Comparison of eGFR Equations to Guide Dosing of Medications for Kidney Transplant Recipients.

BACKGROUND: Clinicians caring for kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) most commonly use estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) to guide medication dosing as it is the most readily available measure of kidney function. Which eGFR equations provide the most accurate medication dosing guidance for KTRs remains uncertain. METHODS: We studied 415 stable KTRs in Canada and New Zealand. Participants completed same-day measurements of creatinine and cystatin C and measured GFR (diethylenetriaminepentaacetic acid). Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration, European Kidney Function Consortium, and transplant-specific eGFR equations were compared with both Cockcroft-Gault creatinine clearance (CrCl) and measured GFR. eGFR equations were assessed both indexed to a standardized body surface area (BSA) of 1.73 m2 (milliliter per minute per 1.73 m2, as is conventional reporting from most clinical laboratories) and nonindexed (milliliter per minute) accounting for actual BSA. The primary outcome was the proportion of medication dosing discordance relative to Cockcroft-Gault CrCl or measured GFR for 8 commonly prescribed medications. Stratified analyses were performed on the basis of obesity status. RESULTS: Nonindexed eGFR equations (milliliter per minute) resulted in substantially lower medication dosing discordance compared with indexed eGFR equations (milliliter per minute per 1.73 m2). These findings were most pronounced among KTRs with obesity, in whom underdosing was frequent. When compared with Cockcroft-Gault CrCl, the lowest proportion of discordance was found with the nonindexed 2023 transplant-specific equation. When compared with measured GFR, the lowest proportion of discordance was found with the nonindexed 2021 Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology CollaborationCr/CysC equation. CONCLUSIONS: Nonindexed eGFR values accounting for actual BSA should be used by clinicians for medication dosing in KTRs. These findings may inform KT providers about which eGFR equations provide the safest, most accurate medication dosing guidance for KTRs.

DERIVATION AND VALIDATION OF A MACHINE LEARNING MODEL FOR THE PREVENTION OF UNPLANNED DIALYSIS.

BACKGROUND: Approximately half of all patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) who progress to kidney failure initiate dialysis in an unplanned fashion which is associated with high morbidity, mortality, and healthcare costs. A novel prediction model designed to identify advanced CKD patients who are at high risk for developing kidney failure over short time frames (6-12 months) may help reduce the rates of unplanned dialysis and improve the quality of transitions from CKD to kidney failure. METHODS: We performed a retrospective study employing machine learning random forest algorithms incorporating routinely collected age and sex data along with time-varying trends in laboratory measurements to derive and validate six- and 12-month kidney failure risk prediction models in the advanced CKD population. The models were comprehensively characterized in three independent cohorts in Ontario, Canada - derived in a cohort of 1,849 consecutive advanced CKD patients (mean [standard deviation] age 66 [15] years, eGFR 19 [7] mL/min/1.73m2), and validated in two external advanced CKD cohorts (n=1,356; age 69 [14] years, eGFR 22 [7] mL/min/1.73m2). RESULTS: Across all cohorts, 55% of patients experienced kidney failure, of which 35% involved unplanned dialysis. The six- and 12-month models demonstrated excellent discrimination with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.88 (95%CI: 0.87-0.89) and 0.87 (95%CI: 0.86-0.87) along with high probabilistic accuracy with Brier scores of 0.10 (95%CI 0.09-0.10) and 0.14 (95%CI 0.13-0.14), respectively. The models were also well-calibrated and delivered timely alerts on a significant number of patients who ultimately initiated dialysis in an unplanned fashion. Similar results were found upon external validation testing. CONCLUSION: These machine-learning models using routinely collected patient data accurately predict near-future kidney failure risk among the advanced CKD population, and retrospectively deliver advanced warning on a substantial proportion of unplanned dialysis events. Optimal implementation strategies still need to be elucidated.

