Impact of lifestyle intervention in primary prevention of Type 2 diabetes did not differ by baseline age and BMI among Asian-Indian people with impaired glucose tolerance.

AIM: To investigate whether the effectiveness of lifestyle interventions on the incidence of diabetes was influenced by the baseline age and BMI of the Asian-Indian participants with prediabetes. METHODS: Pooled data, obtained from two of our Indian Diabetes Prevention Programmes (2006, n=236 and 2013, n=473; total N=709) which had similar baseline characteristics and intervention principles, were analysed. For the present secondary analysis we dichotomously categorized the participants' baseline age (<45 and ≥45 years) and BMI (<25.0 and ≥ 25.0 kg/m2 ). Glycaemic status was ascertained at 6-monthly intervals by oral glucose tolerance tests. The incidence rates of diabetes and relative risk reduction in both the intervention and the control group were calculated for categories of baseline age and BMI. Interactions between the intervention and baseline age and BMI on diabetes risk were also analysed. RESULTS: Incident diabetes was diagnosed in 227 of the total 709 participants (32.0%) [control group 139 participants (38.8%) vs intervention group 88 participants (24.2%)] during the median follow-up period of 2 years. The overall relative risk reduction was 35.4% (95% CI 19.3-48.3). Lifestyle intervention was equally effective in both age groups [relative risk reduction in those aged <45 years: 43.7% (95% CI 19.8-60.5) and in those aged ≥ 45 years: 28.9% (95% CI 5.3-46.6) P for interaction = 0.52] and in categories of BMI [BMI <25 kg/m2 : 36.1% (95% CI 9.5-54.9); and BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2 : 34.8% (95% CI 12.9-51.2); P for interaction = 0.95]. CONCLUSIONS: In Asian-Indian individuals with prediabetes, the effectiveness of lifestyle intervention was not modified by baseline age and BMI.

Diabetes in South Asians.

Economic, dietary and other lifestyle transitions have been occurring rapidly in most South Asian countries, making their populations more vulnerable to developing Type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular diseases. Recent data show an increasing prevalence of Type 2 diabetes in urban areas as well as in semi-urban and rural areas, inclusive of people belonging to middle and low socio-economic strata. Prime determinants for Type 2 diabetes in South Asians include physical inactivity, imbalanced diets, abdominal obesity, excess hepatic fat and, possibly, adverse perinatal and early life nutrition and intra-country migration. It is reported that Type 2 diabetes affects South Asians a decade earlier and some complications, for example nephropathy, are more prevalent and progressive than in other races. Further, prevalence of pre-diabetes is high, and so is conversion to diabetes, while more than 50% of those who are affected remain undiagnosed. Attitudes, cultural differences and religious and social beliefs pose barriers in effective prevention and management of Type 2 diabetes in South Asians. Inadequate resources, insufficient healthcare budgets, lack of medical reimbursement and socio-economic factors contribute to the cost of diabetes management. The challenge is to develop new translational strategies, which are pragmatic, cost-effective and scalable and can be adopted by the South Asian countries with limited resources. The key areas that need focus are: generation of awareness, prioritizing health care for vulnerable subgroups (children, women, pregnant women and the underprivileged), screening of high-risk groups, maximum coverage of the population with essential medicines, and strengthening primary care. An effective national diabetes control programme in each South Asian country should be formulated, with these issues in mind.

Hypertriglyceridaemic waist phenotype as a simple predictive marker of incident diabetes in Asian-Indian men with prediabetes.

