CT imaging-derived phenotypes for abdominal muscle and their association with age and sex in a medical biobank.

The study of muscle mass as an imaging-derived phenotype (IDP) may yield new insights into determining the normal and pathologic variations in muscle mass in the population. This can be done by determining 3D abdominal muscle mass from 12 distinct abdominal muscle regions and groups using computed tomography (CT) in a racially diverse medical biobank. To develop a fully automatic technique for assessment of CT abdominal muscle IDPs and preliminarily determine abdominal muscle IDP variations with age and sex in a clinically and racially diverse medical biobank. This retrospective study was conducted using the Penn Medicine BioBank (PMBB), a research protocol that recruits adult participants during outpatient visits at hospitals in the Penn Medicine network. We developed a deep residual U-Net (ResUNet) to segment 12 abdominal muscle groups including the left and right psoas, quadratus lumborum, erector spinae, gluteus medius, rectus abdominis, and lateral abdominals. 110 CT studies were randomly selected for training, validation, and testing. 44 of the 110 CT studies were selected to enrich the dataset with representative cases of intra-abdominal and abdominal wall pathology. The studies were divided into non-overlapping training, validation and testing sets. Model performance was evaluated using the Sørensen-Dice coefficient. Volumes of individual muscle groups were plotted to distribution curves. To investigate associations between muscle IDPs, age, and sex, deep learning model segmentations were performed on a larger abdominal CT dataset from PMBB consisting of 295 studies. Multivariable models were used to determine relationships between muscle mass, age and sex. The model's performance (Dice scores) on the test data was the following: psoas: 0.85 ± 0.12, quadratus lumborum: 0.72 ± 0.14, erector spinae: 0.92 ± 0.07, gluteus medius: 0.90 ± 0.08, rectus abdominis: 0.85 ± 0.08, lateral abdominals: 0.85 ± 0.09. The average Dice score across all muscle groups was 0.86 ± 0.11. Average total muscle mass for females was 2041 ± 560.7 g with a high of 2256 ± 560.1 g (41-50 year old cohort) and a change of - 0.96 g/year, declining to an average mass of 1579 ± 408.8 g (81-100 year old cohort). Average total muscle mass for males was 3086 ± 769.1 g with a high of 3385 ± 819.3 g (51-60 year old cohort) and a change of - 1.73 g/year, declining to an average mass of 2629 ± 536.7 g (81-100 year old cohort). Quadratus lumborum was most highly correlated with age for both sexes (correlation coefficient of - 0.5). Gluteus medius mass in females was positively correlated with age with a coefficient of 0.22. These preliminary findings show that our CNN can automate detailed abdominal muscle volume measurement. Unlike prior efforts, this technique provides 3D muscle segmentations of individual muscles. This technique will dramatically impact sarcopenia diagnosis and research, elucidating its clinical and public health implications. Our results suggest a peak age range for muscle mass and an expected rate of decline, both of which vary between genders. Future goals are to investigate genetic variants for sarcopenia and malnutrition, while describing genotype-phenotype associations of muscle mass in healthy humans using imaging-derived phenotypes. It is feasible to obtain 3D abdominal muscle IDPs with high accuracy from patients in a medical biobank using fully automated machine learning methods. Abdominal muscle IDPs showed significant variations in lean mass by age and sex. In the future, this tool can be leveraged to perform a genome-wide association study across the medical biobank and determine genetic variants associated with early or accelerated muscle wasting.

Orally administered boldine reduces muscle atrophy and promotes neuromuscular recovery in a rodent model of delayed nerve repair.

