Prognostic factors for regression from impaired glucose tolerance to normal glucose regulation in Japanese patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this retrospective cohort study was to assess the predictive factors for the regression from impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) to normal glucose regulation (NGR) in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). METHODS: A total of 164 NAFLD patients who had IGT in the first 75-g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) and underwent a repeated OGTT five years later were enrolled. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was carried out to identify factors predicting the regression from IGT to NGR. RESULTS: Out of the 164 patients, 29 regressed from IGT to NGR within five years after the first OGTT. The multivariate analysis by logistic regression showed that regression from IGT to NGR occurred when the patient was young (risk ratio for ten years: 0.38; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.20-0.72; p=0.003), had a fasting plasma glucose (FPG) level of <100 mg/dL (risk ratio: 6.53; 95%CI 1.88-21.73; p=0.003), had a 2-hr post-load plasma glucose (PG) level of <160 mg/dL (risk ratio: 4.86; 95%CI 1.08-22.72; p=0.040), a body mass index (BMI) decrease of ≥1.5 (risk ratio: 5.20; 95% CI 1.41-19.24; p=0.014), physical activity of ≥2 Metabolic Equivalent of Task (MET) h/day (risk ratio: 5.57; 95%CI 1.68-18.44; p=0.005), and showed disappearance of the fatty liver by ultrasonography at five years (risk ratio: 9.92; 95%CI 2.87-34.34; p<0.001). CONCLUSION: Our results suggest that six factors: young age, FPG <100 mg/dL, 2-hr post-load PG of <160 mg/dL, BMI decrease of ≥1.5, physical activity of ≥2 MET h/day, and the disappearance of fatty liver predict the regression from IGT to NGR in NAFLD patients.

Difference in malignancies of chronic liver disease due to non-alcoholic fatty liver disease or hepatitis C in Japanese elderly patients.

AIM: Malignancies that include hepatocellular carcinoma often occurred in patients with chronic liver disease. The aim of this retrospective match control study was to assess the cumulative development incidence and predictive factors for total malignancies in elderly Japanese patients with non-alcoholic hepatic diseases (NAFLD) or hepatitis C virus (HCV). METHODS: A total of 1600 NAFLD patients with age of ≥60 years were enrolled, and 1600 HCV patients with age of ≥60 years were selected as control by matching 1:1 with NAFLD group for age, sex, and follow-up period. The primary goal is the first development of malignancies. Evaluation was performed by the use of the Wilcoxon rank sum test, the Kaplan-Meier method, and Cox proportional hazard model. The mean observation period is 8.2 years in both NAFLD and HCV group, respectively. RESULTS: The number of patients with the development of malignancies was 167 in the NAFLD group and 395 in the HCV group. The 10th development rate of malignancies was 13.9% in the NAFLD group and 28.2% in the HCV group (risk ratio 2.27; P < 0.001). The incident rates of hepatocellular carcinoma in all the malignancies were 6.0% (10/167) in the NAFLD group and 67.6% (267/395) in the HCV group (P < 0.001). The malignancies in the NAFLD group were observed in the following order: gastric cancer 34 cases (20.4%) > colon cancer 31 cases (18.6%) > prostate cancer 21 cases (12.6%). CONCLUSIONS: The incident rates of hepatocellular carcinoma in all the malignancies were approximately 6% in the NAFLD group and two-thirds in the HCV group.

The development of chronic kidney disease in Japanese patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.

Objective Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is present in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The aim of this retrospective study was to assess the cumulative development incidence and predictive factors for new onset of CKD in Japanese patients with NAFLD. Methods A total of 5,561 NAFLD patients without CKD were enrolled. CKD was defined as either an estimated glomerular filtration rate of <60 mL/min/1.73 m(2) or dipstick proteinuria (≥+1). A blood sample and a urine sample were taken for routine analyses during follow-up. The mean observation period was 5.5 years. The primary goal is the new development of CKD. Independent factors associated with new development of CKD were analyzed by using the Kaplan-Meyer method and the Cox proportional hazards model. Results Of 5.561 NAFLD patients, 263 patients developed CKD. The cumulative development rate of CKD was 3.1% at the 5th year and 12.2% at the 10th year. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that CKD development in patients with NAFLD occurred when patient had low level of GFR of 60-75 mL/min/1.73 m(2) [hazard ratio:2.75; 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.93-3.94; p<0.001], age of ≥50 years (hazard ratio: 2.67; 95% CI=2.06-3.46; p<0.001), diabetes (hazard ratio: 1.92; 95% CI=1.45-2.54; p<0.001), hypertension (hazard ratio: 1.69; 95% CI=1.25-2.29; p<0.001), and elevated serum gamma-glutamyltransferase of ≥109 IU/L (hazard ratio: 1.35; 95% CI=1.02-1.78; p=0.038). Conclusion Our retrospective study indicates that the annual incidence of CKD in Japanese patients with NAFLD is about 1.2%. Five factors of low eGFR level, aging, type 2 diabetes, hypertension, and elevated gamma-glutamyltransferase, increases the risk of the development of CKD.