A Multicentre Prospective Cohort Study to Identify High-Risk Transient Ischemic Attack/Minor Stroke Patients Benefitting from Echocardiography.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to derive a clinical decision rule to identify patients with transient ischemic attack (TIA) or minor stroke most likely to benefit from echocardiography. METHODS: This multicentre prospective cohort study enrolled adults diagnosed with TIA/minor stroke in the emergency department who underwent echocardiograms within 90 days, from 13 Canadian academic emergency departments from October 2006 to May 2017. Our outcome was clinically significant echocardiogram findings. RESULTS: In 7149 eligible patients, a clinically significant finding was found in 556 (7.8%). There were a further 2421 (33.9%) with potentially significant findings. History of heart failure (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 3.9) or coronary artery disease (OR, 2.7) were the factors most strongly associated with clinically significant echocardiogram findings, whereas young age, male sex, valvular heart disease, and infarct (any age) on neuroimaging were modestly associated (OR, 1.3-1.9). The model combining these predictors into a score (range: 0-15), had a C-statistic of 0.67 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.65-0.70). A cut point of 6 points or more classified 6.6% of cases as high likelihood, defined as > 15% for clinically significant echocardiogram findings. CONCLUSIONS: Echocardiography is a very useful test in the investigations of patients with TIA/minor stroke. We identified high-risk clinical features-combined to create a clinical decision rule-to identify which patients with TIA/minor stroke are likely to have clinically significant echocardiogram findings requiring an immediate change in management. These patients should have echocardiography prioritized, whereas others may continue to have echocardiography conducted in a less urgent fashion.

Utility of serial troponin testing for emergency department patients with syncope.

BACKGROUND: For emergency department (ED) patients with syncope, cardiac troponin can identify acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and prognosticate for 30-day serious adverse events. However, it is unclear if serial testing improves diagnostic yield and prognostication. METHODS: This was a secondary analysis of data from two prospective studies conducted to develop the Canadian Syncope Risk Score. Adults (age ≥ 16 years) with syncope were enrolled, and patient characteristics, vital signs, physician diagnostic impression, electrocardiogram and troponin results, and adjudicated 30-day serious adverse event were collected. The primary outcome was the detection of a serious adverse event within 30 days of ED disposition. The secondary outcome was comparison of ED length of stay among patients with single versus serial troponin measurements. RESULTS: 4996 patients [mean age 64.5 (SD 18.8) years, 52.2% male] were included: 4397 (89.8%) with single troponin [232 (5.3%) with serious adverse event in the ED and 203 (4.6%) after ED disposition]; 499 (10.2%) patients with > 1 troponin measurement [39 (7.8%) with serious adverse event in ED and 60 (12.0%) after ED disposition]. Among those with serial measurements, 10 patients (2.0%) had a rise from below to above the 99th percentile threshold, of whom 4 patients (0.8%) suffered serious adverse event: two with arrhythmias diagnosed on electrocardiogram, one with ACS and one suffered respiratory failure. Nine patients (1.8%) had Canadian Syncope Risk Score risk reclassification based on serial measurement, and none suffered 30-day serious adverse event. Median ED length of stay was significantly longer for patients with serial testing (5.6 vs. 3.8 h, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The initial troponin measurement was sufficient for serious adverse event detection and in-ED risk stratification. Serial troponin testing does not improve the diagnostic yield or prognostication and should be reserved for patients with ongoing symptoms or electrocardiogram findings suggestive of cardiac ischemia.

ABSTRAIT: CONTEXTE: Pour les patients du service des urgences (DE) atteints de syncope, la troponine cardiaque peut identifier le syndrome coronarien aigu (SCA) et le pronostic pour les événements indésirables graves de 30 jours. Cependant, il n'est pas clair si les tests en série améliorent le rendement diagnostique et le pronostic. MéTHODES: Il s'agissait d'une analyse secondaire des données de deux études prospectives menées pour élaborer le Canadian Syncope Risk Score. Des adultes (âgés de 16 ans) atteints de syncope ont été recrutés, et les caractéristiques du patient, les signes vitaux, l'empreinte diagnostique du médecin, les résultats de l'électrocardiogramme et de la troponine, ainsi que les événements indésirables graves évalués à 30 jours ont été recueillis. Le critère de jugement principal était la détection d'un événement indésirable grave dans les 30 jours suivant la décision de l'urgence. Le critère de jugement secondaire était la comparaison de la durée de séjour à l'urgence chez les patients ayant une seule mesure de troponine par rapport à la mesure en série. RéSULTATS: 4 996 patients [âge moyen 64,5 (ET 18,8) ans, 52,2 % d'hommes] ont été inclus : 4 397 (89,8 %) avec une seule troponine [232 (5,3 %) avec un événement indésirable grave à l'urgence et 203 (4,6 %) après l'urgence]; 499 (10,2 %) patients avec > 1 mesure de la troponine [39 (7,8 %) avec événement indésirable grave à l'urgence et 60 (12,0 %) après la décision à l'urgence]. Parmi les patients ayant fait l'objet de mesures en série, 10 (2,0 %) présentaient une augmentation du seuil inférieur à supérieur au seuil du 99e percentile, dont 4 (0,8 %) ont subi un événement indésirable grave : deux avec arythmies diagnostiquées par électrocardiogramme, un avec SCA et un avec insuffisance respiratoire. Neuf patients (1,8 %) ont présenté une reclassification du risque selon le score canadien de risque de syncope en fonction de la mesure en série, et aucun n'a subi d'événement indésirable grave de 30 jours. La durée médiane de séjour aux urgences était significativement plus longue pour les patients ayant subi des tests en série (5,6 vs. 3,8 heures, p < 0,001). CONCLUSIONS: La mesure initiale de la troponine était suffisante pour la détection des effets indésirables graves et la stratification des risques aux urgences. Les tests de troponine en série n'améliorent pas le rendement diagnostique ou le pronostic et doivent être réservés aux patients présentant des symptômes continus ou des résultats d'électrocardiogramme suggérant une ischémie cardiaque.