Peripheral nerve injury often results in poor functional recovery due to a prolonged period of muscle denervation. In particular, absent axonal contact, denervated muscle can undergo irrevocable atrophy and diminished receptiveness for reinnervation over time, ultimately reducing the likelihood for meaningful neuromuscular recovery. While innovative surgical approaches can minimize the harmful effects of denervation by re-routing neighboring-otherwise uninjured-axons, there are no clinically-available approaches to preserve the reinnervation capacity of denervated muscles. Blocking intramuscular connexin hemichannel formation has been reported to improve muscle innervation in vitro and prevent atrophy in vivo. Therefore, the current study investigated the effects of orally administered boldine, a connexin hemichannel inhibitor, on denervated-related muscle changes and nerve regeneration in a rat model of delayed peripheral nerve repair. We found that daily boldine administration significantly enhanced an evoked response in the tibialis anterior muscle at 2 weeks after common peroneal nerve transection, and decreased intramuscular connexin 43 and 45 expression, intraneural Schwann cell expression of connexin 43, and muscle fiber atrophy up to 4 weeks post transection. Additional animals underwent a cross nerve repair procedure (tibial to common peroneal neurorrhaphy) at 4 weeks following the initial transection injury. Here, we found elevated nerve electrophysiological activity and greater muscle fiber maturation at 6 weeks post repair in boldine treated animals. These findings suggest that boldine may be a promising pharmacological approach to minimize the deleterious effects of prolonged denervation and, with further optimization, may improve levels of functional recovery following nerve repair.

Role of hyperglycemia in cystic fibrosis pulmonary exacerbations.

BACKGROUND: Hyperglycemia could affect treatment response during cystic fibrosis (CF) exacerbations. We aimed to evaluate the prevalence and associations of hyperglycemia with exacerbation outcomes. We also evaluated feasibility of continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) during exacerbations. METHODS: The STOP2 study assessed efficacy and safety of different durations of intravenous antibiotics for CF exacerbations. We conducted a secondary data analysis of random glucose levels measured as part of clinical care during exacerbations. A small subset of participants also underwent CGM per research protocol. The associations between hyperglycemia, defined as random glucose ≥140 mg/dL, and changes in weight and lung function with exacerbation treatment were evaluated with linear regression after adjustment for confounding variables. RESULTS: Glucose levels were available for 182 STOP2 participants of mean (SD) age 31.6 (10.8) years, baseline percent predicted (pp) FEV1 53.6 (22.5); 37% had CF related diabetes and 27% were on insulin. Hyperglycemia was detected in 44% of participants. Adjusted mean difference (95% CI) was 1.34% (-1.39, 4.08) (p = 0.336) for change in ppFEV1 and 0.33 kg (-0.11, 0.78) (p = 0.145) for change in weight between hyperglycemic and non-hyperglycemic groups. Ten participants not on antidiabetic agents in the 4 weeks prior to enrollment underwent CGM; mean (SD) time spent >140 mg/dL was 24.6% (12.5) with 9/10 participants spending >4.5% time >140 mg/dL. CONCLUSIONS: Hyperglycemia identified with random glucose is prevalent during CF exacerbations but not associated with changes in lung function or weight with exacerbation treatment. CGM is feasible and may provide a useful tool for hyperglycemia monitoring during exacerbations.

Elexacaftor/tezacaftor/ivacaftor and gastrointestinal outcomes in cystic fibrosis: Report of promise-GI.

BACKGROUND: Elexacaftor/tezacaftor/ivacaftor (ETI) improves pulmonary disease in people with cystic fibrosis (PwCF), but its effect on gastrointestinal symptoms, which also affect quality of life, is not clear. METHODS: PROMISE is a 56-center prospective, observational study of ETI in PwCF >12 years and at least one F508del allele. Gastrointestinal symptoms, evaluated by validated questionnaires: Patient Assessment of Upper Gastrointestinal Disorders-Symptom (PAGI-SYM), Patient Assessment of Constipation-Symptom (PAC-SYM), Patient Assessment of Constipation-Quality of Life (PAC-QOL)), fecal calprotectin, steatocrit and elastase-1 were measured before and 6 months after ETI initiation. Mean difference and 95% confidence intervals were obtained from linear regression with adjustment for age and sex. RESULTS: 438 participants fully completed at least 1 questionnaire. Mean (SD) for baseline PAGI-SYM, PAC-SYM, and PAC-QOL total scores were 0.56 (0.59), 0.47 (0.45), and 0.69 (0.53) out of maximum 5, 4, and 5, respectively (higher score indicates greater severity). Corresponding age- and sex-adjusted 6 months mean changes (95% CI) in total scores were -0.15 (-0.21, -0.09) for PAGI-SYM, -0.14 (-0.19, -0.09) for PAC-SYM, and -0.15 (-0.21, -0.10) for PAC-QOL. While statistically significant, changes were small and unlikely to be of clinical importance. Fecal calprotectin showed a change (95% CI) from baseline of -66.2 µg/g (-86.1, -46.2) at 6 months, while fecal elastase and steatocrit did not meaningfully change. CONCLUSIONS: After 6 months of ETI, fecal markers of inflammation decreased. Gastrointestinal symptoms improved, but the effect size was small. Pancreatic insufficiency did not improve.

