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OBJECTIVE: The management of penetrating abdominal wounds has greatly benefited from the development of computed tomography (CT), particularly in stable patients. In this setting, the scanner is the reference examination. Our study aims to evaluate the performance of preoperative CT in the assessment of penetrating abdominal lesions. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Between January 1, 2015 and January 1, 2022, 81 patients were hospitalized following penetrating abdominal trauma at the Army Training Hospitals of Sainte-Anne and Laveran. Fifty-one stable patients who had an abdominopelvic CT scan and thereafter underwent abdominal surgery (laparotomy or laparoscopy) were included. Radiological and surgical data were collected from the electronic record and compared by a descriptive analysis (calculation of the sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive value of the CT for the detection of lesions of the various organs) and by a correlation of the CT findings with surgical findings using Kripendorff's alpha coefficient. RESULTS: The cohort was largely male (n=45; 88%), with injuries by knife wound in 62.7% of cases (n=32) and gunshot in 35.3% (n=18) of cases. The median age was 36years (25-47). The median index of severity score (ISS) was 17 (10-26). Excellent agreement between predicted and actual findings was obtained for solid organs (α=0.801) with high sensitivity and specificity (81.8% and 96.6%, respectively). The largest discrepancies were observed for the hollow organs (α=26.2%, sensitivity of 53.3% and specificity of 76.2%) and the diaphragm (α=67.3%, sensitivity 75%, specificity 92.3%). Surgical exploration was non-therapeutic for five patients (9.8%). The failure rate for non-operative treatment was 10% (n=1). CONCLUSION: CT detection of solid organ lesions in patients with penetrating abdominal wounds is excellent. However, the detection of hollow organ and diaphragmatic wounds remains a challenge with a risk of over- and underdiagnosis. Laparoscopic exploration should be able to fill in the gaps in the CT findings.
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Traumatismos Abdominais , Ferimentos por Arma de Fogo , Ferimentos Penetrantes , Ferimentos Perfurantes , Humanos , Masculino , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X/métodos , Ferimentos Penetrantes/diagnóstico por imagem , Ferimentos Penetrantes/cirurgia , Ferimentos por Arma de Fogo/cirurgia , Traumatismos Abdominais/diagnóstico por imagem , Traumatismos Abdominais/cirurgia , Laparotomia , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
Intermittent preventive treatment in pregnancy with sulfadoxine and pyrimethamine (IPTp-SP) is a key component in the malaria control strategy implemented in Africa. The aim of this study was to determine IPTp-SP adherence and coverage, and the impact on maternal infection and birth outcomes in the context of widespread SP resistance in the city of Douala, Cameroon. Clinical and demographic information were documented among 888 pregnant women attending 3 health facilities, from the antenatal care visit to delivery. Positive samples were genotyped for P. falciparum gene (dhfr, dhps, and k13) mutations. The overall IPTp-SP coverage (≥three doses) was 17.5%, and 5.1% received no dose. P. falciparum prevalence was 16%, with a predominance of submicroscopic infections (89.3%). Malaria infection was significantly associated with locality and history of malaria, and it was reduced among women using indoor residual spraying. Optimal doses of IPTp-SP were significantly associated with reduced infection among newborns and women (secundiparous and multiparous), but there was no impact of IPTp-SP on the newborn bodyweight. Pfdhfr-Pfdhps quintuple mutants were over-represented (IRNI-FGKAA, IRNI-AGKAA), and sextuple mutants (IRNI-AGKAS, IRNI-FGEAA, IRNI-AGKGS) were also reported. The Pfk13 gene mutations associated with artemisinin resistance were not detected. This study highlights the role of ANC in achieving optimal SP coverage in pregnant women, the mitigated impact of IPTp-SP on malaria outcomes, and the high prevalence of multiple SP-resistant P. falciparum parasites in the city of Douala that could compromise the efficacy of IPTp-SP.
