The impact of COVID-19 on the diagnosis and treatment of HCC: analysis of a nationwide registry for advanced liver diseases (REAL).

The number of cancer cases diagnosed during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has decreased. This study investigated the impact of the pandemic on the clinical practice of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) using a novel nationwide REgistry for Advanced Liver diseases (REAL) in Japan. We retrieved data of patients initially diagnosed with HCC between January 2018 and December 2021. We adopted tumor size as the primary outcome measure and compared it between the pre-COVID-19 (2018 and 2019) and COVID-19 eras (2020 and 2021). We analyzed 13,777 patients initially diagnosed with HCC (8074 in the pre-COVID-19 era and 5703 in the COVID-19 era). The size of the maximal intrahepatic tumor did not change between the two periods (mean [SD] = 4.3 [3.6] cm and 4.4 [3.6] cm), whereas the proportion of patients with a single tumor increased slightly from 72.0 to 74.3%. HCC was diagnosed at a similar Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage. However, the proportion of patients treated with systemic therapy has increased from 5.4 to 8.9%. The proportion of patients with a non-viral etiology significantly increased from 55.3 to 60.4%. Although the tumor size was significantly different among the etiologies, the subgroup analysis showed that the tumor size did not change after stratification by etiology. In conclusion, the characteristics of initially diagnosed HCC remained unchanged during the COVID-19 pandemic in Japan, regardless of differences in etiology. A robust surveillance system should be established particularly for non-B, non-C etiology to detect HCC in earlier stages.

Development of a transformer model for predicting the prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after radiofrequency ablation.

INTRODUCTION: Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) is a widely accepted, minimally invasive treatment modality for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Accurate prognosis prediction is important to identify patients at high risk for cancer progression/recurrence after RFA. Recently, state-of-the-art transformer models showing improved performance over existing deep learning-based models have been developed in several fields. This study was aimed at developing and validating a transformer model to predict the overall survival in HCC patients with treated by RFA. METHODS: We enrolled a total of 1778 treatment-naïve HCC patients treated by RFA as the first-line treatment. We developed a transformer-based machine learning model to predict the overall survival in the HCC patients treated by RFA and compared its predictive performance with that of a deep learning-based model. Model performance was evaluated by determining the Harrel's c-index and validated externally by the split-sample method. RESULTS: The Harrel's c-index of the transformer-based model was 0.69, indicating its better discrimination performance than that of the deep learning model (Harrel's c-index, 0.60) in the external validation cohort. The transformer model showed a high discriminative ability for stratifying the external validation cohort into two or three different risk groups (p < 0.001 for both risk groupings). The model also enabled output of a personalized cumulative recurrence prediction curve for each patient. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a novel transformer model for personalized prediction of the overall survival in HCC patients after RFA treatment. The current model may offer a personalized survival prediction schema for patients with HCC undergoing RFA treatment.

Machine learning for individualized prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma development after the eradication of hepatitis C virus with antivirals.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Accurate risk stratification for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after achieving a sustained viral response (SVR) is necessary for optimal surveillance. We aimed to develop and validate a machine learning (ML) model to predict the risk of HCC after achieving an SVR in individual patients. METHODS: In this multicenter cohort study, 1742 patients with chronic hepatitis C who achieved an SVR were enrolled. Five ML models were developed including DeepSurv, gradient boosting survival analysis, random survival forest (RSF), survival support vector machine, and a conventional Cox proportional hazard model. Model performance was evaluated using Harrel' c-index and was externally validated in an independent cohort (977 patients). RESULTS: During the mean observation period of 5.4 years, 122 patients developed HCC (83 in the derivation cohort and 39 in the external validation cohort). The RSF model showed the best discrimination ability using seven parameters at the achievement of an SVR with a c-index of 0.839 in the external validation cohort and a high discriminative ability when the patients were categorized into three risk groups (P <0.001). Furthermore, this RSF model enabled the generation of an individualized predictive curve for HCC occurrence for each patient with an app available online. CONCLUSIONS: We developed and externally validated an RSF model with good predictive performance for the risk of HCC after an SVR. The application of this novel model is available on the website. This model could provide the data to consider an effective surveillance method. Further studies are needed to make recommendations for surveillance policies tailored to the medical situation in each country. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: A novel prediction model for HCC occurrence in patients after hepatitis C virus eradication was developed using machine learning algorithms. This model, using seven commonly measured parameters, has been shown to have a good predictive ability for HCC development and could provide a personalized surveillance system.