Multicenter prospective study showing a high gastrointestinal symptom burden in cystic fibrosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: People with cystic fibrosis (PwCF) suffer from gastrointestinal (GI) symptoms affecting their quality of life (QOL). Despite the relevance of GI symptoms to the overall health of PwCF, a paucity of studies only have comprehensively assessed the prevalence, severity and QOL of GI symptoms in both children and adults with Cystic Fibrosis (CF). METHODS: Eligible participants ≥2 years of age across 26 US CF centers were followed for 4 weeks. Three validated GI electronic patient-reported outcome measures (ePROMs) with a recall period of 2 weeks and a stool-specific questionnaire were administered weekly over four weeks. Total and domain scores of ePROMs were evaluated overall and in subgroups using linear mixed-effect models. RESULTS: Of 402 enrolled, 58% were ≥ 18 years of age (52% male). The mean (SD) of the total score for PAC-SYM was 0.52 (0.55), for PAGI-SYM was 0.63 (0.67), and for PAC-QOL was 0.67 (0.55). For specific ePROM questions, prevalence of moderate to very severe symptoms were as follows: straining (20.3%), fullness (18.3%), incomplete bowel movements (17.1%), bloating (16.4%), distension (16.4%), abdominal pain (upper-5.1%, lower-7.5%). Comparing participants ≥18 versus <18, a higher prevalence of bloating (63.7% versus 27.3%), lower abdominal pain (39.8% vs 26.2%), stomach fullness (75.6% versus 56.2%), and abdominal distension (60.2% versus 34.9%) was found. Both age groups reported high treatment dissatisfaction as measured with PAC-QOL, mean 1.39 (95% CI: 1.30, 1.47). CONCLUSION: GI symptoms were reported in all age ranges irrespective of gender, with higher prevalence observed amongst older and female subgroups. Dissatisfaction with GI targeted treatments were reported in a large proportion of participants despite therapy, highlighting an unmet need for clinical interventions. CLINICALTRIALS: GOV: NCT03801993.

Prospectively evaluating maternal and fetal outcomes in the era of CFTR modulators: the MAYFLOWERS observational clinical trial study design.

INTRODUCTION: Therapeutic advances have markedly increased life expectancy for those with cystic fibrosis (CF), resulting in a median predicted survival over 50 years. Consequently, people with CF (pwCF) are living through their reproductive years and the rate of pregnancy is rapidly rising. Despite the increased relevance of this topic, multicentre studies investigating the association between maternal health and choices made during pregnancy on maternal and fetal outcomes do not exist. Furthermore, there are very limited data on the outcomes following CF transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR) modulator use during pregnancy and lactation. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Maternal and Fetal Outcomes in the Era of Modulators (MAYFLOWERS) is a prospective, multicentre observational clinical trial which will enrol approximately 285 pregnant pwCF including those who are modulator ineligible and those who choose to continue or discontinue CFTR modulator therapy during pregnancy and lactation. The primary aim of this 35-month study is to assess whether lung function changes during pregnancy differ based on the continued use of modulators or other factors such as pre-existing comorbid conditions. Secondary objectives include evaluation of pregnancy related and obstetrical complications and changes in mental health. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The design of this study required special consideration of study burden on pregnant and lactating people with chronic illness in the setting of a substantial number of unanswered questions under these conditions. MAYFLOWERS is the first prospective clinical trial examining pregnancy in CF; the outcomes will guide providers on pregnancy management in pwCF and others with chronic respiratory disease.

Engineered neuronal microtissue provides exogenous axons for delayed nerve fusion and rapid neuromuscular recovery in rats.

