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1.
BMC Geriatr ; 24(1): 209, 2024 Feb 29.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38424518

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Low household income (HI), comorbidities and female sex are associated with an increased risk of dementia. The aim of this study was to measure the mediating effect of comorbidity and HI on the excess risk due to gender in relation to the incidence and prevalence of dementia in the general population. METHODS: A retrospective and observational study using real-world data analysed all people over 60 who were registered with the Basque Health Service in Gipuzkoa. The study measured HI level, the Charlson comorbidity index (CCI), age and sex. The prevalence and incidence of dementia were analysed using logistic regression and Poisson regression models, respectively, adjusted by HI, sex, comorbidity and age. We estimated the combined mediation effect of HI and comorbidity on the prevalence of dementia associated with gender. RESULTS: Of the 221,777 individuals, 3.85% (8,549) had a diagnosis of dementia as of 31 December 2021. Classification by the CCI showed a gradient with 2.90% in CCI 0-1, 10.60% in CCI 2-3 and 18.01% in CCI > 3. Both low HI and gender were associated with a higher crude prevalence of dementia. However, in the CCI-adjusted model, women had an increased risk of dementia, while HI was no longer statistically significant. The incidence analysis produced similar results, although HI was not significant in any model. The CCI was significantly higher for men and for people with low HI. The mediation was statistically significant, and the CCI and HI explained 79% of the gender effect. CONCLUSIONS: Comorbidity and low HI act as mediators in the increased risk of dementia associated with female sex. Given the difference in the prevalence of comorbidities by HI, individual interventions to control comorbidities could not only prevent dementia but also reduce inequalities, as the risk is greater in the most disadvantaged population.


Assuntos
Demência , Equidade de Gênero , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Comorbidade , Projetos de Pesquisa , Demência/diagnóstico , Demência/epidemiologia
2.
Cost Eff Resour Alloc ; 21(1): 18, 2023 Mar 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36859271

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Mental illnesses account for a considerable proportion of the global burden of disease. Economic evaluation of public policies and interventions aimed at mental health is crucial to inform decisions and improve the provision of healthcare services, but experts highlight that nowadays the cost implications of mental illness are not properly quantified. The objective was to measure the costs of excess use of all healthcare services by 1- to 30-year-olds in the Basque population as a function of whether or not they had a mental disorder diagnosis. METHODS: A real-world data study was used to identify diagnoses of mental disorders and to measure resource use in the Basque Health Service Registry in 2018. Diagnoses were aggregated into eight diagnostic clusters: anxiety, attention deficit hyperactivity disorder, conduct disorders, mood disorders, substance use, psychosis and personality disorders, eating disorders, and self-harm. We calculated the costs incurred by each individual by multiplying the resource use by the unit costs. Annual costs for each cluster were compared with those for individuals with no diagnosed mental disorders through entropy balancing and two-part models which adjusted for socioeconomic status (SES). RESULTS: Of the 609,381 individuals included, 96,671 (15.9%) had ≥ 1 mental disorder diagnosis. The annual cost per person was two-fold higher in the group diagnosed with mental disorders (€699.7) than that with no diagnoses (€274.6). For all clusters, annual excess costs associated with mental disorders were significant. The adjustment also evidenced a social gradient in healthcare costs, individuals with lower SES consuming more resources than those with medium and higher SES across all clusters. Nonetheless, the effect of being diagnosed with a mental disorder had a greater impact on the mean and excess costs than SES. CONCLUSIONS: Results were consistent in showing that young people with mental disorders place a greater burden on healthcare services. Excess costs were higher for severe mental disorders like self-harm and psychoses, and lower SES individuals incurred, overall, more than twice the costs per person with no diagnoses. A socioeconomic gradient was notable, excess costs being higher in low SES individuals than those with a high-to-medium SES. Differences by sex were also statistically significant but their sizes were smaller than those related to SES.

