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1.
BMC Infect Dis ; 21(1): 342, 2021 Apr 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33845766

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) has challenged public health agencies globally. In order to effectively target government responses, it is critical to identify the individuals most at risk of coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19), developing severe clinical signs, and mortality. We undertook a systematic review of the literature to present the current status of scientific knowledge in these areas and describe the need for unified global approaches, moving forwards, as well as lessons learnt for future pandemics. METHODS: Medline, Embase and Global Health were searched to the end of April 2020, as well as the Web of Science. Search terms were specific to the SARS-CoV-2 virus and COVID-19. Comparative studies of risk factors from any setting, population group and in any language were included. Titles, abstracts and full texts were screened by two reviewers and extracted in duplicate into a standardised form. Data were extracted on risk factors for COVID-19 disease, severe disease, or death and were narratively and descriptively synthesised. RESULTS: One thousand two hundred and thirty-eight papers were identified post-deduplication. Thirty-three met our inclusion criteria, of which 26 were from China. Six assessed the risk of contracting the disease, 20 the risk of having severe disease and ten the risk of dying. Age, gender and co-morbidities were commonly assessed as risk factors. The weight of evidence showed increasing age to be associated with severe disease and mortality, and general comorbidities with mortality. Only seven studies presented multivariable analyses and power was generally limited. A wide range of definitions were used for disease severity. CONCLUSIONS: The volume of literature generated in the short time since the appearance of SARS-CoV-2 has been considerable. Many studies have sought to document the risk factors for COVID-19 disease, disease severity and mortality; age was the only risk factor based on robust studies and with a consistent body of evidence. Mechanistic studies are required to understand why age is such an important risk factor. At the start of pandemics, large, standardised, studies that use multivariable analyses are urgently needed so that the populations most at risk can be rapidly protected. REGISTRATION: This review was registered on PROSPERO as CRD42020177714 .


Assuntos
COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/mortalidade , Fatores de Risco , COVID-19/patologia , China , Humanos , Pandemias , Saúde Pública
2.
J Hosp Infect ; 110: 184-193, 2021 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33571557

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Carbapenemase-producing organisms (CPO) have been largely responsible for the extensive spread of carbapenem resistance, and their prevalence is increasing in many parts of the world. AIM: To evaluate clinical and molecular epidemiology and mortality associated with CPO among patients. METHODS: All CPO from clinical and long-term healthcare surveillance cultures across Scotland in 2003-2017 were reviewed retrospectively. Polymerase chain reaction was used to detect genes coding for carbapenemases. A generalized linear mixed model was used to identify risk factors for mortality. FINDINGS: In total, 290 individuals with CPO were identified. The overall incidence increased over time (P<0.001) from 0.02 to 1.38 per 100,000 population between 2003 and 2017. A total of 243 distinct CPO isolates were obtained from 269 isolations in 214 individuals with available metadata. The majority of the isolates were Enterobacterales (206/243, 84.8%), and Klebsiella pneumoniae (65/206, 31.6%) and Enterobacter cloacae (52/206, 25.2%) were the most common species. VIM (75/243, 30.9%) and NDM (56/243, 23.0%) were the most common carbapenemases. The crude 30-day mortality rate was 11.8% (25/211), while the case fatality rate was 5.7% (12/211). Age >60 years [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 3.36, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.06-10.63; P=0.033], presence of non-fermenters (aOR 4.88, 95% CI 1.64-14.47; P=0.005), and systemic infection or organ failure (aOR 4.21, 95% CI 1.38-12.81; P=0.032) were independently associated with 30-day mortality. CONCLUSION: The incidence of CPO in Scotland is low but increasing. Awareness is required that inpatients aged >60 years, patients with systemic infection or organ failure, and patients presenting with non-fermenters are at higher risk of death from CPO.