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BACKGROUND: Antibiotics are growth promotors used in animal farming. Doxycycline (DOXY) is a tetracycline antibiotic taken daily and continued 1 month after return to protect against malaria during travel and deployment in endemic areas. We evaluated DOXY impact on body weight in military international travelers. MATERIEL AND METHODS: A prospective cohort analysis was conducted in 2016-2018, recruiting 170 French soldiers before a 4-month assignment overseas. Many clinical data including anthropometric measures by an investigator were collected before and after deployment. Weight gain was defined by an increase of 2% from baseline. The study protocol was supported by the French Armed Forces Health Services and approved by the French ethics committee (IRB no. 2015-A01961-48, ref promoter 2015RC0). Written, informed consent was obtained with signature from each volunteer before inclusion. RESULTS: After deployment, 84 soldiers were followed up. Overall, 38/84 (45%) were deployed to Mali with DOXY malaria prophylaxis, and others were deployed to Iraq or Lebanon without malaria prophylaxis according to international recommendations. Body weight increased in 24/84 (30%), of whom 14/24 (58%) were exposed to DOXY. In bivariate analysis, DOXY had a positive but not significant effect on weight gain (P-value = .4). In the final logistic regression model (Fig. 3), weight gain after deployment positively correlated with an increase in waist circumference (odds ratio [OR] 1.23 with 95% CI [1.06-1.47]) suggesting fat gain; with sedentary work (OR 5.34; 95% CI [1.07-31.90]); and with probiotic intake (OR 5.27; 95% CI [1.51-20.40]). Weight impact of probiotics was more important when associated with DOXY intake (OR 6.86; 95% CI [1.52-38.1]; P-value = .016). CONCLUSIONS: Doxycycline (DOXY) malaria prophylaxis during several months did not cause significant weight gain in soldiers. Further studies are required in older and less sportive traveling populations, and to investigate a cumulative effect over time and recurrent DOXY exposure. Doxycycline (DOXY) may enhance other growth-promoting factors including fatty food, sedentariness, and strain-specific probiotics contained in fermented dairy products which are also used as growth promotors.
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Malária , Militares , Animais , Humanos , Doxiciclina/uso terapêutico , Estudos Prospectivos , Malária/tratamento farmacológico , Malária/epidemiologia , Malária/prevenção & controle , Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico , Peso CorporalRESUMO
BackgroundSARS-CoV-2 emergence was a threat for armed forces. A COVID-19 outbreak occurred on the French aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle from mid-March to mid-April 2020.AimTo understand how the virus was introduced, circulated then stopped circulation, risk factors for infection and severity, and effectiveness of preventive measures.MethodsWe considered the entire crew as a cohort and collected personal, clinical, biological, and epidemiological data. We performed viral genome sequencing and searched for SARS-CoV-2 in the environment.ResultsThe attack rate was 65% (1,148/1,767); 1,568 (89%) were included. The male:female ratio was 6.9, and median age was 29 years (IQR: 24-36). We examined four clinical profiles: asymptomatic (13.0%), non-specific symptomatic (8.1%), specific symptomatic (76.3%), and severe (i.e. requiring oxygen therapy, 2.6%). Active smoking was not associated with severe COVID-19; age and obesity were risk factors. The instantaneous reproduction rate (Rt) and viral sequencing suggested several introductions of the virus with 4 of 5 introduced strains from within France, with an acceleration of Rt when lifting preventive measures. Physical distancing prevented infection (adjusted OR: 0.55; 95% CI: 0.40-0.76). Transmission may have stopped when the proportion of infected personnel was large enough to prevent circulation (65%; 95% CI: 62-68).ConclusionNon-specific clinical pictures of COVID-19 delayed detection of the outbreak. The lack of an isolation ward made it difficult to manage transmission; the outbreak spread until a protective threshold was reached. Physical distancing was effective when applied. Early surveillance with adapted prevention measures should prevent such an outbreak.
