Prognostic significance of chronic kidney disease and impaired renal function in Japanese patients with COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: Renal impairment is a predictor of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) severity. No studies have compared COVID-19 outcomes in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and patients with impaired renal function without a prior diagnosis of CKD. This study aimed to identify the impact of pre-existing impaired renal function without CKD on COVID-19 outcomes. METHODS: This retrospective study included 3,637 patients with COVID-19 classified into three groups by CKD history and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) on referral: Group 1 (n = 2,460), normal renal function without a CKD history; Group 2 (n = 905), impaired renal function without a CKD history; and Group 3 (n = 272), history of CKD. We compared the clinical characteristics of these groups and assessed the effect of CKD and impaired renal function on critical outcomes (requirement for respiratory support with high-flow oxygen devices, invasive mechanical ventilation, or extracorporeal membrane oxygen, and death during hospitalization) using multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: The prevalence of comorbidities (hypertension, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease) and incidence of inflammatory responses (white blood counts, and C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, and D-dimer levels) and complications (bacterial infection and heart failure) were higher in Groups 2 and 3 than that in Group 1. The incidence of critical outcomes was 10.8%, 17.7%, and 26.8% in Groups 1, 2, and 3, respectively. The mortality rate and the rate of requiring IMV support was lowest in Group 1 and highest in Group 3. Compared with Group 1, the risk of critical outcomes was higher in Group 2 (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 1.32, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.03-1.70, P = 0.030) and Group 3 (aOR: 1.94, 95% CI: 1.36-2.78, P < 0.001). Additionally, the eGFR was significantly associated with critical outcomes in Groups 2 (odds ratio [OR]: 2.89, 95% CI: 1.64-4.98, P < 0.001) and 3 (OR: 1.87, 95% CI: 1.08-3.23, P = 0.025) only. CONCLUSIONS: Clinicians should consider pre-existing CKD and impaired renal function at the time of COVID-19 diagnosis for the management of COVID-19.

Lung volume measurement using chest CT in COVID-19 patients: a cohort study in Japan.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate the utility of CT quantification of lung volume for predicting critical outcomes in COVID-19 patients. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 1200 hospitalised patients with COVID-19 from 4 hospitals. Lung fields were extracted using artificial intelligence-based segmentation, and the percentage of the predicted (%pred) total lung volume (TLC (%pred)) was calculated. The incidence of critical outcomes and posthospitalisation complications was compared between patients with low and high CT lung volumes classified based on the median percentage of predicted TLCct (n=600 for each). Prognostic factors for residual lung volume loss were investigated in 208 patients with COVID-19 via a follow-up CT after 3 months. RESULTS: The incidence of critical outcomes was higher in the low TLCct (%pred) group than in the high TLCct (%pred) group (14.2% vs 3.3%, p<0.0001). Multivariable analysis of previously reported factors (age, sex, body mass index and comorbidities) demonstrated that CT-derived lung volume was significantly associated with critical outcomes. The low TLCct (%pred) group exhibited a higher incidence of bacterial infection, heart failure, thromboembolism, liver dysfunction and renal dysfunction than the high TLCct (%pred) group. TLCct (%pred) at 3 months was similarly divided into two groups at the median (71.8%). Among patients with follow-up CT scans, lung volumes showed a recovery trend from the time of admission to 3 months but remained lower in critical cases at 3 months. CONCLUSION: Lower CT lung volume was associated with critical outcomes, posthospitalisation complications and slower improvement of clinical conditions in COVID-19 patients.

CT-derived vertebral bone mineral density is a useful biomarker to predict COVID-19 outcome.