Assuntos
Proteínas de Bactérias , Farmacorresistência Bacteriana , Infecções por Enterobacteriaceae/mortalidade , beta-Lactamases , Atenção à Saúde , Enterobacteriaceae , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Escócia/epidemiologia
3.
Prev Vet Med ; 181: 105062, 2020 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32615453

RESUMO

The year 2020 marks a decade since the final visit was made in the 'Infectious Diseases of East African Livestock' (IDEAL) project. However, data generation from samples obtained during this ambitious longitudinal study still continues. As the project launches its extensive open-access database and biobank to the scientific community, we reflect on the challenges overcome, the knowledge gained, and the advantages of such a project. We discuss the legacy of the IDEAL project and how it continues to generate evidence since being adopted by the Centre for Tropical Livestock Genetics and Health (CTLGH). We also examine the impact of the IDEAL project, from the authors perspective, for each of the stakeholders (the animal, the farmer, the consumer, the policy maker, the funding body, and the researcher and their institution) involved in the project and provide recommendations for future researchers who are interested in running longitudinal field studies.


Assuntos
Doenças dos Bovinos , Animais , Bovinos , Doenças dos Bovinos/diagnóstico , Doenças dos Bovinos/etiologia , Doenças dos Bovinos/prevenção & controle , Doenças dos Bovinos/terapia , Bases de Dados Factuais , Estudos Longitudinais
4.
Nat Commun ; 10(1): 2643, 2019 06 14.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31201324

RESUMO

Land-use change is predicted to act as a driver of zoonotic disease emergence through human exposure to novel microbial diversity, but evidence for the effects of environmental change on microbial communities in vertebrates is lacking. We sample wild birds at 99 wildlife-livestock-human interfaces across Nairobi, Kenya, and use whole genome sequencing to characterise bacterial genes known to be carried on mobile genetic elements (MGEs) within avian-borne Escherichia coli (n = 241). By modelling the diversity of bacterial genes encoding virulence and antimicrobial resistance (AMR) against ecological and anthropogenic forms of urban environmental change, we demonstrate that communities of avian-borne bacterial genes are shaped by the assemblage of co-existing avian, livestock and human communities, and the habitat within which they exist. In showing that non-random processes structure bacterial genetic communities in urban wildlife, these findings suggest that it should be possible to forecast the effects of urban land-use change on microbial diversity.


Assuntos
Escherichia coli/genética , Genes Bacterianos/genética , Sequências Repetitivas Dispersas/genética , Microbiota/genética , Zoonoses/prevenção & controle , Adaptação Biológica/genética , Animais , Animais Selvagens/microbiologia , Biodiversidade , Aves/microbiologia , Humanos , Quênia , Gado/microbiologia , Modelos Biológicos , Saúde da População Urbana , Urbanização , Sequenciamento Completo do Genoma , Zoonoses/microbiologia , Zoonoses/transmissão
5.
R Soc Open Sci ; 4(4): 161067, 2017 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28484624

RESUMO

Consumption of antibiotics in food animals is increasing worldwide and is approaching, if not already surpassing, the volume consumed by humans. It is often suggested that reducing the volume of antibiotics consumed by food animals could have public health benefits. Although this notion is widely regarded as intuitively obvious there is a lack of robust, quantitative evidence to either support or contradict the suggestion. As a first step towards addressing this knowledge gap, we develop a simple mathematical model for exploring the generic relationship between antibiotic consumption by food animals and levels of resistant bacterial infections in humans. We investigate the impact of restricting antibiotic consumption by animals and identify which model parameters most strongly determine that impact. Our results suggest that, for a wide range of scenarios, curtailing the volume of antibiotics consumed by food animals has, as a stand-alone measure, little impact on the level of resistance in humans. We also find that reducing the rate of transmission of resistance from animals to humans may be more effective than an equivalent reduction in the consumption of antibiotics in food animals. Moreover, the response to any intervention is strongly determined by the rate of transmission from humans to animals, an aspect which is rarely considered.

