A CT-based deep learning model predicts overall survival in patients with muscle invasive bladder cancer after radical cystectomy: a multicenter retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Muscle invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) has a poor prognosis even after radical cystectomy (RC). Postoperative survival stratification based on radiomics and deep learning (DL) algorithms may be useful for treatment decision-making and follow-up management. This study was aimed to develop and validate a DL model based on preoperative computed tomography (CT) for predicting postcystectomy overall survival (OS) in patients with MIBC. METHODS: MIBC patients who underwent RC were retrospectively included from four centers, and divided into the training, internal validation, and external validation sets. A DL model incorporated the convolutional block attention module (CBAM) was built for predicting OS using preoperative CT images. The authors assessed the prognostic accuracy of the DL model and compared it with classic handcrafted radiomics model and clinical model. Then, a deep learning radiomics nomogram (DLRN) was developed by combining clinicopathological factors, radiomics score (Rad-score) and deep learning score (DL-score). Model performance was assessed by C-index, KM curve, and time-dependent ROC curve. RESULTS: A total of 405 patients with MIBC were included in this study. The DL-score achieved a much higher C-index than Rad-score and clinical model (0.690 vs. 0.652 vs. 0.618 in the internal validation set, and 0.658 vs. 0.601 vs. 0.610 in the external validation set). After adjusting for clinicopathologic variables, the DL-score was identified as a significantly independent risk factor for OS by the multivariate Cox regression analysis in all sets (all P <0.01). The DLRN further improved the performance, with a C-index of 0.713 (95% CI: 0.627-0.798) in the internal validation set and 0.685 (95% CI: 0.586-0.765) in external validation set, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: A DL model based on preoperative CT can predict survival outcome of patients with MIBC, which may help in risk stratification and guide treatment decision-making and follow-up management.

Development and validation of a CT-based deep learning radiomics nomogram to predict muscle invasion in bladder cancer.

Objective: This study aimed to develop a nomogram combining CT-based handcrafted radiomics and deep learning (DL) features to preoperatively predict muscle invasion in bladder cancer (BCa) with multi-center validation. Methods: In this retrospective study, 323 patients underwent radical cystectomy with pathologically confirmed BCa were enrolled and randomly divided into the training cohort (n = 226) and internal validation cohort (n = 97). And fifty-two patients from another independent medical center were enrolled as an independent external validation cohort. Handcrafted radiomics and DL features were constructed from preoperative nephrographic phase CT images. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was used to identify the most discriminative features in train cohort. Multivariate logistic regression was used to develop the predictive model and a deep learning radiomics nomogram (DLRN) was constructed. The predictive performance of models was evaluated by area under the curves (AUC) in the three cohorts. The calibration and clinical usefulness of DLRN were estimated by calibration curve and decision curve analysis. Results: The nomogram that incorporated radiomics signature and DL signature demonstrated satisfactory predictive performance for differentiating non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) from muscle invasive bladder cancer (MIBC), with an AUC of 0.884 (95 % CI: 0.813-0.953) in internal validation cohort and 0.862 (95 % CI: 0.756-0.968) in external validation cohort, respectively. Decision curve analysis confirmed the clinical usefulness of the nomogram. Conclusions: A CT-based deep learning radiomics nomogram exhibited a promising performance for preoperative prediction of muscle invasion in bladder cancer, and may be helpful in the clinical decision-making process.

Validity of a multiphase CT-based radiomics model in predicting the Leibovich risk groups for localized clear cell renal cell carcinoma: an exploratory study.

