Estrogen Receptor Alpha Gene Amplification Is an Independent Predictor of Long-Term Outcome in Postmenopausal Patients with Endocrine-Responsive Early Breast Cancer.

PURPOSE: Estrogen receptor (ER) expression is a prognostic parameter in breast cancer, and a prerequisite for the use of endocrine therapy. In ER+ early breast cancer, however, no receptor-associated biomarker exists that identifies patients with a particularly favorable outcome. We have investigated the value of ESR1 amplification in predicting the long-term clinical outcome in tamoxifen-treated postmenopausal women with endocrine-responsive breast cancer. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: 394 patients who had been randomized into the tamoxifen-only arm of the prospective randomized ABCSG-06 trial of adjuvant endocrine therapy with available formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded tumor tissue were included in this analysis. IHC ERα expression was evaluated both locally and in a central lab using the Allred score, while ESR1 gene amplification was evaluated by FISH analysis using the ESR1/CEP6 ratio indicating focal copy number alterations. RESULTS: Focal ESR1 copy-number elevations (amplifications) were detected in 187 of 394 (47%) tumor specimens, and were associated with a favorable outcome: After a median follow-up of 10 years, women with intratumoral focal ESR1 amplification had a significantly longer distant recurrence-free survival [adjusted HR, 0.48; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.26-0.91; P = 0.02] and breast cancer-specific survival (adjusted HR 0.47; 95% CI, 0.27-0.80; P = 0.01) as compared with women without ESR1 amplification. IHC ERα protein expression, evaluated by Allred score, correlated significantly with focal ESR1 amplification (P < 0.0001; χ2 test), but was not prognostic by itself. CONCLUSIONS: Focal ESR1 amplification is an independent and powerful predictor for long-term distant recurrence-free and breast cancer-specific survival in postmenopausal women with endocrine-responsive early-stage breast cancer who received tamoxifen for 5 years.

Influence of Height on Risk and Outcome of Patients with Early Breast Cancer: A Pooled Analysis of 4,925 Patients from 5 Randomized Trials of the Austrian Breast and Colorectal Cancer Study Group (ABCSG).

Background: Associations between height, cancer risk and worse outcome have been reported for several cancers including breast cancer. We hypothesized that in breast cancer clinical trials, tall women should be overrepresented and might have worse prognosis. Methods: Data of 4,935 women, included from 1990 to 2010 in 5 trials of the Austrian Breast and Colorectal Cancer Study Group (ABCSG), were analyzed retrospectively. The primary objective was to determine differences in height distribution between the ABCSG cohort and the Austrian female population according to a cross-sectional health survey conducted by the Austrian Statistic Center in 2006 and 2007. Secondary endpoints were disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) in different height classes and differences of body mass index (BMI) distribution. Results: Breast cancer patients in the ABCSG cohort were only slightly but statistically significantly smaller compared to unselected Austrian adult females (mean 164.3 vs. 164.8 cm; p < 0.0001) and significantly more patients were seen in the lower body height class (50 vs. 46%; p < 0.0001) when using the median as a cutoff. However, after adjustment for age, the difference in body height between the two cohorts was no longer significant (p = 0.089). DFS and OS in the two upper height groups (≥170 cm) compared to the two lowest height groups (<160 cm) was not significantly different (5-year DFS: 84.7 vs. 83.0%; HR 0.91, 95% CI 0.73-1.13, p = 0.379; 5-year OS: 94.8 vs. 91.7%; HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.55-1.00, p = 0.051). The BMI of ABCSG patients was significantly higher than in the reference population (mean BMI 24.64 vs. 23.96; p < 0.0001). Conclusions: Our results do not confirm previous findings that greater body height is associated with a higher breast cancer risk and worse outcome.

Transferring MINDACT to Daily Routine: Implementation of the 70-Gene Signature in Luminal Early Breast Cancer - Results from a Prospective Registry of the Austrian Group Medical Tumor Therapy (AGMT).

