Development and Validation of Prognostic Nomograms Based on Gross Tumor Volume and Cervical Nodal Volume for Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Patients With Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy.

PURPOSE: Our study aimed to establish and validate prognostic nomograms based on gross tumor volume (GTV) and cervical nodal volume (CNV) for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients treated with two cycles of concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT). METHODS: From 2012 to 2015, 620 eligible patients who received radical treatment at the Cancer Hospital of Shantou University Medical College were recruited for a nomogram study. Variables were determined in a training set of 463 patients from 2012 to 2014 by X-tile analysis, univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard analyses, and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). Another cohort of 157 patients in 2015 was validated with bootstrap resampling. The concordance index (C-index) and calibration curves were applied to assess its predictive discriminative and accuracy ability, while decision curve analysis (DCA), X-tile analysis and Kaplan-Meier curve for clinical application. RESULTS: Independent prognostic variables for overall survival (OS) were age, GTV, CNV, cranial nerve, positive cervical lymph node laterality below the caudal border of cricoid cartilage (LNBC), and were selected for the nomogram. Optimal prognostic factors including Karnofsky performance status (KPS), age, GTV, CNV, LNBC were incorporated in the nomogram for progression-free survival (PFS). In the training set, the C-index of our nomograms for OS and PFS were 0.755 (95% CI, 0.704 to 0.807) and 0.698 (95% CI, 0.652 to 0.744). The calibration curve showed good agreement between nomogram-predicted and actual survival. DCA indicated that our nomograms were of clinical benefit. CONCLUSION: Our nomograms are capable of effective prognostic prediction for patients with NPC.

Sequential induction chemotherapy plus intensity-modulated radiotherapy versus concurrent chemoradiotherapy in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma: the three-year report of a phase II, single center, randomized, non-inferiority trial.

To compare the efficacy and safety of induction chemotherapy (IC) followed by intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) alone versus concurrent CCRT in locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LA-NPC). Patients with newly diagnosed stage III to IVB nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) were randomized to receive IC plus IMRT (IC+RT arm), or concurrent chemotherapy plus IMRT (CCRT arm), using a random number table. Both treatment arms received the same chemotherapy regimen. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS). Secondary end points included overall survival (OS), locoregional recurrence-free survival (LRRFS), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS), treatment response, and acute treatment toxicities. From June 2013 to September 2018, a total of 204 patients histologically diagnosed with LA-NPC were enrolled in the study, with 102 patients randomly assigned to each arm. After a median follow-up duration of 45 months (range 4 to 84 months), the 3-year PFS, OS, LRRFS and DMFS were 72.2%, 87.8%, 92.3%, and 82.7% in the IC+RT arm, compared with 82.6%, 92.8%, 94.7%, and 88.2% in the CCRT arm. No statistical difference for PFS, OS, LRRFS, DMFS, or treatment response was observed between the two arms (p > 0.05). The incidences of leukopenia (p = 0.008) and anemia (p = 0.015) were significantly higher in patients in the CCRT arm than those in the IC+RT arm. Compared to CCRT, IC plus IMRT alone provided similarly favorable treatment outcomes in terms of PFS, OS, LRRFS, and DMFS for patients with LA-NPC, but resulted in fewer incidences of leukopenia and anemia.