Projected Healthcare System Cost Burden of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease in Canada.

Background and Aims: Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is the most common cause of chronic liver disease worldwide. The current and projected cost of treating individuals with MASLD in Canada remains unknown. Our objective was to calculate the projected liver-specific and total health-care costs for people living with MASLD in Canada from 2020 to 2050. Methods: The health-care usage of a cohort of patients diagnosed with MASLD in Calgary, Alberta was calculated using administrative data. Liver-specific encounters were identified and the average costs per year per patient were calculated. Projected costs were calculated by multiplying the average cost per patient within each health state by the projected prevalence of each health state. Results: There were 6358 patients in the cohort. The annual average liver-specific cost per patient was $7.02 for F0/F1, $35.30 for F2, $60.46 for F3, and $72.55 for F4. The projected Canada-wide liver-specific cost was $85.5 million in 2020 and was expected to increase by $51 million by 2050. The average annual total health-care cost per patient was $397.90 for F0/F1, $781.53 for F2, $2881.84 for F3, and $1598.82 for F4. Thus, the projected Canada-wide total health-care cost was $3.76 billion in 2020 and was expected to increase by almost $2 billion by 2050. Conclusion: These estimates underscore the need for a MASLD framework that focuses on both prevention and innovative care models to change the predicted trajectory of health-care costs.

Epidemiology and natural history of chronic Hepatitis B in the Canadian province of Alberta from 2012 to 2021: A population-based study.

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: There are limited recent data on the burden of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) in the North American general population. We aimed to identify the CHB burden from a Canadian population-based perspective. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Using a retrospective cohort design, we searched Alberta Analytics administrative databases including the Provincial Laboratory database, to describe CHB epidemiology and natural history in Alberta, Canada between fiscal years 2012-2020. We analyzed incidence and prevalence trends using a Poisson regression model and conducted Kaplan-Meier analyses to examine the incident cohort's survival. RESULTS: The age/sex-adjusted incidence of CHB between 2015-2020 was 27.1/100,000 person/years (29.6/100,000 in males and 24.5/100,000 in females) and was highest among individuals aged 45-64 years. Despite a decrease in annual incidence of CHB from 36.4 to 13.4/100,000 between 2015-2020, prevalence increased from 98.9 to 210.3/100,000 in the same period. Of 6,860 incident cases, 2.1% died, and 0.2% underwent liver transplantation during a median follow-up of 3.6 years (interquartile range 2.0-4.9 years). CHB patients had significantly lower survival rates compared to age/sex-matched Canadians, with a standardized mortality ratio of 3.9 (95% confidence interval [CI] 3.3-4.6). Male sex (hazard ratio [HR] 1.7; 95% CI 1.2-2.5), older age at diagnosis (HR, 1.08; 95% CI 1.07-1.09) independently predicted mortality. CONCLUSIONS: CHB incidence decreased in Alberta, which is consistent with nationwide trends. Males and individuals aged 45-64 had higher CHB incidence and prevalence. CHB patients' lower survival rates emphasize the need to address barriers to guideline recommended HBV care linkage.

US National Estimates of Contemporary Mortality Rates in Patients With Ulcerative Colitis Undergoing Colectomy.

INTRODUCTION: Despite a growing armamentarium of medical therapies for ulcerative colitis, colectomy remains an important therapeutic option. To better inform shared decision-making about surgery, we estimated the contemporary risk of mortality after colectomy. METHODS: Mortality rates were estimated using the National Inpatient Sample (2016-2020). Factors associated with postcolectomy death were evaluated in multivariable regression. RESULTS: Postcolectomy mortality occurred in 1.2% (95% CI: 0.8%, 1.9%) of hospitalizations. Comorbidity burden, emergent laparotomy, and delays to surgery >5 days after admission were associated with mortality. DISCUSSION: Colectomy may be associated with mortality; however, this risk is heterogeneous based on patient- and procedural-related factors.

Chronic liver disease after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation.

