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1.
J Am Heart Assoc ; 11(13): e023743, 2022 07 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35766293

RESUMO

Background As patients derive variable benefit from generator changes (GCs) of implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICDs) with an original primary prevention (PP) indication, better predictors of outcomes are needed. Methods and Results In the National Cardiovascular Data Registry ICD Registry, patients undergoing GCs of initial non-cardiac resynchronization therapy PP ICDs in 2012 to 2016, predictors of post-GC survival and survival benefit versus control heart failure patients without ICDs were assessed. These included predicted annual mortality based on the Seattle Heart Failure Model, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) >35%, and the probability that a patient's death would be arrhythmic (proportional risk of arrhythmic death [PRAD]). In 40 933 patients undergoing GCs of initial noncardiac resynchronization therapy PP ICDs (age 67.7±12.0 years, 24.5% women, 34.1% with LVEF >35%), Seattle Heart Failure Model-predicted annual mortality had the greatest effect size for decreased post-GC survival (P<0.0001). Patients undergoing GCs of initial noncardiac resynchronization therapy PP ICDs with LVEF >35% had a lower Seattle Heart Failure Model-adjusted survival versus 23 472 control heart failure patients without ICDs (model interaction hazard ratio, 1.21 [95% CI, 1.11-1.31]). In patients undergoing GCs of initial noncardiac resynchonization therapy PP ICDs with LVEF ≤35%, the model indicated worse survival versus controls in the 21% of patients with a PRAD <43% and improved survival in the 10% with PRAD >65%. The association of the PRAD with survival benefit or harm was similar in patients with or without pre-GC ICD therapies. Conclusions Patients who received replacement of an ICD originally implanted for primary prevention and had at the time of GC either LVEF >35% alone or both LVEF ≤35% and PRAD <43% had worse survival versus controls without ICDs.


Assuntos
Desfibriladores Implantáveis , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Idoso , Morte Súbita Cardíaca/etiologia , Morte Súbita Cardíaca/prevenção & controle , Desfibriladores Implantáveis/efeitos adversos , Feminino , Insuficiência Cardíaca/complicações , Insuficiência Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Insuficiência Cardíaca/terapia , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevenção Primária/métodos , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Fatores de Risco , Volume Sistólico , Resultado do Tratamento , Função Ventricular Esquerda
2.
Eur J Heart Fail ; 24(7): 1212-1222, 2022 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35502681

RESUMO

AIMS: Use of implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICD) for primary prevention of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) is limited. We aimed to investigate barriers to ICD use in HFrEF while considering the predicted risk of mortality and SCD. METHOD AND RESULTS: Patients from the SwedeHF registered in 2011-2018 and with an indication for primary prevention ICD were analysed. The Seattle Proportional Risk and Seattle Heart Failure Models were used to predict the proportional SCD and all-cause mortality risk, respectively. A multivariable logistic regression model was fitted to identify independent predictors of ICD use/non-use; Cox regression models to evaluate the interaction between predicted SCD/mortality risk and ICD use for mortality. Of 13 475 patients, only 15.5% had an ICD. Those with higher predicted proportional SCD risk (>45%) had an ∼80% higher likelihood to have an ICD. Other predictors of non-use were follow-up in primary versus specialty care, higher comorbidity burden and lower socioeconomic status. ICD use was associated with lower mortality only in patients with higher predicted SCD and lower mortality risk (34% and 37% relative risk reduction for 3-year all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, respectively). In this subgroup of patients, underuse of ICD was 81.8%. CONCLUSION: In a contemporary registry, only 15.5% of patients with an indication for primary prevention ICD received the device. While a high predicted proportional SCD risk was appropriately linked to ICD use, the lack of specialized follow-up, higher comorbidity burden, and lower socioeconomic status were major unjustified impediments to implementation. Our findings suggest areas for improving ICD use for primary prevention of SCD in clinical practice.