Social determinants of health and dialysis modality selection in patients with advanced chronic kidney disease: A retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Social determinants of health are non-medical factors that impact health. For patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) progressing to kidney failure, the influence of social determinants of health on dialysis modality selection (haemodialysis vs. peritoneal dialysis (PD)) is incompletely understood. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of 981 consecutive patients with advanced CKD referred to the Ottawa Hospital Multi-Care Kidney Clinic (Canada) who progressed to dialysis from 2010 to 2021. Multivariable logistic regression was used to measure odds ratios (OR) for the associations between social determinants of health (education, employment, marital status and residence) and modality of dialysis initiation. RESULTS: The mean age and estimated glomerular filtration rate were 64 and 18 mL/min/1.73 m2, respectively. Not having a high school degree was associated with lower odds of initiating dialysis via PD compared to having a college degree (29% vs. 48%, OR 0.55 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.34-0.88)). Unemployment was associated with lower odds of initiating dialysis via PD compared to active employment (38% vs. 62%, OR 0.40 (95% CI 0.27-0.60)). Being single was associated with lower odds of initiating dialysis via PD compared to being married (35% vs. 48%, adjusted OR 0.52 (95% CI 0.39-0.70)). Living alone at home was associated with lower odds of initiating dialysis via PD compared to living at home with family (33% vs. 47%, adjusted OR 0.55 (95% CI 0.39-0.78)). CONCLUSIONS: Social determinants of health including education, employment, marital status and residence are associated with dialysis modality selection. Addressing these 'upstream' social factors may allow for more equitable outcomes during the transition from advanced CKD to kidney failure.

Serum total testosterone is associated with phosphate and calcium excretion in response to oral phosphate loading in healthy middle-aged males.

Androgen receptors are expressed in the kidney and serum testosterone is negatively associated with serum phosphate in males, suggesting a role of testosterone in renal phosphate handling. In this cross-sectional study, we examined the association of serum total and free testosterone with acute phosphate and calcium excretion in males in response to an oral phosphate challenge. Thirty-five healthy adult males with normal baseline testosterone levels consumed a 500 mg phosphorus drink and the urinary excretion of minerals, as well as levels of relevant circulating parameters, were assessed at baseline and hourly for 4 h. Serum total testosterone was positively associated with overall phosphate excretion (r = 0.35, p = 0.04) and calcium excretion (r = 0.44, p = 0.00) in response to the challenge. Serum free testosterone was positively associated with post-challenge calcium excretion (r = 0.34, p = 0.048), but significance was not reached for phosphate excretion (r = 0.31, p = 0.07). Serum total and free testosterone were not associated with parathyroid hormone, fibroblast growth factor-23, or vitamin D-key factors implicated in phosphate and calcium regulation. Overall, higher serum total testosterone levels in healthy middle-aged males are associated with a greater capacity to acutely excrete phosphate and calcium after a single oral phosphate challenge, suggesting potential ramifications of testosterone deficiency related to mineral homeostasis.

Short Timeframe Prediction of Kidney Failure among Patients with Advanced Chronic Kidney Disease.

BACKGROUND: Development of a short timeframe (6-12 months) kidney failure risk prediction model may serve to improve transitions from advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) to kidney failure and reduce rates of unplanned dialysis. The optimal model for short timeframe kidney failure risk prediction remains unknown. METHODS: This retrospective study included 1757 consecutive patients with advanced CKD (mean age 66 years, estimated glomerular filtration rate 18 mL/min/1.73 m2). We compared the performance of Cox regression models using (a) baseline variables alone, (b) time-varying variables and machine learning models, (c) random survival forest, (d) random forest classifier in the prediction of kidney failure over 6/12/24 months. Performance metrics included area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) and maximum precision at 70% recall (PrRe70). Top-performing models were applied to 2 independent external cohorts. RESULTS: Compared to the baseline Cox model, the machine learning and time-varying Cox models demonstrated higher 6-month performance [Cox baseline: AUC-ROC 0.85 (95% CI 0.84-0.86), PrRe70 0.53 (95% CI 0.51-0.55); Cox time-varying: AUC-ROC 0.88 (95% CI 0.87-0.89), PrRe70 0.62 (95% CI 0.60-0.64); random survival forest: AUC-ROC 0.87 (95% CI 0.86-0.88), PrRe70 0.61 (95% CI 0.57-0.64); random forest classifier AUC-ROC 0.88 (95% CI 0.87-0.89), PrRe70 0.62 (95% CI 0.59-0.65)]. These trends persisted, but were less pronounced, at 12 months. The random forest classifier was the highest performing model at 6 and 12 months. At 24 months, all models performed similarly. Model performance did not significantly degrade upon external validation. CONCLUSIONS: When predicting kidney failure over short timeframes among patients with advanced CKD, machine learning incorporating time-updated data provides enhanced performance compared with traditional Cox models.