Background: For hormone receptor (HR)-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-negative early breast cancer (EBC), adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) is recommended in the case of high-risk features only. The MINDACT trial showed that patients with high clinical risk (CR) but low genomic risk (GR) defined by the 70-gene signature (MammaPrint®; 70-GS) did not benefit from ACT. In this registry, we investigated the frequency and feasibility of 70-GS and concurrent 80-gene subtyping (BluePrint®) use in HR-positive, HER2-negative EBC. Furthermore, we recorded the frequency of ACT recommendation and the adherence to it when the "MINDACT strategy" was used. Methods: This prospective registry included patients from 2 Austrian cancer centers. Similar to MINDACT, a modified version of Adjuvant!Online was used to determine CR, and 70-GC was used to determine GR in high-CR patients. ACT was recommended to patients with high CR and high GR. Results: Of 224 enrolled patients, 76 (33.9%) had high CR and 67 (88.2%) received genomic testing. Of those, 43 (64.2%) were classified as low and 24 (35.8%) as high GR, respectively. All 24 patients with high CR and GR (10.7% of all patients) received the recommendation for ACT, but ACT was started in only 15 patients (62.5%). The median time from surgery to the start of ACT was 45 days (range 32-68), and the median time from test decision to the test result was 15 days (range 9-56). Conclusion: We showed that the results of the MINDACT trial are reproducible in an Austrian population. Incorporating 70-GS into the daily clinical routine is feasible and mostly accepted by physicians for the guidance of treatment recommendations.

Gemcitabine/nab-Paclitaxel versus FOLFIRINOX for palliative first-line treatment of advanced pancreatic cancer: A propensity score analysis.

BACKGROUND: Gemcitabine/nab-paclitaxel (GN) and FOLFIRINOX are standard first-line treatment options for advanced pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (aPDAC), but currently no prospective randomised head-to-head comparison between these treatments has yet been performed. METHODS: We conducted a comparative propensity score (PS) analysis of overall (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) in a tri-centre cohort of patients with aPDAC undergoing palliative first-line treatment with either GN or FOLFIRINOX. RESULTS: In unadjusted analysis, OS and PFS were highly similar between patients treated with GN (n = 297) and FOLFIRINOX (n = 158). In detail, median, 1- and 2-year OS estimates were 10.1 months, 42% and 18% in the GN group, as compared to 11.2 months, 45% and 12% in the FOLFIRINOX group, respectively (log-rank p = 0.783). Accordingly, median (4.6 versus 4.8 months), 6-month (40% versus 43%) and 1-year (9% versus 9%) PFS estimates did not significantly differ (log-rank p = 0.717). However, patients treated with FOLFIRINOX were significantly younger, had fewer comorbidities, and a better Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status. These imbalances were accounted for by weighting the data with the PS. In PS analysis of survival outcomes, OS and PFS remained comparable between the two treatment groups. In detail, PS-weighted median, 1- and 2-year OS estimates were 10.1 months, 42% and 18% in the GN group, as compared to 10.1 months, 40% and 13% in the FOLFIRINOX group (PS-weighted log-rank p = 0.449). PS-weighted PFS estimates again did not differ (PS-weighted log-rank p = 0.329). CONCLUSION: This real-world comparative effectiveness study indicates that FOLFIRINOX and GN have similar effectiveness in the palliative first-line treatment of aPDAC.

Profiling of circulating tumor DNA and tumor tissue for treatment selection in patients with advanced and refractory carcinoma: a prospective, two-stage phase II Individualized Cancer Treatment trial.

