A Novel Predictive Model for Hospital Survival in Patients who are Critically Ill with Dialysis-Dependent AKI: A Retrospective Single-Center Exploratory Study.

Background: Mortality of patients who are critically ill with AKI initiated on RRT is very high. Identifying modifiable and unmodifiable clinical variables at dialysis start that are associated with hospital survival can help, not only in prognostication, but also in clinical triaging. Methods: A retrospective observational study was conducted on patients with AKI-D who were initiated on RRT in the medical and surgical intensive care units (ICUs) of a high-acuity academic medical center from January 2010 through December 2015. We excluded patients with suspected poisoning, ESKD, stage 5 CKD not on dialysis, or patients with AKI-D initiated on RRT outside of the ICU setting. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. Results: Of the 416 patients who were critically ill with AKI-D admitted to the medical (38%), surgical (41%), and cardiac (21%) ICUs, with nearly 75% on artificial organ support, the mean age 62.1±14.8 years, mean SOFA score was 11.8±4.3, dialysis was initiated using continuous RRT in 261 (63%) and intermittent hemodialysis in 155 (37%) patients. Incidence of survival to hospital discharge was 48%. Using multivariable logistic regression with stepwise backward elimination, a prognostic model was created that included the variables age, CKD, COPD, admission, and within 24 hours of the start SOFA score, refractory hyperkalemia and uremic encephalopathy as dialysis indications, BUN >100 mg/dl, serum creatinine, serum lactate, serum albumin, CRRT as initial modality, severe volume overload, and abdominal surgery. The model exhibited good calibration (goodness of fit test, P=0.83) and excellent discrimination (optimism-corrected C statistic 0.93). Conclusions: In this single-center, diverse, critically ill AKI-D population, a novel prognostic model that combined widely used ICU scores, clinical and biochemical data at dialysis start, and dialysis indication and modality, robustly predicted short-term survival. External validation is needed to prove the generalizability of the study findings.

Hyponatremia: incidence, risk factors, and consequences in the elderly in a home-based primary care program.

AIMS: To determine the incidence, risk factors, etiology, and associations of hyponatremia in community-dwelling elderly with geriatric morbidity and mortality. MATERIALS: Elderly participants of a single center home-based primary care program were included. METHOD: Retrospective chart review was conducted on demographic and clinical variables, comorbid diseases, frailty by Fried criteria and biochemical tests over a 1-year period. Primary outcome measure was a composite of falls, fractures due to falls, and hospitalization witnessed within the first year of enrollment into the program. Secondary outcome was all-cause mortality. RESULTS: The study population (n = 608) had a mean age of 84.3 ± 9.3 years and was largely female (77.1%) and African-American (89.5%). Mean follow-up was 41.5 months. Frailty was seen in 44.4%. Incidence of allcause mortality was 26.9%. Initial hyponatremia occurred in 8.71% (n = 53), and persistent hyponatremia (> 6 months of low serum sodium) in 4.1% (n = 25) of the study population. The major causes of hyponatremia included multiple potential causes, idiopathic syndrome of inappropriate antidiuretic hormone (SIADH) and medications (thiazides and selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor (SSRI)). Primary outcome was independently associated with frailty (Odds ratio (OR) of 2.33) and persistent but not initial hyponatremia (OR 3.52). Secondary outcome was independently associated with age > 75 years (OR 2.88) and Afro-American race (OR 2.09) only but not to frailty or hyponatremia. CONCLUSIONS: Hyponatremia is common in home-bound elderly patients and its persistence independently contributes to falls, fractures, and hospitalization but not mortality. Our study highlights a new association of hyponatremia with frailty and underscores the need to study time-dependent association of hyponatremia with epidemiological outcomes.

Anthropometric measures, cytokines and survival in haemodialysis patients.

BACKGROUND: Lower serum albumin concentration (sAlb) and higher levels of pro-inflammatory cytokines have been reported to predict death in patients treated with haemodialysis (HD). SAlb, along with anthropometric measures, has been used as a surrogate marker for nutritional status in patients with chronic disease. Though adequate nutrition has been considered an important factor for patients treated with HD, it has not been established if any nutritional markers other than lower serum albumin and lower body mass index (BMI) predict death. Furthermore, it has not been shown whether anthropometric measures other than BMI are associated with predictors of mortality. METHODS: At the outset of the study, patients were assessed using demographic and anthropometric indices including arm fat area (AFA), arm muscle area (AMA), BMI, per cent ideal weight (PIW), pre-dialysis sAlb, and circulating levels of tumour necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-alpha), IL-1 and IL-6. A severity index, previously demonstrated to be a mortality marker, was used to grade medical co-morbidity. RESULTS: Two-hundred and forty patients entered the study. The mean age was 55.1+/-14.3 years, mean sAlb 3.76+/-0.60 mg/dl, mean AFA 1742+/-1225 mm(2), mean AMA 5464+/-1817 mm(2), mean PIW 101.0+/-21.3% and mean BMI 24.9+/-5.6 kg/m(2). PIW, BMI, AFA and AMA were, as expected, all highly correlated with one another. SAlb correlated with serum transferrin; however, neither sAlb nor serum transferrin concentration correlated with circulating cytokine levels. Circulating cytokines and sAlb did not correlate with PIW, BMI, AFA or AMA. In Cox regression analyses using multiple control variables, IL-6 predicted survival, while the anthropometric measures did not. CONCLUSIONS: Pro-inflammatory cytokines and sAlb are robust predictors of death in patients treated with HD. PIW and BMI correlate well with other anthropometric measures in patients treated with HD, but these measures do not correlate with markers of inflammation. Anthropometric measures are poor predictors of survival compared with measures linked to the acute-phase response.

Dyadic relationship conflict, gender, and mortality in urban hemodialysis patients.

The effects of dyadic satisfaction and conflict have not been well defined in the hemodialysis (HD) population. The aim of this study was to determine whether the perception of decreased dyadic satisfaction was associated with mortality in patients treated with HD, and if so, whether there were different relationships between risk factors, and differential outcomes in men and women. A total of 174 HD patients, primarily African-Americans, involved in dyadic relationships for more than 6 mo had indices of dyadic satisfaction, depression, perception of illness effects, social support, behavioral compliance with the dialysis prescription, and plasma interleukin-1 (IL-1) and beta-endorphin levels measured. Cox proportional hazards models assessed relative mortality risks. Patients' dyadic satisfaction scores correlated with beta-endorphin levels. There was no correlation of IL-1 or beta-endorphin with any psychosocial or behavioral compliance measure in the group as a whole. Correlations between psychosocial, medical, and neuroimmunologic variables were different in men and women. For women, dyadic satisfaction correlated with beta-endorphin levels, depression, and perception of illness. Women with higher dyadic satisfaction and decreased dyadic conflict were at decreased mortality risk, but dyadic adjustment indices were unassociated with differential survival in the larger group of men. Correlations between neuroendocrine and immune markers are different in African-American male and female HD patients. Greater dyadic satisfaction and lower dyadic conflict are independently associated with decreased mortality in female African-American HD patients, of the same order of magnitude as medical risk factors. Such effects may be attributable to a relationship between dyadic satisfaction and conflict and health-related behaviors, or through an effect on neuroendocrine or immunologic status.