The low vertebral bone computed tomography (CT) Hounsfield unit values measured on CT scans reflect low bone mineral density (BMD) and are known as diagnostic indicators for osteoporosis. The potential prognostic significance of low BMD defined by vertebral bone CT values for the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) remains unclear. This study aimed to assess the impact of BMD on the clinical outcome in Japanese patients with COVID-19 and evaluate the association between BMD and critical outcomes, such as high-flow nasal cannula, non-invasive and invasive positive pressure ventilation, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, or death. We examined the effects of COVID-19 severity on the change of BMD over time. This multicenter retrospective cohort study enrolled 1132 inpatients with COVID-19 from the Japan COVID-19 Task Force database between February 2020 and September 2022. The bone CT values of the 4th, 7th, and 10th thoracic vertebrae were measured from chest CT images. The average of these values was defined as BMD. Furthermore, a comparative analysis was conducted between the BMD on admission and its value 3 months later. The low BMD group had a higher proportion of critical outcomes than did the high BMD group. In a subanalysis stratifying patients by epidemic wave according to onset time, critical outcomes were higher in the low BMD group in the 1st-4th waves. Multivariable logistic analysis of previously reported factors associated with COVID-19 severity revealed that low BMD, chronic kidney disease, and diabetes were independently associated with critical outcomes. At 3 months post-infection, patients with oxygen demand during hospitalization showed markedly decreased BMD than did those on admission. Low BMD in patients with COVID-19 may help predict severe disease after the disease onset. BMD may decrease over time in patients with severe COVID-19, and the impact on sequelae symptoms should be investigated in the future.

Integrated assessment of computed tomography density in pectoralis and erector spinae muscles as a prognostic biomarker for coronavirus disease 2019.

BACKGROUND ＆ AIMS: Muscle quantification using chest computed tomography (CT) is a useful prognostic biomarker for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). However, no studies have evaluated the clinical course through comprehensive assessment of the pectoralis and erector spinae muscles. Therefore, we compared the impact of the areas and densities of these muscles on COVID-19 infection outcome. METHODS: This multicenter retrospective cohort study was conducted by the COVID-19 Task Force. A total of 1410 patients with COVID-19 were included, and data on the area and density of the pectoralis and erector spinae muscles on chest CT were collected. The impact of each muscle parameter on the clinical outcome of COVID-19 was stratified according to sex. The primary outcome was the percentage of patients with severe disease, including those requiring oxygen supplementation and those who died. Additionally, 167 patients were followed up for changes in muscle parameters at three months and for the clinical characteristics in case of reduced CT density. RESULTS: For both muscles, low density rather than muscle area was associated with COVID-19 severity. Regardless of sex, lower erector spinae muscle density was associated with more severe disease than pectoralis muscle density. The muscles were divided into two groups using the receiver operating characteristic curve of CT density, and the population was classified into four (Group A: high CT density for both muscles, Group B: low CT density for pectoralis and high for erector spinae muscle. Group C: high CT density for pectoralis and low for erector spinae muscle, Group D: low CT density for both muscles). In univariate analysis, Group D patients exhibited worse outcomes than Group A (OR: 2.96, 95% CI: 2.03-4.34 in men; OR: 3.02, 95% CI: 2.66-10.4 in women). Multivariate analysis revealed that men in Group D had a significantly more severe prognosis than those in Group A (OR: 1.82, 95% CI: 1.16-2.87). Moreover, Group D patients tended to have the highest incidence of other complications due to secondary infections and acute kidney injury during the clinical course. Longitudinal analysis of both muscle densities over three months revealed that patients with decreased muscle density over time were more likely to have severe cases than those who did not. CONCLUSIONS: Muscle density, rather than muscle area, predicts the clinical outcomes of COVID-19. Integrated assessment of pectoralis and erector spinae muscle densities demonstrated higher accuracy in predicting the clinical course of COVID-19 than individual assessments.

Prognostic significance of hypertension history and blood pressure on admission in Japanese patients with coronavirus disease 2019: integrative analysis from the Japan COVID-19 Task Force.

The effect of preexisting hypertension on coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) prognosis remains controversial. Additionally, no studies have compared the association between blood pressure (BP) indices on admission and COVID-19 outcomes using preexisting hypertension status. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the association between preexisting hypertension and COVID-19 outcomes in Japanese patients with COVID-19 and assess the impact of BP indices on admission on clinical outcomes in patients with and without preexisting hypertension. Preexisting hypertension presence was confirmed based on the patient's clinical history. Critical outcomes were defined as high-flow oxygen use, non-invasive and invasive positive-pressure ventilation, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, or death during hospitalization. Preexisting hypertension was observed in 64.6% of the patients. Multivariable logistic regression analysis of severe COVID-19 risk factors indicated that preexisting hypertension was independently associated with critical outcomes [adjusted odds ratio (OR): 1.35; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.05-1.73]. Low or high BP and high pulse pressure on admission were associated with critical outcomes in patients without preexisting hypertension [OR for systolic BP < 100 mmHg: 2.13, 95% CI: 1.21-3.75; OR for high BP stage 2 (160-179 systolic and/or 100-109 mmHg diastolic BP): 2.13, 95% CI: 1.27-3.58; OR for pulse pressure ≥60 mmHg: 1.68, 95% CI: 1.14-2.48]. Preexisting hypertension is a risk factor for critical outcomes in Japanese patients with COVID-19. BP indices are useful biomarkers for predicting COVID-19 outcomes, particularly in patients without preexisting hypertension. Thus, hypertension history, systolic BP, and pulse pressure should be assessed to predict severe COVID-19 outcomes.