BACKGROUND: Molecular profiling (MP) represents an opportunity to match patients to a targeted therapy and when tumor tissue is unavailable, circulating tumor deoxyribonucleic acid (ctDNA) can be harnessed as a non-invasive analyte for this purpose. We evaluated the success of a targeted therapy selected by profiling of ctDNA and tissue in patients with advanced and refractory carcinoma. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A blood draw as well as an optional tissue biopsy were obtained for MP. Whole-genome sequencing and a cancer hotspot panel were performed, and publicly available databases were used to match the molecular profile to targeted treatments. The primary endpoint was the progression-free survival (PFS) ratio (PFS on MP-guided therapy/PFS on the last evidence-based therapy), whereas the success of the targeted therapy was defined as a PFS ratio ⩾1.2. To test the impact of molecular profile-treatment matching strategies, we retrospectively analyzed selected cases via the CureMatch PreciGENE™ decision support algorithm. RESULTS: Interim analysis of 24 patients yielded informative results from 20 patients (83%). A potential tumor-specific drug could be matched in 11 patients (46%) and eight (33%) received a matched treatment. Median PFS in the matched treatment group was 61.5 days [interquartile range (IQR) 49.8-71.0] compared with 81.5 days (IQR 68.5-117.8) for the last evidence-based treatment, resulting in a median PFS ratio of 0.7 (IQR 0.6-0.9). Hence, as no patient experienced a PFS ratio ⩾1.2, the study was terminated. Except for one case, the CureMatch analysis identified either a two-drug or three-drug combination option. CONCLUSIONS: Our study employed a histotype-agnostic approach to harness molecular profiling data from both ctDNA and metastatic tumor tissue. The outcome results indicate that more innovative approaches to study design and matching algorithms are necessary to achieve improved patient outcomes.EU Clinical Trials Registry (https://www.clinicaltrialsregister.eu): EudraCT: 2014-005341-44.

The AST/ALT Ratio Is an Independent Prognostic Marker for Disease-free Survival in Stage II and III Colorectal Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND/AIM: The Aspartate aminotransaminase/Alanine aminotransaminase ratio (AST/ALT ratio) has been identified as a prognostic marker for several malignancies. In this study, we evaluated the prognostic value of the AST/ALT ratio in a large cohort of non-metastatic colorectal cancer patients (CRC). PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 536 patients with stage II and III CRC, as well as available AST/ALT ratio were included in this single-center retrospective analysis. Laboratory data were measured within two weeks before histological tumor diagnosis. Co-Primary endpoints for this analysis were disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). RESULTS: In univariate cox regression DFS was significantly shorter in patients with an elevated AST/ALT ratio (HR=1.568, 95%CI=1.10-2.23, p=0.012). In multivariable analysis, the prognostic association between an elevated AST/ALT ratio and a poor survival prevailed statistically significant (HR=1.53, 95%C=1.05-2.22, p=0.026). No statistically significant association between the AST/ALT ratio and OS was observed (HR=1.4, 95% CI=0.89-2.22, p=0.14). CONCLUSION: In this study, the serum AST/ALT ratio emerged as a valid prognostic marker for DFS in non-metastatic colorectal cancer patients at stage II and III.

Safety and Clinical Evaluation of Dual Inhibition with Pertuzumab and Trastuzumab Biosimilar SB3 in HER2-Positive Breast Cancer Patients.

BACKGROUND: The addition of trastuzumab to standard chemotherapy has improved survival in patients with HER2-positive breast cancer in neoadjuvant, adjuvant, and metastatic settings. In higher tumor stages, the addition of pertuzumab is now a standard of care and associated with a favorable toxicity profile. We evaluated the safety and efficacy of the trastuzumab biosimilar SB3 in combination with pertuzumab in HER2-positive breast cancer patients. METHODS: Seventy-eight patients with HER2-positive breast cancer treated at the Division of Oncology at the Medical University of Graz were included. Summary measures are reported as medians (25th to 75th percentile) for continuous variables and as absolute frequencies (%) for count data. RESULTS: Thirty-five patients received a median of 4 (3-7) cycles of trastuzumab biosimilar SB3 plus pertuzumab. All patients had a normal baseline left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF; >50%) prior to the initiation of SB3 plus pertuzumab treatment with a median LVEF of 60% (60-65). Twenty-one patients had a median absolute LVEF decline of 1% (-5 to 0). Two patients (5.7%) had a LVEF reduction ≤50%, but none ≥10%. There were no unexpected adverse events. Twenty-two of 35 patients (63%) were treated with trastuzumab biosimilar SB3 and pertuzumab in the neoadjuvant setting and 11 patients (50%) achieved a pathological complete response. The safety and the efficacy in this setting was comparable to the trastuzumab plus pertuzumab combination in neoadjuvantly treated matched samples. CONCLUSION: In this series of HER2-positive breast cancer patients, the combination of SB3 plus pertuzumab was consistent with the known safety and efficacy profile of trastuzumab and pertuzumab combination.

The Lipase/Amylase Ratio (LAR) in Peripheral Blood Might Represent a Novel Prognostic Marker in Patients with Surgically Resectable Pancreatic Cancer.