Nerve injury requiring surgical repair often results in poor functional recovery due to the inability of host axons to re-grow long distances and reform meaningful connections with the target muscle. While surgeons can re-route local axon fascicles to the target muscle, there are no technologies to provide an exogenous source of axons without sacrificing healthy nerves. Accordingly, we have developed tissue engineered neuromuscular interfaces (TE-NMIs) as the first injectable microtissue containing motor and sensory neurons in an anatomically-inspired architecture. TE-NMIs provide axon tracts that are intended to integrate with denervated distal structures and preserve regenerative capacity during prolonged periods without host innervation. Following implant, we found that TE-NMI axons promoted Schwann cell maintenance, integrated with distal muscle, and preserved an evoked muscle response out to 20-weeks post nerve transection in absence of innervation from host axons. By repopulating the distal sheath with exogenous axons, TE-NMIs also enabled putative delayed fusion with proximal host axons, a phenomenon previously not achievable in delayed repair scenarios due to distal axon degeneration. Here, we found immediate electrophysiological recovery after fusion with proximal host axons and improved axon maturation and muscle reinnervation at 24-weeks post-transection (4-weeks following delayed nerve fusion). These findings show that TE-NMIs provide the potential to improve functional recovery following delayed nerve repair.

Enteral Iron Supplementation in Infants Born Extremely Preterm and its Positive Correlation with Neurodevelopment; Post Hoc Analysis of the Preterm Erythropoietin Neuroprotection Trial Randomized Controlled Trial.

OBJECTIVES: To test whether an increased iron dose is associated with improved neurodevelopment as assessed by the Bayley Scales of Infant Development, third edition (BSID-III) among infants enrolled in the Preterm Erythropoietin (Epo) Neuroprotection Trial (PENUT). STUDY DESIGN: This is a post hoc analysis of a randomized trial that enrolled infants born at 24-28 completed weeks of gestation. All infants in PENUT who were assessed with BSID-III at 2 years were included in this study. The associations between enteral iron dose at 60 and 90 days and BSID-III component scores were evaluated using generalized estimating equations models adjusted for potential confounders. RESULTS: In total, 692 infants were analyzed (355 placebo, 337 Epo). Enteral iron supplementation ranged from 0 to 14.7 mg/kg/d (IQR 2.1-5.8 mg/kg/d) at day 60, with a mean of 3.6 mg/kg/d in infants treated with placebo and 4.8 mg/kg/d in infants treated with Epo. A significant positive association was seen between BSID-III cognitive scores and iron dose at 60 days, with an effect size of 0.77 BSID points per 50 mg/kg increase in cumulative iron dose (P = .03). Greater iron doses were associated with greater motor and language scores but did not reach statistical significance. Results at 90 days were not significant. The effect size in the infants treated with Epo compared with placebo was consistently greater. CONCLUSIONS: A positive association was seen between iron dose at 60 days and cognitive outcomes. Our results suggest that increased iron supplementation in infants born preterm, at the doses administered in the PENUT Trial, may have positive neurodevelopmental effects, particularly in infants treated with Epo. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov: NCT01378273.

Utilization of electronic patient-reported outcome measures in cystic fibrosis research: Application to the GALAXY study.

BACKGROUND: The Food and Drug Administration considers patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) an essential part of clinical research studies for approval of new drugs and new indications for existing drugs. GALAXY evaluated the feasibility of electronic PROMs (ePROMS) to conduct a comprehensive evaluation of gastrointestinal (GI) symptoms in persons with cystic fibrosis (pwCF). METHODS: Three validated GI ePROMs (PAC-SYM, PAGI-SYM and PAC-QOL) were combined with a Stool-Specific questionnaire to make up the GALAXY ePROMs and administered prospectively across 26 CF centers in the United States. The ePROMs were completed at enrollment visit and then electronically at weeks 1, 2 and 4. PwCF at least 2 years and older were eligible for the study. Reminders were only provided by the mobile application during the study window. RESULTS: There were 402 participants enrolled in GALAXY. Of those, 169 (42%) were under 18 years old and 193 (48%) were female. The proportion of all follow-up weeks with at least 1 ePROM fully completed was 80%, slightly higher in those ≥18 years of age (82.5%) compared to those <18 years of age (76.5%). When assessing the completion for all 4 ePROMs, the percentage was 77.6%, also higher among those ≥18 year of age (81.5% versus 72.2% for < 18 years of age). CONCLUSION: Using ePROMs, our study demonstrated that GI symptoms can be feasibly collected with good reproducibility and with minimal involvement of research coordinator time. This mechanism of symptom collection may provide an efficient tool for future CF trials.