AIM: To determine prospectively the association of baseline hypertriglyceridaemic waist phenotype with incident diabetes in Asian-Indian men with impaired glucose tolerance. METHODS: In a randomized 2-year diabetes prevention trial in 517 men with impaired glucose tolerance, 123 (23.8%) developed diabetes. Baseline anthropometric, metabolic and clinical variables were estimated. Associations of hypertriglyceridaemic waist phenotype (waist circumference ≥ 90cm and a serum triglyceride level of ≥ 1.7 mmol/l) with insulin resistance and incident diabetes were assessed using multiple linear regression and Cox's proportional hazard models, respectively. RESULTS: Men with an isolated enlarged waistline and hypertriglyceridaemic waist phenotype had significantly higher BMI and percentage of total body fat compared with the group with normal waistline and triglyceride levels and the group with isolated hypertriglyceridaemia. The men with hypertriglyceridaemic waist phenotype had higher insulin resistance (mean ± sd homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance value: 3.6 ± 1.5) compared with those in the isolated enlarged waistline, the isolated hypertriglyceridaemia or the normal waistline and triglyceride level groups (3.1 ± 1.4, 2.7 ± 1.0 and 2.5 ± 1.1, respectively, all P < 0.05 compared with hypertriglyceridaemic waist phenotype). Multiple linear regression analyses showed that hypertriglyceridaemic waist phenotype was significantly associated with insulin resistance after adjusting for age, BMI, family history, percentage of total body fat, smoking, alcohol intake, 2-h plasma glucose and HDL cholesterol level. Hypertriglyceridaemic waist phenotype was independently associated with incident diabetes after adjusting for the above confounders and gamma-glutamyl transferase (hazard ratio 1.49, 95% CI 1.01-2.21; P = 0.047). The association of hypertriglyceridaemic waist phenotype with incident diabetes was abolished when insulin resistance was introduced into the model (hazard ratio 1.39, 95% CI 0.092-2.10; P=0.12). CONCLUSIONS: Hypertriglyceridaemic waist phenotype is a simple clinical proxy measurement for insulin resistance and is strongly associated with incident diabetes in Asian-Indian men with impaired glucose tolerance.

Primary prevention of Type 2 diabetes in South Asians--challenges and the way forward.

Preventing diabetes is of enormous value, particularly for the South Asian countries, which have a huge healthcare burden from the onslaught of the disease. Type 2 diabetes has been proved to be preventable using lifestyle changes, even in South Asians despite their heightened risk profile. Strategies to improve awareness about diabetes and translation of preventive measures by innovative, culturally specific programmes have to be implemented at national levels. Integrated involvement of the government, community, media, healthcare and education services, and financial support from national and international organizations, are required. South Asian countries have initiated national programmes for diabetes prevention and management. It is also encouraging to note that joint ventures between developed countries such as the USA, UK and other European countries and centres of excellence in South Asia have been initiated to develop large-scale, community-oriented, pragmatic intervention strategies.

Predictive value of HbA1c for incident diabetes among subjects with impaired glucose tolerance--analysis of the Indian Diabetes Prevention Programmes.

AIMS: The objectives of the study were to assess the predictive value of baseline HbA(1c) for incident diabetes among the participants with impaired glucose tolerance in the Indian Diabetes Prevention Programmes 1 and 2. METHODS: Data at baseline and at 3-year follow-up were analysed in combined cohorts of the Indian Diabetes Prevention Programmes 1 and 2. Within the 3 years, 324 of the 845 participants developed diabetes (World Health Organization criteria). The predictive value of baseline HbA(1c) for incident diabetes was determined by logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: Baseline HbA(1c) values had heterogenous distribution. The distribution was similar in isolated impaired glucose tolerance or in impaired glucose tolerance in combination with impaired fasting glucose. A progressive increase in diabetes occurred with increasing HbA(1c). HbA(1c) showed the strongest association with incident diabetes in the multiple logistic regression analysis (odds ratio 3.548, P < 0.0001). The cut-off HbA(1c) of 43 mmol/mol (6.05%) had 67% sensitivity and 60% specificity to predict future diabetes. The diagnostic sensitivity of HbA(1c) of ≥ 48 mmol/mol (≥ 6.5%) was only 51%, with a specificity of 87%, when compared with the oral glucose tolerance glucose values. CONCLUSIONS: Baseline HbA(1c) was highly predictive of future diabetes in Asian Indian subjects with impaired glucose tolerance and nearly 60% of the incidence occurred with values ≥ 42 mmol/mol (≥ 6.0). Diagnostic sensitivity of HbA(1c) ≥ 48 mmol/mol (≥ 6.5%) for new diabetes was only 51% using the oral glucose tolerance test as the standard for comparison.

