Genetic correlation and causal associations between psychiatric disorders and lung cancer risk.

BACKGROUND: Patients with certain psychiatric disorders have increased lung cancer incidence. However, establishing a causal relationship through traditional epidemiological methods poses challenges. METHODS: Available summary statistics of genome-wide association studies of cigarette smoking, lung cancer, and eight psychiatric disorders, including attention deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), autism, depression, major depressive disorder, bipolar disorder, insomnia, neuroticism, and schizophrenia (range N: 46,350-1,331,010) were leveraged to estimate genetic correlations using Linkage Disequilibrium Score Regression and assess causal effect of each psychiatric disorder on lung cancer using two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) models, comprising inverse-variance weighted (IVW), weighted median, MR-Egger, pleiotropy residual sum and outlier testing (MR-PRESSO), and a constrained maximum likelihood approach (cML-MR). RESULTS: Significant positive correlations were observed between each psychiatric disorder and both smoking and lung cancer (all FDR < 0.05), except for the correlation between autism and lung cancer. Both univariable and the cML-MA MR analyses demonstrated that liability to schizophrenia, depression, ADHD, or insomnia was associated with an increased risk of overall lung cancer. Genetic liability to insomnia was linked specifically to squamous cell carcinoma (SCC), while genetic liability to ADHD was associated with an elevated risk of both SCC and small cell lung cancer (all P < 0.05). The later was further supported by multivariable MR analyses, which accounted for smoking. LIMITATIONS: Participants were constrained to European ancestry populations. Causal estimates from binary psychiatric disorders may be biased. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest appropriate management of several psychiatric disorders, particularly ADHD, may potentially reduce the risk of developing lung cancer.

Family history and gastric cancer incidence and mortality in Asia: a pooled analysis of more than half a million participants.

BACKGROUND: The family history of gastric cancer holds important implications for cancer surveillance and prevention, yet existing evidence predominantly comes from case-control studies. We aimed to investigate the association between family history of gastric cancer and gastric cancer risk overall and by various subtypes in Asians in a prospective study. METHODS: We included 12 prospective cohorts with 550,508 participants in the Asia Cohort Consortium. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to estimate study-specific adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between family history of gastric cancer and gastric cancer incidence and mortality, then pooled using random-effects meta-analyses. Stratified analyses were performed for the anatomical subsites and histological subtypes. RESULTS: During the mean follow-up of 15.6 years, 2258 incident gastric cancers and 5194 gastric cancer deaths occurred. The risk of incident gastric cancer was higher in individuals with a family history of gastric cancer (HR 1.44, 95% CI 1.32-1.58), similarly in males (1.44, 1.31-1.59) and females (1.45, 1.23-1.70). Family history of gastric cancer was associated with both cardia (HR 1.26, 95% CI 1.00-1.60) and non-cardia subsites (1.49, 1.35-1.65), and with intestinal- (1.48, 1.30-1.70) and diffuse-type (1.59, 1.35-1.87) gastric cancer incidence. Positive associations were also found for gastric cancer mortality (HR 1.30, 95% CI 1.19-1.41). CONCLUSIONS: In this largest prospective study to date on family history and gastric cancer, a familial background of gastric cancer increased the risk of gastric cancer in the Asian population. Targeted education, screening, and intervention in these high-risk groups may reduce the burden of gastric cancer.

Diabetes is associated with increased liver cancer incidence and mortality in adults: A report from Asia Cohort Consortium.

There has been growing evidence suggesting that diabetes may be associated with increased liver cancer risk. However, studies conducted in Asian countries are limited. This project considered data of 968,738 adults pooled from 20 cohort studies of Asia Cohort Consortium to examine the association between baseline diabetes and liver cancer incidence and mortality. Cox proportional hazard model and competing risk approach was used for pooled data. Two-stage meta-analysis across studies was also done. There were 839,194 subjects with valid data regarding liver cancer incidence (5654 liver cancer cases [48.29/100,000 person-years]), follow-up time and baseline diabetes (44,781 with diabetes [5.3%]). There were 747,198 subjects with valid data regarding liver cancer mortality (5020 liver cancer deaths [44.03/100,000 person-years]), follow-up time and baseline diabetes (43,243 with diabetes [5.8%]). Hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval [95%CI]) of liver cancer diagnosis in those with vs. without baseline diabetes was 1.97 (1.79, 2.16) (p < .0001) after adjusting for baseline age, gender, body mass index, tobacco smoking, alcohol use, and heterogeneity across studies (n = 586,072; events = 4620). Baseline diabetes was associated with increased cumulative incidence of death due to liver cancer (adjusted HR (95%CI) = 1.97 (1.79, 2.18); p < .0001) (n = 595,193; events = 4110). A two-stage meta-analytic approach showed similar results. This paper adds important population-based evidence to current literature regarding the increased incidence and mortality of liver cancer in adults with diabetes. The analysis of data pooled from 20 studies of different Asian countries and the meta-analysis across studies with large number of subjects makes the results robust.