The 1,24,25(OH)3D3 metabolite in clinical and experimental CKD: Impact of calcitriol treatment.

Calcitriol, and other vitamin D receptor activators, remain a primary treatment for elevated parathyroid hormone levels in patients with end stage kidney disease. The objective of this study was to assess the 24-hydroxylation-mediated metabolism of 25(OH)D3 and 1,25(OH)2D3 in rats with experimental kidney disease treated with calcitriol and in a cross-sectional analysis of patients requiring hemodialysis. Methods: Animals were stratified by creatinine into a time control group or calcitriol (20 ng/kg/day) for 3 weeks following CKD induction using a dietary adenine model (0.25% adenine). Hemodialysis patients were recruited and demographic data including calcitriol prescription was obtained by chart review and participant interview. Vitamin D metabolites were assessed using LC-MS/MS. In the rat model, 1,25(OH)2D3 levels increased substantially in calcitriol-treated rats yet there was no increase in its primary metabolite: 1,24,25(OH)2D3. A lower ratio of 1,24,25(OH)2D3:1,25(OH)2D3 (1,25-VMR) was associated with increased calcium levels in calcitriol treated rats. In hemodialysis patients (N = 86), the level of 1,25(OH)2D3 was substantially higher in calcitriol-treated patients yet there was no difference between groups in 1,24,25(OH)3D3, resulting in a marked decrease in the 1,25-VMR in calcitriol treated patients. In hemodialysis patients treated with calcitriol, 1,25(OH)2D3 and a lower ratio between 1,24,25(OH)3D3 and 1,25(OH)2D3 were associated with higher serum calcium levels. Impaired metabolism of exogenous calcitriol may contribute to the adverse effects associated with this treatment. A better understanding of the uniquely dysfunctional catabolic vitamin D profile in CKD may guide more effective treatment strategies.

Sex Differences in Phosphate Homeostasis: Females Excrete More Phosphate and Calcium After an Oral Phosphate Challenge.

CONTEXT: Dietary consumption of phosphate is increasing, and elevated serum phosphate is associated with increased cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. Sex differences in phosphate homeostasis and response to changes in dietary phosphate intake, which are not captured by clinically measured analytes, may contribute to differences in CVD presentation and bone disease. OBJECTIVE: To assess sex differences in acute phosphate homeostasis in response to a single oral phosphate challenge. DESIGN: Cross-sectional. SETTING: General community. PARTICIPANTS: 78 participants (40-76 years) with measured glomerular filtration rate >60 mL/min/1.73 m2 and no clinically diagnosed CVD and 14 young healthy adults. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: To elucidate subtle alterations in phosphate homeostasis, we employ an acute challenge whereby the hormonal response, circulating mineral levels, and urinary excretion are assessed following an oral challenge of phosphate. RESULTS: Although both males and females had similar changes in circulating phosphate, calcium, and parathyroid hormone in response to the challenge, females excreted ∼1.9x more phosphate and ∼2.7x more calcium than males, despite not consuming calcium. These sex differences were recapitulated in healthy young adults. This excretion response did not correlate to age, serum phosphate, or estradiol levels. The females with greater excretion of phosphate had higher levels of bone resorption markers compared to formation markers. CONCLUSIONS: Taken together, these data identify sex differences in acute phosphate homeostasis, specifically that females may mobilize and excrete endogenous sources of calcium and phosphate in response to oral phosphate compared to males. While high levels of dietary phosphate negatively impact bone, our results suggest that females may incur more risk from these diets.

Twice versus thrice weekly hemodialysis: A systematic review.