Comparison of two markers of iron sufficiency and neurodevelopmental outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Iron deficiency during critical windows of brain development is associated with suboptimal neurodevelopmental outcomes. Identifying markers of neonatal iron status that best correlate with neurodevelopmental outcome is critical for optimal management of iron supplementation of neonates. AIMS: We aimed to evaluate two markers of iron sufficiency, ferritin and zinc protoporphyrin-to-heme ratios (ZnPP/H), with neurodevelopmental outcomes. STUDY DESIGN: This is a retrospective cohort study. SUBJECTS: All infants with concurrent ferritin and ZnPP/H measurements obtained between October 2014 and April 2017 and Bayley Scales of Infant Development, 3rd Edition (BSID-III) evaluated at 24 months corrected age were included. OUTCOME MEASURES: Associations between iron markers (minimum, maximum and median ferritin and ZnPP/H) and BSID-III score at 24 months were assessed. RESULTS: 223 lab measurements from 62 infants were assessed. Mean gestational age was 28.1 weeks (SD = 2.6) with a mean birth weight of 1.1 kg (SD = 0.4). Significant associations between maximum and median ZnPP/H and motor score, and between median ZnPP/H and cognitive score were observed. Trends were also seen with higher minimum, median and maximum ZnPP/H associated with lower BSID-III scores, but did not reach statistical significance (p > 0.05). The associations between ferritin values and BSID scores were less consistent. CONCLUSIONS: A positive association was seen between ZnPP/H values and BSID-III scores. Trends between ferritin and BSID values were less consistent, potentially because ferritin is more affected by inflammation. Consideration should be given to using ZnPP/H preferentially to adjust iron supplementation in the NICU to improve neurodevelopmental outcomes.

Cytokine and chemokine responses to injury and treatment in a nonhuman primate model of hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy treated with hypothermia and erythropoietin.

Predicting long-term outcome in infants with hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE) remains an ongoing clinical challenge. We investigated plasma biomarkers and their association with 6-month outcomes in a nonhuman primate model of HIE with or without therapeutic hypothermia (TH) and erythropoietin (Epo). Twenty-nine Macaca nemestrina were randomized to control cesarean section (n = 7) or 20 min of umbilical cord occlusion (UCO, n = 22) with either no treatment (n = 11) or TH/Epo (n = 11). Initial injury severity was scored using 30-min arterial pH, base deficit, and 10-min Apgar score. Twenty-four plasma cytokines, chemokines, and growth factors were measured 3, 6, 24, 72, and 96 h after UCO. Interleukin 17 (IL-17) and macrophage-derived chemokine (MDC) differentiated the normal/mild from moderate/severe injury groups. Treatment with TH/Epo was associated with increased monocyte chemotactic protein-4 (MCP-4) at 3 h-6h, and significantly lower MCP-4 and MDC at 24 h-72h, respectively. IL-12p40 was lower at 24 h-72h in animals with death/cerebral palsy (CP) compared to survivors without CP. Baseline injury severity was the single best predictor of death/CP, and predictions did not improve with the addition of biomarker data. Circulating chemokines associated with the peripheral monocyte cell lineage are associated with severity of injury and response to therapy, but do not improve ability to predict outcomes.

Transfusions and neurodevelopmental outcomes in extremely low gestation neonates enrolled in the PENUT Trial: a randomized clinical trial.

BACKGROUND: Outcomes of extremely low gestational age neonates (ELGANs) may be adversely impacted by packed red blood cell (pRBC) transfusions. We investigated the impact of transfusions on neurodevelopmental outcome in the Preterm Erythropoietin (Epo) Neuroprotection (PENUT) Trial population. METHODS: This is a post hoc analysis of 936 infants 24-0/6 to 27-6/7 weeks' gestation enrolled in the PENUT Trial. Epo 1000 U/kg or placebo was given every 48 h × 6 doses, followed by 400 U/kg or sham injections 3 times a week through 32 weeks postmenstrual age. Six hundred and twenty-eight (315 placebo, 313 Epo) survived and were assessed at 2 years of age. We evaluated associations between BSID-III scores and the number and volume of pRBC transfusions. RESULTS: Each transfusion was associated with a decrease in mean cognitive score of 0.96 (95% CI of [-1.34, -0.57]), a decrease in mean motor score of 1.51 (-1.91, -1.12), and a decrease in mean language score of 1.10 (-1.54, -0.66). Significant negative associations between BSID-III score and transfusion volume and donor exposure were observed in the placebo group but not in the Epo group. CONCLUSIONS: Transfusions in ELGANs were associated with worse outcomes. We speculate that strategies to minimize the need for transfusions may improve outcomes. IMPACT: Transfusion number, volume, and donor exposure in the neonatal period are associated with worse neurodevelopmental (ND) outcome at 2 years of age, as assessed by the Bayley Infant Scales of Development, Third Edition (BSID-III). The impact of neonatal packed red blood cell transfusions on the neurodevelopmental outcome of preterm infants is unknown. We speculate that strategies to minimize the need for transfusions may improve neurodevelopmental outcomes.