Fine-mapping analysis including over 254,000 East Asian and European descendants identifies 136 putative colorectal cancer susceptibility genes.

Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified more than 200 common genetic variants independently associated with colorectal cancer (CRC) risk, but the causal variants and target genes are mostly unknown. We sought to fine-map all known CRC risk loci using GWAS data from 100,204 cases and 154,587 controls of East Asian and European ancestry. Our stepwise conditional analyses revealed 238 independent association signals of CRC risk, each with a set of credible causal variants (CCVs), of which 28 signals had a single CCV. Our cis-eQTL/mQTL and colocalization analyses using colorectal tissue-specific transcriptome and methylome data separately from 1299 and 321 individuals, along with functional genomic investigation, uncovered 136 putative CRC susceptibility genes, including 56 genes not previously reported. Analyses of single-cell RNA-seq data from colorectal tissues revealed 17 putative CRC susceptibility genes with distinct expression patterns in specific cell types. Analyses of whole exome sequencing data provided additional support for several target genes identified in this study as CRC susceptibility genes. Enrichment analyses of the 136 genes uncover pathways not previously linked to CRC risk. Our study substantially expanded association signals for CRC and provided additional insight into the biological mechanisms underlying CRC development.

Association of female reproductive and hormonal factors with gallbladder cancer risk in Asia: A pooled analysis of the Asia Cohort Consortium.

The female predominance of gallbladder cancer (GBC) has led to a hypothesis regarding the hormone-related aetiology of GBC. We aimed to investigate the association between female reproductive factors and GBC risk, considering birth cohorts of Asian women. We conducted a pooled analysis of 331,323 women from 12 cohorts across 4 countries (China, Japan, Korea, and Singapore) in the Asia Cohort Consortium. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) to assess the association between reproductive factors (age at menarche, parity, age at first delivery, breastfeeding, and age at menopause) and GBC risk. We observed that a later age at menarche was associated with an increased risk of GBC (HR 1.4, 95% CI 1.16-1.70 for 17 years and older vs. 13-14 years), especially among the cohort born in 1940 and later (HR 2.5, 95% CI 1.50-4.35). Among the cohort born before 1940, women with a later age at first delivery showed an increased risk of GBC (HR 1.56, 95% CI 1.08-2.24 for 31 years of age and older vs. 20 years of age and younger). Other reproductive factors did not show a clear association with GBC risk. Later ages at menarche and at first delivery were associated with a higher risk of GBC, and these associations varied by birth cohort.

Impacts of Poverty and Lifestyles on Mortality: A Cohort Study in Predominantly Low-Income Americans.

INTRODUCTION: Low socioeconomic status has been linked to increased mortality. However, the impacts of poverty, alone or combined with health behaviors, on mortality and life expectancy have not been adequately investigated. METHODS: Data from the Southern Community Cohort Study was used, including nearly 86,000 participants recruited during 2002-2009 across 12 US southeastern states. Analysis was conducted from February 2022 to January 2023. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 12.1 years, 19,749 deaths were identified. A strong dose-response relationship was found between household incomes and mortality, with a 3.3-fold (95%CI=3.1-3.6) increased all-cause mortality observed for individuals in the lowest income group (<$15,000/year) compared with those in the highest group (≥$50,000/year). Within each income group, mortality monotonically increased with declining healthy lifestyle score. Risk was significantly lower among those in the lowest income but healthiest lifestyle group, compared to those with the highest income but unhealthiest lifestyle (HR=0.82, 95%CI=0.69-0.97). Poor White participants appeared to experience higher all-cause mortality than poor Black participants. Life expectancy was more than 10.0 years shorter for those in the lowest income group compared with those in the highest income group. CONCLUSIONS: Poverty is strongly associated with increased risk of death, but the risks could be modestly abated by a healthier lifestyle. These findings call for a comprehensive strategy for enhancing a healthy lifestyle and improving income equality to reduce death risks, particularly among those experiencing health disparities due to poverty.

