as a target to treat.
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Biomarcadores , Humanos , Doença Crônica , Biomarcadores/sangue , Colágeno Tipo VI/sangue , Colágeno Tipo VI/metabolismo , Colágeno Tipo VI/genética , Fibroblastos/metabolismo , Fibroblastos/patologia , Fibrose , Fragmentos de PeptídeosRESUMO
Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a major healthcare challenge, affecting >800 million people worldwide. Implications for population health result from the strong associations of CKD with increased rates of cardiovascular disease, heart failure, progressive CKD leading to kidney failure, acute kidney injury (AKI), and mortality. In addition to a single disease perspective, CKD commonly coexists alongside other long-term conditions, in particular type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease. CKD is therefore an important component of multimorbidity that influences individual management and impacts prognosis. CKD is defined by abnormalities of kidney structure or function of any cause with implications for health that are present for longer than 3 months. The diagnosis is usually made on the basis of an abnormal glomerular filtration rate (GFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2) and/or the presence of proteinuria (urine albumin to creatinine ratio > 30 mg/g or >3 mg/mmol). GFR is usually estimated from serum creatinine concentration using a variety of validated equations. However, serum creatinine is closely related to muscle mass and may therefore not be an accurate marker of GFR in people with high or low muscle mass (sarcopaenia). Cystatin C is an alternative endogenous marker of GFR that is increasingly being used but also has limitations. An estimate of GFR based on both creatinine and cystatin C is the most accurate. Diagnosis should be followed by classification and risk stratification to guide the development of a risk-based, personalized care plan. Improved detection and widespread implementation of optimal CKD management has the potential to bring major benefits to population health.
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There has been growing interest in using quantitative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to describe and understand the pathophysiology of acute kidney injury (AKI). The ability to assess kidney blood flow, perfusion, oxygenation, and changes in tissue microstructure at repeated timepoints is hugely appealing, as this offers new possibilities to describe nature and severity of AKI, track the time-course to recovery or progression to chronic kidney disease (CKD), and may ultimately provide a method to noninvasively assess response to new therapies. This could have significant clinical implications considering that AKI is common (affecting more than 13 million people globally every year), harmful (associated with short and long-term morbidity and mortality), and currently lacks specific treatments. However, this is also a challenging area to study. After the kidney has been affected by an initial insult that leads to AKI, complex coexisting processes ensue, which may recover or can progress to CKD. There are various preclinical models of AKI (from which most of our current understanding derives), and these differ from each other but more importantly from clinical AKI. These aspects are fundamental to interpreting the results of the different AKI studies in which renal MRI has been used, which encompass different settings of AKI and a variety of MRI measures acquired at different timepoints. This review aims to provide a comprehensive description and interpretation of current studies (both preclinical and clinical) in which MRI has been used to assess AKI, and discuss future directions in the field. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 1 TECHNICAL EFFICACY: Stage 3.
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BACKGROUND: Ischaemic end-organ damage during haemodialysis (HD) is a significant problem that may be ameliorated by intradialytic cooling. A randomised trial was performed to compare standard HD (SHD; dialysate temperature 37°C) and programmed cooling of the dialysate [thermocontrolled HD (TCHD)] using multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to assess structural, functional and blood flow changes in the heart, brain and kidneys. METHODS: Prevalent HD patients were randomly allocated to receive either SHD or TCHD for 2 weeks before undergoing serial MRI at four time points: pre-, during (30 min and 180 min) and post-dialysis. MRI measures include cardiac index, myocardial strain, longitudinal relaxation time (T1), myocardial perfusion, internal carotid and basilar artery flow, grey matter perfusion and total kidney volume. Participants then crossed to the other modality to repeat the study protocol. RESULTS: Eleven participants completed the study. Separation in blood temperature between TCHD (-0.1 ± 0.3°C) and SHD (+0.3 ± 0.2°C; P = .022) was observed, although there was no difference in tympanic temperature changes between arms. There were significant intradialytic reductions in cardiac index, cardiac contractility (left ventricular strain), left carotid and basilar artery blood flow velocities, total kidney volume, longitudinal relaxation time (T1) of the renal cortex and transverse relaxation rate (T2*) of the renal cortex and medulla, but no differences between arms. Pre-dialysis T1 of the myocardium and left ventricular wall mass index were lower after 2 weeks of TCHD compared with SHD [1266 ms (interquartile range 1250-1291) versus 1311 ± 58 ms, P = .02; 66 ± 22 g/m2 versus 72 ± 23 g/m2, P = .004]. CONCLUSIONS: HD adversely affects cardiac function, reduces carotid and basilar artery blood flow and total kidney volume, but mild dialysate cooling using a biofeedback module did not result in differences in intradialytic MRI measures compared with SHD.
