Radiomics models of contrast-enhanced computed tomography for predicting the activity and prognosis of acute pancreatitis.

BACKGROUND: The modified pancreatitis activity scoring system (mPASS) was proposed to assess the activity of acute pancreatitis (AP) while it doesn't include indicators that directly reflect pathophysiology processes and imaging characteristics. OBJECTIVES: To determine the threshold of admission mPASS and investigate radiomics and laboratory parameters to construct a model to predict the activity of AP. METHODS: AP inpatients at institution 1 were randomly divided into training and validation groups based on a 5:5 ratio. AP inpatients at Institution 2 were served as test group. The cutoff value of admission mPASS scores in predicting severe AP was selected to divide patients into high and low level of disease activity group. LASSO was used in screening features. Multivariable logistic regression was used to develop radiomics model. Meaningful laboratory parameters were used to construct combined model. RESULTS: There were 234 (48 years ± 10, 155 men) and 101 (48 years ± 11, 69 men) patients in two institutions. The threshold of admission mPASS score was 112.5 in severe AP prediction. The AUC of the radiomics model was 0.79, 0.72, and 0.76 and that of the combined model incorporating rad-score and white blood cell were 0.84, 0.77, and 0.80 in three groups for activity prediction. The AUC of the combined model in predicting disease without remission was 0.74. CONCLUSIONS: The threshold of admission mPASS was 112.5 in predicting severe AP. The model based on CECT radiomics has the ability to predict AP activity. Its ability to predict disease without remission is comparable to mPASS. CRITICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: This work is the first attempt to assess the activity of acute pancreatitis using contrast-enhanced CT radiomics and laboratory parameters. The model provides a new method to predict the activity and prognosis of AP, which could contribute to further management. KEY POINTS: Radiomics features and laboratory parameters are associated with the activity of acute pancreatitis. The combined model provides a new method to predict the activity and prognosis of AP. The ability of the combined model is comparable to the modified Pancreatitis Activity Scoring System.

A computed tomography-based nomogram for neoadjuvant chemotherapy plus immunotherapy response prediction in patients with advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

Objective: To develop a CT-based nomogram to predict the response of advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) to neoadjuvant chemotherapy plus immunotherapy. Methods: In this retrospective study, 158 consecutive patients with advanced ESCC receiving contrast-enhanced CT before neoadjuvant chemotherapy plus immunotherapy were randomized to a training cohort (TC, n = 121) and a validation cohort (VC, n = 37). Response to treatment was assessed with response evaluation criteria in solid tumors. Patients in the TC were divided into the responder (n = 69) and non-responder (n = 52) groups. For the TC, univariate analyses were performed to confirm factors associated with response prediction, and binary analyses were performed to identify independent variables to develop a nomogram. In both the TC and VC, the nomogram performance was assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration slope, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results: In the TC, univariate analysis showed that cT stage, cN stage, gross tumor volume, gross volume of all enlarged lymph nodes, and tumor length were associated with the response (all P < 0.05). Binary analysis demonstrated that cT stage, cN stage, and tumor length were independent predictors. The independent factors were imported into the R software to construct a nomogram, showing the discriminatory ability with an AUC of 0.813 (95% confidence interval: 0.735-0.890), and the calibration curve and DCA showed that the predictive ability of the nomogram was in good agreement with the actual observation. Conclusion: This study provides an accurate nomogram to predict the response of advanced ESCC to neoadjuvant chemotherapy plus immunotherapy.

Influence of preoperative urine culture and bacterial species on urogenital sepsis after ureteral flexible lithotripsy in patients with upper urinary tract stones.