Lifestyle factors, genetic susceptibility to obesity and their interactions on coronary artery disease risk: A cohort study in the UK Biobank.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to evaluate potential modifying effects of genetic susceptibility to obesity on the association of lifestyle factors with coronary artery disease (CAD) risk. METHODS: A total of 328,606 participants (54% women) were included using data from the UK Biobank. We evaluated the risk of developing CAD associated with obesity-related polygenic scores (PGSs) and healthy lifestyle scores (HLSs). HLSs were constructed using six lifestyle factors. Obesity PGSs were created using genetic variants identified by genome-wide association studies, including 941 variants for body mass index (BMI) and 457 for waist-to-hip ratio (WHR). Both HLSs and PGSs were categorized into three groups. RESULTS: During a 9-year median follow-up, 14,541 participants developed CAD. An unhealthy lifestyle was significantly associated with an increased CAD risk (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.24, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.09-2.40). High BMI and WHR PGSs were each significantly associated with an increased CAD risk (HRBMI = 1.23, 1.17-1.29; HRWHR = 1.15, 1.09-1.21). Lifestyle factors explained 41% (95% CI = 38%-45%) of CAD, while genetic variants for BMI explained only 10% (7%-14%). Risks of CAD were increased with poorer HLS independent of obesity-related PGSs. Individuals with the most unhealthy lifestyle and highest BMI PGS had the highest risk of CAD risk (HR = 2.59, 95% CI = 2.26-2.97), compared with participants with the healthiest lifestyle and lowest BMI PGS. CONCLUSIONS: While the observational nature of the study precludes the establishment of causality, our study provides supports for a causal association between obesity and CAD risk and the importance of lifestyle modification in the prevention of CAD.

Large-Scale Cancer Genomic Analysis Reveals Significant Disparities between Microsatellite Instability and Tumor Mutational Burden.

BACKGROUND: Microsatellite instability (MSI) and tumor mutational burden (TMB) are predictive biomarkers for pan-cancer immunotherapy. The interrelationship between MSI-high (MSI-H) and TMB-high (TMB-H) in human cancers and their predictive value for immunotherapy in lung cancer remain unclear. METHODS: We analyzed somatic mutation data from the Genomics Evidence Neoplasia Information Exchange (n = 46,320) to determine the relationship between MSI-H and TMB-H in human cancers using adjusted multivariate regression models. Patient survival was examined using the Cox proportional hazards model. The association between MSI and genetic mutations was assessed. RESULTS: Patients (31-89%) with MSI-H had TMB-low phenotypes across 22 cancer types. Colorectal and stomach cancers showed the strongest association between TMB and MSI. TMB-H patients with lung cancer who received immunotherapy exhibited significantly higher overall survival [HR, 0.61; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.44-0.86] and progression-free survival (HR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.47-0.91) compared to the TMB-low group; no significant benefit was observed in the MSI-H group. Patients with TMB and MSI phenotypes showed further improvement in overall survival and PFS. We identified several mutated genes associated with MSI-H phenotypes, including known mismatch repair genes and novel mutated genes, such as ARID1A and ARID1B. CONCLUSIONS: Our results demonstrate that TMB-H and/or a combination of MSI-H can serve as biomarkers for immunotherapies in lung cancer. IMPACT: These findings suggest that distinct or combined biomarkers should be considered for immunotherapy in human cancers because notable discrepancies exist between MSI-H and TMB-H across different cancer types.

Genetic correlation and causal associations between circulating C-reactive protein levels and lung cancer risk.