Asthma is a risk factor for general fatigue of long COVID in Japanese nation-wide cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Multiple prolonged symptoms are observed in patients who recover from an acute COVID-19 infection, which is defined as long COVID. General fatigue is frequently observed in patients with long COVID during acute and post-acute phases. This study aimed to identify the specific risk factors for general fatigue in long COVID. METHODS: Hospitalized patients with COVID-19 aged over 18 years were enrolled in a multicenter cohort study at 26 medical institutions. Clinical data during hospitalization and patient-reported outcomes after discharge were collected from medical records, paper-based questionnaires, and smartphone apps. RESULTS: Among prolonged symptoms through 1-year follow-ups, general fatigue was the most interfering symptom in daily life. Patients with protracted fatigue at all follow-up periods had lower quality of life scores at the 12-month follow-up. Univariate logistic regression analysis of the presence or absence of general fatigue at the 3-month, 6-month, and 12-month follow-ups identified asthma, younger age, and female sex as risk factors for prolonged fatigue. Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that asthma was an independent risk factor for persistent fatigue during the 12-month follow-up period. Longitudinal changes in the symptoms of patients with or without asthma demonstrated that general fatigue, not cough and dyspnea, was significantly prolonged in patients with asthma. CONCLUSIONS: In a Japanese population with long COVID, prolonged general fatigue was closely linked to asthma. A preventive approach against COVID-19 is necessary to avoid sustained fatigue and minimize social and economic losses in patients with asthma.

Epicardial adipose tissue measured from analysis of adipose tissue area using chest CT imaging is the best potential predictor of COVID-19 severity.

BACKGROUND: Computed tomography (CT) imaging is widely used for diagnosing and determining the severity of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Chest CT imaging can be used to calculate the epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) and upper abdominal visceral adipose tissue (Abd-VAT) areas. The EAT is the main source of inflammatory cytokines involved in chest inflammatory diseases; thus, the EAT area might be a more useful severity predictor than the Abd-VAT area for COVID-19. However, to the best of our knowledge, there are no large-scale reports that sufficiently consider this issue. In addition, there are no reports on the characteristics of patients with normal body mass index (BMI) and high adipose tissue. AIM: The purpose of this study was to analyze whether the EAT area, among various adipose tissues, was the most associated factor with COVID-19 severity. Using a multicenter COVID-19 patient database, we analyzed the associations of chest subcutaneous, chest visceral, abdominal subcutaneous, and Abd-VAT areas with COVID-19 outcomes. In addition, the clinical significance of central obesity, commonly disregarded by BMI, was examined. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study evaluated patients with COVID-19 aged ≥18 years In Japan. Data including from chest CT images collected between February 2020 and October 2022 in four hospitals of the Japan COVID-19 Task Force were analyzed. Patient characteristics and COVID-19 severity were compared according to the adipose tissue areas (chest and abdominal subcutaneous adipose tissue [Chest-SAT and Abd-SAT], EAT, and Abd-VAT) calculated from chest CT images. RESULTS: We included 1077 patients in the analysis. Patients with risk factors of severe COVID-19 such as old age, male sex, and comorbidities had significantly higher areas of EAT and Abd-VAT. High EAT area but not high Abd-VAT area was significantly associated with COVID-19 severity (adjusted odds ratio (aOR): 2.66, 95 % confidence interval [CI]: 1.19-5.93). There was no strong correlation between BMI and VAT. Patients with high VAT area accounted for 40.7 % of the non-obesity population (BMI < 25 kg/m2). High EAT area was also significantly associated with COVID-19 severity in the non-obesity population (aOR: 2.50, 95 % CI: 1.17-5.34). CONCLUSIONS: Our study indicated that VAT is significantly associated with COVID-19 severity and that EAT is the best potential predictor for risk stratification in COVID-19 among adipose tissue areas. Body composition assessment using EAT is an appropriate marker for identifying obesity patients overlooked by BMI. Considering the next pandemic of the global health crisis, our findings open new avenues for implementing appropriate body composition assessments based on CT imaging.

