Predictive Factors of Emergency Department Length of Stay: Analyzing National Emergency Department Data.

Objective: This study aimed to identify and analyze the factors influencing Emergency Department Length of Stay (ED LOS) using a nationwide database to improve emergency care efficiency. Methods: This retrospective study utilized data from the National Emergency Department Information System (NEDIS) in South Korea, covering 25,578,263 ED visits from 2018 to 2022. Patient demographics, clinical characteristics, and ED operational variables were examined. The study employed univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses to assess the association between these factors and prolonged ED LOS, defined as six hours or more. Results: Among the 25,578,263 patients included, median ED LOS was 2.1 hours (interquartile range [IQR], 1.050 - 3.830 hours), with 12.6% experienced a prolonged ED LOS. Elderly patients (aged ≥ 65 years) were significantly more likely to experience prolonged ED LOS (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 1.415, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.411-1.419). Patients transferred from other hospitals (aOR: 1.469, 95% CI: 1.463-1.474) and those arriving by 119 ambulances (aOR: 1.093, 95% CI: 1.077-1.108) also had higher odds of prolonged LOS. Conversely, pediatric patients had a lower likelihood of extended stays (aOR: 0.682, 95% CI: 0.678-0.686). Severe illness, including sepsis (aOR: 1.324, 95% CI: 1.311-1.340) and COVID-19 infection (aOR: 1.413, 95% CI: 1.399-1.427), were strongly associated with prolonged LOS. Conclusion: Prolonged ED LOS is influenced by a combination of patient demographics, clinical severity, and systemic factors. Targeted interventions focusing on older adults, severe illness, and operational inefficiencies, such as hospital transfers, are essential for reducing ED LOS and improving overall emergency care delivery.

Efficacy of anti-hyperkalemic agents during cardiopulmonary resuscitation in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

Aim: We assessed the efficacy of anti-hyperkalemic agents for alleviating hyperkalemia and improving clinical outcomes in patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). Methods: This was a single-center, retrospective observational study of OHCA patients treated at tertiary hospitals between 2010 and 2020. Adult patients aged 18 or older who were in cardiac arrest at the time of arrival and had records of potassium levels measured during cardiac arrest were included. A linear regression model was used to evaluate the relationship between changes in potassium levels and use of anti-hyperkalemic medications. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was performed to analyze the relationship between the use of anti-hyperkalemic agents and the achievement of return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC). Results: Among 839 episodes, 465 patients received anti-hyperkalemic medication before ROSC. The rate of ROSC was higher in the no anti-hyperkalemic group than in the anti-hyperkalemic group (55.9 % vs 47.7 %, P = 0.019). The decrease in potassium level in the anti-hyperkalemic group from pre-ROSC to post-ROSC was significantly greater than that in the no anti-hyperkalemic group (coefficient 0.38, 95 % confidence interval [CI], 0.13-0.64, P = 0.003). In Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, the use of anti-hyperkalemic medication was related to a decreased ROSC rate in the overall group (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.66, 95 % CI, 0.54-0.81, P < 0.001), but there were no differences among subgroups classified according to initial potassium levels. Conclusions: Anti-hyperkalemic agents were associated with substantial decreases in potassium levels in OHCA patients. However, administration of anti-hyperkalemic agents did not affect the achievement of ROSC.

A trial of a chat service for patients and their family members in an emergency department.

BACKGROUND: Effective communication between patients and healthcare providers in the emergency department (ED) is challenging due to the dynamic nature of the ED environment. This study aimed to trial a chat service enabling patients in the ED and their family members to ask questions freely, exploring the service's feasibility and user experience. OBJECTIVES: To identify the types of needs and inquiries from patients and family members in the ED that could be addressed through the chat service and to assess the user experience of the service. METHODS: We enrolled patients and family members aged over 19 years in the ED, providing the chat service for up to 4 h per ED visit. Trained research nurses followed specific guidelines to respond to messages from the participants. After participation, participants were required to complete a survey. Those who agreed also participated in interviews to provide insights on their experiences with the ED chat service. RESULTS: A total of 40 participants (20 patients and 20 family members) sent 305 messages (72 by patients and 233 by family members), with patients sending an average of 3.6 messages and family members 11.7. Research nurses resolved 41.4% of patient inquiries and 70.9% of family member inquiries without further healthcare provider involvement. High usability was reported, with positive feedback on communication with healthcare workers, information accessibility, and emotional support. CONCLUSIONS: The ED chat service was found to be feasible and led to positive user experiences for both patients and their family members.