7.
Res Vet Sci ; 108: 120-4, 2016 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27663380

RESUMO

Most studies of infectious diseases in East African cattle have concentrated on gastro-intestinal parasites and vector-borne diseases. As a result, relatively little is known about viral diseases, except for those that are clinically symptomatic or which affect international trade such as foot and mouth disease, bluetongue and epizootic haemorrhagic disease. Here, we investigate the seroprevalence, distribution and relationship between the viruses involved in respiratory disease, infectious bovine rhinotracheitis virus (IBR), bovine parainfluenza virus Type 3 (PIV3) and bovine viral diarrhoea virus (BVDV) in East African Shorthorn Zebu calves. These viruses contribute to the bovine respiratory disease complex (BRD) which is responsible for major economic losses in cattle from intensive farming systems as a result of pneumonia. We found that calves experience similar risks of infection for IBR, PIV3, and BVDV with a seroprevalence of 20.9%, 20.1% and 19.8% respectively. We confirm that positive associations exist between IBR, PIV3 and BVDV; being seropositive for any one of these three viruses means that an individual is more likely to be seropositive for the other two viruses than expected by chance.


Assuntos
Doença das Mucosas por Vírus da Diarreia Viral Bovina/epidemiologia , Vírus da Diarreia Viral Bovina/isolamento & purificação , Herpesvirus Bovino 1/isolamento & purificação , Rinotraqueíte Infecciosa Bovina/epidemiologia , Vírus da Parainfluenza 3 Bovina/isolamento & purificação , Pasteurelose Pneumônica/epidemiologia , Animais , Doença das Mucosas por Vírus da Diarreia Viral Bovina/virologia , Bovinos , Rinotraqueíte Infecciosa Bovina/virologia , Quênia/epidemiologia , Pasteurelose Pneumônica/microbiologia , Prevalência , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos
9.
Rev Sci Tech ; 35(1): 287-96, 2016 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27217184

RESUMO

Genetic sequence data from pathogens present a novel means to investigate the spread of infectious disease between infected hosts or infected premises, complementing traditional contact-tracing approaches, and much recent work has gone into developing methods for this purpose. The objective is to recover the epidemic transmission tree, which identifies who infected whom. This paper reviews the various approaches that have been taken. The first step is to define a measure of difference between sequences, which must be done while taking into account such factors as recombination and convergent evolution. Three broad categories of method exist, of increasing complexity: those that assume no withinhost genetic diversity or mutation, those that assume no within-host diversity but allow mutation, and those that allow both. Until recently, the assumption was usually made that every host in the epidemic could be identified, but this is now being relaxed, and some methods are intended for sparsely sampled data, concentrating on the identification of pairs of sequences that are likely to be the result of direct transmission rather than inferring the complete transmission tree. Many of the procedures described here are available to researchers as free software.


L'accès aux données sur les séquences génétiques des agents pathogènes ouvre de nouvelles perspectives pour étudier la manière dont les maladies infectieuses se propagent entre différents hôtes ou établissements infectés, en complément des méthodes traditionnelles d'évaluation de l'exposition ; de grands efforts ont donc été déployés pour mettre au point des techniques permettant d'arriver à cette fin. Leur objectif est de reconstituer l'arborescence de la transmission d'une épidémie, ce qui permet d'identifier chaque individu ayant infecté d'autres individus. Les auteurs passent en revue les différentes méthodes appliquées. La première étape consiste à définir les modalités de mesure des différences entre séquences, ainsi que les facteurs à prendre en compte, par exemple les phénomènes de recombinaison ou d'évolution convergente. Les méthodes disponibles se répartissent en trois catégories principales, par ordre de complexité croissante : celles qui présupposent qu'il ne peut y avoir de diversité ni de mutation génétiques chez l'hôte ; celles qui présupposent qu'il peut y avoir une diversité génétique mais pas de mutation ; enfin celles qui présupposent qu'il peut y avoir les deux. Jusqu'à une période récente, le présupposé le plus courant était que tous les hôtes intervenant dans un foyer pouvaient être identifiés ; cette exigence s'est considérablement assouplie et de nouvelles méthodes ont été conçues pour travailler à partir d'un échantillon de données plus clairsemé, ce qui permet de se concentrer sur l'identification de paires de séquences révélatrices d'une transmission directe au lieu de déduire l'intégralité de l'arbre de transmission. La plupart des procédures décrites par les auteurs existent sous forme de logiciels libres accessibles aux chercheurs.