Diabetes prevention programs.

Primary prevention of type 2 diabetes is effective for curbing its epidemic. Lifestyle intervention has been found to be a highly effective, safe, and cost-effective method for the prevention of diabetes in high-risk persons, the benefit of which can extend for many years. Among the pharmacologic agents studied for prevention of diabetes, metformin has been found to be the safest. Interventions using drugs are less preferred because the drugs' effects tend to dissipate after their use is stopped and adverse effects may also result. The major challenge is to translate current knowledge into prevention programs at the national level.

Role of industries in the care of diabetic foot.

Diabetic foot disease is a dreaded complication causing severe economic and social burden, mental and physical agony, and severe morbidity and mortality. This complication is largely preventable if the risk factors such as peripheral neuropathy and peripheral arterial disease are detected early and appropriate measures are taken to control glycemia, foot pressure, and chances of foot injury. In the case of ulceration, proper microbial control, pressure offloading by debridement, and use of appropriate footwear are mandatory to save the foot. This article focuses on the need for preventive care for diabetic complications demonstrating potentially helpful roles for industry in India.

Pioglitazone does not enhance the effectiveness of lifestyle modification in preventing conversion of impaired glucose tolerance to diabetes in Asian Indians: results of the Indian Diabetes Prevention Programme-2 (IDPP-2).

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The objective of this prevention programme was to study whether combining pioglitazone with lifestyle modification would enhance the efficacy of lifestyle modification in preventing type 2 diabetes in Asian Indians with impaired glucose tolerance. METHODS: In a community-based, placebo-controlled 3 year prospective study, 407 participants with impaired glucose tolerance (mean age 45.3 +/- 6.2 years, mean BMI 25.9 +/- 3.3 kg/m(2)) were sequentially grouped to receive either: lifestyle modification plus pioglitazone, 30 mg (n = 204) or lifestyle modification plus placebo (n = 203). The participants and investigators were blinded to the assignment. The primary outcome was development of diabetes. RESULTS: At baseline, both groups had similar demographic, anthropometric and biochemical characteristics. At year 3, the response rate was 90.2%. The cumulative incidence of diabetes was 29.8% with pioglitazone and 31.6% with placebo (unadjusted HR 1.084 [95% CI 0.753-1.560], p = 0.665). Normoglycaemia was achieved in 40.9% and 32.3% of participants receiving pioglitazone and placebo, respectively (p = 0.109). In pioglitazone group, two deaths and two non-fatal hospitalisations occurred due to cardiac problems; in the placebo group there were two occurrences of cardiac disease. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Despite good adherence to lifestyle modification and drug therapy, no additional effect of pioglitazone was seen above that achieved with placebo. The effectiveness of the intervention in both groups was comparable with that of lifestyle modification alone, as reported from the Indian Diabetes Prevention Programme-1. The results are at variance with studies that showed significant relative risk reduction in conversion to diabetes with pioglitazone in Americans with IGT. An ethnicity-related difference in the action of pioglitazone in non-diabetic participants may be one explanation. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT00276497 FUNDING: This study was funded by the India Diabetes Research Foundation.