Derivation of a clinical prediction score for the diagnosis of clinically significant symptomatic carotid artery disease.

OBJECTIVES: Emergent vascular imaging identifies a subset of patients requiring immediate specialized care (i.e. carotid stenosis > 50%, dissection or free-floating thrombus). However, most TIA patients do not have these findings, so it is inefficient to image all TIA patients in crowded emergency departments (ED). Our objectives were to derive and internally validate a clinical prediction score for clinically significant carotid artery disease in TIA patients. METHODS: This was a planned secondary analysis of a prospective cohort study from 14 Canadian EDs. Among 11555 consecutive adult ED patients with TIA/minor stroke symptoms over 12 years, 9882 had vascular imaging and were included in the analysis. Our main outcome was clinically significant carotid artery disease, defined as extracranial internal carotid stenosis ≥ 50%, dissection, or thrombus in the internal carotid artery, with contralateral symptoms. RESULTS: Of 9882 patients, 888 (9.0%) had clinically significant carotid artery disease. Logistic regression was used to derive a 13-variable reduced model. We simplified the model into a score (Symcard [Symptomatic carotid artery disease] Score), with suggested cut-points for high, medium, and low-risk stratification. A substantial portion (38%) of patients were classified as low-risk, 33.8% as medium risk, and 28.2% as high risk. At the low-risk cut-point, sensitivity was 92.9%, specificity 41.1%, and diagnostic yield 1.7%. CONCLUSIONS: This simple score can predict carotid artery disease in TIA patients using readily available information. It identifies low-risk patients who can defer vascular imaging to an outpatient or specialty clinic setting. Medium-risk patients may undergo imaging immediately or with slight delay, depending on local resources. High-risk patients should undergo urgent vascular imaging.

RéSUMé: OBJECTIFS: L'imagerie vasculaire émergente permet d'identifier un sous-ensemble de patients nécessitant des soins spécialisés immédiats (c.-à-d. sténose carotidienne >50 %, dissection ou thrombus flottant). Cependant, la plupart des patients atteints de RTI ne présentent pas ces résultats, il est donc inefficace d'effectuer une imagerie de tous les patients atteints de RTI dans les services d'urgence (ER) surpeuplés. Nos objectifs étaient de calculer et de valider en interne un score de prédiction clinique pour la maladie carotide cliniquement significative chez les patients atteints d'une AIT MéTHODES: Il s'agissait d'une analyse secondaire planifiée d'une étude de cohorte prospective menée auprès de 14 DE canadiens. Parmi les 11555 patients adultes consécutifs atteints d'un EI présentant des symptômes d'AIT/AVC mineur au cours des 12 dernières années, 9882 ont reçu une imagerie vasculaire et ont été inclus dans l'analyse. Notre principal critère de jugement était la maladie carotide cliniquement significative, définie comme une sténose extracrânienne de la carotide interne à 50 %, une dissection ou un thrombus dans l'artère carotide interne, avec des symptômes contralatéraux. RéSULTATS: Sur 9882 patients, 888 (9,0 %) présentaient une maladie de l'artère carotide cliniquement significative. La régression logistique a été utilisée pour obtenir un modèle réduit à 13 variables. Nous avons simplifié le modèle en un score (Symcard [Symptomatic carotid artery disease] Score), avec des points de coupure suggérés pour la stratification à risque élevé, moyen et faible. Une proportion importante (38,0 %) des patients ont été classés à faible risque, 33,8 % à risque moyen et 28,2 % à risque élevé. Au seuil de faible risque, la sensibilité était de 92,9 %, la spécificité de 41,1 % et le rendement diagnostique de 1,7 %. CONCLUSIONS: Ce score simple permet de prédire la maladie de l'artère carotide chez les patients atteints d'AIT en utilisant des informations facilement disponibles. Il identifie les patients à faible risque qui peuvent reporter l'imagerie vasculaire à un établissement de consultation externe ou de spécialité. Les patients à risque moyen peuvent subir une imagerie immédiatement ou avec un léger délai, selon les ressources locales. Les patients à haut risque doivent subir une imagerie vasculaire urgente.

HEART + score: integrating carotid ultrasound to chest pain assessment in the emergency department.

OBJECTIVES: The HEART score is a clinical decision tool that stratifies patients into categories of low, moderate, and high-risk of major adverse cardiac events in the emergency department (ED) but cannot identify underlying cardiovascular disease in patients without prior history. The presence of atherosclerosis can easily be detected at the bedside using carotid ultrasound. Plaque quantification is well established, and plaque composition can be assessed using ultrasound grayscale pixel distribution analysis. This study aimed to determine whether carotid plaque burden and/or composition correlated with risk of events and could improve the sensitivity of the HEART score in risk stratifying ED patients with chest pain. METHODS: The HEART score was calculated based on history, electrocardiogram, age, risk factors, and initial troponin in patients presenting to the ED with chest pain (n = 321). Focused carotid ultrasound was performed, and maximum plaque height and total plaque area were used to determine plaque burden (quantity). Plaque composition (% blood, fat, muscle, fibrous, calcium-like tissue) was assessed by pixel distribution analysis. RESULTS: Carotid plaque height and area increased with HEART score (p < 0.0001). Carotid plaque % fibrous and % calcium also increased with HEART score. The HEART score had a higher area under the curve (AUC = 0.84) in predicting 30-day events compared to the plaque variables alone (AUCs < 0.70). Integrating plaque quantity into the HEART score slightly increased test sensitivity (62-69%) for 30-day events and reclassified 11 moderate-risk participants to high-risk (score 7-10). CONCLUSION: Plaque burden with advanced composition features (fibrous and calcium) was associated with increased HEART score. Integrating plaque assessment into the HEART score identified subclinical atherosclerosis in moderate-risk patients.