Los datos de la secuencia genética de patógenos ofrecen un medio novedoso para investigar la propagación de enfermedades infecciosas entre individuos o establecimientos infectados, medio que viene a complementar la fórmula tradicional consistente en rastrear los contactos. De ahí que últimamente se haya dedicado un ingente trabajo a definir métodos útiles para ese fin. El objetivo radica en desentrañar el árbol de transmisión epidémica, que permite determinar quién infectó a quién. Los autores pasan revista a los diferentes planteamientos adoptados. El primer paso consiste en definir una medida de la diferencia entre secuencias, para lo cual hay que tener en cuenta factores como la recombinación o la convergencia evolutiva. Existen tres grandes clases de métodos, que presentan un grado creciente de complejidad: aquellos que presuponen que no hay diversidad genética ni mutaciones dentro del individuo infectado; aquellos que presuponen que no hay diversidad, pero admiten la posibilidad de mutaciones; y aquellos que postulan que ambas cosas pueden producirse. Hasta hace poco, en general se partía de la premisa de que era posible identificar a todos los individuos infectados en una epidemia. Ahora, sin embargo, se está flexibilizando este postulado, y existen métodos que se aplican específicamente a datos obtenidos con muestreos dispersos, con los cuales se trata de determinar pares de secuencias que probablemente sean resultado de la transmisión directa, y no tanto de inferir el árbol de transmisión completo. Muchos de los procedimientos aquí descritos están a disposición de los investigadores en forma de programas informáticos gratuitos.


Assuntos
Busca de Comunicante/métodos , Surtos de Doenças , Genômica , Software , Animais , Variação Genética , Humanos , Epidemiologia Molecular
10.
BMC Public Health ; 15: 832, 2015 Aug 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26316148

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Detecting novel healthcare-associated infections (HCAI) as early as possible is an important public health priority. However, there is currently no evidence base to guide the design of efficient and reliable surveillance systems. Here we address this issue in the context of a novel pathogen spreading primarily between hospitals through the movement of patients. METHODS: Using a mathematical modelling approach we compare the current surveillance system for a HCAI that spreads primarily between hospitals due to patient movements as it is implemented in Scotland with a gold standard to determine if the current system is maximally efficient or whether it would be beneficial to alter the number and choice of hospitals in which to concentrate surveillance effort. RESULTS: We validated our model by demonstrating that it accurately predicts the risk of meticillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus bacteraemia cases in Scotland. Using the 29 (out of 182) sentinel hospitals that currently contribute most of the national surveillance effort results in an average detection time of 117 days. A reduction in detection time to 87 days is possible by optimal selection of 29 hospitals. Alternatively, the same detection time (117 days) can be achieved using just 22 optimally selected hospitals. Increasing the number of sentinel hospitals to 38 (teaching and general hospitals) reduces detection time by 43 days; however decreasing the number to seven sentinel hospitals (teaching hospitals) increases detection time substantially to 268 days. CONCLUSIONS: Our results show that the current surveillance system as it is used in Scotland is not optimal in detecting novel pathogens when compared to a gold standard. However, efficiency gains are possible by better choice of sentinel hospitals, or by increasing the number of hospitals involved in surveillance. Similar studies could be used elsewhere to inform the design and implementation of efficient national, hospital-based surveillance systems that achieve rapid detection of novel HCAIs for minimal effort.


Assuntos
Bacteriemia/epidemiologia , Infecção Hospitalar/epidemiologia , Staphylococcus aureus Resistente à Meticilina , Vigilância em Saúde Pública/métodos , Bacteriemia/microbiologia , Humanos , Modelos Teóricos , Escócia , Fatores de Tempo
11.
Parasitology ; 142(3): 499-511, 2015 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25257652

RESUMO

Parasite burden varies widely between individuals within a population, and can covary with multiple aspects of individual phenotype. Here we investigate the sources of variation in faecal strongyle eggs counts, and its association with body weight and a suite of haematological measures, in a cohort of indigenous zebu calves in Western Kenya, using relatedness matrices reconstructed from single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) genotypes. Strongyle egg count was heritable (h(2) = 23.9%, s.e. = 11.8%) and we also found heritability of white blood cell counts (WBC) (h(2) = 27.6%, s.e. = 10.6%). All the traits investigated showed negative phenotypic covariances with strongyle egg count throughout the first year: high worm counts were associated with low values of WBC, red blood cell count, total serum protein and absolute eosinophil count. Furthermore, calf body weight at 1 week old was a significant predictor of strongyle EPG at 16-51 weeks, with smaller calves having a higher strongyle egg count later in life. Our results indicate a genetic basis to strongyle EPG in this population, and also reveal consistently strong negative associations between strongyle infection and other important aspects of the multivariate phenotype.