Pancreatic enzymes might play a pivotal role in the pathophysiology and prognosis of pancreatic cancer. The aim of this study is to investigate the lipase/amylase ratio (LAR), representing a marker previously used in the differentiation of pancreatitis, as a potential prognostic marker in pancreatic cancer. Data from 157 surgically treated patients with ductal pancreatic adenocarcinoma and 351 patients with metastatic disease were evaluated retrospectively. Cancer-specific survival (CSS) was considered the endpoint of the study. After applying Kaplan-Meier curve analysis, uni- and multivariate Cox regression models were calculated to evaluate the prognostic relevance of LAR. An elevated LAR at diagnosis of localized pancreatic cancer was significantly associated with higher CA19-9 levels (p < 0.05). In univariate analysis, we observed an increased LAR as a significant factor for lower CSS in localized pancreatic cancer patients (HR = 1.63; 95% CI = 1.12-2.36; p = 0.01), but not in metastatic patients (HR = 1.12; 95% CI = 0.87-1.43; p = 0.363). In multivariate analysis, including age, gender, tumor stage, Karnofsky Performance Status, tumor grade, administration of chemotherapy and the LAR, an increased LAR was confirmed to represent an independent prognostic factor regarding CSS (HR = 1.81; 95% CI = 1.17-2.77; p = 0.007) in localized pancreatic cancer patients. In conclusion, our study identified the LAR as an independent prognostic factor in surgically treated pancreatic cancer patients.

Estimation versus measurement of the glomerular filtration rate for kidney function assessment in patients with cancer undergoing cisplatin-based chemotherapy.

Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) assessment is indicated before every administration of cisplatin. The optimal modality for this purpose [GFR measurement by urinary Creatinine Clearance (uCrCl) versus GFR estimation (eGFR) by the CKD-EPI formula versus both] is unclear. We investigated whether eGFR only is safe in this setting. Paired uCrCl and eGFR determinations from 470 cisplatin cycles from 121 patients were analyzed [median age: 55 years; most frequent tumor site: genitourinary (45%); palliative treatment: n = 41 (34%)]. Primary endpoint was the proportion of cycles with uCrCl < 50 ml/min/1.73m2 and eGFR ≥ 50 ml/min/1.73m2 (i.e. a "false negative" result when only determining eGFR). The primary endpoint occurred in 8 of 470 cisplatin cycles (1.7%, 95%CI 0.5-2.9). In all 8 events, uCrCl was lower than eGFR (mean uCrCl vs. eGFR: 43 versus 112 ml/min/1.73m2). The uCrCl was re-measured in all patients, and showed normal results in all but 1 patient. None of these events precluded the administration of cisplatin at the planned date, and no subsequent cases of acute nephrotoxicity occurred. Overall agreement between uCrCl and eGFR was low, with qualitative analysis suggesting frequent incompliance with 24-h urine collection. We conclude that an eGFR is sufficient for assessing kidney function in patients with cancer undergoing cisplatin therapy.

External validation of the prognostic relevance of the advanced lung cancer inflammation index (ALI) in pancreatic cancer patients.

BACKGROUND: The advanced lung cancer inflammation index (ALI) was first introduced for prognosis prediction in lung cancer patients and since then evaluated in several other malignancies. However, in pancreatic cancer (PC) the ALI and its prognostic utility were only investigated in a comparably small and specific cohort of locally advanced PC patients treated with chemoradiotherapy. METHODS: In our single-center cohort study, we included 429 patients with histologically verified PC who were treated between 2003 and 2015 at our academic institution. The ALI was defined as body mass index (BMI; kg/m2 ) × serum albumin levels (g/dL)/neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and we defined the optimal cutoff for biomarker dichotomization by ROC-analysis. Kaplan-Meier method as well as uni- and multivariate Cox regression Hazard proportional models were implemented to assess the prognostic potential of ALI in PC patients. We considered cancer-specific survival (CSS) as the primary endpoint of the study. RESULTS: The ALI showed a significant negative correlation with CA19-9 levels and C-reactive protein levels whereas we found an association with localized tumor stage and better performance status (P < .05 for all mentioned variables). As opposed to patients with a high ALI, decreased ALI was significantly associated with shorter CSS (HR = 0.606, 95% CI: 0.471-0.779, P = .001). Multivariate analysis demonstrated tumor grade, tumor stage, chemotherapy, C-reactive protein levels, and CA19-9 levels to independently predict for CSS (all P < .05). In contrast the ALI failed to independently predict for CSS in the performed multivariate models (HR = 0.878, 95% CI: 0.643-1.198, P = .411). CONCLUSION: In this large cohort of PC patients, the ALI did not complement existing clinicopathological factors for outcome determination.