BACKGROUND AIMS: There are few descriptions of the epidemiology of chronic liver disease (CLD) after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HCT). Among those transplanted before 2000, viral hepatitis was the dominant cause of CLD. Recently, the prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD, previously known as nonalcoholic fatty liver disease) is increasing in the general population. In addition, survivors of allo-HCT are known to be at increased risk of metabolic syndrome. We set out to describe the epidemiology of CLD in a modern cohort of allo-HCT recipients. We hypothesized that MASLD would be the most common cause of CLD in the cohort. METHODS: We undertook a retrospective cohort and nested case-control study of 2-year survivors of allo-HCT in Alberta transplanted between 2008 and 2018. RESULTS: Among 392 2-year survivors of allo-HCT between 2008 and 2018, the prevalence of CLD was 41.8% and MASLD was identified in 56% of those with CLD, followed by iron overload in 47% of those with CLD. The prevalence of MASLD among the entire cohort was 46%. Although most patients developed CLD before 2 years post-transplant, there was a 13% cumulative incidence of new CLD after 2 years posttransplant. Grade 2-4 acute graft-versus-host disease and/or moderate-to-severe chronic graft-versus-host disease and pretransplant CLD were strongly associated with CLD. In the case-control study examining the association between cardiovascular risk factors and CLD, type 2 diabetes was associated with CLD. Cirrhosis developed in 1.5% of survivors, and MASLD was an underlying etiology in one half of these cases. There was no difference in overall survival and non-relapse mortality between those who did and did not develop CLD. CONCLUSIONS: MASLD is the main cause of CLD in recent long-term survivors of allo-HCT and may be associated with post-transplant corticosteroid exposure and type 2 diabetes. We note a shift in the underlying etiology of CLD post-HCT: previous studies describe viral hepatitis as the most common cause of CLD. The high prevalence of MASLD in allo-HCT recipients has important implications for survivorship care.

Validating new coding algorithms to improve identification of alcohol-associated and nonalcohol-associated cirrhosis hospitalizations in administrative databases.

BACKGROUND: Alcohol (AC) and nonalcohol-associated cirrhosis (NAC) epidemiology studies are limited by available case definitions. We compared the diagnostic accuracy of previous and newly developed case definitions to identify AC and NAC hospitalizations. METHODS: We randomly selected 700 hospitalizations from the 2008 to 2022 Canadian Discharge Abstract Database with alcohol-associated and cirrhosis-related International Classification of Diseases 10th revision codes. We compared standard approaches for AC (ie, AC code alone and alcohol use disorder and nonspecific cirrhosis codes together) and NAC (ie, NAC codes alone) case identification to newly developed approaches that combine standard approaches with new code combinations. Using electronic medical record review as the reference standard, we calculated case definition positive and negative predictive values, sensitivity, specificity, and AUROC. RESULTS: Electronic medical records were available for 671 admissions; 252 had confirmed AC and 195 NAC. Compared to previous AC definitions, the newly developed algorithm selecting for the AC code, alcohol-associated hepatic failure code, or alcohol use disorder code with a decompensated cirrhosis-related condition or NAC code provided the best overall positive predictive value (91%, 95% CI: 87-95), negative predictive value (89%, CI: 86-92), sensitivity (81%, CI: 76-86), specificity (96%, CI: 93-97), and AUROC (0.88, CI: 0.85-0.91). Comparing all evaluated NAC definitions, high sensitivity (92%, CI: 87-95), specificity (82%, CI: 79-86), negative predictive value (96%, CI: 94-98), AUROC (0.87, CI: 0.84-0.90), but relatively low positive predictive value (68%, CI: 62-74) were obtained by excluding alcohol use disorder codes and using either a NAC code in any diagnostic position or a primary diagnostic code for HCC, unspecified/chronic hepatic failure, esophageal varices without bleeding, or hepatorenal syndrome. CONCLUSIONS: New case definitions show enhanced accuracy for identifying hospitalizations for AC and NAC compared to previously used approaches.

Epidemiology, linkage to care and natural history of women of childbearing age with chronic hepatitis B: A population-based study.