RéSUMé: OBJECTIFS: Le score HEART est un outil de décision clinique qui stratifie les patients en catégories de risque faible, modéré et élevé d'événements cardiaques indésirables majeurs à l'urgence (ED), mais ne peut pas identifier les maladies cardiovasculaires sous-jacentes chez les patients sans antécédents. La présence d'athérosclérose peut facilement être détectée au chevet du patient à l'aide de l'échographie carotide. La quantification de la plaque est bien établie et la composition de la plaque peut être évaluée à l'aide d'une analyse échographique de la distribution des pixels en niveaux de gris. Cette étude visait à déterminer si la charge et/ou la composition de la plaque carotidienne étaient corrélées avec le risque d'événements et pouvaient améliorer la sensibilité du score HEART chez les patients souffrant de douleurs thoraciques stratifiés. MéTHODES: Le score HEART a été calculé sur la base des antécédents, de l'électrocardiogramme, de l'âge, des facteurs de risque et de la troponine initiale chez les patients présentant une douleur thoracique à l'urgence (n = 321). L'échographie carotidienne focalisée a été effectuée, et la hauteur maximale de la plaque et la surface totale de la plaque ont été utilisées pour déterminer la charge de plaque (quantité). La composition de la plaque (% de sang, de graisse, de muscle, de tissu fibreux, de type calcique) a été évaluée par analyse de la distribution des pixels. RéSULTATS: La hauteur et la surface de la plaque carotide ont augmenté avec le score HEART (p<0,0001). Le pourcentage de plaque carotide fibreuse et le pourcentage de calcium ont également augmenté avec le score HEART. Le score HEART avait une zone plus élevée sous la courbe (ASC = 0,84) pour prédire les événements de 30 jours par rapport aux seules variables de la plaque (CCU < 0,70). L'intégration de la quantité de plaque dans le score HEART a légèrement augmenté la sensibilité au test (62 % à 69 %) pour les événements de 30 jours et a reclassé 11 participants à risque modéré à risque élevé (score de 7 à 10). CONCLUSION: La charge de plaque avec des caractéristiques de composition avancées (fibreuse et calcique) était associée à une augmentation du score HEART. Intégrer l'évaluation de la plaque dans le score HEART a identifié l'athérosclérose subclinique chez les patients à risque modéré.

Imprecision of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin assays at the female 99th-percentile.

BACKGROUND: An analytical benchmark for high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) assays is to achieve a coefficient of variation (CV) of ≤ 10.0 % at the 99th percentile upper reference limit (URL) used for the diagnosis of myocardial infarction. Few prospective multicenter studies have evaluated assay imprecision and none have determined precision at the female URL which is lower than the male URL for all cardiac troponin assays. METHODS: Human serum and plasma matrix samples were constructed to yield hs-cTn concentrations near the female URLs for the Abbott, Beckman, Roche, and Siemens hs-cTn assays. These materials were sent (on dry ice) to 35 Canadian hospital laboratories (n = 64 instruments evaluated) participating in a larger clinical trial, with instructions for storage, handling, and monthly testing over one year. The mean concentration, standard deviation, and CV for each instrument type and an overall pooled CV for each manufacturer were calculated. RESULTS: The CVs for all individual instruments and overall were ≤ 10.0 % for two manufacturers (Abbott CVpooled = 6.3 % and Beckman CVpooled = 7.0 %). One of four Siemens Atellica instruments yielded a CV > 10.0 % (CVpooled = 7.7 %), whereas 15 of 41 Roche instruments yielded CVs > 10.0 % at the female URL of 9 ng/L used worldwide (6 cobas e411, 1 cobas e601, 4 cobas e602, and 4 cobas e801) (CVpooled = 11.7 %). Four Roche instruments also yielded CVs > 10.0 % near the female URL of 14 ng/L used in the United States (CVpooled = 8.5 %). CONCLUSIONS: The number of instruments achieving a CV ≤ 10.0 % at the female 99th-percentile URL varies by manufacturer and by instrument. Monitoring assay precision at the female URL is necessary for some assays to ensure optimal use of this threshold in clinical practice.

Management of Acetaminophen Poisoning in the US and Canada: A Consensus Statement.

Importance: The US and Canada currently have no formal published nationwide guidelines for specialists in poison information or emergency departments for the management of acetaminophen poisoning, resulting in significant variability in management. Objective: To develop consensus guidelines for the management of acetaminophen poisoning in the US and Canada. Evidence Review: Four clinical toxicology societies (America's Poison Centers, American Academy of Clinical Toxicology, American College of Medical Toxicology, and Canadian Association of Poison Control Centers) selected participants (n = 21). Led by a nonvoting chairperson using a modified Delphi method, the panel created a decision framework and determined the appropriate clinical management of a patient with acetaminophen poisoning. Unique to this effort was the collection of guidelines from most poison centers in addition to systematic collection and review of the medical literature. Comments from review by external organizations were incorporated before the guideline was finalized. The project began in March 2021 and ended in March 2023. Findings: The search retrieved 84 guidelines and 278 publications. The panel developed guidelines for emergency department management of single or repeated ingestion of acetaminophen. In addition, the panel addressed extended-release formulation, high-risk ingestion, coingestion of anticholinergics or opioids, age younger than 6 years, pregnancy, weight greater than 100 kg, and intravenous acetaminophen use. Differences from current US practice include defining acute ingestion as an ingestion presentation from 4 to 24 hours after overdose was initiated. A revised form of the Rumack-Matthew nomogram was developed. The term massive ingestion was replaced with the term high-risk ingestion and denoted by a specific nomogram line. Other recommendations include specific criteria for emergency department triage, laboratory evaluation and monitoring parameters, defining the role of gastrointestinal decontamination, detailed management of acetylcysteine treatment, associated adverse effects, and stopping criteria for acetylcysteine treatment, as well as criteria for consultation with a clinical toxicologist. Finally, specific treatment considerations, including acetylcysteine dosing, fomepizole administration, and considerations for extracorporeal elimination and transplant evaluation, were addressed. Conclusions and Relevance: This qualitative study provides a consensus statement on consistent evidence-based recommendations for medical, pharmacy, and nursing education and practice to optimize care of patients with acetaminophen poisoning.