Comparison of Early and Late Norepinephrine Administration in Patients With Septic Shock: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Vasopressor administration at an appropriate time is crucial, but the optimal timing remains controversial. RESEARCH QUESTION: Does early vs late norepinephrine administration impact the prognosis of septic shock? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: Searches were conducted in PubMed, EMBASE, the Cochrane Library, and KMbase databases. We included studies of adults with sepsis and categorized patients into an early and late norepinephrine group according to specific time points or differences in norepinephrine use protocols. The primary outcome was overall mortality. The secondary outcomes included length of stay in the ICU, days free from ventilator use, days free from renal replacement therapy, days free from vasopressor use, adverse events, and total fluid volume. RESULTS: Twelve studies (four randomized controlled trials [RCTs] and eight observational studies) comprising 7,281 patients were analyzed. For overall mortality, no significant difference was found between the early norepinephrine group and late norepinephrine group in RCTs (OR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.41-1.19) or observational studies (OR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.54-1.29). In the two RCTs without a restrictive fluid strategy that prioritized vasopressors and lower IV fluid volumes, the early norepinephrine group showed significantly lower mortality than the late norepinephrine group (OR, 0.49; 95%, CI, 0.25-0.96). The early norepinephrine group demonstrated more mechanical ventilator-free days in observational studies (mean difference, 4.06; 95% CI, 2.82-5.30). The incidence of pulmonary edema was lower in the early norepinephrine group in the three RCTs that reported this outcome (OR, 0.43; 95% CI, 0.25-0.74). No differences were found in the other secondary outcomes. INTERPRETATION: Overall mortality did not differ significantly between early and late norepinephrine administration for septic shock. However, early norepinephrine administration seemed to reduce pulmonary edema incidence, and mortality improvement was observed in studies without fluid restriction interventions, favoring early norepinephrine use.

Diagnostic Accuracy of Plasma Renin Concentration and Renin Activity in Predicting Mortality and Kidney Outcomes in Patients With Septic Shock and Hypoperfusion or Hypotension: A Multicenter, Prospective, Observational Study.

Background: Lactate is a commonly used biomarker for sepsis, although it has limitations in certain cases, suggesting the need for novel biomarkers. We evaluated the diagnostic accuracy of plasma renin concentration and renin activity for mortality and kidney outcomes in patients with sepsis with hypoperfusion or hypotension. Methods: This was a multicenter, prospective, observational study of 117 patients with septic shock treated at three tertiary emergency departments between September 2021 and October 2022. The accuracy of renin activity, renin, and lactate concentrations in predicting 28-day mortality, acute kidney injury (AKI), and renal replacement requirement was assessed using the area under the ROC curve (AUC) analysis. Results: The AUCs of initial renin activity, renin, and lactate concentrations for predicting 28-day mortality were 0.66 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.55-0.77), 0.63 (95% CI, 0.52-0.75), and 0.65 (95% CI, 0.53-0.77), respectively, and those at 24 hrs were 0.74 (95% CI, 0.62-0.86), 0.70 (95% CI, 0.56-0.83), and 0.67 (95% CI, 0.54-0.79). Renin concentrations and renin activity outperformed initial lactate concentrations in predicting AKI within 14 days. The AUCs of renin and lactate concentrations were 0.71 (95% CI, 0.61-0.80) and 0.57 (95% CI, 0.46-0.67), respectively (P=0.030). The AUC of renin activity (0.70; 95% CI, 0.60-0.80) was also higher than that of lactate concentration (P=0.044). Conclusions: Renin concentration and renin activity show comparable performance to lactate concentration in predicting 28-day mortality in patients with septic shock but superior performance in predicting AKI.

Status and perception of point-of-care ultrasound education in Korean medical schools: A national cross-sectional study.