Objective: This retrospective study aims to identify risk factors for urogenic sepsis in patients with upper urinary tract stones following ureteral flexible lithotripsy (FURL). Additionally, we analyze the clinical characteristics of bacterial infections post-surgery. Methods: A total of 759 patients who underwent FURL at the Urology Department of Zunyi Medical University were included. Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify independent risk factors for urogenic sepsis post-FURL. The distribution of bacteria based on preoperative urine cultures was also analyzed. Statistical analysis was performed using R4.2.2 software. Results: Of the 759 patients, positive preoperative urine culture, urine nitrite positivity, urine white blood cell count (WBC) ≥ 200 cells/µL, residual stones, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) were found to be independent risk factors for urogenic sepsis after FURL. Among the 164 patients with positive preoperative urine cultures, 32 developed urogenic sepsis post-surgery, with 68.75% having positive preoperative cultures. The leading pathogens causing postoperative urogenic sepsis were Escherichia coli (E. coli), Enterococcus faecium, Proteus mirabilis, and Klebsiella pneumoniae. The probabilities of progression to urogenic sepsis were as follows: E. coli 19% (n = 12), Enterococcus faecium 43% (n = 3), Proteus mirabilis 33.3% (n = 1), and Klebsiella pneumoniae 33.3% (n = 1). The ages of affected patients were 47.17 ± 13.2, 53.7, 41, and 79 years, respectively. Rates of comorbid diabetes were 36.4, 66.7, 50, 100%, with nitrite positivity rates at 72.7, 33.3, 50, 0%. Ten female patients were infected with E. coli, while patients infected with Klebsiella pneumoniae had an NLR of 7.62. Conclusion: Positive preoperative urine culture, urine nitrite positivity, urine WBC ≥ 200 cells/µL, residual stones, and NLR are independent risk factors for urogenic sepsis after FURL. Escherichia coli is the predominant pathogen post-FURL, with notable female prevalence and nitrite-positive urine in infections. Enterococcus faecium infections are associated with diabetes.

CT radiomics based on the peritumoral adipose region of gastric adenocarcinoma for preoperative prediction of lymph node metastasis.

PURPOSE: To construct and validate CT radiomics model based on the peritumoral adipose region of gastric adenocarcinoma to preoperatively predict lymph node metastasis (LNM). METHODS AND METHODS: 293 consecutive gastric adenocarcinoma patients receiving radical gastrectomy with lymph node dissection in two medical institutions were stratified into a development set (from Institution A, n = 237), and an external validation set (from Institution B, n = 56). Volume of interest of peritumoral adipose region was segmented on preoperative portal-phase CT images. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method and stepwise logistic regression were used to select features and build radiomics models. Manual classification was performed according to routine CT characteristics. A classifier incorporating the radiomics score and CT characteristics was developed for predicting LNM. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to show discrimination between tumors with and without LNM, and the calibration curves and Brier score were used to evaluate the predictive accuracy. Violin plots were used to show the distribution of radiomics score. RESULTS: AUC values of radiomics model to predict LNM were 0.938, 0.905, and 0.872 in the training, internal test, and external validation sets, respectively, higher than that of manual classification (0.674, all P values < 0.01). The radiomics score of the positive LNM group were higher than that of the negative group in all sets (both P-values < 0.001). The classifier showed no improved predictive power compared with the radiomics signature alone with AUC values of 0.916 and 0.872 in the development and external validation sets, respectively. Multivariate analysis showed that radiomics score was an independent predictor. CONCLUSIONS: Radiomics model based on peritumoral adipose region could be a useful approach for preoperative LNM prediction in gastric adenocarcinoma.

Deep learning using contrast-enhanced ultrasound images to predict the nuclear grade of clear cell renal cell carcinoma.

PURPOSE: To assess the effectiveness of a deep learning model using contrastenhanced ultrasound (CEUS) images in distinguishing between low-grade (grade I and II) and high-grade (grade III and IV) clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC). METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted using CEUS images of 177 Fuhrmangraded ccRCCs (93 low-grade and 84 high-grade) from May 2017 to December 2020. A total of 6412 CEUS images were captured from the videos and normalized for subsequent analysis. A deep learning model using the RepVGG architecture was proposed to differentiate between low-grade and high-grade ccRCC. The model's performance was evaluated based on sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Class activation mapping (CAM) was used to visualize the specific areas that contribute to the model's predictions. RESULTS: For discriminating high-grade ccRCC from low-grade, the deep learning model achieved a sensitivity of 74.8%, specificity of 79.1%, accuracy of 77.0%, and an AUC of 0.852 in the test set. CONCLUSION: The deep learning model based on CEUS images can accurately differentiate between low-grade and high-grade ccRCC in a non-invasive manner.