Development of practice recommendations based on the Canadian Syncope Risk Score and identification of barriers and facilitators for implementation.

BACKGROUND: Wide variations in emergency department (ED) syncope management exist. The Canadian Syncope Risk Score (CSRS) was developed to predict the probability of 30-day serious outcomes after ED disposition. Study objectives were to evaluate the acceptability of proposed CSRS practice recommendations among providers and patients, and identify barriers and facilitators for CSRS use to guide disposition decisions. METHODS: We conducted semi-structured interviews with 41 physicians involved in ED syncope and 35 ED patients with syncope. We used purposive sampling to ensure a variety of physician specialties and CSRS patient risk levels. Thematic analysis was completed by two independent coders with consensus meetings to resolve conflicts. Analysis proceeded in parallel with interviews until data saturation. RESULTS: The majority (97.6%; 40/41) of physicians agreed with discharge of low risk (CSRS ≤ 0) but opined that 'no follow up' changed to 'follow-up as needed'. Physicians indicated current practices do not align with the medium-risk recommendation to discharge patients with 15-day monitoring (CSRS = 1-3; due to lack of access to monitors and timely follow-up) and the high-risk recommendation (CSRS ≥ 4) to potentially discharge patients with 15-day monitoring. Physicians recommended brief hospitalization of high-risk patients due to patient safety concerns. Facilitators included the CSRS-based patient education and scores supporting their clinical gestalt. Patients reported receiving varying levels of information regarding syncope and post-ED care, were satisfied with care received and preferred less resource intensive options. CONCLUSION: Our recommendations based on the study results were: discharge of low-risk patients with physician follow-up as needed; discharge of medium-risk patients with 15-day cardiac monitoring and brief hospitalization of high-risk patients with 15-day cardiac monitoring if discharged. Patients preferred less resource intensive options, in line with CSRS recommended care. Implementation should leverage identified facilitators (e.g., patient education) and address the barriers (e.g., monitor access) to improve ED syncope care.

RéSUMé: CONTEXTE: La prise en charge des syncopes par les services d'urgence varie considérablement. Le Canadian Syncope Risk Score (CSRS) a été mis au point pour prédire la probabilité d'une issue grave à 30 jours après la prise en charge par le service des urgences. Les objectifs de l'étude étaient d'évaluer l'acceptabilité des recommandations pratiques proposées par le CSRS parmi les prestataires et les patients, et d'identifier les barrières et les facilitateurs de l'utilisation du CSRS pour guider les décisions de disposition. MéTHODES: Nous avons mené des entretiens semi-structurés avec 41 médecins impliqués dans la syncope aux urgences et 35 patients souffrant de syncope aux urgences. Nous avons utilisé un échantillonnage raisonné pour assurer une variété de spécialités médicales et de niveaux de risque pour les patients du CSRS. L'analyse thématique a été réalisée par deux codeurs indépendants, avec des réunions de consensus pour résoudre les conflits. L'analyse s'est déroulée parallèlement aux entretiens jusqu'à saturation des données. RéSULTATS: La majorité (97,6 % ; 40/41) des médecins étaient d'accord avec la sortie des patients à faible risque (CSRS ≤ 0), mais ont estimé que " pas de suivi " devait être remplacée par " suivi en fonction des besoins ". Les médecins ont indiqué que leurs pratiques actuelles ne sont pas conformes à la recommandation à risque moyen de faire sortir les patients avec une surveillance de 15 jours (CSRS = 1-3 ; en raison du manque d'accès aux moniteurs et au suivi en temps opportun) et à la recommandation à risque élevé (CSRS ≥ 4) de potentiellement faire sortir les patients avec une surveillance de 15 jours. Les médecins ont recommandé une brève hospitalisation des patients à haut risque pour des raisons de sécurité. Les facilitateurs comprenaient l'éducation des patients basée sur le CSRS et les scores soutenant leur gestalt clinique. Les patients ont déclaré avoir reçu différents niveaux d'information concernant la syncope et les soins post-urgence, étaient satisfaits des soins reçus et préféraient des options moins gourmandes en ressources. CONCLUSIONS: Nos recommandations basées sur les résultats de l'étude sont les suivantes : sortie des patients à faible risque avec suivi par un médecin si nécessaire ; la sortie des patients à risque moyen avec une surveillance cardiaque de 15 jours et une brève hospitalisation des patients à risque élevé avec une surveillance cardiaque de 15 jours en cas de sortie. Les patients ont préféré des options moins gourmandes en ressources, conformément aux soins recommandés par le CSRS. La mise en œuvre devrait s'appuyer sur les facilitateurs identifiés (par exemple, l'éducation des patients) et s'attaquer aux obstacles (par exemple, le contrôle de l'accès) pour améliorer les soins aux urgences en cas de syncope.

