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1.
Intern Med J ; 2024 Sep 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39234975

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Thiopurine co-therapy with anti-tumour necrosis factor-alpha (anti-TNFα) agents is associated with higher anti-TNFα drug levels and reduced immunogenicity in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). AIMS: We aimed to evaluate the association between 6-thioguanine nucleotide (6-TGN) and anti-TNFα levels and the optimal 6-TGN threshold level associated with higher anti-TNFα levels in combination therapy. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cross-sectional multicentre study of patients with IBD on combination anti-TNFα and thiopurine maintenance therapy between January 2015 and August 2021. Primary outcomes were infliximab and adalimumab levels. Secondary outcomes were antibodies to infliximab (ATI) or adalimumab (ATA). Univariable and multivariable linear regression were performed to identify variables associated with anti-TNFα levels. Receiver operator characteristic curves were used to define the optimal 6-TGN cut-off levels associated with therapeutic anti-TNFα levels. RESULTS: The study included 743 paired 6-TGN and anti-TNFα levels (640 infliximab and 103 adalimumab). 6-TGN levels were associated with infliximab levels, but not adalimumab levels, on univariable and multivariable regression. The optimal 6-TGN cut-off associated with therapeutic infliximab levels (≥5 mcg/mL) was 261 pmol/8 × 108 red blood cell (RBC) (area under the curve (AUC) = 0.57) for standard infliximab dosing and 227.5 pmol/8 × 108 RBC (AUC = 0.58) for escalated dosing. For therapeutic adalimumab levels (≥7.5 mcg/mL), the 6-TGN cut-off was 218.5 pmol/8 × 108 RBC (AUC = 0.59) for standard adalimumab dosing and 237.5 pmol/8 × 108 RBC (AUC = 0.63) for escalated dosing. CONCLUSION: 6-TGN levels were weakly associated with infliximab but not adalimumab levels in combination therapy. 6-TGN levels in the lower end of the therapeutic range (230-260 pmol/8 × 108 RBC) may be adequate to maintain higher infliximab levels, particularly with escalated infliximab dosing.

2.
Cancers (Basel) ; 16(17)2024 Aug 29.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39272868

RESUMO

Percutaneous ablation is recommended in Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage 0/A patients with HCC ≤3 cm as a curative treatment modality alongside surgical resection and liver transplantation. However, trans-arterial chemo-embolisation (TACE) is commonly used in the real-world as an initial treatment in patients with single small HCC in contrast to widely accepted clinical practice guidelines which typically describe TACE as a treatment for intermediate-stage HCC. We performed this real-world propensity-matched multi-centre cohort study in patients with single HCC ≤ 3 cm to assess for differences in survival outcomes between those undergoing initial TACE and those receiving upfront ablation. Patients with a new diagnosis of BCLC 0/A HCC with a single tumour ≤3 cm first diagnosed between 1 January 2016 and 31 December 2020 who received initial TACE or ablation were included in the study. A total of 348 patients were included in the study, with 147 patients receiving initial TACE and 201 patients undergoing upfront ablation. After propensity score matching using key covariates, 230 patients were available for analysis with 115 in each group. There were no significant differences in overall survival (log-rank test p = 0.652) or liver-related survival (log-rank test p = 0.495) over a median follow-up of 43 months. While rates of CR were superior after ablation compared to TACE as a first treatment (74% vs. 56%, p < 0.004), there was no significant difference in CR rates when allowing for further subsequent treatments (86% vs. 80% p = 0.219). In those who achieved CR, recurrence-free survival and local recurrence-free survival were similar (log rank test p = 0.355 and p = 0.390, respectively). Our study provides valuable real-world evidence that TACE when offered with appropriate follow-up treatment is a reasonable initial management strategy in very early/early-stage HCC, with similar survival outcomes as compared to those managed with upfront ablation. Further work is needed to better define the role for TACE in BCLC 0/A HCC.

3.
BMJ Neurol Open ; 6(2): e000792, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39315390

RESUMO

Background: C9orf72 hexanucleotide repeat expansions are the most common genetic cause of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) and frontotemporal dementia (FTD) in European populations. Variable disease penetrance between families presents a challenge for genetic counselling of at-risk relatives and reduces the predictive utility of testing asymptomatic relatives. We have developed a novel model for estimating penetrance in individual families affected by C9orf72 using available family history information, allowing the calculation of personalised risk estimates. Methods: Published aggregated age-of-onset data for C9orf72-related ALS/FTD were used to generate age-related cumulative relative risks for at-risk relatives within pedigrees. Age-related relative risks are combined with a priori chance of individuals carrying an expansion based on known pedigree information. Penetrance is calculated as a number of affected individuals divided by the sum of cumulative age-related risks of relatives being affected by 80 years. Results: This method allows family-specific penetrance to be estimated from family history and at-risk relatives' personalised age-related ALS/FTD risks to be calculated and illustrated graphically. Penetrance reduces as the number and age of at-risk unaffected relatives increases. Conclusions: Family history remains the best indicator of penetrance in C9orf72 expansion carriers. Calculating family-specific penetrance can aid genetic counselling by allowing at-risk relatives a more accurate understanding of their individual risk.