Effect of High-Dose Erythropoietin on Blood Transfusions in Extremely Low Gestational Age Neonates: Post Hoc Analysis of a Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Extremely preterm infants are among the populations receiving the highest levels of transfusions. Erythropoietin has not been recommended for premature infants because most studies have not demonstrated a decrease in donor exposure. Objectives: To determine whether high-dose erythropoietin given within 24 hours of birth through postmenstrual age of 32 completed weeks will decrease the need for blood transfusions. Design, Setting, and Participants: The Preterm Erythropoietin Neuroprotection Trial (PENUT) is a randomized, double-masked clinical trial with participants enrolled at 19 sites consisting of 30 neonatal intensive care units across the United States. Participants were born at a gestational age of 24 weeks (0-6 days) to 27 weeks (6-7 days). Exclusion criteria included conditions known to affect neurodevelopmental outcomes. Of 3266 patients screened, 2325 were excluded, and 941 were enrolled and randomized to erythropoietin (n = 477) or placebo (n = 464). Data were collected from December 12, 2013, to February 25, 2019, and analyzed from March 1 to June 15, 2019. Interventions: In this post hoc analysis, erythropoietin, 1000 U/kg, or placebo was given every 48 hours for 6 doses, followed by 400 U/kg or sham injections 3 times a week through postmenstrual age of 32 weeks. Main Outcomes and Measures: Need for transfusion, transfusion numbers and volume, number of donor exposures, and lowest daily hematocrit level are presented herein. Results: A total of 936 patients (488 male [52.1%]) were included in the analysis, with a mean (SD) gestational age of 25.6 (1.2) weeks and mean (SD) birth weight of 799 (189) g. Erythropoietin treatment (vs placebo) decreased the number of transfusions (unadjusted mean [SD], 3.5 [4.0] vs 5.2 [4.4]), with a relative rate (RR) of 0.66 (95% CI, 0.59-0.75); the cumulative transfused volume (mean [SD], 47.6 [60.4] vs 76.3 [68.2] mL), with a mean difference of -25.7 (95% CI, 18.1-33.3) mL; and donor exposure (mean [SD], 1.6 [1.7] vs 2.4 [2.0]), with an RR of 0.67 (95% CI, 0.58-0.77). Despite fewer transfusions, erythropoietin-treated infants tended to have higher hematocrit levels than placebo-treated infants, most noticeable at gestational week 33 in infants with a gestational age of 27 weeks (mean [SD] hematocrit level in erythropoietin-treated vs placebo-treated cohorts, 36.9% [5.5%] vs 30.4% [4.6%] (P < .001). Of 936 infants, 160 (17.1%) remained transfusion free at the end of 12 postnatal weeks, including 43 in the placebo group and 117 in the erythropoietin group (P < .001). Conclusions and Relevance: These findings suggest that high-dose erythropoietin as used in the PENUT protocol was effective in reducing transfusion needs in this population of extremely preterm infants. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01378273.

The efficacy of a compounded micronutrient supplement on the incidence, duration, and severity of the common cold: A pilot randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled trial.