Cardiovascular risk factors in the normoglycaemic Asian-Indian population--influence of urbanisation.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: The aim of this study was to investigate the prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors in normoglycaemic Asian-Indians and its association with urbanisation and plasma glucose. METHODS: Data on 5,517 normoglycaemic individuals aged >/=20 years (1,521, 1,851 and 2,145 inhabitants of a city, a town and villages, respectively), from a 2006 diabetes survey, were used. The presence of single and multiple abnormalities, including obesity, abdominal obesity, hypertension and dyslipidaemia, was analysed. Risk associations for hypertension and dyslipidaemia were analysed using multivariate analysis after adjusting for confounding variables. RESULTS: Both the prevalence and clustering of cardiovascular risk variables were higher in urban areas than in villages, and were higher in the city than in the town. Nearly half (47%) of the normoglycaemic individuals from villages had at least one risk factor. Age, male sex, BMI, waist circumference, lack of physical activity and living in an urban environment were associated with hypertension and dyslipidaemia; postprandial glucose level showed no association with hypertension or dyslipidaemia after adjusting for these risk factors. Fasting plasma glucose level showed an independent association with dyslipidaemia. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: There is a high prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors even among normoglycaemic individuals, and this is highest in urban areas. Fasting plasma glucose level showed an association with dyslipidaemia but not hypertension.

Immediate impact of a diabetes training programme for primary care physicians--an endeavour for national capacity building for diabetes management in India.

AIMS: India faces a huge burden from diabetes. National capacity for management of diabetes has to be strengthened by improving knowledge of physicians treating diabetes, especially in semi urban and rural areas. A training programme was formulated and conducted at national level, as a step towards this goal. METHODS: Physicians from 6 states of India (n=3023, M:F 2311:712), aged 30-55 years, with service of >or=3 years, (government n=1720, private n=1303, semi urban and rural areas (n=1581:1442)) were trained in diabetes care in 5-day workshops between March 2004 to December 2006. Impact of training was assessed by pre- and post-training knowledge scores, feedback on usefulness of training modules, prioritizing activities to be introduced in their practice and methods to be used for raising public awareness on diabetes. RESULTS: The training significantly improved knowledge on treatment, complications, pathophysiology and diagnosis of diabetes (p<0.001). The participants considered information on preventive aspects of diabetes and foot care as highly educative. Patient education and team-training were considered important in diabetes management. Interest was evinced in raising public awareness about the disease. CONCLUSIONS: Well-planned short training programmes are useful in improving knowledge and in creating enthusiasm to improve diabetes care and awareness.

Population based study of quality of diabetes care in southern India.

OBJECTIVES: To analyse and compare the clinical profile and glycaemic outcome in known diabetic cases in South Indian urban and periurban populations. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Details of known type 2 diabetic cases identified in a population survey of diabetes in Chennai city, Kanchipuram town and Periurban Villages (PUV) of Panruti in Tamil Nadu were analyzed (n=524, M:F, 256:268). Glycaemic outcome, prevalence of hypertension, dyslipidaemia and obesity, and treatment details were studied and compared between the areas. RESULTS: Mean age at diagnosis was 45.3 +/- 10.1 years, prevalence of hypertension was 57.4% (32% known), 48% were obese and a larger percentage (63.3%) had abdominal obesity Dyslipidaemia was present in nearly 50%. Abnormalities were more in urban areas than in PUV. Glycaemic target (post prandial glucose < or =160 mg/dl) was met by 28.8% only; better results were seen in PUV. In PUV 46% were not taking any diabetic treatment. As expected, majority of patients in all areas were treated with oral drugs. CONCLUSIONS: This population-based data indicated that the clinical outcome in known diabetic cases was far from satisfactory even in the city, where specialized diabetes care was available.

High prevalence of cardiometabolic risk factors among young physicians in India.