4.
J Neurol ; 271(10): 6956-6969, 2024 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39230722

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) and frontotemporal dementia (FTD) have clinical, pathological and genetic overlapping. Lipid pathways are implicated in ALS. This study examined the effect of blood lipid levels on ALS, FTD risk, and survival in ALS. METHODS: A systematic review and meta-analysis of high and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-c and LDL-c), total cholesterol, triglycerides, apolipoproteins B and A1 levels with ALS was performed. Two-sample Mendelian randomisation (MR) analysis sought the causal effects of these exposures on ALS, FTD, and survival in ALS. The effect of lipid-lowering drugs was also examined using genetic proxies for targets of lipid-lowering medications. RESULTS: Three cohort studies met the inclusion criteria for meta-analysis. Meta-analysis indicated an association between higher LDL-c (HRper mmol/L = 1.07, 95%CI:1.02-1.12; I 2 =18%) and lower HDL-c (HRper mmol/L = 0.83, 95%CI:0.74-0.94; I 2 =0%) with an increased risk of ALS. MR suggested causal effects of higher LDL-c (ORIVW = 1.085, 95%:CI 1.008-1.168, pFDR = 0.0406), total cholesterol (ORIVW = 1.081, 95%:CI 1.013-1.154, pFDR = 0.0458) and apolipoprotein B (ORIVW = 1.104, 95%:CI 1.041-1.171, pFDR = 0.0061) increasing ALS risk, and higher apolipoprotein B level increasing FTD risk (ORIVW = 1.424, 95%CI 1.072-1.829, pFDR = 0.0382). Reducing LDL-c through APOB inhibition was associated with lower ALS (ORIVW = 0.84, 95%CI 0.759-0.929, pFDR = 0.00275) and FTD risk (ORIVW = 0.581, 95%CI 0.387-0.874, pFDR = 0.0362). CONCLUSION: These data support the influence of LDL-c and total cholesterol on ALS risk and apolipoprotein B on the risk of ALS and FTD. Potential APOB inhibition might decrease the risk of sporadic ALS and FTD. Further work in monogenic forms of ALS and FTD is necessary to determine whether blood lipids influence penetrance and phenotype.


Assuntos
Esclerose Lateral Amiotrófica , Apolipoproteínas , Demência Frontotemporal , Análise da Randomização Mendeliana , Humanos , Esclerose Lateral Amiotrófica/sangue , Esclerose Lateral Amiotrófica/genética , Esclerose Lateral Amiotrófica/epidemiologia , Demência Frontotemporal/sangue , Demência Frontotemporal/genética , Demência Frontotemporal/epidemiologia , Apolipoproteínas/sangue , Apolipoproteínas/genética , Hipolipemiantes/efeitos adversos , Lipídeos/sangue
5.
Clin Infect Dis ; 2024 Sep 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39282957

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Prisons provide a key strategic opportunity to upscale hepatitis C testing and treatment in a high prevalence setting and are crucial for elimination efforts. METHODS: A decentralized, statewide nurse-led model of care offering hepatitis C treatment for people in prison was implemented in Victoria, Australia in 2015. The program provides hepatitis C care to all 14 adult prison sites in the jurisdiction. We prospectively evaluated treatment uptake between 1 November 2015 and 31 December 2021. Data on all people in prison treated were recorded in a clinical database. The primary outcomes were i) total number of people in prison with hepatitis C treated; ii) total number of DAA treatment courses. RESULTS: 3,133 DAA treatment courses were prescribed to 2,768 people in prison. The proportion of total Victoria DAA prescriptions the program was responsible for increased from 6% in 2016 to a peak of 23% in 2020. Of those treated, median age was 39 years, 91% were male and 9% had cirrhosis. Few (20%) had previously engaged in hepatitis C care in the community and at first treatment course in prison, only 6% had previously accessed hepatitis C treatment. Complete follow up data were available for 1,757/2,768 (63%) treated, with 1,627/1,757 (93%) achieving SVR12. CONCLUSIONS: A decentralized, nurse-led, statewide model of care was highly effective in treating large numbers of people in prison with hepatitis C and achieved high rates of SVR12. Nurse-led prison programs are playing a crucial role in eliminating hepatitis C as a public health threat in Australia.