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COVID-19 , Adulto , Aeronaves , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Surtos de Doenças , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Estudos Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2/genéticaRESUMO
Many models of within-host malaria infection dynamics have been formulated since the pioneering work of Anderson et al. in 1989. Biologically, the goal of these models is to understand what governs the severity of infections, the patterns of infectiousness, and the variation thereof across individual hosts. Mathematically, these models are based on dynamical systems, with standard approaches ranging from K-compartments ordinary differential equations (ODEs) to delay differential equations (DDEs), to capture the relatively constant duration of replication and bursting once a parasite infects a host red blood cell. Using malariatherapy data, which offers fine-scale resolution on the dynamics of infection across a number of individual hosts, we compare the fit and robustness of one of these standard approaches (K-compartments ODE) with a partial differential equations (PDEs) model, which explicitly tracks the "age" of an infected cell. While both models perform quite similarly in terms of goodness-of-fit for suitably chosen K, the K-compartments ODE model particularly overestimates parasite densities early on in infections when the number of repeated compartments is not large enough. Finally, the K-compartments ODE model (for suitably chosen K) and the PDE model highlight a strong qualitative connection between the density of transmissible parasite stages (i.e., gametocytes) and the density of host-damaging (and asexually-replicating) parasite stages. This finding provides a simple tool for predicting which hosts are most infectious to mosquitoes -vectors of Plasmodium parasites- which is a crucial component of global efforts to control and eliminate malaria.
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Malária Falciparum , Malária , Plasmodium , Animais , Malária Falciparum/parasitologia , Plasmodium falciparumRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The prevalence of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection varies geographically around the world. Yet, its underlying mechanisms are unknown. Using a nationally representative population-based sample from all 58 administrative divisions in Cameroon, we examined the association between median maternal age at first childbirth in a preceding generation, a proxy for the frequency of mother-to-child transmission (MTCT) of HBV in a region, and the risk of chronic HBV infection, defined as positive surface antigen (HBsAg), in the index generation. METHODS: We estimated a division-specific median maternal age at first childbirth using Demographic Health Surveys (DHSs) conducted in 1991, 1998, 2004, and 2011. We tested HBsAg in 2011 DHS participants. We used maps to display spatial variation. RESULTS: In 14 150 participants (median age, 27 years; 51% females), the overall weighted prevalence of HBsAg was 11.9% (95% confidence interval [CI], 11.0 to 12.8), with a wide geographical variation across the divisions (range, 6.3%-23.7%). After adjusting for confounders and spatial dependency, lower maternal age at first childbirth was significantly associated with positive HBsAg at the division level (ß, 1.89; 95% CI, 1.26 to 2.52) and at the individual level (odds ratio, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.04 to 1.39). A similar ecological correlation was observed across other African countries. CONCLUSIONS: The significant association between the maternal age at first childbirth and HBsAg positivity suggests a crucial role of MTCT in maintaining high HBV endemicity in some areas in Cameroon. This underlines an urgent need to effectively prevent MTCT in sub-Saharan Africa.
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Hepatite B , Complicações Infecciosas na Gravidez , Adulto , Camarões/epidemiologia , Feminino , Antígenos de Superfície da Hepatite B , Vírus da Hepatite B , Humanos , Transmissão Vertical de Doenças Infecciosas/prevenção & controle , Masculino , Idade Materna , Gravidez , Complicações Infecciosas na Gravidez/epidemiologia , PrevalênciaRESUMO
Background: The management of bleeding originating from the guttural pouch (GP) has a high success rate, but the resolution of the macroscopic inflammatory lesions in the case of mycosis (GPM) is highly variable; the resolution of neurological disorders is inconstant and challenging. Objectives: Our aim was to test the feasibility and safety of topical oxygen therapy (TOT) in horses after induction of GPM and in cases with naturally occurring disease. Study design: This study was an in vivo experimental and retrospective two-phase study. Methods: During phase 1, the pilot study, both GPs were inoculated with Aspergillus fumigatus. One GP was randomly assigned to receive one to four TOT 30 min sessions with 100% medical oxygen at 9 L/min. Follow-up endoscopic images were assessed for scoring macroscopic inflammatory lesions of the pharynx and both GPs. In phase 2, the clinical study, TOT was administered for 45 to 60 min at 15 L/min in six horses presenting with GPM. Results: In phase 1, TOT administration was easy to perform in the standing horse with no adverse effects. After more than two administrations, macroscopic inflammatory lesions decreased more quickly in size in the treated GP. In phase 2, horses were treated with TOT only (n = 1) or combined with a transarterial coil embolization (TACE) procedure (n = 5). After TOT and discharge from the hospital, nasal discharge resolved in three horses, and improvement was noted in the fourth one. Between days 2 and 10 after admission, upper respiratory tract endoscopy (URTE) indicated size reduction and alteration in the appearance of all the macroscopic inflammatory lesions. The partial or total recovery of neurological disorders (2/4 laryngeal hemiparesis, 3/5 dysphagia, 1/2 dorsal displacement of the soft palate (DDSP), and 1/1 Horner's syndrome) was recorded. Main limitations: In phase 1, the small number of horses did not allow for statistically significant conclusions; in phase 2, clinical signs at admission varied between horses, which made comparison difficult. Conclusions: In adult horses, TOT alone or in combination with TACE is feasible and safe with a propensity to reverse the course and the progression of inflammatory lesions without additional local or systemic treatment.
