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PURPOSE: Information about the cost-effectiveness of a certain treatment is relevant for decision-making and healthcare providers. This study compares the cost-effectiveness of the novel Woven Endobridge (WEB) for intracranial aneurysm treatment with conventional coiling and stent-assisted coiling (SAC) from the perspective of the German Statutory Health Insurance. METHODS: A patient-level simulation was constructed to simulate 55-year-old patients with an unruptured middle cerebral artery aneurysm (size: 3-11â¯mm) considering WEB treatment, coiling or SAC in terms of morbidity, angiographic outcome, retreatment, procedural and rehabilitation costs and rupture rates. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were calculated as costs per quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and costs per year with neurologic morbidity avoided. Uncertainty was explored with deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. The majority of data were obtained from prospective multi-center studies and meta-analyses of non-randomized studies. RESULTS: In the base case, lifetime QALYs were 13.24 for the WEB, 12.92 for SAC and 12.68 for coiling. Lifetime costs were 20,440⯠for the WEB, 23,167⯠for SAC, and 8200⯠for coiling. Compared to coiling, the ICER for the WEB was 21,826â¯/QALY, while SAC was absolutely dominated by WEB. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis revealed that at a willingness-to-pay of ≥â¯30,000â¯/QALY, WEB was the preferred treatment. Deterministic sampling showed that the discount rate, material costs and retreatment rates had the largest impact on the ICERs. CONCLUSION: The novel WEB showed at least comparable cost-effectiveness to SAC for treatment of broad-based unruptured aneurysms. Considering all three modalities, coiling had the least costs; however this modality is often not appropriate for the treatment of wide-necked aneurysms.
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Embolização Terapêutica , Procedimentos Endovasculares , Aneurisma Intracraniano , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Aneurisma Intracraniano/diagnóstico por imagem , Aneurisma Intracraniano/terapia , Análise Custo-Benefício , Estudos Prospectivos , Resultado do Tratamento , Stents , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
Magnetic resonance imaging-guided high-intensity focused ultrasound (MR-HIFU) is an innovative treatment for patients with painful bone metastases. The adoption of MR-HIFU will be influenced by several factors beyond its effectiveness. To identify contextual factors affecting the adoption of MR-HIFU, we conducted a group concept mapping (GCM) study in four European countries. The GCM was conducted in two phases. First, the participants brainstormed statements guided by the focus prompt "One factor that may influence the uptake of MR-HIFU in clinical practice is...". Second, the participants sorted statements into categories and rated the statements according to their importance and changeability. To generate a concept map, multidimensional scaling and cluster analysis were conducted, and average ratings for each (cluster of) factors were calculated. Forty-five participants contributed to phase I and/or II (56% overall participation rate). The resulting concept map comprises 49 factors, organized in 12 clusters: "competitive treatments", "physicians' attitudes", "alignment of resources", "logistics and workflow", "technical disadvantages", "radiotherapy as first-line therapy", "aggregating knowledge and improving awareness", "clinical effectiveness", "patients' preferences", "reimbursement", "cost-effectiveness" and "hospital costs". The factors identified echo those from the literature, but their relevance and interrelationship are case-specific. Besides evidence on clinical effectiveness, contextual factors from 10 other clusters should be addressed to support adoption of MR-HIFU.
