The anatomy of COVID-19-related conspiracy beliefs: Exploring their nomological network on a nationally representative sample.

OBJECTIVES: The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic was followed by the widespread proliferation of conspiracy beliefs (CBs) regarding the origin and harmfulness of the virus and a high level of hesitancy to vaccinate. We aimed to test a series of hypotheses on the correlates of CBs and vaccination, including socio-demographic factors, personality dispositions, somatic health, stressful experiences during pandemics, and psychological distress. METHOD: The sample (N = 1203), was based on a multistage probabilistic household sampling representative of the general population. The subjects were randomly split into two approximately equal subgroups, enabling cross-validation. Based on the findings in the exploratory, the SEM model was tested in the confirmatory subsample. RESULTS: The correlates of CBs were Disintegration (proneness to psychotic-like experiences), low Openness, lower education, Extraversion, living in a smaller settlement and being employed. The correlates of vaccination were older age, CBs and larger places of living. Evidence on the role of stressful experiences and psychological distress in CBs/vaccination was not found. The findings of moderately strong and robust (cross-validated) paths, leading from Disintegration to CBs and from CBs to vaccination were the most important ones. DISCUSSION: Conspiratorial thinking tendencies-related to health-related behaviour such as vaccination-appear to be, to a considerable extent, manifestations of the mechanisms that are part of our stable, broad, trait-like thinking/emotional/motivational/behavioural tendencies, primarily proneness to psychotic-like experiences & behaviours.

Mental health in the second year of the COVID-19 pandemic: protocol for a nationally representative multilevel survey in Serbia.

INTRODUCTION: The COVID-19 pandemic is likely to have a prolonged impact on mental health (MH); however, the long-term MH effects of the COVID-19 pandemic remain unknown. The Serbian national survey-CoV2Soul.RS-was launched to document the MH status of the Serbian population following the COVID-19 pandemic and to contribute to an international evidence base about MH prevalence rates during different phases of the pandemic. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This cross-sectional study was designed to collect a nationally representative sample (N=1200; age 18-65 years; estimated start/end-June/November 2021) using multistage probabilistic household sampling. Trained staff will conduct in-person diagnostic interviews. A battery of self-report instruments will be administered to assess the quality of life (QoL), general distress and associated protective and harmful psychological and societal factors. Analyses will be conducted to delineate the prevalence rates of MH disorders, how MH conditions and QoL vary with respect to sociodemographic variables, personality, health status and traumatic events during the COVID-19 pandemic, and to test how these relations depend on geographical region. Moreover, this study was designed to explore mechanisms linking personality and the perception of pandemic consequences and associated distress. Prevalence rates of MH disorders will be calculated using descriptive statistics. For additional analyses, we will use correlations, analysis of variance and regression analyses. The hierarchical structure of the data will be explored using multilevel random coefficient modelling. Structural equation modelling will be used to investigate the indirect effects of personality on distress through relevant variables. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethical Committees of the Faculty of Medicine (1322-VII/31) and Faculty of Philosophy in Belgrade (02-33/273) and Faculty of Philosophy in Novi Sad (05-27, br.893/1) approved the protocol. Only respondents able to provide informed consent will participate in the study. Research reports will be submitted to peer-reviewed journals and the results will be placed on the website www.cov2soul.rs to be available to funders, researchers, policy-makers and interested laypeople, and will be advertised through social media. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04896983.

An Approach to Determine the Prevalence of Poor Mental Health among Urban and Rural Population in Serbia Using Propensity Score Matching.

OBJECTIVE: Studies about mental health among urban and rural residents are scarce. A limited number of studies report somewhat better mental health in rural settings, despite higher rates of suicides. The main objective of this study was to describe social conditions of the population of Serbia in rural and urban settlements and to assess the differences in the prevalence of mental health disorders. METHODS: Propensity score matching of urban and rural persons (2 × 3,569 persons) has eliminated confounding effects from social variables (age, gender, wealth index, education level, employment, family status) and self-rated health. Thus, any statistical differences concerning mental health variables (five-item Mental Health Inventory and clinically diagnosed chronic anxiety or depression) between the two populations were not a result of differences in the matching variables. RESULTS: After matching all variables, the estimated prevalence rate of poor mental health was significantly higher among residents of urban (52.2%) than rural (49.1%) settlements (p=0.012). CONCLUSIONS: Almost half of the Serbian population suffers from poor mental health, therefore, there is a need to increase efforts on mental health promotion, prevention and treatment. Our study findings also support the importance of promoting benefits of rural settings for people with mental distress.

Impact of Voiding and Incontinence Symptoms on Health-Related Life Quality in Serbian Male Population.