6.
NIHR Open Res ; 4: 29, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39145100

RESUMO

Background: There are increasing demands on Emergency Medical Services. More efficient treatment pathways are required to support conveyance decision making and patient referral in prehospital care. Point of Care testing is increasingly available and utilised across the NHS to support optimal ways of working. We aimed to design and conduct a Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis to prioritise in vitro point of care tests and use cases for inclusion in a platform trial of in vitro point of care testing in UK Emergency Medical Services. Methods: We designed a Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis that included systematic scoping reviews stakeholder recruitment, two stakeholder surveys and two stakeholder workshops to scope the use cases, explore criteria and map use cases, evaluate the criteria and measure the use cases against the criteria. Results: We recruited 32 stakeholders. We developed a scoring matrix with 4 criteria for scoring the use cases and 8 criteria for scoring the point of care tests and applied weighting determined from survey results. Use cases were scored by the stakeholders against 4 criteria. The 3 highest scoring use cases were point of care troponin testing in: possible Acute Myocardial Infarction, lactate testing in suspected sepsis and in trauma. We developed the process for scoring the point of care tests to be completed close to a proposed trial to allow for a changes in technology. Conclusions: We successfully designed a Multiple Criteria Decision Analysis to identify use cases and candidate tests for inclusion in a future platform trial of in vitro point of care testing in UK Emergency Medical Services. We identified 3 use cases for evaluation in a platform trial of in vitro point of care testing: troponin testing in possible acute myocardial infarction, lactate testing in suspected sepsis and lactate testing to identify occult haemorrhage in trauma.

7.
Cancers (Basel) ; 16(15)2024 Aug 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39123472

RESUMO

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) presents a significant global health challenge, particularly among individuals with liver cirrhosis, with hepatitis C (HCV) a major cause. In people with HCV-related cirrhosis, an increased risk of HCC remains after cure. HCC surveillance with six monthly ultrasounds has been shown to improve survival. However, adherence to biannual screening is currently suboptimal. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of increased HCC surveillance uptake and improved ultrasound sensitivity on mortality among people with HCV-related cirrhosis post HCV cure. METHODS: This study utilized mathematical modelling to assess HCC progression, surveillance, diagnosis, and treatment among individuals with cirrhosis who had successfully been treated for HCV. The deterministic compartmental model incorporated Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stages to simulate disease progression and diagnosis probabilities in 100 people with cirrhosis who had successfully been treated for hepatitis C over 10 years. Four interventions were modelled to assess their potential for improving life expectancy: realistic improvements to surveillance adherence, optimistic improvements to surveillance adherence, diagnosis sensitivity enhancements, and improved treatment efficacy Results: Realistic adherence improvements resulted in 9.8 (95% CI 7.9, 11.6) life years gained per cohort of 100 over a 10-year intervention period; 17.2 (13.9, 20.3) life years were achieved in optimistic adherence improvements. Diagnosis sensitivity improvements led to a 7.0 (3.6, 13.8) year gain in life years, and treatment improvements improved life years by 9.0 (7.5, 10.3) years. CONCLUSIONS: Regular HCC ultrasound surveillance remains crucial to reduce mortality among people with cured hepatitis C and cirrhosis. Our study highlights that even minor enhancements to adherence to ultrasound surveillance can significantly boost life expectancy across populations more effectively than strategies that increase surveillance sensitivity or treatment efficacy.

8.
BMJ Open ; 14(7): e083502, 2024 Jul 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38960465

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Despite universal access to government-funded direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) in 2016, the rate of hepatitis C treatment uptake in Australia has declined substantially. Most hepatitis C is related to injecting drug use; reducing the hepatitis C burden among people who inject drugs (PWID) is, therefore, paramount to reach hepatitis C elimination targets. Increasing DAA uptake by PWID is important for interrupting transmission and reducing incidence, as well as reducing morbidity and mortality and improving quality of life of PWID and meeting Australia's hepatitis C elimination targets. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: A cluster randomised cross-over trial will be conducted with three intervention arms and a control arm. Arm A will receive rapid hepatitis C virus (HCV) antibody testing; arm B will receive rapid HCV antibody and rapid RNA testing; arm C will receive rapid HCV antibody testing and same-day treatment initiation for HCV antibody-positive participants; the control arm will receive standard of care. The primary outcomes will be (a) the proportion of participants with HCV commencing treatment and (b) the proportion of participants with HCV achieving cure. Analyses will be conducted on an intention-to-treat basis with mixed-effects logistic regression models. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The study has been approved by the Alfred Ethics Committee (number HREC/64731/Alfred-2020-217547). Each participant will provide written informed consent. Reportable adverse events will be reported to the reviewing ethics committee. The findings will be presented at scientific conferences and published in peer-reviewed journals. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT05016609. TRIAL PROGRESSION: The study commenced recruitment on 9 March 2022 and is expected to complete recruitment in December 2024.


