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1.
JAMA ; 2024 Aug 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39163015

RESUMO

Importance: Iron deficiency is the leading cause of anemia during pregnancy. According to survey data from 1999 to 2006, overall estimated prevalence of iron deficiency during pregnancy is near 18% and increases across the 3 trimesters of pregnancy (from 6.9% to 14.3% to 28.4%). An estimated 5% of pregnant persons have iron deficiency anemia. Objective: The US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) commissioned a systematic review to evaluate the evidence on the benefits and harms of screening and supplementation for iron deficiency with and without anemia on maternal and infant health outcomes in asymptomatic pregnant persons. Population: Asymptomatic pregnant adolescents and adults. Evidence Assessment: The USPSTF concludes that the current evidence is insufficient, and the balance of benefits and harms of screening for iron deficiency and iron deficiency anemia in asymptomatic pregnant persons on maternal and infant health outcomes cannot be determined. The USPSTF also concludes that the current evidence is insufficient, and the balance of benefits and harms of iron supplementation in asymptomatic pregnant persons on maternal and infant health outcomes cannot be determined. Recommendation: The USPSTF concludes that the current evidence is insufficient to assess the balance of benefits and harms of screening for iron deficiency and iron deficiency anemia in pregnant persons to prevent adverse maternal and infant health outcomes. (I statement) The USPSTF concludes that the current evidence is insufficient to assess the balance of benefits and harms of routine supplementation for iron deficiency and iron deficiency anemia in pregnant persons to prevent adverse maternal and infant health outcomes. (I statement).

2.
Med Decis Making ; 44(5): 512-528, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38828516

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic underscored the criticality and complexity of decision making for novel treatment approval and further research. Our study aims to assess potential decision-making methodologies, an evaluation vital for refining future public health crisis responses. METHODS: We compared 4 decision-making approaches to drug approval and research: the Food and Drug Administration's policy decisions, cumulative meta-analysis, a prospective value-of-information (VOI) approach (using information available at the time of decision), and a reference standard (retrospective VOI analysis using information available in hindsight). Possible decisions were to reject, accept, provide emergency use authorization, or allow access to new therapies only in research settings. We used monoclonal antibodies provided to hospitalized COVID-19 patients as a case study, examining the evidence from September 2020 to December 2021 and focusing on each method's capacity to optimize health outcomes and resource allocation. RESULTS: Our findings indicate a notable discrepancy between policy decisions and the reference standard retrospective VOI approach with expected losses up to $269 billion USD, suggesting suboptimal resource use during the wait for emergency use authorization. Relying solely on cumulative meta-analysis for decision making results in the largest expected loss, while the policy approach showed a loss up to $16 billion and the prospective VOI approach presented the least loss (up to $2 billion). CONCLUSION: Our research suggests that incorporating VOI analysis may be particularly useful for research prioritization and treatment implementation decisions during pandemics. While the prospective VOI approach was favored in this case study, further studies should validate the ideal decision-making method across various contexts. This study's findings not only enhance our understanding of decision-making strategies during a health crisis but also provide a potential framework for future pandemic responses. HIGHLIGHTS: This study reviews discrepancies between a reference standard (retrospective VOI, using hindsight information) and 3 conceivable real-time approaches to research-treatment decisions during a pandemic, suggesting suboptimal use of resources.Of all prospective decision-making approaches considered, VOI closely mirrored the reference standard, yielding the least expected value loss across our study timeline.This study illustrates the possible benefit of VOI results and the need for evidence accumulation accompanied by modeling in health technology assessment for emerging therapies.