PURPOSE: We aimed to characterize genetic correlations and causal associations between circulating C-reactive protein (CRP) levels and the risk of lung cancer (LC). METHODS: Leveraging summary statistics from genome-wide association studies of circulating CRP levels among 575,531 individuals of European ancestry, and LC risk among 29,266 cases and 56,450 controls, we investigated genetic associations of circulating CRP levels with the risk of overall lung cancer and its histological subtypes, by using linkage disequilibrium score (LDSC) regression and Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses. RESULTS: Significant positive genetic correlations between circulating CRP levels and the risk of LC and its histological subtypes were identified from LDSC regression, with correlation coefficients ranging from 0.12 to 0.26, and all false discovery adjusted p < 0.05. Univariable MR demonstrated a nominal association between CRP levels and an increased risk of lung squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) (inverse variance-weighted OR = 1.15, 95% CI 1.01-1.30). However, this association disappeared when multivariable MR included cigarettes per day and/or body mass index. By using our recently developed constrained maximum likelihood-based MR method, we identified significant associations of CRP levels with the risk of overall LC (OR 1.06, 95% CI 1.03-1.09), SCC (OR 1.06, 95% CI 1.02-1.09), and small cell lung cancer (SCLC, OR 1.09, 95% CI 1.03-1.15). Moreover, most univariable and multivariable MR analyses also revealed consistent CRP-SCLC associations. CONCLUSION: There may be a genetic and causal association between circulating CRP levels and the risk of SCLC, which is in line with previous population-based observational studies.

Association of cardiometabolic comorbidities with mortality among low-income Black and White Americans.

METHODS: Investigated the association of multiple cardiometabolic comorbidities with total/major cause-specific mortality and evaluate if this association might be modified by race among predominantly low-income Black and White participants. METHODS: The Southern Community Cohort Study, prospective cohort study. Participants (40-79 years) recruited predominantly from community health centers across 12 states in southeastern United States. Enrollment began in 2002 and concluded in 2009, follow-up until 2020. Cardiometabolic comorbidities (diabetes, hypertension, myocardial infarction, stroke) ascertained at the baseline survey. Cox proportional hazard models used. RESULTS: Study included 76,721 participants; 16,197, 41,944, 5,247, and 4,919 participants with prior diagnosis of diabetes, hypertension, myocardial infarction, and stroke, respectively at baseline. Compared to individuals with no comorbidity, individuals with any single comorbidity experienced a significantly 30 to 90% increased rate of death due to any causes. The increase in mortality was elevated with an increasing number of comorbidities, with HR of 3.81 (95% CI: 3.26-4.46) and a cumulative risk of 62.5% at age 75 years for total mortality for those with four comorbidities. The risk was high for death due to cardiovascular diseases (HR: 6.18, 95% CI: 5.12-7.47). These associations were stronger among Blacks than Whites. Individuals with four comorbidities at age 40 years were estimated to have a 16-year loss in life expectancy compared with those without any comorbidity. CONCLUSION: Cardiometabolic comorbidities were associated with increases in all-cause and major cause-specific mortality, particularly Black Americans. This study calls for effective measures to prevent cardiometabolic comorbidities to reduce premature deaths in underserved Americans.

Association between F2-Isoprostane Metabolites and Weight Change in Older Women: A Longitudinal Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Theoretically, some metabolic traits may predispose older individuals to weight loss during aging, leading to increased all-cause mortality and many serious health issues. Biomarkers to robustly predict progressive weight loss during aging are, however, lacking. We prospectively assessed if urinary levels of F2-isoprostanes and their peroxisomal ß-oxidation metabolite, 2,3-dinor-5,6-dihydro-15-F2t-isoprostane (F2-IsoP-M), were associated with subsequent weight loss in middle-aged and older women. METHODS: Included in the analysis were 2,066 women aged 40-70 years, a subset of a prospective cohort study. F2-isoprostanes (F2-IsoPs) and its ß-oxidation metabolite, F2-IsoP-M, were measured in urine using gas chromatography-mass spectrometry. Measurements of anthropometry and exposures to major determinants of body weight were performed at baseline and repeated thrice over 15-year follow-up. The longitudinal associations of F2-IsoP-M and the F2-IsoP-M to its parent compound, F2-IsoP, ratio (MPR) with repeatedly measured weight changes were examined using linear mixed-effect models. RESULTS: After adjusting for time-varying covariates: energy intake, physical activity, and comorbidity index, among others, levels of F2-IsoP-M and the MPR were both inversely associated with percentage of weight change. Weight in the highest quartile of these two biomarkers was 1.33% (95% CI = -2.41, -0.24) and 1.09% (95% CI = -2.16, -0.02) lower than those in the lowest quartile group, with p for trend of 0.01 and 0.03, respectively. The inverse association was consistently seen across follow-up periods, although appearing stronger with prolonged follow-up. There was no association between the parent compound, F2-IsoPs, and weight change. CONCLUSION: This study demonstrates the first piece of evidence to associate F2-IsoP metabolism, peroxisomal ß-oxidation, with weight loss in older women. Further investigations into the role of lipid peroxidation and peroxisomal ß-oxidation in weight change among older individuals are warranted.