Assuntos
Antivirais , Estudos Cross-Over , Hepatite C , Abuso de Substâncias por Via Intravenosa , Humanos , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Abuso de Substâncias por Via Intravenosa/complicações , Hepatite C/tratamento farmacológico , Austrália , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto , Anticorpos Anti-Hepatite C/sangue , Hepacivirus/genética
9.
Liver Int ; 44(10): 2605-2614, 2024 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39007640

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Accurate biomarkers to predict outcomes following discontinuation of nucleos(t)ide analogue (NA) therapy are needed. We evaluated serum hepatitis B core-related antigen (HBcrAg) level as a biomarker for predicting outcomes after NA discontinuation. METHODS: Patients with HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B (CHB) without cirrhosis were enrolled in a prospective trial evaluating clinical outcomes until 96 weeks after NA discontinuation. End of treatment (EOT) and off-treatment levels of serum HBcrAg, HBsAg, HBV RNA and HBV DNA were used to predict key clinical outcomes including hepatitis flare (ALT ≥5 × ULN and HBV DNA > 2000 IU/mL). The SCALE-B score was calculated for the purposes of model validation. RESULTS: HBcrAg was tested amongst 65 participants. The median age was 54 years, 54% were male and 83% were Asian. HBcrAg was detectable in 86% patients. HBcrAg level ≥4 log U/mL at EOT was predictive of hepatitis flare [8/10 (80%) vs. 17/55 (31%), p = .001]. The presence of either HBcrAg ≥4 log U/mL or detectable HBV RNA at EOT predicted for both biochemical relapse and hepatitis flare. The SCALE-B model at EOT predicted for virological relapse, biochemical relapse, hepatitis flare and HBsAg loss in this cohort. An increase in the serum HBcrAg level off-treatment was also associated with hepatitis flare. No participant with EOT HBcrAg level ≥4 log U/mL achieved HBsAg loss. CONCLUSIONS: High levels of serum HBcrAg predict for hepatitis flare after stopping NA therapy and low likelihood of HBsAg loss at week 96. People with high levels of serum HBcrAg are not suitable candidates for NA discontinuation.


Assuntos
Antivirais , Biomarcadores , DNA Viral , Antígenos do Núcleo do Vírus da Hepatite B , Vírus da Hepatite B , Hepatite B Crônica , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Antígenos do Núcleo do Vírus da Hepatite B/sangue , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Estudos Prospectivos , Hepatite B Crônica/tratamento farmacológico , Hepatite B Crônica/sangue , Biomarcadores/sangue , DNA Viral/sangue , Adulto , Vírus da Hepatite B/genética , Antígenos de Superfície da Hepatite B/sangue , RNA Viral/sangue , Suspensão de Tratamento , Exacerbação dos Sintomas , Idoso
11.
Cancers (Basel) ; 16(11)2024 May 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38893086

RESUMO

The management of early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is complex, with multiple treatment strategies available. There is a paucity of literature regarding variations in the patterns of care and outcomes between transplant and non-transplant centres. We conducted this real-world multi-centre cohort study in two liver cancer referral centres with an integrated liver transplant program and an additional eight non-transplant HCC referral centres across Australia to identify variation in patterns of care and key survival outcomes. Patients with stage Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) 0/A HCC, first diagnosed between 1 January 2016 and 31 December 2020, who were managed at a participating site, were included in the study. Patients were excluded if they had a history of prior HCC or if they received upfront liver transplantation. A total of 887 patients were included in the study, with 433 patients managed at a liver cancer centre with a transplant program (LTC) and 454 patients managed at a non-transplant centre (NTC). Management at an LTC did not significantly predict allocation to resection (adjusted OR 0.75, 95% CI 0.50 to 1.11, p = 0.148). However, in those not receiving resection, LTC and NTC patients were systematically managed differently, with LTC patients five times less likely to receive upfront ablation than NTC patients (adjusted OR 0.19, 95% CI 0.13 to 0.28, p < 0.001), even after adjusting for tumour burden, as well as for age, gender, liver disease aetiology, liver disease severity, and medical comorbidities. LTCs exhibited significantly higher proportions of patients undergoing TACE for every tumour burden category, including those with a single tumour measuring 2 cm or less (p < 0.001). Using multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis, management at a transplant centre was associated with reduced all-cause mortality (adjusted HR 0.71, 95% CI 0.51 to 0.98, p = 0.036), and competing-risk regression analysis, considering liver transplant as a competing event, demonstrated a similar reduction in risk (adjusted HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.50 to 0.99, p = 0.041), suggesting that the reduced risk of death is not fully explained by higher rates of transplantation. Our study highlights systematic differences in HCC care between large volume liver transplant centres and other sites, which has not previously been well-described. Further work is needed to better define the reasons for differences in treatment allocation and to aim to minimise unwarranted treatment variation to maximise patient outcomes across Australia.