Assuntos
Desfibriladores Implantáveis , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Morte Súbita Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Morte Súbita Cardíaca/etiologia , Morte Súbita Cardíaca/prevenção & controle , Desfibriladores Implantáveis/efeitos adversos , Insuficiência Cardíaca/complicações , Insuficiência Cardíaca/terapia , Humanos , Prevenção Primária/métodos , Fatores de Risco , Volume Sistólico
3.
Europace ; 22(4): 588-597, 2020 04 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32155253

RESUMO

AIMS: Heart failure (HF) is associated with an increased risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD). This study sought to demonstrate the incidence of SCD within a multicentre Japanese registry of HF patients hospitalized for acute decompensation, and externally validate the Seattle Proportional Risk Model (SPRM). METHODS AND RESULTS: We consecutively registered 2240 acute HF patients from academic institutions in Tokyo, Japan. The discrimination and calibration of the SPRM were assessed by the c-statistic, Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic, and visual plotting among non-survivors. Patient-level SPRM predictions and implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) benefit [ICD estimated hazard ratio (HR), derived from the Cox proportional hazards model in the Sudden Cardiac Death in Heart Failure Trial (SCD-HeFT)] was calculated. During the 2-year follow-up, 356 deaths (15.9%) occurred, which included 76 adjudicated SCDs (3.4%) and 280 non-SCDs (12.5%). The SPRM showed acceptable discrimination [c-index = 0.63; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.56-0.70], similar to that of original SPRM-derivation cohort. The calibration plot showed reasonable conformance. Among HF patients with reduced ejection fraction (EF; < 40%), SPRM showed improved discrimination compared with the ICD eligibility criteria (e.g. New York Heart Association functional Class II-III with EF ≤ 35%): c-index = 0.53 (95% CI 0.42-0.63) vs. 0.65 (95% CI 0.55-0.75) for SPRM. Finally, in the subgroup of 246 patients with both EF ≤ 35% and SPRM-predicted risk of ≥ 42.0% (SCD-HeFT defined ICD benefit threshold), mean ICD estimated HR was 0.70 (30% reduction of all-cause mortality by ICD). CONCLUSION: The cumulative incidence of SCD was 3.4% in Japanese HF registry. The SPRM performed reasonably well in Japanese patients and may aid in improving SCD prediction.


Assuntos
Desfibriladores Implantáveis , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Morte Súbita Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Morte Súbita Cardíaca/prevenção & controle , Insuficiência Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Insuficiência Cardíaca/terapia , Humanos , Japão/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Tóquio
4.
Am Heart J ; 222: 93-104, 2020 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32032927

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Patients with heart failure having a low expected probability of arrhythmic death may not benefit from implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICDs). OBJECTIVE: The objective was to validate models to identify cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) candidates who may not require CRT devices with ICD functionality. METHODS: Heart failure (HF) patients with CRT-Ds and non-CRT ICDs from the National Cardiovascular Data Registry and others with no device from 3 separate registries and 3 heart failure trials were analyzed using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression for survival with the Seattle Heart Failure Model (SHFM; estimates overall mortality) and the Seattle Proportional Risk Model (SPRM; estimates proportional risk of arrhythmic death). RESULTS: Among 60,185 patients (age 68.6 ±â€¯11.3 years, 31.9% female) meeting CRT-D criteria, 38,348 had CRT-Ds, 11,389 had non-CRT ICDs, and 10,448 had no device. CRT-D patients had a prominent adjusted survival benefit (HR 0.52, 95% CI 0.50-0.55, P < .0001 versus no device). CRT-D patients with SHFM-predicted 4-year survival ≥81% (median) and a low SPRM-predicted probability of an arrhythmic mode of death ≤42% (median) had an absolute adjusted risk reduction attributable to ICD functionality of just 0.95%/year with the majority of survival benefit (70%) attributable to CRT pacing. In contrast, CRT-D patients with SHFM-predicted survival median had substantially more ICD-attributable benefit (absolute risk reduction of 2.6%/year combined; P < .0001). CONCLUSIONS: The SPRM and SHFM identified a quarter of real-world, primary prevention CRT-D patients with minimal benefit from ICD functionality. Further studies to evaluate CRT pacemakers in these low-risk CRT candidates are indicated.