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Ablação por Ultrassom Focalizado de Alta Intensidade , Humanos , Ablação por Ultrassom Focalizado de Alta Intensidade/métodos , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética/métodos , Dor , Resultado do Tratamento , Espectroscopia de Ressonância MagnéticaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Cancer-induced bone pain (CIBP), caused by bone metastases, is a common complication of cancer and strongly impairs quality of life (QoL). External beam radiotherapy (EBRT) is the current standard of care for treatment of CIBP. However, approximately 45% of patients have no adequate pain response after EBRT. Magnetic resonance image-guided high-intensity focused ultrasound (MR-HIFU) may improve pain palliation in this patient population. The main objective of this trial was to compare MR-HIFU, EBRT, and MR-HIFU + EBRT for the palliative treatment of bone metastases. METHODS/DESIGN: The FURTHER trial is an international multicenter, three-armed randomized controlled trial. A total of 216 patients with painful bone metastases will be randomized in a 1:1:1 ratio to receive EBRT only, MR-HIFU only, or combined treatment with EBRT followed by MR-HIFU. During a follow-up period of 6 months, patients will be contacted at eight time points to retrieve information about their level of pain, QoL, and the occurrence of (serious) adverse events. The primary outcome of the trial is pain response at 14 days after start of treatment. Secondary outcomes include pain response at 14 days after trial enrolment, pain scores (daily until the 21st day and at 4, 6, 12 and 24 weeks), toxicity, adverse events, QoL, and survival. Cost-effectiveness and cost-utility analysis will be conducted. DISCUSSION: The FURTHER trial aims to evaluate the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of MR-HIFU-alone or in combination with EBRT-compared to EBRT to relieve CIBP. The trial will be performed in six hospitals in four European countries, all of which are partners in the FURTHER consortium. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The FURTHER trial is registered under the Netherlands Trials Register number NL71303.041.19 and ClinicalTrials.gov registration number NCT04307914. Date of trial registration is 13-01-2020.
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Neoplasias Ósseas , Dor do Câncer , Humanos , Cuidados Paliativos/métodos , Qualidade de Vida , Manejo da Dor/métodos , Dor , Neoplasias Ósseas/diagnóstico por imagem , Neoplasias Ósseas/radioterapia , Dor do Câncer/radioterapia , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto , Estudos Multicêntricos como AssuntoRESUMO
Introduction: Magnetic Resonance Image-guided High Intensity Focused Ultrasound (MR-HIFU) is a non-invasive treatment option for palliative patients with painful bone metastases. Early evidence suggests that MR-HIFU is associated with similar overall treatment response, but more rapid pain palliation compared to external beam radiotherapy (EBRT). This modelling study aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of MR-HIFU as an alternative treatment option for painful bone metastases from the perspective of the German Statutory Health Insurance (SHI). Materials and methods: A microsimulation model with lifelong time horizon and one-month cycle length was developed. To calculate the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), strategy A (MR-HIFU as first-line treatment or as retreatment option in case of persistent pain or only partial pain relief after EBRT) was compared to strategy B (EBRT alone) for patients with bone metastases due to breast, prostate, or lung cancer. Input parameters used for the model were extracted from the literature. Results were expressed as EUR per quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and EUR per pain response (i.e., months spent with complete or partial pain response). Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PSA) were performed to test the robustness of results, and a value of information analysis was conducted. Results: Compared to strategy B, strategy A resulted in additional costs (EUR 399) and benefits (0.02 QALYs and 0.95 months with pain response). In the base case, the resulting ICERs (strategy A vs. strategy B) are EUR 19,845/QALY and EUR 421 per pain response. Offering all patients MR-HIFU as first-line treatment would increase the ICER by 50% (31,048 EUR/QALY). PSA showed that at a (hypothetical) willingness to pay of EUR 20,000/QALY, the probability of MR-HIFU being cost-effective was 52%. The expected value of perfect information (EVPI) for the benefit population in Germany is approximately EUR 190 Mio. Conclusion: Although there is considerable uncertainty, the results demonstrate that introducing MR-HIFU as a treatment alternative for painful bone metastases might be cost-effective for the German SHI. The high EVPI indicate that further studies to reduce uncertainty would be worthwhile.