Assuntos
Doenças dos Bovinos/parasitologia , Infecções por Strongylida/veterinária , Strongylus/fisiologia , Animais , Peso ao Nascer , Proteínas Sanguíneas/análise , Bovinos , Doenças dos Bovinos/sangue , Doenças dos Bovinos/genética , Análise por Conglomerados , Contagem de Eritrócitos/veterinária , Fezes/parasitologia , Genótipo , Quênia , Contagem de Leucócitos/veterinária , Contagem de Ovos de Parasitas/veterinária , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único , Infecções por Strongylida/sangue , Infecções por Strongylida/genética , Infecções por Strongylida/parasitologia , Aumento de Peso
12.
Appl Environ Microbiol ; 80(23): 7275-82, 2014 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25239891

RESUMO

Staphylococcus aureus clonal complex 398 (CC398) is associated with disease in humans and livestock, and its origins and transmission have generated considerable interest. We performed a time-scaled phylogenetic analysis of CC398, including sequenced isolates from the United Kingdom (Scotland), along with publicly available genomes. Using state-of-the-art methods for mapping traits onto phylogenies, we quantified transitions between host species to identify sink and source populations for CC398 and employed a novel approach to investigate the gain and loss of antibiotic resistance in CC398 over time. We identified distinct human- and livestock-associated CC398 clades and observed multiple transmissions of CC398 from livestock to humans and between countries, lending quantitative support to previous reports. Of note, we identified a subclade within the livestock-associated clade comprised of isolates from hospital environments and newborn babies, suggesting that livestock-associated CC398 is capable of onward transmission in hospitals. In addition, our analysis revealed significant differences in the dynamics of resistance to methicillin and tetracycline related to contrasting historical patterns of antibiotic usage between the livestock industry and human medicine. We also identified significant differences in patterns of gain and loss of different tetracycline resistance determinants, which we ascribe to epistatic interactions between the resistance genes and/or differences in the modes of inheritance of the resistance determinants.


Assuntos
Farmacorresistência Bacteriana , Infecções Estafilocócicas/transmissão , Infecções Estafilocócicas/veterinária , Staphylococcus aureus/efeitos dos fármacos , Zoonoses/microbiologia , Zoonoses/transmissão , Animais , Antibacterianos/farmacologia , Uso de Medicamentos , Variação Genética , Genótipo , Humanos , Gado , Epidemiologia Molecular , Infecções Estafilocócicas/microbiologia , Staphylococcus aureus/classificação , Staphylococcus aureus/genética , Staphylococcus aureus/isolamento & purificação , Fatores de Tempo , Reino Unido/epidemiologia
13.
Parasitology ; 141(10): 1289-98, 2014 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24838078

RESUMO

Tick-borne diseases are a major impediment to improved productivity of livestock in sub-Saharan Africa. Improved control of these diseases would be assisted by detailed epidemiological data. Here we used longitudinal, serological data to determine the patterns of exposure to Theileria parva, Theileria mutans, Babesia bigemina and Anaplasma marginale from 548 indigenous calves in western Kenya. The percentage of calves seropositive for the first three parasites declined from initial high levels due to maternal antibody until week 16, after which the percentage increased until the end of the study. In contrast, the percentage of calves seropositive for T. mutans increased from week 6 and reached a maximal level at week 16. Overall 423 (77%) calves seroconverted to T. parva, 451 (82%) to T. mutans, 195 (36%) to B. bigemina and 275 (50%) to A. marginale. Theileria parva antibody levels were sustained following infection, in contrast to those of the other three haemoparasites. Three times as many calves seroconverted to T. mutans before seroconverting to T. parva. No T. parva antibody response was detected in 25 calves that died of T. parva infection, suggesting that most deaths due to T. parva are the result of acute disease from primary exposure.


