Preoperative Prognostic Index for Patients with Brain Metastases-A Population-Based Multi-Centre Study.

BACKGROUND: Brain metastases (BM) are common in cancer patients and are associated with high morbidity and mortality. Surgery is an option, but the optimal selection of patients for surgery is challenging and controversial. Current prognostication tools are not ideal for preoperative prognostication. By using a reference population (derivation data set) and two external populations (validation data set) of patients who underwent surgery for BM, we aimed to create and validate a preoperative prognostic index. METHODS: The derivation data set consists of 590 patients who underwent surgery for BM (2011-2018) at Oslo University Hospital. We identified variables associated with survival and created a preoperative prognostic index with four prognostic groups, which was validated on patients who underwent surgery for BM at Karolinska University Hospital and St. Olavs University Hospital during the same time period. To reduce over-fitting, we adjusted the index in accordance with our findings. RESULTS: 438 patients were included in the validation data set. The preoperative prognostic index correctly divided patients into four true prognostic groups. The two prognostic groups with the poorest survival outcomes overlapped, and these were merged to create the adjusted preoperative prognostic index. CONCLUSION: We created a prognostic index for patients with BM that predicts overall survival preoperatively. This index might be valuable in supporting informed choice when considering surgery for BM.

Surgery for brain metastases-impact of the extent of resection.

BACKGROUND: Surgical resection of brain metastases improves symptoms and survival in selected patients. The benefit of gross total resection is disputed, as most patients are believed to succumb from their non-CNS tumor burden. We investigated the association between overall survival and residual tumor after surgery for single brain metastases. METHODS: We reviewed adults who underwent surgery for a single brain metastasis at a regional referral center (2011-2018). Gross total resection was defined as no visible residual tumor on cerebral MRI 12-48 h postoperatively. RESULTS: We included 373 patients. The most common primary tumors were lung cancer (36%) and melanoma (24%). We identified gross total resection in 238 patients (64%). Median overall survival was 11.0 months, 8.0 (6.2-9.8) months for patients with subtotal resection and 13.0 (9.7-16.3) months for patients with gross total resection. In a multivariate regression analysis including preoperative prognostic factors, gross total resection was associated with longer overall survival (HR: 0.66, p = 0.003). Postoperative radiotherapy administered within 6 weeks did not significantly alter the hazard ratio estimates for grade of resection. CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggests improved survival with gross total resection compared to subtotal resection. The importance of extent of resection in surgery for brain metastases should not be discarded.

Surgery for brain metastases - real-world prognostic factors' association with survival.

BACKGROUND: Surgical resection of brain metastases (BM) improves overall survival (OS) in selected patients. Selecting those patients likely to benefit from surgery is challenging. The Graded Prognostic Assessment (GPA) and the diagnosis-specific Graded Prognostic Assessment (ds-GPA) were developed to predict survival in patients with BM, but not specifically to guide patient selection for surgery. Our aim was to evaluate the feasibility of preoperative GPA/ds-GPA scores and assess variables associated with OS. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed first-time surgical resection of BM from solid tumors at a Norwegian regional referral center from 2011 to 2018. RESULTS: Of 590 patients, 51% were female and median age was 63 years. Median OS was 10.3 months and 74 patients (13%) died within three months after surgery. Preoperatively tumor origin was unknown in 20% of patients. A GPA score could be calculated for 92% of the patients preoperatively, but could not correctly predict survival. A ds-GPA score could be calculated for 46% of patients. Multivariable regression analysis revealed shorter OS in patients with higher age, worse functioning status, colorectal primary cancer compared to lung cancer, presence of extracranial metastases, and more than four BM. Patients with preoperative progressive extracranial disease or synchronous BM had shorter OS compared to patients with stable extracranial disease. CONCLUSION: Ds-GPA could be calculated in less than half of patients preoperatively and GPA poorly identified patients which had minimal benefit of surgery. Including status of extracranial disease improve prognostication and therefore selection to surgery for brain metastases.