A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of MRI Radiomics for Predicting Microvascular Invasion in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The prediction power of MRI radiomics for microvascular invasion (MVI) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains uncertain. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the prediction performance of MRI radiomics for MVI in HCC. METHODS: Original studies focusing on preoperative prediction performance of MRI radiomics for MVI in HCC, were systematically searched from databases of PubMed, Embase, Web of Science and Cochrane Library. Radiomics quality score (RQS) and risk of bias of involved studies were evaluated. Meta-analysis was carried out to demonstrate the value of MRI radiomics for MVI prediction in HCC. Influencing factors of the prediction performance of MRI radiomics were identified by subgroup analyses. RESULTS: 13 studies classified as type 2a or above according to the Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis statement were eligible for this systematic review and meta-analysis. The studies achieved an average RQS of 14 (ranging from 11 to 17), accounting for 38.9% of the total points. MRI radiomics achieved a pooled sensitivity of 0.82 (95%CI: 0.78 - 0.86), specificity of 0.79 (95%CI: 0.76 - 0.83) and area under the summary receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.88 (95%CI: 0.84 - 0.91) to predict MVI in HCC. Radiomics models combined with clinical features achieved superior performances compared to models without the combination (AUC: 0.90 vs 0.85, P < 0.05). CONCLUSION: MRI radiomics has the potential for preoperative prediction of MVI in HCC. Further studies with high methodological quality should be designed to improve the reliability and reproducibility of the radiomics models for clinical application. The systematic review and meta-analysis was registered prospectively in the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (No. CRD42022333822).

Computed tomography-based nomogram of Siewert type II/III adenocarcinoma of esophagogastric junction to predict response to docetaxel, oxaliplatin and S-1.

BACKGROUND: Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) has become the standard care for advanced adenocarcinoma of esophagogastric junction (AEG), although a part of the patients cannot benefit from NAC. There are no models based on baseline computed tomography (CT) to predict response of Siewert type II or III AEG to NAC with docetaxel, oxaliplatin and S-1 (DOS). AIM: To develop a CT-based nomogram to predict response of Siewert type II/III AEG to NAC with DOS. METHODS: One hundred and twenty-eight consecutive patients with confirmed Siewert type II/III AEG underwent CT before and after three cycles of NAC with DOS, and were randomly and consecutively assigned to the training cohort (TC) (n = 94) and the validation cohort (VC) (n = 34). Therapeutic effect was assessed by disease-control rate and progressive disease according to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (version 1.1) criteria. Possible prognostic factors associated with responses after DOS treatment including Siewert classification, gross tumor volume (GTV), and cT and cN stages were evaluated using pretherapeutic CT data in addition to sex and age. Univariate and multivariate analyses of CT and clinical features in the TC were performed to determine independent factors associated with response to DOS. A nomogram was established based on independent factors to predict the response. The predictive performance of the nomogram was evaluated by Concordance index (C-index), calibration and receiver operating characteristics curve in the TC and VC. RESULTS: Univariate analysis showed that Siewert type (52/55 vs 29/39, P = 0.005), pretherapeutic cT stage (57/62 vs 24/32, P = 0.028), GTV (47.3 ± 27.4 vs 73.2 ± 54.3, P = 0.040) were significantly associated with response to DOS in the TC. Multivariate analysis of the TC also showed that the pretherapeutic cT stage, GTV and Siewert type were independent predictive factors related to response to DOS (odds ratio = 4.631, 1.027 and 7.639, respectively; all P < 0.05). The nomogram developed with these independent factors showed an excellent performance to predict response to DOS in the TC and VC (C-index: 0.838 and 0.824), with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.838 and 0.824, respectively. The calibration curves showed that the practical and predicted response to DOS effectively coincided. CONCLUSION: A novel nomogram developed with pretherapeutic cT stage, GTV and Siewert type predicted the response of Siewert type II/III AEG to NAC with DOS.

Case report: Page kidney with multiple serosal effusions caused by bilateral spontaneous renal subcapsular hemorrhage.