Pregnant women with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) are a priority population for hepatitis B care. Identification of HBV status prior to pregnancy would facilitate timely maternal interventions and perinatal care. In our study, we aimed to study the epidemiology of CHB among women of childbearing age (WoCBA, 18-49 years) in Alberta, Canada. We retrospectively analysed Alberta Analytics databases to study CHB epidemiology, natural history and care linkage among WoCBA in Alberta, between April 2012 and March 2021. A Poisson regression was conducted to estimate incidence of newly identified CHB cases and prevalence trends, whereas predictors of care linkage were determined using logistic regression. Age/sex-adjusted incidence of newly identified CHB among WoCBA between 2015 and 2020 was 36.2/100,000 person/years, highest among individuals aged 30-39 years. Incidence of newly identified CHB decreased from 52.6 to 18.2/100,000 between 2015 and 2020, but prevalence increased from 131.7 to 248.6/100,000 in the same period. Newly identified CHB incident cases (n = 2124) had lower survival rates than age/sex-matched Canadians, with a standardized mortality ratio of 5.7 (95% CI 2.6-11.0). Increasing age (years) at diagnosis (HR, 1.2; 95% CI 1.1-1.3) was independently associated with mortality. Comorbid hepatocellular carcinoma, anti-HBV treatment and year of diagnosis were not significantly associated with mortality. Of the 1927 women with 2436 hepatitis B surface antigen-positive pregnancies from 2012 to 2020, only 27.6% had recommended HBV assessment during pregnancy. Of those women meeting criteria for antiviral therapy to prevent mother-to-child transmission (MTCT), only 66.4% received treatment. Suboptimal management during pregnancy and overall lower survival rates highlight the need to address care linkage barriers in women of childbearing age living with CHB.

Evaluating the coding accuracy of type 2 diabetes mellitus among patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.

BACKGROUND: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) describes a spectrum of chronic fattening of liver that can lead to fibrosis and cirrhosis. Diabetes has been identified as a major comorbidity that contributes to NAFLD progression. Health systems around the world make use of administrative data to conduct population-based prevalence studies. To that end, we sought to assess the accuracy of diabetes International Classification of Diseases (ICD) coding in administrative databases among a cohort of confirmed NAFLD patients in Calgary, Alberta, Canada. METHODS: The Calgary NAFLD Pathway Database was linked to the following databases: Physician Claims, Discharge Abstract Database, National Ambulatory Care Reporting System, Pharmaceutical Information Network database, Laboratory, and Electronic Medical Records. Hemoglobin A1c and diabetes medication details were used to classify diabetes groups into absent, prediabetes, meeting glycemic targets, and not meeting glycemic targets. The performance of ICD codes among these groups was compared to this standard. Within each group, the total numbers of true positives, false positives, false negatives, and true negatives were calculated. Descriptive statistics and bivariate analysis were conducted on identified covariates, including demographics and types of interacted physicians. RESULTS: A total of 12,012 NAFLD patients were registered through the Calgary NAFLD Pathway Database and 100% were successfully linked to the administrative databases. Overall, diabetes coding showed a sensitivity of 0.81 and a positive predictive value of 0.87. False negative rates in the absent and not meeting glycemic control groups were 4.5% and 6.4%, respectively, whereas the meeting glycemic control group had a 42.2% coding error. Visits to primary and outpatient services were associated with most encounters. CONCLUSION: Diabetes ICD coding in administrative databases can accurately detect true diabetic cases. However, patients with diabetes who meets glycemic control targets are less likely to be coded in administrative databases. A detailed understanding of the clinical context will require additional data linkage from primary care settings.

A model including standardized weight improved predicting waiting list mortality in adolescent liver transplant candidates: A US national study.