12.
Brain Commun ; 6(3): fcae164, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38779353

RESUMO

The progressive loss of motor function characteristic of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis is associated with widespread cortical pathology extending beyond primary motor regions. Increasing muscle weakness reflects a dynamic, variably compensated brain network disorder. In the quest for biomarkers to accelerate therapeutic assessment, the high temporal resolution of magnetoencephalography is uniquely able to non-invasively capture micro-magnetic fields generated by neuronal activity across the entire cortex simultaneously. This study examined task-free magnetoencephalography to characterize the cortical oscillatory signature of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis for having potential as a pharmacodynamic biomarker. Eight to ten minutes of magnetoencephalography in the task-free, eyes-open state was recorded in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (n = 36) and healthy age-matched controls (n = 51), followed by a structural MRI scan for co-registration. Extracted magnetoencephalography metrics from the delta, theta, alpha, beta, low-gamma, high-gamma frequency bands included oscillatory power (regional activity), 1/f exponent (complexity) and amplitude envelope correlation (connectivity). Groups were compared using a permutation-based general linear model with correction for multiple comparisons and confounders. To test whether the extracted metrics could predict disease severity, a random forest regression model was trained and evaluated using nested leave-one-out cross-validation. Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis was characterized by reduced sensorimotor beta band and increased high-gamma band power. Within the premotor cortex, increased disability was associated with a reduced 1/f exponent. Increased disability was more widely associated with increased global connectivity in the delta, theta and high-gamma bands. Intra-hemispherically, increased disability scores were particularly associated with increases in temporal connectivity and inter-hemispherically with increases in frontal and occipital connectivity. The random forest model achieved a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.24. The combined reduction in cortical sensorimotor beta and rise in gamma power is compatible with the established hypothesis of loss of inhibitory, GABAergic interneuronal circuits in pathogenesis. A lower 1/f exponent potentially reflects a more excitable cortex and a pathology unique to amyotrophic lateral sclerosis when considered with the findings published in other neurodegenerative disorders. Power and complexity changes corroborate with the results from paired-pulse transcranial magnetic stimulation. Increased magnetoencephalography connectivity in worsening disability is thought to represent compensatory responses to a failing motor system. Restoration of cortical beta and gamma band power has significant potential to be tested in an experimental medicine setting. Magnetoencephalography-based measures have potential as sensitive outcome measures of therapeutic benefit in drug trials and may have a wider diagnostic value with further study, including as predictive markers in asymptomatic carriers of disease-causing genetic variants.

13.
JMIR Res Protoc ; 13: e56607, 2024 May 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38776541

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: People with compensated cirrhosis receive the greatest benefit from risk factor modification and prevention programs to reduce liver decompensation and improve early liver cancer detection. Blood-based liver fibrosis algorithms such as the Aspartate Transaminase-to-Platelet Ratio Index (APRI) and Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index are calculated using routinely ordered blood tests and are effective screening tests to exclude cirrhosis in people with chronic liver disease, triaging the need for further investigations to confirm cirrhosis and linkage to specialist care. OBJECTIVE: This pilot study aims to evaluate the impact of a population screening program for liver cirrhosis (CAPRISE [Cirrhosis Automated APRI and FIB-4 Screening Evaluation]), which uses automated APRI and FIB-4 calculation and reporting on routinely ordered blood tests, on monthly rates of referral for transient elastography, cirrhosis diagnosis, and linkage to specialist care. METHODS: We have partnered with a large pathology service in Victoria, Australia, to pilot a population-level liver cirrhosis screening package, which comprises (1) automated calculation and reporting of APRI and FIB-4 on routinely ordered blood tests; (2) provision of brief information about liver cirrhosis; and (3) a web link for transient elastography referral. APRI and FIB-4 will be prospectively calculated on all community-ordered pathology results in adults attending a single pathology service. This single-center, prospective, single-arm, pre-post study will compare the monthly rates of transient elastography (FibroScan) referral, liver cirrhosis diagnosis, and the proportion linked to specialist care in the 6 months after intervention to the 6 months prior to the intervention. RESULTS: As of January 2024, in the preintervention phase of this study, a total of 120,972 tests were performed by the laboratory. Of these tests, 78,947 (65.3%) tests were excluded, with the remaining 42,025 (34.7%) tests on 37,872 individuals meeting inclusion criteria with APRI and FIB-4 being able to be calculated. Of these 42,025 tests, 1.3% (n=531) had elevated APRI>1 occurring in 446 individuals, and 2.3% (n=985) had elevated FIB-4>2.67 occurring in 816 individuals. Linking these data with FibroScan referral and appointment attendance is ongoing and will continue during the intervention phase, which is expected to commence on February 1, 2024. CONCLUSIONS: We will determine the feasibility and effectiveness of automated APRI and FIB-4 reporting on the monthly rate of transient elastography referrals, liver cirrhosis diagnosis, and linkage to specialist care. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry ACTRN12623000295640; https://tinyurl.com/58dv9ypp. INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID): DERR1-10.2196/56607.