3.
Alzheimers Res Ther ; 14(1): 171, 2022 11 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36371267

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: The effectiveness, safety, and cost-effectiveness of the use of Souvenaid for Alzheimer's disease (AD) have been previously evidenced. To complete the economic analysis, there is a need to assess whether society can afford it. The objective of this study was to carry out a budget impact analysis of the use of Souvenaid in Spain under the conditions of the LipiDidiet clinical trial from a societal perspective. METHODS: We built a population model that took into account all the cohorts of individuals with AD, their individual progression, and the potential impact of Souvenaid treatment on their trajectories. Patient progression data were obtained from mixed models. The target population was estimated based on the population forecast for 2020-2035 and the incidence of dementia. Individual progression to dementia measured by the Clinical Dementia Rating-Sum of Boxes was reproduced using mixed models. Besides the costs of treatment and diagnosis, direct costs of medical and non-medical care and indirect costs were included. RESULTS: The epidemiological indicators and the distribution of life expectancy by stages validated the model. From the third year (2022), the differences in the cost of dementia offset the incremental cost of diagnosis and treatment. The costs of dependency reached €500 million/year while those of the intervention were limited to €40 million. CONCLUSIONS: Souvenaid, with modest effectiveness in delaying dementia associated with AD, achieved a positive economic balance between costs and savings. Its use in the treatment of prodromal AD would imply an initial cost that would be ongoing, but this would be offset by savings in the care system for dependency associated with dementia from the third year. These results were based on adopting a societal perspective taking into account the effect of treatment on the use of health, social, and family resources.


Assuntos
Doença de Alzheimer , Humanos , Doença de Alzheimer/terapia , Doença de Alzheimer/tratamento farmacológico , Espanha/epidemiologia , Testes de Estado Mental e Demência , Análise Custo-Benefício
4.
Gac Sanit ; 36(3): 246-252, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33612313

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To measure 3-year care costs of breast, prostate, colorectal and lung cancers disaggregated by site and clinical stage. METHOD: A retrospective observational design was employed to investigate care costs of cases recorded in the Registry of the Basque Country between 2010 and 2015. Data gathered included TNM stage and demographic, clinical and resource use variables. Total costs per patient with stage IV disease were calculated by combining generalized linear models with parametric survival analysis. Unit costs were obtained from the analytical accounting system of the Basque Health Service. RESULTS: The sample comprised 23,782 cancer cases (7801 colorectal, 5530 breast, 4802 prostate and 5649 lung cancer). The mean 3-year costs per patient with stage I to III disease were €11,323, €13,727, €8,651 and €12,023 for colorectal, breast, prostate and lung cancer, respectively. The most important cost components were surgery and chemotherapy. Total survival-adjusted costs until death for patients with stage IV disease (€27,568, €26,296, €16,151 and €15,931 for breast, colorectal, lung and prostate cancer, respectively) were higher than the 3-year costs for those with earlier-stage disease. CONCLUSIONS: This study quantitatively shows the pattern of changes in the economic burden of cancer throughout its natural history and the great magnitude of this burden for the health system. The use of indicators based on real-world data from each regional health service would allow cancer care in each region to be tailored to local population needs.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Colorretais , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Neoplasias Colorretais/patologia , Neoplasias Colorretais/terapia , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Humanos , Pulmão/patologia , Neoplasias Pulmonares/terapia , Masculino , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , Próstata/patologia , Estudos Retrospectivos
5.
Alzheimers Res Ther ; 12(1): 166, 2020 12 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33308302