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Although BRCA1/2 genetic testing in developed countries is part of the reality for high-risk patients for hereditary breast and ovarian cancer (HBOC), the same is not true for upper-middle-income countries. For that reason, this study aimed to evaluate whether the BRCA1/2 genetic test and preventive strategies for women at high risk for HBOC are cost-effective compared to not performing these strategies in an upper-middle-income country. Adopting a payer perspective, a Markov model with a time horizon of 70 years was built to delineate the health states for a cohort of healthy women aged 30 years that fulfilled the BRCA1/2 testing criteria according to the guidelines. Transition probabilities were calculated based on real-world data of women tested for BRCA1/2 germline mutations in a cancer reference hospital from 2011 to 2020. We analyzed 275 BRCA mutated index cases and 356 BRCA mutation carriers that were first- or second-degree relatives of the patients. Costs were based on the Brazilian public health system reimbursement values. Health state utilities were retrieved from literature. The BRCA1/2 genetic test and preventive strategies result in more quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and costs with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of R$ 11,900.31 (U$ 5,504.31)/QALY. This result can represent a strong argument in favor of implementing genetic testing strategies for high-risk women even in countries with upper-middle income, considering not only the cancer prevention possibilities associated with the genetic testing but also its cost-effectiveness to the health system. These strategies are cost-effective, considering a willingness-to-pay threshold of R$ 25,000 (U$ 11,563.37)/QALY, indicating that the government should consider offering them for women at high risk for HBOC. The results were robust in deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses.
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The cost-effectiveness of genetic screen-and-treat strategies for women at increased risk for breast and ovarian cancer often depends on the women's willingness to make use of risk-reducing mastectomy (RRM) or salpingo-oophorectomy (RRSO). To explore the uptake rates of RRM and RRSO applied in health economic modeling studies and the impact of uptake rates on the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICER), we conducted a scoping literature review. In addition, using our own model, we conducted a value of information (VOI) analysis. Among the 19 models included in the review, the uptake rates of RRM ranged from 6% to 47% (RRSO: 10% to 88%). Fifty-seven percent of the models applied retrospective data obtained from registries, hospital records, or questionnaires. According to the models' deterministic sensitivity analyses, there is a clear trend that a lower uptake rate increased the ICER and vice versa. Our VOI analysis showed high decision uncertainty associated with the uptake rates. In the future, uptake rates should be given more attention in the conceptualization of health economic modeling studies. Prospective studies are recommended to reflect regional and national variations in women's preferences for preventive surgery.
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A central aspect to the management of type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM) and hypertension is promoting a healthy lifestyle, and nutritional therapy (NT) can support patients achieving glycemic control and blood pressure targets. This systematic review aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of NT in the management of patients with T2DM and/or hypertension in primary care. Primary outcomes were HbA1c, systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP). Thirty-nine studies were included, thirty on T2DM and nine on hypertension. With a moderate quality of evidence, educational/counseling programs and food replacement programs in primary care likely reduce HbA1c on patients with T2DM (mean difference (MD): -0.37, 95% CI: -0.57 to -0.17, 7437 patients, 27 studies; MD: -0.54, 95% CI: -0.75 to -0.32, 440 patients, 2 studies, respectively). Mediterranean diet for T2DM was accessed by one study, and no difference between the groups was found. Educational and counseling programs likely reduce DBP in patients with hypertension (MD: -1.79, 95% CI: -3.46, -0.12, 2840 patients, 9 studies, moderate quality of the evidence), but the effect in SBP was unclear due to risk of bias and imprecision. Nutritional therapy strategies (i.e., educational/counseling programs and food replacement programs) in primary care improved HbA1c in patients with T2DM and DBP in individuals with hypertension.