Assuntos
Tratamento Farmacológico da COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Tomada de Decisões , Aprovação de Drogas , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , Incerteza , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Estados Unidos , Pandemias , United States Food and Drug Administration , Anticorpos Monoclonais/uso terapêutico
3.
JAMA ; 332(3): 226-232, 2024 07 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38888912

RESUMO

Importance: Approximately 19.7% of children and adolescents aged 2 to 19 years in the US have a body mass index (BMI) at or above the 95th percentile for age and sex, based on Centers for Disease Control and Prevention growth charts from 2000. The prevalence of high BMI increases with age and is higher among Hispanic/Latino, Native American/Alaska Native, and non-Hispanic Black children and adolescents and children from lower-income families. Objective: The US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) commissioned a systematic review to evaluate the evidence on interventions (behavioral counseling and pharmacotherapy) for weight loss or weight management in children and adolescents that can be provided in or referred from a primary care setting. Population: Children and adolescents 6 years or older. Evidence Assessment: The USPSTF concludes with moderate certainty that providing or referring children and adolescents 6 years or older with a high BMI to comprehensive, intensive behavioral interventions has a moderate net benefit. Recommendation: The USPSTF recommends that clinicians provide or refer children and adolescents 6 years or older with a high BMI (≥95th percentile for age and sex) to comprehensive, intensive behavioral interventions. (B recommendation).


Assuntos
Terapia Comportamental , Índice de Massa Corporal , Obesidade Infantil , Humanos , Adolescente , Criança , Obesidade Infantil/terapia , Obesidade Infantil/prevenção & controle , Redução de Peso , Encaminhamento e Consulta , Atenção Primária à Saúde , Feminino , Aconselhamento
4.
JAMA ; 332(1): 51-57, 2024 07 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38833246

RESUMO

Importance: Falls are the leading cause of injury-related morbidity and mortality among older adults in the US. In 2018, 27.5% of community-dwelling adults 65 years or older reported at least 1 fall in the past year and 10.2% reported a fall-related injury. In 2021, an estimated 38 742 deaths resulted from fall-related injuries. Objective: The US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) commissioned a systematic review to evaluate the effectiveness and harms of primary care-relevant interventions to prevent falls and fall-related morbidity and mortality in community-dwelling adults 65 years or older. Population: Community-dwelling adults 65 years or older at increased risk of falls. Evidence Assessment: The USPSTF concludes with moderate certainty that exercise interventions provide a moderate net benefit in preventing falls and fall-related morbidity in older adults at increased risk for falls. The USPSTF concludes with moderate certainty that multifactorial interventions provide a small net benefit in preventing falls and fall-related morbidity in older adults at increased risk for falls. Recommendation: The USPSTF recommends exercise interventions to prevent falls in community-dwelling adults 65 years or older who are at increased risk for falls. (B recommendation) The USPSTF recommends that clinicians individualize the decision to offer multifactorial interventions to prevent falls to community-dwelling adults 65 years or older who are at increased risk for falls. Existing evidence indicates that the overall net benefit of routinely offering multifactorial interventions to prevent falls is small. When determining whether this service is appropriate for an individual, patients and clinicians should consider the balance of benefits and harms based on the circumstances of prior falls, presence of comorbid medical conditions, and the patient's values and preferences. (C recommendation).


Assuntos
Acidentes por Quedas , Terapia por Exercício , Vida Independente , Idoso , Humanos , Acidentes por Quedas/prevenção & controle , Acidentes por Quedas/estatística & dados numéricos , Comitês Consultivos , Exercício Físico , Atenção Primária à Saúde , Medição de Risco , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
5.
AJR Am J Roentgenol ; 222(6): e2431404, 2024 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38713007

RESUMO

In this video article, Dr. John B. Wong, Vice Chair of the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF), discusses implications of the new USPSTF recommendation for biennial screening mammography for women 40­74 years old.


Assuntos
Comitês Consultivos , Neoplasias da Mama , Detecção Precoce de Câncer , Mamografia , Feminino , Humanos , Neoplasias da Mama/diagnóstico por imagem , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Adulto , Estados Unidos , Guias de Prática Clínica como Assunto , Programas de Rastreamento
6.
JACC CardioOncol ; 6(2): 200-213, 2024 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38774008