Assuntos
Cirrose Hepática , Humanos , Cirrose Hepática/diagnóstico , Cirrose Hepática/sangue , Projetos Piloto , Estudos Prospectivos , Masculino , Feminino , Programas de Rastreamento/métodos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto , Encaminhamento e Consulta , Técnicas de Imagem por Elasticidade/métodos , Idoso , Vitória/epidemiologia
14.
Hepatology ; 2024 May 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38768260

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: No direct-acting antiviral is currently approved for acute HCV infection, delaying treatment. We investigated the effectiveness and safety of 8-week glecaprevir/pibrentasvir (G/P) in patients with acute HCV infection. APPROACH AND RESULTS: This noninterventional, single-arm, retrospective chart review was designed to enroll adults/adolescents with acute HCV infection. Analyses were conducted on a full analysis set (FAS; all enrolled) and modified FAS (FAS excluding nonvirologic failures). The primary end point (modified FAS) was sustained virologic response at posttreatment week 12 (SVR12) with superiority to 92.6% threshold determined by historic chronic HCV G/P SVR12 rates. Secondary end points (FAS) included SVR12, on-treatment virologic failure, posttreatment relapse, and reinfection. Adverse events and safety laboratory values were assessed.Overall, 202 adults were enrolled; in the modified FAS, 150/151 (99.3%; 95% CI: 96.3-99.9) achieved SVR12, demonstrating superiority to efficacy threshold. In the FAS, the SVR12 rate was 74.3% and the on-treatment virologic failure rate was 0%. Relapse and reinfection rates after the final treatment visit (FAS) were 0.5% and 3%, respectively; 39 patients had missing SVR12 data. No on-treatment alanine aminotransferase elevations > 3 × upper limit of normal with total bilirubin > 2 × upper limit of normal were reported. All 53 patients with alanine aminotransferase Grade ≥ 2 at baseline improved to Grade 0/1 on treatment. No adverse eventss of hepatic decompensation/failure or leading to G/P discontinuation occurred. Two patients had serious adverse events unrelated to G/P. CONCLUSIONS: Eight-week G/P therapy was effective and well-tolerated in patients with acute HCV infection. Data support further investigation of G/P in acute HCV to shorten care cascades, reduce transmission, and support HCV elimination.

15.
Hepatol Commun ; 8(5)2024 05 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38696372

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The benefits of regular surveillance imaging for cholangiocarcinoma in patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) are unclear. Hence, we aimed to evaluate the impact of regular magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography (MRCP) on outcomes of patients with PSC in Australia, where the practice of MRCP surveillance is variable. METHODS: The relationship between MRCP surveillance and survival outcomes was assessed in a multicenter, retrospective cohort of patients with PSC from 9 tertiary liver centers in Australia. An inverse probability of treatment weighting approach was used to balance groups across potentially confounding covariates. RESULTS: A total of 298 patients with PSC with 2117 person-years of follow-up were included. Two hundred and twenty patients (73.8%) had undergone MRCP surveillance. Regular surveillance was associated with a 71% reduced risk of death on multivariate weighted Cox analysis (HR: 0.29, 95% CI: 0.14-0.59, p < 0.001) and increased likelihood of having earlier endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography from the date of PSC diagnosis in patients with a dominant stricture (p < 0.001). However, survival posthepatobiliary cancer diagnosis was not significantly different between both groups (p = 0.74). Patients who had surveillance of less than 1 scan a year (n = 41) had comparable survival (HR: 0.46, 95% CI 0.16-1.35, p = 0.16) compared to patients who had surveillance at least yearly (n = 172). CONCLUSIONS: In this multicenter cohort study that employed inverse probability of treatment weighting to minimize selection bias, regular MRCP was associated with improved overall survival in patients with PSC; however, there was no difference in survival after hepatobiliary cancer diagnosis. Further prospective studies are needed to confirm the benefits of regular MRCP and optimal imaging interval in patients with PSC.


Assuntos
Colangiocarcinoma , Colangiopancreatografia por Ressonância Magnética , Colangite Esclerosante , Humanos , Colangite Esclerosante/mortalidade , Colangite Esclerosante/complicações , Colangite Esclerosante/diagnóstico por imagem , Masculino , Feminino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Austrália/epidemiologia , Adulto , Colangiocarcinoma/mortalidade , Colangiocarcinoma/diagnóstico por imagem , Neoplasias dos Ductos Biliares/mortalidade , Neoplasias dos Ductos Biliares/diagnóstico por imagem , Idoso
17.
EClinicalMedicine ; 70: 102548, 2024 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38516104

RESUMO

To reach World Health Organization elimination targets for hepatitis C, different strategies are needed to reach people who have not yet been diagnosed and treated. In the context of declining treatment initiation rates, innovation in service design and delivery is necessary: testing and treatment needs to be offered to people in non-traditional settings. The community corrections (probation and parole) population is larger than the prison population, which has high prevalence of hepatitis C and-in some countries-established diagnosis and treatment programs. In this Viewpoint we identify a gap in hepatitis C care for people under community correctional supervision, a group who have either never been imprisoned or need continuity of healthcare provided in prison. We propose that offering hepatitis C screening and treatment would benefit this population, and accelerate progress to hepatitis C elimination.