Page kidney is caused by the perirenal or subcapsular accumulation of blood or fluid pressing on the renal parenchyma and is a rare cause of secondary hypertension. In this study, we report a case of Page caused by bilateral spontaneous subcapsular renal hematoma, the main manifestations of which were secondary hypertension, multiple serous effusions, and renal insufficiency. After admission, drug blood pressure control was ineffective. After bilateral perirenal effusion puncture and drainage were performed to relieve bilateral perirenal compression, blood pressure gradually dropped to normal, multi-serous cavity effusion (pericardial, thoracic, and abdominal effusion) gradually disappeared, and kidney function returned to normal. Secondary hypertension caused by Page kidney can be treated. When Page kidney is complicated with multiple serous effusions, the effect of antihypertensive drugs alone is poor, and early perineal puncture drainage can achieve better clinical efficacy.

PAFAH2 suppresses synchronized ferroptosis to ameliorate acute kidney injury.

Synchronized ferroptosis contributes to nephron loss in acute kidney injury (AKI). However, the propagation signals and the underlying mechanisms of the synchronized ferroptosis for renal tubular injury remain unresolved. Here we report that platelet-activating factor (PAF) and PAF-like phospholipids (PAF-LPLs) mediated synchronized ferroptosis and contributed to AKI. The emergence of PAF and PAF-LPLs in ferroptosis caused the instability of biomembranes and signaled the cell death of neighboring cells. This cascade could be suppressed by PAF-acetylhydrolase (II) (PAFAH2) or by addition of antibodies against PAF. Genetic knockout or pharmacological inhibition of PAFAH2 increased PAF production, augmented synchronized ferroptosis and exacerbated ischemia/reperfusion (I/R)-induced AKI. Notably, intravenous administration of wild-type PAFAH2 protein, but not its enzymatically inactive mutants, prevented synchronized tubular cell death, nephron loss and AKI. Our findings offer an insight into the mechanisms of synchronized ferroptosis and suggest a possibility for the preventive intervention of AKI.

Contrast-enhanced CT radiomics features to preoperatively identify differences between tumor and proximal tumor-adjacent and tumor-distant tissues of resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Esophagectomy is the main treatment for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), and patients with histopathologically negative margins still have a relatively higher recurrence rate. Contrast-enhanced CT (CECT) radiomics might noninvasively obtain potential information about the internal heterogeneity of ESCC and its adjacent tissues. This study aimed to develop CECT radiomics models to preoperatively identify the differences between tumor and proximal tumor-adjacent and tumor-distant tissues in ESCC to potentially reduce tumor recurrence. METHODS: A total of 529 consecutive patients with ESCC from Centers A (n = 447) and B (n = 82) undergoing preoperative CECT were retrospectively enrolled in this study. Radiomics features of the tumor, proximal tumor-adjacent (PTA) and proximal tumor-distant (PTD) tissues were individually extracted by delineating the corresponding region of interest (ROI) on CECT and applying the 3D-Slicer radiomics module. Patients with pairwise tissues (ESCC vs. PTA, ESCC vs. PTD, and PTA vs. PTD) from Center A were randomly assigned to the training cohort (TC, n = 313) and internal validation cohort (IVC, n = 134). Univariate analysis and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator were used to select the core radiomics features, and logistic regression was performed to develop radiomics models to differentiate individual pairwise tissues in TC, validated in IVC and the external validation cohort (EVC) from Center B. Diagnostic performance was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) and accuracy. RESULTS: With the chosen 20, 19 and 5 core radiomics features in TC, 3 individual radiomics models were developed, which exhibited excellent ability to differentiate the tumor from PTA tissue (AUC: 0.965; accuracy: 0.965), the tumor from PTD tissue (AUC: 0.991; accuracy: 0.958), and PTA from PTD tissue (AUC: 0.870; accuracy: 0.848), respectively. In IVC and EVC, the models also showed good performance in differentiating the tumor from PTA tissue (AUCs: 0.956 and 0.962; accuracy: 0.956 and 0.937), the tumor from PTD tissue (AUCs: 0.990 and 0.974; accuracy: 0.952 and 0.970), and PTA from PTD tissue (AUCs: 0.806 and 0.786; accuracy: 0.760 and 0.786), respectively. CONCLUSION: CECT radiomics models could differentiate the tumor from PTA tissue, the tumor from PTD tissue, and PTA from PTD tissue in ESCC.

Preoperative CT radiomics of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma and lymph node to predict nodal disease with a high diagnostic capability.