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The LipiDiDiet trial showed that Souvenaid, a medical food, might delay progression to dementia in prodromal Alzheimer's disease (AD). The objective of this study was to assess the cost-utility of Souvenaid compared to placebo in patients with prodromal AD under the conditions applied in that trial. METHODS: A discrete event simulation model was developed based on the LipiDiDiet trial and a literature review to assess the cost-utility of Souvenaid from a societal perspective considering direct and indirect costs. For both intervention and control groups, patient trajectories in terms of functional decline on the Clinical Dementia Rating Sum of Boxes (CDR-SB) scale in LipiDiDiet were reproduced statistically with mixed models by assigning time until events to simulated patients. From the societal perspective, four scenarios were analysed by combining different options for treatment duration and diagnostic test cost. Univariate sensitivity analysis assessed parameter uncertainties. RESULTS: Validation results at year 2 of disease progression fit with CDR-SB progression in LipiDiDiet. The incremental cost-utility ratio (ICUR) in the baseline case was €22,743/quality-adjusted life year (QALY). All scenarios rendered an ICUR lower than €25,000/QALY (the societal threshold). Moreover, the treatment option was cost-saving and increased health benefits when diagnostic costs were not considered and treatment was only administered during the prodromal stage. CONCLUSIONS: Treating prodromal AD with Souvenaid is a cost-effective intervention in all scenarios analysed. The LipiDiDiet trial showed a modest improvement in disease course but as the social costs of AD are very high, the intervention was efficient. Assessing small benefits at specific stages of AD is relevant because it is reasonable to expect that no effective, safe and affordable disease-modifying therapies will become available in the short to medium term.


Assuntos
Doença de Alzheimer , Doença de Alzheimer/terapia , Análise Custo-Benefício , Dieta , Humanos , Testes de Estado Mental e Demência , Sintomas Prodrômicos , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto
6.
Int J Integr Care ; 20(2): 8, 2020 May 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32477037

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the impact in terms of use of health services, clinical outcomes, functional status, and patient's satisfaction of an integrated care program, the CareWell program, for complex patients with multimorbidity, supported by information and communication technology platforms in six European regions. DATA SOURCES: Primary data were used and the follow-up period ranged between 8 and 12 months. STUDY DESIGN: A quasi-experimental study, targeting chronic patients aged 65 or older, with 2 or more conditions - one of them necessarily being diabetes, congestive heart failure or congestive obstructive pulmonary disease. The intervention group received the integrated care program and the control group received usual care. Generalized mixed regression models were used. DATA COLLECTION: Data were obtained from individual interviews and electronic clinical records. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: Overall, 856 patients were recruited (475 intervention and 381 control). In the intervention group, the number of visits to emergency rooms was significantly lower, and the number of visits to the general practitioners and primary care nurses was higher than in the control group. CONCLUSION: The CareWell program resulted in improvements in the use of health services, strengthening the role of PC as the cornerstone of care provision for complex patients with multimorbidity.

7.
Neuropsychiatr Dis Treat ; 15: 2027-2034, 2019.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31413574

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Dementia-related neuropsychiatric symptoms (NPS) are the main determinant of family stress and institutionalization of patients. This study aimed to identify inequalities by gender and socioeconomic status in the management of NPS in patients diagnosed with dementia. METHODS: An observational study was carried out to study all the cases of dementia in the corporate database of the Basque Health Service (29,864 patients). The prescription of antipsychotics and antidepressants and admission to a nursing home were used to establish the presence of NPS. The socioeconomic status of individuals was classified by a deprivation index. Logistic regressions were used to identify drivers for drug prescriptions and institutionalization. RESULTS: NPS are poorly recorded in the clinical databases (12%). Neuropsychiatric symptoms were severe enough in two thirds of patients with dementia to be treated with psychoactive medication. Institutionalization showed an increase from those who did not receive medication to those who had been prescribed antidepressants (OR: 1.546), antipsychotics (OR: 2.075) or both (OR: 2.741). The resulting inequalities were the increased prescription of antidepressant drugs in women and more nursing-home admissions for women who were the least socioeconomically deprived and men who were the most deprived. CONCLUSIONS: In large clinical databases, psychoactive drugs prescriptions can be useful to underscore the considerable burden of dementia-related NPS. Specific tools are needed to monitor social and health care programs targeted to dementia-related NPS from a population perspective. Programs aimed at reducing the family burden of care of dementia patients at home become the key elements in reducing inequalities in these patients' care. Socioeconomic status is the most important driver of inequality, and gender inequality may simply be hidden within the social environment. Integrated programs boosting the continuity of care are an objective for which compliance could be measured according to the NPS coding in the electronic health record.