Ninety-Day Stroke or Transient Ischemic Attack Recurrence in Patients Prescribed Anticoagulation in the Emergency Department With Atrial Fibrillation and a New Transient Ischemic Attack or Minor Stroke.

Background For patients with atrial fibrillation seen in the emergency department (ED) following a transient ischemic attack (TIA) or minor stroke, the impact of initiating oral anticoagulation immediately rather than deferring the decision to outpatient follow-up is unknown. Methods and Results We conducted a planned secondary data analysis of a prospective cohort of 11 507 adults in 13 Canadian EDs between 2006 and 2018. Patients were eligible if they were aged 18 years or older, with a final diagnosis of TIA or minor stroke with previously documented or newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation. The primary outcome was subsequent stroke, recurrent TIA, or all-cause mortality within 90 days of the index TIA diagnosis. Secondary outcomes included stroke, recurrent TIA, or death and rates of major bleeding. Of 11 507 subjects with TIA/minor stroke, atrial fibrillation was identified in 11.2% (1286, mean age, 77.3 [SD 11.1] years, 52.4% male). Over half (699; 54.4%) were already taking anticoagulation, 89 (6.9%) were newly prescribed anticoagulation in the ED. By 90 days, 4.0% of the atrial fibrillation cohort had experienced a subsequent stroke, 6.5% subsequent TIA, and 2.6% died. Results of a multivariable logistic regression indicate no association between prescribed anticoagulation in the ED and these 90-day outcomes (composite odds ratio, 1.37 [95% CI, 0.74-2.52]). Major bleeding was found in 5 patients, none of whom were in the ED-initiated anticoagulation group. Conclusions Initiating oral anticoagulation in the ED following new TIA was not associated with lower recurrence rates of neurovascular events or all-cause mortality in patients with atrial fibrillation.

Prospective Validation of Computed Tomography to Identify Patients at High Risk for Stroke After Transient Ischemic Attack or Minor Stroke.

BACKGROUND: Computed tomography (CT) findings of acute and chronic ischemia are associated with subsequent stroke risk in patients with transient ischemic attack. We sought to validate these associations in a large prospective cohort of patients with transient ischemic attack or minor stroke. METHODS: This prospective cohort study enrolled emergency department patients from 13 hospitals with transient ischemic attack who had CT imaging. Primary outcome was stroke within 90 days. Secondary outcomes were stroke within 2 or 7 days. CT findings were abstracted from radiology reports and classified for the presence of acute ischemia, chronic ischemia, or microangiopathy. Multivariable logistic regression was used to test associations with primary and secondary end points. RESULTS: From 8670 prospectively enrolled patients between May 2010 and May 2017, 8382 had a CT within 24 hours. From this total population, 4547 (54%) patients had evidence of acute ischemia, chronic ischemia, or microangiopathy on CT, of whom 175 had a subsequent stroke within 90 days (3.8% subsequent stroke rate; adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 2.33 [95% CI, 1.62-3.36]). This was in comparison to those with CT imaging without ischemia. Findings associated with an increased risk of stroke at 90 days were isolated acute ischemia (6.0%; aOR, 2.42 [95% CI, 1.03-5.66]), acute ischemia with microangiopathy (10.7%; aOR, 3.34 [95% CI, 1.57-7.14]), chronic ischemia with microangiopathy (5.2%; aOR, 1.83 [95% CI, 1.34-2.50]), and acute ischemia with chronic ischemia and microangiopathy (10.9%; aOR, 3.49 [95% CI, 1.54-7.91]). Acute ischemia with chronic ischemia and microangiopathy were most strongly associated with subsequent stroke within 2 days (aOR, 4.36 [95% CI, 1.31-14.54]) and 7 days (aOR, 4.50 [95% CI, 1.73-11.69]). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with transient ischemic attack or minor stroke, CT evidence of acute ischemia with chronic ischemia or microangiopathy significantly increases the risk of subsequent stroke within 90 days of index visit. The combination of all 3 findings results in the greatest early risk.

Focused carotid ultrasound to predict major adverse cardiac events among emergency department patients with chest pain.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Point-of-care focused vascular ultrasound (FOVUS), an assessment of carotid artery plaque, predicts coronary artery disease in outpatients referred for coronary angiography. Our primary objective was to determine the diagnostic accuracy of sonographer-performed FOVUS to predict major adverse cardiac events (MACE) within 30 days among patients with suspected cardiac ischemia in the emergency department (ED). METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study of patients with chest pain presenting to a tertiary care ED who had an electrocardiogram and cardiac troponin testing. The primary outcome was a composite of death, acute myocardial infarction, or re-vascularization at 30 days. A sonographer performed FOVUS scans in consenting eligible subjects. Emergency physicians, blinded to the sonographer FOVUS result, performed a second FOVUS on some subjects. RESULTS: We recruited 326 subjects (age 62.1 ± 13.5 years; 166 (52%) men), 319 of whom completed an FOVUS scan by the sonographer. Of these, 198 (62%) had a positive FOVUS scan and 41 (13%) had a 30-day MACE. The sensitivity was 83% (95% CI 71-94%), specificity 41% (95% CI 36-47%), positive-likelihood ratio 1.41 (95% CI 1.19-1.68), and negative-likelihood ratio 0.41 (95% CI 0.23-0.75). Among 71 subjects also scanned by an emergency physician, the Kappa was 0.50 (95% CI 0.31-0.70), suggesting moderate agreement between sonographer and emergency physician on the determination of significant carotid plaque. CONCLUSIONS: The presence of carotid plaque on sonographer-performed FOVUS is associated with 30-day MACE in ED patients presenting with chest pain. The prognostic performance of FOVUS is not sufficient to support its use as a stand-alone risk stratification tool in the ED. Future work should investigate FOVUS in conjunction with validated clinical decision rules for chest pain and the impact of enhanced training and quality improvement in the conduct of FOVUS by emergency physicians. REGISTRATION: This study was registered at clinicaltrials.gov (NCT02947360).