A study on prevention of bleeding complications using lusutrombopag for safe RFA in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma with low platelet counts: prospective observational study.

BACKGROUND: Platelet (PLT) transfusion was the most practical way to increase patients' PLT counts before invasive hepatic procedures such as radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). A novel drug that raises the PLT count by acting on the thrombopoietin receptor has recently become available. METHODS: Lusutrombopag 3 mg was administered daily for 7 days to patients who underwent RFA for liver tumors with low PLT counts (< 50,000 PLT µL- 1). We collected demographic data concerning the patients' liver function and PLT counts. RESULTS: Lusutrombopag was administered to 91 patients, with a median age of 71 years (range 51-86). Forty-two patients had hepatitis C, 12 had hepatitis B, 21 had alcoholic liver disease, 11 had nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, and five had other diseases. The median Child-Pugh score was 7 (range 5-11). Thirty-seven patients had stage I tumors, 41 had Stage II, 12 had stage III, and one had stage IV. PLT count was elevated from 4.4 × 104 ± 1.4 × 104 to 8.6 × 104 ± 2.5 × 104 PLT µL- 1. Lusutrombopag administration prevented PLT transfusions in 84/91 patients (92%). No patient had bleeding complications after RFA. One had portal thrombosis after lusutrombopag administration. Patients who achieved PLT counts of > 50,000 PLT µL- 1 had higher PLT counts before lusutrombopag administration. The degree of splenomegaly did not affect the rate of PLT count elevation. There was no specific adverse effect by administrating lusutrombopag for patients with PLT counts of around 50,000 µL- 1 but > 50,000 µL- 1. CONCLUSIONS: Lusutrombopag administration before RFA was effective and seemed to be relatively safe for hepatocellular carcinoma patients with low PLT counts. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This study was approved by Japanese Red Cross Medical Center Institutional Reseach Comittie (#862, 07/03/2016), and was registered in a publically accessible primary register (#UMIN000046629, registered date: 14/01/2022).

Clinical utility of postablation liver tumor biopsy and possibility of gene mutation analysis.

AIM: Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) is regarded as a first-line treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) at an early stage. When treated with RFA, tumor biopsy may not be performed due to the risk of neoplastic seeding. We previously revealed that the risk of neoplastic seeding is significantly reduced by performing biopsies after RFA. In this study, we investigated the possibility of pathological evaluation and gene mutation analysis of post-RFA tumor specimens. METHODS: Radiofrequency ablation was undertaken on diethylnitrosamine-induced mouse liver tumor, and tumor samples with or without RFA were subjected to whole exome sequencing. Post-RFA human liver tumor specimens were used for detection of TERT promoter mutations and pathological assessment. RESULTS: The average somatic mutation rate, sites of mutation, and small indels and base transition patterns were comparable between the nontreated and post-RFA tumors. We identified 684 sites of nonsynonymous somatic substitutions in the nontreated tumor and 704 sites of nonsynonymous somatic substitutions in the post-RFA tumor, with approximately 85% in common. In the human post-RFA samples, the TERT promoter mutations were successfully detected in 40% of the cases. Pathological evaluation was possible with post-RFA specimens, and in one case, the diagnosis of adenocarcinoma was made. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that post-RFA liver tumor biopsy is a useful and safe method for obtaining tumor samples that can be used for gene mutation analysis and for pathological assessment.

Steroid administration for ischemic complications after radiofrequency ablation: A retrospective study.

AIM: The aim of this study was to evaluate the effects of steroids on ischemic complications after radiofrequency ablation. METHODS: A total of 58 patients with ischemic complications were divided into two groups according to corticosteroid use or non-use. RESULTS: A total of 13 patients who were administered steroids had a shorter duration of fever than those who were not administered steroids (median 6.0 vs. 2.0 days; p < 0.001). Linear regression analysis showed that steroid administration was associated with a reduction of 3.9 days in the duration of fever (p = 0.008). CONCLUSIONS: Steroid administration for ischemic complications after radiofrequency ablation may reduce the risk of fatal outcomes by blocking systemic inflammatory reactions.

Current status of primary liver cancer and decompensated cirrhosis in Japan: launch of a nationwide registry for advanced liver diseases (REAL).

