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BACKGROUND: The combination of tislelizumab and gemcitabine plus cisplatin (GP) in the first-line treatment of patients with recurrent or metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (R/M NPC) has yielded significant results. However, it is not clear whether this treatment option is cost-effective in China. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of tislelizumab plus GP for the first-line treatment of R/M NPC from the perspective of the Chinese healthcare system. METHODS: A partitioned survival model with three discrete health states was constructed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of tislelizumab plus GP versus GP in patients with R/M NPC. The target population enrolled in the RATIONALE-309 trial had previously not treated for R/M NPC. Drug costs were obtained from relevant databases, and the remaining cost and health utility data were collected from the literature. The main outcomes include the expected life years, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), total cost, and incremental cost-benefit ratio (ICER). RESULTS: The tislelizumab plus GP regimen produced an additional cost ($18392.76) and additional 1.57 QALYs compared with GP used alone. The ICER was $18392.75/QALYs. Sensitivity analysis showed that the analysis was robust and the utility of PD status was most sensitive to the model results. The possibility of tislelizumab plus GP being cost-effective at the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $37 653/QALY was 99.8%. Subgroup analysis showed that high PD-L1 expression had little impact on the ICER of this regimen. CONCLUSION: In patients with R/M NPC, the regimen of tislelizumab plus GP, as the first-line treatment, is more cost-effective than the GP regimen in China.
Assuntos
Análise de Custo-Efetividade , Neoplasias Nasofaríngeas , Humanos , Carcinoma Nasofaríngeo/tratamento farmacológico , Recidiva Local de Neoplasia/tratamento farmacológico , Cisplatino , Análise Custo-Benefício , Neoplasias Nasofaríngeas/tratamento farmacológico , Protocolos de Quimioterapia Combinada Antineoplásica/uso terapêuticoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Sintilimab combined with IBI305 treatment regimen had potential clinical benefits than sorafenib in the first-line treatment of patients with unresectable hepatic cell carcinoma (HCC). However, whether sintilimab plus IBI305 has economic benefits in China remains unclear. METHODS: From the perspective of Chinese payers, we used the Markov model to simulate patients with HCC receiving treatment with sintilimab plus IBI305 and sorafenib. The transition probability between health states was estimated using the parametric survival model, and the cumulative medical costs and utility of the two treatment methods were estimated. Considering the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) as the evaluation index, sensitivity analyses were performed to explore the impact of uncertainty on the results. RESULTS: Compared to sorafenib, sintilimab plus IBI305 generated an additional $17552.17 and 0.33 quality-adjusted life years, resulting in an ICER of $52817.89. The analysis outcomes were most sensitive to the total cost of sintilimab plus IBI305. With a willingness-to-pay threshold of $38,334, sintilimab plus IBI305 showed a 1.28% probability of being cost-effective. The total cost of sintilimab plus IBI305 should be reduced by at least 31.9% to be accepted by Chinese payers. CONCLUSIONS: Regardless of whether the price of sintilimab plus IBI305 and sorafenib is covered by Medicare, sintilimab plus IBI305 is unlikely to be cost-effective for first-line treatment of patients with unresectable HCC.
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Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Idoso , Humanos , Estados Unidos , Sorafenibe/uso terapêutico , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/patologia , Análise de Custo-Efetividade , Neoplasias Hepáticas/patologia , Análise Custo-Benefício , Medicare , Hepatócitos/patologiaRESUMO
Objective: The TOPAZ-1 trial reported a significant survival benefit of durvalumab in combination with chemotherapy for the first-line treatment of biliary tract cancer (BTC). However, no studies have evaluated the economics of this treatment option. The aim of this study was to assess the cost effectiveness of durvalumab plus chemotherapy compared to placebo plus chemotherapy from the perspective of US and Chinese payers. Methods: Based on clinical data from the TOPAZ-1 trial, a Markov model was developed to simulate 10-year life expectancy and total healthcare costs for patients with BTC. The treatment group received durvalumab in combination with chemotherapy and the control group received placebo plus chemotherapy. The primary outcomes analyzed included quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). Uncertainty in the analysis results was assessed by sensitivity analysis. Results: For US payers, the placebo plus chemotherapy group had a total cost of $56,157.05 and a utility of 1.10 QALYs, while the durvalumab plus chemotherapy group had a total cost of $217,069.25, a utility of 1.52 QALYs, resulting in an ICER of $381,864.39/QALY. For Chinese payers, the ICER of durvalumab plus chemotherapy group was $367,608.51/QALY. Sensitivity analysis showed that the analysis was most sensitive to the price of durvalumab. For US and Chinese payers, under the respective willing to pay thresholds, the likelihood of the durvalumab plus chemotherapy arm being cost-effective was 0%. Conclusions: Both in China and in the US, durvalumab in combination with chemotherapy is not a cost-effective option for the first-line treatment of BTC compared with chemotherapy.