18.
J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry ; 95(10): 912-918, 2024 Sep 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38548323

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Venous thromboembolism (VTE) can occur in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) and pulmonary embolism causes death in a minority of cases. The benefits of preventing VTE must be weighed against the risks. An accurate estimate of the incidence of VTE in ALS is crucial to assessing this balance. METHODS: This retrospective record-linkage cohort study derived data from the Hospital Episode Statistics database, covering admissions to England's hospitals from 1 April 2003 to 31 December 2019 and included 21 163 patients with ALS and 17 425 337 controls. Follow-up began at index admission and ended at VTE admission, death or 2 years (whichever came sooner). Adjusted HRs (aHRs) for VTE were calculated, controlling for confounders. RESULTS: The incidence of VTE in the ALS cohort was 18.8/1000 person-years. The relative risk of VTE in ALS was significantly greater than in controls (aHR 2.7, 95% CI 2.4 to 3.0). The relative risk of VTE in patients with ALS under 65 years was five times higher than controls (aHR 5.34, 95% CI 4.6 to 6.2), and higher than that of patients over 65 years compared with controls (aHR 1.86, 95% CI 1.62 to 2.12). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with ALS are at a higher risk of developing VTE, but this is similar in magnitude to that reported in other chronic neurological conditions associated with immobility, such as multiple sclerosis, which do not routinely receive VTE prophylaxis. Those with ALS below the median age of symptom onset have a notably higher relative risk. A reappraisal of the case for routine antithrombotic therapy in those diagnosed with ALS now requires a randomised controlled trial.


Assuntos
Esclerose Lateral Amiotrófica , Tromboembolia Venosa , Humanos , Esclerose Lateral Amiotrófica/epidemiologia , Esclerose Lateral Amiotrófica/complicações , Tromboembolia Venosa/epidemiologia , Tromboembolia Venosa/prevenção & controle , Masculino , Feminino , Idoso , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Incidência , Inglaterra/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Adulto , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Registro Médico Coordenado , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Embolia Pulmonar/epidemiologia
19.
Front Immunol ; 15: 1352440, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38420130

RESUMO

Background: Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections are more prevalent in people who inject drugs (PWID) who often experience additional health risks. HCV induces inflammation and immune alterations that contribute to hepatic and non-hepatic morbidities. It remains unclear whether curative direct acting antiviral (DAA) therapy completely reverses immune alterations in PWID. Methods: Plasma biomarkers of immune activation associated with chronic disease risk were measured in HCV-seronegative (n=24) and HCV RNA+ (n=32) PWID at baseline and longitudinally after DAA therapy. Adjusted generalised estimating equations were used to assess longitudinal changes in biomarker levels. Comparisons between community controls (n=29) and HCV-seronegative PWID were made using adjusted multiple regression modelling. Results: HCV-seronegative PWID exhibited significantly increased levels of inflammatory biomarkers including soluble (s) TNF-RII, IL-6, sCD14 and sCD163 and the diabetes index HbA1c as compared to community controls. CXCL10, sTNF-RII, vascular cell adhesion molecule-1 and lipopolysaccharide binding protein (LBP) were additionally elevated in PWID with viremic HCV infection as compared to HCV- PWID. Whilst curative DAA therapy reversed some biomarkers, others including LBP and sTNF-RII remained elevated 48 weeks after HCV cure. Conclusion: Elevated levels of inflammatory and chronic disease biomarkers in PWID suggest an increased risk of chronic morbidities such as diabetes and cardiovascular disease. HCV infection in PWID poses an additional disease burden, amplified by the incomplete reversal of immune dysfunction following DAA therapy. These findings highlight the need for heightened clinical surveillance of PWID for chronic inflammatory diseases, particularly those with a history of HCV infection.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus , Hepatite C Crônica , Hepatite C , Abuso de Substâncias por Via Intravenosa , Humanos , Hepacivirus , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Abuso de Substâncias por Via Intravenosa/complicações , Abuso de Substâncias por Via Intravenosa/tratamento farmacológico , Abuso de Substâncias por Via Intravenosa/epidemiologia , Hepatite C Crônica/complicações , Hepatite C Crônica/tratamento farmacológico , Hepatite C/complicações , Hepatite C/tratamento farmacológico , Biomarcadores , Diabetes Mellitus/tratamento farmacológico
20.
Health Soc Care Deliv Res ; 12(4): 1-275, 2024 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38420962