OBJECTIVE: To develop and validate a multiphase CT-based radiomics model for preoperative risk stratification of patients with localized clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC). METHODS: A total of 425 patients with localized ccRCC were enrolled and divided into training, validation, and external testing cohorts. Radiomics features were extracted from three-phase CT images (unenhanced, arterial, and venous), and radiomics signatures were constructed by the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression algorithm. The radiomics score (Rad-score) for each patient was calculated. The radiomics model was established and visualized as a nomogram by incorporating significant clinical factors and Rad-score. The predictive performance of the radiomics model was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS: The AUC of the triphasic radiomics signature reached 0.862 (95% CI: 0.809-0.914), 0.853 (95% CI: 0.785-0.921), and 0.837 (95% CI: 0.714-0.959) in three cohorts, respectively, which were higher than arterial, venous, and unenhanced radiomics signatures. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that Rad-score (OR: 4.066, 95% CI: 3.495-8.790) and renal vein invasion (OR: 12.914, 95% CI: 1.118-149.112) were independent predictors and used to develop the radiomics model. The radiomics model showed good calibration and discrimination and yielded an AUC of 0.872 (95% CI: 0.821-0.923), 0.865 (95% CI: 0.800-0.930), and 0.848 (95% CI: 0.728-0.967) in three cohorts, respectively. DCA showed the clinical usefulness of the radiomics model in predicting the Leibovich risk groups. CONCLUSIONS: The radiomics model can be used as a non-invasive and useful tool to predict the Leibovich risk groups for localized ccRCC patients. CRITICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT: The triphasic CT-based radiomics model achieved favorable performance in preoperatively predicting the Leibovich risk groups in patients with localized ccRCC. Therefore, it can be used as a non-invasive and effective tool for preoperative risk stratification of patients with localized ccRCC. KEY POINTS: • The triphasic CT-based radiomics signature achieves better performance than the single-phase radiomics signature. • Radiomics holds prospects in preoperatively predicting the Leibovich risk groups for ccRCC. • This study provides a non-invasive method to stratify patients with localized ccRCC.

Development of a 7-miRNA prognostic signature for patients with bladder cancer.

BACKGROUND: Bladder carcinoma (BC) represents one of the most prevalent malignant cancers, while predicting its clinical outcomes using traditional indicators is difficult. This study aimed to develop a miRNA signature for the prognostic prediction of patients with BC. MATERIALS AND METHODS: MiRNAs that expressed differentially were identified between 413 BC and 19 non-tumor patients, whose prognostic values were evaluated using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. The independent prognostic factors were screened out and were used to establish a signature. The risk score of the signature was calculated. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and Kaplan-Meier curves were used to verify the predictive performance of the miRNA signature and the risk score. A nomogram was constructed which integrated with the miRNA signature and clinical parameters. Experiments were performed. RESULTS: 7 prognosis related miRNAs were selected as independent risk factors, and a 7-miRNA signature was constructed, with an area under ROC (AUC) of 0.721. The 7-miRNA-signature based risk score acts as an independent prognostic factor, with satisfactory predictive performance (AUC = 0.744). Increased miR-337-3p expressions were detected in tumor samples and BC cell lines than in non-tumorigenic tissues and cell lines. Experiments suggested that miR-337-3p induces the proliferation, migration, and invasion of BC cells. CONCLUSION: The constructed 7-miRNA signature is a promising biomarker for predicting the prognosis of patients with BC, and miR-337-3p may act as a candidate therapeutic target in BC treatments.

A Novel Nomogram Integrated with Systemic Inflammation Markers and Traditional Prognostic Factors for Adverse Events' Prediction in Patients with Chronic Heart Failure in the Southwest of China.

Objective: Inflammation contributes to the pathogenesis and progression of heart failure (HF). This study aimed to construct a nomogram based on systemic inflammatory markers and traditional prognostic factors to assess the risk of adverse outcomes (cardiovascular readmission and all-cause death) in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF). Methods: Data were retrospectively collected from patients with HF admitted to the Department of Cardiovascular Medicine at the First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University from January 2018 to April 2020, and each patient had complete follow-up information. The follow-up duration was from June 2018 to May 31, 2022. 550 patients were included and randomly assigned to the derivation and validation cohorts with a ratio of 7:3, and prognostic risk factors of CHF were identified by Cox regression analysis. The nomogram chart scoring model was constructed. Results: The Cox multivariate regression analysis showed that traditional prognostic factors such as age (P=0.011), BMI (P=0.048), NYHA classification (P<0.001), creatinine (P<0.001), and systemic inflammatory markers including LMR (P=0.001), and PLR (P=0.015) were independent prognostic factors for CHF patients. Integrated with traditional and inflammatory prognostic factors, a nomogram was established, which yielded a C-index value of 0.739 (95% CI: 0.714-0.764) in the derivation cohort and 0.713 (95% CI: 0.668-0.758) in the validation cohort, respectively. The calibration curves exhibited good performance of the nomogram in predicting the adverse outcomes for patients with CHF. In subgroups (HFrEF, HFmrEF, and HFpEF groups), the systematic inflammatory markers-based nomograms proved to be effective prediction tools for patients' adverse overcomes, as well. Conclusion: The nomogram combining systemic inflammatory markers and traditional risk factors has satisfactory predictive performance for adverse outcomes (mortality and readmission) in patients with CHF.