Lung Cancer Risk Prediction Models for Asian Ever-Smokers.

INTRODUCTION: Although lung cancer prediction models are widely used to support risk-based screening, their performance outside Western populations remains uncertain. This study aims to evaluate the performance of 11 existing risk prediction models in multiple Asian populations and to refit prediction models for Asians. METHODS: In a pooled analysis of 186,458 Asian ever-smokers from 19 prospective cohorts, we assessed calibration (expected-to-observed ratio) and discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC]) for each model. In addition, we developed the "Shanghai models" to better refine risk models for Asians on the basis of two well-characterized population-based prospective cohorts and externally validated them in other Asian cohorts. RESULTS: Among the 11 models, the Lung Cancer Death Risk Assessment Tool yielded the highest AUC (AUC [95% confidence interval (CI)] = 0.71 [0.67-0.74] for lung cancer death and 0.69 [0.67-0.72] for lung cancer incidence) and the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial Model had good calibration overall (expected-to-observed ratio [95% CI] = 1.06 [0.90-1.25]). Nevertheless, these models substantially underestimated lung cancer risk among Asians who reported less than 10 smoking pack-years or stopped smoking more than or equal to 20 years ago. The Shanghai models were found to have marginal improvement overall in discrimination (AUC [95% CI] = 0.72 [0.69-0.74] for lung cancer death and 0.70 [0.67-0.72] for lung cancer incidence) but consistently outperformed the selected Western models among low-intensity smokers and long-term quitters. CONCLUSIONS: The Shanghai models had comparable performance overall to the best existing models, but they improved much in predicting the lung cancer risk of low-intensity smokers and long-term quitters in Asia.

Novel insights into genetic susceptibility for colorectal cancer from transcriptome-wide association and functional investigation.

BACKGROUND: Transcriptome-wide association studies have been successful in identifying candidate susceptibility genes for colorectal cancer (CRC). To strengthen susceptibility gene discovery, we conducted a large transcriptome-wide association study and an alternative splicing transcriptome-wide association study in CRC using improved genetic prediction models and performed in-depth functional investigations. METHODS: We analyzed RNA-sequencing data from normal colon tissues and genotype data from 423 European descendants to build genetic prediction models of gene expression and alternative splicing and evaluated model performance using independent RNA-sequencing data from normal colon tissues of the Genotype-Tissue Expression Project. We applied the verified models to genome-wide association studies (GWAS) summary statistics among 58 131 CRC cases and 67 347 controls of European ancestry to evaluate associations of genetically predicted gene expression and alternative splicing with CRC risk. We performed in vitro functional assays for 3 selected genes in multiple CRC cell lines. RESULTS: We identified 57 putative CRC susceptibility genes, which included the 48 genes from transcriptome-wide association studies and 15 genes from splicing transcriptome-wide association studies, at a Bonferroni-corrected P value less than .05. Of these, 16 genes were not previously implicated in CRC susceptibility, including a gene PDE7B (6q23.3) at locus previously not reported by CRC GWAS. Gene knockdown experiments confirmed the oncogenic roles for 2 unreported genes, TRPS1 and METRNL, and a recently reported gene, C14orf166. CONCLUSION: This study discovered new putative susceptibility genes of CRC and provided novel insights into the biological mechanisms underlying CRC development.

A large-scale microRNA transcriptome-wide association study identifies two susceptibility microRNAs, miR-1307-5p and miR-192-3p, for colorectal cancer risk.