As point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) is increasingly being used in clinical settings, ultrasound education is expanding into student curricula. We aimed to determine the status and awareness of POCUS education in Korean medical schools using a nationwide cross-sectional survey. In October 2021, a survey questionnaire consisting of 20 questions was distributed via e-mail to professors in the emergency medicine (EM) departments of Korean medical schools. The questionnaire encompassed 19 multiple-choice questions covering demographics, current education, perceptions, and barriers, and the final question was an open-ended inquiry seeking suggestions for POCUS education. All EM departments of the 40 medical schools responded, of which only 13 (33%) reported providing POCUS education. The implementation of POCUS education primarily occurred in the third and fourth years, with less than 4 hours of dedicated training time. Five schools offered a hands-on education. Among schools offering ultrasound education, POCUS training for trauma cases is the most common. Eight schools had designated professors responsible for POCUS education and only 2 possessed educational ultrasound devices. Of the respondents, 64% expressed the belief that POCUS education for medical students is necessary, whereas 36%, including those with neutral opinions, did not anticipate its importance. The identified barriers to POCUS education included faculty shortages (83%), infrastructure limitations (76%), training time constraints (74%), and a limited awareness of POCUS (29%). POCUS education in Korean medical schools was limited to a minority of EM departments (33%). To successfully implement POCUS education in medical curricula, it is crucial to clarify learning objectives, enhance faculty recognition, and improve the infrastructure. These findings provide valuable insights for advancing ultrasound training in medical schools to ensure the provision of high-quality POCUS education for future healthcare professionals.

Sex differences in in-hospital management in patients with sepsis and septic shock: a prospective multicenter observational study.

Sex differences in the in-hospital management of sepsis exist. Previous studies either included patients with sepsis that was defined using previous definitions of sepsis or evaluated the 3-h bundle therapy. Therefore, this study sought to assess sex differences in 1-h bundle therapy and in-hospital management among patients with sepsis and septic shock, defined according to the Sepsis-3 definitions. This observational study used data from Korean Shock Society (KoSS) registry, a prospective multicenter sepsis registry. Adult patients with sepsis between June 2018 and December 2021 were included in this study. The primary outcome was adherence to 1-h bundle therapy. Propensity score matching (PSM) and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed. Among 3264 patients with sepsis, 3129 were analyzed. PSM yielded 2380 matched patients (1190 men and 1190 women). After PSM, 1-h bundle therapy was performed less frequently in women than in men (13.0% vs. 19.2%; p < 0.001). Among the bundle therapy components, broad-spectrum antibiotics were administered less frequently in women than in men (25.4% vs. 31.6%, p < 0.001), whereas adequate fluid resuscitation was performed more frequently in women than in men (96.8% vs. 95.0%, p = 0.029). In multivariable logistic regression analysis, 1-h bundle therapy was performed less frequently in women than in men [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 1.559; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.245-1.951; p < 0.001] after adjustment. Among the bundle therapy components, broad-spectrum antibiotics were administered less frequently to women than men (aOR 1.339, 95% CI 1.118-1.605; p = 0.002), whereas adequate fluid resuscitation was performed more frequently for women than for men (aOR 0.629, 95% CI 0.413-0.959; p = 0.031). Invasive arterial blood pressure monitoring was performed less frequently in women than in men. Resuscitation fluid, vasopressor, steroid, central-line insertion, ICU admission, length of stay in the emergency department, mechanical ventilator use, and renal replacement therapy use were comparable for both the sexes. Among patients with sepsis and septic shock, 1-h bundle therapy was performed less frequently in women than in men. Continuous efforts are required to increase adherence to the 1-h bundle therapy and to decrease sex differences in the in-hospital management of patients with sepsis and septic shock.

The usefulness of lactate/albumin ratio, C-reactive protein/albumin ratio, procalcitonin/albumin ratio, SOFA, and qSOFA in predicting the prognosis of patients with sepsis who presented to EDs.

