Chemotherapy combined with immune checkpoint inhibitors may overcome the detrimental effect of high neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio prior to treatment in esophageal cancer patients.

Introduction: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) have emerged as a promising treatment option for esophageal cancer (EC). Although ICIs enable long-term survival in some patients, the efficacy of ICIs varies widely among patients. Therefore, predictive biomarkers are necessary for identifying patients who are most likely to benefit from ICIs to improve the efficacy of the treatment. We retrospectively analyzed the outcomes of combination therapy, including nivolumab plus ipilimumab or chemotherapy plus anti-programmed cell death 1 (PD-1) antibodies in our institute to identify biomarkers. Methods: Twenty-seven patients received nivolumab plus ipilimumab, and thirty-six patients received chemotherapy plus anti-PD-1 antibodies were included in this study. We analyzed patient characteristics, efficacy, and safety. Multivariable analysis of biomarkers evaluated the correlation among overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), and the following variables: body mass index, performance status, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), C-reactive protein level, and albumin level before treatment. Results: In multivariable analysis, albumin level was significantly correlated with PFS in the cisplatin plus 5-fluorouracil (CF) plus pembrolizumab group. NLR and albumin level were significantly correlated with OS in the nivolumab plus ipilimumab group. Other variables, including PS, BMI, and CRP did not correlate with any of the outcomes. Conclusions: High NLR in EC patients prior to treatment was significantly less effective for ICIs. In chemotherapy combined with ICIs, NLR before the treatment was not associated with treatment efficacy, suggesting combination chemotherapy may be beneficial for EC patients with high NLR. NLR may be an indicator of immunocompetence in anti-tumor immunity and a convenient predictive biomarker for selecting appropriate treatments including ICIs.

Antiplatelets for Cardiovascular Disease in Non-valvular AF with Rivaroxaban: A Subanalysis of the EXPAND Study.

AIM: In this subanalysis of the EXPAND study, we evaluated the risks and benefits of rivaroxaban plus antiplatelet therapy (APT) for patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) complicated by stable coronary artery disease (CAD), ischemic stroke, or peripheral artery disease (PAD). METHODS: From the EXPAND study population (n=7,141), patients with NVAF complicated by stable CAD (n=886), ischemic stroke (n=1,231), or PAD (n=160) were included. Patients complicated by any of them were set as ALL (n=2,030). Patients were all treated with rivaroxaban (10 or 15 mg/day) with (+) or without (-) APT. Efficacy outcomes were symptomatic stroke＋systemic embolism (SE), symptomatic stroke＋SE＋myocardial infarction＋cardiovascular death, and all-cause death. Safety outcomes included major and any bleeding. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated for differences between the APT(+) and APT(-) groups. RESULTS: There were no significant differences in the efficacy outcomes between the APT(+) and APT(-) groups in the ALL cohort or in the CAD and STROKE sub-cohorts. In the PAD subcohort, the HR [95% CI] for all-cause death in the APT(+) group increased (4.43 [1.05-18.71]; p=0.043). In the APT(+) group, the HR [95% CI] for any bleeding increased in the ALL cohort (1.28 [1.01-1.62]; p=0.044) and STROKE subcohort (1.42 [1.01-2.01]; p=0.047), and for major bleeding in the CAD subcohort (2.00 [1.01-3.93]; p=0.046). CONCLUSIONS: Rivaroxaban with APT did not reduce ischemic outcomes in patients with stable CAD or ischemic stroke; however, it did increase the risk of bleeding in patients with stable CAD or ischemic stroke.

Patient Outcomes in Very Elderly Patients With Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation　- ANAFIE Registry.