Assuntos
Terapia de Ressincronização Cardíaca/métodos , Morte Súbita Cardíaca/prevenção & controle , Desfibriladores Implantáveis , Insuficiência Cardíaca/terapia , Prevenção Primária/métodos , Sistema de Registros , Medição de Risco/métodos , Idoso , Morte Súbita Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Morte Súbita Cardíaca/etiologia , Feminino , Seguimentos , Insuficiência Cardíaca/complicações , Insuficiência Cardíaca/mortalidade , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Fatores de Risco , Taxa de Sobrevida/tendências , Suécia/epidemiologia , Fatores de Tempo , Resultado do Tratamento
5.
JACC Heart Fail ; 7(8): 717-724, 2019 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31302052

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: This study aims to identify patients with nonischemic heart failure who are more likely to benefit from implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) implantation by use of established risk prediction models. BACKGROUND: It has been debated whether an ICD for primary prevention reduces mortality in patients with nonischemic heart failure. METHODS: The Seattle Heart Failure Model (SHFM) predicts all-cause mortality whereas the Seattle Proportional Risk Model (SPRM) predicts the proportion of sudden cardiac death (SCD) versus nonsudden death, with a higher score indicating a greater proportion of SCD. We report the effect of ICD implantation on all-cause mortality and SCD, according to median SPRM and SHFM scores in all 1,116 patients enrolled in the DANISH (Danish study to Assess the Efficacy of ICDs in Patients with Non-ischemic Systolic Heart Failure on mortality) trial. RESULTS: Among patients with an SPRM score above the median (n = 558), ICD implantation reduced all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.63; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.43 to 0.94), whereas patients with lower SPRM scores (n = 558) had no effect (HR: 1.08; 95% CI: 0.78 to 1.49, p for interaction = 0.04). The corresponding numbers for SHFM score above and below the median were HR: 0.84; 95% CI: 0.62 to 1.13 and HR: 0.82; 95% CI: 0.53 to 1.28, respectively (p for interaction = 0.980). In 177 patients with upper SPRM/upper SHFM, ICD implantation reduced all-cause mortality (HR: 0.45; 95% CI: 0.25 to 0.80) when compared to 381 patients with lower SPRM/upper SHFM (HR: 1.09; 95% CI: 0.76 to 1.55) (p for interaction <0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Nonischemic heart failure patients with high predicted relative likelihood of SCD, as estimated by higher SPRM score, seemed to benefit from ICD implantation. (DANISH [Danish ICD Study in Patients With Ditaled Cardiomyopathy]; NCT00542945).


Assuntos
Morte Súbita Cardíaca/prevenção & controle , Desfibriladores Implantáveis , Insuficiência Cardíaca/terapia , Mortalidade , Medição de Risco , Idoso , Dinamarca , Feminino , Insuficiência Cardíaca/fisiopatologia , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevenção Primária , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Volume Sistólico
6.
J Card Fail ; 25(7): 561-567, 2019 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30099192

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Precise risk stratification in heart failure (HF) patients enables clinicians to tailor the intensity of their management. The Seattle Heart Failure Model (SHFM), which uses conventional clinical variables for its prediction, is widely used. We aimed to externally validate SHFM in Japanese HF patients with a recent episode of acute decompensation requiring hospital admission. METHODS AND RESULTS: SHFM was applied to 2470 HF patients registered in the West Tokyo Heart Failure and National Cerebral And Cardiovascular Center Acute Decompensated Heart Failure databases from 2006 to 2016. Discrimination and calibration were assessed with the use of the c-statistic and calibration plots, respectively, in HF patients with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF; <40%) and preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF; ≥40%). In a perfectly calibrated model, the slope and intercept would be 1.0 and 0.0, respectively. The method of intercept recalibration was used to update the model. The registered patients (mean age 74 ± 13 y) were predominantly men (62%). Overall, 572 patients (23.2%) died during a mean follow-up of 2.1 years. Among HFrEF patients, SHFM showed good discrimination (c-statistic = 0.75) but miscalibration, tending to overestimate 1-year survival (slope = 0.78; intercept = -0.22). Among HFpEF patients, SHFM showed modest discrimination (c-statistic = 0.69) and calibration, tending to underestimate 1-year survival (slope = 1.18; intercept = 0.16). Intercept recalibration (replacing the baseline survival function) successfully updated the model for HFrEF (slope = 1.03; intercept = -0.04) but not for HFpEF patients. CONCLUSIONS: In Japanese acute HF patients, SHFM showed adequate performance after recalibration among HFrEF patients. Using prediction models to tailor the care for HF patients may improve the allocation of medical resources.