PURPOSE: Early identification of sepsis with a poor prognosis in the emergency department (ED) is crucial for prompt management and improved outcomes. This study aimed to examine the predictive value of sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), quick SOFA (qSOFA), lactate to albumin ratio (LAR), C-reactive protein to albumin ratio (CAR), and procalcitonin to albumin ratio (PAR), obtained in the ED, as predictors for 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis and septic shock. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We included 3499 patients (aged ≥19 years) from multicenter registry of the Korean Shock Society between October 2015 and December 2019. The SOFA score, qSOFA score, and lactate level at the time of registry enrollment were used. Albumin, C-reactive protein, and procalcitonin levels were obtained from the initial laboratory results measured upon ED arrival. We evaluated the predictive accuracy for 28-day mortality using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve. A multivariable logistic regression analysis of the independent predictors of 28-day mortality was performed. The SOFA score, LAR, CAR, and PAR were converted to categorical variables using Youden's index and analyzed. Adjusting for confounding factors such as age, sex, comorbidities, and infection focus, adjusted odds ratios (aOR) were calculated. RESULTS: Of the 3499 patients, 2707 (77.4%) were survivors, whereas 792 (22.6%) were non-survivors. The median age of the patients was 70 (25th-75th percentiles, 61-78), and 2042 (58.4%) were male. LAR for predicting 28-day mortality had the highest AUROC, followed by the SOFA score (0.715; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.69-0.74 and 0.669; 95% CI: 0.65-0.69, respectively). The multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that the aOR of LAR >1.52 was 3.75 (95% CI: 3.16-4.45), and the aOR, of SOFA score at enrollment >7.5 was 2.67 (95% CI: 2.25-3.17). CONCLUSION: The results of this study showed that LAR is a relatively strong predictor of sepsis prognosis in the ED setting, indicating its potential as a straightforward and practical prognostic factor. This finding may assist healthcare providers in the ED by providing them with tools to risk-stratify patients and predict their mortality.

No Significant Differences in Presepsin Levels According to the Causative Microorganism of Bloodstream Infection.

BACKGROUND: CD14 recognizes lipopolysaccharide (LPS), and presepsin is a fragment of soluble CD14. Still, it remains uncertain whether Gram-negative bacteria induce higher presepsin levels than other microorganisms. To address this question, this study aimed to analyze presepsin levels based on microorganisms isolated in blood cultures. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study was a single-center study comprising suspected sepsis patients enrolled from July 2020 to September 2020. A total of 95 patients with a single isolate confirmed in blood culture were analyzed to evaluate if there are any differences in presepsin levels according to microbial isolates. Plasma presepsin level was measured using PATHFAST assay kit and analyzer (LSI Medience Corporation, Tokyo, Japan). RESULTS: There were 26 Gram-positive bacteremia, 65 Gram-negative bacteremia, and 3 fungemia patients with median presepsin levels of 869, 1,439, and 11,951 pg/mL, respectively. Besides, one case of algaemia demonstrated a presepsin level of 1,231 pg/mL. Our results showed no statistically significant difference in presepsin levels among patients with Gram-positive bacteremia, Gram-negative bacteremia, and fungemia. Furthermore, presepsin levels did not differ significantly among bloodstream infections caused by bacteria that were isolated from at least three different patients. In particular, Gram-positive bacteria such as Staphylococcus aureus and Enterococcus faecalis were able to induce presepsin levels comparable to those induced by Gram-negative bacteria. CONCLUSION: We demonstrated that there were no significant differences in plasma presepsin levels according to microbial isolates in blood culture. The major cause of the variability in presepsin levels during bloodstream infection might be the immunogenicity of each microorganism rather than the presence of LPS in the microorganism.

Modified Cardiovascular Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score in Sepsis: External Validation in Intensive Care Unit Patients.

BACKGROUND: There is a need to update the cardiovascular (CV) Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score to reflect the current practice in sepsis. We previously proposed the modified CV SOFA score from data on blood pressure, norepinephrine equivalent dose, and lactate as gathered from emergency departments. In this study, we externally validated the modified CV SOFA score in multicenter intensive care unit (ICU) patients. METHODS: A multicenter retrospective observational study was conducted on ICU patients at six hospitals in Korea. We included adult patients with sepsis who were admitted to ICUs. We compared the prognostic performance of the modified CV/total SOFA score and the original CV/total SOFA score in predicting 28-day mortality. Discrimination and calibration were evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and the calibration curve, respectively. RESULTS: We analyzed 1,015 ICU patients with sepsis. In overall patients, the 28-day mortality rate was 31.2%. The predictive validity of the modified CV SOFA (AUROC, 0.712; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.677-0.746; P < 0.001) was significantly higher than that of the original CV SOFA (AUROC, 0.644; 95% CI, 0.611-0.677). The predictive validity of modified total SOFA score for 28-day mortality was significantly higher than that of the original total SOFA (AUROC, 0.747 vs. 0.730; 95% CI, 0.715-0.779; P = 0.002). The calibration curve of the original CV SOFA for 28-day mortality showed poor calibration. In contrast, the calibration curve of the modified CV SOFA for 28-day mortality showed good calibration. CONCLUSION: In patients with sepsis in the ICU, the modified SOFA score performed better than the original SOFA score in predicting 28-day mortality.