INTRODUCTION: Thrice weekly hemodialysis (HD) is currently the norm in high income countries but there is mounting interest in twice weekly HD in certain settings. We performed this systematic review to summarize the available evidence comparing twice to thrice weekly HD. METHODS: A systematic literature search was performed in Ovid MEDLINE, Ovid Embase, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials to identify cohort and randomized controlled trials evaluating outcomes of twice versus thrice weekly HD. The bibliographies of identified studies were hand searched to find any additional studies. Risk of bias was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa scale for observational studies. FINDINGS: No randomized controlled trials and 21 cohort studies were identified. Overall study quality was modest with high risk of selection bias and inadequate controlling for confounders. The most commonly evaluated outcome measures were survival and residual kidney function. No studies assessed quality of life. Study results were variable and there was no clear signal for overwhelming risk or benefit of twice versus thrice weekly HD with the exception of residual kidney function which consistently showed slower decline in the twice weekly group. DISCUSSION: There is a paucity of high quality data comparing the risks and benefits of twice vs thrice weekly HD. Randomized controlled trial evidence is required to inform clinicians and HD prescription guidelines.

Death and Dialysis Following Discharge From Chronic Kidney Disease Clinic: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

Background: Multidisciplinary care is recommended for patients with advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD). A formalized, risk-based approach to CKD management is being adopted in some jurisdictions. In Ontario, Canada, the eligibility criteria for multidisciplinary CKD care funding were revised between 2016 and 2018 to a 2 year risk of kidney replacement therapy (KRT) greater than 10% calculated by the 4-variable Kidney Failure Risk Equation (KFRE). Implementation of the risk-based approach has led to the discharge of prevalent CKD patients. Objective: The primary objective of this study was to determine the frequency of occurrence of death and KRT initiation in patients discharged from CKD clinic. Design: Retrospective cohort study. Setting: Single center multidisciplinary CKD clinic in Ontario, Canada. Patients: Four hundred and twenty five patients seen at least once in 2013 at the multidisciplinary CKD clinic. Measurements: Outcomes included discharge status, death, re-referral and KRT initiation. Reasons for discharge were recorded. Methods: Outcomes were extracted from available electronic medical records and the provincial death registry between the patient's initial clinic visit in 2013 and January 1, 2020. KFRE-2 scores were calculated using the 4-variable KFRE equation. The hazard rates of death and KRT after discharge due to stable eGFR/low KFRE were compared to patients who remained in the clinic. Results: Of the 425 CKD patients, 69 (16%) and 19 (4%) were discharged to primary care and general nephrology, respectively. Of those discharged, 7 (8%) were re-referred to nephrology or CKD clinic, while only 2 (2%) discharged patients required subsequent KRT. The hazard of mortality was reduced after discharge from the clinic due to stable eGFR/low KFRE (adjusted HR = 0.45 [95% CI, 0.25-0.78, P = .005]). Limitations: Single center, observational retrospective study design and unknown kidney function over time post discharge for most patients. Conclusions: Discharge of low risk patients from multidisciplinary CKD clinic appears feasible and safe, with fewer than 1 in 40 discharged patients subsequently initiated on KRT over the following 7 years.