The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score has been employed to identify adolescents eligible for liver transplantation since 2004. However, the optimal model for prioritizing adolescent candidates is uncertain. In our study, we aimed at evaluating the value of adding anthropometric variables to liver transplantation allocation models among adolescents. We conducted a retrospective cohort study using the data from the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network Standard Transplant Analysis and Research to identify adolescent patients registered on the liver transplant waiting list in the United States between January 1, 2003, and December 31, 2022. Adolescents (12-17 y) who were listed for their first liver transplantation were included. We evaluated the performance of different models including pediatric end-stage liver disease with Na and creatinine, MELD, and MELD 3.0. Furthermore, we evaluated whether adding anthropometric variables ( z -score for weight and height) would improve the models' performance for our primary outcome (mortality at 90 days after listing). We identified 1421 eligible adolescent patients. Adding a z -score of weight (MELD-TEEN) improved the performance and discrimination of the MELD score. The final model including weight z -score (MELD-TEEN) had better discriminative power compared to MELD 3.0 and pediatric end-stage liver disease with Na and creatinine in the overall cohort and in different age groups (ages 12-14 and 15-17). MELD-TEEN could improve the accuracy of allocation of liver transplants among adolescents by incorporating the weight z -score compared to MELD 3.0 and pediatric end-stage liver disease with Na and creatinine.

Incidence and Prevalence of Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis: A Meta-analysis of Population-based Studies.

BACKGROUND: Primary sclerosing cholangitis is a chronic liver disease associated with significant morbidity, mortality, and healthcare utilization. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of population-based studies of the incidence and prevalence of primary sclerosing cholangitis. METHODS: Medline and Embase were systematically searched to identify population-based studies of a defined geographic area and reported the incidence or prevalence of primary sclerosing cholangitis in the general population. Meta-analyses, using random-effects, were performed to calculate overall and country-specific incidence (per 100 000 persons/year) and prevalence rates (per 100 000 persons) with 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: The 14 studies on incidence and the 12 for prevalence originated from North America, Asia, Europe, and Oceania. Incidence and prevalence rates of primary sclerosing cholangitis were 0.87 (95% confidence interval, 0.59-1.29) and 13.53 (95% confidence interval, 10.20-17.94) per 100 000 persons, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Both the prevalence and incidence of primary sclerosing cholangitis is low in the general population. Future studies on the incidence and prevalence of primary sclerosing cholangitis in the general population should be directed at Asia, Africa, and Latin America to allow for a more robust assessment of the global epidemiology of primary sclerosing cholangitis.

Primary sclerosing cholangitis is a chronic liver disease with complications such as cirrhosis, cancer, and death. This study summarizes the incidence (0.87 per 100 000) and prevalence (13.53 per 100 000) of PSC and highlight needs in research to study the epidemiology of PSC.

Exploring the reliability of inpatient EMR algorithms for diabetes identification.

INTRODUCTION: Accurate identification of medical conditions within a real-time inpatient setting is crucial for health systems. Current inpatient comorbidity algorithms rely on integrating various sources of administrative data, but at times, there is a considerable lag in obtaining and linking these data. Our study objective was to develop electronic medical records (EMR) data-based inpatient diabetes phenotyping algorithms. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A chart review on 3040 individuals was completed, and 583 had diabetes. We linked EMR data on these individuals to the International Classification of Disease (ICD) administrative databases. The following EMR-data-based diabetes algorithms were developed: (1) laboratory data, (2) medication data, (3) laboratory and medications data, (4) diabetes concept keywords and (5) diabetes free-text algorithm. Combined algorithms used or statements between the above algorithms. Algorithm performances were measured using chart review as a gold standard. We determined the best-performing algorithm as the one that showed the high performance of sensitivity (SN), and positive predictive value (PPV). RESULTS: The algorithms tested generally performed well: ICD-coded data, SN 0.84, specificity (SP) 0.98, PPV 0.93 and negative predictive value (NPV) 0.96; medication and laboratory algorithm, SN 0.90, SP 0.95, PPV 0.80 and NPV 0.97; all document types algorithm, SN 0.95, SP 0.98, PPV 0.94 and NPV 0.99. DISCUSSION: Free-text data-based diabetes algorithm can yield comparable or superior performance to a commonly used ICD-coded algorithm and could supplement existing methods. These types of inpatient EMR-based algorithms for case identification may become a key method for timely resource planning and care delivery.

Epidemiology and outcomes of choledocholithiasis and cholangitis in the United States: trends and urban-rural variations.