Epidemiologic trends of patients who visited nationwide emergency departments: a report from the National Emergency Department Information System (NEDIS) of Korea, 2018-2022.

OBJECTIVE: : This study analyzed trends in emergency department (ED) visits in South Korea using the National Emergency Department Information System (NEDIS) data from 2018 to 2022. METHODS: : This was a retrospective observational study using data from the NEDIS database from 2018 to 2022. Age- and sex-standardized ED visits per 100,000 population, as well as age- and sex-standardized rates for mortality, admission, and transfer, were calculated. RESULTS: : The standardized ED visits per 100,000 population was approximately 20,000 from 2018 to 2019 and decreased to about 18,000 in 2022. The standardized mortality rate ranged from 1.4% to 1.7%. The admission rate (18.4%-19.4%) and the transfer rates (1.6%-1.8%) were similar during the study period. Approximately 5.5% of patients were triaged as Korean Triage and Acuity Scale score 1 or 2. About 91% of patients visited the ED directly and 21.7% of patients visited the ED with an ambulance. The ED length of stay was less than 6 hours in 90.3% of patients and the ED mortality rate was 0.6%. Acute gastroenteritis was the most common diagnosis. Respiratory virus symptoms, such as fever and sore throat, were also common chief complaints. CONCLUSION: : ED visits decreased during the 5-year period, while admission, transfer, and death rates remained relatively stable.

ROMIAE (Rule-Out Acute Myocardial Infarction Using Artificial Intelligence Electrocardiogram Analysis) trial study protocol: a prospective multicenter observational study for validation of a deep learning-based 12-lead electrocardiogram analysis model for detecting acute myocardial infarction in patients visiting the emergency department.

OBJECTIVE: Based on the development of artificial intelligence (AI), an emerging number of methods have achieved outstanding performances in the diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) using an electrocardiogram (ECG). However, AI-ECG analysis using a multicenter prospective design for detecting AMI has yet to be conducted. This prospective multicenter observational study aims to validate an AI-ECG model for detecting AMI in patients visiting the emergency department. METHODS: Approximately 9,000 adult patients with chest pain and/or equivalent symptoms of AMI will be enrolled in 18 emergency medical centers in Korea. The AI-ECG analysis algorithm we developed and validated will be used in this study. The primary endpoint is the diagnosis of AMI on the day of visiting the emergency center, and the secondary endpoint is a 30-day major adverse cardiac event. From March 2022, patient registration has begun at centers approved by the institutional review board. DISCUSSION: This is the first prospective study designed to identify the efficacy of an AI-based 12-lead ECG analysis algorithm for diagnosing AMI in emergency departments across multiple centers. This study may provide insights into the utility of deep learning in detecting AMI on electrocardiograms in emergency departments. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT05435391. Registered on June 28, 2022.

Effect of Blade Size on the First-Pass Success Rate of Endotracheal Intubation Using the C-MAC Video Laryngoscope.

We sought to determine whether blade size influences the first-pass success (FPS) rate when performing endotracheal intubation (ETI) with a C-MAC video laryngoscope (VL) in emergency department (ED) patients. This single-center, retrospective, observational study was conducted between August 2016 and July 2022. A total of 1467 patients was divided into two categories based on the blade size used during the first ETI attempt: blade-3 (n = 365) and blade-4 groups (n = 1102). The primary outcome was the FPS rate. The secondary outcomes included the glottic view, multiple attempt rate, and ETI-related complications. We used propensity score matching to reduce the potential confounders between the two groups. Among these, 363 pairs of matched propensity scores were generated. The FPS rate did not differ between the blade-3 (84.8%) and blade-4 groups (87.3%) in the matched cohort (p = 0.335). The multiple attempt rate did not differ significantly between groups (p = 0.289) and was 3.9% and 2.5% in the blade-3 and blade-4 groups, respectively. The difficult glottic view (11.3 vs. 6.9%, p = 0.039) and complication rates (15.4% vs. 10.5%, p = 0.047) were significantly higher in the blade-3 group than in the blade-4 group. The FPS rates of ETI with the blade-3 and blade-4 groups in adult patients in the ED did not differ significantly.

Prognostic accuracy of initial and 24-h maximum SOFA scores of septic shock patients in the emergency department.