Assuntos
Regras de Decisão Clínica , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Medição de Risco/métodos , Volume Sistólico , Doença Aguda , Idoso , Feminino , Insuficiência Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Insuficiência Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Insuficiência Cardíaca/fisiopatologia , Insuficiência Cardíaca/terapia , Humanos , Japão/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Prognóstico , Sistema de Registros/estatística & dados numéricos , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes
7.
JACC Clin Electrophysiol ; 4(8): 1089-1102, 2018 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30139491

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: The authors previously developed the Seattle Proportional Risk Model (SPRM) in systolic heart failure patients without implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICDs)to predict the proportion of deaths that were sudden. They subsequently validated the SPRM in 2 observational ICD data sets. The objectives in the present study were to determine whether this validated model could improve identification of clinically important variations in the expected magnitude of ICD survival benefit by using a pivotal randomized trial of primary prevention ICD therapy. BACKGROUND: Recent data show that <50% of nominally eligible subjects receive guideline- recommended primary prevention ICDs. METHODS: In the SCD-HeFT (Sudden Cardiac Death in Heart Failure Trial), a placebo-controlled ICD trial in 2,521 patients with an ejection fraction ≤35% and symptomatic heart failure, we tested the use of patient-level SPRM-predicted probability of sudden death (relative to that of non-sudden death) as a summary measurement of the potential for ICD benefit. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate variations in the relationship between patient-level SPRM predictions and ICD benefit. RESULTS: Relative to use of mortality predictions with the Seattle Heart Failure Model, the SPRM was much better at partitioning treatment benefit from ICD therapy (effect size was 2- to 3.6-fold larger for the ICD×SPRM interaction). ICD benefit varied significantly across SPRM-predicted risk quartiles: for all-cause mortality, a +10% increase with ICD therapy in the first quartile (highest risk of death, lowest proportion of sudden death) to a decrease of 66% in the fourth quartile (lowest risk of death, highest proportion of sudden death; p = 0.0013); for sudden death mortality, a 19% reduction in SPRM quartile 1 to 95% reduction in SPRM quartile 4 (p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: In symptomatic systolic heart failure patients with a Class I recommendation for primary prevention ICD therapy, the SPRM offers a useful patient-centric tool for guiding shared decision making.


Assuntos
Morte Súbita Cardíaca/prevenção & controle , Desfibriladores Implantáveis/estatística & dados numéricos , Insuficiência Cardíaca , Idoso , Feminino , Insuficiência Cardíaca/diagnóstico , Insuficiência Cardíaca/mortalidade , Insuficiência Cardíaca/cirurgia , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Guias de Prática Clínica como Assunto , Prognóstico , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Fatores de Risco
8.
JACC Clin Electrophysiol ; 3(3): 291-298, 2017 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28553663