Contexte: Des soins multidisciplinaires sont recommandés pour les patients atteints d'insuffisance rénale chronique (IRC) de stade avancé. Une approche officielle de gestion de l'IRC, axée sur le risque, est en cours d'adoption dans certaines juridictions. En Ontario, au Canada, les critères d'admissibilité pour le financement des soins multidisciplinaires d'IRC ont été révisés entre 2016 et 2018 en fonction d'un risque supérieur à 10 % d'amorcer une thérapie de remplacement rénal (TRR) dans les 2 ans (risque calculé par l'équation KFRE [Kidney Failure Risk Equation] à 4 variables). La mise en œuvre de cette approche fondée sur le risque a mené au congé des patients prévalents atteints d'IRC. Objectif: L'objectif principal de cette étude était de déterminer la fréquence des décès et de l'amorce d'une TRR chez les patients ayant reçu leur congé de la clinique d'IRC. Conception: Étude de cohorte rétrospective. Cadre: Une clinique multidisciplinaire d'IRC de l'Ontario (Canada). Sujets: 425 patients vus au moins une fois en 2013 à la clinique multidisciplinaire d'IRC. Mesures: L'état de santé au moment du congé, le décès, la réorientation du patient vers la clinique multidisciplinaire et l'initiation d'une TRR comptaient parmi les résultats d'intérêt. Les raisons du congé ont été enregistrées. Méthodologie: Les résultats ont été extraits des dossiers médicaux électroniques disponibles et du registre provincial des décès entre la première visite à la clinique en 2013 et le 1er janvier 2020. Les scores KFRE-2 ont été calculés avec l'équation KFRE à 4 variables. Le taux d'incidence de décès et de TRR suivant un congé motivé par un DFGe stable ou un faible score KFRE a été comparé à celui des patients restés à la clinique. Résultats: Des 425 patients inclus, 69 (16 %) avaient reçu leur congé en soins primaires et 19 (4 %) en néphrologie générale. Parmi les patients sortis, 7 (8 %) ont été réorientés vers une clinique de néphrologie ou d'IRC et seulement 2 (2 %) ont dû éventuellement amorcer une TRR. Un DFGe stable et un score KFRE faible ont contribué à réduire le taux de mortalité après le congé de la clinique (RR corrigé = 0,45 [IC à 95 %: 0,25-0,78; P = 0,005]). Limites: Étude rétrospective observationnelle dans un seul center. La fonction rénale au fil du temps après le congé de l'hôpital était inconnue pour la plupart des patients. Conclusion: Donner leur congé de la clinique multidisciplinaire d'IRC aux patients à faible risque apparaît possible et sûr; moins d'un patient sur 40 ayant dû amorcer une TRR dans les 7 années suivantes.

The metabolism of 1,25(OH)2D3 in clinical and experimental kidney disease.

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) results in calcitriol deficiency and altered vitamin D metabolism. The objective of this study was to assess the 24-hydroxylation-mediated metabolism of 25(OH)D3 and 1,25(OH)2D3 in a cross-sectional analysis of participants with a range of kidney function assessed by precise measured GFR (mGFR) (N = 143) and in rats with the induction and progression of experimental kidney disease. Vitamin D metabolites were assessed with LC-MS/MS. Circulating measures of 24-hydroxylation of 25(OH)D3 (24,25(OH)2D3:25(OH)D3) precisely decreased according to mGFR in humans and progressively in rats with developing CKD. In contrast, the 1,24,25(OH)3D3: 1,25(OH)2D3 vitamin D metabolite ratio increased in humans as the mGFR decreased and in rats with the induction and progression of CKD. Human participants taking cholecalciferol had higher circulating 1,24,25(OH)3D3, despite no increase of 1,25(OH)2D3. This first report of circulating 1,24,25(OH)3D3 in the setting of CKD provides novel insight into the uniquely altered vitamin D metabolism in this setting. A better understanding of the uniquely dysfunctional catabolic vitamin D profile in CKD may guide more effective treatment strategies. The potential that 24-hydroxylated products have biological activity of is an important area of future research.

Can Peer Review Be Kinder? Supportive Peer Review: A Re-Commitment to Kindness and a Call to Action.

Peer review aims to select articles for publication and to improve articles before publication. We believe that this process can be infused by kindness without losing rigor. In 2014, the founding editorial team of the Canadian Journal of Kidney Health and Disease (CJKHD) made an explicit commitment to treat authors as we would wish to be treated ourselves. This broader group of authors reaffirms this principle, for which we suggest the terminology "supportive review."

L'évaluation par les pairs vise à sélectionner les articles à publier et à en améliorer le contenu avant publication. Nous sommes d'avis que ce processus peut être fait avec bienveillance sans perdre en rigueur. En 2014, l'équipe de rédaction fondatrice du Canadian Journal of Kidney Health and Disease (CJKHD) a pris l'engagement ferme de traiter les auteurs comme ses membres souhaiteraient eux-mêmes être traités. Aujourd'hui, notre groupe élargi d'auteur(e)s réaffirme ce principe pour lequel nous proposons la terminologie « évaluation constructive ¼.