BACKGROUND: Gallstone disease poses a significant health burden in the United States. Choledocholithiasis and cholangitis are common complications of gallstone disease for which data on current epidemiological trends are lacking. We aimed to evaluate temporal changes in hospitalization, management, and outcomes for patients with choledocholithiasis and cholangitis. METHODS: The National Inpatient Sample was used to identify discharges for choledocholithiasis and cholangitis between 2005 and 2014. Temporal trends were evaluated via annual percent changes (APCs). Joinpoint regression was used to assess inflection points. Multivariable regression models were used to evaluate associations of interest. RESULTS: From 189,362 unweighted discharges for choledocholithiasis and/or cholangitis, there was an increase in discharges for choledocholithiasis (APC 2.3%, 95% confidence intervals, CI, 1.9-2.7%) and cholangitis (APC 1.5%, 95% CI 0.7-2.2%). Procedural interventions were more likely at urban hospitals for choledocholithiasis (adjusted odds ratio, aOR, 2.94, 95% CI 2.72 to 3.17) and cholangitis (aOR 2.97, 95% CI 2.50 to 3.54). In-hospital mortality significantly decreased annually for choledocholithiasis (aOR 0.90, 95% CI 0.88 to 0.93) and cholangitis (aOR 0.93, 95% CI 0.89 to 0.97). In-hospital mortality between rural and urban centers was comparable for choledocholithiasis (aOR 1.16, 95% CI 0.89 to 1.52) and cholangitis (aOR 1.12, 95% CI 0.72 to 1.72). CONCLUSIONS: Hospitalizations for choledocholithiasis and cholangitis have increased between 2005 and 2014, reflecting a growing burden of gallstone disease. Hospital mortality between urban and rural centers is similar, however urban centers have a higher rate of procedural interventions suggesting limitations to accessing procedural interventions at rural centers.

Hospitalization Rates for Inflammatory Bowel Disease Are Decreasing Over Time: A Population-based Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Recent advances in the management of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) striving for new treatment targets may have decreased rates of hospitalization for flares. We compared all-cause, IBD-related, and non-IBD-related hospitalizations while accounting for the rising prevalence of IBD. METHODS: Population-based, administrative health care databases identified all individuals living with IBD in Alberta between fiscal year 2002 and 2018. Hospitalization rates (all-cause, IBD-related, and non-IBD-related) were calculated using the prevalent Alberta IBD population. Hospitalizations were stratified by disease type, age, sex, and metropolitan status. Data were age and sex standardized to the 2019 Canadian population. Log-linear models calculated Average Annual Percentage Change (AAPC) in hospitalization rates with associated 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: From 2002-2003 to 2018-2019, all-cause hospitalization rates decreased from 36.57 to 16.72 per 100 IBD patients (AAPC, -4.18%; 95% CI, -4.69 to -3.66). Inflammatory bowel disease-related hospitalization rate decreased from 26.44 to 9.24 per 100 IBD patients (AAPC, -5.54%; 95% CI, -6.19 to -4.88). Non-IBD-related hospitalization rate decreased from 10.13 to 7.48 per 100 IBD patients (AAPC, -1.82%; 95% CI, -2.14 to -1.49). Those over 80 years old had the greatest all-cause and non-IBD-related hospitalization rates. Temporal trends showing decreasing hospitalization rates were observed across age, sex, IBD type, and metropolitan status. CONCLUSIONS: Hospitalization rates are decreasing for all-cause, IBD-related, and non-IBD-related hospitalizations. Over the past 20 years, the care of IBD has transitioned from hospital-based care to ambulatory-centric IBD management.

Hospitalization rates per 100 IBD patients are decreasing. However, when using the general population as the denominator, the interpretation of temporal trends changes because the prevalence of IBD has risen faster than the general population's growth rate.