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BACKGROUND: For the purpose of epidemiological surveillance, the Hospital University Institute Méditerranée infection has implemented since 2013 a system named MIDaS, based on the systematic collection of routine activity materials, including MALDI-TOF spectra, and results. The objective of this paper is to present the pipeline we use for processing MALDI-TOF spectra during epidemiological surveillance in order to disclose proteinic cues that may suggest the existence of epidemic processes in complement of incidence surveillance. It is illustrated by the analysis of an alarm observed for Streptococcus pneumoniae. METHODS: The MALDI-TOF spectra analysis process looks for the existence of clusters of spectra characterized by a double time and proteinic close proximity. This process relies on several specific methods aiming at contrasting and clustering the spectra, presenting graphically the results for an easy epidemiological interpretation, and for determining the discriminating spectra peaks with their possible identification using reference databases. RESULTS: The use of this pipeline in the case of an alarm issued for Streptococcus pneumoniae has made it possible to reveal a cluster of spectra with close proteinic and temporal distances, characterized by the presence of three discriminant peaks (5228.8, 5917.8, and 8974.3 m/z) and the absence of peak 4996.9 m/z. A further investigation on UniProt KB showed that peak 5228.8 is possibly an OxaA protein and that the absent peak may be a transposase. CONCLUSION: This example shows this pipeline may support a quasi-real time identification and characterization of clusters that provide essential information on a potentially epidemic situation. It brings valuable information for epidemiological sensemaking and for deciding on the continuation of the epidemiological investigation, in particular the involving of additional costly resources to confirm or invalidate the alarm. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: NCT03626987.
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Bactérias , Epidemias , Análise por Conglomerados , Humanos , Espectrometria de Massas por Ionização e Dessorção a Laser Assistida por Matriz , Streptococcus pneumoniaeRESUMO
Dysbiosis, developed upon antibiotic administration, results in loss of diversity and shifts in the abundance of gut microbes. Doxycycline is a tetracycline antibiotic widely used for malaria prophylaxis in travelers. We prospectively studied changes in the fecal microbiota of 15 French soldiers after a 4-month mission to Mali with doxycycline malaria prophylaxis, compared to changes in the microbiota of 28 soldiers deployed to Iraq and Lebanon without doxycycline. Stool samples were collected with clinical data before and after missions, and 16S rRNA sequenced on MiSeq targeting the V3-V4 region. Doxycycline exposure resulted in increased alpha-biodiversity and no significant beta-dissimilarities. It led to expansion in Bacteroides, with a reduction in Bifidobacterium and Lactobacillus, as in the group deployed without doxycycline. Doxycycline did not alter the community structure and was specifically associated with a reduction in Escherichia and expression of Rothia. Differences in the microbiota existed at baseline between military units but not within the studied groups. This group-effect highlighted the risk of a Simpson paradox in microbiome studies.
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In late 2019, an epidemic of SARS-CoV-2 broke out in central China. Within a few months, this new virus had spread right across the globe, officially being classified as a pandemic on 11 March 2020. In France, which was also being affected by the virus, the government applied specific epidemiological management strategies and introduced unprecedented public health measures. This article describes the outbreak management system that was applied within the French military and, more specifically, analyzes an outbreak of COVID-19 that occurred on board a nuclear aircraft carrier. We applied the AcciMap systemic analysis approach to understand the course of events that led to the outbreak and identify the relevant human and organizational failures. Results highlight causal factors at several levels of the outbreak management system. They reveal problems with the benchmarks used for diagnosis and decision-making, and underscore the importance of good communication between different levels. We discuss ways of improving epidemiological management in military context.