Transcriptome-wide association studies (TWAS) have identified many putative susceptibility genes for colorectal cancer (CRC) risk. However, susceptibility miRNAs, critical dysregulators of gene expression, remain unexplored. We genotyped DNA samples from 313 CRC East Asian patients and performed small RNA sequencing in their normal colon tissues distant from tumors to build genetic models for predicting miRNA expression. We applied these models and data from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) including 23 942 cases and 217 267 controls of East Asian ancestry to investigate associations of predicted miRNA expression with CRC risk. Perturbation experiments separately by promoting and inhibiting miRNAs expressions and further in vitro assays in both SW480 and HCT116 cells were conducted. At a Bonferroni-corrected threshold of P < 4.5 × 10-4, we identified two putative susceptibility miRNAs, miR-1307-5p and miR-192-3p, located in regions more than 500 kb away from any GWAS-identified risk variants in CRC. We observed that a high predicted expression of miR-1307-5p was associated with increased CRC risk, while a low predicted expression of miR-192-3p was associated with increased CRC risk. Our experimental results further provide strong evidence of their susceptible roles by showing that miR-1307-5p and miR-192-3p play a regulatory role, respectively, in promoting and inhibiting CRC cell proliferation, migration, and invasion, which was consistently observed in both SW480 and HCT116 cells. Our study provides additional insights into the biological mechanisms underlying CRC development.

Large-scale alternative polyadenylation (APA)-wide association studies to identify putative susceptibility genes in human common cancers.

Alternative polyadenylation (APA) modulates mRNA processing in the 3' untranslated regions (3'UTR), which affect mRNA stability and translation efficiency. Here, we build genetic models to predict APA levels in multiple tissues using sequencing data of 1,337 samples from the Genotype-Tissue Expression, and apply these models to assess associations between genetically predicted APA levels and cancer risk with data from large genome-wide association studies of six common cancers, including breast, ovary, prostate, colorectum, lung, and pancreas among European-ancestry populations. At a Bonferroni-corrected P □<□0.05, we identify 58 risk genes, including seven in newly identified loci. Using luciferase reporter assays, we demonstrate that risk alleles of 3'UTR variants, rs324015 ( STAT6 ), rs2280503 ( DIP2B ), rs1128450 ( FBXO38 ) and rs145220637 ( LDAH ), could significantly increase post-transcriptional activities of their target genes compared to reference alleles. Further gene knockdown experiments confirm their oncogenic roles. Our study provides additional insight into the genetic susceptibility of these common cancers.

Enhancing Disease Risk Gene Discovery by Integrating Transcription Factor-Linked Trans-located Variants into Transcriptome-Wide Association Analyses.

Transcriptome-wide association studies (TWAS) have been successful in identifying putative disease susceptibility genes by integrating gene expression predictions with genome-wide association studies (GWAS) data. However, current TWAS models only consider cis-located variants to predict gene expression. Here, we introduce transTF-TWAS, which includes transcription factor (TF)-linked trans-located variants for model building. Using data from the Genotype-Tissue Expression project, we predict alternative splicing and gene expression and applied these models to large GWAS datasets for breast, prostate, and lung cancers. Our analysis revealed 887 putative cancer susceptibility genes, including 465 in regions not yet reported by previous GWAS and 137 in known GWAS loci but not yet reported previously, at Bonferroni-corrected P < 0.05. We demonstrate that transTF-TWAS surpasses other approaches in both building gene prediction models and identifying disease-associated genes. These results have shed new light on several genetically driven key regulators and their associated regulatory networks underlying disease susceptibility.

Associations of circulating saturated long-chain fatty acids with risk of mild cognitive impairment and Alzheimer's disease in the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) cohort.

BACKGROUND: No study has examined the associations between peripheral saturated long-chain fatty acids (LCFAs) and conversion from mild cognitive impairment (MCI) to Alzheimer's disease (AD). This study aimed to examine whether circulating saturated LCFAs are associated with both risks of incident MCI from cognitively normal (CN) participants and incident AD progressed from MCI in the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) cohort. METHODS: We conducted analysis of data from older adults aged 55-90 years who were recruited at 63 sites across the USA and Canada. We examined associations between circulating saturated LCFAs (i.e., C14:0, C16:0, C18:0, C20:0) and risk for incident MCI in CN participants, and incident AD progressed from MCI. FINDINGS: 829 participants who were enrolled in ADNI-1 had data on plasma saturated LCFAs, of which 618 AD-free participants were included in our analysis (226 with normal cognition and 392 with MCI; 60.2% were men). Cox proportional-hazards models were used to account for time-to-event/censor with a 48-month follow-up period for the primary analysis. Other than C20:0, saturated LCFAs were associated with an increased risk for AD among participants with MCI at baseline (Hazard ratios (HRs) = 1.3 to 2.2, P = 0.0005 to 0.003 in fully-adjusted models). No association of C20:0 with risk of AD among participants with MCI was observed. No associations were observed between saturated LCFAs and risk for MCI among participants with normal cognition. INTERPRETATION: Saturated LCFAs are associated with increased risk of progressing from MCI to AD. This finding holds the potential to facilitate precision prevention of AD among patients with MCI. FUNDING: National Institutes of Health.

