RESUMO
Solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) has been used since its discovery to characterize vegetation photosynthesis and is an effective tool for monitoring vegetation dynamics. Its response to meteorological drought enhances our comprehension of the ecological consequences and adaptive mechanisms of plants facing water scarcity, informing more efficient resource management and efforts in mitigating climate change. This study investigates the spatial and temporal patterns of SIF and examines how vegetation SIF in the Yellow River Basin (YRB) responds to meteorological drought. The findings reveal a gradual southeast-to-northwest decline in SIF across the Yellow River Basin, with an overall increase-from 0.1083 W m-2µm-1sr-1 in 2001 to 0.1468 W m-2µm-1sr-1 in 2019. Approximately 96% of the YRB manifests an upward SIF trend, with 75% of these areas reaching statistical significance. The Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) at a time scale of 4 months (The SPEI-4), based on the Liang-Kleeman information flow method, is identified as the most suitable drought index, adeptly characterizing the causal relationship influencing SIF variations. As drought intensified, the SPEI-4 index markedly deviated from the baseline, resulting in a decrease in SIF values to their lowest value; subsequently, as drought lessened, it gravitated towards the baseline, and SIF values began to gradually increase, eventually recovering to near their annual maximum. The key finding is that the variability of SIF with SPEI is relatively pronounced in the early growing season, with forests demonstrating superior resilience compared to grasslands and croplands. The responsiveness of vegetation SIF to SPEI can facilitate the establishment of effective drought early warning systems and promote the rational planning of water resources, thereby mitigating the impacts of climate change.
Assuntos
Clorofila , Mudança Climática , Secas , Rios , Fluorescência , Luz Solar , FotossínteseRESUMO
Accurate groundwater depth forecasting is particularly important for human life and sustainable groundwater management in arid and semi-arid areas. To improve the groundwater forecasting accuracy, in this paper, a hybrid groundwater depth forecasting model using configurational entropy spectral analyses (CESA) with the optimal input is constructed. An original groundwater depth series is decomposed into subseries of different frequencies using the variational mode decomposition (VMD) method. Cross-correlation analysis and Shannon entropy methods are applied to select the optimal input series for the model. The ultimate forecasted values of the groundwater depth can be obtained from the various forecasted values of the selected series with the CESA model. The applicability of the hybrid model is verified using the groundwater depth data from four monitoring wells in the Xi'an of Northwest China. The forecasting accuracy of the models was evaluated based on the average relative error (RE), root mean square error (RMSE), correlation coefficient (R) and Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient (NSE). The results indicated that comparing with the CESA and autoregressive model, the hybrid model has higher prediction performance.
Assuntos
Água Subterrânea , China , Entropia , Previsões , Humanos , Poços de ÁguaRESUMO
The principle of maximum entropy (POME) has been used for a variety of applications in hydrology, however it has not been used in confidence interval estimation. Therefore, the POME was employed for confidence interval estimation for precipitation quantiles in this study. The gamma, Pearson type 3 (P3), and extreme value type 1 (EV1) distributions were used to fit the observation series. The asymptotic variances and confidence intervals of gamma, P3, and EV1 quantiles were then calculated based on POME. Monte Carlo simulation experiments were performed to evaluate the performance of the POME method and to compare with widely used methods of moments (MOM) and the maximum likelihood (ML) method. Finally, the confidence intervals T-year design precipitations were calculated using the POME for the three distributions and compared with those of MOM and ML. Results show that the POME is superior to MOM and ML in reducing the uncertainty of quantile estimators.
RESUMO
The study on the complexity of streamflow has guiding significance for hydrologic simulation, hydrologic prediction, water resources planning and management. Utilizing monthly streamflow data from four hydrologic control stations in the mainstream of the Weihe River in China, the methods of approximate entropy, sample entropy, two-dimensional entropy and fuzzy entropy are introduced into hydrology research to investigate the spatial distribution and dynamic change in streamflow complexity. The results indicate that the complexity of the streamflow has spatial differences in the Weihe River watershed, exhibiting an increasing tendency along the Weihe mainstream, except at the Linjiacun station, which may be attributed to the elevated anthropogenic influence. Employing sliding entropies, the variation points of the streamflow time series at the Weijiabu station were identified in 1968, 1993 and 2003, and those at the Linjiacun station, Xianyang station and Huaxian station occurred in 1971, 1993 and 2003. In the verification of the above points, the minimum value of t-test is 3.7514, and that of Brown-Forsythe is 7.0307, far exceeding the significance level of 95%. Also, the cumulative anomaly can detect two variation points. The t-test, Brown-Forsythe test and cumulative anomaly test strengthen the conclusion regarding the availability of entropies for identifying the streamflow variability. The results lead us to conclude that four entropies have good application effects in the complexity analysis of the streamflow time series. Moreover, two-dimensional entropy and fuzzy entropy, which have been rarely used in hydrology research before, demonstrate better continuity and relative consistency, are more suitable for short and noisy hydrologic time series and more effectively identify the streamflow complexity. The results could be very useful in identifying variation points in the streamflow time series.
RESUMO
The existing assessment models for water-soil environment quality are usually established on the relationships between assessment indicators and their assessment criteria. Such kinds of models are varied with regional scale, and always need a mass of calculation work. This paper tried to find a general assessment model based on a given water-soil quality assessment criteria. In this process, stochastic technology was used to simulate enough assessment indictor series, and then, assessment model was built up by using artificial neural network to assess these series. This model could reduce work load, and needn't construct functional relations between assessment indicators and their criteria and calculate weigh value. A case study in a basin with the highest level of water resources utilization showed that the model was practical and convenient, and could be used in basin water-soil quality assessment.