Impact of depression and antidepressant use on clinical outcomes of hepatitis B and C: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Depression is common in patients with chronic viral hepatitis. We evaluated the impact of major depressive disorder (MDD) and antidepressant use on survival among patients with HBV and HCV. METHODS: We used The Health Improvement Network database, the largest medical database in the UK, to identify incident HBV (n=1401) and HCV (n=1635) in patients between 1986 and 2017. Our primary composite outcome was the development of decompensated cirrhosis or death. MDD and each class of antidepressants were assessed in multivariate Cox proportional hazards models. Models were adjusted for age, sex, and clinical comorbidities. RESULTS: The prevalence of MDD among HCV patients was higher compared with HBV patients (23.5% vs. 9.0%, p<0.001, respectively). Similarly, HCV patients were more likely to use antidepressants (59.6%) compared with HBV patients (27.1%), p>0.001. MDD was not an independent predictor for decompensated cirrhosis-free survival or mortality. However, the use of tricyclic and tetracyclic antidepressants (TCAs) was associated with poor decompensated cirrhosis-free survival in HBV and HCV cohorts (adjusted HR: 1.80, 95% CI, 1.00-3.26 and 1.56, 95% CI, 1.13-2.14, respectively). Both TCAs in the HBV cohort and selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors among the HCV cohort were associated with poor overall survival (adjusted HR: 2.18, 95% CI, 1.16-4.10; 1.48, 95% CI, 1.02-2.16, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Although prevalent among viral hepatitis patients, MDD did not affect disease progression or survival in either HBV or HCV cohorts. TCA use was associated with poor decompensated cirrhosis-free survival. Therefore, its use should be further studied among viral hepatitis patients.

Epidemiology and Outcomes of Symptomatic Cholelithiasis and Cholecystitis in the USA: Trends and Urban-Rural Variations.

BACKGROUND: Gallstone disease remains a major health issue. There have been significant changes in the management and demographics of patients with these conditions. We aimed to evaluate trends in hospitalization, management, and post-procedural adverse events for patients with gallstone disease. METHODS: The National Inpatient Sample was used to identify discharges for symptomatic cholelithiasis and cholecystitis between 2005 and 2014. Temporal trends were evaluated by calculating annual percent changes (APCs). Joinpoint regression was used to assess inflection points. Multivariable regression models were used to evaluate associations between urban and rural divisions and mortality, use of interventional procedures, and post-procedural adverse events. RESULTS: From 77,394,755 unweighted discharges, there was a decline in discharges for cholelithiasis (APC - 5.5%, 95% confidence intervals, CI, - 7.6 to - 3.4%) and cholecystitis from 2012 to 2014 (APC - 4.5%, 95% CI - 7.2 to - 1.7%). Interventions were more likely at urban hospitals for symptomatic cholelithiasis (odds ratio, OR, 1.49, 95% CI 1.24 to 1.66) and cholecystitis (OR 1.96, 95% CI 1.86 to 2.05). In-hospital mortality significantly decreased annually for patients with cholecystitis (OR 0.92, 95% CI 0.91 to 0.93). In-hospital mortality between rural and urban centers was comparable for symptomatic cholelithiasis (OR 1.27, 95% CI 0.79 to 2.03) and cholecystitis (OR 0.93, 95% CI 0.84 to 1.04). CONCLUSIONS: Hospitalizations for gallstone disease have decreased since the 2010s. In-hospital mortality between urban and rural centers is similar, but urban hospitals utilize a higher rate of procedural interventions. Future studies should evaluate practice trends and costs across inpatient and ambulatory settings between rural and urban divisions.