AIM: To assess the health status of young Indian doctors engaged in clinical practice compared with the general population. MATERIALS AND METHODS: During a continuing medical education programme on diabetes, data from 2499 doctors from urban and semiurban areas, (mean age 39.0 + 9.0 yrs), were collected and was compared with 3278 subjects from general population (mean age 37.0 +/- 8.0 yrs). Prevalence of diabetes, hypertension, obesity, dyslipidaemia, metabolic syndrome, smoking and alcohol consumption were analysed. RESULTS: Doctors had significantly higher (p<0.001) prevalence of all abnormalities except diabetes, compared with the general population (diabetes 13.3 Vs 14.8%, impaired glucose tolerance 10.7 Vs 7.4%, hypertension 35.6% Vs 27.0%, obesity 55.5% Vs 35.8%, metabolic syndrome 29.0% Vs 24.8%). Undetected cases of diabetes and hypertension were similar in both groups. Use of alcohol was more common among doctors. Other illness was less common among doctors (13.2% Vs 21.8%, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In India, doctors had high prevalence of metabolic disorders showing that they had not taken good care of their health. Doctors need to be motivated to practise good healthcare habits that they advocate to their clients.

Parental influence on the spectrum of type 2 diabetes in the offspring among Indians.

AIM: Familial aggregation of type 2 diabetes and its vascular complications is strong in Indians. In this study, we have analysed whether the age of the parent at birth of the offspring had any influence on the age at diagnosis of diabetes and age at onset of microvascular complications in the diabetic offspring. METHODS: Families with either a type 2 diabetic father or mother and a type 2 diabetic offspring, all of whom had been tested at our centre were included in this study (n = 300, father--122, mother--178, offspring male --201, female--99). Anthropometric details, age at diagnosis of diabetes, age at onset of complications and duration of diabetes were recorded. All relevant clinical and investigatory tests were done and appropriate statistical analyses were done. RESULTS: Age at onset of diabetes was lower in the offspring than in their parents at least by a decade. The age at diagnosis of diabetes in the offspring was determined inversely by the age of the parent at childbirth (p<0.001) and positively by the age of onset of diabetes and the presence of complications in the parents (both p<0.0001). Moreover, the age at diagnosis of complications in the offspring were determined inversely by the age of the parent at childbirth (p=0.0001) and positively by the age of onset of complications in the parents (p=0.0009). DISCUSSION: A younger parental age at childbirth was protective to the offspring in that the offspring developed diabetes and the complications at an older age.

Awareness about diabetes and its complications in the general and diabetic population in a city in southern India.

OBJECTIVE: The study was done to find out the levels of awareness on diabetes in urban adult Indian population and to identify factors that influenced the awareness, including presence of diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: In population aged > or =20 years (n=3681, M=1769, F=1912), details regarding awareness about diabetes in relation with physical activity, healthy and unhealthy diet, causes, symptoms, prevention, complications and measures to improve health were collected using a questionnaire. A high total score indicated good knowledge. Influence of age, gender, educational status, occupation and presence of diabetic history was analysed. RESULTS: Fifty percent of subjects scored less than 15. Maximum scored was 51/65. The median total score was 16. Total score was significantly lower in women than in men (15.0 versus 17.0, p<0.0001). Educational status was low in women. Higher education (16.0 versus 12.0, p<0.0001) and professional or executive jobs (17.0 versus 15.0, p<0.0001) were significantly associated with better awareness. Age had no influence. Knowledge regarding causes of diabetes, its prevention and the methods to improve health was significantly low among the general population. Diabetic subjects had better knowledge about symptoms of diabetes and the preventive aspects. CONCLUSIONS: The low median score indicated that the awareness was generally poor. The score was low especially in women and subjects with low education. The study highlights the urgent need for strategies to spread awareness about diabetes in the general population. Diabetic subjects also required better education on many aspects.

Metabolic syndrome does not increase the risk of conversion of impaired glucose tolerance to diabetes in Asian Indians--Result of Indian diabetes prevention programme.