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Decision-making during critical outbreak management may require standard strategies, but also more creative ones. Our goal was to characterize the expert decision processes that take place during critical situations, where rule-based strategies and usual procedures cannot be satisfactorily applied. More specifically, we focused on the strategies experts use to deal with epidemiological problems, depending on the complexity of the situation. To this end, we carried out a simulated outbreak alert, to place two experts in a situation of epidemiological problem management, based on usual practice but also conducive to implementing creative solutions. To analyze the data, we considered not only the relevance of the solutions proposed by the experts, but also the four creativity criteria defined by Torrance (fluency, flexibility, elaboration and originality). Results allowed us to identify similarities but also differences between the solutions proposed by the experts, depending on their level of experience in this area.
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Criatividade , Motivação , Surtos de Doenças , HumanosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The French military personnel may be exposed to leptospirosis during their training or on duty on the field in continental France, and most of all, in intertropical areas in the French departments and in Africa. The aim of this study was to assess the incidence of leptospirosis from epidemiological surveillance and cases data from 2004 to 2018, and to propose tools to assess leptospirosis risk prior to any mission or leisure activity. METHOD: A retrospective epidemiological study on leptospirosis cases among French Armed Forces was conducted. More data were collected for 2 clusters in Martinique, as most of leptospirosis cases among French military personnel were identified in Martinique. RESULTS: Eighty-eight cases of leptospirosis were reported, 15 cases in continental France and 73 cases in overseas (including 42 cases in the French West Indies). The global leptospirosis incidence rate in continental France was 0.3/100,000 person-years and in overseas 24/100,000 person-years with the higher incidence rate in Martinique (99/100,000 person-years) and in Mayotte (36.9/100,000 person-years). For the clusters in Martinique, between January and June 2009, 7 cases were declared; between 2016 and 2018, 16 cases were reported, high proportions of severe cardiac, renal and neurological forms (6/16) and hospitalizations (9/16). CONCLUSION: The occupational risk is real in French Armed Forces, particularly in malaria-free intertropical areas where chemoprophylaxis by doxycycline is not applied. Prevention can be optimized by the use of practical tools such as tables and cartographies, leading to a better leptospirosis risk assessment and application of preventive recommendations.
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Leptospirose , Malária , Militares , Humanos , Incidência , Leptospirose/epidemiologia , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
Bacterial identification at subspecies level is critical in clinical care and epidemiological investigations due to the different epidemic potentialities of a species. For this purpose, matrix-assisted laser desorption ionization - time-of-flight mass spectrometry (MALDI-TOF MS) has been proposed in place of molecular genotyping, but with some result discrepancies. The aim of this work is to methodically mine the expression diversities of MALDI-TOF bacterial species spectra and their possible latent organization in order to evaluate their subspecies specific expression. Peak expression diversities of MALDI-TOF spectra coming from routine identifications have been analyzed using Hill numbers, rarefaction curves, and peak clustering. Some size effect critical thresholds were estimated using change point analyses. We included 167,528 spectra corresponding to 405 species. Species spectra diversities have a broad size-dependent variability, which may be influenced by the kind of sampling. Peak organization is characterized by the presence of a main cluster made of the most frequently co-occurring peaks and around 20 secondary clusters grouping less frequently co-occurring peaks. The 35 most represented species in our sample are distributed in two groups depending on the focusing of their protein synthesis activity on the main cluster or not. Our results may advocate some analogy with genomics studies of bacteria, with a main species-related cluster of co-occurring peaks and several secondary clusters, which may host peaks able to discriminate bacterial subgroups. This systematic study of the expression diversities of MALDI-TOF spectra shows that latent organization of co-occurring peaks supports subspecies discrimination and may explain why studies on MALDI-TOF-based typing exhibit some result divergences.