Decreased Activity of Circulating Butyrylcholinesterase in Blood Is an Independent Prognostic Marker in Pancreatic Cancer Patients.

Introduction: The activity of butyrylcholinesterase (BChE) in blood reflects liver function and has recently been associated with systemic inflammatory response and tumor cachexia. As these conditions have been previously linked with pancreatic cancer (PC), the purpose of the present study was to evaluate the prognostic impact of plasma BChE in PC. Methods: Data from 574 consecutive PC patients, treated between 2004 and 2018 at a single academic center, was evaluated. The primary endpoint was cancer-specific survival (CSS), analyzed by Kaplan-Meier curve, and both univariate and multivariate Cox proportional models. Results: BChE activity negatively correlated with other liver parameters (bilirubin, gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), and C-reactive protein (CRP)), and positively correlated with albumin levels, respectively (p < 0.01). In univariate analysis, a low plasma BChE activity was a factor of poor CSS (hazard ratio: 1.4, 95% confidence interval: 1.129-1.754, p = 0.002). In multivariate analysis, tumor stage, tumor grade, administration of chemotherapy, bilirubin levels and a low BChE activity (hazard ratio: 1.42, 95% confidence interval: 1.10-1.82; p = 0.006) were identified as independent prognostic factors. Conclusion: Decreased activity of BChE in blood plasma predicts shorter survival time in PC patients. Therefore, BChE might be helpful in additional stratification of patients into different prognostic risk groups.

Efficacy and safety of the therapeutic cancer vaccine tecemotide (L-BLP25) in early breast cancer: Results from a prospective, randomised, neoadjuvant phase II study (ABCSG 34).

BACKGROUND: Immune-based strategies represent a promising approach in breast cancer (BC) treatment. The glycoprotein mucin-1 (MUC-1) is overexpressed in more than 90% of BC patients, and is targeted by the cancer vaccine tecemotide. We have investigated the efficacy and safety of tecemotide when added to neoadjuvant standard-of-care (SoC) treatment in early BC patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 400 patients with HER2-early BC were recruited into this prospective, multicentre, randomised 2-arm academic phase II trial. Patients received preoperative SoC treatment (chemotherapy or endocrine therapy) with or without tecemotide. Postmenopausal women with oestrogen receptor (ER)+++, or ER++ and Ki67 < 14%, and G1,2 tumours ('luminal A' tumours) received 6 months of letrozole. Postmenopausal patients with triple-negative, ER-/+/++ and Ki67 ≥ 14%, and with G3 tumours, as well as premenopausal patients, received four cycles of epirubicin/cyclophosphamide plus four cycles of docetaxel. Primary end-point was residual cancer burden (RCB; 0/I versus II/III) at surgery. Secondary end-points included pathological complete response (pCR), safety, and quality of life. FINDINGS: We observed no significant difference in RCB 0/I rates between patients with (36.4%) and without (31.9%) tecemotide in the overall study population (p = 0.40) nor in endocrine and chemotherapy-treated subgroups (25.0% versus 13.3%, p = 0.17; 39.6% versus 37.8%, p = 0.75, respectively). The addition of tecemotide did not affect overall pCR rates (22.5% versus 17.4%, p = 0.23), MUC-1 expression, or tumour-infiltrating lymphocytes content. Tecemotide did not increase toxicity when compared to SoC therapy alone. INTERPRETATION: Neoadjuvant tecemotide is safe, but does not improve RCB or pCR rates in patients receiving standard neoadjuvant therapy.

Immunohistochemistry for c-myc and bcl-2 overexpression improves risk stratification in primary central nervous system lymphoma.