Characteristics of patients with COVID-19 who have deteriorating chest X-ray findings within 48 h: a retrospective cohort study.

The severity of chest X-ray (CXR) findings is a prognostic factor in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We investigated the clinical and genetic characteristics and prognosis of patients with worsening CXR findings during early hospitalization. We retrospectively included 1656 consecutive Japanese patients with COVID-19 recruited through the Japan COVID-19 Task Force. Rapid deterioration of CXR findings was defined as increased pulmonary infiltrates in ≥ 50% of the lung fields within 48 h of admission. Rapid deterioration of CXR findings was an independent risk factor for death, most severe illness, tracheal intubation, and intensive care unit admission. The presence of consolidation on CXR, comorbid cardiovascular and chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases, high body temperature, and increased serum aspartate aminotransferase, potassium, and C-reactive protein levels were independent risk factors for rapid deterioration of CXR findings. Risk variant at the ABO locus (rs529565-C) was associated with rapid deterioration of CXR findings in all patients. This study revealed the clinical features, genetic features, and risk factors associated with rapid deterioration of CXR findings, a poor prognostic factor in patients with COVID-19.

Cough and sputum in long COVID are associated with severe acute COVID-19: a Japanese cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Multiple prolonged symptoms are observed in patients who recover from acute coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), defined as long COVID. Cough and sputum are presented by patients with long COVID during the acute and post-acute phases. This study aimed to identify specific risk factors for cough and sputum in patients with long COVID. METHODS: Hospitalized patients with COVID-19 aged 18 years were enrolled in a multicenter cohort study at 26 medical institutions. Clinical data during hospitalization and patient-reported outcomes after discharge were collected from medical records, paper-based questionnaires, and smartphone apps. RESULTS: At the 3-, 6-, and 12-month follow-ups, there were no differences in the incidence rates of wet and dry coughs. In contrast, the proportion of patients presenting sputum without coughing increased over time compared to those with sputum and coughing. Univariate analyses of cough and sputum at all follow-up visits identified intermittent mandatory ventilation (IMV), smoking, and older age as risk factors for prolonged symptoms. At the 12-month follow-up, persistent cough and sputum were associated with the characteristics of severe COVID-19 based on imaging findings, renal and liver dysfunction, pulmonary thromboembolism, and higher serum levels of LDH, KL-6, and HbA1C. The Kaplan-Meier curves showed that the severity of acute COVID-19 infection was correlated with prolonged cough and sputum production. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that IMV ventilator management were independent risk factors for prolonged cough and sputum at 12 months. CONCLUSIONS: In a Japanese population with long COVID, prolonged cough and sputum production were closely associated with severe COVID-19. These findings emphasize that a preventive approach including appropriate vaccination and contact precaution and further development of therapeutic drugs for COVID-19 are highly recommended for patients with risk factors for severe infection to avoid persistent respiratory symptoms.

Clinical utilization of artificial intelligence-based COVID-19 pneumonia quantification using chest computed tomography - a multicenter retrospective cohort study in Japan.