Background: The All Nippon Atrial Fibrillation In the Elderly Registry provides real-world insights into non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) in >30,000 elderly Japanese patients (aged ≥75 years), including >2,000 nonagenarians. We aimed to investigate outcomes in these patients by age and oral anticoagulant (OAC) type. Methods and Results: This prospective, multicenter, observational, cohort, 2-year follow-up study included elderly patients with NVAF who were able to attend hospital visits. The incidences of stroke/systemic embolic events (SEE), major bleeding, intracranial hemorrhage (ICH), cardiovascular death, all-cause death, and major adverse cardiovascular or neurological events (MACNE) were evaluated by age. Incidence rates increased significantly with age. Stroke/SEE, major bleeding, and ICH incidences plateaued in patients aged ≥90 years. Direct OACs (DOACs) yielded a numerically lower event incidence vs. warfarin in all age groups and endpoints, except for major bleeding in patients aged ≥90 years. DOACs (vs. warfarin) were significantly associated with a lower risk of stroke/SEE, major bleeding, and ICH in the ≥80-<85 years group, and reduced cardiovascular and all-cause death in the ≥75-<80 years group. In the ≥90 years subgroup, major bleeding history was a risk factor for all-cause death. Conclusions: Although DOAC vs. warfarin offers potential benefits for stroke prevention, limitations occurred in reducing major bleeding among those aged ≥90 years, indicating a potential benefit of very-low-dose DOAC for this demographic.

Long-Term Outcomes of Carbon Dioxide Insufflation in Thoracoscopic Esophagectomy After Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy for Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Thoracoscopic esophagectomy (TE) with carbon dioxide (CO2) insufflation is increasingly performed for esophageal cancer; however, there is limited evidence of the long-term outcomes of CO2 insufflation on postoperative survival. OBJECTIVES: We investigated the long-term outcomes of TE with or without CO2 insufflation. METHODS: We enrolled 182 patients who underwent TE for esophageal cancer between January 2003 and October 2013 and categorized them into two groups: with and without CO2 insufflation. The primary endpoint was five-year overall survival (5y-OS). Secondary endpoints included long-term outcomes, such as five-year relapse-free survival (5y-RFS) and five-year cancer-specific survival (5y-CSS), and short-term outcomes, such as surgical and non-surgical complications and reoperation within 30 days. RESULTS: Follow-up until death or the five-year postoperative period was 98.9% (median follow-up duration was six years in survivors). After adjusting for age, sex, and yield pathologic tumor, node, and metastasis (TNM) stage, we found no significant differences in 5y-OS (HR 1.12, 95% CI 0.66-1.91), 5y-RFS (HR 1.12, 95% CI 0.67-1.83), or 5y-CSS rates (HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.57-1.75). For short-term outcomes, significant intergroup differences in operation time (p=0.02), blood loss (p<0.001), postoperative length of stay (p<0.001), and incidence of atelectasis (p=0.004) were observed. The results of the sensitivity analysis were similar to the main results. CONCLUSIONS: In thoracoscopic procedures, CO2 insufflation significantly improved short-term outcomes, and it appears that the recurrence risk of esophageal cancer may not impact the long-term prognosis. While the influence of CO2 insufflation in thoracoscopic esophageal surgery remains unclear, our study suggests that the long-term prognosis is not compromised in other thoracic surgeries.

Metastatic Pleomorphic Carcinoma of the Lung with Extensive Chromosomal Rearrangements: An Autopsy Case with a Literature Review.

We herein report a 47-year-old man who presented with progressive paraparesis. Imaging revealed a right upper pulmonary nodule, massive bilateral adrenal metastases, thoracolumbar vertebral osteolysis, and subcutaneous nodules. A biopsy of the right buttock nodule revealed a poorly differentiated metastatic carcinoma with high programmed cell death-ligand 1 expression and extensive chromosomal rearrangements. The patient died 10 days after the initiation of pembrolizumab treatment. Autopsy findings confirmed pulmonary pleomorphic carcinoma with extensive metastases. Quantification of chromosomal rearrangements revealed a jump-up mutation from the normal karyotype, followed by a further incremental increase in the degree of deviation.

A Novel Risk Score for Major Bleeding in Japanese Patients with Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation: The J-RISK AF Study.