Overexpression of bcl-2 and c-myc are defining features of double-expressor-lymphoma (DEL) but may also occur separately in patients with primary central nervous system lymphoma (PCNSL). Despite all progress in optimizing treatment regimen, there is lack of sufficient risk stratification models. Here, we first describe the relationship between DEL biology, the National Comprehensive Cancer Network International Prognostic Index (NCCN-IPI), treatment response, disease progression, and mortality in PCNSL. In this study, we determined c-myc and bcl-2 status immunohistochemically in samples of 48 patients with newly diagnosed PCNSL and followed these patients for a median interval of 6.2 years. Twelve, 18, and 17 patients harbored none, one, or both DEL features. Corresponding overall response rates after first-line therapy were strongly associated with DEL biology (100%, 42%, and 44% in patients with 0, 1, or 2 DEL features). Patients with one or both DEL features had a 5-fold and 13-fold higher 5-year risk of progression and/or death than patients without DEL features. These associations prevailed after adjusting for the NCCN-IPI. DEL improved the discriminatory capability of the NCCN-IPI (P = .0001). Furthermore, we could show that addition of DEL biology to the NCCN-IPI significantly improved the score's discriminatory potential both toward progression-free survival (increase in Harell's c = 0.15, P = .005) and overall survival (increase in Harell's c = 0.11, P = .029). In conclusion, DEL biology is a strong and simple-to-use predictor of adverse outcome in PCNSL. Addition of DEL to the NCCN-IPI improves its prognostic potential. Disease progression from PCNSL harboring both DEL features is invariably fatal. This defines a novel PCNSL patient subset with a great unmet need for improved therapy.

Endocrine therapy with or without whole breast irradiation in low-risk breast cancer patients after breast-conserving surgery: 10-year results of the Austrian Breast and Colorectal Cancer Study Group 8A trial.

PURPOSE: To investigate long-term results of patients with hormonal receptor-positive breast cancer treated with breast-conserving surgery (BCS) and consecutive endocrine therapy (ET) with or without whole breast irradiation (WBI). METHODS AND MATERIALS: Within the 8 A trial of the Austrian Breast and Colorectal Cancer Study Group, a total of 869 patients received ET after BCS which was randomly followed by WBI (n = 439, group 1) or observation (n = 430, group 2). WBI was applied up to a mean total dosage of 50 Gy (+/- 10 Gy boost) in conventional fractionation. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 9.89 years, 10 in-breast recurrences (IBRs) were observed in group 1 and 31 in group 2, resulting in a 10-year local recurrence-free survival (LRFS) of 97.5% and 92.4%, respectively (p = 0.004). This translated into significantly higher rates for disease-free survival (DFS): 94.5% group 1 vs 88.4% group 2, p = 0.0156. For distant metastases-free survival (DMFS) and overall survival (OS), respective 10-year rates amounted 96.7% and 86.6% for group 1 versus 96.4% and 87.6%, for group 2 (ns). WBI (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.27, p < 0.01) and tumour grading (HR: 3.76, p = 0.03) were found as significant predictors for IBR in multiple cox regression analysis. CONCLUSIONS: After a median follow-up of 10 years, WBI resulted in a better local control and DFS compared with ET alone. The omission of WBI and tumour grading, respectively, were the only negative predictors for LRFS.

Individualizing Follow-Up Strategies in High-Grade Soft Tissue Sarcoma with Flexible Parametric Competing Risk Regression Models.

Currently, patients with extremity soft tissue sarcoma (eSTS) who have undergone curative resection are followed up by a heuristic approach, not covering individual patient risks. The aim of this study was to develop two flexible parametric competing risk regression models (FPCRRMs) for local recurrence (LR) and distant metastasis (DM), aiming at providing guidance on how to individually follow-up patients. Three thousand sixteen patients (1931 test, 1085 validation cohort) with high-grade eSTS were included in this retrospective, multicenter study. Histology (9 categories), grading (time-varying covariate), gender, age, tumor size, margins, (neo)adjuvant radiotherapy (RTX), and neoadjuvant chemotherapy (CTX) were used in the FPCRRMs and performance tested with Harrell-C-index. Median follow-up was 50 months (interquartile range: 23.3-95 months). Two hundred forty-two (12.5%) and 603 (31.2%) of test cohort patients developed LR and DM. Factors significantly associated with LR were gender, size, histology, neo- and adjuvant RTX, and margins. Parameters associated with DM were margins, grading, gender, size, histology, and neoadjuvant RTX. C-statistics was computed for internal (C-index for LR: 0.705, for DM: 0.723) and external cohort (C-index for LR: 0.683, for DM: 0.772). Depending on clinical, pathological, and patient-related parameters, LR- and DM-risks vary. With the present model, implemented in the updated Personalised Sarcoma Care (PERSARC)-app, more individualized prediction of LR/DM-risks is made possible.