RESUMO

Background: Older patients with Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) often have comorbid cardiovascular disease; however, the impact of pre-existing heart failure (HF) on the management and outcomes of HL is unknown. Objectives: The aim of this study was to assess the prevalence of pre-existing HF in older patients with HL and its impact on treatment and outcomes. Methods: Linked Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) and Medicare data from 1999 to 2016 were used to identify patients 65 years and older with newly diagnosed HL. Pre-existing HF, comorbidities, and cancer treatment were ascertained from billing codes and cause-specific mortality from SEER. The associations between pre-existing HF and cancer treatment were estimated using multivariable logistic regression. Cause-specific Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for comorbidities and cancer treatment were used to estimate the association between pre-existing HF and cause-specific mortality. Results: Among 3,348 patients (mean age 76 ± 7 years, 48.6% women) with newly diagnosed HL, pre-existing HF was present in 437 (13.1%). Pre-existing HF was associated with a lower likelihood of using anthracycline-based chemotherapy regimens (OR: 0.42; 95% CI: 0.29-0.60) and a higher likelihood of lymphoma mortality (HR: 1.25; 95% CI: 1.06-1.46) and cardiovascular mortality (HR: 2.57; 95% CI: 1.96-3.36) in models adjusted for comorbidities. One-year lymphoma mortality cumulative incidence was 37.4% (95% CI: 35.5%-39.5%) with pre-existing HF and 26.3% (95% CI: 25.0%-27.6%) without pre-existing HF. The cardioprotective medications dexrazoxane and liposomal doxorubicin were used in only 4.2% of patients. Conclusions: Pre-existing HF in older patients with newly diagnosed HL is common and associated with higher 1-year mortality. Strategies are needed to improve lymphoma and cardiovascular outcomes in this high-risk population.

7.
JAMA ; 331(22): 1918-1930, 2024 06 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38687503

RESUMO

Importance: Among all US women, breast cancer is the second most common cancer and the second most common cause of cancer death. In 2023, an estimated 43 170 women died of breast cancer. Non-Hispanic White women have the highest incidence of breast cancer and non-Hispanic Black women have the highest mortality rate. Objective: The USPSTF commissioned a systematic review to evaluate the comparative effectiveness of different mammography-based breast cancer screening strategies by age to start and stop screening, screening interval, modality, use of supplemental imaging, or personalization of screening for breast cancer on the incidence of and progression to advanced breast cancer, breast cancer morbidity, and breast cancer-specific or all-cause mortality, and collaborative modeling studies to complement the evidence from the review. Population: Cisgender women and all other persons assigned female at birth aged 40 years or older at average risk of breast cancer. Evidence Assessment: The USPSTF concludes with moderate certainty that biennial screening mammography in women aged 40 to 74 years has a moderate net benefit. The USPSTF concludes that the evidence is insufficient to determine the balance of benefits and harms of screening mammography in women 75 years or older and the balance of benefits and harms of supplemental screening for breast cancer with breast ultrasound or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), regardless of breast density. Recommendation: The USPSTF recommends biennial screening mammography for women aged 40 to 74 years. (B recommendation) The USPSTF concludes that the current evidence is insufficient to assess the balance of benefits and harms of screening mammography in women 75 years or older. (I statement) The USPSTF concludes that the current evidence is insufficient to assess the balance of benefits and harms of supplemental screening for breast cancer using breast ultrasonography or MRI in women identified to have dense breasts on an otherwise negative screening mammogram. (I statement).


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama , Detecção Precoce de Câncer , Mamografia , Humanos , Neoplasias da Mama/diagnóstico , Neoplasias da Mama/prevenção & controle , Neoplasias da Mama/diagnóstico por imagem , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Adulto , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Fatores Etários , Ultrassonografia Mamária , Estados Unidos , Programas de Rastreamento
8.
EClinicalMedicine ; 71: 102572, 2024 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38572081