AIM: Oral anticoagulants (OACs) reduce the risk of ischemic stroke but may increase the risk of major bleeding in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). Various risk scores, such as HAS-BLED, ATRIA, ORBIT, and DOAC, have been proposed to assess the risk of major bleeding in patients with NVAF receiving OACs. However, limited data are available regarding bleeding risk stratification in Japanese patients with NVAF. METHODS: Of the 16,098 NVAF patients from the J-RISK AF study, the combined data of the five major AF registries in Japan (J-RHYTHM Registry, Fushimi AF Registry, Shinken Database, Keio interhospital Cardiovascular Studies, and Hokuriku-Plus AF Registry), we analyzed 11,539 patients receiving OACs (median age, 71 years old; women, 29.6%; median CHA2DS2-VASc score, 3). RESULTS: During the 2-year follow-up period, major bleeding occurred in 274 patients (1.3% per patient-year). In a multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis, an advanced age, hypertension (systolic blood pressure ≥ 150 mmHg), bleeding history, anemia, thrombocytopenia, and concomitant antiplatelet agents were significantly associated with a higher incidence of major bleeding. We developed a novel risk stratification system, HED-[EPA]2-B3 score, which had a better predictive performance for major bleeding (C-statistics 0.67, [95% confidence interval, 0.63-0.70]) than the HAS-BLED (0.64, [0.60-0.67], P for difference 0.02) and ATRIA (0.63, [0.60-0.66], P for difference ＜0.01) scores. Furthermore, it was non-significantly higher than the ORBIT (0.65, [0.62-0.68], P for difference 0.07) and DOAC (0.65, [0.62-0.68], P for difference 0.17) scores. CONCLUSION: Our novel risk stratification system, the HED-[EPA]2-B3 score, may be useful for identifying Japanese patients receiving OACs at a risk of major bleeding.

Descriptions of Etiology, Clinical Course, and Prognosis of Patients Presenting with Pericardial Effusion.

Pericardial effusion (PE) presentation varies from an incidental finding to a life-threatening situation; thus, its etiology and clinical course remain unknown. The aim of the present study was to retrospectively investigate these factors.We analyzed 171 patients (0.4%) who presented with PE among 34,873 patients who underwent echocardiography between 2011 and 2021 at our hospital. Clinical and prognostic information was retrieved from electronic medical records. The primary endpoints were all-cause death, hospitalization due to heart failure (HF), and other cardiovascular events such as cardiovascular death, acute coronary syndrome, elective percutaneous coronary intervention, and stroke.The etiologies of PE were as follows: idiopathic (32%), HF-related (18%), iatrogenic (11%), cardiac surgery-related (10%), radiation therapy-related (9%), malignancy (8%), pericarditis/myocarditis (8%), myocardial infarction-related (2%), and acute aortic dissection (2%). Patients with idiopathic/HF etiology were more likely to be older than the others.During a mean follow-up period of 2.5 years, all-cause death occurred in 21 patients (12.3%), cardiovascular events in 10 patients (5.8%), and hospitalization for HF in 24 patients (14.0%). All-cause death was frequently observed in patients with malignancy (44% per person-year). Cardiovascular events were mostly observed in patients with radiation therapy-related and malignancy (8.6% and 7.3% per person-year, respectively).The annual incidence of hospitalization for HF was the highest in patients with HF-related (25.1% per person-year), followed by radiation therapy-related (10.4% per person-year).This retrospective study is the first, to the best of our knowledge, to reveal the contemporary prevalence of PE, its cause, and outcome in patients who visited a cardiovascular hospital in an urban area of Japan.

Pharmacokinetics of Edoxaban 15 mg in Very Elderly Patients with Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation: A Subanalysis of the ELDERCARE-AF Study.

BACKGROUND: We evaluated the pharmacokinetics (PK) of low-dose (15 mg) edoxaban in very elderly patients (≥80 years) with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) and high bleeding risk. METHODS: This subanalysis of the phase 3, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multicenter ELDERCARE-AF study evaluated edoxaban plasma concentrations and compared them with the Japanese population of the ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 and Japanese severe renal impairment (SRI) studies. RESULTS: The PK analysis population included 451 patients, 53.8% of whom concomitantly used antiplatelet drugs, 41.0% had SRI, and 38.0% had low body weight. Edoxaban plasma concentrations at trough and 1 to 3 hours post-dose in ELDERCARE-AF were 17.3 ± 13.9 (n = 427) and 93.3 ± 57.8 ng/mL (n = 447), respectively. These values were slightly higher than the 15 mg group in ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 (n = 79; 12.4 ± 12.1 and n = 115; 78.7 ± 45.0 ng/mL, respectively), lower than the ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 high-dose reduced to 30 mg group (n = 83; 25.1 ± 36.6 and n = 111; 150 ± 91.6 ng/mL, respectively), but similar to the Japanese SRI study (n = 39; 18.4 ± 11.2 and n = 40; 96.8 ± 48.3 ng/mL, respectively). ELDERCARE-AF patients with SRI and low body weight (≤45 kg) had higher concentrations than those without, and those taking antiplatelet drugs had lower concentrations than those who were not. CONCLUSION: PK data support edoxaban 15 mg once daily for very elderly NVAF patients with high bleeding risk, with caution for patients with SRI and/or low body weight.