PURPOSE: Viral upper respiratory infections are associated with significant health and economic impact. This study sought to determine the efficacy of routine immune system micronutrient supplementation on the incidence, duration and severity of common cold symptoms. METHODS: This pilot study was a randomized, double-blinded, placebo-controlled trial of N = 259 with asymptomatic participants aged 18 to 65 in two cold seasons of 2016 and 2017. The treatment group received an immune system targeted micronutrient caplet, while the placebo group received a micronized cellulose caplet externally identical to the treatment caplet. Weekly surveys were sent electronically to participants to document common cold incidence, duration and severity. Primary statistical results were obtained using mixed-effects logistic regressions to account for longitudinal measurements for participants. RESULTS: The odds of acquiring an upper respiratory infection, adjusted for potential confounders, was estimated to be 0.74 times lower in the treatment group (p = 0.14). The odds of reporting specific symptoms were statistically lower in the treatment arm compared to the placebo arm for runny nose (OR = 0.53, p = 0.01) and cough (OR = 0.51, p = 0.04). Shorter durations of runny nose and cough were also observed in the treatment arm compared to placebo (both p < 0.05). There was no significant difference in severity of symptoms in either group. The observed proportion of reported cold symptoms in the treatment group was lower compared to the placebo group between late January and February in two consecutive cold seasons. Given the physical, workplace and economic impact of upper respiratory infections, this low cost and low risk intervention should be further studied with more robust investigation and meticulous experimental design.

Probabilistic predictive principal component analysis for spatially misaligned and high-dimensional air pollution data with missing observations.

Accurate predictions of pollutant concentrations at new locations are often of interest in air pollution studies on fine particulate matters (PM2.5), in which data is usually not measured at all study locations. PM2.5 is also a mixture of many different chemical components. Principal component analysis (PCA) can be incorporated to obtain lower-dimensional representative scores of such multi-pollutant data. Spatial prediction can then be used to estimate these scores at new locations. Recently developed predictive PCA modifies the traditional PCA algorithm to obtain scores with spatial structures that can be well predicted at unmeasured locations. However, these approaches require complete data, whereas multi-pollutant data tends to have complex missing patterns in practice. We propose probabilistic versions of predictive PCA which allow for flexible model-based imputation that can account for spatial information and subsequently improve the overall predictive performance.

A Randomized Trial of Erythropoietin for Neuroprotection in Preterm Infants.

BACKGROUND: High-dose erythropoietin has been shown to have a neuroprotective effect in preclinical models of neonatal brain injury, and phase 2 trials have suggested possible efficacy; however, the benefits and safety of this therapy in extremely preterm infants have not been established. METHODS: In this multicenter, randomized, double-blind trial of high-dose erythropoietin, we assigned 941 infants who were born at 24 weeks 0 days to 27 weeks 6 days of gestation to receive erythropoietin or placebo within 24 hours after birth. Erythropoietin was administered intravenously at a dose of 1000 U per kilogram of body weight every 48 hours for a total of six doses, followed by a maintenance dose of 400 U per kilogram three times per week by subcutaneous injection through 32 completed weeks of postmenstrual age. Placebo was administered as intravenous saline followed by sham injections. The primary outcome was death or severe neurodevelopmental impairment at 22 to 26 months of postmenstrual age. Severe neurodevelopmental impairment was defined as severe cerebral palsy or a composite motor or composite cognitive score of less than 70 (which corresponds to 2 SD below the mean, with higher scores indicating better performance) on the Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development, third edition. RESULTS: A total of 741 infants were included in the per-protocol efficacy analysis: 376 received erythropoietin and 365 received placebo. There was no significant difference between the erythropoietin group and the placebo group in the incidence of death or severe neurodevelopmental impairment at 2 years of age (97 children [26%] vs. 94 children [26%]; relative risk, 1.03; 95% confidence interval, 0.81 to 1.32; P = 0.80). There were no significant differences between the groups in the rates of retinopathy of prematurity, intracranial hemorrhage, sepsis, necrotizing enterocolitis, bronchopulmonary dysplasia, or death or in the frequency of serious adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: High-dose erythropoietin treatment administered to extremely preterm infants from 24 hours after birth through 32 weeks of postmenstrual age did not result in a lower risk of severe neurodevelopmental impairment or death at 2 years of age. (Funded by the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke; PENUT ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01378273.).

Trends in reticulocyte hemoglobin equivalent values in critically ill neonates, stratified by gestational age.