AIMS: In this study, we assessed for the prevalence of metabolic syndrome (MetS) in the cohort of subjects with impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) in the Indian Diabetes Prevention Programme and studied whether the syndrome enhanced the conversion to diabetes. METHODS: Effectiveness of lifestyle modification (LSM), metformin (Met) and LSM plus Met was tested in a randomised, controlled primary prevention study in subjects with IGT n=502 (M:W 397:105) at a median follow up of 30 months. Baseline prevalence of MetS was calculated using the WHO criteria. Insulin resistance (IR) was calculated using homeostasis model assessment (HOMA) method. RESULTS: MetS was present in 233 subjects (46.4%; 95% CI 41.9-50.9) in the total group, in men (n=168; 42.3%; 95% CI 37.4-47.3) and in women (n=65; 61.9%; 95% CI 51.9-71.2) (men versus women chi(2)=12.8, p=0.0005). Insulin resistance (HOMA-IR>or=4.1) was present in 69.1% with no gender difference. IR increased proportionately with increasing number of abnormalities, in IGT (39.8%), IGT plus one abnormality (56.5%) and IGT plus any two or more abnormalities (69.1%) (Mantel Haenszel chi(2)=22.8, p<0.0001). Incidence of diabetes was similar in subjects with (40.3%) (n=94/233) or without (40.1%) (n=108/269) MetS (p=0.97). Cox's regression analysis confirmed that MetS did not enhance the conversion rate of IGT to diabetes both in the control (HR=0.88, 95% CI 0.53-1.47, p=0.63) and in the total group (HR=1.02, 95% CI 0.78-1.35, p=0.88), after correcting for effects of intervention. CONCLUSION: Prevalence of MetS is high in Asian Indian IGT subjects, especially in women. However, it did not influence the rate of conversion of IGT to diabetes.

Stress and undetected hyperglycemia in southern Indian coastal population affected by tsunami.

AIM: Natural calamities are known to result in higher stress conditions and also result in adverse health outcomes including development of non-communicable diseases. The impact of tsunami on mental stress and prevalence of hyperglycemic conditions was assessed in a population affected by the calamity in coastal populations of southern India. METHODS: Two populations similar in demography and physical characteristics, but, one affected by tsunami were selected for a comparative study. Subjects aged 20 years or above were randomly selected (control population n = 1176; tsunami population n = 1184). Details of stress were assessed using Harvard trauma questionnaire and scores were assigned. Glucose tolerance was assessed using 2h capillary blood glucose (75gms glucose load) and diagnosis was made using WHO criteria. RESULTS: Stress score was significantly higher in tsunami population. Although the total prevalence of diabetes was similar (control - 10.0 %; tsunami population - 10.5 %) prevalence of undetected diabetes (5.7 % vs. 3.8 %; Z = 9.54, P < 0.001) and impaired glucose tolerance (9.8 % vs. 8.3 %; Z = 12.83, P < 0.001) higher in the tsunami area. Stress score was higher in women and in the young in the tsunami area. CONCLUSION: Population affected by tsunami was under high stress and also showed a high prevalence of undetected diabetes and impaired glucose tolerance.

Persistent impaired glucose tolerance has similar rate of risk factors as for diabetes--results of Indian diabetes prevention programme (IDPP).

OBJECTIVE: To determine the occurrence of persistent impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) (two times OGTT positive) and to compare the physical and clinical characteristics with subjects having transient IGT or diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Nondiabetic subjects aged 35-55 years were screened (n=10,839, M:W 8667:2172) using 2h capillary blood glucose. IGT was diagnosed in 1332 (12.3%). Among them, 1025 (77%) responded for a second OGTT and 531 subjects (51.8%) had persistent IGT. Biochemical, demographic and anthropometric characteristics were compared among the normal (NGT, 30.1%), IGT and diabetic subjects (DM, 18%) at second GTT. RESULTS: All had similar age. BMI, waist circumference and body fat percentage were lower in NGT than in IGT and diabetes. IGT and diabetes had similar characteristics. Family history of diabetes was the highest in persistent IGT. CONCLUSION: Among the screened subjects, 1 in 20 had persistent IGT. Subject with persistent IGT had higher rates of risk factors for diabetes, such as high BMI, waist circumference and body fat percentage.