Does Prehabilitation Reduce Postoperative Length of Hospital Stay after Esophageal Cancer Surgery?

Objectives: At our hospital, prehabilitation has been provided to patients undergoing esophageal cancer surgery since October 2019. This study explored the effects of prehabilitation based on the accumulated database of these patients. Methods: This retrospective cohort study included 621 patients who underwent thoracoscopic subtotal esophagectomy. Multiple linear regression analysis was performed using postoperative hospital stay as the objective variable and age, sex, body mass index (BMI), preoperative ventilatory impairment, left ventricular ejection fraction, preoperative hemoglobin A1c, clinical stage, histological type, operative time, surgical blood loss, postoperative complications, and prehabilitation as explanatory variables. We also performed a multivariate analysis in the subgroup of patients who developed postoperative complications and adjusted for possible confounding factors. Postoperative complications and postoperative hospital stay were compared between patients without (n=416) and with (n=205) prehabilitation. Results: Postoperative complications, age, blood loss, BMI, and ventilatory impairment influenced the overall length of hospital stay. When the analysis was restricted to patients with complications, prehabilitation was added to that list of factors as a substitute for BMI. The rate of postoperative complications was not affected by prehabilitation (P=0.1675). The number of hospital days did not change with or without prehabilitation in the overall population, but when restricted to patients with complications, the number of hospital days was significantly decreased in the prehabilitation group (P=0.0328). Conclusions: Prehabilitation as a perioperative approach has the potential to reduce the postoperative length of hospital stay in patients undergoing esophageal cancer surgery, and active intervention is recommended.

Gastrointestinal bleeding in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation: prespecified All Nippon Atrial Fibrillation in the Elderly (ANAFIE) Registry subgroup analysis.

Gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding control is critical in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) receiving oral anticoagulants (OAC). This subgroup analysis aimed to clarify the actual state and significance of GI bleeding in elderly non-valvular AF (NVAF) patients. We evaluated the incidence and risk factors of GI bleeding during the 2-year follow-up and examined the GI bleeding impact on mortality. Of the 32,275 patients in the ANAFIE Registry, 1139 patients (3.5%) experienced GI bleeding (incidence rate, 1.92 events per 100 person-years; mean follow-up, 1.88 years); 339 upper and 760 lower GI bleeding events occurred. GI bleeding risk factors included age ≥ 85 years, body mass index ≥ 25.0 kg/m2, prior major bleeding, hyperuricaemia, heart failure, P-glycoprotein inhibitor use, GI disease, and polypharmacy (≥ 5 drugs). No significant differences in GI bleeding risk were found between direct OAC (DOAC) vs warfarin users (adjusted hazard ratios [95% confidence interval], 1.01 [0.88-1.15]). The 1-year post-GI bleeding mortality rate was numerically higher in patients with upper (19.6%) than lower GI bleeding (8.9%). In elderly Japanese NVAF patients, this large-scale study found no significant difference in GI bleeding risk between DOAC vs. warfarin users or 1-year mortality after upper or lower GI bleeding.

Consecutive Serious Medical Concomitants Associated With Extremely Severe Anorexia Nervosa in a Patient With Body Mass Index of 10.2 Kilograms per Square Meter: A Case Report.