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Prediction of which heart failure patients are most likely to die of sudden death vs. non-sudden death is an important factor in determining who will benefit the most from an ICD. OBJECTIVE: We developed the Seattle Proportional Risk Model (SPRM) to estimate the proportion of total mortality due to sudden death. We prospectively validated the model in HF-ACTION and tested whether the ICD benefit varied with the SPRM. METHODS: Among 2331 patients enrolled, 1947 patients were retained for analysis over a median follow-up of 2.5 years. The SPRM was calculated using age, gender, diabetes, BMI, SBP, EF, NYHA, sodium, creatinine, and digoxin use. RESULTS: ICD use (ICD or CRT-D) was present prior to death in 1204 patients (62%). SPRM was predictive of sudden death vs. non-sudden death in those without an ICD (P=0.002). The hazard ratio representing ICD versus no ICD was 0.63 for all-cause mortality (P=0.0002). The ICD benefit varied with the SPRM for all-cause mortality (P=0.001), with a greater benefit in those with a higher conditional probability of sudden death. CONCLUSIONS: In an ambulatory NYHA II-IV HF population and EF ≤35%, the SPRM was predictive of the proportional risk of sudden vs. non-sudden death. ICDs were associated with a decreased risk of all-cause mortality by 37% and the ICD benefit varied with the SPRM. The SPRM may have utility in risk stratifying patients for a primary prevention ICD.


Assuntos
Morte Súbita Cardíaca/prevenção & controle , Desfibriladores Implantáveis/efeitos adversos , Insuficiência Cardíaca/mortalidade , Prevenção Primária/métodos , Disfunção Ventricular Esquerda/terapia , Morte Súbita Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Desfibriladores Implantáveis/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Seguimentos , Insuficiência Cardíaca/complicações , Insuficiência Cardíaca/fisiopatologia , Insuficiência Cardíaca/terapia , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Volume Sistólico/fisiologia , Disfunção Ventricular Esquerda/fisiopatologia
9.
J Am Coll Cardiol ; 69(21): 2606-2618, 2017 May 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28545633

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Recent clinical trials highlight the need for better models to identify patients at higher risk of sudden death. OBJECTIVES: The authors hypothesized that the Seattle Heart Failure Model (SHFM) for overall survival and the Seattle Proportional Risk Model (SPRM) for proportional risk of sudden death, including death from ventricular arrhythmias, would predict the survival benefit with an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD). METHODS: Patients with primary prevention ICDs from the National Cardiovascular Data Registry (NCDR) were compared with control patients with heart failure (HF) without ICDs with respect to 5-year survival using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: Among 98,846 patients with HF (87,914 with ICDs and 10,932 without ICDs), the SHFM was strongly associated with all-cause mortality (p < 0.0001). The ICD-SPRM interaction was significant (p < 0.0001), such that SPRM quintile 5 patients had approximately twice the reduction in mortality with the ICD versus SPRM quintile 1 patients (adjusted hazard ratios [HR]: 0.602; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.537 to 0.675 vs. 0.793; 95% CI: 0.736 to 0.855, respectively). Among patients with SHFM-predicted annual mortality ≤5.7%, those with a SPRM-predicted risk of sudden death below the median had no reduction in mortality with the ICD (adjusted ICD HR: 0.921; 95% CI: 0.787 to 1.08; p = 0.31), whereas those with SPRM above the median derived the greatest benefit (adjusted HR: 0.599; 95% CI: 0.530 to 0.677; p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: The SHFM predicted all-cause mortality in a large cohort with and without ICDs, and the SPRM discriminated and calibrated the potential ICD benefit. Together, the models identified patients less likely to derive a survival benefit from primary prevention ICDs.


Assuntos
Morte Súbita Cardíaca/prevenção & controle , Desfibriladores Implantáveis , Insuficiência Cardíaca/terapia , Sistema de Registros , Medição de Risco , Idoso , Morte Súbita Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Morte Súbita Cardíaca/etiologia , Feminino , Seguimentos , Insuficiência Cardíaca/complicações , Insuficiência Cardíaca/mortalidade , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevenção Primária/métodos , Prognóstico , Pontuação de Propensão , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Taxa de Sobrevida/tendências , Fatores de Tempo , Washington/epidemiologia
11.
Heart Rhythm ; 12(10): 2069-77, 2015 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26142301