PURPOSE: To develop CT radiomics models of resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) and lymph node (LN) to preoperatively identify LN+. MATERIALS AND METHODS: 299 consecutive patients with ESCC were enrolled in the study, 140 of whom were LN+ and 159 were LN-. Of the 299 patients, 249 (from the same hospital) were randomly divided into a training cohort (n = 174) and a test cohort (n = 75). The remaining 50 patients, from a second hospital, were assigned to an external validation cohort. In the training cohort, preoperative contrast-enhanced CT radiomics features of ESCC and LN were extracted, then integrated with clinical features to develop three models: ESCC, LN and combined. The performance of these models was assessed using area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), and F-1 score, which were validated in both the test cohort and external validation cohort. RESULTS: An ESCC model was developed for the training cohort utilizing the 8 tumor radiomics features, and an LN model was constructed using 9 nodal radiomics features. A combined model was constructed using both ESCC and LN extracted features, in addition to cT stage and LN+ distribution. This combined model had the highest predictive ability among the three models in the training cohort (AUC = 0.948, F1-score = 0.878). The predictive ability was validated in both the test and external validation cohorts (AUC = 0.885 and 0.867, F1-score = 0.816 and 0.773, respectively). CONCLUSION: To preoperatively determine LN+, the combined model is superior to models of ESCC and LN alone.

An improved model based on quantitative features of right liver lobe, maximum varices, and portal vein system measured on magnetic resonance imaging to predict oesophagogastric variceal haemorrhage secondary to hepatitis B-related cirrhosis.

Background: In patients with hepatitis B-related cirrhosis, it is important to predict those at high-risk of oesophagogastric variceal haemorrhage (OVH) to decide upon prophylactic treatment. Our published model developed with right liver lobe volume and diameters of portal vein system did not incorporate maximum variceal size as a factor. This study thus aimed to develop an improved model based on right liver lobe volume, diameters of maximum oesophagogastric varices (OV) and portal vein system obtained at magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) to predict OVH. Methods: Two hundred and thirty consecutive individuals with hepatitis B-related cirrhosis undergoing abdominal enhanced MRI were randomly grouped into training (n=160) and validation sets (n=70). OVH was confirmed in 51 and 23 participants in the training and validation sets during 2-year follow-up period, respectively. Spleen, total liver, right lobe, caudate lobe, left lateral lobe, and left medial lobe volumes, together with diameters of maximum OV and portal venous system were measured on MRI. In the training set, univariate analyses and binary logistic regression analyses were conducted to determine independent predictors. The performance of the model for predicting OVH constructed based on independent predictors from the training set was evaluated with receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis and validated in the validation set. Results: The model for predicting OVH was established based on right liver lobe volume and diameters of the maximum OV, left gastric vein, and portal vein [odds ratio (OR) =0.991, 2.462, 1.434, and 1.582, respectively; all P values <0.05]. The logistic regression model equation [-0.009 × right liver lobe volume + 0.901 × maximum OV diameter (MOVD) + 0.361 × left gastric vein diameter (LGVD) + 0.459 × portal vein diameter (PVD) - 7.842] with a cutoff value of -0.656 for predicting OVH obtained excellent performance with an area under ROC curve (AUC) of 0.924 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.878-0.971]. The Delong test showed negative statistical difference in the model performance between the training and validation sets, with a P value >0.99. Conclusions: The model could help well screen those patients at high risk of OVH for timely intervention and avoiding the fatal complications.