8.
Eur J Public Health ; 29(4): 681-686, 2019 08 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31056677

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The aim of our study was to increase awareness of the relevance of the implemented programmes to inequity of access and inequality of health by analyzing the impact of a patient-centred strategy for multimorbid patients. METHODS: This retrospective study compared the 2014 multimorbid patient group (intervention group) with its 2012 analogue (control group), before the Department of Health of the Basque Country launched the strategy for managing disease chronicity. Inequalities in healthcare access were represented by differences in the inclusion of patients in the programme and in contacts with primary care (PC) services by gender and socioeconomic status (measured by deprivation index by census track). Likewise, differences in hospital care represented inequalities in health outcomes. Generalized linear models were used to analyze relationships among variables. A propensity score by a genetic matching approach was used to minimize possible selection bias. RESULTS: At baseline, women had less probability of being eligible for the programme. No clear patterns were seen in resource consumption in PC. The probability of hospitalization was higher for men and increased according to socioeconomic status. The implementation of the programme yielded more contacts with PC services in all groups and a reduction in hospitalizations, especially among men and the most socioeconomically deprived patients. CONCLUSION: The patient-centred, integrated-care intervention launched by the Department of Health of the Basque Country might have reduced some gender and socioeconomic inequalities in health outcomes, as it avoided more hospitalizations in subgroups that presented with more episodes of decompensation in the reference year.


Assuntos
Doença Crônica/terapia , Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Multimorbidade/tendências , Fatores Sexuais , Sexismo/estatística & dados numéricos , Classe Social , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Previsões , Humanos , Masculino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Espanha/epidemiologia
9.
Aten Primaria ; 51(2): 80-90, 2019 02.
Artigo em Espanhol | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29221947

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Evaluate the process and the economic impact of an integrated palliative care program. DESIGN: Comparative cross-sectional study. LOCATION: Integrated Healthcare Organizations of Alto Deba and Goierri Alto-Urola, Basque Country. PARTICIPANTS: Patients dead due to oncologic and non-oncologic causes in 2012 (control group) and 2015 (intervention group) liable to need palliative care according to McNamara criteria. INTERVENTIONS: Identification as palliative patients in primary care, use of common clinical pathways in primary and secondary care and arrange training courses for health professionals. MAIN MEASURES: Change in the resource use profile of patients in their last 3 months. Propensity score by genetic matching method was used to avoid non-randomization bias. The groups were compared by univariate analysis and the relationships between variables were analysed by logistic regressions and generalized linear models. RESULTS: One thousand and twenty-three patients were identified in 2012 and 1,142 patients in 2015. In 2015 doubled the probability of being identify as palliative patient in deaths due to oncologic (19-33%) and non-oncologic causes (7-16%). Prescriptions of opiates rise (25-68%) and deaths in hospital remained stable. Contacts per patient with primary care and home hospitalization increased, while contacts with hospital admissions decreased. Cost per patient rise 26%. CONCLUSIONS: The integrated palliative care model increased the identification of the target population. Relationships between variables showed that the identification had a positive impact on prescription of opiates, death outside the hospital and extension to non-oncologic diseases. Although the identification decreased admissions in hospital, costs per patient had a slight increase due to home hospitalizations.


Assuntos
Prestação Integrada de Cuidados de Saúde/organização & administração , Cuidados Paliativos/organização & administração , Seleção de Pacientes , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos Transversais , Prestação Integrada de Cuidados de Saúde/métodos , Feminino , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Modelos Lineares , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Avaliação das Necessidades , Avaliação de Processos e Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Cuidados Paliativos/métodos , Atenção Primária à Saúde/métodos , Atenção Primária à Saúde/organização & administração , Espanha
10.
Health Serv Res ; 54(2): 466-473, 2019 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30467846