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Neoplasias do Sistema Biliar , Análise de Custo-Efetividade , Humanos , Análise Custo-Benefício , Anticorpos Monoclonais/uso terapêutico , Neoplasias do Sistema Biliar/tratamento farmacológicoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Colonic adenocarcinoma (COAD) is a common gastrointestinal tract tumor, and its occurrence and progression are typically associated with genomic instability, tumor-suppressor gene and oncogene mutations, and tumor mutational load. N6-methyladenosine (m6A) modification of RNAs and long non-coding RNA (lncRNA) expression are important in tumorigenesis and progression. However, the regulatory roles of m6A-associated lncRNAs in the tumor microenvironment, stratification of prognosis, and immunotherapy are unclear. METHODS: We screened 43 prognostic lncRNAs linked to m6A and performed consistent molecular typing of COAD using consensus clustering. The single-sample Gene Set Enrichment Analysis and ESTIMATE algorithms were used to assess the immune characteristics of different subgroups. Covariation between methylation-related prognostic lncRNAs was eliminated by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator Cox regression. A nomogram was created and evaluated by combining the methylation-related prognostic lncRNA model with other clinical factors. The relationship between the prognostic model grouping and microsatellite instability, immunophenotype score, and tumor mutation burden was validated using R scripts. Finally, we used a linkage map to filter sensitive medicines to suppress the expression of high-risk genes. Three m6A-associated lncRNA modes were identified in 446 COAD specimens with different clinical endpoints and biological statuses. Risk scores were constructed based on the m6A-associated lncRNA signature genes. Patients with lower risk scores showed superior immunotherapy responses and clinical benefits compared to those with higher risk scores. Lower risk scores were also correlated with higher immunophenotype scores, tumor mutation burden, and mutation rates in significantly mutated genes (e.g., FAT4 and MUC16). Piperidolate, quinostatin, and mecamylamin were screened for their abilities to suppress the expression of high-risk genes in the model. CONCLUSIONS: Quantitative assessment of m6A-associated lncRNAs in single tumors can enhance the understanding of tumor microenvironment profiles. The prognostic model constructed using m6A-associated lncRNAs may facilitate prognosis and immunotherapy stratification of patients with COAD; finally, three drugs with potential therapeutic value were screened based on the model.
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Adenocarcinoma , RNA Longo não Codificante , Humanos , Prognóstico , RNA Longo não Codificante/genética , Algoritmos , Análise por Conglomerados , Adenocarcinoma/genética , Microambiente Tumoral/genéticaRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: The KEYNOTE-590 trial showed that individuals with advanced esophageal cancer who received Pembrolizumab in combination with chemotherapy as a first-line regimen achieved a significant extension of survival. However, this treatment option increases the financial burden on patients and the economic benefits remain to be further evaluated. METHODS: A Markov model was used to simulate 10-year survival of patients with esophageal cancer from the perspective of United States (US) Medicare payers. We evaluated the economics of Pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy in the PD-L1 positive score (CPS ≥10) and any PD-L1 expression groups, respectively. We estimated total costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and calculated incremental cost effectiveness ratios (ICERs). Sensitivity analyses were conducted to explore the impact of uncertainties on the results. Subgroup analysis was also performed. RESULTS: The analysis results showed that the ICER for pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy versus chemotherapy alone was $293,513.17/QALYs in the any PD-L1 expression group. This exceeded the threshold of willingness to pay ($150,000/QALYs). ICERs were most sensitive to the cost of pembrolizumab and the ICERs exceeded $150,000/QALYs in all subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: Evidence suggests that first-line pembrolizumab in combination with chemotherapy is not a cost-effective option for advanced esophageal cancer in the US, regardless of PD-L1 expression status.