Anorexia nervosa (AN) is often accompanied by numerous medical complications and mental disorders. There are few specialized AN facilities in Japan, resulting in the unmet medical needs of patients with AN. A 37-year-old Japanese woman was admitted to the hospital after experiencing a disturbance of consciousness. Her body mass index was 10.2 kg/m2. She developed the following serious medical concomitants associated with extremely severe AN: hypothermia, shock liver, refractory hypoglycemia, acute gastric mucosal bleeding, gelatinous marrow transformation, catheter-related bloodstream infection and infective endocarditis due to ß-lactamase-negative Staphylococcus aureus, aspiration pneumonia, intracranial hemorrhage, candidemia, and osmotic demyelination syndrome in the pons, which led to a fatal condition that quickly worsened after we started treatment. The patient was able to overcome several serious concomitants and be discharged from the hospital after multidisciplinary treatment team care. AN is associated with increased rates of all-cause mortality. It is important to take an interdisciplinary approach with emergency physicians, intensivists, hematologists, gastroenterologists, psychiatrists, clinical psychologists, a nutrition support team with a nationally registered nutritionist and hospitalists, and hospitalization as required based on appropriate medical evaluation with good patient and family rapport. Furthermore, social and educational efforts aimed at preventing the development of AN are necessary.

Evaluating convolutional neural network-enhanced electrocardiography for hypertrophic cardiomyopathy detection in a specialized cardiovascular setting.

The efficacy of convolutional neural network (CNN)-enhanced electrocardiography (ECG) in detecting hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) and dilated HCM (dHCM) remains uncertain in real-world applications. This retrospective study analyzed data from 19,170 patients (including 140 HCM or dHCM) in the Shinken Database (2010-2017). We evaluated the sensitivity, positive predictive rate (PPR), and F1 score of CNN-enhanced ECG in a ''basic diagnosis'' model (total disease label) and a ''comprehensive diagnosis'' model (including disease subtypes). Using all-lead ECG in the "basic diagnosis" model, we observed a sensitivity of 76%, PPR of 2.9%, and F1 score of 0.056. These metrics improved in cases with a diagnostic probability of ≥ 0.9 and left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) on ECG: 100% sensitivity, 8.6% PPR, and 0.158 F1 score. The ''comprehensive diagnosis'' model further enhanced these figures to 100%, 13.0%, and 0.230, respectively. Performance was broadly consistent across CNN models using different lead configurations, particularly when including leads viewing the lateral walls. While the precision of CNN models in detecting HCM or dHCM in real-world settings is initially low, it improves by targeting specific patient groups and integrating disease subtype models. The use of ECGs with fewer leads, especially those involving the lateral walls, appears comparably effective.

Identifying patients with acute aortic dissection using an electrocardiogram with convolutional neural network.

Background: The potential of utilizing artificial intelligence with electrocardiography (ECG) for initial screening of aortic dissection (AD) is promising. However, achieving a high positive predictive rate (PPR) remains challenging. Methods and results: This retrospective analysis of a single-center, prospective cohort study (Shinken Database 2010-2017, N = 19,170) used digital 12-lead ECGs from initial patient visits. We assessed a convolutional neural network (CNN) model's performance for AD detection with eight-lead (I, II, and V1-6), single-lead, and double-lead (I, II) ECGs via five-fold cross-validation. The mean age was 63.5 ± 12.5 years for the AD group (n = 147) and 58.1 ± 15.7 years for the non-AD group (n = 19,023). The CNN model achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.936 (standard deviation [SD]: 0.023) for AD detection with eight-lead ECGs. In the entire cohort, the PPR was 7 %, with 126 out of 147 AD cases correctly diagnosed (sensitivity 86 %). When applied to patients with D-dimer levels ≥1 µg/dL and a history of hypertension, the PPR increased to 35 %, with 113 AD cases correctly identified (sensitivity 86 %). The single V1 lead displayed the highest diagnostic performance (AUC: 0.933, SD: 0.03), with PPR improvement from 8 % to 38 % within the same population. Conclusions: Our CNN model using ECG data for AD detection achieved an over 30% PPR when applied to patients with elevated D-dimer levels and hypertension history while maintaining sensitivity. A similar level of performance was observed with a single-lead V1 ECG in the CNN model.

3D CNN-based Deep Learning Model-based Explanatory Prognostication in Patients with Multiple Myeloma using Whole-body MRI.