BACKGROUND: Computed tomography (CT) imaging and artificial intelligence (AI)-based analyses have aided in the diagnosis and prediction of the severity of COVID-19. However, the potential of AI-based CT quantification of pneumonia in assessing patients with COVID-19 has not yet been fully explored. This study aimed to investigate the potential of AI-based CT quantification of COVID-19 pneumonia to predict the critical outcomes and clinical characteristics of patients with residual lung lesions. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 1,200 hospitalized patients with COVID-19 from four hospitals. The incidence of critical outcomes (requiring the support of high-flow oxygen or invasive mechanical ventilation or death) and complications during hospitalization (bacterial infection, renal failure, heart failure, thromboembolism, and liver dysfunction) was compared between the groups of pneumonia with high/low-percentage lung lesions, based on AI-based CT quantification. Additionally, 198 patients underwent CT scans 3 months after admission to analyze prognostic factors for residual lung lesions. RESULTS: The pneumonia group with a high percentage of lung lesions (N = 400) had a higher incidence of critical outcomes and complications during hospitalization than the low percentage group (N = 800). Multivariable analysis demonstrated that AI-based CT quantification of pneumonia was independently associated with critical outcomes (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 10.5, 95% confidence interval [CI] 5.59-19.7), as well as with oxygen requirement (aOR 6.35, 95% CI 4.60-8.76), IMV requirement (aOR 7.73, 95% CI 2.52-23.7), and mortality rate (aOR 6.46, 95% CI 1.87-22.3). Among patients with follow-up CT scans (N = 198), the multivariable analysis revealed that the pneumonia group with a high percentage of lung lesions on admission (aOR 4.74, 95% CI 2.36-9.52), older age (aOR 2.53, 95% CI 1.16-5.51), female sex (aOR 2.41, 95% CI 1.13-5.11), and medical history of hypertension (aOR 2.22, 95% CI 1.09-4.50) independently predicted persistent residual lung lesions. CONCLUSIONS: AI-based CT quantification of pneumonia provides valuable information beyond qualitative evaluation by physicians, enabling the prediction of critical outcomes and residual lung lesions in patients with COVID-19.

Longitudinal long COVID symptoms in Japanese patients after COVID-19 vaccinations.

We conducted a subgroup analysis of a study on the long-term effects of COVID-19 (long COVID) in Japan to assess the effect of vaccination on long COVID symptoms. We assessed the clinical course of 111 patients with long COVID at the time of vaccination. The follow-up period was one year from the onset of COVID-19 or until the administration of the third vaccine dose. Of the 111 patients, 15 (13.5%) reported improvement, four (3.6%) reported deterioration, and 92 (82.9%) reported no change in their long COVID symptoms after vaccination. The most common long COVID symptoms before vaccination were alopecia, dyspnea, muscle weakness, fatigue, and headache among participants whose symptoms improved. Reduced dyspnea and alopecia were the most frequently reported improvements in symptoms after vaccination. Some symptoms persisted, including sleep disturbance, myalgia, and hypersensitivity. Vaccination did not appear to have a clinically important effect on patients with long COVID symptoms.

Association between ABO blood group/genotype and COVID-19 in a Japanese population.

An association between coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and the ABO blood group has been reported. However, such an association has not been studied in the Japanese population on a large scale. Little is known about the association between COVID-19 and ABO genotype. This study investigated the association between COVID-19 and ABO blood group/genotype in a large Japanese population. All Japanese patients diagnosed with COVID-19 were recruited through the Japan COVID-19 Task Force between February 2020 and October 2021. We conducted a retrospective cohort study involving 1790 Japanese COVID-19 patients whose DNA was used for a genome-wide association study. We compared the ABO blood group/genotype in a healthy population (n = 611, control) and COVID-19 patients and then analyzed their associations and clinical outcomes. Blood group A was significantly more prevalent (41.6% vs. 36.8%; P = 0.038), and group O was significantly less prevalent (26.2% vs. 30.8%; P = 0.028) in the COVID-19 group than in the control group. Moreover, genotype OO was significantly less common in the COVID-19 group. Furthermore, blood group AB was identified as an independent risk factor for most severe diseases compared with blood group O [aOR (95% CI) = 1.84 (1.00-3.37)]. In ABO genotype analysis, only genotype AB was an independent risk factor for most severe diseases compared with genotype OO. Blood group O is protective, whereas group A is associated with the risk of infection. Moreover, blood group AB is associated with the risk of the "most" severe disease.

Clinical characteristics of patients with COVID-19 harboring detectable intracellular SARS-CoV-2 RNA in peripheral blood cells.