PURPOSE: To investigate the impact of lower urinary tract symptoms on health-related quality of life (QoL) in Serbian population considering socio-demographic characteristics, habits, and health status. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study was conducted in the Primary Healthcare Center "Novi Beograd", Serbia. The study included 1424 male participants, aged 40 years and above. QoL was assessed by using the -36Item Short Form Health Survey (SF36-) questionnaire, while voiding and incontinence symptoms were measured using the International Continence Society Male Short Form (ICS male SF) questionnaire. RESULTS: Voiding and incontinence symptoms significantly correlate with all domains of QoL. Voiding and incontinence symptoms have a high influence on general health, social functioning, physical functioning and body pain. After adjusting for age and education, voiding and incontinence symptoms had a similar influence on QoL. In the multivariate model the influence of cardiovascular diseases and income on QoL was lower than voiding and incontinence symptoms.. CONCLUSION: Voiding and incontinence symptoms affect QoL domains differently. Incontinence symptoms have a greater impact on QoL than voiding symptoms.

The burden of disease preventable by risk factor reduction in Serbia.

BACKGROUND/AIM: Reliable and comparable analysis of health risks is an important component of evidence-based and preventive programs. The aim of this study was to analyze the impact of the most relevant avoidable risk factors on the burden of the selected conditions in Serbia. METHODS: Attributable fractions were calculated from the survey information on the prevalence of a risk factor and the relative risk of dying if exposed to a risk factor. The population-attributable risks were applied to deaths, years of life lost due to premature mortality (YLL), years of life with disability (YLD) and disability adjusted life years (DALY). RESULTS: More than 40% of all deaths and of the total YLL are attributable to cigarette smoking, overweight, physical inactivity, inadequate intake of fruit and vegetables, hypertension and high blood cholesterol. Alcohol consumption has in total a beneficial effect. According to the percent of DALY for the selected conditions attributable to the observed risk factors, their most harmful effects are as follows: alcohol consumption on road traffic accidents; cigarette smoking on lung cancer; physical inactivity on cerebrovascular disease (CVD), ischemic heart disease (IHD) and colorectal cancer; overweight on type 2 diabetes; hypertension on renal failure and CVD; inadequate intake of fruit and vegetables on IHD and CVD, and high blood cholesterol on IHD. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows that a high percentage of disease and injury burden in Serbia is attributable to avoidable risk factors, which emphasizes the need for improvement of relevant preventive strategies and programs at both individual and population levels. Social preferences should be determined for a comprehensive set of conditions and cost effectiveness analyses of potential interventions should be carried out. Furthermore, positive measures, derived from health, disability and quality of life surveys, should be included.

[SWOT analysis: the analytical method in the process of planning and its application in the development of orthopaedic hospital department].

INTRODUCTION: SWOT analysis is a managerial tool used to evaluate internal and external environment through strengths and weaknesses, opportunities and threats. OBJECTIVE: The aim was to demonstrate the application of the SWOT analysis on the example of the Department for Paediatric Orthopaedics and Traumatology at the Institute of Orthopaedic Surgery "Banjica" in Belgrade. METHODS: Qualitative research was conducted during December 2008 at the Department for Paediatric Orthopaedics and Traumatology of the Institute of Orthopaedic Surgery "Banjica" by applying the focus group technique. Participants were members of the medical staff and patients. In the first phase of the focus group brainstorming was applied to collect the factors of internal and external environment, and to identify strengths and weaknesses, opportunities and threats, respectively. In the second phase the nominal group technique was applied in order to reduce the list of factors. The factors were assessed according to their influence on the Department. Factors ranked by the three point Likert scale from 3 (highest impact) to 1 (lowest impact). RESULTS: The most important strengths of the Department are competent and skilled staff, high quality of services, average hospital bed utilization, the Department providing the educational basis of the School of Medicine, satisfied patients, pleasant setting, and additional working hours. The weaknesses are: poor spatial organization, personnel unmotivated to refresh knowledge, lack of specifically trained personnel, inadequate sanitary facilities, and uncovered services by the Insurance Fund, long average hospital stay, and low economic status of patients. The opportunities are: legislative regulations, formed paediatric traumatology service at the City level, good regional position of the Institute, and extension of referral areas. The threats are: absent Department autonomy in the personnel policy of the Institute, competitions within the Institute, impossibility to increase the Department capacities, inadequate nutrition, low opportunities for expert training of the personnel, outdated equipment, and presence of informal payments. CONCLUSION: SWOT analysis is a frequently used managerial instrument, which enables the systematic approach in decision making process.

Serbia within the European context: An analysis of premature mortality.