Although magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) data of patients with multiple myeloma (MM) are used to predict prognosis, few reports have applied artificial intelligence (AI) techniques for this purpose. We aimed to analyze whole-body diffusion-weighted MRI data using three-dimensional (3D) convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and Gradient-weighted Class Activation Mapping (Grad-CAM), an explainable AI, to predict prognosis and explore the factors involved in prediction. We retrospectively analyzed the MRI data of a total of 142 patients with MM obtained from two medical centers. We defined the occurrence of progressive disease after MRI evaluation within 12 months as a poor prognosis and constructed a 3D CNN-based deep learning model to predict prognosis. Images from 111 cases were used as the training and internal validation data; images from 31 cases were used as the external validation data. Internal validation of the AI model with stratified 5-fold cross-validation resulted in a significant difference in progression-free survival (PFS) between good and poor prognostic cases (2-year PFS, 91.2% versus [vs.] 61.1%, P = 0.0002). The AI model clearly stratified good and poor prognostic cases in the external validation cohort (2-year PFS, 92.9% vs. 55.6%, P = 0.004), with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.804. According to Grad-CAM, the MRI signals of the spleen and bones of the vertebrae and pelvis contributed to prognosis prediction. This study is the first to show that image analysis of whole-body MRI using a 3D CNN without any other clinical data is effective in predicting the prognosis of patients with MM.

Lead-Specific Performance for Atrial Fibrillation Detection in Convolutional Neural Network Models Using Sinus Rhythm Electrocardiography.

Background: We developed a convolutional neural network (CNN) model to detect atrial fibrillation (AF) using the sinus rhythm ECG (SR-ECG). However, the diagnostic performance of the CNN model based on different ECG leads remains unclear. Methods and Results: In this retrospective analysis of a single-center, prospective cohort study, we identified 616 AF cases and 3,412 SR cases for the modeling dataset among new patients (n=19,170). The modeling dataset included SR-ECGs obtained within 31 days from AF-ECGs in AF cases and SR cases with follow-up ≥1,095 days. We evaluated the CNN model's performance for AF detection using 8-lead (I, II, and V1-6), single-lead, and double-lead ECGs through 5-fold cross-validation. The CNN model achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.872 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.856-0.888) and an odds ratio of 15.24 (95% CI: 12.42-18.72) for AF detection using the eight-lead ECG. Among the single-lead and double-lead ECGs, the double-lead ECG using leads I and V1 yielded an AUC of 0.871 (95% CI: 0.856-0.886) with an odds ratio of 14.34 (95% CI: 11.64-17.67). Conclusions: We assessed the performance of a CNN model for detecting AF using eight-lead, single-lead, and double-lead SR-ECGs. The model's performance with a double-lead (I, V1) ECG was comparable to that of the 8-lead ECG, suggesting its potential as an alternative for AF screening using SR-ECG.

Coronary events in elderly patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation: a prespecified sub-analysis of the ANAFIE registry.

Real-world data on coronary events (CE) in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are lacking in the direct oral anticoagulant era. This prespecified sub-analysis of the ANAFIE Registry, a prospective observational study in > 30,000 Japanese patients aged ≥ 75 years with non-valvular AF (NVAF), investigated CE incidence and risk factors. The incidence and risk factors for new-onset CE (a composite of myocardial infarction [MI] and cardiac intervention for coronary heart diseases other than MI), MI, and cardiac intervention for coronary heart diseases other than MI during the 2-year follow-up were assessed. Bleeding events in CE patients were also examined. Among 32,275 patients, the incidence rate per 100 patient-years was 0.48 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.42-0.53) for CE during the 2-year follow-up, 0.20 (0.16-0.23) for MI, and 0.29 (0.25-0.33) for cardiac intervention for coronary heart diseases other than MI; that of stroke/systemic embolism was 1.62 (1.52-1.73). Patients with CE (n = 287) likely had lower creatinine clearance (CrCL) and higher CHADS2 and HAS-BLED scores than patients without CE (n = 31,988). Significant risk factors associated with new-onset CE were male sex, systolic blood pressure of ≥ 130 mmHg, diabetes mellitus (glycated hemoglobin ≥ 6.0%), CE history, antiplatelet agent use, and CrCL < 50 mL/min. Major bleeding incidence was significantly higher in patients with new-onset CE vs without CE (odds ratio [95% CI], 3.35 [2.06-5.43]). In elderly patients with NVAF, CE incidence was lower than stroke/systemic embolism incidence. New-onset CE (vs no CE) was associated with a higher incidence of major bleeding.Trial registration: UMIN000024006.

Clinical outcomes and anticoagulation therapy in elderly non-valvular atrial fibrillation and heart failure patients.