OBJECTIVES: Although SARS-CoV-2 RNAemia has been reported to strongly impact patients with severe COVID-19, the clinical characteristics of patients with COVID-19 harboring detectable intracellular SARS-CoV-2 RNA remain unknown. METHODS: We included adult patients who had developed COVID-19 between February and September 2020. Total white blood cells derived from the buffy coat of peripheral whole blood were used to detect SARS-CoV-2 RNA using the Illumina COVIDSeq test. We compared the clinical characteristics between patients with and without detected viral RNA (detected and undetected groups). RESULTS: Among the 390 patients included, 17 harbored SARS-CoV-2 RNA in peripheral white blood cells. All 17 patients required oxygen support during the disease course and had higher intensive care unit admission (52.9% vs 28.9%, P = 0.035), mortality (17.7% vs 3.5%, P = 0.004), kidney dysfunction (severe, 23.5% vs 6.4%, P = 0.029), and corticosteroid treatment rates (76.5% vs 46.5%, P = 0.016) than those of patients in the undetected group. CONCLUSION: We propose that patients with circulating intracellular SARS-CoV-2 RNA in the peripheral blood exhibited the most severe disease course.

Propensity-Score Matched Analysis of the Effectiveness of Baricitinib in Patients With Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Using Nationwide Real-World Data: An Observational Matched Cohort Study From the Japan COVID-19 Task Force.

Background: To determine the effectiveness of baricitinib in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), investigate whether baricitinib prevents the need for invasive mechanical ventilation and identify patient subgroups that would benefit from baricitinib. Methods: This observational matched-cohort study was conducted by the Japan COVID-19 Task Force, a nationwide multicenter consortium. Patients with COVID-19 aged ≥18 years were identified from 70 hospitals in Japan. Among patients with confirmed COVID-19 from February 2020 to September 2021, those receiving baricitinib were propensity-score matched with controls. Results: Among 3309 patients, 144 propensity score-matched pairs were identified. Thirteen (9.0%) patients in the baricitinib group and 27 (18.8%) in the control group required invasive mechanical ventilation during the disease course (odds ratio, 0.43). Although the baricitinib group had more severe disease, there were no significant differences in the intensive care unit admission rates (odds ratio, 1.16) and mortality rates (odds ratio, 0.74) between groups. In subgroup analyses, baricitinib was associated with a significant reduction in the need for invasive mechanical ventilation in patients requiring oxygen support (odds ratio, 0.28), with rapid shadow spread on chest radiography (odds ratio, 0.11), or treated with remdesivir (odds ratio, 0.27), systemic corticosteroids (odds ratio, 0.31), or anticoagulants (odds ratio, 0.17). Conclusions: Baricitinib is effective at preventing the need for invasive mechanical ventilation in patients with COVID-19.

Serum KL-6 levels predict clinical outcomes and are associated with MUC1 polymorphism in Japanese patients with COVID-19.

BACKGROUND: Krebs von den Lungen-6 (KL-6) is a known biomarker for diagnosis and monitoring of interstitial lung diseases. However, the role of serum KL-6 and the mucin 1 (MUC1) variant (rs4072037) in COVID-19 outcomes remains to be elucidated. We aimed to evaluate the relationships among serum KL-6 levels, critical outcomes and the MUC1 variant in Japanese patients with COVID-19. METHODS: This is a secondary analysis of a multicentre retrospective study using data from the Japan COVID-19 Task Force collected from February 2020 to November 2021, including 2226 patients with COVID-19 whose serum KL-6 levels were measured. An optimal serum KL-6 level cut-off to predict critical outcomes was determined and used for multivariable logistic regression analysis. Furthermore, the relationship among the allele dosage of the MUC1 variant, calculated from single nucleotide polymorphism typing data of genome-wide association studies using the imputation method, serum KL-6 levels and COVID-19 critical outcomes was evaluated. RESULTS: Serum KL-6 levels were significantly higher in patients with COVID-19 with critical outcomes (511±442 U/mL) than those without (279±204 U/mL) (p<0.001). Serum KL-6 levels ≥304 U/mL independently predicted critical outcomes (adjusted OR (aOR) 3.47, 95% CI 2.44 to 4.95). Moreover, multivariable logistic regression analysis with age and sex indicated that the MUC1 variant was independently associated with increased serum KL-6 levels (aOR 0.24, 95% CI 0.28 to 0.32) but not significantly associated with critical outcomes (aOR 1.11, 95% CI 0.80 to 1.54). CONCLUSION: Serum KL-6 levels predicted critical outcomes in Japanese patients with COVID-19 and were associated with the MUC1 variant. Therefore, serum KL-6 level is a potentially useful biomarker of critical COVID-19 outcomes.