Development and validation of a predictive model for post-percutaneous nephrolithotomy urinary sepsis: a multicenter retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this retrospective, multicenter study was to analyze the factors associated with the development of urogenital sepsis after percutaneous nephrolithotomy (PCNL) and to establish a nomogram prediction model of urogenital sepsis after PCNL. METHODS: A total of 2066 postoperative PCNL patients were included from three medical institutions: Zunyi Medical University Hospital, Beijing Jishuitan Hospital Guizhou Hospital, and Fenggang County People's Hospital. Clinical data of 1623 patients from the Department of Urology of Zunyi Medical University Hospital were randomized into a training cohort (Zunyi training cohort, N.=1139) and an internal validation cohort (Zunyi internal validation cohort, N.=484) using computer generated random numbers in a 7:3 ratio. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed on the compliance training cohort to identify risk factors for urogenital sepsis after PCNL and to develop a column line graph prediction model based on these risk factors. Finally, Zunyi internal validation cohort and two external validation cohorts (Guiyang external cohort, N.=306; Fenggang external cohort, N.=137) were used to validate the prognostic accuracy of the nomogram prediction model. R4.2.2 statistical software was used for all statistical data analyses. RESULTS: Multifactorial logistic regression analysis of the Zuiyi training cohort (N.=1139) identified five independent risk factors associated with urogenital sepsis after PCNL, including urine culture positivity (odds ratio [OR]=5.29, P<0.001), urine nitrite positivity (OR=5.97, P<0.001), operation time ≥60 min (OR=4.4, P=0.0037), residual stone (OR=5.18, P<0.001), and size ≥30 mm (OR=3.22, P=0.0086). Nomogram were constructed based on these independent risk factors. The area under the curve (AUC) of the nomogram model was 0.907 in the in-progress sample and 0.948 after internal validation. The AUC of the model was 0.855 and 0.804 after external validation of the Guiyang external validation cohort and the Fenggang validation cohort, respectively, indicating good discrimination ability. The calibration curves of the nomogram showed good agreement, and the decision curve analysis demonstrated high clinical utility. CONCLUSIONS: Based on the clinical independent risk factors such as positive urine culture, positive urine nitrite, operation time ≥60min, stone residue, stone size ≥30mm, nomogram prediction model of urogenital sepsis after PCNL was established, which can provide reference for urologists to develop preoperative evaluation and treatment strategies for patients with percutaneous nephrolithotomy.

A novel quantitative model based on gross tumor volume corresponding to anatomical distribution measured with multidetector computed tomography to determine the resectability of non­distant metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

It is important to accurately determine the resectability of thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) for treatment decision-making. Previous studies have revealed that the CT-derived gross tumor volume (GTV) is associated with the staging of ESCC. The present study aimed to explore whether the anatomical distribution-based GTV of non-distant metastatic thoracic ESCC measured using multidetector computed tomography (MDCT) could quantitatively determine the resectability. For this purpose, 473 consecutive patients with biopsy-confirmed non-distant metastatic thoracic ESCC who underwent contrast-enhanced CT were randomly divided into a training cohort (TC; 376 patients) and validation cohort (VC; 97 patients). GTV was retrospectively measured using MDCT. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify the determinants of the resectability of ESCC in the TC. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was performed to clarify whether anatomical distribution-based GTV could help quantitatively determinate resectability. Unweighted Cohen's Kappa tests in VC were used to assess the performance of the previous models. Univariate analysis demonstrated that sex, anatomic distribution, cT stage, cN stage and GTV were related to the resectability of ESCC in the TC (all P<0.05). Multivariate analysis revealed that GTV [P<0.001; odds ratio (OR) 1.158] and anatomic distribution (P=0.027; OR, 1.924) were independent determinants of resectability. ROC analysis revealed that the GTV cut-offs for the determination of the resectability of the upper, middle and lower thoracic portions were 23.57, 22.89 and 22.58 cm3, respectively, with areas under the ROC curves of >0.9. Unweighted Cohen's Kappa tests revealed an excellent performance of the ROC models in the upper, middle and lower thoracic portions with Cohen k-values of 0.913, 0.879 and 0.871, respectively. On the whole, the present study demonstrated that GTV and the anatomic distribution of non-distant metastatic thoracic ESCC may be independent determinants of resectability, and anatomical distribution-based GTV can effectively be used to quantitatively determine resectability.

Association of radiotherapy with thoracic vertebral fractures in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: A retrospective cohort study.