AIMS: Atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure (HF) often coexist. Older age is strongly associated with stroke, HF, and mortality. The association between coexistence of HF and a risk of clinical outcomes and the effectiveness of anticoagulation therapy including direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) in elderly patients with AF and HF have not been investigated. We aimed to evaluate 2 years of outcomes and to elucidate the efficacy of DOACs or warfarin in elderly AF patients in the All Nippon AF In the Elderly (ANAFIE) Registry with and without a history of HF. METHODS AND RESULTS: The ANAFIE Registry is a multicentre, prospective observational study following elderly non-valvular AF patients aged ≥75 years for 2 years. Hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated based on the presence or absence of an HF diagnosis and DOAC or warfarin use at enrolment. Among 32 275 eligible patients, 12 116 (37.5%) had been diagnosed with HF. Patients with HF had significantly higher rates of HF hospitalization or cardiovascular death (HR 1.94, P < 0.001), cardiovascular events (HR 1.59, P < 0.001), cardiovascular death (HR 1.49, P < 0.001), all-cause death (HR 1.32, P < 0.001), and net clinical outcome including stroke/systemic embolism, major bleeding, and all-cause death (HR 1.23, P < 0.001), compared with those without HF; however, HRs for stroke/systemic embolism (HR 0.96, P = 0.56) and major bleeding (HR 1.14, P = 0.13) were similar. DOAC use was associated with a low risk of stroke/systemic embolism (HR 0.86, P = 0.19 in HF; HR 0.79, P = 0.016 in non-HF; P for interaction = 0.56), major bleeding (HR 0.71, P = 0.008 in HF; HR 0.75, P = 0.016 in non-HF; P for interaction = 0.74), HF hospitalization or cardiovascular death (HR 0.81, P < 0.001 in HF; HR 0.78, P < 0.001 in non-HF; P for interaction = 0.26), cardiovascular events (HR 0.83, P < 0.001 in HF; HR 0.82, P = 0.001 in non-HF; P for interaction = 0.65), cardiovascular death (HR 0.84, P = 0.12 in HF; HR 0.75, P = 0.035 in non-HF; P for interaction = 0.18), all-cause death (HR 0.89, P = 0.082 in HF; HR 0.80, P = 0.001 in non-HF; P for interaction = 0.091), and net clinical outcome (HR 0.88, P = 0.019 in HF; HR 0.81, P < 0.001 in non-HF; P for interaction = 0.21) compared with warfarin, irrespective of the presence or absence of HF. Analysis using the propensity score matching method showed similar associations. CONCLUSIONS: Non-valvular AF patients aged ≥75 years with a history of HF had higher risks of cardiovascular events and mortality. DOACs were favourable to warfarin regardless of the coexistence of HF. These results might encourage the use of DOACs in elderly patients with non-valvular AF with or without HF.

Butyricimonas is a key gut microbiome component for predicting postoperative recurrence of esophageal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Recently, intestinal bacteria have attracted attention as factors affecting the prognosis of patients with cancer. However, the intestinal microbiome is composed of several hundred types of bacteria, necessitating the development of an analytical method that can allow the use of this information as a highly accurate biomarker. In this study, we investigated whether the preoperative intestinal bacterial profile in patients with esophageal cancer who underwent surgery after preoperative chemotherapy could be used as a biomarker of postoperative recurrence of esophageal cancer. METHODS: We determined the gut microbiome of the patients using 16S rRNA metagenome sequencing, followed by statistical analysis. Simultaneously, we performed a machine learning analysis using a random forest model with hyperparameter tuning and compared the data obtained. RESULTS: Statistical and machine learning analyses revealed two common bacterial genera, Butyricimonas and Actinomyces, which were abundant in cases with recurrent esophageal cancer. Butyricimonas primarily produces butyrate, whereas Actinomyces are oral bacteria whose function in the gut is unknown. CONCLUSION: Our results indicate that Butyricimonas spp. may be a biomarker of postoperative recurrence of esophageal cancer. Although the extent of the involvement of these bacteria in immune regulation remains unknown, future research should investigate their presence in other pathological conditions. Such research could potentially lead to a better understanding of the immunological impact of these bacteria on patients with cancer and their application as biomarkers.