Impact of respiratory bacterial infections on mortality in Japanese patients with COVID-19: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Although cases of respiratory bacterial infections associated with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) have often been reported, their impact on the clinical course remains unclear. Herein, we evaluated and analyzed the complication rates of bacterial infections, causative organisms, patient backgrounds, and clinical outcome in Japanese patients with COVID-19. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study that included inpatients with COVID-19 from multiple centers participating in the Japan COVID-19 Taskforce (April 2020 to May 2021) and obtained demographic, epidemiological, and microbiological results and the clinical course and analyzed the cases of COVID-19 complicated by respiratory bacterial infections. RESULTS: Of the 1,863 patients with COVID-19 included in the analysis, 140 (7.5%) had respiratory bacterial infections. Community-acquired co-infection at COVID-19 diagnosis was uncommon (55/1,863, 3.0%) and was mainly caused by Staphylococcus aureus, Klebsiella pneumoniae and Streptococcus pneumoniae. Hospital-acquired bacterial secondary infections, mostly caused by Staphylococcus aureus, Pseudomonas aeruginosa, and Stenotrophomonas maltophilia, were diagnosed in 86 patients (4.6%). Severity-associated comorbidities were frequently observed in hospital-acquired secondary infection cases, including hypertension, diabetes, and chronic kidney disease. The study results suggest that the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (> 5.28) may be useful in diagnosing complications of respiratory bacterial infections. COVID-19 patients with community-acquired or hospital-acquired secondary infections had significantly increased mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Respiratory bacterial co-infections and secondary infections are uncommon in patients with COVID-19 but may worsen outcomes. Assessment of bacterial complications is important in hospitalized patients with COVID-19, and the study findings are meaningful for the appropriate use of antimicrobial agents and management strategies.

Characteristics and clinical effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccination in hospitalized patients in Omicron-dominated epidemic wave - a nationwide study in Japan.

OBJECTIVES: COVID-19 was severe in the Delta variant-dominated epidemic wave (fifth wave) in Japan. The clinical characteristics and effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccination are not fully understood in the Omicron variant-dominated wave (sixth and seventh waves), especially in hospitalized patients. We investigated the relationship between vaccination and disease severity in the Omicron-dominated wave and compared these variant-dominated waves. METHODS: The nationwide COVID-19 database (Japan COVID-19 Task Force) was used to compare clinical characteristics and critical outcomes in patients hospitalized with Delta (fifth, N = 735) vs Omicron-dominated waves (sixth, N = 495; seventh, N = 128). RESULTS: Patients in the sixth and seventh waves had a lower incidence of critical outcomes and respiratory outcomes, and a higher incidence of bacterial infection, although the mortality rate did not differ significantly between waves. In the sixth and seventh waves, 138 (27.9%) and 29 (22.7%) patients with COVID-19 were unvaccinated, respectively. Multivariable analysis adjusted with previously reported factors revealed that the proportion of (1) critical outcomes and (2) respiratory outcomes decreased in a frequency-dependent manner. Thus, (1) (the number of vaccinations): 1-2 times: adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 0.37 (95% confidence interval [CI]; 0.20-0.69); 3-4 times: aOR 0.25 (95% CI; 0.11-0.58); and (2) 1-2 times: aOR 0.43 (95% CI; 0.27-0.66); 3-4 times: aOR 0.36 (95% CI; 0.21-0.60). CONCLUSIONS: Patients hospitalized with COVID-19 with Omicron infections showed a lower incidence of critical outcomes than those with Delta infections, and COVID-19 vaccination may contribute to preventing respiratory failure.

Use of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and an oxygen requirement to predict disease severity in patients with COVID-19.

We investigated the association between complete blood count, including neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in combination with patient characteristics, and coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outcomes to identify the best prognostic indicator. We analyzed data of patients with confirmed COVID-19 from the nationwide database of the Japan COVID-19 Task Force between February 2020 and November 2021. A composite outcome was defined as the most severe condition, including noninvasive positive-pressure ventilation, high-flow nasal cannula, invasive mechanical ventilation, extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, or death. Of 2425 patients in the analysis, 472 (19.5%) experienced a composite outcome. NLR was the best predictor of composite outcomes, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.81, and a sensitivity and specificity of 72.3% and 75.7%, respectively, using a cut-off value of 5.04. The combination of NLR and an oxygen requirement on admission had the highest AUC (0.88). This simple combination may help identify patients at risk of progression to severe disease.

Diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers for progressive fibrosing interstitial lung disease.

No biomarkers have been identified in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) for predicting fibrosis progression or prognosis in progressive fibrosing interstitial lung disease (PF-ILD). We investigated BALF biomarkers for PF-ILD diagnosis and prognosis assessment. Overall, 120 patients with interstitial pneumonia who could be diagnosed with PF-ILD or non PF-ILD were enrolled in this retrospective study. PF-ILD was diagnosed according to Cottin's definition. All patients underwent bronchoscopy and BALF collection. We evaluated blood and BALF parameters, high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) patterns, and spirometry data to identify factors influencing PF-ILD diagnosis and prognosis. On univariate logistic analysis, age, sex, the BALF white blood cell fraction (neutrophil, lymphocyte, eosinophil, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio), BALF flow cytometric analysis (CD8), and an idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis/usual interstitial pneumonia pattern on HRCT were correlated with PF-ILD diagnosis. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that sex (male), age (cut-off 62 years, area under the curve [AUC] 0.67; sensitivity 0.80; specificity 0.47), white blood cell fraction in BALF (NLR, neutrophil, and lymphocyte), and CD8 in BALF (cut-off 34.2; AUC 0.66; sensitivity, 0.74; specificity, 0.62) were independent diagnostic predictors for PF-ILD. In BALF, the NLR (cut-off 8.70, AUC 0.62; sensitivity 0.62; specificity 0.70), neutrophil count (cut-off 3.0, AUC 0.59; sensitivity 0.57; specificity 0.63), and lymphocyte count (cut-off 42.0, AUC 0.63; sensitivity 0.77; specificity 0.53) were independent diagnostic predictors. In PF-ILD patients (n = 77), lactate dehydrogenase (cut-off 275, AUC 0.69; sensitivity 0.57; specificity 0.78), Krebs von den Lungen-6 (cut-off 1,140, AUC 0.74; sensitivity 0.71; specificity 0.76), baseline forced vital capacity (FVC) (cut-off 1.75 L, AUC 0.71; sensitivity, 0.93; specificity, 0.46), and BALF neutrophil ratio (cut-off 6.0, AUC 0.72; sensitivity 0.79; specificity 0.80) correlated with death within 3 years. The BALF cellular ratio, particularly the neutrophil ratio, correlated with the diagnosis and prognosis of PF-ILD. These findings may be useful in the management of patients with interstitial pneumonia.

Diagnostic significance of secondary bacteremia in patients with COVID-19.

OBJECTIVES: We investigated the occurrence of non-respiratory bacterial and fungal secondary infections, causative organisms, impact on clinical outcomes, and association between the secondary pathogens and mortality in hospitalized patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study that included data from inpatients with COVID-19 from multiple centers participating in the Japan COVID-19 Taskforce (April 2020 to May 2021). We obtained demographic, epidemiological, and microbiological data throughout the course of hospitalization and analyzed the cases of COVID-19 complicated by non-respiratory bacterial infections. RESULTS: Of the 1914 patients included, non-respiratory bacterial infections with COVID-19 were diagnosed in 81 patients (4.2%). Of these, 59 (3.1%) were secondary infections. Bacteremia was the most frequent bacterial infection, occurring in 33 cases (55.9%), followed by urinary tract infections in 16 cases (27.1%). Staphylococcus epidermidis was the most common causative organism of bacteremia. Patients with COVID-19 with non-respiratory secondary bacterial infections had significantly higher mortality, and a multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that those with bacteremia (aOdds Ratio = 15.3 [5.97-39.1]) were at higher risk of death. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age, male sex, use of steroids to treat COVID-19, and intensive care unit admission increased the risk for nosocomial bacteremia. CONCLUSIONS: Secondary bacteremia is an important complication that may lead to poor prognosis in cases with COVID-19. An appropriate medical management strategy must be established, especially for patients with concomitant predisposing factors.