BACKGROUND: We developed a nationwide database that stores data of patients with primary liver cancer (PLC) and decompensated cirrhosis (DC) on an admission basis. METHODS: A database was constructed using the National Clinical Database, a nationwide registry platform for various diseases in Japan. Mutual data exchange was possible with the Nationwide Follow-up Survey of Primary Liver Cancer in Japan by the Liver Cancer Study Group of Japan. The stored data on the admission of patients with PLC, DC, or both, included treatment details as well as patient characteristics. RESULTS: A total of 37,705 admissions (29,489 PLC, 10,077 DC, and 1862 for both) in 21,376 patients from 224 hospitals were analyzed. The proportions of patients with hepatitis B, hepatitis C, and non-viral etiology were 11.9%, 36.2%, and 42.6%, respectively, in PLC, and 7.5%, 23.8%, and 55.0%, respectively, in DC. The mean ages (± standard deviation) on admission with PLC and DC were 73 ± 10 and 68 ± 13 years, respectively. The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage for PLC was 0, A, B, C, and D in 22.0%, 17.1%, 29.6%, 15.1%, and 5.1%, respectively. Treatment modalities for PLC were resection, ablation, transarterial chemoembolization, and systemic therapy in 18.4%, 22.8%, 33.7%, and 11.4%, respectively. A vasopressin receptor V2 antagonist was used in 38.2% in addition to conventionally used loop diuretics and aldosterone antagonists for DC. CONCLUSIONS: The distribution of treatment options for PLC on admission differed from that of the initial treatment. Newly introduced drugs are widely used in patients with DC.

Acute Liver Failure Due to Hypereosinophilic Syndrome Accompanied by Duodenal Perforation.

A 78-year-old woman presenting with severe acute liver failure was admitted to our hospital. On screening for the etiology of acute liver failure, it was diagnosed as being due to idiopathic hypereosinophilic syndrome (eosinophil count reported as 4766/µL; 33.8% of the white blood cells). Her medical history included marked eosinophilia, as observed six months prior to this admission. Corticosteroid therapy was initiated. During the clinical course, duodenal perforation occurred but was managed promptly by appropriate surgery. A liver biopsy, following the initiation of corticosteroid therapy, revealed degenerating hepatic cells with mild eosinophilic infiltration. With corticosteroid therapy, the liver function improved.

Machine Learning-Based Personalized Prediction of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Recurrence After Radiofrequency Ablation.

Background and Aims: Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) is a widely accepted, minimally invasive treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to develop a machine learning (ML) model to predict the risk of HCC recurrence after RFA treatment for individual patients. Methods: We included a total of 1778 patients with treatment-naïve HCC who underwent RFA. The cumulative probability of overall recurrence after the initial RFA treatment was 78.9% and 88.0% at 5 and 10 years, respectively. We developed a conventional Cox proportional hazard model and 6 ML models-including the deep learning-based DeepSurv model. Model performance was evaluated using Harrel's c-index and was validated externally using the split-sample method. Results: The gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) model achieved the best performance with a c-index of 0.67 from external validation, and it showed a high discriminative ability in stratifying the external validation sample into 2, 3, and 4 different risk groups (P < .001 among all risk groups). The c-index of DeepSurv was 0.64. In order of significance, the tumor number, serum albumin level, and des-gamma-carboxyprothrombin level were the most important variables for the prediction of HCC recurrence in the GBDT model. Also, the current GBDT model enabled the output of a personalized cumulative recurrence prediction curve for each patient. Conclusion: We developed a novel ML model for the personalized risk prediction of HCC recurrence after RFA treatment. The current model may lead to the personalization of effective follow-up strategies after RFA treatment according to the risk stratification of HCC recurrence.