Performance of the 2021 Race-Free CKD-EPI Creatinine- and Cystatin C-Based Estimated GFR Equations Among Kidney Transplant Recipients.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Race-free estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) equations incorporating creatinine with and without cystatin C were recently developed and recommended for routine use. However, the performance of these equations among kidney transplant recipients (KTRs) remains unknown. STUDY DESIGN: Cross-sectional study to validate the 2021 race-free Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) eGFR equation based on creatinine alone (eGFRcr) or based on creatinine and cystatin C (eGFRcr-cys) among KTRs. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: KTRs in stable condition (N = 415) from Canada and New Zealand with same-day measurements of creatinine, cystatin C, and glomerular filtration rate (GFR) using radiolabeled diethylenetriaminepentaacetic acid. TESTS COMPARED: The 2009 CKD-EPI eGFRcr, 2021 CKD-EPI eGFRcr, 2012 CKD-EPI eGFRcr-cys, 2021 CKD-EPI eGFRcr-cys, 2012 CKD-EPI eGFRcys, and Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) Study eGFR equations were compared with measured GFR. OUTCOMES: Bias, precision, accuracy, and correct classification by CKD stage. Bias was defined as the difference between estimated and measured GFR. Precision was represented by the interquartile range. Accuracy was defined as the percentages of participants with eGFRs within 10%/20%/30% (P10/P20/P30) of measured GFR, root mean square error, and mean absolute error. RESULTS: 87% of patients studied were White, 3% Black, and 10% other races. Mean measured GFR was 53 ± 19 (SD) mL/min/1.73 m2. The 2009 and 2021 CKD-EPI eGFRcr equations demonstrated similar median bias (-2.3 vs -0.2 mL/min/1.73 m2, respectively), precision (14.5 vs 14.9 mL/min/1.73 m2), and accuracy (P10/P20/P30, 32%/65%/84% vs 33%/63%/84%). The 2012 and 2021 CKD-EPI eGFRcr-cys equations also demonstrated similar median bias (-3.6 vs 0.3 mL/min/1.73 m2, respectively), precision (13.3 vs 14.3 mL/min/1.73 m2), and accuracy (P10/P20/P30, 32%/63%/80% vs 32%/67%/83%). No clear difference in performance was detected between the 2021 CKD-EPI eGFRcr and eGFRcr-cys equations among KTRs. The proportion of correct classification by CKD stage was similar across all eGFR equations. LIMITATIONS: Moderate sample size, few patients had a GFR <30 mL/min/1.73 m2, and the large majority of patients were White. CONCLUSIONS: Among KTRs, the 2021 race-free CKD-EPI eGFR equations perform similarly to the previous CKD-EPI equations that included race correction terms. No significant difference in performance was observed between the 2021 CKD-EPI eGFRcr and eGFRcr-cys equations in the kidney transplant population.

Independent External Validation and Comparison of Death and Kidney Replacement Therapy Prediction Models in Advanced CKD.