RéSUMé: CONTEXTE ET OBJECTIF: L'échographie vasculaire focalisée au point de service (FOVUS), une évaluation de la plaque de l'artère carotide, prédit la maladie coronarienne chez les patients externes référés pour une coronarographie. Notre objectif principal était de déterminer la précision diagnostique du FOVUS réalisé par un échographiste pour prédire les événements cardiaques indésirables majeurs (MACE) dans les 30 jours chez les patients présentant une suspicion d'ischémie cardiaque aux urgences. MéTHODES: Nous avons mené une étude de cohorte prospective de patients souffrant de douleurs thoraciques se présentant à un service d'urgence de soins tertiaires et ayant subi un électrocardiogramme et un test de troponine cardiaque. L'issue primaire était un critère composite de décès, d'infarctus aigu du myocarde ou de revascularisation à 30 jours. Un échographiste a effectué des scans FOVUS chez les sujets éligibles consentants. Les médecins urgentistes, aveuglés par le résultat FOVUS de l'échographiste, ont effectué un deuxième FOVUS sur certains sujets. RéSULTATS: Nous avons recruté 326 sujets (âge 62,1 ± 13,5 ans; 166 (52%) hommes), dont 319 ont effectué un examen FOVUS par l'échographiste. Parmi ceux-ci, 198 (62%) avaient un scan FOVUS positif et 41 (13%) avaient un MACE de 30 jours. La sensibilité était de 83% (IC à 95% 71%-94%), la spécificité de 41% (IC à 95% 36%-47%), le rapport de vraisemblance positif de 1,41 (IC à 95% 1,19­1,68) et le rapport de vraisemblance négatif de 0,41 (IC à 95% 0,23­0,75). Parmi les 71 sujets également examinés par un médecin urgentiste, le Kappa était de 0,50 (IC à 95%: 0,31­0,70), ce qui suggère une concordance modérée entre l'échographiste et le médecin urgentiste pour la détermination de la plaque carotide significative. CONCLUSIONS: La présence d'une plaque carotidienne sur un FOVUS effectué par un échographiste est associée à la MACE à 30 jours chez les patients des urgences présentant des douleurs thoraciques. La performance pronostique du FOVUS n'est pas suffisante pour justifier son utilisation comme outil autonome de stratification du risque dans les urgences. Des travaux futurs devraient étudier le FOVUS en conjonction avec des règles de décision clinique validées pour la douleur thoracique et l'impact d'une formation renforcée et d'une amélioration de la qualité dans la conduite du FOVUS par les médecins urgentistes. ENREGISTREMENT: Cette étude a été enregistrée sur clinicaltrials.gov (NCT02947360).

Risk of stroke is low after transient ischemic attack presentation with isolated dizziness.

OBJECTIVE: Stroke presenting as dizziness is a diagnostic challenge in frontline settings, given the multitude of benign conditions that present similarly. The risk of stroke after episodic dizziness is unknown, leading to divergent guidance on optimal workup and management. Prior TIA risk scores have shown a history of dizziness is a negative predictor of subsequent stroke. Our objective was to assess the subsequent stroke risk within 90 days following emergency department assessment (ED) for isolated dizziness diagnosed as TIA during the index visit. METHODS: We conducted prospective, multicenter cohort studies at 13 Canadian EDs over 11 years. We enrolled patients diagnosed with TIA and compared patients with isolated dizziness to those with other neurological deficits. Our primary outcome was subsequent stroke within 90 days. Secondary outcomes were subsequent stroke within 2, 7, and 30 days, respectively, as well as subsequent TIA within 90 days. RESULTS: Only 4/483 (0.8%) patients with isolated dizziness had a stroke within 90 days compared to 320/11024 (2.9%) of those with any focal neurological sign or symptom (RR 0.29, 95% CI 0.11-0.76). Over the first 90 days, the two groups differ significantly in their probability of stroke (p = 0.007). Subsequent TIA was also significantly less common in the isolated dizziness group (1.7% vs. 5.6%, p = 0.001) with a relative risk of 0.30 (95% CI 0.15-0.60). CONCLUSION: The risk of subsequent stroke following ED presentation for TIA is low when the presenting symptoms are isolated dizziness.

RéSUMé: OBJECTIF: Les accidents vasculaires cérébraux (AVC) se présentant sous forme de vertiges constituent un défi diagnostique en première ligne, étant donné la multitude d'affections bénignes qui se présentent de la même manière. Le risque d'accident vasculaire cérébral (AVC) après des vertiges épisodiques est inconnu, ce qui donne lieu à des conseils divergents sur le bilan et la prise en charge optimaux. Des scores de risque d'AIT antérieurs ont montré que des antécédents de vertiges sont un facteur prédictif négatif d'accident vasculaire cérébral ultérieur. Notre objectif était d'évaluer le risque ultérieur d'accident vasculaire cérébral (AVC) dans les 90 jours suivant l'évaluation aux urgences d'un étourdissement isolé diagnostiqué comme un AIT lors de la visite de référence. MéTHODES: Nous avons mené des études de cohorte prospectives multicentriques dans 13 services d'urgence canadiens pendant 11 ans. Nous avons recruté des patients ayant reçu un diagnostic d'AIT et avons comparé les patients présentant des vertiges isolés à ceux présentant d'autres déficits neurologiques. Nous avons inscrit des patients ayant reçu un diagnostic d'AIT et comparé des patients ayant des étourdissements isolés à ceux présentant d'autres déficits neurologiques. Notre résultat primaire était l'AVC subséquent dans les 90 jours. Les résultats secondaires étaient l'AVC subséquent dans les 2, 7 et 30 jours, respectivement, ainsi que l'AIT subséquent dans les 90 jours. RéSULTATS: Seuls 4/483 (0,8 %) des patients présentant des vertiges isolés ont eu un AVC dans les 90 jours, contre 320/11 024 (2,9 %) de ceux présentant un signe ou symptôme neurologique focal (RR 0,29, IC 95 % 0,11-0,76). Au cours des 90 premiers jours, les deux groupes diffèrent significativement en termes de probabilité d'AVC (p = 0,007). L'AIT ultérieur était également significativement moins fréquent dans le groupe des vertiges isolés (1,7 % contre 5,6 %, p = 0,001) avec un risque relatif de 0,30 (IC 95 % 0,15-0,60). CONCLUSIONS: Le risque d'AVC ultérieur après une présentation aux urgences pour un AIT est faible lorsque les symptômes présentés sont des étourdissements isolés.