Temporal Trends of Stages and Survival of Biliary Tract Cancers in the United States and Associations with Demographic Factors.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of cholangiocarcinoma and gallbladder cancer has been increasing and decreasing respectively in the United States, whereas their mortality has been declining since 1980, which suggests improved overall survival of biliary tract cancers (BTC). We aimed to investigate temporal trends of BTC stages and survival and their associations with demographic factors. METHODS: A total of 55,163 patients with BTC collected from 2000 to 2018 from the NCI Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results 18 registry were included in this study. We assessed the temporal trend of BTC stages with diagnosis years using the annual percentage of change (APC) in the proportion of the stages. We estimated the association of BTC survival and stages with diagnosis years and demographic factors using the Cox regression models. RESULTS: While localized BTC proportion remained little changed from 2006 to 2018, the proportion of regional and distant BTCs significantly decreased (APC = -2.3%) and increased (APC = 2.7%), respectively, through the years. The overall and cancer-specific survival increased from 41.0% and 47.3% in 2000 to 2004 to 51.2% and 53.8% in 2015 to 2018, respectively. Patients with BTC who were older, Black, unmarried, or had lower socioeconomic status (SES) had significantly poorer overall survival. CONCLUSIONS: We found that distant and regional BTC significantly increased and decreased, respectively, and the BTC survival significantly improved over time. Age, sex, race, SES, and marital status were significantly associated with overall survival and less evidently with cancer-specific survival of patients with BTC. IMPACT: Our findings suggest that demographic factors were associated with BTC stages and BTC survival.

Prospective Cohort Study of Ginseng Consumption in Association with Cancer Risk: Shanghai Women's Health Study.

BACKGROUND: Ginseng has been commonly used in Asian countries to promote longevity and health for >2000 years. Recent in vitro and in vivo studies, coupled with limited epidemiologic studies, have suggested that regular ginseng consumption may be related to lower cancer risk. OBJECTIVES: We evaluated the association of ginseng consumption with risk of total and 15 site-specific cancers in a large cohort study conducted among Chinese women. Given the previous literature on ginseng consumption and cancer risk, we hypothesized that ginseng consumption might be associated with varying risks of cancer. METHODS: This study included 65,732 female participants (mean age: 52.2 years) of the Shanghai Women's Health Study, an ongoing prospective cohort study. Baseline enrollment occurred between 1997 and 2000, and follow-up concluded on 31 December 2016. Ginseng use and covariates were assessed via an in-person interview conducted at the baseline recruitment. The cohort was followed for cancer incidence. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate HRs and 95% CIs for ginseng-cancer associations after adjusting for confounders. RESULTS: During a mean 14.7 years of follow-up, 5067 incident cancer cases were identified. Overall, regular ginseng use was mostly not associated with risk of any site-specific cancer, or all cancers combined. Short-term (<3 years) ginseng use was found to be significantly associated with increased risk of liver cancer (HR = 1.71; 95% CI: 1.04, 2.79; P = 0.035), whereas long-term (≥3 years) ginseng use was found to be associated with increased risk of thyroid cancer (HR = 1.40; 95% CI: 1.02, 1.91; P = 0.036). Long-term ginseng use was found to be significantly associated with decreased risk of lymphatic and hematopoietic tissue malignancy (HR = 0.67; 95% CI: 0.46, 0.98; P = 0.039) and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (HR = 0.57; 95% CI: 0.34, 0.97; P = 0.039). CONCLUSIONS: This study provides suggestive evidence that ginseng consumption may be associated with risk of certain cancers.