Infectious complications related to radiofrequency ablation of liver tumors: The role of antibiotics.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Prophylactic administration of antibiotics within 24 hours of surgery is recommended to reduce the risk of infection. We conducted a prospective study to compare the efficacy of single administration of antibiotics with a historical control of continuous administration of antibiotics for radiofrequency ablation (RFA) of malignant liver tumors. METHODS: Between February 1, 1999 and November 30, 2010, a total of 6,763 RFA treatments were performed in 2,355 patients, using a protocol with continuous administration of prophylactic antibiotics. On December 1, 2010, we began using a revised protocol with a single administration of prophylactic antibiotics, while continuing to use the old continuous administration protocol for patients who declined the new protocol. Interim analysis was performed to assess the safety of the single administration protocol. Thereafter, from April 1, 2012, all patients were treated using the new protocol. Risk factors for infectious complications of RFA were assessed using logistic regression. RESULTS: From December 2010 to March 2012, 766 RFA treatments were performed in 663 patients using the new antibiotic protocol. Infectious complications were observed following 4 of these treatments (0.52%). As the upper limit of the confidence interval (CI) resulting from a one-sided binomial test was exactly the prespecified limit of 1.0%, from April 2012 onwards, we treated all patients using the new protocol with single administration of prophylactic antibiotics. A total of 3,547 RFA treatments were performed using the single administration protocol. Univariable logistic regression indicated that prior transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) and maximal tumor diameter were significant risk factors for infectious complications (P = 0.04 and P < 0.001, respectively). Multivariable analysis indicated that the adjusted hazard ratio of single vs. continuous administration of antibiotics was 1.20 (95% CI: 0.53-2.75; P = 0.66). CONCLUSIONS: The rate of infectious complications related to RFA was acceptably low. Single administration of prophylactic antibiotics did not significantly increase the rate of infectious complications related to RFA, compared with a more intensive antibiotic protocol.

Cell fate analysis of zone 3 hepatocytes in liver injury and tumorigenesis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Liver lobules are typically subdivided into 3 metabolic zones: zones 1, 2, and 3. However, the contribution of zonal differences in hepatocytes to liver regeneration, as well as to carcinogenic susceptibility, remains unclear. METHODS: We developed a new method for sustained genetic labelling of zone 3 hepatocytes and performed fate tracing to monitor these cells in multiple mouse liver tumour models. RESULTS: We first examined changes in the zonal distribution of the Wnt target gene Axin2 over time using Axin2-Cre ERT2 ;Rosa26-Lox-Stop-Lox-tdTomato mice (Axin2;tdTomato). We found that following tamoxifen administration at 3 weeks of age, approximately one-third of total hepatocytes that correspond to zone 3 were labelled in Axin2;tdTomato mice; the tdTomato+ cell distribution closely matched that of the zone 3 marker CYP2E1. Cell fate analysis revealed that zone 3 hepatocytes maintained their own lineage but rarely proliferated beyond their liver zonation during homoeostasis; this indicated that our protocol enabled persistent genetic labelling of zone 3 hepatocytes. Using this system, we found that zone 3 hepatocytes generally had high neoplastic potential, which was promoted by constitutive activation of Wnt/ß-catenin signalling in the pericentral area. However, the frequency of zone 3 hepatocyte-derived tumours varied depending on the regeneration pattern of the liver parenchyma in response to liver injury. Notably, Axin2-expressing hepatocytes undergoing chronic liver injury significantly contributed to liver regeneration and possessed high neoplastic potential. Additionally, we revealed that the metabolic phenotypes of liver tumours were acquired during tumorigenesis, irrespective of their spatial origin. CONCLUSIONS: Hepatocytes receiving Wnt/ß-catenin signalling from their microenvironment have high neoplastic potential, and Wnt/ß-catenin signalling is a potential drug target for the prevention of hepatocellular carcinoma. LAY SUMMARY: Lineage tracing revealed that zone 3 hepatocytes residing in the pericentral niche have high neoplastic potential. Under chronic liver injury, hepatocytes receiving Wnt/ß-catenin signalling broadly exist across all hepatic zones and significantly contribute to liver tumorigenesis as well as liver regeneration. Wnt/ß-catenin signalling is a potential drug target for the prevention of hepatocellular carcinoma.

Impact of Obesity and Heavy Alcohol Consumption on Hepatocellular Carcinoma Development after HCV Eradication with Antivirals.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: It remains unclear whether obesity increases the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis C who achieved a sustained virological response (SVR) with antiviral therapy. METHODS: In this multicenter cohort study, we enrolled patients with chronic hepatitis C who achieved SVR with interferon (IFN)-based therapy (IFN group) or direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy (DAA group) between January 1, 1990, and December 31, 2018. The patients underwent regular surveillance for HCC. Cumulative incidence of and the risk factors for HCC development after SVR were assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard regression analysis, respectively. RESULTS: Among 2,055 patients (840 in the IFN group and 1,215 in the DAA group), 75 developed HCC (41 in the IFN group and 34 in the DAA group) during the mean observation period of 4.1 years. The incidence rates of HCC at 1, 2, and 3 years were 1.2, 1.9, and 3.0%, respectively. Multivariate analysis revealed that in addition to older age, lower albumin level, lower platelet count, higher alpha-fetoprotein level, and absence of dyslipidemia, obesity (body mass index ≥25 kg/m2) and heavy alcohol consumption (≥60 g/day) were independent risk factors for HCC development, with adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 2.53 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.51-4.25) and 2.56 (95% CI: 1.14-5.75), respectively. The adjusted HR was not significant between the 2 groups (DAA vs. IFN; HR 1.19, 95% CI: 0.61-2.33). CONCLUSIONS: Obesity and heavy alcohol consumption increased the risk of HCC development after SVR.