Rationale & Objective: The Kidney Failure Risk Equation (KFRE) is widely used to predict the risk of kidney replacement therapy (KRT) initiation in chronic kidney disease (CKD) stages G3-G5. The new Grams calculator developed for advanced CKD (stage G4+) predicts KRT initiation, cardiovascular events, and death by uniquely incorporating the competing risk of death. We aimed to validate this tool in a stage G4+ cohort for death and KRT. Study Design: Retrospective cohort study. Setting & Participants: 442 patients with CKD stage G4+ (mean ± SD age, 73 ± 12 years; mean ± SD estimated glomerular filtration rate, 20 ± 6.2 mL/min/1.73 m2) who visited the multidisciplinary CKD clinic at Kingston Health Sciences Center in Ontario, Canada. Outcomes & Analytical Approach: Discrimination and calibration were examined for the outcome of death using the 2- and 4-year Grams scores. The 2- and 5-year KFRE and 2- and 4-year Grams scores were compared in terms of discrimination and calibration for KRT. Results: There were 91, 161, and 206 death events and 90, 145, and 159 KRT events in our cohort at 2, 4, and 5 years, respectively. The Grams model demonstrated modest discrimination for death at 4 years (area under the curve [AUC] 0.70; 95% CI, 0.65-0.75) and performed worse at 2 years (AUC, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.57-0.70). It only overpredicted death by approximately 10% across most of the predicted range. Both models had similar discrimination for KRT at 2 years (KFRE AUC, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.78-0.88 and Grams AUC, 0.8; 95% CI, 0.76-0.87), 4 years (Grams AUC, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.77-0.86), and 5 years (KFRE AUC, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.76-0.85). There was excellent calibration for KRT using the 2-year KFRE and Grams values for predicted risk thresholds of ≤15% and using the 5-year KFRE and 4-year Grams values for predicted risk thresholds of ≤20%. At higher risk ranges, KFRE overpredicts and Grams underpredicts the KRT risk. Limitations: This is a single-center study with a primarily White cohort limited by smaller sample sizes at the higher ranges of the predicted risks, particularly for the Grams calculator. Conclusions: The Grams model provides moderately accurate death predictions, and consideration should be given to its incorporation into patient education and advanced care planning. Both the Grams and KFRE models remain clinically useful for determining KRT risks in advanced CKD.

Evaluation of novel glomerular filtration rate estimation equations in adolescents and young adults with type 1 diabetes.

AIMS: Individuals with type 1 diabetes (T1D) are at an increased risk of chronic kidney disease making estimation of glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) an important component of diabetes care. Which eGFR equation is most appropriate to use in patients with T1D during the transition to adult care is unclear. We, therefore, sought to evaluate the performance of five eGFR equations in adolescents and young adults with T1D. METHODS: Measured iohexol-based glomerular filtration rate was compared to the Chronic Kidney Disease and Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) eGFR, Chronic Kidney Disease in Children (CKiD) eGFR, and three recently developed age-adjusted versions of these in 53 patients with T1D and preserved GFR using bias, precision, and accuracy. RESULTS: The best performance was found in the sex-dependent CKiD equation (bias: -0.8, accuracy: 11.8 ml/min/1.73 m2). Bias and accuracy (26.4 and 26.8 ml/min/1.73 m2) were worst in the CKD-EPI equation. Age-dependent adjustment improved performance for this equation (bias: 5.3, accuracy: 13.4 ml/min/1.73 m2), but not for the CKiD equation (bias: 15.5, accuracy: 18.8 ml/min/1.73 m2). CONCLUSION: Age-adjustment improved performance for the CKD-EPI equation, but not for the CKiD equation. The sex-adjusted CKiD equation performed best out of all equations.

The Effect of Age on Performance of the Kidney Failure Risk Equation in Advanced CKD.

INTRODUCTION: The Kidney Failure Risk Equation (KFRE) is a clinical tool widely used to predict progression from chronic kidney disease (CKD) to kidney failure. This study aimed to evaluate the effect of age on KFRE performance in advanced CKD. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study among 1701 consecutive patients referred to an advanced CKD clinic in Ottawa, Canada, between 2010 and 2018. Patients were categorized by age as follows: <60, 60 to 69, 70 to 79, and ≥80 years. Calibration plots compared the predicted (through the KFRE) and observed incidence of kidney failure. Concordance statistic (C-statistic) evaluated discrimination. Cumulative incidence of kidney failure was compared between models that accounted for the competing risk of death and those that did not. RESULTS: We found that the KFRE overestimated the risk of kidney failure among the oldest subset of patients (≥80 years) with absolute and relative differences of 7.6% and 22.8%, respectively, over 2 years (P = 0.047), and 24.7% and 40.4%, respectively, over 5 years (P < 0.001). The degree of overestimation in the elderly was most pronounced among those with the highest predicted risks for kidney failure. KFRE discrimination was acceptable (C-statistic 0.70-0.79) across all age categories. The cumulative incidence of kidney failure was overestimated in models that did not account for the competing risk of death, and this overestimation was more pronounced with older age. CONCLUSION: The KFRE overestimates kidney failure risk among elderly patients with advanced CKD. This overestimation relates to the increasing competing risk of death with older age, particularly over longer time horizons.

