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1.
PLoS One ; 17(11): e0272919, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36409727

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Hospital-acquired infections of communicable viral diseases (CVDs) have been posing a tremendous challenge to healthcare workers globally. Healthcare personnel (HCP) is facing a consistent risk of viral infections, and subsequently higher rates of morbidity and mortality. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We proposed a domain-knowledge-driven infection risk model to quantify the individual HCP and the population-level risks. For individual-level risk estimation, a time-variant infection risk model is proposed to capture the transmission dynamics of CVDs. At the population-level, the infection risk is estimated using a Bayesian network model constructed from three feature sets, including individual-level factors, engineering control factors, and administrative control factors. For model validation, we investigated the case study of the Coronavirus disease, in which the individual-level and population-level infection risk models were applied. The data were collected from various sources such as COVID-19 transmission databases, health surveys/questionaries from medical centers, U.S. Department of Labor databases, and cross-sectional studies. RESULTS: Regarding the individual-level risk model, the variance-based sensitivity analysis indicated that the uncertainty in the estimated risk was attributed to two variables: the number of close contacts and the viral transmission probability. Next, the disease transmission probability was computed using a multivariate logistic regression applied for a cross-sectional HCP data in the UK, with the 10-fold cross-validation accuracy of 78.23%. Combined with the previous result, we further validated the individual infection risk model by considering six occupations in the U.S. Department of Labor O*Net database. The occupation-specific risk evaluation suggested that the registered nurses, medical assistants, and respiratory therapists were the highest-risk occupations. For the population-level risk model validation, the infection risk in Texas and California was estimated, in which the infection risk in Texas was lower than that in California. This can be explained by California's higher patient load for each HCP per day and lower personal protective equipment (PPE) sufficiency level. CONCLUSION: The accurate estimation of infection risk at both individual level and population levels using our domain-knowledge-driven infection risk model will significantly enhance the PPE allocation, safety plans for HCP, and hospital staffing strategies.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Infecção Hospitalar , Viroses , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Estudos Transversais , Teorema de Bayes , Infecção Hospitalar/prevenção & controle , Recursos Humanos em Hospital , Hospitais , Atenção à Saúde
2.
Clocks Sleep ; 3(2): 274-288, 2021 May 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34063579

RESUMO

The rapid growth of point-of-care polysomnographic alternatives has necessitated standardized evaluation and validation frameworks. The current average across participant validation methods may overestimate the agreement between wearable sleep tracker devices and polysomnography (PSG) systems because of the high base rate of sleep during the night and the interindividual difference across the sampling population. This study proposes an evaluation framework to assess the aggregating differences of the sleep architecture features and the chronologically epoch-by-epoch mismatch of the wearable sleep tracker devices and the PSG ground truth. An AASM-based sleep stage categorizing method was proposed to standardize the sleep stages scored by different types of wearable trackers. Sleep features and sleep stage architecture were extracted from the PSG and the wearable device's hypnograms. Therefrom, a localized quantifier index was developed to characterize the local mismatch of sleep scoring. We evaluated different commonly used wearable sleep tracking devices with the data collected from 22 different subjects over 30 nights of 8-h sleeping. The proposed localization quantifiers can characterize the chronologically localized mismatches over the sleeping time. The outperformance of the proposed method over existing evaluation methods was reported. The proposed evaluation method can be utilized for the improvement of the sensor design and scoring algorithm.

3.
Artif Intell Med ; 115: 102056, 2021 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34001316

RESUMO

Disease pathogenesis, a type of domain knowledge about biological mechanisms leading to diseases, has not been adequately encoded in machine-learning-based medical diagnostic models because of the inter-patient variabilities and complex dependencies of the underlying pathogenetic mechanisms. We propose 1) a novel pathogenesis probabilistic graphical model (PPGM) to quantify the dynamics underpinning patient-specific data and pathogenetic domain knowledge, 2) a Bayesian-based inference paradigm to answer the medical queries and forecast acute onsets. The PPGM model consists of two components: a Bayesian network of patient attributes and a temporal model of pathogenetic mechanisms. The model structure was reconstructed from expert knowledge elicitation, and its parameters were estimated using Variational Expectation-Maximization algorithms. We benchmarked our model with two well-established hidden Markov models (HMMs) - Input-output HMM (IO-HMM) and Switching Auto-Regressive HMM (SAR-HMM) - to evaluate the computational costs, forecasting performance, and execution time. Two case studies on Obstructive Sleep Apnea (OSA) and Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation (PAF) were used to validate the model. While the performance of the parameter learning step was equivalent to those of IO-HMM and SAR-HMM models, our model forecasting ability was outperforming those two models. The merits of the PPGM model are its representation capability to capture the dynamics of pathogenesis and perform medical inferences and its interpretability for physicians. The model has been used to perform medical queries and forecast the acute onset of OSA and PAF. Additional applications of the model include prognostic healthcare and preventive personalized treatments.


Assuntos
Algoritmos , Modelos Estatísticos , Teorema de Bayes , Previsões , Humanos , Cadeias de Markov
4.
J Clin Sleep Med ; 17(5): 1103-1107, 2021 05 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33599202

RESUMO

NONE: The COVID-19 pandemic led to widespread use of telemedicine and highlighted its importance in improving access to sleep care and advocating for sleep health. This update incorporates the lessons learned from such widespread utilization of telehealth to build on the American Academy of Sleep Medicine's 2015 position paper on the use of telemedicine for diagnosing and treating sleep disorders. Important key factors in this update include an emphasis on quality and value, privacy and safety, health advocacy through sleep telemedicine, and future directions.


Assuntos
Transtornos do Sono-Vigília , Telemedicina , Academias e Institutos , COVID-19 , Humanos , Medicina do Sono , Transtornos do Sono-Vigília/diagnóstico , Transtornos do Sono-Vigília/terapia , Telemedicina/estatística & dados numéricos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
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