Assuntos
Anticorpos Antiprotozoários/sangue , Theileria parva/imunologia , Theileriose/imunologia , Doenças Transmitidas por Carrapatos/veterinária , Carrapatos/parasitologia , Anaplasma/imunologia , Animais , Babesia/imunologia , Bovinos , Estudos de Coortes , Quênia , Gado , Estudos Longitudinais , Theileriose/mortalidade , Theileriose/parasitologia , Doenças Transmitidas por Carrapatos/imunologia , Doenças Transmitidas por Carrapatos/mortalidade , Doenças Transmitidas por Carrapatos/parasitologia
14.
Heredity (Edinb) ; 113(4): 297-305, 2014 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24736786

RESUMO

The Kenyan East African zebu cattle are valuable and widely used genetic resources. Previous studies using microsatellite loci revealed the complex history of these populations with the presence of taurine and zebu genetic backgrounds. Here, we estimate at genome-wide level the genetic composition and population structure of the East African Shorthorn Zebu (EASZ) of western Kenya. A total of 548 EASZ from 20 sub-locations were genotyped using the Illumina BovineSNP50 v. 1 beadchip. STRUCTURE analysis reveals admixture with Asian zebu, African and European taurine cattle. The EASZ were separated into three categories: substantial (⩾12.5%), moderate (1.56%

Assuntos
Bovinos/genética , Evolução Molecular , Genoma , Animais , Bovinos/classificação , Genótipo , Quênia , Masculino , Repetições de Microssatélites
15.
Parasitology ; 140(14): 1789-98, 2013 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24001119

RESUMO

The co-occurrence of different pathogen species and their simultaneous infection of hosts are common, and may affect host health outcomes. Co-infecting pathogens may interact synergistically (harming the host more) or antagonistically (harming the host less) compared with single infections. Here we have tested associations of infections and their co-infections with variation in growth rate using a subset of 455 animals of the Infectious Diseases of East Africa Livestock (IDEAL) cohort study surviving to one year. Data on live body weight, infections with helminth parasites and haemoparasites were collected every 5 weeks during the first year of life. Growth of zebu cattle during the first year of life was best described by a linear growth function. A large variation in daily weight gain with a range of 0·03-0·34 kg, and a mean of 0·135 kg (0·124, 0·146; 95% CI) was observed. After controlling for other significant covariates in mixed effects statistical models, the results revealed synergistic interactions (lower growth rates) with Theileria parva and Anaplasma marginale co-infections, and antagonistic interactions (relatively higher growth rates) with T. parva and Theileria mutans co-infections, compared with infections with T. parva only. Additionally, helminth infections can have a strong negative effect on the growth rates but this is burden-dependent, accounting for up to 30% decrease in growth rate in heavily infected animals. These findings present evidence of pathogen-pathogen interactions affecting host growth, and we discuss possible mechanisms that may explain observed directions of interactions as well as possible modifications to disease control strategies when co-infections are present.


Assuntos
Envelhecimento , Doenças dos Bovinos/parasitologia , Coinfecção , Doenças Parasitárias em Animais/patologia , África Oriental/epidemiologia , Animais , Bovinos , Doenças dos Bovinos/epidemiologia , Doenças dos Bovinos/patologia , Doenças Parasitárias em Animais/epidemiologia , Doenças Parasitárias em Animais/parasitologia , Aumento de Peso
16.
Prev Vet Med ; 112(3-4): 285-95, 2013 Nov 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24012354