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this work was to assess the effectiveness of a population-level patient-centered intervention for multimorbid patients based on risk stratification for case finding in 2014 compared with the baseline scenario in 2012. DATA SOURCE: Clinical and administrative databases. STUDY DESIGN: This was an observational cohort study with an intervention group and a historical control group. A propensity score by a genetic matching approach was used to minimize bias. Generalized linear models were used to analyze relationships among variables. DATA COLLECTION: We included all eligible patients at the beginning of the year and followed them until death or until the follow-up period concluded (end of the year). The control group (2012) totaled 3558 patients, and 4225 patients were in the intervention group (2014). PRINCIPAL FINDING: A patient-centered strategy based on risk stratification for case finding and the implementation of an integrated program based on new professional roles and an extensive infrastructure of information and communication technologies avoided 9 percent (OR: 0.91, CI: 0.86-0.96) of hospitalizations. However, this effect was not found in nonprioritized groups whose probability of hospitalization increased (OR: 1.19, CI = 1.09-1.30). CONCLUSIONS: In a before-and-after analysis using propensity score matching, a comprehensive, patient-centered, integrated care intervention was associated with a lower risk of hospital admission among prioritized patients, but not among patients who were not prioritized to receive the intervention.


Assuntos
Assistência Integral à Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/economia , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/epidemiologia , Assistência Centrada no Paciente/estatística & dados numéricos , Risco Ajustado/estatística & dados numéricos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Europa (Continente) , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pontuação de Propensão , Integração de Sistemas
11.
BMC Cancer ; 18(1): 464, 2018 04 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29695234

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The Basque Colorectal Cancer Screening Programme began in 2009 and the implementation has been complete since 2013. Faecal immunological testing was used for screening in individuals between 50 and 69 years old. Colorectal Cancer in Basque country is characterized by unusual epidemiological features given that Colorectal Cancer incidence is similar to other European countries while adenoma prevalence is higher. The object of our study was to economically evaluate the programme via cost-effectiveness and budget impact analyses with microsimulation models. METHODS: We applied the Microsimulation Screening Analysis (MISCAN)-Colon model to predict trends in Colorectal Cancer incidence and mortality and to quantify the short- and long-term effects and costs of the Basque Colorectal Cancer Screening Programme. The model was calibrated to the Basque demographics in 2008 and age-specific Colorectal Cancer incidence data in the Basque Cancer Registry from 2005 to 2008 before the screening begun. The model was also calibrated to the high adenoma prevalence observed for the Basque population in a previously published study. The multi-cohort approach used in the model included all the cohorts in the programme during 30 years of implementation, with lifetime follow-up. Unit costs were obtained from the Basque Health Service and both cost-effectiveness analysis and budget impact analysis were carried out. RESULTS: The goodness-of-fit of the model adaptation to observed programme data was evidence of validation. In the cost-effectiveness analysis, the savings from treatment were larger than the added costs due to screening. Thus, the Basque programme was dominant compared to no screening, as life expectancy increased by 29.3 days per person. The savings in the budget analysis appeared 10 years after the complete implementation of the programme. The average annual budget was €73.4 million from year 2023 onwards. CONCLUSIONS: This economic evaluation showed a screening intervention with a major health gain that also produced net savings when a long follow-up was used to capture the late economic benefit. The number of colonoscopies required was high but remain within the capacity of the Basque Health Service. So far in Europe, no other population Colorectal Cancer screening programme has been evaluated by budget impact analysis.


Assuntos
Adenoma/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Colorretais/epidemiologia , Programas de Rastreamento/economia , Modelos Teóricos , Adenoma/patologia , Idoso , Neoplasias Colorretais/patologia , Simulação por Computador , Análise Custo-Benefício , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Vigilância da População , Prevalência
12.
Value Health ; 20(1): 100-106, 2017 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28212950