BACKGROUND: Based on the global predictions majority of deaths will be collectively caused by cancer, cardiovascular diseases, and traffic accidents over the coming 25 years. In planning future national health policy actions, inter - regional assessments play an important role. The purpose of the study was to analyze similarities and differences in premature mortality between Serbia, EURO A, EURO B, and EURO C regions in 2000. METHODS: Mortality and premature mortality patterns were analysed according to cause of death, by gender and seven age intervals. The study results are presented in relative (%) and absolute terms (age-specific and age-standardized death rates per 100,000 population, and age-standardized rates of years of life lost - YLL per 1,000). Direct standardization of rates was undertaken using the standard population of Europe. The inter-regional comparison was based on a calculation of differences in YLL structures and with a ratio of age-standardized YLL rates per 1,000. A multivariate generalized linear model was used to explore mortality of Serbia and Europe sub-regions with ln age-specific death rates. The dissimilarity was achieved with a p

Strategic planning in a highly specialized orthopaedic institution.

INTRODUCTION: The Institute for Orthopaedic Surgery "Banjica" in Belgrade provides tertiary healthcare services on national level. After decades of constant development, a recent decline coincided with the decade of great social and governmental disturbance, the transition period after the dissociation of former Yugoslavia. OBJECTIVE: In order to overcome the crisis, we used modern management methods to define problems in the institution management, and to propose appropriate strategies. METHODS: A survey that included 100 employees (17.67%) was carried out, followed by descriptive statistical analysis, PEST and SWOT analyses. RESULTS: The impact of political fluctuations, ageing of population, financing model, obsolete medical technology was evaluated. Various personal and interpersonal factors were assessed: the quality of medical service (3.59 +/- 0.76, mark 1-5); relations among health service participants (3.39 +/- 0.78); occupational conditions (not good-91%); human, financial and other resources; professional cooperation, stimulation; rivalry and mobbing (declared in 56%); public informing, institution image (rank 3.70 +/- 0.88) and PR activities (new to 78%). 93% declared to give maximum effort at work. CONCLUSION: Using these results, we defined several strategic objectives. These include strengthening scientific activities, general orientation to specific and exclusive pathological conditions and treatment methods, improvement of management transparency, introduction of quality-based stimulation of workers, support of promotional and PR activities.

Strategic orientation of public health in transition: an overview of South Eastern Europe.

Two recent developments have redirected the course of Public Health in Europe - the Public Health Mandate of the European Commission and the conceptualization of a New Public Health. For the transition, countries in South Eastern Europe, particularly Serbia, provide support to essential public health reforms in four areas: strategic management, public health information, public health legislation, and public health training and research. The roles of the Dubrovnik Pledge (2001) and the Stability Pact, which has international support, have been central.

The burden of type 2 diabetes in Serbia and the cost-effectiveness of its management.

The purpose of this study was to analyse whether the nationwide application of the national Serbian guideline for diabetes mellitus (NSGDM) would save a relevant amount of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and/or reduce the medical cost of treating diabetic patients in Serbia, as compared to the present situation. Disability-adjusted life years were calculated for Serbia and the cost-effectiveness was analysed in eight population groups under ideal and present conditions; prevalent and incident cases were each split up for patients with blood glucose that was well controlled and that was uncontrolled. Under ideal conditions, i.e., according to the NSGDM, 8,031 DALYs could be saved with a potential cost reduction at the same time of approximately 19 million Euros. The implementation of the NSGDM in clinical practice bears a great potential to save lives and reduce years lived with lowered quality of life, but in addition it may reduce costs by about a quarter.

[Measuring quality of life in patients with heart failure].

INTRODUCTION: The quality of life in patients with heart failure is diminished by symptoms of disease, affected social connections, frequent hospitalisations, side effects caused by medication, and costs of treatment borne by the patient himself. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this research was to measure the quality of life of patients with heart failure and assess any potential changes during a six-month period. METHOD: This research is a follow-up study, and comprised 56 patients who were treated from September 1998 to August 1999 at the Institute for Cardiovascular Diseases of the Clinical Centre of Serbia. During the first hospitalisation, an initial baseline measurement of quality of life was conducted. The measurement was then repeated after three and six months, during check-ups. The measurement was conducted by using a special questionnaire for patients suffering from heart disorders, the "Minnesota Living with Heart Failure Questionnaire." RESULTS: The results showed a considerable improvement in the overall quality of life between the baseline and second measurements (F = 6.263; p = 0.020), as well as considerable improvement in the physical dimension of quality of life between the baseline and first measurements (F = 6.797; p = 0.016) and between the baseline and second measurements (F = 5.351; p = 0.030). CONCLUSION: Thanks to the application of the special Minnesota questionnaire, it was possible to measure small but considerable changes in the patients' quality of life.