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Plague is a deadly zoonosis that periodically reemerges as small outbreaks in geographically limited foci where the causative agent Yersinia pestis may reside in soil. We analyzed a dataset of 1.005 carefully documented plague cases that were georeferenced over 113 years in peer-reviewed literature in the contiguous United States. Plotting outbreaks by counties defined as plague foci on geographical maps, we observed a significant co-localization of plague outbreaks with high soil salinity measured by an electric conductivity of >4 dS/ m-1 and aridity measured by an aridity index <0.5. Thus, we identified aridity and soil salinity as significantly associated with ecological risk factors for relapsing plague in the contiguous United States. These results reveal two evolutive parameters that are partially associated with anthropic activities, complicating the epidemiology of plague in the contiguous United States. Exploiting aridity and soil salinity data may help in the surveillance of evolving plague foci in the contiguous United States.
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OBJECTIVE: To investigate the distribution and risk factors of hepatitis delta virus (HDV) infection in Cameroon. DESIGN: We tested for hepatitis B virus (HBV) surface antigen (HBsAg) and anti-HDV antibody 14 150 samples collected during a survey whose participants were representative of the Cameroonian adult population. The samples had already been tested for hepatitis C virus and HIV antibodies. RESULTS: Overall, 1621/14 150 (weighted prevalence=11.9%) participants were HBsAg positive, among whom 224/1621 (10.6%) were anti-HDV positive. In 2011, the estimated numbers of HBsAg positive and HDV seropositives were 1 160 799 and 122 910 in the 15-49 years age group, respectively. There were substantial regional variations in prevalence of chronic HBV infection, but even more so for HDV (from 1% to 54%). In multivariable analysis, HDV seropositivity was independently associated with living with an HDV-seropositive person (OR=8.80; 95% CI: 3.23 to 24.0), being HIV infected (OR=2.82; 95% CI: 1.32 to 6.02) and living in the South (latitude <4°N) while having rural/outdoor work (OR=15.2; 95% CI: 8.35 to 27.6, when compared with living on latitude ≥4°N and not having rural/outdoor work). CONCLUSION: We found evidence for effective intra-household transmission of HDV in Cameroon. We also identified large differences in prevalence between regions, with cases concentrated in forested areas close to the Equator, as described in other tropical areas. The reasons underlying these geographical variations in HDV prevalence deserve further investigation.
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Hepatite D/epidemiologia , Vírus Delta da Hepatite , Adolescente , Adulto , Camarões/epidemiologia , Características da Família , Feminino , Geografia Médica , Hepatite D/etiologia , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Fatores de Risco , Adulto JovemRESUMO
Rift Valley Fever (RVF) is an emerging zoonotic arbovirus with a complex cycle of transmission that makes difficult the prediction of its expansion. Recent outbreaks outside Africa have led to rediscover the human disease but it remains poorly known. The wide spectrum of acute and delayed manifestations with potential unfavorable outcome much complicate the management of suspected cases and prediction of morbidity and mortality during an outbreak. We reviewed literature data on bio-clinical characteristics and treatments of RVF human illness. We identified gaps in the field and provided a practical algorithm to assist clinicians in the cases assessment, determination of setting of care and prolonged follow-up.
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Surtos de Doenças , Monitoramento Epidemiológico , Fidelidade a Diretrizes , Febre do Vale de Rift , Animais , Vetores Artrópodes/virologia , Bunyaviridae/isolamento & purificação , Bunyaviridae/patogenicidade , Doenças Transmissíveis Emergentes/virologia , Humanos , Gado/virologia , Febre do Vale de Rift/diagnóstico , Febre do Vale de Rift/patologia , Febre do Vale de Rift/terapia , Febre do Vale de Rift/transmissão , Zoonoses/virologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Differential diagnosis between acute-phase Zika and dengue is challenging because of a similar clinical presentation and the lack of available molecular diagnosis tools in most of endemic areas. OBJECTIVES: Our study aimed to evaluate the use of simple laboratory parameters to differentiate these infections. METHODS: We retrospectively compared simple hematology and biochemistry values in 81 and 341 patients with confirmed Zika and dengue, respectively, collected from June 2013 to March 2014 during the French Polynesia outbreaks. RESULTS: Thrombocytopenia, neutropenia, leukopenia, lymphopenia, and elevated aspartate aminotransaminases were significantly more frequent in dengue than in Zika (p < 0.001). Platelets <100 × 109/L, neutrophils <0.5 × 109/L, lymphocytes <0.5 × 109/L, and aspartate aminotransaminases >100 IU/mL were found in dengue but not in Zika. The positive predictive value of the -association of leukocytes <4 × 109/L + lymphocytes <1 × 109/L + aspartate aminotransaminases >40 IU/mL for the diagnosis of dengue was 90%, with an accuracy of 82.4%. CONCLUSION: For the differential diagnosis between acute-phase Zika and dengue, there is no specific standard laboratory pattern. We identified cutoff values and a combination of laboratory parameters that are a strong argument against Zika and in favor of dengue.