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Falência Renal Crônica , Diálise Renal , Humanos , Diálise Renal/efeitos adversos , Diálise Renal/métodos , Rim , Soluções para Diálise , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Encéfalo/diagnóstico por imagemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Multiparametric renal Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) provides a non-invasive method to assess kidney structure and function, but longitudinal studies are limited. METHODS: A total of 22 patients with CKD category G3-4 (estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) 15-59 mL/min/1.73 m2) were recruited. Annual 3T multiparametric renal MRI scans were performed, comprising total kidney volume (TKV), longitudinal relaxation time (T1), apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC), Arterial Spin Labelling, and Blood Oxygen Level Dependent relaxation time (T2*), with 15 patients completing a Year 2 scan. CKD progression over 2 years was defined as eGFR_slope ≥ -5 mL/min/1.73 m2/year. RESULTS: At baseline, T1 was higher (cortex p = 0.05, medulla p = 0.03) and cortex perfusion lower (p = 0.015) in participants with subsequent progression versus stable eGFR. A significant decrease in TKV and ADC and an increase in cortex T1 occurred in progressors at Year 1 and Year 2, with a significant decrease in perfusion in progressors only at Year 2. The only decline in the stable group was a reduction in TKV. There was no significant change in cortex or medulla T2* at Year 1 or Year 2 for progressors or stable participants. CONCLUSION: Lower renal cortex perfusion and higher T1 in the cortex and medulla may predict CKD progression, while renal cortex T1, TKV, and ADC may be useful to monitor progression. This study provides pilot data for future large-scale studies.
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A number of systems of feedback control during dialysis have been developed, which have the shared characteristic of prospectively measuring physiological parameters and then automatically altering dialysis parameters in real time according to a pre-specified dialysis prescription. These include feedback systems aimed at reducing intradialytic hypotension based on relative blood volume monitoring linked to adjustments in ultrafiltration and dialysate conductivity, and blood temperature monitoring linked to alterations in dialysate temperature. Feedback systems also exist that manipulate sodium balance during dialysis by assessing and adjusting dialysate conductivity. In this review article, we discuss the rationale for automated feedback systems during dialysis, describe how the different feedback systems work, and provide a review of the current evidence on their clinical effectiveness.
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PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common syndrome characterized by a sudden reduction in kidney function. It is strongly associated with high mortality and longer, more expensive hospital stays. As AKI often presents silently, a lack of recognition can prevent recommended standards of care. Over the last decade or more, electronic alerts (eAlerts) for AKI have been studied and implemented to address this. This review will summarize the major randomized trials in this area. RECENT FINDINGS: A number of randomized trials now exist that study the effectiveness of AKI eAlerts in isolation or as part of more complex interventions. Varying results arise from differences in study design, healthcare system in which the eAlert is introduced, nature of alert, supporting interventions, implementation plan, stated aim (prevention or treatment of established AKI) and choice of outcome measures. SUMMARY: Current randomized trial evidence does not show any benefit of eAlerts on mortality. However, variously reported reductions in AKI incidence, AKI progression and AKI duration support a conclusion that strategies incorporating eAlerts can meaningfully benefit delivery of AKI care. Future work should consider how best eAlerts can be utilised, targeted and implemented.
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Injúria Renal Aguda , Humanos , Diagnóstico Precoce , Injúria Renal Aguda/diagnóstico , Injúria Renal Aguda/terapia , IncidênciaRESUMO
Acute kidney injury (AKI), which is a common complication of acute illnesses, affects the health of individuals in community, acute care and post-acute care settings. Although the recognition, prevention and management of AKI has advanced over the past decades, its incidence and related morbidity, mortality and health care burden remain overwhelming. The rapid growth of digital technologies has provided a new platform to improve patient care, and reports show demonstrable benefits in care processes and, in some instances, in patient outcomes. However, despite great progress, the potential benefits of using digital technology to manage AKI has not yet been fully explored or implemented in clinical practice. Digital health studies in AKI have shown variable evidence of benefits, and the digital divide means that access to digital technologies is not equitable. Upstream research and development costs, limited stakeholder participation and acceptance, and poor scalability of digital health solutions have hindered their widespread implementation and use. Here, we provide recommendations from the Acute Disease Quality Initiative consensus meeting, which involved experts in adult and paediatric nephrology, critical care, pharmacy and data science, at which the use of digital health for risk prediction, prevention, identification and management of AKI and its consequences was discussed.