Efficacy and Safety of Low-Dose Edoxaban by Body Weight in Very Elderly Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: A Subanalysis of the Randomized ELDERCARE-AF Trial.

BACKGROUND: The ELDERCARE-AF trial showed that low-dose edoxaban benefits elderly patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation considered ineligible for standard oral anticoagulants due to high bleeding risk, but whether this applied to patients with extremely low body weight was unclear. METHODS AND RESULTS: This was a prespecified subanalysis by body weight (≤45, >45 kg) of the phase 3, multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, event-driven ELDERCARE-AF trial, which compared low-dose edoxaban (15 mg once daily) with placebo in Japanese patients considered ineligible for oral anticoagulants at the recommended therapeutic strength or the approved doses. The primary efficacy and safety end points were stroke or systemic embolism and major bleeding (International Society on Thrombosis and Hemostasis definition), respectively. The ≤45-kg weight group included 374/984 patients (38.0%), and the >45-kg group included 610/984 patients (62.0%). The stroke or systemic embolism rate was lower with edoxaban than placebo in both weight groups (≤45 kg: hazard ratio [HR], 0.36 [95% CI, 0.16-0.80]; >45 kg: HR, 0.31 [95% CI, 0.13-0.73]; interaction P=0.82). Major bleeding incidence was numerically higher with edoxaban than placebo (≤45 kg: HR, 3.05 [95% CI, 0.84-11.11]; >45 kg: HR, 1.40 [95% CI, 0.56-3.48), with no interaction with body weight (interaction P=0.33). All-cause mortality was higher in the ≤45-kg group, with no significant difference between treatment groups. CONCLUSIONS: The benefit of edoxaban 15 mg was consistent in elderly patients with atrial fibrillation and extremely low body weight, though clinicians must remain vigilant about the risk of major bleeding, especially gastrointestinal bleeding. REGISTRATION INFORMATION: ClinicalTrials.gov. Identifier: NCT02801669.

Characteristics and outcomes in elderly patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation and high bleeding risk: subanalysis of the J-RHYTHM Registry.

Recently, a once-daily dose of edoxaban (15-mg) has been approved for stroke prevention in non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients aged ≥ 80 years, in whom standard oral anticoagulants are not recommended because of high bleeding risk (HBR), based on the ELDERCARE-AF trial. However, information regarding the characteristics and clinical outcomes among such patients is limited. Thus, this study aimed to clarify the characteristics and event rates in elderly patients with NVAF and HBR defined by the ELDERCARE-AF criteria. Of the 7406 NVAF outpatients included in the J-RHYTHM Registry, 60 patients with creatinine clearance (CrCl) < 15 mL/min were excluded. The remaining 7346 patients (age, 69.7 ± 9.9 years; men, 70.9%; warfarin use, 78.7%) were divided into three groups: Group 1, aged < 80 years (n = 6165); Group 2, aged ≥ 80 years without HBR (n = 584); and Group 3, aged ≥ 80 years with HBR (at least one of the followings; CrCl, 15-30 mL/min, history of bleeding, body weight ≤ 45 kg, and antiplatelet use) (n = 597, eligible for 15-mg edoxaban). Patients in Group 3 had a higher prevalence of comorbidities, and therefore, both higher thromboembolic and bleeding risk scores than in the other groups. During the 2-year follow-up period, the incidence rates (per 100 person-years) of thromboembolism in Groups 1, 2, and 3 were 0.7, 1.5, and 2.1 (P < 0.001), major hemorrhage, 0.8, 1.2, and 2.0 (P < 0.001), and all-cause death, 0.8, 2.6, and 4.6 (P < 0.001), respectively. Adjusted hazard ratios of Group 3 were 1.64 (95% confidence interval 0.89-3.04, P = 0.116) for thromboembolism, 1.53 (0.85-2.72, P = 0.154) for major hemorrhage, and 1.84 (1.19-2.85, P = 0.006) for all-cause death compared with Group 1. The NVAF Patients aged ≥ 80 years with HBR defined by the ELDERCARE-AF criteria were certainly at a higher adverse event risk, especially for all-cause death. Clinical trial registration: The J-RHYTHM Registry is registered in the University Hospital Medicine Information Network (UMIN) Clinical Trials Registry (unique identifier: UMIN000001569) http://www.umin.ac.jp/ctr/ .