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To develop a framework for the management of complex health care interventions within the Deming continuous improvement cycle and to test the framework in the case of an integrated intervention for multimorbid patients in the Basque Country within the CareWell project. METHODS: Statistical analysis alone, although necessary, may not always represent the practical significance of the intervention. Thus, to ascertain the true economic impact of the intervention, the statistical results can be integrated into the budget impact analysis. The intervention of the case study consisted of a comprehensive approach that integrated new provider roles and new technological infrastructure for multimorbid patients, with the aim of reducing patient decompensations by 10% over 5 years. The study period was 2012 to 2020. RESULTS: Given the aging of the general population, the conventional scenario predicts an increase of 21% in the health care budget for care of multimorbid patients during the study period. With a successful intervention, this figure should drop to 18%. The statistical analysis, however, showed no significant differences in costs either in primary care or in hospital care between 2012 and 2014. The real costs in 2014 were by far closer to those in the conventional scenario than to the reductions expected in the objective scenario. The present implementation should be reappraised, because the present expenditure did not move closer to the objective budget. CONCLUSIONS: This work demonstrates the capacity of budget impact analysis to enhance the implementation of complex interventions. Its integration in the context of the continuous improvement cycle is transferable to other contexts in which implementation depth and time are important.


Assuntos
Orçamentos/estatística & dados numéricos , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/economia , Múltiplas Afecções Crônicas/terapia , Atenção Primária à Saúde/organização & administração , Gestão da Qualidade Total/organização & administração , Análise Custo-Benefício , Serviços de Assistência Domiciliar/economia , Humanos , Modelos Econométricos , Atenção Primária à Saúde/economia , Espanha , Telefone/economia , Gestão da Qualidade Total/economia
13.
Cir Esp ; 95(2): 89-96, 2017 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês, Espanhol | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28189254

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: The aim of this study was to measure the cost of treatment of colorectal cancer in the Basque public health system according to the clinical stage. METHODS: We retrospectively collected demographic data, clinical data and resource use of a sample of 529 patients. For stagesi toiii the initial and follow-up costs were measured. The calculation of cost for stageiv combined generalized linear models to relate the cost to the duration of follow-up based on parametric survival analysis. Unit costs were obtained from the analytical accounting system of the Basque Health Service. RESULTS: The sample included 110 patients with stagei, 171 with stageii, 158 with stageiii and 90 with stageiv colorectal cancer. The initial total cost per patient was 8,644€ for stagei, 12,675€ for stageii and 13,034€ for stageiii. The main component was hospitalization cost. Calculated by extrapolation for stageiv mean survival was 1.27years. Its average annual cost was 22,403€, and 24,509€ to death. The total annual cost for colorectal cancer extrapolated to the whole Spanish health system was 623.9million€. CONCLUSIONS: The economic burden of colorectal cancer is important and should be taken into account in decision-making. The combination of generalized linear models and survival analysis allows estimation of the cost of metastatic stage.


Assuntos
Neoplasias Colorretais/economia , Neoplasias Colorretais/patologia , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , Estudos Retrospectivos
14.
Reumatol Clin ; 13(4): 189-196, 2017.
Artigo em Inglês, Espanhol | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27321860

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: The chronic nature of musculoskeletal diseases requires an integrated care which involves the Primary Care and the specialities of Rheumatology, Traumatology and Rehabilitation. The aim of this study was to assess the implementation of an integrated organizational model in osteoporosis, low back pain, shoulder disease and knee disease using Deming's continuous improvement process and considering referrals and resource consumption. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A simulation model was used in the planning to predict the evolution of musculoskeletal diseases resource consumption and to carry out a Budget Impact Analysis from 2012 to 2020 in the Goierri-Alto Urola region. In the checking stage the status of the process in 2014 was evaluated using statistical analysis to check the degree of achievement of the objectives for each speciality. RESULTS: Simulation models showed that population with musculoskeletal disease in Goierri-Alto Urola will increase a 4.4% by 2020. Because of that, the expenses for a conventional healthcare system will have increased a 5.9%. However, if the intervention reaches its objectives the budget would decrease an 8.5%. The statistical analysis evidenced a decline in referrals to Traumatology service and a reduction of successive consultations in all specialities. DISCUSSION: The implementation of the integrated organizational model in osteoporosis, low back pain, shoulder disease and knee disease is still at an early stage. However, the empowerment of Primary Care improved patient referrals and reduced the costs.