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Hipertensão , Pressão Sanguínea , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/terapia , Hemoglobinas Glicadas , Humanos , Hipertensão/terapia , Atenção Primária à SaúdeRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To determine resource consumption and total costs for providing magnetic resonance-guided high-intensity focused ultrasound (MR-HIFU) treatment to a patient with cancer-induced bone pain (CIBP). METHODS: We conducted a time-driven activity-based costing (TD-ABC) of MR-HIFU treatments for CIBP from a hospital perspective. A European care-pathway (including a macro-, meso-, and micro-level) was designed to incorporate the care-delivery value chain. Time estimates were obtained from medical records and from prospective direct observations. To calculate the capacity cost rate, data from the controlling department of a German university hospital were allocated to the modules of the care pathway. Best- and worst-case scenarios were calculated by applying lower and upper bounds of time measurements. RESULTS: The macro-level care pathway consisted of eight modules (i.e., outpatient consultations, pretreatment imaging, preparation, optimization, sonication, post-treatment, recovery, and anesthesia). The total cost of an MR-HIFU treatment amounted to 5147 per patient. Best- and worst-case scenarios yielded a total cost of 4092 and to 5876. According to cost categories, costs due to equipment accounted for 41% of total costs, followed by costs with personnel (32%), overhead (16%) and materials (11%). CONCLUSION: MR-HIFU is an emerging noninvasive treatment for alleviating CIBP, with increasing evidence on treatment efficacy. This costing study can support MR-HIFU reimbursement negotiations and facilitate the adoption of MR-HIFU as first-line treatment for CIBP. The present TD-ABC model creates the opportunity of benchmarking the provision of MR-HIFU to bone tumor.Key pointsMagnetic resonance-guided high-intensity focused ultrasound (MR-HIFU) is an emerging noninvasive treatment modality for alleviating cancer-induced bone pain (CIBP).From a hospital perspective, the total cost of MR-HIFU amounted to 5147 per treatment.This time-driven activity-based costing model creates the opportunity of benchmarking the provision of MR-HIFU to bone tumor.
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Neoplasias Ósseas , Dor do Câncer , Ablação por Ultrassom Focalizado de Alta Intensidade , Neoplasias Ósseas/complicações , Neoplasias Ósseas/diagnóstico por imagem , Neoplasias Ósseas/terapia , Ablação por Ultrassom Focalizado de Alta Intensidade/métodos , Humanos , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Espectroscopia de Ressonância Magnética , Estudos ProspectivosRESUMO
The implementation of health technology assessment (HTA) in emerging countries depends on the characteristics of the health care system and the needs of public health care. The objective of this survey was to investigate experts' expectations for the development of HTA in Brazil and to derive measures to strengthen the impact of HTA in Brazil on health care decisions. Based on a scoping literature review, a questionnaire was developed proposing eight theses for seven domains of HTA: (i) capacity building, (ii) public involvement, (iii) role of cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA), (iv) institutional framework, (v) scope of HTA studies, (vi) methodology of HTA, and (vii) HTA as the basis for jurisdiction. Thirty experts responded in full to the survey and agreed to five of the eight theses proposed. Experts suggested several measures to promote HTA within the scope of each domain, thus addressing capacity building related to HTA, availability, and reliability of population data, and legal endowment of the HTA system. Finally, HTA processes in Brazil should also address public health issues (e.g., appraisal of interventions directed at chronic diseases).
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Motivação , Avaliação da Tecnologia Biomédica , Brasil , Análise Custo-Benefício , Reprodutibilidade dos TestesRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Despite the expectations regarding the effectiveness of chloroquine (CQ) and hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) management, concerns about their adverse events have remained. OBJECTIVES: The objective of this systematic review was to evaluate the safety of CQ and HCQ from malarial and non-malarial randomized clinical trials (RCTs). METHODS: The primary outcomes were the frequencies of serious adverse events (SAEs), retinopathy, and cardiac complications. Search strategies were applied to MEDLINE, EMBASE, LILACS, CENTRAL, Scopus, and Trip databases. We used a random-effects model to pool results across studies and Peto's one-step odds ratio (OR) for event rates below 1%. Both-armed zero-event studies were excluded from the meta-analyses. We used the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation system to evaluate the certainty of evidence. RESULTS: One hundred and six RCTs were included. We found no significant difference between CQ/HCQ and control (placebo or non-CQ/HCQ) in the frequency of SAEs (OR: 0.98, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.76-1.26, 33 trials, 15,942 participants, moderate certainty of evidence). However, there was a moderate certainty of evidence that CQ/HCQ increases the incidence of cardiac complications (RR: 1.62, 95% CI: 1.10-2.38, 16 trials, 9908 participants). No clear relationship was observed between CQ/HCQ and retinopathy (OR: 1.63, 95% CI: - 0.4-6.57, 5 trials, 344 participants, very low certainty of evidence). CONCLUSIONS: CQ and HCQ probably do not increase SAEs, with low frequency of these adverse events on malarial and non-malarial conditions. However, they may increase cardiac complications especially in patients with COVID-19. No clear effect of their use on the incidence of retinopathy was observed. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION: PROSPERO CRD42020177818.