RESUMO

Background: Ultra-processed foods (UPFs) are emerging as a risk factor for colorectal cancer (CRC), yet how post-diagnostic UPF intake may impact CRC prognosis remains unexplored. Methods: Data collected from food frequency questionnaires were used to estimate intakes of total UPFs and UPF subgroups (serving/d) at least 6 months but less than 4 years post-diagnosis among 2498 patients diagnosed with stages I-III CRC within the Nurses' Health Study and Health Professionals Follow-up Study during 1980-2016. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of all-cause, CRC- and cardiovascular disease (CVD)-specific mortality in association with UPF consumption were estimated using an inverse probability weighted multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model, adjusted for confounders. Findings: The mean (SD) age of patients at diagnosis was 68.5 (9.4) years. A total of 1661 deaths were documented, including 321 from CRC and 335 from CVD. Compared to those in the lowest quintile (median = 3.6 servings/d), patients in the highest quintile (median = 10 servings/d) of post-diagnostic UPF intake had higher CVD mortality (HR = 1.65, 95% CI = 1.13-2.40) but not CRC or all-cause mortality. Among UPF subgroups, higher consumption of fats/condiments/sauces was associated with a higher risk of CVD-specific mortality (highest vs. lowest quintile of intake, HR = 1.96, 95% CI = 1.41-2.73), and higher intake of ice cream/sherbet was associated with an increased risk of CRC-specific mortality (highest vs. lowest quintile, HR = 1.86, 95% CI: 1.33-2.61). No statistically significant association was found between UPF subgroups and overall mortality. Interpretation: Higher post-diagnostic intake of total UPFs and fats/condiments/sauces in CRC survivors is associated with higher CVD mortality, and higher ice cream/sherbet intake is linked to higher CRC mortality. Funding: US National Institutes of Health and the American Cancer Society.

10.
JAMA ; 331(4): 329-334, 2024 01 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38261037

RESUMO

Importance: Speech and language delays and disorders can pose significant problems for children and their families. Evidence suggests that school-aged children with speech or language delays may be at increased risk of learning and literacy disabilities, including difficulties with reading and writing. Objective: The US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) commissioned a systematic review to evaluate benefits and harms of screening for speech and language delay and disorders in children 5 years or younger. Population: Asymptomatic children 5 years or younger whose parents or clinicians do not have specific concerns about their speech, language, hearing, or development. Evidence Assessment: The USPSTF concludes that the current evidence is insufficient to assess the balance of benefits and harms of screening for speech and language delay and disorders in children who do not present with signs or symptoms or parent/caregiver concerns. Recommendation: The USPSTF concludes that the current evidence is insufficient to assess the balance of benefits and harms of screening for speech and language delay and disorders in children 5 years or younger without signs or symptoms. (I statement).


Assuntos
Transtornos do Desenvolvimento da Linguagem , Programas de Rastreamento , Criança , Humanos , Comitês Consultivos , Transtornos do Desenvolvimento da Linguagem/diagnóstico , Pré-Escolar , Doenças Assintomáticas
11.
Am J Kidney Dis ; 2023 Dec 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38070590

RESUMO

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Few older adults with kidney failure engage in shared decision making (SDM) for kidney replacement therapy. The lack of instruments to assess SDM-relevant knowledge domains may contribute to this. We assessed the reliability and validity of a new instrument, the Rating of CKD Knowledge Older Adults (Know-CKD). STUDY DESIGN: Multistage process, including a stakeholder-engaged development phase, pilot testing, and validation of a knowledge instrument using a cross-sectional survey of older adults with CKD. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 363 patients aged 70+years with nondialysis advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD) (estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR]<30mL/min/1.73m2) in Boston, Chicago, Portland, ME, and San Diego from June 2018 and January 2020. EXPOSURE: Educational level, higher literacy (Single Item Literacy Screener [SILS]) and numeracy (Subjective Numeracy Scale [SNS]), having participated in clinic-sponsored dialysis education, and self-reported "feeling informed" about options for treatment. OUTCOME: Validity and reliability of the Know-CKD instrument. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Reliability was assessed with the Kuder-Richardson-20 coefficient. Construct validity was demonstrated by testing a priori hypotheses using t test, analysis of variance (ANOVA) tests, and linear regression analyses. RESULTS: The mean (± SD) participant age was 77.6±5.9 years, and mean eGFR was 22.7±7.2mL/min/1.73m2; 281 participants (78%) self-reported as White. The 12-item Know-CKD assessment had good reliability (Kuder-Richardson-20 reliability coefficient=0.75), and a mean score of 58.2% ± 22.3 SD. The subscales did not attain acceptable reliability. The proportion answering correctly on each item ranged from 20.1% to 91.7%. In examining construct validity, the hypothesized associations held; Know-CKD significantly associated with higher education (ß=6.98 [95% CI, 1.34-12.61], P=0.02), health literacy (ß = -12.67 [95% CI, -19.49 to-5.86], P≤0.001), numeracy per 10% higher (ß=1.85 [95% CI, 1.02-2.69], P≤0.001), and attendance at dialysis class (ß=18.28 [95% CI, 13.30-23.27], P≤0.001). These associations were also observed for the subscales except for prognosis (not associated with literacy or numeracy). LIMITATIONS: Know-CKD is only available in English and has been used only in research settings. CONCLUSIONS: For older adults facing dialysis initiation decisions, Know-CKD is a valid, reliable, and easy to administer measure of knowledge. Further research should examine the relationship of kidney disease knowledge and SDM, patient satisfaction, and clinical outcomes. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: The Rating of CKD Knowledge Among Older Adults (Know-CKD) study measures knowledge of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and is designed for older adults. Most existing knowledge measures for CKD focus on people of all ages and all CKD stages. This measure is useful because it will allow researchers to assess how well patient education efforts are working. Patient education is a way to help patients make decisions about their care. We describe how the measure was developed by a team of doctors, researchers, and patients, and how the measure performed among persons with advanced CKD aged 70 years and older. Know-CKD can inform efforts to improve shared decision-making research and practice for older patients with kidney disease.