Assuntos
Prestação Integrada de Cuidados de Saúde/organização & administração , Doenças Musculoesqueléticas/terapia , Atenção Primária à Saúde/organização & administração , Reabilitação/organização & administração , Reumatologia/organização & administração , Traumatologia/organização & administração , Orçamentos , Doença Crônica , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Humanos , Modelos Teóricos , Doenças Musculoesqueléticas/economia , Doenças Musculoesqueléticas/epidemiologia , Avaliação de Programas e Projetos de Saúde , Melhoria de Qualidade/organização & administração , Encaminhamento e Consulta/organização & administração , Espanha/epidemiologia
15.
BMC Cancer ; 16: 344, 2016 06 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27251556

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Breast cancer screening in the Basque Country has shown 20 % reduction of the number of BC deaths and an acceptable overdiagnosis level (4 % of screen detected BC). The aim of this study was to evaluate the breast cancer early detection programme in the Basque Country in terms of retrospective cost-effectiveness and budget impact from 1996 to 2011. METHODS: A discrete event simulation model was built to reproduce the natural history of breast cancer (BC). We estimated for lifetime follow-up the total cost of BC (screening, diagnosis and treatment), as well as quality-adjusted life years (QALY), for women invited to participate in the evaluated programme during the 15-year period in the actual screening scenario and in a hypothetical unscreened scenario. An incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was calculated with the use of aggregated costs. Besides, annual costs were considered for budget impact analysis. Both population level and single-cohort analysis were performed. A probabilistic sensitivity analysis was applied to assess the impact of parameters uncertainty. RESULTS: The actual screening programme involved a cost of 1,127 million euros and provided 6.7 million QALYs over the lifetime of the target population, resulting in a gain of 8,666 QALYs for an additional cost of 36.4 million euros, compared with the unscreened scenario. Thus, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was 4,214€/QALY. All the model runs in the probabilistic sensitivity analysis resulted in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio lower than 10,000€/QALY. The screening programme involved an increase of the annual budget of the Basque Health Service by 5.2 million euros from year 2000 onwards. CONCLUSIONS: The BC screening programme in the Basque Country proved to be cost-effective during the evaluated period and determined an affordable budget impact. These results confirm the epidemiological benefits related to the centralised screening system and support the continuation of the programme.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama/diagnóstico , Análise Custo-Benefício/métodos , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/economia , Programas de Rastreamento/economia , Feminino , Humanos , Programas de Rastreamento/métodos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Estudos Retrospectivos , Espanha
16.
J Alzheimers Dis ; 48(3): 721-30, 2015.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26402090

RESUMO

Risk and protective factors such as obesity, hypercholesterolemia, physical activity, and hypertension can play a role in the development of dementia. Our objective was to measure the effect of modification of risk and protective factors on the prevalence and economic burden of dementia in the aging Spanish population during 2010-2050. A discrete event simulation model including risk and protective factors according to CAIDE (Cardiovascular Risk Factors, Aging and Incidence of Dementia) Risk Score was built to represent the natural history of dementia. Prevalence of dementia was calculated from 2010 to 2050 according to different scenarios of risk factor prevalence to assess the annual social and health care costs of dementia. The model also supplied hazard ratios for dementia. Aging will increase between 49% and 16% each decade in the number of subjects with dementia. The number of working-age individuals per person with dementia will decrease to a quarter by 2050. An intervention leading to a 20% change in risk and protective factors would reduce dementia by 9% , prevent over 100,000 cases, and save nearly 4,900 million euros in 2050. Switching individuals from a group with a specific risk factor to one without it nearly halved the risk of the development of dementia. Dementia prevalence will grow unmanageable if effective prevention strategies are not developed. Interventions aiming to reduce modifiable risk factor prevalence represent valid and effective alternatives to reduce dementia burden. However, further research is needed to identify causal relationships between dementia and risk factors.