To investigate the association between radiotherapy (RT) and thoracic vertebral fractures in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) and explore the risk factors of thoracic vertebral fracture in ESCC who underwent RT. This retrospective cohort study including 602 consecutive ESCC patients examined the association between RT and thoracic vertebral fractures using multivariable Cox proportional hazard models and relevant risk factors of thoracic vertebral fractures based on clinical and RT parameters in patients with ESCC. Followed for a median follow-up of 24 months, 54 patients had thoracic vertebral fractures. The multivariable analysis revealed RT as an independent risk factor after adjusting for clinical risk factors. Univariable analyses associated a 5-Gy increase in vertebral dose to single vertebrae and a 1-time increase in RT fraction with higher risk of vertebral fracture. Adding RT factors (vertebral dose and fraction) and mean vertebral hounsfield unit to the Cox models containing conventional clinical risk factors significantly improved the χ2 value for predicting vertebral fractures (all P < .001). This study revealed RT, as well as increased vertebral dose and RT fractions, as a significant, consistent, and strong vertebral fracture predictor in ESCC. Combined vertebral dose, RT fractions, and vertebral hounsfield unit provided optimal risk stratification for ESCC patients.

A CT-based novel model to predict pathological complete response of locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma to neoadjuvant PD-1 blockade in combination with chemotherapy.

PURPOSE: To develop a novel CT-based model to predict pathological complete response (pCR) of locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) to neoadjuvant PD-1 blockade in combination with chemotherapy. METHODS: 117 consecutive patients with locally advanced ESCC were stratified into training cohort (n = 82) and validation cohort (n = 35). All patients underwent non-contrast and contrast-enhanced thoracic and upper abdominal CT before neoadjuvant PD-1 blockade in combination with chemotherapy (CTpre), and after two cycles of the therapy before esophagectomy (CTpost), respectively. Univariate analyses and binary logistic regression analyses of ESCC quantitative and qualitative CT features were performed to determine independent predictors of pCR. Prediction performance of the model developed with independent predictors from training cohort was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, and validated by Kappa test in validation cohort. RESULTS: In training cohort, the difference in CT attenuation between tumor and background normal esophageal wall obtained from CTpre (ΔTNpre), tumoral increased CT attenuation after contrast-enhanced scan from CTpost images (ΔTpost) and gross tumor volume (GTV) from CTpre were independent predictors of pCR (odds ratio = 1.128 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.997-1.277), 1.113 (95%CI: 0.965-1.239) and 1.133 (95%CI: 1.043-1.231), respectively, all P-values < 0.05). Logistic regression model equation (0.121 × ΔTNpre + 0.107 × ΔTpost + 0.125 × GTV - 9.856) to predict pCR showed the best performance with an area under the ROC of 0.876, compared with each independent predictor. The good performance was confirmed by the Kappa test (K-value = 0.796) in validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: This novel model can be reliable to predict pCR to neoadjuvant PD-1 blockade in combination with chemotherapy in locally advanced ESCC.

CT radiomics for prediction of microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

The power of computed tomography (CT) radiomics for preoperative prediction of microvascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) demonstrated in current research is variable. This systematic review and meta-analysis aim to evaluate the value of CT radiomics for MVI prediction in HCC, and to investigate the methodologic quality in the workflow of radiomics research. Databases of PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library were systematically searched. The methodologic quality of included studies was assessed. Validation data from studies with Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) statement type 2a or above were extracted for meta-analysis. Eleven studies were included, among which nine were eligible for meta-analysis. Radiomics quality scores of the enrolled eleven studies varied from 6 to 17, accounting for 16.7%-47.2% of the total points, with an average score of 14. Pooled sensitivity, specificity, and Area Under the summary receiver operator Characteristic Curve (AUC) were 0.82 (95% CI 0.77-0.86), 0.79 (95% CI 0.75-0.83), and 0.87 (95% CI 0.84-0.91) for the predictive performance of CT radiomics, respectively. Meta-regression and subgroup analyses showed radiomics model based on 3D tumor segmentation, and deep learning model achieved superior performances compared to 2D segmentation and non-deep learning model, respectively (AUC: 0.93 vs. 0.83, and 0.97 vs. 0.83, respectively). This study proves that CT radiomics could predict MVI in HCC. The heterogeneity of the included studies precludes a definition of the role of CT radiomics in predicting MVI, but methodology warrants uniformization in the radiology community regarding radiomics in HCC.

Renal ectopic lipid deposition in rats with early-stage diabetic nephropathy evaluated by the MR mDixon-Quant technique: association with the expression of SREBP-1 and PPARα in renal tissue.