BCL-XL antagonism selectively reduces neutrophil life span within inflamed tissues without causing neutropenia.

Neutrophils help to clear pathogens and cellular debris, but can also cause collateral damage within inflamed tissues. Prolonged neutrophil residency within an inflammatory niche can exacerbate tissue pathology. Using both genetic and pharmacological approaches, we show that BCL-XL is required for the persistence of neutrophils within inflammatory sites in mice. We demonstrate that a selective BCL-XL inhibitor (A-1331852) has therapeutic potential by causing apoptosis in inflammatory human neutrophils ex vivo. Moreover, in murine models of acute and chronic inflammatory disease, it reduced inflammatory neutrophil numbers and ameliorated tissue pathology. In contrast, there was minimal effect on circulating neutrophils. Thus, we show a differential survival requirement in activated neutrophils for BCL-XL and reveal a new therapeutic approach to neutrophil-mediated diseases.

Comparison of Plasma Clearance With Early-Compartment Correction Equations and Urinary Clearance in High GFR Ranges.

INTRODUCTION: Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) is measured from the late plasma disappearance curve of an exogenous tracer, after correction for the early decay-corresponding to the distribution of the tracer-using various equations. These equations display the highest discrepancies in the GFR range above 90 ml/min per 1.73 m2, and their respective performances against a reference, urinary GFR measurement are unclear. METHODS: In patients with mGFR >90 ml/min per 1.73 m2 from 6 different cohorts, we compared GFR obtained from the plasma clearance of iohexol or 51Cr-ethylenediamine tetraacetic acid (EDTA), after correction using Chantler (C), Bröchner-Mortensen (BM), Fleming (F), Jodal-Bröchner-Mortensen (JBM), and Ng (N) equations, with urinary clearance of the same tracers or inulin. RESULTS: In 438 participants (median age 41 [39-42] years, 43% women), the median urinary clearance was 100.8 (94.7-112.6) ml/min per 1.73 m2. Plasma clearances using the correction equations were 105.7 (96.8-119.2), 102.4 (95.2-112.9), 100.7 (93.6-111.1), 102.6 (95.2-113.4), and 106.0 (98.2-117.6) ml/min per 1.73 m2 for C, BM, F, JBM, and N, respectively. Concordance correlation coefficients between plasma and urinary clearances were poor for all equations. Compared with urinary clearances, BM, F, and JBM displayed the best accuracy within 10% (73%, 72%, and 71%, respectively, vs. 63% and 66% for C and N), whereas BM and JBM had the lowest median biases. Accuracy of all equations was especially low in the hyperfiltration range (urinary clearance >130 ml/min per 1.73 m2). CONCLUSION: The BM and JBM equations displayed the best overall performances to correct for the early disappearance curve. Results of these equations should be interpreted with caution, especially in the highest GFR range.

Structure-Guided Development of Potent Benzoylurea Inhibitors of BCL-XL and BCL-2.

The BCL-2 family of proteins (including the prosurvival proteins BCL-2, BCL-XL, and MCL-1) is an important target for the development of novel anticancer therapeutics. Despite the challenges of targeting protein-protein interaction (PPI) interfaces with small molecules, a number of inhibitors (called BH3 mimetics) have entered the clinic and the BCL-2 inhibitor, ABT-199/venetoclax, is already proving transformative. For BCL-XL, new validated chemical series are desirable. Here, we outline the crystallography-guided development of a structurally distinct series of BCL-XL/BCL-2 inhibitors based on a benzoylurea scaffold, originally proposed as α-helix mimetics. We describe structure-guided exploration of a cryptic "p5" pocket identified in BCL-XL. This work yields novel inhibitors with submicromolar binding, with marked selectivity toward BCL-XL. Extension into the hydrophobic p2 pocket yielded the most potent inhibitor in the series, binding strongly to BCL-XL and BCL-2 (nanomolar-range half-maximal inhibitory concentration (IC50)) and displaying mechanism-based killing in cells engineered to depend on BCL-XL for survival.