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Carcinoma Pulmonar de Células não Pequenas , Neoplasias Esofágicas , Neoplasias Pulmonares , Idoso , Humanos , Estados Unidos , Carcinoma Pulmonar de Células não Pequenas/tratamento farmacológico , Neoplasias Pulmonares/tratamento farmacológico , Antígeno B7-H1 , Análise de Custo-Efetividade , Análise Custo-Benefício , Medicare , Neoplasias Esofágicas/tratamento farmacológicoRESUMO
Background: Esophageal cancer has a poor prognosis and currently ranks sixth in global cancer mortality rates. The ORIENT-15 trial showed sintilimab plus chemotherapy significantly improved survival when compared to chemotherapy alone. This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of sintilimab, a programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) inhibitor, plus chemotherapy in treating patients with esophageal cancer compared with chemotherapy alone. Methods: A Markov model with a 10-year horizon was developed based on the perspective of the Chinese healthcare payers. We conducted a cost-effectiveness analysis for sintilimab combined with chemotherapy based on a questionnaire. Patients were grouped into the sintilimab group based on a positive score of 10 or more (combined positive score (CPS) ≥ 10 groups), and those with any other PD-L1 expression were randomized into patient groups. We estimated the cost and the effectiveness of sintilimab on the quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was computed. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to explore the impact of uncertainties on the cost-effectiveness results. Results: In the base-case analysis, compared with chemotherapy alone, the ICER of sintilimab plus chemotherapy for all patients was $21024.05 per QALY, and in the CPS≥10 group, it was $20974.23 per QALY. This was lower than $37653 per QALY. One-way sensitivity analysis demonstrated that ICERs were most sensitive to the price of sintilimab. Conclusion: The study demonstrated that sintilimab plus chemotherapy for advanced esophageal cancer as its first-line treatment would be more cost-effective than chemotherapy alone in Chinese patients.
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Background: The treatment paradigm of unresectable malignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM) has changed in recent years. Checkmate 743 demonstrate that nivolumab plus ipilimumab showed good clinical benefits compared with chemotherapy in the treatment of MPM. The study is aim to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of Nivolumab plus ipilimumab vs. platinum plus chemotherapy for the first-line treatment of unresectable MPM. Methods: A Markov model was developed to compare the cost and quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) of nivolumab plus ipilimumab and chemotherapy over a 10-year time horizon. Clinical efficacy and safety data were extracted from the CheckMate 743 trials. Health state utilities were obtained from published literature. Costs were collected from an US payer perspective. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to explore the impact of uncertainties on the cost-effectiveness's results. Results: In the base case analysis, the incremental healthcare costs and QALYs for Nivolumab plus Ipilimumab vs. chemotherapy are $196,604.22 and 0.53, respectively, resulting an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of $372,414.28/QALYs for the model cohort of patients with locally advanced or metastatic MPM. However, Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that there was no probability that Nivolumab plus ipilimumab was cost-effective within the fluctuation range of other model parameters in first-line in unresectable MPM. The results of one-way sensitivity analysis showed that the cost of Nivolumab was the most sensitive parameter. Conclusions: The ICER of Nivolumab plus ipilimumab is above the theoretical willingness-to-pay threshold in the U.S, which suggests that first-line nivolumab plus ipilimumab for unresectable MPM may be not a cost-effective choice.
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Antineoplásicos Imunológicos , Ipilimumab , Mesotelioma Maligno , Nivolumabe , Antineoplásicos Imunológicos/efeitos adversos , Antineoplásicos Imunológicos/economia , Antineoplásicos Imunológicos/uso terapêutico , Análise Custo-Benefício , Custos de Medicamentos , Humanos , Ipilimumab/economia , Ipilimumab/uso terapêutico , Mesotelioma Maligno/tratamento farmacológico , Nivolumabe/economia , Nivolumabe/uso terapêutico , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Estados UnidosRESUMO
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The WHO recently designated salivary gland lymphoepithelial carcinoma as a unique malignant tumor that most commonly occurs in the parotid gland. This is a rare cancer and there are few reports in the literature. Among 854 patients with parotid gland tumors who were admitted to our institution, we diagnosed 12 patients (1.41%) with parotid lymphoepithelial carcinoma. METHODS: Retrospective analysis of 12 patients with parotid lymphoepithelial carcinoma diagnosed by the Department of Pathology, Xiangya Hospital of Central South University. RESULTS: All 12 patients had unilateral parotid gland disease and 8 had cervical lymph node metastasis. Five patients received PCR testing for the Epstein-Barr virus and two were positive. All patients received surgical treatment, two received surgical resection alone, nine received surgery and postoperative radiotherapy and chemotherapy, and one received surgery and postoperative chemotherapy. The postoperative follow-up time ranged from 13 to 77 months. As of the last follow-up, eight patients were tumor-free, one patient was lost to follow-up, and three patients died. The main cause of death was local tumor recurrence and multiple metastases throughout the body. CONCLUSION: Parotid lymphoepithelial carcinoma is a malignant neoplasm characterized by proliferation, invasion, and inclusion of poorly differentiated or undifferentiated carcinoma, and a high rate of metastasis to ipsilateral cervical lymph nodes. The comprehensive treatment method consists of radical resection combined with postoperative radiotherapy and chemotherapy. After this comprehensive treatment, the 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year overall survival rates of our patients were 100%, 78.8%, and 39.4%.