12.
JAMA ; 330(17): 1666-1673, 2023 11 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37934215

RESUMO

Importance: Oral health is fundamental to health and well-being across the lifespan. Oral health conditions affect the daily lives of school-age children and adolescents, leading to loss of more than 51 million school hours every year. Untreated oral health conditions in children can lead to serious infections and affect growth, development, and quality of life. Objective: The US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) commissioned a systematic review to evaluate screening and preventive interventions for oral health conditions in children and adolescents aged 5 to 17 years. Population: Asymptomatic children and adolescents aged 5 to 17 years. Evidence Assessment: The USPSTF concludes that the current evidence is insufficient to assess the balance of benefits and harms of screening for oral health conditions (eg, dental caries) performed by primary care clinicians in asymptomatic children and adolescents aged 5 to 17 years. The USPSTF concludes that the current evidence is insufficient to assess the balance of benefits and harms of preventive interventions for oral health conditions (eg, dental caries) performed by primary care clinicians in asymptomatic children and adolescents aged 5 to 17 years. Recommendations: The USPSTF concludes that the current evidence is insufficient to assess the balance of benefits and harms of routine screening performed by primary care clinicians for oral health conditions, including dental caries, in children and adolescents aged 5 to 17 years. (I statement) The USPSTF concludes that the current evidence is insufficient to assess the balance of benefits and harms of preventive interventions performed by primary care clinicians for oral health conditions, including dental caries, in children and adolescents aged 5 to 17 years. (I statement).


Assuntos
Cárie Dentária , Saúde Bucal , Adolescente , Criança , Humanos , Comitês Consultivos , Cárie Dentária/diagnóstico , Cárie Dentária/prevenção & controle , Qualidade de Vida , Programas de Rastreamento , Pré-Escolar , Doenças Assintomáticas , Atenção Primária à Saúde , Doenças Estomatognáticas/diagnóstico , Doenças Estomatognáticas/prevenção & controle , Medição de Risco , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
13.
JAMA ; 330(18): 1773-1779, 2023 11 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37934473

RESUMO

Importance: Oral health is fundamental to health and well-being across the life span. Dental caries (cavities) and periodontal disease (gum disease) are common and often untreated oral health conditions that affect eating, speaking, learning, smiling, and employment potential. Untreated oral health conditions can lead to tooth loss, irreversible tooth damage, and other serious adverse health outcomes. Objective: The US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) commissioned a systematic review to evaluate screening and preventive interventions for oral health conditions in adults. Population: Asymptomatic adults 18 years or older. Evidence Assessment: The USPSTF concludes that the current evidence is insufficient to assess the balance of benefits and harms of screening for oral health conditions (eg, dental caries or periodontal disease) performed by primary care clinicians in asymptomatic adults. The USPSTF concludes that the current evidence is insufficient to assess the balance of benefits and harms of preventive interventions for oral health conditions (eg, dental caries or periodontal disease) performed by primary care clinicians in asymptomatic adults. Recommendations: The USPSTF concludes that the current evidence is insufficient to assess the balance of benefits and harms of routine screening performed by primary care clinicians for oral health conditions, including dental caries or periodontal-related disease, in adults. (I statement) The USPSTF concludes that the current evidence is insufficient to assess the balance of benefits and harms of preventive interventions performed by primary care clinicians for oral health conditions, including dental caries or periodontal-related disease, in adults. (I statement).