Age as a Predictor of Treatment Outcome in Metastatic Testicular Germ Cell Tumors.

BACKGROUND/AIM: To quantify the prognostic impact of age on relapse and mortality in patients with metastatic testicular germ cell tumors (TGCT). PATIENTS AND METHODS: Electronical medical records of 1,225 TGCT patients who were treated at a single academic center between 1994 and 2015 were reviewed. RESULTS: Higher age did not predict for worse progression-free survival (PFS) or for higher progression risk. The corresponding 5-year PFS estimates were 85% in patients younger than 40 years and 83% in the elderly population. Although not statistically significant, higher age was numerically associated with worse overall survival (OS) (univariate HR per five years increase in age=1.18, 95%CI=0.99-1.41). This was explained in regression analysis where age predicted for significantly higher risk of treatment-related death (p=0.022). CONCLUSION: Elderly patients with metastatic TGCT can achieve high cure rates similar to younger patients if they tolerate risk-adapted chemotherapy.

Real-World Evidence Data on Metastatic Renal-Cell Carcinoma Treatment in Austria: The RELACS Study.

BACKGROUND: Treatment decisions in routine clinical practice are based on reports of clinical trials, which represent highly selected populations. Limited studies reported real-world evidences representing routine clinical practices in patients with renal-cell carcinoma (RCC) in Europe. The aim of this retrospective, noninterventional chart review was to collect data on the treatment landscape for patients with advanced/metastatic RCC in routine clinical practice in a broader patient population in Austria. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Patients with advanced/metastatic RCC receiving systemic treatment between June 2010 and June 2016 across 12 centers in Austria were included. Parameters were entered into an electronic case report form from the participating sites via the application Hermesoft electronic data capture system. Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were the 2 primary end points. RESULTS: The median PFS and OS were 12 months and 44 months, respectively (first-line PFS was 14 months for pazopanib and 13 months for sunitinib; first-line OS was 44 months for pazopanib and 48 months for sunitinib). Factors influencing the OS were sex, with female patients at a significantly higher risk than male patients (hazard ratio = 1.719), Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status > 0 increased the risk twice (hazard ratio = 2.048), and number of metastases > 3 before the first line doubled the risk compared to metastases (hazard ratio = 2.064). CONCLUSION: OS in this retrospective chart review was considerably longer than the previous reports in real-world patients, underlining the benefit of current RCC treatment options in routine clinical practice.

Exposure to vitamin k antagonists and kidney function decline in patients with atrial fibrillation and chronic kidney disease.

BACKGROUND: Exposure to vitamin K antagonists (VKA) has been suggested to accelerate progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD) but robust clinical data are currently lacking. METHODS: We retrospectively evaluated the impact of VKA exposure on kidney function in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and CKD stage 3/4. Patients were prospectively followed within a primary care electronic database (median follow-up of 1.45 years). The kidney function trajectory over time, defined as the annualized change in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), was analyzed with linear mixed-effects regression including propensity score adjustment. RESULTS: 14 432 patients (median age 78 years, median CHA 2 DS 2-VASc score 4 points) contributed 97 792 eGFR measurements (mean 6.8 measurements/patient; range: 1-197). Mean baseline eGFR was 50.3 mL/min/1.73 m2; and declined by 1.10 mL/min/1.73 m2/year (95% CI: 0.91-1.28, P < 0.0001). In 7409 patients with VKA exposure, CKD progression was significantly faster compared to patients without VKA exposure (5-year absolute eGFR loss from baseline: 6.0 mL/min/1.73 m2 vs 4.5 mL/min/1.73 m2, for an absolute 5-year excess eGFR decline with VKA exposure of 1.5 mL/min/1.73 m2 (95% CI: 0.4-2.7, P = 0.002). These results prevailed upon adjusting for CHA 2 DS 2-VASc score and other potential imbalances in prognostic variables, and in several sensitivity analyses. In the group without documented VKA exposure, 1775 VKA patients (24%) and 1012 patients (14%) developed a 30% decline in eGFR during follow-up (P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with AF and CKD, VKA use is associated with accelerated eGFR decline. Within the limitations of a retrospective analysis, this finding supports the "VKA-renal-calcification hypothesis." However, although statistically significant, the excess loss in eGFR over 5 years with VKA was modest.