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Patients with heart failure are at increased risk of both sudden death and pump failure death. Strategies to better identify those who have greatest net benefit from implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) implantation could reduce morbidity and maximize cost-effectiveness of ICDs. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to identify baseline variables in patients with cardiomyopathy that are independently associated with a disproportionate fraction of mortality risk attributable to sudden death vs nonsudden death. METHODS: We used data from 9885 patients with heart failure without ICDs, of whom 2552 died during an average follow-up of 2.3 years. Using commonly available baseline clinical and demographic variables, we developed a multivariate regression model to identify variables associated with a disproportionate risk of sudden death. RESULTS: We confirmed that lower ejection fraction and better functional class were associated with a greater proportion of mortality due to sudden death. Younger age, male sex, and higher body mass index were independently associated with a greater proportional risk of sudden death, while diabetes mellitus, hyper/hypotension, higher creatinine level, and hyponatremia were associated with a disproportionately lower risk of sudden death. The use of several heart failure medications, left ventricular end-diastolic dimension, or NT-pro brain natriuretic peptide concentrations were not associated with a disproportionate risk of sudden death. CONCLUSION: Several easily obtained baseline demographic and clinical variables, beyond ejection fraction and New York Heart Association functional class, are independently associated with a disproportionately increased risk of sudden death. Further investigation is needed to assess whether this novel predictive method can be used to target the use of lifesaving therapies to populations who will derive greatest mortality benefit .


Assuntos
Morte Súbita Cardíaca/etiologia , Desfibriladores Implantáveis , Insuficiência Cardíaca/complicações , Medição de Risco/métodos , Idoso , Morte Súbita Cardíaca/epidemiologia , Morte Súbita Cardíaca/prevenção & controle , Feminino , Seguimentos , Insuficiência Cardíaca/mortalidade , Insuficiência Cardíaca/fisiopatologia , Insuficiência Cardíaca/terapia , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Taxa de Sobrevida/tendências , Fatores de Tempo , Washington/epidemiologia
12.
Circulation ; 126(20): 2402-7, 2012 Nov 13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23072904

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Whether sex differences in implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) benefit exist remains unanswered. We evaluated sex differences in mode of death among a large cohort of ambulatory heart failure patients who meet criteria for a primary prevention ICD. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients from 5 trials or registries were included if they met American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association/Heart Rhythm Society guideline criteria for implantation of a primary prevention ICD. We investigated the potential sex differences in total deaths and total deaths by mode of death. The relationship between the estimated total mortality and mode of death by percentage of total mortality was also analyzed by sex. The Seattle Heart Failure Model was used to estimate total mortality in this analysis. A total of 8337 patients (1685 [20%] women) met inclusion criteria. One-year mortality was 10.8±0.3%. In women, the age-adjusted all-cause mortality was 24% lower (hazard ratio [HR], 0.76; confidence interval [CI], 0.68-0.85; P<0.0001), the risk of sudden death was 31% lower (HR, 0.69; CI, 0.58-0.83; P<0.0001), but no significant difference in pump failure death was observed. Throughout a range of total mortality risk, women had a 20% lower all-cause mortality (HR, 0.80; CI, 0.71-0.89; P<0.001) and 29% fewer deaths that were sudden (HR, 0.71; CI, 0.59-0.86;P<0.001) compared with men. CONCLUSIONS: Women with heart failure have a lower mortality than men, and fewer of those deaths are sudden throughout a spectrum of all-cause mortality risk. These data provide a plausible reason for and thus support the possibility that sex differences in ICD benefit may exist.


Assuntos
Morte Súbita/prevenção & controle , Desfibriladores Implantáveis , Insuficiência Cardíaca/mortalidade , Insuficiência Cardíaca/terapia , Prevenção Primária , Caracteres Sexuais , Idoso , Estudos de Coortes , Morte Súbita/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Estimativa de Kaplan-Meier , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Sistema de Registros , Fatores de Risco , Taxa de Sobrevida , Washington
13.
J Am Coll Cardiol ; 49(22): 2172-81, 2007 Jun 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17543637