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Tratamento Farmacológico da COVID-19 , Hidroxicloroquina , Cloroquina/efeitos adversos , Humanos , Hidroxicloroquina/efeitos adversos , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto , SARS-CoV-2RESUMO
Objective: The objective of this systematic review was to evaluate the effectiveness and safety of pasireotide, cabergoline, ketoconazole, levoketoconazole, metyrapone, osilodrostat, and temozolomide for the treatment of Cushing's disease (CD). Methods: The primary outcomes were the proportion of CD control, adverse events (AE), and reduction of urinary free cortisol. Search strategies were applied to Embase, Medline, and CENTRAL. Independent reviewers assessed the study eligibility, extracted data, and evaluated risk of bias. Standardized mean difference was calculated with 95% confidence interval (CI) for continuous data (i.e., pre- and post-intervention). Random meta-analyses for the proportion of CD control and AE were conducted. Results: Twenty-nine controlled and non-controlled studies were included. No study with temozolomide and levoketoconazole and one study with osilodrostat fulfilled the inclusion criteria. The meta-analyses of proportion of CD control was 35% for cabergoline (95% CI: 27-43%, six studies, 141 participants), 44% for pasireotide (95% CI: 25-35%, eight studies, 522 participants), 41% for ketoconazole (95% CI: 36-46%, six studies, 450 participants), 66% for metyrapone (95% CI: 46-87%, four studies, 66 participants), and of 66.4% for osilodrostat (95% CI: 57.9, 74.3, 97 participants, one study). One study compared two different treatments (cabergoline vs. ketoconazole), and no statistical difference was observed in CD control (RR: 0.53, 95% CI: 0.15 to 1.87, 14 participants, very low certainty of evidence). The most frequent AE associated with pasireotide was hyperglycemia, dizziness and nausea with cabergoline and metyrapone, and elevated transaminases with ketoconazole. Conclusion: The superiority of one drug over another could not be determined due to lack of controlled studies, but the proportion of disease control identified in our meta-analysis may support clinical decision. New therapeutic options should be investigated due to the limited efficacy and tolerability of the currently available medical treatment for patients with Cushing's disease. Systematic Review Registration: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?ID=CRD42020205567, identifier CRD42020205567.
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Hipersecreção Hipofisária de ACTH/tratamento farmacológico , Drogas em Investigação/uso terapêutico , Humanos , Imidazóis/uso terapêutico , Hipersecreção Hipofisária de ACTH/epidemiologia , Piridinas/uso terapêutico , Somatostatina/análogos & derivados , Somatostatina/uso terapêutico , Terapias em Estudo/métodos , Terapias em Estudo/tendências , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
Genetic screen-and-treat strategies for the risk-reduction of breast cancer (BC) and ovarian cancer (OC) are often evaluated by cost-utility analyses (CUAs). This analysis compares data on health preferences (i.e., utility values) in CUAs of targeted genetic testing for BC and OC. Based on utilities applied in fourteen CUAs, data on utility including related assumptions were extracted for the health states: (i) genetic test, (ii) risk-reducing surgeries, (iii) BC/OC and (iv) post cancer. In addition, information about the sources of utility and the impact on the cost-effectiveness was extracted. Utility for CUAs relied on heterogeneous data and assumptions for all health states. The utility values ranged from 0.68 to 0.97 for risk-reducing surgeries, 0.6 to 0.85 for BC and 0.5 to 0.82 for OC. In two out of nine studies, considering the impact of the test result strongly affected the cost-effectiveness ratio. While in general utilities seem not to affect the cost-utility ratio, in future modeling studies the impact of a positive/negative test on utility should be considered mandatory. Women's health preferences, which may have changed as a result of improved oncologic care and genetic counselling, should be re-evaluated.