Benefit of second-line systemic chemotherapy for advanced biliary tract cancer: A propensity score analysis.

Whether 2nd-line-chemotherapy (2LCTX) + best-supportive-care (BSC) benefits patients with advanced biliary tract cancer (aBTC) more than BSC alone is unclear. We therefore conducted a propensity-score-based comparative effectiveness analysis of overall survival (OS) outcomes in 80 patients with metastatic, recurrent, or inoperable aBTC, of whom 38 (48%) were treated with BSC + 2LCTX and 42 (52%) with BSC alone. After a median follow-up of 14.8 months and 49 deaths, the crude 6-, 12-, and 18-month Kaplan-Meier OS estimates were 77%, 53% and 23% in the BSC + 2LCTX group, and 29%, 21%, and 14% in patients in the BSC group (p = 0.0003; Hazard ratio (HR) = 0.36, 95%CI:0.20-0.64, p = 0.001). An inverse-probability-of-treatment-weighted (IPTW) analysis was conducted to rigorously account for the higher prevalence of favorable prognostic variables in the 2LCTX + BSC group. After IPTW-weighting, the favorable association between 2LCTX and OS prevailed (adjusted HR = 0.40, 95%CI: 0.17-0.95, p = 0.037). IPTW-weighted 6-, 12-, and 18-month OS estimates were 77%, 58% and 33% in the BSC + 2LCTX group, and 39%, 28% and 22% in the BSC group (p = 0.037). Moreover, the benefit of 2LCTX was consistent across several clinically-relevant subgroups. Within the limitations of an observational study, these findings support the concept that 2LCTX + BSC is associated with an OS benefit over BSC alone in aBTC.

Longitudinal kidney function trajectories predict major bleeding, hospitalization and death in patients with atrial fibrillation and chronic kidney disease.

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD), commonly described by estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), is a frequent comorbidity in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and associated with thromboembolic and bleeding complications. Instead of single eGFR measurements, kidney function decline over time may better predict clinical outcomes but this has not been studied so far. METHODS: Patients with AF and stage 3/4 CKD were prospectively followed within a primary care electronic database from the United Kingdom (IMS-THIN). The associations between the longitudinal eGFR trajectory of these patients and stroke/systemic embolism, major bleeding, first hospitalization-for-any-cause, and death-from-any-cause were estimated with joint models of longitudinal and time-to-event data. RESULTS: 18,240 patients were included (median age 80.4 years, median CHA2DS2-VASc score 4). In 133,676 eGFR measurements (mean: 6 per patient) median "baseline" eGFR was 49 ml/min/1.73m2 [41-55] and mean eGFR decline was 0.54 ml/min/1.73m2/year (95%CI: 0.47-0.62). During follow-up (median 3.2 years; 50,841 patient-years at risk), 5-year cumulative incidence estimates were 9%, 3%, 32% and 76% for stroke/systemic embolism, major bleeding, hospitalization and death, respectively. In joint modeling, an accelerated decline in kidney function strongly predicted for a higher risk of major bleeding (hazard ratio [HR] 1.09 per ml/min/1.73m2/year increase in eGFR decline), hospitalization (HR 1.06), and death-from-any-cause (HR 1.11; all p < 0.05), but not for stroke/systemic embolism (HR 0.97; p = 0.239). CONCLUSIONS: Declining kidney function is a critical determinant of unfavourable outcomes in patients with AF and CKD. Longitudinal kidney function trajectories may enable a much more individualized prediction of adverse outcomes in this vulnerable patient population.