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this work was to assess the prognostic role of glomerular filtration rate (GFR) and NT-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) for mortality end points in the vascular population. BACKGROUND: The GFR and NT-proBNP have been shown to predict mortality end points in free-living and limited vascular populations, independent of traditional risk factors. However, their prognostic power in an unrestricted vascular population is poorly understood. METHODS: A total of 412 subjects from a vascular cohort with a history of either peripheral arterial disease (PAD) and/or other cardiovascular disease (CVD) were included in this prospective cohort analysis and followed for an average of 6.7 years. Outcome variables were all-cause mortality, ischemic heart disease (IHD) mortality, and any cardiovascular mortality. The prognostic roles of GFR and NT-proBNP levels were determined using multivariate survival analysis. RESULTS: Higher GFR (per 10 ml/min/1.73 m2) was significantly protective for all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 0.81, p < 0.001), IHD mortality (HR 0.82, p = 0.008), and CVD mortality (HR 0.84, p = 0.005). Conversely, NT-proBNP was not a significant predictor of any mortality end point. The GFR showed the strongest association in subjects with a history of other CVD. Although NT-proBNP did not demonstrate a significant prognostic role in any of the subgroups, the data were suggestive for patients with PAD alone. CONCLUSIONS: Glomerular filtration rate was a robust predictor of all-cause, IHD, and cardiovascular mortality in the vascular population, particularly in those with a history of other CVD, while NT-proBNP showed a suggestive association limited to the group with PAD only. These findings suggest that these markers must be selectively applied in the vascular population for greatest clinical utility.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares/sangue , Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Taxa de Filtração Glomerular/fisiologia , Peptídeo Natriurético Encefálico/sangue , Fragmentos de Peptídeos/sangue , Idoso , Biomarcadores/sangue , Doenças Cardiovasculares/fisiopatologia , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Prognóstico , Estudos Prospectivos , Taxa de Sobrevida/tendências , Doenças Vasculares/sangue , Doenças Vasculares/mortalidade , Doenças Vasculares/fisiopatologia
14.
J Am Coll Cardiol ; 49(14): 1540-5, 2007 Apr 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17418292

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: This study sought to assess the prognosis of subclavian stenosis (SS) as a potential marker of total and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality. BACKGROUND: Subclavian stenosis, diagnosed by a brachial systolic pressure difference (BSPD) > or =15 mm Hg, is associated with an increased prevalence of CVD risk factors. However, the association between SS and mortality is unknown. We hypothesized that a BSPD > or =15 mm Hg would predict an increased risk of CVD events. METHODS: We analyzed baseline and longitudinal data from 3 cohorts. Two were recruited from noninvasive vascular laboratories, and the third was a community-dwelling cohort. Multivariate survival models were used to test for an independent association of SS with total and CVD mortality. RESULTS: Baseline and follow-up data (mean 9.8 years) were complete in 1,778 participants. Subclavian stenosis was found in 157 (8.8%) subjects. Adjusted for age, gender, ethnicity, and cohort of origin, the presence of SS was significantly associated with increased total and CVD mortality (respectively, hazard ratio [HR] 1.42, p < 0.005; and HR 1.50, p = 0.05). This association persisted after adjustments for CVD risk factors (smoking pack-years, hypertension, diabetes, total/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio, and body mass index) as well as lipid-lowering and antiplatelet therapies (HR 1.40, p < 0.01; and HR 1.57, p < 0.05 for total and CVD mortality, respectively). When any history of CVD or an ankle-brachial index <0.90 were added to the model, SS remained an independent predictor for total mortality (HR 1.34, p = 0.02), with a similar trend for CVD mortality (HR 1.43, p = 0.09). CONCLUSIONS: The presence of SS, easily diagnosed by comparing systolic pressures in the left and right arm, predicts total and CVD mortality independent of both CVD risk factors and existent CVD at baseline.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares/complicações , Doenças Cardiovasculares/mortalidade , Síndrome do Roubo Subclávio/complicações , Síndrome do Roubo Subclávio/mortalidade , Idoso , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Estudos Longitudinais , Masculino , Prognóstico
15.
J Am Coll Cardiol ; 44(3): 618-23, 2004 Aug 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15358030