RESUMO

The success of bovine viral diarrhoea virus (BVDV) eradication campaigns can be undermined by spread through local transmission pathways and poor farmer compliance with biosecurity recommendations. This work combines recent survey data with cattle movement data to explore the issues likely to impact on the success of BVDV control in Scotland. In this analysis, data from 249 beef suckler herds and 185 dairy herds in Scotland were studied retrospectively to determine the relative influence of cattle movements, local spread, and biosecurity on BVDV seropositivity. Multivariable logistic regression models revealed that cattle movement risk factors had approximately 3 times greater explanatory power than risk factors for local spread amongst beef suckler herds, but approximately the same explanatory power as risk factors for local spread amongst dairy herds. These findings are most likely related to differences in cattle husbandry practices and suggest that where financial prioritization is required, focusing on reducing movement-based risk is likely to be of greatest benefit when applied to beef suckler herds. The reported use of biosecurity measures such as purchasing cattle from BVDV accredited herds only, performing diagnostic screening at the time of sale, implementing isolation periods for purchased cattle, and installing double fencing on shared field boundaries had minimal impact on the risk of beef or dairy herds being seropositive for BVDV. Only 28% of beef farmers and 24% of dairy farmers with seropositive herds recognized that their cattle were affected by BVDV and those that did perceive a problem were no less likely to sell animals as replacement breeding stock and no more likely to implement biosecurity measures against local spread than farmers with no perceived problems. In relation to the current legislative framework for BVDV control in Scotland, these findings emphasize the importance of requiring infected herds take appropriate biosecurity measures to prevent further disease transmission and conducting adequate follow-up to ensure that biosecurity measures are being implemented correctly in the field.


Assuntos
Criação de Animais Domésticos/métodos , Doença das Mucosas por Vírus da Diarreia Viral Bovina/epidemiologia , Doença das Mucosas por Vírus da Diarreia Viral Bovina/prevenção & controle , Vírus da Diarreia Viral Bovina/fisiologia , Animais , Doença das Mucosas por Vírus da Diarreia Viral Bovina/transmissão , Doença das Mucosas por Vírus da Diarreia Viral Bovina/virologia , Bovinos , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Análise Multivariada , Prevalência , Estudos Retrospectivos , Escócia/epidemiologia , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos
17.
Prev Vet Med ; 108(2-3): 125-36, 2013 Feb 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22897858

RESUMO

Legislation requiring the pre- and post-movement testing of cattle imported to Scotland from regions with high bovine tuberculosis (bTB) incidence was phased in between September 2005 and May 2006 as part of efforts to maintain Officially Tuberculosis Free (OTF) status. In this analysis, we used centralized cattle movement records to investigate the influence of the legislative change on import movement patterns and the movement-based risk factors associated with new bTB herd breakdowns identified through routine testing or slaughter surveillance. The immediate reduction in the number of import movements from high incidence regions of England and Wales into Scotland suggests that pre- and post-movement testing legislation has had a strong deterrent effect on cattle import trade. Combined with the direct benefits of a more stringent testing regime, this likely explains the observed decrease in the odds of imported cattle subsequently being identified as reactors in herd breakdowns detected through routine surveillance compared to Scottish cattle. However, at the farm-level, herds that recently imported cattle from high incidence regions were still at increased risk of experiencing bTB breakdowns, which highlights the delay between the introduction of disease control measures and detectable changes in incidence. With the relative infrequency of routine herd tests and the insidious nature of clinical signs, past import movements were likely still important in determining the present farm-level risk for bTB breakdown. However, the possibility of low-level transmission between Scottish cattle herds cannot be ruled out given the known issues with test sensitivity, changes in import animal demographics, and the potential for on-farm transmission. Findings from this analysis emphasize the importance of considering how farmer behavioural change in response to policy interventions may influence disease transmission dynamics.


Assuntos
Criação de Animais Domésticos/legislação & jurisprudência , Epidemias/veterinária , Regulamentação Governamental , Imunidade Coletiva , Tuberculose Bovina/epidemiologia , Animais , Bovinos , Modelos Logísticos , Estudos Longitudinais , Mycobacterium bovis/isolamento & purificação , Risco , Escócia/epidemiologia , Tuberculose Bovina/prevenção & controle , Tuberculose Bovina/transmissão
18.
Res Vet Sci ; 94(3): 769-73, 2013 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23261160

