Identifying CLL patients at high risk of atrial fibrillation on treatment using machine learning.

An increased risk of developing atrial fibrillation (AF) has been observed in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) who were treated with ibrutinib and other BTK inhibitors. Previous studies have explored the prevalence of AF in CLL and the risk of developing AF at time of diagnosis. However, the interaction between treatment type with other risk factors on risk of developing atrial fibrillation at the time of treatment initiation has not been investigated. This becomes particularly crucial in CLL, as there is often a substantial time gap between diagnosis and treatment, unlike many other cancers. We propose a treatment-aware approach using predictive modeling to identify the risk factors associated with AF at time of treatment initiation. Moreover, the model provides treatment-dependent risk factors by including the interaction between the treatment types and other risk factors. The results demonstrated that the treatment-aware modeling including interactions outperformed currentrisk scores.

Impact of type 2 diabetes on mortality, cause of death, and treatment in chronic lymphocytic leukemia.

Age-related comorbid conditions are exceedingly common in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). As the prevalence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) is predicted to double during the next two decades, a better understanding of the interplay between CLL and T2D is of increasing importance. In this study, analyses were performed in parallel in two separate cohorts, based on Danish national registers and the Mayo Clinic CLL Resource. The primary outcomes were overall survival (OS) from time of CLL diagnosis, OS from time of treatment, and time to first treatment (TTFT), studied using Cox proportional hazard regression analysis and Fine-Gray regression analysis. In the Danish CLL cohort, the prevalence of T2D was 11%, in the Mayo CLL cohort, it was 12%. Patients with CLL and T2D had shorter OS both from time of diagnosis and from first-line treatment for were less likely to receive treatment for CLL compared with patients with CLL and without T2D. The increased mortality was largely driven by an increased risk of death due to infections, especially in the Danish cohort. The findings of this study emphasize a substantial subgroup of CLL patients with co-occurring T2D with an inferior prognosis and a possible unmet treatment need requiring additional interventions and further research.

Real-world outcomes upon second-line treatment in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukaemia.

For chronic lymphocytic leukaemia (CLL), targeted drugs have become the standard of care, in particular for second-line treatment. In this study, overall survival (OS), treatment-free survival (TFS) and adverse events (AE) were registered retrospectively in a Danish population-based cohort upon second-line treatment for CLL. Data were collected from medical records and the Danish National CLL register. For 286 patients receiving second-line treatment, three-year TFS was higher upon targeted treatment (ibrutinib/venetoclax/idelalisib) [63%, 95% confidence interval (CI) 50%-76%] compared with fludarabine, cyclophosphamide and rituximab or bendamustine and rituximab (FCR/BR) (37%, CI: 26%-48%) and chlorambucil+/-CD20-antibody (CD20Clb/Clb) (22%, CI: 10%-33%). Upon targeted treatment, three-year OS estimates were higher for targeted treatment (79%, CI: 68%-91%) compared with FCR/BR (70%, CI: 60%-81%) or CD20Clb/Clb (60%, CI: 47%-74%). The most common AEs were infections and haematological AEs; 92% of patients treated with targeted drugs had AEs, 53% of which were severe. Upon FCR/BR and CD20Clb/Clb, AEs were present for 75% and 53% respectively, of which 63% and 31% were severe. These real-world data demonstrate higher TFS and a tendency towards higher OS following targeted second-line treatment for CLL compared to chemoimmunotherapy, also for patients who may be frailer and more comorbid.

The CLL comorbidity index in a population-based cohort: a tool for clinical care and research.

The chronic lymphocytic leukemia comorbidity index (CLL-CI) is an efficient, CLL-specific tool derived from the Cumulative Illness Rating Scale. The CLL-CI is based on the assessment of the organ systems found to be most strongly associated with event-free survival (EFS) in CLL: vascular, upper gastrointestinal, and endocrine, at the time of initiation of CLL therapy. The CLL-CI categorizes patients into low, intermediate, and high risk groups. In the present study, we have employed the CLL-CI in a population-based cohort comprising 4975 patients with CLL. We demonstrate that CLL-CI retains prognostic significance in this large cohort and is associated with overall survival (OS) and EFS from time of first therapy. Furthermore, CLL-CI associates with OS, EFS, and time to first treatment from diagnosis independently of the CLL International Prognostic Index. These findings support the use of the CLL-CI both in research and in clinical practice.

Systematic literature review of IL-6 as a biomarker or treatment target in patients with gastric, bile duct, pancreatic and colorectal cancer.

Gastrointestinal cancer (GI) is a major health problem. Patients with gastric, pancreatic, colorectal, bile duct and gall bladder cancer often have advanced disease at the time of diagnosis and are generally difficult to cure, resulting in a dismal prognosis for most patients. Inflammation plays an important role in the development and growth of cancer, which has led to a growing interest in the pro-inflammatory cytokine interleukin 6 (IL-6). The aim of the present review was to evaluate the clinical use of IL-6 as a biomarker or therapeutic target in patients with GI cancer. We did a systematic review of studies (1993-2018), to assess the clinical use of IL-6 as a diagnostic, prognostic or predictive tumor biomarker or as a potential therapeutic target. This review includes 48 studies and 5316 patients. Circulating IL-6 levels appear to be an independent prognostic biomarker in patients with GI cancer, with high IL-6 levels associated with short overall survival (OS). The results for colorectal cancer were too ambiguous to give conclusive results. IL-6 seemed to be a marker for some of the clinical characteristics of GI cancer, and may have a role in the diagnostic workup in general practice. No published studies have examined the use of IL-6 as a therapeutic target in pancreatic, gastric, bile duct or colorectal cancer. In conclusion, high circulating IL-6 was associated with short OS in most studies in GI cancer patients. Whether inhibition of IL-6 would decrease GI cancer symptoms and increase quality of life is unknown.