Radiofrequency Ablation of Liver Tumors in Patients on Antithrombotic Therapy: A Case-Control Analysis of over 10,000 Treatments.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the safety of radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for liver tumors in patients on antithrombotic therapy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 10,653 consecutive RFA treatments in 3,485 patients with liver tumors were analyzed. The incidence of complications was analyzed on a treatment basis. The treatments for patients who had received antithrombotic medication up to 1 week prior to RFA comprised the antithrombotic therapy group (n = 806), and the others comprised the control group (n = 9,847). Antithrombotic agents were ceased prior to RFA (aspirin, ticlopidine, clopidogrel, and prasugrel ceased 7 days before RFA; cilostazol, 2 or 3 days before RFA; warfarin, 3 days before RFA; and direct oral anticoagulants, 1 day before RFA) and resumed as soon as possible after RFA. Logistic regression analysis was performed to assess whether the antithrombotic therapy increased the risk of hemorrhagic complications. RESULTS: Hemorrhagic complications were diagnosed after 6 treatments (0.7%) in the antithrombotic group and 48 (0.5%) in the control group, and there was no significant difference between the groups (P = .30). In 3 treatments, hemorrhage was diagnosed on or after 8 days of RFA, all of which were in the antithrombotic group. Thrombotic complications were diagnosed after 2 treatments (0.2%) in the antithrombotic group and after 5 (0.1%) in the control group. In a multivariate analysis, receiving antithrombotic therapy was not an independent risk factor for hemorrhagic complications (adjusted odds ratio, 1.52; 95% confidence interval, 0.60-3.87; P = .38). CONCLUSIONS: RFA of liver tumors in patients on antithrombotic therapy is generally safe with appropriate cessation and resumption. Late-onset hemorrhage should be noted in the patients on antithrombotic therapy.

Post-treatment cell-free DNA as a predictive biomarker in molecular-targeted therapy of hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: Liquid biopsies, particularly those involving circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA), are rapidly emerging as a non-invasive alternative to tumor biopsies. However, clinical applications of ctDNA analysis in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have not been fully elucidated. METHODS: We measured the amount of plasma-derived cell-free DNA (cfDNA) in HCC patients before (n = 100) and a few days after treatment (n = 87), including radiofrequency ablation, transarterial chemoembolization, and molecular-targeted agents (MTAs), and prospectively analyzed their associations with clinical parameters and prognosis. TERT promoter mutations in cfDNA were analyzed using droplet digital PCR. Furthermore, we performed a comprehensive mutational analysis of post-treatment cfDNA via targeted ultra-deep sequencing (22,000× coverage) in a panel of 275 cancer-related genes in selected patients. RESULTS: Plasma cfDNA levels increased significantly according to HCC clinical stage, and a high cfDNA level was independently associated with a poor prognosis. TERT promoter mutations were detected in 45% of all cases but were not associated with any clinical characteristics. cfDNA levels increased significantly a few days after treatment, and a greater increase in post-treatment cfDNA levels was associated with a greater therapeutic response to MTAs. The detection rate of TERT mutations increased to 57% using post-treatment cfDNA, suggesting that the ctDNA was enriched. Targeted ultra-deep sequencing using post-treatment cfDNA after administering lenvatinib successfully detected various gene mutations and obtained promising results in lenvatinib-responsive cases. CONCLUSIONS: Post-treatment cfDNA analysis may facilitate the construction of biomarkers for predicting MTA treatment effects.