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Carcinoma de Células Escamosas , Infecções por Vírus Epstein-Barr , Neoplasias Parotídeas , Carcinoma de Células Escamosas/patologia , Infecções por Vírus Epstein-Barr/complicações , Infecções por Vírus Epstein-Barr/diagnóstico , Herpesvirus Humano 4 , Humanos , Glândula Parótida/cirurgia , Neoplasias Parotídeas/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Parotídeas/patologia , Neoplasias Parotídeas/terapia , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
In this meta-analysis, we systematically investigated the correlation between single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and pancreatic cancer (PC) risk. We searched PubMed, Network Science, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), China Science and Technology Periodical Database (VIP), and Wanfang databases up to January 2020 for studies on PC risk-associated SNPs. We identified 45 case-control studies (36,360 PC patients and 54,752 non-cancer individuals) relating to investigations of 27 genes and 54 SNPs for this meta-analysis. Direct meta-analysis followed by network meta-analysis and Thakkinstian algorithm analysis showed that homozygous genetic models for CTLA-4 rs231775 (OR =0.326; 95% CI: 0.218-0.488) and VDR rs2228570 (OR = 1.976; 95% CI: 1.496-2.611) and additive gene model for TP53 rs9895829 (OR = 1.231; 95% CI: 1.143-1.326) were significantly associated with PC risk. TP53 rs9895829 was the most optimal SNP for diagnosing PC susceptibility with a false positive report probability < 0.2 at a stringent prior probability value of 0.00001. This systematic review and meta-analysis suggest that TP53 rs9895829, VDR rs2228570, and CTLA-4 rs231775 are significantly associated with PC risk. We also demonstrate that TP53 rs9895829 is a potential diagnostic biomarker for estimating PC risk.
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Antígeno CTLA-4/genética , Predisposição Genética para Doença/genética , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/genética , Receptores de Calcitriol/genética , Proteína Supressora de Tumor p53/genética , Humanos , Metanálise em Rede , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único/genéticaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) have been inconsistently associated with atrophic gastritis (AG) risk. This meta-analysis aimed to synthesize relevant data on SNPs associated with AG. METHODS: To identify all associated studies of SNPs and AG published, databases had been searched through January 2020 from the databases of PubMed, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), Web of Science, Embase, the Chinese Science and Technology Periodical Database (VIP), Cochrane Library, and Wanfang databases. With the help of network meta-analysis and Thakkinstian algorithm, the best genetic model with the strongest correlation with AG was selected, the final result - matching to the noteworthy correlation - was obtained by referring to the false positive reporting rate (false positive report probability, FPRP). Based on STREGA's stated criteria, the methodological quality of the data we collected was valued. Both Stata 14.0 and GeMTC will be used for a comprehensive review of the system and will be used in our meta-analysis. RESULTS: This study will provide a high-quality evidence to find the SNP most associated with AG susceptibility and the best genetic model. CONCLUSIONS: This study will explore which SNP is most associated with AG susceptibility. REGISTRATION: INPLASY202050016.