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Injúria Renal Aguda , Nefrologia , Adulto , Criança , Humanos , Doença Aguda , Consenso , Injúria Renal Aguda/diagnóstico , Injúria Renal Aguda/terapia , Injúria Renal Aguda/etiologia , Cuidados CríticosRESUMO
Acute kidney injury (AKI) is associated with adverse long-term outcomes, but many studies are retrospective, focused on specific patient groups or lack adequate comparators. The ARID (AKI Risk in Derby) Study was a five-year prospective parallel-group cohort study to examine this. Hospitalized cohorts with and without exposure to AKI were matched 1:1 for age, baseline kidney function, and diabetes. Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and the urinary albumin:creatinine ratio (uACR) were measured at three-months, one-, three- and five-years. Outcomes included kidney disease progression, heart failure episodes and mortality. In 866 matched individuals, kidney disease progression at five years was found to be significantly increased in 30% of the exposed group versus 7% of those non-exposed (adjusted odds ratio 2.49 [95% confidence interval 1.43 to 4.36]). In the AKI group, this was largely characterized by incomplete recovery of kidney function by three months. Further episodes of AKI during follow-up were significantly more common in the exposed group (odds ratio 2.71 [1.94 to 3.77]) and had an additive effect on risk of kidney disease progression. Mortality and heart failure episodes were more frequent in the exposed group, but the association with AKI was no longer significant when models were adjusted for three-month eGFR and uACR. In a general hospitalized population, kidney disease progression after five years was common and strongly associated with AKI. Thus, the time course of changes and the attenuation of associations with adverse outcomes after adjustment for three-month eGFR and uACR suggest non-recovery of kidney function is an important assessment in post-AKI care and a potential future target for intervention. STUDY REGISTRATION: ISRCTN25405995.
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Injúria Renal Aguda , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Humanos , Estudos de Coortes , Estudos Retrospectivos , Estudos Prospectivos , Injúria Renal Aguda/diagnóstico , Injúria Renal Aguda/epidemiologia , Injúria Renal Aguda/etiologia , Insuficiência Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Taxa de Filtração Glomerular , Rim , Progressão da Doença , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: Haemodialysis extends life for people with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) worldwide, but it imposes significant psychosocial burdens and there is little evidence about successful adjustment. This study aimed to improve understanding of successful psychosocial adjustment to in-centre haemodialysis (ICHD; dialysis in a hospital or satellite unit). METHODS: Individual semi-structured interviews were conducted with a purposive sample of 18 people with ESKD who had all received in-centre haemodialysis in the UK for at least 90 days in the last two years. An inductive thematic analysis was employed to identify themes from the verbatim interview transcripts. RESULTS: There were four themes: 1) reaching a state of acceptance, which described the importance of accepting the necessity of dialysis; 2) taking an active role in treatment, which described how being actively involved in treatment gave participants greater feelings of autonomy and control; 3) utilising social support networks, which described the benefits of instrumental and emotional support; and 4) building emotional resilience, which described the importance of optimism and positivity. CONCLUSIONS: The themes demonstrated elements of successful adjustment that could be targeted by interventions to promote psychological flexibility and positive adjustment among people receiving in-centre haemodialysis worldwide.
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BACKGROUND: National Health Service England issued a Patient Safety Alert in 2014 mandating all acute Trusts in England to implement Acute Kidney Injury (AKI) warning stage results and to do so using a standardised algorithm. In 2021, the Renal and Pathology Getting It Right First Time (GIRFT) teams found significant variation in AKI reporting across the UK. A survey was designed to capture information on the entire AKI detection and alerting process to investigate the potential sources of this unwarranted variation. METHODS: In August 2021, an online survey consisting of 54 questions was made available to all UK laboratories. The questions covered creatinine assays, laboratory information management systems (LIMS), the AKI algorithm and AKI reporting. RESULTS: We received 101 responses from laboratories. Data were reviewed for England only - 91 laboratories. Findings included that 72% used enzymatic creatinine. In addition, 7 manufacturer-analytical platforms, 15 different LIMS and a wide range of creatinine reference ranges were in use. In 68% of laboratories, the AKI algorithm was installed by the LIMS provider. Marked variation was found in the minimum age of AKI reporting with only 18% starting at the recommended 1 month/28-days. Some 89% phoned all new AKI2s and AKI3s, as per AKI guidance while 76% provided comments/hyperlinks in reports. CONCLUSIONS: The national survey has identified laboratory practices that potentially contribute to unwarranted variation in the reporting of AKI in the England. This has formed the basis for improvement work to remedy the situation, including national recommendations, included within this article.