Assuntos
Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Demência/economia , Demência/epidemiologia , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Simulação por Computador , Demência/prevenção & controle , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , Fatores de Risco , Espanha/epidemiologia
17.
Rev Esp Salud Publica ; 89(1): 93-7, 2015.
Artigo em Espanhol | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25946589

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The burden of breast cancer is important for the healthcare system. In the context of the evaluation of the breast cancer screening program in the Basque Country it is important to determine the unitary costs related to diagnosis as well as the treatment costs depending on the clinical stage at detection. The main objective was to calculate the total cost and the components of breast cancer (BC) treatment depending on the clinical stage by 2011. METHODS: The estimated costs include BC diagnosis as so as to initial treatment and follow-up, based on resource consumption and unitary costs of the Basque Health Services. Micro-costing technique was applied based on the clinical guidelines. RESULTS: Our model showed the estimated loss of productivity due to premature The initial cost was 9.838€ for the stage 0, 17.273€ for stage I, 22.145€ for stage II and 28.776€ for stage III. The follow up annual cost was 172€ for the stage 0, 908€ for stage I, 994€ for stage II and 1.166€ for stage III. The annual cost for stage IV was 17879€. CONCLUSIONS: Chemotherapy determines the greatest percentage of BC costs. The two main drivers of the total cost of breast cancer are the initial treatment of stages I to III and the cost of stage IV, the latter reaching € 50,061 per patient.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama/patologia , Neoplasias da Mama/terapia , Detecção Precoce de Câncer/economia , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Neoplasias da Mama/economia , Terapia Combinada/economia , Feminino , Humanos , Estadiamento de Neoplasias , Espanha
18.
Alzheimers Res Ther ; 7(1): 2, 2015.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25713598

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Recent research on biomarkers has made possible the diagnosis of pre-dementia and even preclinical Alzheimer's disease (AD), thus providing the ideal context for prevention. The aim of this study was to investigate the epidemiology of the early stages of AD by fitting neuropathologic and epidemiological data to assess the feasibility of prevention programs. METHODS: The study addressed primarily the construction of a discrete event simulation model of the stages of dementia. Age was included in the mathematical functions to combine the two competitive risks that determine the epidemiology of AD, that is, time to onset of dementia and time until death by other causes. Subsequently, this model was calibrated to reproduce the prevalence of pathological findings associated with AD. The beginning of the preclinical stage was taken to coincide with Thal phase 1 deposition of amyloid-beta. The duration of the prodromal stage, marked by mild cognitive impairment, was based on a 10% annual conversion rate from this level of impairment to dementia. The validation of prevalence figures also permitted estimation of the incidence and duration of preclinical and prodromal stages. RESULTS: In Spain, half of the nearly 10 million people aged more than 60 years are in the early stages of AD; 35.9% are in a preclinical stage, and up to 14.2% are in a prodromal stage. However, dementia will develop in only 38% of this population. The weighted mean time to dementia was 22.0 years from the start of Thal phase 1 and 9.0 years from the start of phase 2. Results of simulation models showed a lack of correlation between clinical and pathological classifications. CONCLUSIONS: These findings raise questions about the feasibility of drug-based prevention strategies. Currently, screening programs with biomarkers in the early stages of AD cannot be applied to the half of the general population older than 60 years. Hence, intensive research is needed regarding risk factors, so that more affordable strategies may be planned. More efficient criteria are also needed to select those subjects with mild cognitive impairment who have an increased probability of positive screening for biomarkers (prodromal stage).

19.
Gac Sanit ; 28(5): 389-92, 2014.
Artigo em Espanhol | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24889701

RESUMO

AIM: To calculate the formal cost of social care for people with Alzheimer disease according to the implementation of the dependency law in Gipuzkoa (Spain). METHOD: A retrospective observational study was carried out of the database of the Dependency Care Services of Gipuzkoa from 2007 to 2012, using a prevalence-based bottom-up approach. RESULTS: The average annual formal cost per person was €11,730. The annual population cost was €34.7 million, representing 19% of the annual expenditure corresponding to the dependency law and 29% of the total cost of Alzheimer disease. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the implementation of the new law, most of the burden of the disease is bourne by the family.


Assuntos
Doença de Alzheimer/economia , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Serviço Social/economia , Serviço Social/legislação & jurisprudência , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Doença de Alzheimer/terapia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Espanha
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