Background: Renal ectopic lipid deposition (ELD) plays a significant role in the development of diabetic nephropathy (DN). This study aimed to use the magnetic resonance (MR) mDixon-Quant technique to evaluate renal ELD and its association with the expression of sterol regulatory element binding protein 1 (SREBP-1) and peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor alpha (PPARα) in renal tissue. Methods: Seventy male Sprague-Dawley (SD) rats were randomly divided into experimental (n=50) and control groups (n=20). A high-fat diet combined with low-dose streptozotocin (STZ) was administered to the experimental group to establish a type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) model. The rats received renal mDixon-Quant scans and blood lipid and histopathological examinations in batches after the T2DM model was established. According to the histopathological findings, the included rats were stratified into control and early DN groups. Renal fat fraction (FF), blood lipid level, the ratio of the integrated optical density of intracellular lipid droplets and the total area of all the cells (IOD/TAC), and the expression of SREBP-1 and PPARɑ in renal tissue were analyzed. Results: Compared to the controls, renal FF, IOD/TAC, the expression of SREBP-1 in renal tissue, and serum total cholesterol (TC), triglyceride (TG) and low-density lipoprotein (LDL) levels were higher in the early DN group, while the expression of PPARɑ in renal tissue and the high-density lipoprotein (HDL) level were lower (all P values <0.001). Renal FF gradually increased with the progression of disease [r=0.810 (95% CI: 0.675-0.928), P<0.001]. Positive correlations between renal FF and each of the following: TC, TG, LDL, IOD/TAC, and the expression of SREBP-1 [r=0.479 (95% CI: 0.353-0.640, P=0.012), 0.576 (95% CI: 0.283-0.842, P=0.002), 0.441 (95% CI: 0.305-0.606, P=0.021), 0.911 (95% CI: 0.809-0.964, P<0.001) and 0.800 (95% CI: 0.640-0.910, P<0.001), respectively] and negative correlations between renal FF and each of the following: HDL and the expression of PPARɑ [r=-0.611 (95% CI: -0.809 to -0.469, P=0.001) and -0.748 (95% CI: -0.886 to -0.585, P<0.001), respectively] were found. Conclusions: Renal lipid deposition evaluated by the MR mDixon-Quant technique is associated with the blood lipid level, histological fat quantification, and the expression of SREBP-1 and PPARɑ in renal tissue. The renal FF value might serve as a biomarker for better understanding of renal lipid metabolism in early-stage DN.

Whole-tumor histogram analysis of apparent diffusion coefficients for predicting lymphovascular space invasion in stage IB-IIA cervical cancer.

Objectives: To investigate the value of apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) histogram analysis based on whole tumor volume for the preoperative prediction of lymphovascular space invasion (LVSI) in patients with stage IB-IIA cervical cancer. Methods: Fifty consecutive patients with stage IB-IIA cervical cancer were stratified into LVSI-positive (n = 24) and LVSI-negative (n = 26) groups according to the postoperative pathology. All patients underwent pelvic 3.0T diffusion-weighted imaging with b-values of 50 and 800 s/mm2 preoperatively. Whole-tumor ADC histogram analysis was performed. Differences in the clinical characteristics, conventional magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) features, and ADC histogram parameters between the two groups were analyzed. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to evaluate the diagnostic performance of ADC histogram parameters in predicting LVSI. Results: ADCmax, ADCrange, ADC90, ADC95, and ADC99 were significantly lower in the LVSI-positive group than in the LVSI-negative group (all P-values < 0.05), whereas no significant differences were reported for the remaining ADC parameters, clinical characteristics, and conventional MRI features between the groups (all P-values > 0.05). For predicting LVSI in stage IB-IIA cervical cancer, a cutoff ADCmax of 1.75×10-3 mm2/s achieved the largest area under ROC curve (Az) of 0.750, followed by a cutoff ADCrange of 1.36×10-3 mm2/s and ADC99 of 1.75×10-3 mm2/s (Az = 0.748 and 0.729, respectively), and the cutoff ADC90 and ADC95 achieved an Az of <0.70. Conclusion: Whole-tumor ADC histogram analysis has potential value for preoperative prediction of LVSI in patients with stage IB-IIA cervical cancer. ADCmax, ADCrange, and ADC99 are promising prediction parameters.