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Injúria Renal Aguda , Medicina Estatal , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Creatinina , Inglaterra , Injúria Renal Aguda/diagnóstico , LaboratóriosRESUMO
Recent advances in multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) allow multiple quantitative measures to assess kidney morphology, tissue microstructure, oxygenation, kidney blood flow, and perfusion to be collected in a single scan session. Animal and clinical studies have investigated the relationship between the different MRI measures and biological processes, although their interpretation can be complex due to variations in study design and generally small participant numbers. However, emerging themes include the apparent diffusion coefficient derived from diffusion-weighted imaging, T1 and T2 mapping parameters, and cortical perfusion being consistently associated with kidney damage and predicting kidney function decline. Blood oxygen level-dependent (BOLD) MRI has shown inconsistent associations with kidney damage markers but has been predictive of kidney function decline in several studies. Therefore, multiparametric MRI of the kidneys has the potential to address the limitations of existing diagnostic methods to provide a noninvasive, noncontrast, and radiation-free method to assess whole kidney structure and function. Barriers to be overcome to facilitate widespread clinical application include improved understanding of biological factors that impact MRI measures, development of a larger evidence base for clinical utility, standardization of MRI protocols, automation of data analysis, determining optimal combination of MRI measures, and health economic evaluation.
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Nefropatias , Oxigênio , Animais , Humanos , Rim/patologia , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética/métodos , Nefropatias/patologia , Circulação RenalRESUMO
RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: The role of plasma soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor 1 (sTNFR1) and sTNFR2 in the prognosis of clinical events after hospitalization with or without acute kidney injury (AKI) is unknown. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective cohort. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Hospital survivors from the ASSESS-AKI (Assessment, Serial Evaluation, and Subsequent Sequelae of Acute Kidney Injury) and ARID (AKI Risk in Derby) studies with and without AKI during the index hospitalization who had baseline serum samples for biomarker measurements. PREDICTORS: We measured sTNFR1 and sTNFR2 from plasma samples obtained 3 months after discharge. OUTCOMES: The associations of biomarkers with longitudinal kidney disease incidence and progression, heart failure, and death were evaluated. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS: Among 1,474 participants with plasma biomarker measurements, 19% had kidney disease progression, 14% had later heart failure, and 21% died during a median follow-up of 4.4 years. For the kidney outcome, the adjusted HRs (AHRs) per doubling in concentration were 2.9 (95% CI, 2.2-3.9) for sTNFR1 and 1.9 (95% CI, 1.5-2.5) for sTNFR2. AKI during the index hospitalization did not modify the association between biomarkers and kidney events. For heart failure, the AHRs per doubling in concentration were 1.9 (95% CI, 1.4-2.5) for sTNFR1 and 1.5 (95% CI, 1.2-2.0) for sTNFR2. For mortality, the AHRs were 3.3 (95% CI, 2.5-4.3) for sTNFR1 and 2.5 (95% CI, 2.0-3.1) for sTNFR2. The findings in ARID were qualitatively similar in terms of the magnitude of association between biomarkers and outcomes. LIMITATIONS: Different biomarker platforms and AKI definitions; limited generalizability to other ethnic groups. CONCLUSIONS: Plasma sTNFR1 and sTNFR2 measured 3 months after hospital discharge were independently associated with clinical events regardless of AKI status during the index admission. sTNFR1 and sTNFR2 may assist with the risk stratification of patients during follow-up.
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Injúria Renal Aguda , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Humanos , Estudos Prospectivos , Receptores do Fator de Necrose Tumoral , Injúria Renal Aguda/epidemiologia , Hospitalização , BiomarcadoresRESUMO
Background: AKI involves a rapid decrease in kidney function that may be associated with structural damage. Early markers predicting AKI are emerging, but tools to assess patients' long-term health risks after AKI are still lacking. Endotrophin (ETP) is a bioactive molecule released during the formation of collagen type VI. We evaluated the potential of circulating ETP as a prognostic biomarker of adverse outcomes after AKI. Methods: We measured ETP in plasma samples collected 1 year after an episode of AKI, using the PRO-C6 ELISA in 801 patients (393 patients with AKI and 408 controls) from the prospective AKI Risk in Derby (ARID) study (ISRCTN25405995), who were then followed until year 3. Kidney disease progression was defined as ≥25% decline in eGFR combined with a decline in CKD stage. Results: ETP levels were significantly higher in the AKI group compared with controls (P<0.001). In the AKI group, ETP could discriminate patients with kidney disease progression at year 3 (AUC=0.67, P<0.01), whereas eGFR could not (AUC=0.51, P=0.57). In logistic regression including common risk factors, ETP was independently associated with kidney disease progression in patients with AKI (OR=1.10, P<0.01). ETP could discriminate survivors from nonsurvivors at year 3 (AUC=0.64, P<0.01). In a Cox proportional hazards regression for mortality after AKI that included common risk factors, only ETP (HR=1.05; P<0.001) and age (HR=1.06, P<0.01) were retained in the final model. Conclusions: Patients in the AKI group had higher levels of plasma ETP at year 1 as compared with those who had not had AKI. In the AKI group, ETP levels predict kidney disease progression and mortality. Because ETP is a profibrotic molecule, our findings may indicate that ETP identifies patients with active fibrogenesis after AKI, suggestive of long-term renal remodeling, which is associated with patient outcome.