Associations of systemic inflammatory markers with the risks of chronic heart failure: A case-control study.

OBJECTIVE: As a greater proportion of patients survived their initial cardiac insult, Chronic Heart Failure (CHF) is becoming a major cause of worldwide morbidity and mortality. However, the mechanism underlying the inflammation in patients with CHF has not yet been elaborated. This study aims to explore the associations between inflammation and CHF patients, and the predictive performance of inflammatory indicators in identifying patients with CHF. METHODS: A matched case-control study was conducted by recruiting 385 patients who were diagnosed with CHF from January 2018 to December 2019 in The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University. Each CHF patient was matched against one control subject without CHF on the criteria of age, sex, Body Mass Index (BMI), smoking status, and comorbidities. The clinical data and systemic inflammatory indicators were compared between the two groups, independent risk factors of CHF were identified by multivariate regression analysis, and the predictive values of systemic inflammatory indicators for CHF were analyzed by Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. RESULTS: After processed in the univariate and multivariate regression analysis models, three systemic inflammatory indicators (hs-CRP [high sensitivity C Reactive Protein], LMR [lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio], and Monocyte-to-High-density-lipoprotein Ratio [MHR]) were considered as independent predictors of CHF, among which the hs-CRP exhibited the best predictive performance (AUC = 0.752, 95%CI 0.717‒0.786, p < 0.001), followed by LMR (AUC = 0.711, 95% CI 0.675‒0.747, p < 0.001) and MHR (AUC = 0.673, 95% CI 0.635‒0.710, p < 0.001). The three-indicator combination showed an improved diagnostic performance (AUC = 0.757, 95% CI 0.724‒0.791, p < 0.001). In addition, the results of subgroup comparisons demonstrated that hs-CRP and MHR were associated with the severity of CHF (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The systemic inflammatory indicators such as hs-CRP, LMR, and MHR were independently correlated with the attack of CHF and might be the complementary markers of the diagnosis of CHF.

Associations of systemic inflammatory markers with the risks of chronic heart failure: A case-control study

Abstract Objective: As a greater proportion of patients survived their initial cardiac insult, Chronic Heart Failure (CHF) is becoming a major cause of worldwide morbidity and mortality. However, the mechanism underlying the inflammation in patients with CHF has not yet been elaborated. This study aims to explore the associations between inflammation and CHF patients, and the predictive performance of inflammatory indicators in identifying patients with CHF. Methods: A matched case-control study was conducted by recruiting 385 patients who were diagnosed with CHF from January 2018 to December 2019 in The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University. Each CHF patient was matched against one control subject without CHF on the criteria of age, sex, Body Mass Index (BMI), smoking status, and comorbidities. The clinical data and systemic inflammatory indicators were compared between the two groups, independent risk factors of CHF were identified by multivariate regression analysis, and the predictive values of systemic inflammatory indicators for CHF were analyzed by Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Results: After processed in the univariate and multivariate regression analysis models, three systemic inflammatory indicators (hs-CRP [high sensitivity C Reactive Protein], LMR [lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio], and Monocyte-to-High-density-lipoprotein Ratio [MHR]) were considered as independent predictors of CHF, among which the hs-CRP exhibited the best predictive performance (AUC = 0.752, 95%CI 0.717‒0.786, p < 0.001), followed by LMR (AUC = 0.711, 95% CI 0.675‒0.747, p < 0.001) and MHR (AUC = 0.673, 95% CI 0.635‒0.710, p < 0.001). The three-indicator combination showed an improved diagnostic performance (AUC = 0.757, 95% CI 0.724‒0.791, p < 0.001). In addition, the results of subgroup comparisons demonstrated that hs-CRP and MHR were associated with the severity of CHF (p < 0.001). Conclusions: The systemic inflammatory indicators such as hs-CRP, LMR, and MHR were independently correlated with the attack of CHF and might be the complementary markers of the diagnosis of CHF. HIGHLIGHTS Two novel inflammation-related markers, LMR and MHR are associated with Chronic Heart Failure (CHF). LMR and MHR were first proposed to be the predictors of a diagnosis of CHF in this study, which suggested that inflammation was associated with CHF, and anti-inflammation therapy might be a potential target for future therapeutic interventions. Compared with special inflammatory indicators such as TNF or IL-1, LMR and MHR are routinely measured in clinical practice and less time-consuming, which makes them suitable for popularization.