Assuntos
Cárie Dentária , Doenças Periodontais , Adulto , Humanos , Programas de Rastreamento/efeitos adversos , Saúde Bucal , Cárie Dentária/diagnóstico , Cárie Dentária/prevenção & controle , Cárie Dentária/etiologia , Serviços Preventivos de Saúde , Doenças Periodontais/diagnóstico , Doenças Periodontais/prevenção & controle , Atenção Primária à Saúde
14.
Leuk Lymphoma ; 64(14): 2249-2257, 2023 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37897330

RESUMO

Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) affects older and younger patients and includes multiple options for initial treatment. We sought to examine the decision processes of practicing oncologists caring for patients with newly diagnosed HL. Through semi-structured interviews, we explored their perspectives about treatment decisions. We completed thematic analysis using the Anderson Behavioral Model of Health Services framework to identify factors associated with initial decisions. We completed 22 interviews, grouping findings into contextual factors, individual characteristics, and physician preferences. Paternalism was widely cited, along with collaboration between community and academic colleagues. Participants used sequential therapy but not geriatric assessment in care for older patients. Physicians had varied responses about use of frontline brentuximab vedotin (Bv)-based therapy based on perceptions about benefit versus toxicity. Our work suggests a need to further understand the heterogeneity of clinical practices, especially in the post-approval setting of new therapies.


Assuntos
Doença de Hodgkin , Imunoconjugados , Oncologistas , Humanos , Doença de Hodgkin/diagnóstico , Doença de Hodgkin/tratamento farmacológico , Imunoconjugados/uso terapêutico , Recidiva Local de Neoplasia/tratamento farmacológico , Brentuximab Vedotin/uso terapêutico
15.
Med Decis Making ; 43(7-8): 930-948, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37842820

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Few simulation models have incorporated the interplay of diabetes, obesity, and cardiovascular disease (CVD); their upstream lifestyle and biological risk factors; and their downstream effects on health disparities and economic consequences. METHODS: We developed and validated a US Diabetes, Obesity, Cardiovascular Disease Microsimulation (DOC-M) model that incorporates demographic, clinical, and lifestyle risk factors to jointly predict overall and racial-ethnic groups-specific obesity, diabetes, CVD, and cause-specific mortality for the US adult population aged 40 to 79 y at baseline. An individualized health care cost prediction model was further developed and integrated. This model incorporates nationally representative data on baseline demographics, lifestyle, health, and cause-specific mortality; dynamic changes in modifiable risk factors over time; and parameter uncertainty using probabilistic distributions. Validation analyses included assessment of 1) population-level risk calibration and 2) individual-level risk discrimination. To illustrate the application of the DOC-M model, we evaluated the long-term cost-effectiveness of a national produce prescription program. RESULTS: Comparing the 15-y model-predicted population risk of primary outcomes among the 2001-2002 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) cohort with the observed prevalence from age-matched cross-sectional 2003-2016 NHANES cohorts, calibration performance was strong based on observed-to-expected ratio and calibration plot analysis. In most cases, Brier scores fell below 0.0004, indicating a low overall prediction error. Using the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis cohorts, the c-statistics for assessing individual-level risk discrimination were 0.85 to 0.88 for diabetes, 0.93 to 0.95 for obesity, 0.74 to 0.76 for CVD history, and 0.78 to 0.81 for all-cause mortality, both overall and in three racial-ethnic groups. Open-source code for the model was posted at https://github.com/food-price/DOC-M-Model-Development-and-Validation. CONCLUSIONS: The validated DOC-M model can be used to examine health, equity, and the economic impact of health policies and interventions on behavioral and clinical risk factors for obesity, diabetes, and CVD. HIGHLIGHTS: We developed a novel microsimula'tion model for obesity, diabetes, and CVD, which intersect together and - critically for prevention and treatment interventions - share common lifestyle, biologic, and demographic risk factors.Validation analyses, including assessment of (1) population-level risk calibration and (2) individual-level risk discrimination, showed strong performance across the overall population and three major racial-ethnic groups for 6 outcomes (obesity, diabetes, CVD, and all-cause mortality, CVD- and DM-cause mortality)This paper provides a thorough explanation and documentation of the development and validation process of a novel microsimulation model, along with the open-source code (https://github.com/food-price/ DOCM_validation) for public use, to serve as a guide for future simulation model assessments, validation, and implementation.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares , Diabetes Mellitus , Adulto , Humanos , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Estudos Transversais , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Obesidade/epidemiologia
16.
JAMA ; 330(11): 1074-1082, 2023 09 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37721605