The CCEDRRN COVID-19 Mortality Score to predict death among nonpalliative patients with COVID-19 presenting to emergency departments: a derivation and validation study.

BACKGROUND: Predicting mortality from COVID-19 using information available when patients present to the emergency department can inform goals-of-care decisions and assist with ethical allocation of critical care resources. The study objective was to develop and validate a clinical score to predict emergency department and in-hospital mortality among consecutive nonpalliative patients with COVID-19; in this study, we define palliative patients as those who do not want resuscitative measures, such as intubation, intensive care unit care or cardiopulmonary resuscitation. METHODS: This derivation and validation study used observational cohort data recruited from 46 hospitals in 8 Canadian provinces participating in the Canadian COVID-19 Emergency Department Rapid Response Network (CCEDRRN). We included adult (age ≥ 18 yr) nonpalliative patients with confirmed COVID-19 who presented to the emergency department of a participating site between Mar. 1, 2020, and Jan. 31, 2021. We randomly assigned hospitals to derivation or validation, and prespecified clinical variables as candidate predictors. We used logistic regression to develop the score in a derivation cohort and examined its performance in predicting emergency department and in-hospital mortality in a validation cohort. RESULTS: Of 8761 eligible patients, 618 (7.0%) died. The CCEDRRN COVID-19 Mortality Score included age, sex, type of residence, arrival mode, chest pain, severe liver disease, respiratory rate and level of respiratory support. The area under the curve was 0.92 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.90-0.93) in derivation and 0.92 (95% CI 0.90-0.93) in validation. The score had excellent calibration. These results suggest that scores of 6 or less would categorize patients as being at low risk for in-hospital death, with a negative predictive value of 99.9%. Patients in the low-risk group had an in-hospital mortality rate of 0.1%. Patients with a score of 15 or higher had an observed mortality rate of 81.0%. INTERPRETATION: The CCEDRRN COVID-19 Mortality Score is a simple score that can be used for level-of-care discussions with patients and in situations of critical care resource constraints to accurately predict death using variables available on emergency department arrival. The score was derived and validated mostly in unvaccinated patients, and before variants of concern were circulating widely and newer treatment regimens implemented in Canada. STUDY REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, no. NCT04702945.

Predictors of neurologists confirming or overturning emergency physicians' diagnosis of TIA or stroke.

BACKGROUND: Transient ischemic attack (TIA) and non-disabling stroke are common emergency department (ED) presentations. Currently, there are no prospective multicenter studies determining predictors of neurologists confirming a diagnosis of cerebral ischemia in patients discharged with a diagnosis of TIA or stroke. The objectives were to (1) calculate the concordance between emergency physicians and neurologists for the outcome of diagnosing TIA or stroke, and (2) identify characteristics associated with neurologists diagnosing a stroke mimic. METHODS: This was a planned sub-study of a prospective cohort study at 14 Canadian EDs enrolling patients diagnosed with TIA or non-disabling stroke from 2006 to 2017. Logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with neurologists' diagnosis of cerebral ischemia. Our primary outcome was the composite outcome of cerebral ischemia (TIA or non-disabling stroke) based on the neurologists' assessment. RESULTS: The diagnosis of cerebral ischemia was confirmed by neurologists in 5794 patients (55.4%). The most common identified stroke mimics were migraine (18%), peripheral vertigo (7%), syncope (4%), and seizure (3%). Over a third of patients (38.4%) ultimately had an undetermined aetiology for their symptoms. The strongest predictors of cerebral ischemia confirmation were infarct on CT (OR 1.83, 95% CI 1.65-2.02), advanced age (OR comparing 75th-25th percentiles 1.67, 1.55-1.80), language disturbance (OR 1.92, 1.75-2.10), and smoking (OR 1.67, 1.46-1.91). The strongest predictors of stroke mimics were syncope (OR 0.59, 0.48-0.72), vertigo (OR 0.52, 0.45-0.59), bilateral symptoms (OR 0.60, 0.50-0.72), and confusion (OR 0.50, 0.44-0.57). CONCLUSION: Physicians should have a high index of suspicion of cerebral ischemia in patients with advanced age, smoking history, language disturbance, or infarcts on CT. Physicians should discriminate in which patients to pursue stroke investigations on when deemed at minimal risk of cerebral ischemia, including those with isolated vertigo, syncope, or bilateral symptoms.