RESUMO

Background: Clinical guidelines commonly recommend preventative treatments for people above a risk threshold. Therefore, decision-makers must have faith in risk prediction tools and model-based cost-effectiveness analyses for people at different levels of risk. Two problems that arise are inadequate handling of competing risks of death and failing to account for direct treatment disutility (i.e. the hassle of taking treatments). We explored these issues using two case studies: primary prevention of cardiovascular disease using statins and osteoporotic fracture using bisphosphonates. Objectives: Externally validate three risk prediction tools [QRISK®3, QRISK®-Lifetime, QFracture-2012 (ClinRisk Ltd, Leeds, UK)]; derive and internally validate new risk prediction tools for cardiovascular disease [competing mortality risk model with Charlson Comorbidity Index (CRISK-CCI)] and fracture (CFracture), accounting for competing-cause death; quantify direct treatment disutility for statins and bisphosphonates; and examine the effect of competing risks and direct treatment disutility on the cost-effectiveness of preventative treatments. Design, participants, main outcome measures, data sources: Discrimination and calibration of risk prediction models (Clinical Practice Research Datalink participants: aged 25-84 years for cardiovascular disease and aged 30-99 years for fractures); direct treatment disutility was elicited in online stated-preference surveys (people with/people without experience of statins/bisphosphonates); costs and quality-adjusted life-years were determined from decision-analytic modelling (updated models used in National Institute for Health and Care Excellence decision-making). Results: CRISK-CCI has excellent discrimination, similar to that of QRISK3 (Harrell's c = 0.864 vs. 0.865, respectively, for women; and 0.819 vs. 0.834, respectively, for men). CRISK-CCI has systematically better calibration, although both models overpredict in high-risk subgroups. People recommended for treatment (10-year risk of ≥ 10%) are younger when using QRISK-Lifetime than when using QRISK3, and have fewer observed events in a 10-year follow-up (4.0% vs. 11.9%, respectively, for women; and 4.3% vs. 10.8%, respectively, for men). QFracture-2012 underpredicts fractures, owing to under-ascertainment of events in its derivation. However, there is major overprediction among people aged 85-99 years and/or with multiple long-term conditions. CFracture is better calibrated, although it also overpredicts among older people. In a time trade-off exercise (n = 879), statins exhibited direct treatment disutility of 0.034; for bisphosphonates, it was greater, at 0.067. Inconvenience also influenced preferences in best-worst scaling (n = 631). Updated cost-effectiveness analysis generates more quality-adjusted life-years among people with below-average cardiovascular risk and fewer among people with above-average risk. If people experience disutility when taking statins, the cardiovascular risk threshold at which benefits outweigh harms rises with age (≥ 8% 10-year risk at 40 years of age; ≥ 38% 10-year risk at 80 years of age). Assuming that everyone experiences population-average direct treatment disutility with oral bisphosphonates, treatment is net harmful at all levels of risk. Limitations: Treating data as missing at random is a strong assumption in risk prediction model derivation. Disentangling the effect of statins from secular trends in cardiovascular disease in the previous two decades is challenging. Validating lifetime risk prediction is impossible without using very historical data. Respondents to our stated-preference survey may not be representative of the population. There is no consensus on which direct treatment disutilities should be used for cost-effectiveness analyses. Not all the inputs to the cost-effectiveness models could be updated. Conclusions: Ignoring competing mortality in risk prediction overestimates the risk of cardiovascular events and fracture, especially among older people and those with multimorbidity. Adjustment for competing risk does not meaningfully alter cost-effectiveness of these preventative interventions, but direct treatment disutility is measurable and has the potential to alter the balance of benefits and harms. We argue that this is best addressed in individual-level shared decision-making. Study registration: This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42021249959. Funding: This award was funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health and Social Care Delivery Research programme (NIHR award ref: 15/12/22) and is published in full in Health and Social Care Delivery Research; Vol. 12, No. 4. See the NIHR Funding and Awards website for further award information.


Before offering a medicine to prevent disease, prescribers must expect it to do more good than harm. This balance depends on how likely it is that the person will develop the disease we want to prevent. But people might first die for other reasons. We call this a 'competing risk'. In most cases, the mathematical tools we use to estimate the chance of developing a disease do not account for competing risks. Another problem is that, when weighing up the benefits and harms of medicines, we ignore the hassle they cause patients, even when they do not cause side effects. We used two examples: statins to prevent heart disease and bisphosphonates to prevent fractures. First, we assessed if existing tools get predictions wrong by not accounting for competing risks. We found that they exaggerate the chance of heart attacks and strokes. However, the exaggeration is greatest among people who would clearly benefit from preventative treatment. So it may not change treatment decisions much. The fracture prediction tool we studied was very inaccurate, exaggerating risk among older people, but underestimating risk among younger people. We made a new fracture risk prediction tool. It gave better predictions, but it was still inaccurate for people aged > 85 years and those with several health problems. Next, we asked people questions designed to put a number on the hassle that statins and bisphosphonates cause. Most people thought that taking either is inconvenient, but the hassle factor for bisphosphonates is bigger. Finally, we updated the mathematical models that the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence used when recommending statins and bisphosphonates. We worked out if competing risks and the hassle of taking medicines make a difference to results. Statins remain a good idea for almost everyone, unless they really hate the idea of taking them. But bisphosphonates would do more harm than good for anyone who agrees with the hassle factor we found.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares , Inibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Redutases , Fraturas por Osteoporose , Masculino , Humanos , Feminino , Idoso , Fraturas por Osteoporose/epidemiologia , Análise de Custo-Efetividade , Doenças Cardiovasculares/tratamento farmacológico , Inibidores de Hidroximetilglutaril-CoA Redutases/uso terapêutico , Difosfonatos/uso terapêutico
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