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Gastrite Atrófica , Predisposição Genética para Doença , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Algoritmos , China/epidemiologia , Gastrite Atrófica/genética , Gastrite Atrófica/patologia , Predisposição Genética para Doença/genética , Metanálise em Rede , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único/genética , Metanálise como Assunto , Revisões Sistemáticas como AssuntoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) have been inconsistently associated with gastric cancer (GC) risk. This meta-analysis aimed to synthesize relevant data on SNPs associated with GC. METHODS: Databases were searched to identify association studies of SNPs and GC published through January 2020 from the databases of PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, the Chinese Science and Technology Periodical Database, and Wan fang databases. Network meta-analysis and Thakkinstian algorithm were used to select the most appropriate genetic model, along with false positive report probability for noteworthy associations. The methodological quality of data was assessed based on the STrengthening the REporting of Genetic Association Studies statement Stata 14.0 will be used for systematic review and meta-analysis. RESULTS: This study will provide a high-quality evidence to find the SNP most associated with GC susceptibility and the best genetic model. CONCLUSIONS: This study will explore which SNP is most associated with GC susceptibility. REGISTRATION: INPLASY202040132.
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Neoplasias Gástricas/genética , Predisposição Genética para Doença , Humanos , Metanálise como Assunto , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único , Risco , Revisões Sistemáticas como AssuntoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) have been inconsistently associated with osteosarcoma (OS) risk. This meta-analysis aimed to synthesize relevant data on SNPs associated with OS. METHODS: Databases were searched to identify association studies of SNPs and OS published through January 2020 from the databases of PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, the Chinese Science and Technology Periodical Database, and Wan fang databases. Network meta-analysis and Thakkinstian algorithm were used to select the most appropriate genetic model, along with false positive report probability for noteworthy associations. The methodological quality of data was assessed based on the STrengthening the REporting of Genetic Association Studies statement Stata 14.0 will be used for systematic review and meta-analysis. RESULTS: This study will provide a high-quality evidence to find the SNP most associated with OS susceptibility and the best genetic model. CONCLUSIONS: This study will explore which SNP is most associated with OS susceptibility. REGISTRATION: INPLASY202040023.
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Neoplasias Ósseas/genética , Osteossarcoma/genética , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único , Predisposição Genética para Doença , Humanos , Metanálise em Rede , Projetos de Pesquisa , Medição de Risco , Revisões Sistemáticas como AssuntoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) have been inconsistently associated with pancreatic cancer (PC) risk. This meta-analysis aimed to synthesize relevant data on SNPs associated with PC. METHODS: Databases were searched to identify association studies of SNPs and PC published through January 2020 from the databases of PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, the Chinese Science and Technology Periodical Database (VIP) and Wanfang databases. Network meta-analysis and Thakkinstian algorithm were used to select the most appropriate genetic model, along with false positive report probability (FPRP) for noteworthy associations. The methodological quality of data was assessed based on the STREGA statement Stata 14.0 will be used for systematic review and meta-analysis. RESULTS: This study will provide a high-quality evidence to find the SNP most associated with pancreatic cancer susceptibility and the best genetic model. CONCLUSIONS: This study will explore which SNP is most associated with pancreatic cancer susceptibility.Registration: INPLASY202040023.
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Neoplasias Pancreáticas/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/genética , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único/genética , Algoritmos , Estudos de Casos e Controles , China/epidemiologia , Reações Falso-Positivas , Feminino , Predisposição Genética para Doença , Humanos , Masculino , Metanálise em Rede , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/sangue , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/mortalidade , Risco , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Metanálise como AssuntoRESUMO
This work aimed to investigate tumor-infiltrating immune cells (TIICs) and immune-associated genes in the tumor microenvironment of osteosarcoma. An algorithm known as ESTIMATE was applied for immune score assessment, and osteosarcoma cases were assigned to the high and low immune score groups. Immune-associated genes between these groups were compared, and an optimal immune-related risk model was built by Cox regression analyses. The deconvolution algorithm (referred to as CIBERSORT) was applied to assess 22 TIICs for their amounts in the osteosarcoma microenvironment. Osteosarcoma cases with high immune score had significantly improved outcome (P<0.01). The proportions of naive B cells and M0 macrophages were significantly lower in high immune score tissues compared with the low immune score group (P<0.05), while the amounts of M1 macrophages, M2 macrophages, and resting dendritic cells were significantly higher (P<0.05). Important immune-associated genes were determined to generate a prognostic model by Cox regression analysis. Interestingly, cases with high risk score had poor outcome (P<0.01). The areas under the curve (AUC) for the risk model in predicting 1, 3 and 5-year survival were 0.634, 0.781, and 0.809, respectively. Gene set enrichment analysis suggested immunosuppression in high-risk osteosarcoma patients, in association with poor outcome.