RESUMO

Importance: Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy are among the leading causes of maternal morbidity and mortality in the US. The rate of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy has been increasing from approximately 500 cases per 10 000 deliveries in 1993 to 1021 cases per 10 000 deliveries in 2016 to 2017. Objective: The US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) commissioned a systematic review to evaluate the benefits and harms of screening for hypertensive disorders of pregnancy. Population: Pregnant persons without a known diagnosis of a hypertensive disorder of pregnancy or chronic hypertension. Evidence Assessment: The USPSTF concludes with moderate certainty that screening for hypertensive disorders in pregnancy with blood pressure measurements has substantial net benefit. Recommendation: The USPSTF recommends screening for hypertensive disorders in pregnant persons with blood pressure measurements throughout pregnancy. (B recommendation).


Assuntos
Hipertensão Induzida pela Gravidez , Feminino , Humanos , Gravidez , Comitês Consultivos , Hipertensão Induzida pela Gravidez/diagnóstico , Serviços Preventivos de Saúde , Programas de Rastreamento , Determinação da Pressão Arterial
17.
JAMA ; 330(8): 736-745, 2023 08 22.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37606666

RESUMO

Importance: An estimated 1.2 million persons in the US currently have HIV, and more than 760 000 persons have died of complications related to HIV since the first cases were reported in 1981. Although treatable, HIV is not curable and has significant health consequences. Therefore, effective strategies to prevent HIV are an important public health and clinical priority. Objective: The US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) commissioned a systematic review to evaluate the benefits and harms of preexposure prophylaxis with antiretroviral therapy for the prevention of HIV acquisition, and the diagnostic accuracy of risk assessment tools to identify persons at increased risk of HIV acquisition. Population: Adolescents and adults who do not have HIV and are at increased risk of HIV. Evidence Assessment: The USPSTF concludes with high certainty that there is a substantial net benefit from the use of effective antiretroviral therapy to reduce the risk of acquisition of HIV in persons at increased risk of acquiring HIV. Recommendation: The USPSTF recommends that clinicians prescribe preexposure prophylaxis using effective antiretroviral therapy to persons at increased risk of HIV acquisition to decrease the risk of acquiring HIV. (A recommendation).


Assuntos
Antirretrovirais , Infecções por HIV , Profilaxia Pré-Exposição , Adolescente , Adulto , Humanos , Comitês Consultivos , Antirretrovirais/administração & dosagem , Antirretrovirais/efeitos adversos , Antirretrovirais/uso terapêutico , Infecções por HIV/diagnóstico , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Infecções por HIV/etiologia , Infecções por HIV/prevenção & controle , Profilaxia Pré-Exposição/métodos , Profilaxia Pré-Exposição/normas , Serviços Preventivos de Saúde , Saúde Pública , Medição de Risco/métodos , Medição de Risco/normas , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
18.
JAMA ; 330(5): 454-459, 2023 08 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37526713

RESUMO

Importance: Neural tube defects are among the most common congenital malformations in the US, with an estimated 3000 pregnancies affected each year. Many of these neural tube defects are caused by low folate levels in the body. Objective: The US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) commissioned a reaffirmation evidence update on the benefits and harms of folic acid supplementation. Population: Persons who are planning to or could become pregnant. Evidence Assessment: The USPSTF concludes that, for persons who are planning to or could become pregnant, there is high certainty that folic acid supplementation has a substantial net benefit to prevent neural tube defects in their offspring. Recommendation: The USPSTF recommends that all persons planning to or who could become pregnant take a daily supplement containing 0.4 to 0.8 mg (400 to 800 µg) of folic acid. (A recommendation).