Variation in Testing for and Incidence of Celiac Autoimmunity in Canada: A Population-Based Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The incidence of biopsy-confirmed celiac disease has increased. However, few studies have explored the incidence of celiac autoimmunity based on positive serology results. METHODS: A population-based cohort study assessed testing of tissue transglutaminase antibodies (tTG-IgA) in Alberta from 2012 to 2020. After excluding prevalent cases, incident celiac autoimmunity was defined as the first positive tTG-IgA result between 2015 and 2020. Testing and incidence rates for celiac autoimmunity were calculated per 1000 and 100,000 person-years, respectively. Incidence rate ratios (IRRs) were calculated to identify differences by demographic and regional factors. Average annual percent changes (AAPCs) assessed trends over time. RESULTS: The testing rate of tTG-IgA was 20.2 per 1000 person-years and remained stable from 2012 to 2020 (AAPC, 1.2%; 95% confidence interval [CI], -0.5 to 2.9). Testing was higher in female patients (IRR, 1.66; 95% CI, 1.65-1.66), those living in metropolitan areas (IRR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.38-1.40), and in areas of lower socioeconomic deprivation (lowest compared to highest IRR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.23-1.25). Incidence of celiac autoimmunity was 33.8 per 100,000 person-years and increased from 2015 to 2020 (AAPC, 6.2%; 95% CI, 3.1-9.5). Among those with tTG-IgA results ≥10 times the upper limit of normal, the incidence was 12.9 per 100,000 person-years. The incidence of celiac autoimmunity was higher in metropolitan settings (IRR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.21-1.35) and in the least socioeconomically deprived areas compared to the highest (IRR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.14-1.32). CONCLUSIONS: Incidence of celiac autoimmunity is high and increasing, despite stable testing rates. Variation in testing patterns may lead to underreporting the incidence of celiac autoimmunity in nonmetropolitan areas and more socioeconomically deprived neighborhoods.

Global Hospitalization Trends for Crohn's Disease and Ulcerative Colitis in the 21st Century: A Systematic Review With Temporal Analyses.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The evolving epidemiologic patterns of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) throughout the world, in conjunction with advances in therapeutic treatments, may influence hospitalization rates of IBD. We performed a systematic review with temporal analysis of hospitalization rates for IBD across the world in the 21st century. METHODS: We systematically reviewed Medline and Embase for population-based studies reporting hospitalization rates for IBD, Crohn's disease (CD), or ulcerative colitis (UC) in the 21st century. Log-linear models were used to calculate the average annual percentage change (AAPC) with associated 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs). Random-effects meta-analysis pooled country-level AAPCs. Data were stratified by the epidemiologic stage of a region: compounding prevalence (stage 3) in North America, Western Europe, and Oceania vs acceleration of incidence (stage 2) in Asia, Eastern Europe, and Latin America vs emergence (stage 1) in developing countries. RESULTS: Hospitalization rates for a primary diagnosis of IBD were stable in countries in stage 3 (AAPC, -0.13%; 95% CI, -0.72 to 0.97), CD (AAPC, 0.20%; 95% CI, -1.78 to 2.17), and UC (AAPC, 0.02%; 95% CI, -0.91 to 0.94). In contrast, hospitalization rates for a primary diagnosis were increasing in countries in stage 2 for IBD (AAPC, 4.44%; 95% CI, 2.75 to 6.14), CD (AAPC, 8.34%; 95% CI, 4.38 to 12.29), and UC (AAPC, 3.90; 95% CI, 1.29 to 6.52). No population-based studies were available for developing regions in stage 1 (emergence). CONCLUSIONS: Hospitalization rates for IBD are stabilizing in countries in stage 3, whereas newly industrialized countries in stage 2 have rapidly increasing hospitalization rates, contributing to an increasing burden on global health care systems.

Race and Ethnicity in Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD): A Narrative Review.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a significant public health concern worldwide with a complex etiology attributed to behavioural, environmental, and genetic causes. The worldwide prevalence of NAFLD is estimated to be 32.4% and constantly rising. Global data, however, indicate considerable heterogeneity among studies for both NAFLD prevalence and incidence. Identifying variables that affect the estimated epidemiological measures is essential to all stakeholders, including patients, researchers, healthcare providers, and policymakers. Besides helping with the research on disease etiology, it helps to identify individuals at risk of the disease, which in turn will outline the focus of the preventive measures and help to fittingly tailor individualized treatments, targeted prevention, screening, or treatment programs. Several studies suggest differences in the prevalence and severity of NAFLD by race or ethnicity, which may be linked to differences in lifestyle, diet, metabolic comorbidity profile, and genetic background, among others. Race/ethnicity research is essential as it can provide valuable information regarding biological and genetic differences among people with similar cultural, dietary, and geographical backgrounds. In this review, we examined the existing literature on race/ethnicity differences in susceptibility to NAFLD and discussed the contributing variables to such differences, including diet and physical activity, the comorbidity profile, and genetic susceptibility. We also reviewed the limitations of race/ethnicity studies in NAFLD.