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: The objective was to assess the prevalence of subclavian artery stenosis (SS) in four cohorts (two free-living and two clinical populations) and determine both risk factors for this condition and the association with other cardiovascular conditions. BACKGROUND: The prevalence of SS in the general population is unknown, and its association with risk factors and other cardiovascular diseases is not well-established. METHODS: A total of 4,223 subjects (2,975 from two free-living cohorts and 1,248 from two clinical cohorts) were included in this cross-sectional analysis. Subclavian artery stenosis was defined as > or =15 mm Hg interarm pressure difference. RESULTS: The prevalence of SS was 1.9% in the free-living cohorts and 7.1% in the clinical cohorts; SS was significantly (p < 0.05) associated with past smoking (odds ratio [OR] = 1.80), current smoking (OR = 2.61), and higher levels of systolic blood pressure (OR = 1.90 per 20 mm Hg). Higher levels of high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol were inversely and significantly associated with SS (OR = 0.87 per 10 mg/dl). In regression analyses relating SS to other cardiovascular diseases, the only significant finding was with peripheral arterial disease (PAD) (OR = 5.11, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Significant SS is present in approximately 2% of the free-living population and 7% of the clinical population. Additionally, SS is correlated with current and past smoking histories, systolic blood pressure, HDL levels (inversely), and the presence of PAD. These findings suggest that bilateral brachial blood pressure measurements should routinely be performed in patients with an elevated risk profile, both to screen for SS, and to avoid missing a hypertension or PAD diagnosis because of unilateral pressure measurement in an obstructed arm.


Assuntos
Síndrome do Roubo Subclávio/epidemiologia , Síndrome do Roubo Subclávio/etiologia , Idoso , Pressão Sanguínea , Artéria Braquial , HDL-Colesterol/sangue , Estudos de Coortes , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , Hipertensão/complicações , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Razão de Chances , Prevalência , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Fumar/efeitos adversos , Síndrome do Roubo Subclávio/sangue , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
16.
Life Sci ; 71(20): 2413-24, 2002 Oct 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12231402

RESUMO

Organic osmolytes are used in animal and plant cells to adapt to hyper- and hypoosmolar stress. We used our RBC-membrane model to investigate the effects of the osmolytes betaine, sorbitol and myo-inositol on Na(+)/K(+)-ATPase, Ca(2+)-ATPase and calmodulin-stimulated Ca(2+)-ATPase (CaM). Our results show that betaine inhibited ATPases by more than 61%: Na(+)/K(+)-ATPase (75 +/- 5.9 vs 27 +/- 2.2), Ca(2+)-ATPase (236 +/- 18.9 vs 62 +/- 4.9), and CaM (450 +/- 18 vs 174 +/- 6.9) (microM pi/min/mg protein, control (0 microM betaine) vs 100 micromol/L betaine). Sorbitol (100 micromol/L) inhibited the Ca(2+)-ATPases by 41% (126 +/- 7.6 vs 74 +/- 4.4) and CaM by 42% (253 +/- 17.7 vs 147 +/- 10.3). Inositol (100 micromol/L) inhibited Na(+)/K(+)-ATPase strongest (37 +/- 1.9 vs 20 +/- 1.0; 47% inhibition) while it showed a lesser effect on the Ca(2+)-ATPases (136 +/- 6.8 vs 102 +/- 5.1; 25% inhibition). All osmolytes inhibited RBC membrane ATPases at concentrations above 50 micromol/L, which corresponds to high normal physiologic range for organic osmolytes in serum. Furthermore, the presence of osmolytes (250 micromol/L) decreased hypoosmotic stress induced hemolysis by 42%. Together these data indicate an important regulatory role of organic osmolytes on human RBC membrane ATPases and a protective function of osmolytes in RBCs against hypoosmotic stress.


Assuntos
Adenosina Trifosfatases/antagonistas & inibidores , Betaína/farmacologia , Inibidores Enzimáticos/farmacologia , Membrana Eritrocítica/enzimologia , Inositol/farmacologia , Sorbitol/farmacologia , Concentração Osmolar , Ureia/farmacologia
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