Hepatocellular carcinoma development in diabetic patients: a nationwide survey in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Although type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a known risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development, the annual incidence in diabetes patients is far below the threshold of efficient surveillance. This study aimed to elucidate the risk factors for HCC in diabetic patients and to determine the best criteria to identify surveillance candidates. METHODS: The study included 239 patients with T2DM who were diagnosed with non-viral HCC between 2010 and 2015, with ≥ 5 years of follow-up at diabetes clinics of 81 teaching hospitals in Japan before HCC diagnosis, and 3277 non-HCC T2DM patients from a prospective cohort study, as controls. Clinical data at the time of and 5 years before HCC diagnosis were collected. RESULTS: The mean patient age at HCC diagnosis was approximately 73 years, and 80% of the patients were male. The proportion of patients with insulin use increased, whereas the body mass index (BMI), proportion of patients with fatty liver, fasting glucose levels, and hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels decreased significantly in 5 years. In the cohort study, 18 patients developed HCC during the mean follow-up period of 4.7 years with an annual incidence of 0.11%. Multivariate logistic regression analyses showed that the FIB-4 index was an outstanding predictor of HCC development along with male sex, presence of hypertension, lower HbA1c and albumin levels, and higher BMI and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase levels. Receiver-operating characteristic analyses showed that a FIB-4 cut-off value of 3.61 could help identify high-risk patients, with a corresponding annual HCC incidence rate of 1.1%. CONCLUSION: A simple calculation of the FIB-4 index in diabetes clinics can be the first step toward surveillance of HCC with a non-viral etiology.

Improved liver function in patients with cirrhosis due to chronic hepatitis C virus who achieve sustained virologic response is not accompanied by increased liver volume.

BACKGROUND: Serum albumin level improves in patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection who achieve sustained virologic response (SVR) with antiviral therapy. However, it remains controversial whether liver volume increases along with SVR. METHODS: Patients with chronic HCV infection with a history of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who achieved SVR with anti-HCV treatment from March 2003 to November 2017 were enrolled. Patients were followed up with periodic computed tomography (CT) scans to detect HCC recurrence. Patients who underwent treatment for HCC recurrence within 1 year after initiation of anti-HCV treatment were excluded. Laboratory data, including alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level, serum albumin level, and platelet count, were collected at baseline and timepoints after treatment initiation. Liver volume was evaluated at baseline and 24 and 48 weeks after treatment initiation using a CT volume analyzer. A linear mixed-effects model was applied to analyze the chronologic change in liver volume. The correlations between changes in ALT level, albumin level, and liver volume were also evaluated. RESULTS: Of 108 enrolled patients, 78 had cirrhosis. Serum albumin level continued to increase through 48 weeks after treatment initiation. A significant increase in liver volume was observed only in patients without cirrhosis (P = 0.005). There was a significant correlation between ALT level decrease and albumin level increase (P = 0.018). CONCLUSIONS: Improved liver albumin production with SVR was contributed by improved liver cell function rather than increased liver volume in patients with cirrhosis.

Hepatic FATP5 expression is associated with histological progression and loss of hepatic fat in NAFLD patients.

BACKGROUND: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) are characterized by the accumulation of excess hepatic fat. However, in the progression from NASH to cirrhosis, hepatic fat is often lost. Our aim was to elucidate the mechanism underlying hepatic fat loss during NASH progression. METHODS: Liver biopsies were performed at The University of Tokyo Hospital between November 2011 and March 2016 on 146 patients with NAFLD and 14 patients with cryptogenic cirrhosis who were not being treated with any diabetes or dyslipidemia drugs. Among them, 70 patients underwent liver biopsy after an overnight fast, and 90 patients were biopsied 5 h after an oral glucose tolerance test. Expression differences in genes encoding several fatty acid metabolism-related factors were examined and correlated with hepatic histological changes based on NAFLD activity scores. Prospective patient follow-up continued until June 2018. RESULTS: The level of fatty acid transport protein 5 (FATP5), which is associated with free fatty acid intake, was significantly and inversely correlated with features of histological progression, including ballooning and fibrosis. This was confirmed by immunohistochemical analysis. Transcript levels of genes encoding fatty acid metabolism-related proteins were comparable between NASH with severe fibrosis and cryptogenic cirrhosis. Furthermore, a prospective cohort study demonstrated that low FATP5 expression was the most significant risk factor for hepatic fat loss. CONCLUSIONS: Decreased hepatic FATP5 expression in NAFLD is linked to histological progression, and may be associated with hepatic fat loss during NASH progression to cirrhosis.

A Novel Non-invasive Method for Predicting Liver Fibrosis by Quantifying the Hepatic Vein Waveform.