The prevalence and incidence of NAFLD worldwide: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common liver disease worldwide and the leading cause of liver-related morbidity and mortality. We aimed to predict the burden of NAFLD by examining and estimating the temporal trends of its worldwide prevalence and incidence. METHODS: In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, Scopus, and Web of Science without language restrictions for reports published between date of database inception and May 25, 2021. We included observational cross-sectional or longitudinal studies done in study populations representative of the general adult population, in whom NAFLD was diagnosed using an imaging method in the absence of excessive alcohol consumption and viral hepatitis. Studies were excluded if conducted in paediatric populations (aged <18 years) or subgroups of the general population. Summary estimates were extracted from included reports by KR and independently verified by HA using the population, intervention, comparison, and outcomes framework. Primary outcomes were the prevalence and incidence of NAFLD. A random-effects meta-analysis was used to calculate overall and sex-specific pooled effect estimates and 95% CIs. FINDINGS: The search identified 28 557 records, of which 13 577 records were screened; 299 records were also identified via other methods. In total, 72 publications with a sample population of 1 030 160 individuals from 17 countries were included in the prevalence analysis, and 16 publications with a sample population of 381 765 individuals from five countries were included in the incidence analysis. The overall prevalence of NAFLD worldwide was estimated to be 32·4% (95% CI 29·9-34·9). Prevalence increased significantly over time, from 25·5% (20·1-31·0) in or before 2005 to 37·8% (32·4-43·3) in 2016 or later (p=0·013). Overall prevalence of NAFLD was significantly higher in men than in women (39·7% [36·6-42·8] vs 25·6% [22·3-28·8]; p<0·0001). The overall incidence of NAFLD was estimated to be 46·9 cases per 1000 person-years (36·4-57·5); 70·8 cases per 1000 person-years (48·7-92·8) in men and 29·6 cases per 1000 person-years (20·2-38·9) in women (p<0·0001). There was considerable heterogeneity between studies of both NAFLD prevalence (I2=99·9%) and NAFLD incidence (I2=99·9%). INTERPRETATION: Worldwide prevalence of NAFLD is considerably higher than previously estimated and is continuing to increase at an alarming rate. Incidence and prevalence of NAFLD are significantly higher among men than among women. Greater awareness of NAFLD and the development of cost-effective risk stratification strategies are warranted to address the growing burden of NAFLD. FUNDING: Canadian Institutes of Health.

Clinical Course and Treatment Implications of Combination Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor-Mediated Hepatitis: A Multicentre Cohort.

BACKGROUND: Immune-related adverse events can occur after treatment with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI), limiting treatment persistence. We aimed to evaluate the clinical course of ICI-mediated hepatitis (IMH) associated with combination ipilimumab and nivolumab treatment. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study including consecutive patients with metastatic melanoma treated with ipilimumab and nivolumab between 2013 and 2018 was conducted at two tertiary care centres. IMH was defined by the Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (CTCAE). We determined the proportion of patients developing IMH, and compared the duration, treatment patterns and outcomes, stratified by hepatitis severity. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to evaluate time to hepatitis resolution, and a linear mixed-effects model was used to compare longitudinal outcomes by treatment. RESULTS: A total of 63 patients were included. Thirty-two patients (51%) developed IMH (34% Grade 1-2, 66% Grade 3-4), at a median of 34 days (IQR 20 to 43.5 days) after the first dose. Baseline FIB4 index ≥1.45 was associated with IMH (OR 3.71 [95% CI: 1.03 to 13.38], P = 0.04). Ninety-four per cent (30/32) of patients had liver enzyme normalization after a median duration of 43 days (IQR 26 to 70 days). Corticosteroid use was not associated with faster IMH resolution or less ICI discontinuation. A total of 24 patients died during the study; no deaths were attributable to hepatitis-related complications. Fifty-three per cent (17/32) of patients resumed anti-PD-1 monotherapy and three patients developed IMH recurrence. CONCLUSIONS: Approximately half of the patients treated with combination ipilimumab and nivolumab developed IMH in this cohort. However, most patients experienced uncomplicated IMH resolution.