RESUMO

The presence of bluetongue virus (BTV) and Epizootic Haemorrhagic Disease virus (EHDV) in indigenous calves in western Kenya was investigated. Serum was analysed for BTV and EHDV antibodies. The population seroprevalences for BTV and EHDV for calves at 51 weeks of age were estimated to be 0.942 (95% CI 0.902-0.970) and 0.637 (95% CI 0.562-0.710), respectively, indicating high levels of circulating BTV and EHDV. The odds ratio of being positive for BTV if EHDV positive was estimated to be 2.57 (95% CI 1.37-4.76). When 99 calves were tested for BTV and EHDV RNA by real-time RT-PCR, 88.9% and 63.6% were positive, respectively. Comparison of the serology and real-time RT-PCR results revealed an unexpectedly large number of calves that were negative by serology but positive by real-time RT-PCR for EHDV. Eight samples positive for BTV RNA were serotyped using 24 serotype-specific real-time RT-PCR assays. Nine BTV serotypes were detected, indicating that the cattle were infected with a heterogeneous population of BTVs. The results show that BTV and EHDV are highly prevalent, with cattle being infected from an early age.


Assuntos
Vírus Bluetongue/imunologia , Bluetongue/epidemiologia , Doenças dos Bovinos/virologia , Vírus da Doença Hemorrágica Epizoótica/imunologia , Infecções por Reoviridae/veterinária , Animais , Anticorpos Antivirais/imunologia , Vírus Bluetongue/classificação , Bovinos , Doenças dos Bovinos/epidemiologia , Vírus da Doença Hemorrágica Epizoótica/classificação , Quênia/epidemiologia , Reação em Cadeia da Polimerase em Tempo Real/veterinária , Infecções por Reoviridae/epidemiologia , Infecções por Reoviridae/imunologia , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos , Sorotipagem/veterinária
19.
Epidemics ; 4(4): 171-8, 2012 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23351369

RESUMO

Animal trade in industrialised livestock-production systems creates a complex, heterogeneous, contact network that shapes between-herd transmission of infectious diseases. We report the results of a simple mathematical model that explores patterns of spread and persistence of livestock-associated Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (LA-MRSA) in the Danish pig-industry associated with this trade network. Simulations show that LA-MRSA can become endemic sustained by animal movements alone. Despite the extremely low predicted endemic prevalence, eradication may be difficult, and decreasing within-farm prevalence, or the time it takes a LA-MRSA positive farm to recover a negative status, fails to break long-term persistence. Our results suggest that a low level of non-movement induced transmission strongly affects MRSA dynamics, increasing endemic prevalence and probability of persistence. We also compare the model-predicted risk of 291 individual farms becoming MRSA positive, with results from a recent Europe-wide survey of LA-MRSA in holdings with breeding pigs, and find a significant correlation between contact-network connectivity properties and the model-estimated risk measure.


Assuntos
Comércio , Staphylococcus aureus Resistente à Meticilina/isolamento & purificação , Infecções Estafilocócicas/veterinária , Sus scrofa , Doenças dos Suínos/transmissão , Animais , Portador Sadio/epidemiologia , Portador Sadio/veterinária , Dinamarca/epidemiologia , Indústrias , Modelos Teóricos , Prevalência , Infecções Estafilocócicas/epidemiologia , Infecções Estafilocócicas/transmissão , Suínos
20.
Comp Clin Path ; 22: 1029-1036, 2012.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24032003

RESUMO

This paper is the first attempt to accurately describe the hematological parameters for any African breed of cattle, by capturing the changes in these parameters over the first 12 months of an animal's life using a population-based sample of calves reared under field conditions and natural disease challenge. Using a longitudinal study design, a stratified clustered random sample of newborn calves was recruited into the IDEAL study and monitored at 5-weekly intervals until 51 weeks of age. The blood cell analysis performed at each visit included: packed cell volume; red cell count; red cell distribution width; mean corpuscular volume; mean corpuscular hemoglobin concentration; hemoglobin concentration; white cell count; absolute lymphocyte, eosinophil, monocyte, and neutrophil counts; platelet count; mean platelet volume; and total serum protein. The most significant age-related change in the red cell parameters was a rise in red cell count and hemoglobin concentration during the neonatal period. This is in contrast to what is reported for other ruminants, including European cattle breeds where the neonatal period is marked by a fall in the red cell parameters. There is a need to establish breed-specific reference ranges for blood parameters for indigenous cattle breeds. The possible role of the postnatal rise in the red cell parameters in the adaptability to environmental constraints and innate disease resistance warrants further research into the dynamics of blood cell parameters of these breeds.

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