A CT-Based Radiomics Nomogram Integrated With Clinic-Radiological Features for Preoperatively Predicting WHO/ISUP Grade of Clear Cell Renal Cell Carcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to develop and validate a CT-based radiomics nomogram integrated with clinic-radiological factors for preoperatively differentiating high-grade from low-grade clear cell renal cell carcinomas (CCRCCs). METHODS: 370 patients with complete clinical, pathological, and CT image data were enrolled in this retrospective study, and were randomly divided into training and testing sets with a 7:3 ratio. Radiomics features were extracted from nephrographic phase (NP) contrast-enhanced images, and then a radiomics model was constructed by the selected radiomics features using a multivariable logistic regression combined with the most suitable feature selection algorithm determined by the comparison among least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), recursive feature elimination (RFE) and ReliefF. A clinical model was established using clinical and radiological features. A radiomics nomogram was constructed by integrating the radiomics signature and independent clinic-radiological features. Performance of these three models was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS: Using multivariate logistic regression analysis, three clinic-radiological features including intratumoral necrosis (OR=3.00, 95% CI=1.30-6.90, p=0.049), intratumoral angiogenesis (OR=3.28, 95% CI=1.22-8.78, p=0.018), and perinephric metastasis (OR=2.90, 95% CI=1.03-8.17, p=0.044) were found to be independent predictors of WHO/ISUP grade in CCRCC. Incorporating the above clinic-radiological predictors and radiomics signature constructed by LASSO, a CT-based radiomics nomogram was developed, and presented better predictive performance than clinic-radiological model and radiomics signature model, with an AUC of 0.891 (95% CI=0.832-0.962) and 0.843 (95% CI=0.718-0.975) in the training and testing sets, respectively. DCA indicated that the nomogram has potential clinical usefulness. CONCLUSION: The CT-based radiomics nomogram is a promising tool to predict WHO/ISUP grade of CCRCC preoperatively and noninvasively.

Machine learning-based CT radiomics approach for predicting WHO/ISUP nuclear grade of clear cell renal cell carcinoma: an exploratory and comparative study.

PURPOSE: To investigate the predictive performance of machine learning-based CT radiomics for differentiating between low- and high-nuclear grade of clear cell renal cell carcinomas (CCRCCs). METHODS: This retrospective study enrolled 406 patients with pathologically confirmed low- and high-nuclear grade of CCRCCs according to the WHO/ISUP grading system, which were divided into the training and testing cohorts. Radiomics features were extracted from nephrographic-phase CT images using PyRadiomics. A support vector machine (SVM) combined with three feature selection algorithms such as least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), recursive feature elimination (RFE), and ReliefF was performed to determine the most suitable classification model, respectively. Clinicoradiological, radiomics, and combined models were constructed using the radiological and clinical characteristics with significant differences between the groups, selected radiomics features, and a combination of both, respectively. Model performance was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analyses. RESULTS: SVM-ReliefF algorithm outperformed SVM-LASSO and SVM-RFE in distinguishing low- from high-grade CCRCCs. The combined model showed better prediction performance than the clinicoradiological and radiomics models (p < 0.05, DeLong test), which achieved the highest efficacy, with an area under the ROC curve (AUC) value of 0.887 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.798-0.952), 0.859 (95% CI 0.748-0.935), and 0.828 (95% CI 0.731-0.929) in the training, validation, and testing cohorts, respectively. The calibration and decision curves also indicated the favorable performance of the combined model. CONCLUSION: A combined model incorporating the radiomics features and clinicoradiological characteristics can better predict the WHO/ISUP nuclear grade of CCRCC preoperatively, thus providing effective and noninvasive assessment.