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BACKGROUND: Clinical evidence supports the use of genetic counselling and BRCA1/2 testing for women at risk for hereditary breast and ovarian cancer. Currently, screen-and-treat strategies are not reimbursed in the Brazilian Unified Healthcare System (SUS). The aim of this modelling study was to evaluate the cost effectiveness of a gene-based screen-and-treat strategy for BRCA1/2 in women with a high familial risk followed by preventive interventions compared with no screening. METHODS: Adopting the SUS perspective, a Markov model with a lifelong time horizon was developed for a cohort of healthy women aged 30 years that fulfilled the criteria for BRCA1/2 testing according to the National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guideline. For women who tested positive, preventive options included intensified surveillance, risk-reducing bilateral mastectomy and bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy. The Markov model comprised the health states 'well', 'breast cancer', 'death' and two post-cancer states. Outcomes were the incremental costs per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) and the incremental costs per life-year gained (LYG). Data were mainly obtained by a literature review. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the robustness of the results. RESULTS: In the base case, the screen-and-treat strategy resulted in additional costs of 3515 Brazilian reais (R$) (US$1698) and a gain of 0.145 QALYs, compared with no screening. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was R$24,263 (US$21,724) per QALY and R$27,258 (US$24,405) per LYG. Applying deterministic sensitivity analyses, the ICER was most sensitive to the probability of a positive test result and the discount rate. In the probabilistic sensitivity analysis, a willingness to pay of R$25,000 per QALY gained for the screen-and-treat strategy resulted in a probability of cost effectiveness of 80%. CONCLUSION: Although there is no rigorous cost-effectiveness threshold in Brazil, the result of this cost-effectiveness analysis may support the inclusion of BRCA1/2 testing for women at high-risk of cancer in the SUS. The ICER calculated for the provision of genetic testing for BRCA1/2 approximates the cost-effectiveness threshold proposed by the World Health Organization (WHO) for low- and middle-income countries.
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Neoplasias da Mama , Neoplasias Ovarianas , Brasil , Neoplasias da Mama/diagnóstico , Neoplasias da Mama/genética , Neoplasias da Mama/prevenção & controle , Análise Custo-Benefício , Atenção à Saúde , Feminino , Humanos , Mastectomia , Neoplasias Ovarianas/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Ovarianas/genética , Neoplasias Ovarianas/prevenção & controle , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de VidaRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Despite the increasing number of drugs available and various guidelines on the management of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and hypertension, an expressive number of patients continue with these diseases uncontrolled. Nutrition therapy (NT) plays a fundamental role in the prevention and management of these comorbidities, as well as in the prevention of complications related to them. The objective of this review is to evaluate the effectiveness of NT strategies in the management of patients with T2DM and/or hypertension in primary care. The selected strategies did not substitute pharmaceutical treatment but instead focused on preventing a sedentary lifestyle and stimulating healthy nutrition. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: We will perform a systematic review according to Cochrane methodology of randomised controlled trials, wherein patients with T2DM and/or hypertension were allocated into one of the two groups: NT strategy, which may be of dietary quality or energy restriction, and conventional treatment. The primary outcomes will be glycaemic and blood pressure (BP) control, measured by final glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) (%) and BP (mm Hg), respectively. Four general and adaptive search strategies have been created for the Embase, Medline, Latin American and Caribbean Health Sciences Literature (LILACS) and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL) electronic databases. Two reviewers will independently select eligible studies, assess the risk of bias and extract data from the included studies. Similar outcomes measured in at least two trials will be plotted in the meta-analysis using Review Manager V.5.3. The quality of evidence of the effect estimate of the intervention will be generated according to the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation Working Group. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: As no primary data collection will be undertaken, formal ethical assessment is not required. We plan to present the results of this systematic review in a peer-reviewed scientific journal, conferences and the popular press. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: Our systematic review protocol was registered with the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO) on 20 December 2018 (Registration number CRD42018118117).