The hepatic vein (HV) waveform by Doppler ultrasound reflects the severity of liver fibrosis. We conducted a proof-of-concept study of a new method for quantifying the HV waveform. We calculated the coefficient of variation (CV) of the HV flow velocity and created a new index "q-HV" (quantified HV) and analyzed its performance for predicting histologic liver fibrosis in 114 patients with chronic liver disease. The CV of the HV flow velocity was well associated with flattening of the waveform and the q-HV significantly increased with the progression of liver fibrosis. The areas under the curve for the prediction of fibrosis stage were 0.732 for F2, 0.772 for F3 and 0.805 for F4. Combined q-HV and FIB-4 index (widely used liver fibrosis score) increased the diagnostic accuracy for liver fibrosis. The q-HV showed good accuracy for predicting liver fibrosis; thus, q-HV is feasible and acceptable as a non-invasive tool for predicting liver fibrosis.

Early detection of bone metastases of hepatocellular carcinoma reduces bone fracture and paralysis.

BACKGROUND: With the improvement in survival of hepatocellular carcinoma patients, extrahepatic metastases have become a more frequent complication. Although pathological fractures or paralysis due to bone metastases deteriorate the quality of life of patients, no treatment guideline for bone metastases has been established. This study aimed to clarify the risk factors for these events and the clinical course of patients with bone metastases. METHODS: Out of 783 hepatocellular carcinoma patients treated in our institution between 2009 and 2016, 76 patients with bone metastases were enrolled. They were divided into two groups by the trigger of bone metastases detection. One was those diagnosed by surveillance (surveillance group), and the other was those based on symptom presentation (non-surveillance group). We investigated the clinical features, risk factors for fractures or paralysis and prognostic factors for survival after bone metastases. RESULTS: Baseline characteristics and survival were not significantly different between two groups. Fractures or paralysis occurred in 10 patients (13.2%), and the frequency was significantly higher in the non-surveillance group (20.9%) than the surveillance group (3.0%) in univariate analysis (p = 0.036). The median survival after diagnosis of bone metastases was 11.7 months. Age over 75 years (p = 0.002), hepatitis C-virus etiology (p = 0.007) and Child-Pugh class B/C (p < 0.001) were significantly associated with a shorter survival in multivariate analysis, but fractures or paralysis did not affect the survival. CONCLUSIONS: Early diagnosis through surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma bone metastases may prevent fractures or paralysis and lead to a better quality of life for these patients.

Impact of direct-acting antivirals on early recurrence of HCV-related HCC: Comparison with interferon-based therapy.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: It remains controversial whether direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) accelerate the recurrence of hepatitis C-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after curative therapy. This study aimed to evaluate HCC recurrence after DAA treatment of chronic hepatitis C. METHODS: We enrolled patients with a history of successful radiofrequency ablation treatment for hepatitis C-related HCC who received antiviral therapy with DAAs (DAA group: 147 patients) or with interferon (IFN)-based therapy (IFN group: 156 patients). We assessed HCC recurrence rates from the initiation of antiviral therapy using the Kaplan-Meier method and evaluated risk factors for HCC recurrence by multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis. The recurrence pattern was categorized as follows: intrahepatic recurrence with a single tumor <2 cm (stage 0), a single tumor or up to 3 tumors ≤3 cm (stage A), multinodular (stage B), and extrahepatic metastasis or macrovascular invasion (stage C). RESULTS: The recurrence rates at 1 and 2 years were 39% and 61% in the IFN group and 39% and 60% in the DAA group, respectively (p = 0.43). Multivariate analysis identified higher lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive fraction of alpha-fetoprotein level, a history of multiple HCC treatments, and a shorter interval between HCC treatment and initiation of antiviral therapy as independent risk factors for HCC recurrence. HCC recurrence in stage 0, A, B, and C was found in 56 (41%), 60 (44%), 19 (14%), and 1 (0.7%) patients in the IFN group and 35 (44%), 32 (40%), 11 (14%), and 2 (2.5%) patients in the DAA group, respectively (p = 0.70). CONCLUSIONS: HCC recurrence rates and patterns after initiation of antiviral therapy did not differ between patients who received IFN-based therapy and DAA therapy. LAY SUMMARY: We detected no significant difference in early hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence rates and patterns between patients who received interferon-based and direct-acting antiviral therapy after HCC treatment. High lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive fraction of alpha-fetoprotein level, short recurrence-free period, and a history of multiple HCC treatments were independent risk factors for early HCC recurrence after the initiation of antiviral therapy.