The Indian Diabetes Prevention Programme shows that lifestyle modification and metformin prevent type 2 diabetes in Asian Indian subjects with impaired glucose tolerance (IDPP-1).

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Lifestyle modification helps in the primary prevention of diabetes in multiethnic American, Finnish and Chinese populations. In a prospective community-based study, we tested whether the progression to diabetes could be influenced by interventions in native Asian Indians with IGT who were younger, leaner and more insulin resistant than the above populations. METHODS: We randomised 531 (421 men 110 women) subjects with IGT (mean age 45.9+/-5.7 years, BMI 25.8+/-3.5 kg/m(2)) into four groups. Group 1 was the control, Group 2 was given advice on lifestyle modification (LSM), Group 3 was treated with metformin (MET) and Group 4 was given LSM plus MET. The primary outcome measure was type 2 diabetes as diagnosed using World Health Organization criteria. RESULTS: The median follow-up period was 30 months, and the 3-year cumulative incidences of diabetes were 55.0%, 39.3%, 40.5% and 39.5% in Groups 1-4, respectively. The relative risk reduction was 28.5% with LSM (95% CI 20.5-37.3, p=0.018), 26.4% with MET (95% CI 19.1-35.1, p=0.029) and 28.2% with LSM + MET (95% CI 20.3-37.0, p=0.022), as compared with the control group. The number needed to treat to prevent one incident case of diabetes was 6.4 for LSM, 6.9 for MET and 6.5 for LSM + MET. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Progression of IGT to diabetes is high in native Asian Indians. Both LSM and MET significantly reduced the incidence of diabetes in Asian Indians with IGT; there was no added benefit from combining them.

Derivation and validation of diabetes risk score for urban Asian Indians.

OBJECTIVE: Simple risk scores for identifying people with undiagnosed diabetes have been developed, mostly in Caucasian groups. This may not be suitable for Asian Indians, therefore this study was undertaken to develop and validate a simple diabetes risk score in an urban Asian Indian population with a high prevalence of diabetes. We also tested whether this score was applicable to South Asian migrants living in a different cultural context. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A population based Cohort of 10,003 participants aged >or=20 years was divided into two equal halves (Cohorts 1 and 2), after excluding people with known diabetes. Cohort 1 (n=4993) was used to derive the risk score. Validation of the score was performed in the other half of the survey population (Cohort 2) (n=5010). The validation was also done in a separate survey population in Chennai, India (Cohort 3) (n=2002) (diagnosis of diabetes was based on OGTT) and in the South Asian Cohort of the 1999 Health Survey for England (n=676) (fasting glucose value>or=7 mmol/l and HbA1c>or=6.5% were used for diagnosis). A logistic regression model was used to compute the beta coefficients for risk factors. The risk score value was derived from a receiver operating characteristic curve. RESULTS: The significant risk factors included in the risk score were age, BMI, waist circumference, family history of diabetes and sedentary physical activity. A risk score value of >21 gave a sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of 76.6%, 59.9%, 9.4% and 97.9% in Cohort 1, 72.4%, 59%, 8.3% and 97.6% in Cohort 2 and 73.7%, 61.0%, 12.2% and 96.9% in Cohort 3, respectively. The higher distribution of risk factors in the UK Cohort means that at the same cut point the score was much more sensitive but also less specific. (sensitivity 92.2%, specificity 25.7%, positive predictive value of 21.6% and negative predictive value of 93.7%). CONCLUSIONS: A diabetes risk score involving simple non-biochemical measurements was developed and validated in a native Asian Indian population. This easily applicable simple score could play an important role as the first step in the process of identifying individuals with an increased likelihood of having prevalent but undiagnosed diabetes. The different distribution of risk factors with the migrant Asian Indians living in England and the different relationship between sensitivity and specificity for the same score demonstrate that risk scores and cut-points developed and tested even within one ethnic group cannot be generalized to individuals of the same ethnic group living in a different cultural setting where the distribution of risk factors for diabetes is different.