RéSUMé: CONTEXTE: L'accident ischémique transitoire (AIT) et l'accident vasculaire cérébral (AVC) non invalidant sont des présentations courantes dans les services d'urgence. Actuellement, il n'existe pas d'études prospectives multicentriques déterminant les facteurs prédictifs de la confirmation par les neurologues d'un diagnostic d'ischémie cérébrale chez les patients sortis de l'hôpital avec un diagnostic d'AIT ou d'AVC. Les objectifs étaient de (1) calculer la concordance entre les urgentistes et les neurologues pour le résultat du diagnostic de l'AIT ou de l'AVC, et (2) identifier les caractéristiques associées au diagnostic par les neurologues d'une imitation d'AVC. MéTHODES: Il s'agissait d'une sous-étude planifiée d'une étude de cohorte prospective dans 14 services d'urgence canadiens recrutant des patients diagnostiqués avec un AIT ou un AVC non invalidant de 2006 à 2017. Une régression logistique a été utilisée pour identifier les facteurs associés au diagnostic d'ischémie cérébrale par les neurologues. Notre résultat principal était le résultat composite de l'ischémie cérébrale (AIT ou accident vasculaire cérébral non invalidant) selon l'évaluation des neurologues. RéSULTATS: Le diagnostic d'ischémie cérébrale a été confirmé par des neurologues chez 5 794 patients (55,4 %). Les imitateurs d'AVC identifiés les plus courants étaient la migraine (18 %), le vertige périphérique (7 %), la syncope (4 %) et les convulsions (3 %). Plus d'un tiers des patients (38,4 %) avaient finalement une étiologie indéterminée pour leurs symptômes. Les prédicteurs les plus forts de la confirmation de l'ischémie cérébrale étaient l'infarctus au scanner (OR 1.83, IC 95 % 1.65­2.02), l'âge avancé (OR comparant les 75e et 25e percentiles 1.67, 1.55­1.80), les troubles du langage (OR 1.92, 1.75­2.10) et le tabagisme (OR 1.67, 1.46­1.91). Les prédicteurs les plus forts d'imitateurs d'AVC étaient la syncope (OR 0.59, 0.48­0.72), le vertige (OR 0.52, 0.45­0.59), les symptômes bilatéraux (OR 0.60, 0.50­0.72) et la confusion (OR 0.50, 0.44­0.57). CONCLUSION: Les médecins devraient avoir un indice élevé de suspicion d'ischémie cérébrale chez les patients ayant un âge avancé, des antécédents de tabagisme, des troubles du langage ou des infarctus au scanner. Les médecins doivent distinguer les patients sur lesquels poursuivre des investigations sur un AVC lorsqu'ils sont jugés à risque minimal d'ischémie cérébrale, y compris ceux présentant des vertiges isolés, une syncope ou des symptômes bilatéraux.

Adverse Events Associated With Electrical Cardioversion in Patients With Acute Atrial Fibrillation and Atrial Flutter.

BACKGROUND: We sought to evaluate safety of electrical cardioversion (ECV) for patients with acute atrial fibrillation (AF) or atrial flutter (AFL) in the emergency department (ED). METHODS: This was an analysis of data from 4 multicentre AF/AFL studies conducted from 2008 to 2019 at 23 large EDs. We included adult patients who received attempts at ECV and who had presented acutely after symptom onset. Staff manually reviewed study and clinical records to abstract data. RESULTS: We evaluated 1736 ECV cases with a mean age of 60.1 years and 67.1% male. The overall success of ECV was 90.2% (95% confidence interval 88.7%-91.6%), with 4.9% of patients admitted. ED physicians performed the ECV in 95.2% and provided sedation in 96.5%; 13.9% (12.3%-15.7%) of cases experienced important adverse events that required treatment, and 0.4% were classified as life threatening. Another 5.6% had adverse events that did not require treatment. Logistic regression found that the RAFF-3 study cohort (odds ratio [OR] 2.0), age ≥ 85 years (OR 2.1), coronary artery disease (OR 1.5), midazolam (OR 1.9), and fentanyl (OR 1.5) were associated with important adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: This large evaluation of the safety of ECV for acute AF/AFL in the ED found that while serious adverse events were rare, there were a concerning number of events following sedation that required intervention. Physicians should be aware that older age, coronary artery disease, and fentanyl are associated with higher risks of important adverse events. This study provides more information for shared decision making discussions with patients when choosing between drug-shock and shock-only cardioversion strategies.

Code Status Documentation Availability and Accuracy Among Emergency Patients with End-stage Disease.

INTRODUCTION: Some patients with end-stage disease who may neither want nor benefit from aggressive resuscitation receive such treatment if they cannot communicate in an emergency. Timely access to patients' current resuscitation wishes, or "code status," should be a key metric of electronic health records (EHR). We sought to determine what percentage of a cohort of patients with end-stage disease who present to the emergency department (ED) have accessible, code status documents, and for those who do, how quickly can this documentation be retrieved. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study of ED patients with end-stage disease (eg, palliative care, metastatic malignancy, home oxygen, dialysis) conducted during purposefully sampled random accrual times we performed a standardized, timed review of available health records, including accompanying transfer documents. We also interviewed consenting patients and substitute decision makers to compare available code status documents to their current wishes. RESULTS: Code status documentation was unavailable within 15 minutes of ED arrival in most cases (54/85, or 63%). Retrieval time was under five minutes in the rest, especially when "one click deep" in the EHR. When interviewed, 20/32 (63%) expressed "do not resuscitate" wishes, 10 of whom had no supporting documentation. Patients from assisted-living (odds ratio [OR] 6.7; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.7-26) and long-term care facilities (OR 13; 95% CI, 2.5-65) were more likely to have a documented code status available compared to those living in the community. CONCLUSION: The majority of patients with end-stage disease, including half of those who would not wish resuscitation from cardiorespiratory arrest, did not have code status documents readily available upon arrival to our tertiary care ED. Patients living in the community with advanced disease may be at higher risk for unwanted resuscitative efforts should they present to hospital in extremis. While easily retrievable code status documentation within the EHR shows promise, its accuracy and validity remain important considerations.