Assuntos
Suplementos Nutricionais , Deficiência de Ácido Fólico , Ácido Fólico , Defeitos do Tubo Neural , Complicações na Gravidez , Feminino , Humanos , Gravidez , Comitês Consultivos , Ácido Fólico/administração & dosagem , Ácido Fólico/uso terapêutico , Programas de Rastreamento , Defeitos do Tubo Neural/etiologia , Defeitos do Tubo Neural/prevenção & controle , Serviços Preventivos de Saúde , Deficiência de Ácido Fólico/complicações , Deficiência de Ácido Fólico/diagnóstico , Deficiência de Ácido Fólico/tratamento farmacológico , Complicações na Gravidez/etiologia , Complicações na Gravidez/prevenção & controle , Cuidado Pré-Concepcional/normas
19.
J Am Heart Assoc ; 12(15): e029215, 2023 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37417296

RESUMO

Background Produce prescription programs, providing free or discounted produce and nutrition education to patients with diet-related conditions within health care systems, have been shown to improve dietary quality and cardiometabolic risk factors. The potential impact of implementing produce prescription programs for patients with diabetes on long-term health gains, costs, and cost-effectiveness in the United States has not been established. Methods and Results We used a validated state-transition microsimulation model (Diabetes, Obesity, Cardiovascular Disease Microsimulation model), populated with national data of eligible individuals from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2013 to 2018, further incorporating estimated intervention effects and diet-disease effects from meta-analyses, and policy- and health-related costs from published literature. The model estimated that over a lifetime (mean=25 years), implementing produce prescriptions in 6.5 million US adults with both diabetes and food insecurity (lifetime treatment) would prevent 292 000 (95% uncertainty interval, 143 000-440 000) cardiovascular disease events, generate 260 000 (110000-411 000) quality-adjusted life-years, cost $44.3 billion in implementation costs, and save $39.6 billion ($20.5-58.6 billion) in health care costs and $4.8 billion ($1.84-$7.70 billion) in productivity costs. The program was highly cost effective from a health care perspective (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio: $18 100/quality-adjusted life-years) and cost saving from a societal perspective (net savings: $-0.05 billion). The intervention remained cost effective at shorter time horizons of 5 and 10 years. Results were similar in population subgroups by age, race or ethnicity, education, and baseline insurance status. Conclusions Our model suggests that implementing produce prescriptions among US adults with diabetes and food insecurity would generate substantial health gains and be highly cost effective.


Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares , Diabetes Mellitus , Adulto , Humanos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/prevenção & controle , Inquéritos Nutricionais , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiologia , Diabetes Mellitus/terapia , Dieta , Custos de Cuidados de Saúde , Análise Custo-Benefício , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida
20.
JAMA ; 329(24): 2163-2170, 2023 06 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37338866

RESUMO

Importance: Anxiety disorders are commonly occurring mental health conditions. They are often unrecognized in primary care settings and substantial delays in treatment initiation occur. Objective: The US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) commissioned a systematic review to evaluate the benefits and harms of screening for anxiety disorders in asymptomatic adults. Population: Asymptomatic adults 19 years or older, including pregnant and postpartum persons. Older adults are defined as those 65 years or older. Evidence Assessment: The USPSTF concludes with moderate certainty that screening for anxiety disorders in adults, including pregnant and postpartum persons, has a moderate net benefit. The USPSTF concludes that the evidence is insufficient on screening for anxiety disorders in older adults. Recommendation: The USPSTF recommends screening for anxiety disorders in adults, including pregnant and postpartum persons. (B recommendation) The USPSTF concludes that the current evidence is insufficient to assess the balance of benefits and harms of screening for anxiety disorders in older adults. (I statement).


Assuntos
Ansiedade , Programas de Rastreamento , Feminino , Gravidez , Humanos , Idoso , Programas de Rastreamento/efeitos adversos , Transtornos de Ansiedade/diagnóstico , Transtornos de Ansiedade/terapia , Serviços Preventivos de Saúde , Medo
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