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Técnicas de Laboratório Clínico/métodos , Dengue/diagnóstico , Infecção por Zika virus/diagnóstico , Doença Aguda , Adulto , Aspartato Aminotransferases/sangue , Bioquímica/métodos , Dengue/sangue , Vírus da Dengue , Diagnóstico Diferencial , Surtos de Doenças , Feminino , Hematologia/métodos , Humanos , Masculino , Polinésia , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Curva ROC , Estudos Retrospectivos , Adulto Jovem , Zika virus , Infecção por Zika virus/sangueRESUMO
On 20 April 2017, an outbreak of histamine food poisoning occurred in a French military unit located near Paris. A total of 40 cases were identified (attack rate: 16.6%). We conducted a case-control study on 31 cases and 63 controls. Multivariate analysis pointed to cooked yellowfin tuna fillet as the very likely source of food poisoning (odds ratio = 156.8; 95% confidence interval: 18.4-1,338.4). The fresh yellowfin tuna was from Reunion Island and was supplied vacuum-sealed and packed with ice at the principal food market of Paris. No cold chain issues could be established in the upstream and downstream supply chains. Histamine concentration was found to be 1,720 mg/kg in leftover raw tuna, and 3,720 mg/kg in control cooked tuna, well above the threshold limit values defined by European regulations (200 mg/kg). The presence of Klebsiella variicola and Pantoea agglomerans, microorganisms of the Enterobacterales order that have been reported to produce histamine, was confirmed in the leftover raw tuna. This type of food poisoning is rarely recognised and confirmed. We describe the outbreak to highlight the specific key points of this type of investigation.
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Surtos de Doenças , Contaminação de Alimentos , Doenças Transmitidas por Alimentos/sangue , Histamina/sangue , Militares , Alimentos Marinhos/intoxicação , Adolescente , Adulto , Animais , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Feminino , Doenças Transmitidas por Alimentos/diagnóstico , Doenças Transmitidas por Alimentos/epidemiologia , França/epidemiologia , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Alimentos Marinhos/microbiologia , Atum/microbiologia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
Following publication of the original article [1], the authors reported that one of the authors' names is spelled incorrectly.
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BACKGROUND: When outbreak detection algorithms (ODAs) are considered individually, the task of outbreak detection can be seen as a classification problem and the ODA as a sensor providing a binary decision (outbreak yes or no) for each day of surveillance. When they are considered jointly (in cases where several ODAs analyze the same surveillance signal), the outbreak detection problem should be treated as a decision fusion (DF) problem of multiple sensors. METHODS: This study evaluated the benefit for a decisions support system of using DF methods (fusing multiple ODA decisions) compared to using a single method of outbreak detection. For each day, we merged the decisions of six ODAs using 5 DF methods (two voting methods, logistic regression, CART and Bayesian network - BN). Classical metrics of accuracy, prediction and timelines were used during the evaluation steps. RESULTS: In our results, we observed the greatest gain (77%) in positive predictive value compared to the best ODA if we used DF methods with a learning step (BN, logistic regression, and CART). CONCLUSIONS: To identify disease outbreaks in systems using several ODAs to analyze surveillance data, we recommend using a DF method based on a Bayesian network. This method is at least equivalent to the best of the algorithms considered, regardless of the situation faced by the system. For those less familiar with this kind of technique, we propose that logistic regression be used when a training dataset is available.