Background: We compared the prognostic accuracy of in-hospital mortality of the initial Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFAini) score at the time of sepsis recognition and resuscitation and the maximum SOFA score (SOFAmax) using the worst variables in the 24 h after the initial score measurement in emergency department (ED) patients with septic shock. Methods: This was a retrospective observational study using a multicenter prospective registry of septic shock patients in the ED between October 2015 and December 2019. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. The prognostic accuracies of SOFAini and SOFAmax were evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) curve. Results: A total of 4860 patients was included, and the in-hospital mortality was 22.1%. In 59.7% of patients, SOFAmax increased compared with SOFAini, and the mean change of total SOFA score was 2.0 (standard deviation, 2.3). There was a significant difference in in-hospital mortality according to total SOFA score and the SOFA component scores, except cardiovascular SOFA score. The AUC of SOFAmax (0.71; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.69-0.72) was significantly higher than that of SOFAini (AUC, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.66-0.69) in predicting in-hospital mortality. The AUCs of all scores of the six components were higher for the maximum values. Conclusion: The prognostic accuracy of the initial SOFA score at the time of sepsis recognition was lower than the 24-h maximal SOFA score in ED patients with septic shock. Follow-up assessments of organ failure may improve discrimination of the SOFA score for predicting mortality.

Prognostic Performance of Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation III, and Simplified Acute Physiology Score II Scores in Patients with Suspected Infection According to Intensive Care Unit Type.

We investigated the prognostic performance of scoring systems by the intensive care unit (ICU) type. This was a retrospective observational study using data from the Marketplace for Medical Information in the Intensive Care IV database. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. We obtained Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA), Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) III, and Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) II scores in each ICU type. Prognostic performance was evaluated with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and was compared among ICU types. A total of 29,618 patients were analyzed, and the in-hospital mortality was 12.4%. The overall prognostic performance of APACHE III was significantly higher than those of SOFA and SAPS II (0.807, [95% confidence interval, 0.799-0.814], 0.785 [0.773-0.797], and 0.795 [0.787-0.811], respectively). The prognostic performance of SOFA, APACHE III, and SAPS II scores was significantly different between ICU types. The AUROC ranges of SOFA, APACHE III, and SAPS II were 0.723-0.826, 0.728-0.860, and 0.759-0.819, respectively. The neurosurgical and surgical ICUs had lower prognostic performance than other ICU types. The prognostic performance of scoring systems in patients with suspected infection is significantly different according to ICU type. APACHE III systems have the highest prediction performance. ICU type may be a significant factor in the prognostication.

Clinical support system for triage based on federated learning for the Korea triage and acuity scale.

Background and aims: This study developed a clinical support system based on federated learning to predict the need for a revised Korea Triage Acuity Scale (KTAS) to facilitate triage. Methods: This was a retrospective study that used data from 11,952,887 patients in the Korean National Emergency Department Information System (NEDIS) from 2016 to 2018 for model development. Separate cohorts were created based on the emergency medical center level in the NEDIS: regional emergency medical center (REMC), local emergency medical center (LEMC), and local emergency medical institution (LEMI). External and temporal validation used data from emergency department (ED) of the study site from 2019 to 2021. Patient features obtained during the triage process and the initial KTAS scores were used to develop the prediction model. Federated learning was used to rectify the disparity in data quality between EDs. The patient's demographic information, vital signs in triage, mental status, arrival information, and initial KTAS were included in the input feature. Results: 3,626,154 patients' visits were included in the regional emergency medical center cohort; 8,278,081 patients' visits were included in the local emergency medical center cohort; and 48,652 patients' visits were included in the local emergency medical institution cohort. The study site cohort, which is used for external and temporal validation, included 135,780 patients visits. Among the patients in the REMC and study site cohorts, KTAS level 3 patients accounted for the highest proportion at 42.4% and 45.1%, respectively, whereas in the LEMC and LEMI cohorts, KTAS level 4 patients accounted for the highest proportion. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the prediction model was 0.786, 0.750, and 0.770 in the external and temporal validation. Patients with revised KTAS scores had a higher admission rate and ED mortality rate than those with unaltered KTAS scores. Conclusions: This novel system might accurately predict the likelihood of KTAS acuity revision and support clinician-based triage.

Development and derivation of bacteremia prediction model in patients with hepatobiliary infection.