OBJECTIVE: The reticulocyte index reticulocyte hemoglobin equivalent (Ret-He) was evaluated as a marker of iron status. STUDY DESIGN: This is a retrospective cohort study of all infants admitted to the University of Washington Neonatal Intensive Care Unit, who received Ret-He measurements as part of routine care within the first 120 days of life. RESULT: A total of 730 Ret-He measurements from 249 infants were analyzed (median gestational age at birth 32.1 weeks; 49 infants <28 weeks and 200 ≥28 weeks). Initial Ret-He measurements were lower in infants <28 weeks (28.24 vs. 33.34 pg). Ret-He values initially decreased, then slowly increased. Infants received an average of 3.9, 6.5, and 8.2 mg/kg/day of enteral iron sulfate at 30, 60, and 90 days, respectively. CONCLUSION: Ret-He values showed a slow uptrend with enteral iron supplementation following an initial decrease, suggesting that neonates are able to improve their iron sufficiency status with supplementation.

Zinc Protoporphyrin-to-Heme Ratio and Ferritin as Measures of Iron Sufficiency in the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate ferritin and zinc protoporphyrin-to-heme (ZnPP/H) ratios as biomarkers of iron status in neonates, determine how specific clinical events affected these measures, and assess how iron status changed during hospitalization. STUDY DESIGN: We performed a retrospective study of all infants with paired ferritin and ZnPP/H measurements between October 2014 and May 2016. Concordance of these measurements, effects of sepsis, red blood cell transfusion, erythropoietin treatment, and iron supplementation were assessed. Iron status was measured over time. RESULTS: A total of 228 patients (mean birth weight 1.3 kg, median gestational age 29 weeks) were evaluated. Mean log ZnPP/H values in infants with and without sepsis were not significantly different (4.98 µmol/mol vs 4.97 µmol/mol, adjusted P = .103), whereas log-transformed ferritin values increased significantly during infection (5.23 ng/mL vs 4.04 ng/mL, adjusted P < .001). Ferritin also increased more significantly than ZnPP/H following red blood cell transfusion (ferritin: mean 5.03 ng/mL vs 4.0 ng/mL, P < .001; ZnPP/H: mean 4.85 µmol/mol vs 4.98 µmol/mol, P < .001). The mean iron supplementations at 30, 60, and 90 days were 5.4, 6.9, and 7.4 mg/kg/day, respectively. Ferritin values decreased with advancing postnatal age (adjusted P < .001), with 66% of ferritin values less than 76 ng/mL. Treatment with erythropoietin increased ZnPP/H, but not ferritin levels. CONCLUSIONS: Ferritin is more significantly affected by inflammatory events such as sepsis and transfusion than ZnPP/H, thus, ZnPP/H may be a more reliable marker of iron status in this population. Infants showed worsening iron sufficiency over time despite supplementation above American Academy of Pediatrics guidelines.

A Geographical Analysis of Emergency Medical Service Calls and Extreme Heat in King County, WA, USA (2007-2012).

This research analyzed the relationship between extreme heat and Emergency Medical Service (EMS) calls in King County, WA, USA between 2007 and 2012, including the effect of community-level characteristics. Extreme heat thresholds for the Basic Life Support (BLS) data and the Advanced Life Support (ALS) data were found using a piecewise generalized linear model with Akaike Information Criterion (AIC). The association between heat exposure and EMS call rates was investigated using a generalized estimating equations with Poisson mean model, while adjusting for community-level indicators of poverty, impervious surface, and elderly population (65+). In addition, we examined the effect modifications of these community-level factors. Extreme-heat thresholds of 31.1 °C and 33.5 °C humidex were determined for the BLS and ALS data, respectively. After adjusting for other variables in the model, increased BLS call volume was significantly associated with occurring on a heat day (relative rate (RR) = 1.080, p < 0.001), as well as in locations with higher percent poverty (RR = 1.066, p < 0.001). No significant effect modification was identified for the BLS data on a heat day. Controlling for other variables, higher ALS call volume was found to be significantly associated with a heat day (RR = 1.067, p < 0.001), as well as in locations with higher percent impervious surface (RR = 1.015, p = 0.039), higher percent of the population 65 years or older (RR = 1.057, p = 0.005), and higher percent poverty (RR = 1.041, p = 0.016). Furthermore, percent poverty and impervious surface were found to significantly modify the relative rate of ALS call volumes between a heat day and non-heat day. We conclude that EMS call volume increases significantly on a heat day compared to non-heat day for both call types. While this study shows that there is some effect modification between the community-level variables and call volume on a heat day, further research is necessary. Our findings also suggest that with adequate power, spatially refined analyses may not be necessary to accurately estimate the extreme-heat effect on health.