INTRODUCTION: Hepatobiliary infections are common in the emergency department (ED), and the mortality rate for this condition is high. A suitable bacteremia prediction model would support prompt identification of bacteremia and appropriate management of hepatobiliary infections in the ED. Therefore, we attempted to produce a bacteremia prediction model with both internal and external validation for hepatobiliary infections in the ED. METHODS: Patients with hepatobiliary infection were extracted from retrospective cohort databases of two tertiary hospitals from January 2018 to December 2019 and from January 2016 to December 2019, respectively. Independent risk factors were determined using multivariable logistic regression in a developmental cohort. We assigned a weighted value to predictive factors and developed a prediction model, which was validated both internally and externally. We assessed discrimination using the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC). RESULTS: One hospital cohort of 1568 patients was randomly divided into a developmental group of 927 patients (60%) and an internal validation group of 641 patients (40%), and 736 people from the other hospital cohort were used for external validation. Bacteremia rates were 20.5%, 18.1%, and 23.1% in the developmental, internal, and external validation cohorts, respectively. Nine significant factors were used for predicting bacteremia, including age, three vital signs, and five laboratory tests. After applying our bacteremia prediction rule to the validation cohort, 56.5% and 53.8% of the internal and external validation groups were classified as low-risk bacteremia groups (bacteremia rates: 8.6% and 13.9%, respectively). The AUCs were 0.727 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.686-0.767), 0.730 (95% CI: 0.679-0.781), and 0.715 (95% CI: 0.672-0.758) for the developmental, internal, and external validation cohorts, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity for internal validation/external validation was 73.2%/67.6% and 63.0%/60.2%, respectively. CONCLUSION: A bacteremia prediction model for hepatobiliary infection might be useful to predict the risk of bacteremia. It might also reduce the need for blood culture in low-risk patients.

Hemodynamic management of septic shock: beyond the Surviving Sepsis Campaign guidelines.

Although the Surviving Sepsis Campaign guidelines provide standardized and generalized guidance, they are less individualized. This review focuses on recent updates in the hemodynamic management of septic shock. Monitoring and intervention for septic shock should be personalized according to the phase of shock. In the salvage phase, fluid resuscitation and vasopressors should be given to provide life-saving tissue perfusion. During the optimization phase, tissue perfusion should be optimized. In the stabilization and de-escalation phases, minimal fluid infusion and safe fluid removal should be performed, respectively, while preserving organ perfusion. There is controversy surrounding the use of restrictive versus liberal fluid strategies after initial resuscitation. Fluid administration after initial resuscitation should depend upon the patient's fluid responsiveness and requires individualized management. A number of dynamic tests have been proposed to monitor fluid responsiveness, which can help clinicians decide whether to give fluid or not. The optimal timing for the initiation of vasopressor agents is unknown. Recent data suggest that early vasopressor initiation should be considered. Inotropes can be considered in patients with decreased cardiac contractility associated with impaired tissue perfusion despite adequate volume status and arterial blood pressure. Venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation should be considered for refractory septic shock with severe cardiac systolic dysfunction.

EARLY PREDICTION OF UNEXPECTED LATENT SHOCK IN THE EMERGENCY DEPARTMENT USING VITAL SIGNS.

ABSTRACT: Objective/Introduction : Sequential vital-sign information and trends in vital signs are useful for predicting changes in patient state. This study aims to predict latent shock by observing sequential changes in patient vital signs. Methods : The dataset for this retrospective study contained a total of 93,194 emergency department (ED) visits from January 1, 2016, and December 31, 2020, and Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC)-IV-ED data. We further divided the data into training and validation datasets by random sampling without replacement at a 7:3 ratio. We carried out external validation with MIMIC-IV-ED. Our prediction model included logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF) classifier, a multilayer perceptron (MLP), and a recurrent neural network (RNN). To analyze the model performance, we used area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Results : Data of 89,250 visits of patients who met prespecified criteria were used to develop a latent-shock prediction model. Data of 142,250 patient visits from MIMIC-IV-ED satisfying the same inclusion criteria were used for external validation of the prediction model. The AUROC values of prediction for latent shock were 0.822, 0.841, 0.852, and 0.830 with RNN, MLP, RF, and LR methods, respectively, at 3 h before latent shock. This is higher than the shock index or adjusted shock index. Conclusion : We developed a latent shock prediction model based on 24 h of vital-sign sequence that changed with time and predicted the results by individual.