Establishment and validation of nomogram model for predicting major adverse cardiac events in patients with acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction based on glycosylated hemoglobin A1c to apolipoprotein A1 ratio: An observational study.

The objective of the current study is to assess the usefulness of HbA1cAp ratio in predicting in-hospital major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) among acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients that have undergone percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Further, the study aims to construct a ratio nomogram for prediction with this ratio. The training cohort comprised of 511 STEMI patients who underwent emergency PCI at the Huaibei Miners' General Hospital between January 2019 and May 2023. Simultaneously, 384 patients treated with the same strategy in First People's Hospital of Hefei formed the validation cohort during the study period. LASSO regression was used to screen predictors of nonzero coefficients, multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze the independent factors of in-hospital MACE in STEMI patients after PCI, and nomogram models and validation were established. The LASSO regression analysis demonstrated that systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, D-dimer, urea, and glycosylated hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c)/apolipoprotein A1 (ApoA1) were significant predictors with nonzero coefficients. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was further conducted to identify systolic blood pressure, D-dimer, urea, and HbA1c/ApoA1 as independent factors associated with in-hospital MACE after PCI in STEMI patients. Based on these findings, a nomogram model was developed and validated, with the C-index in the training set at 0.77 (95% CI: 0.723-0.817), and the C-index in the validation set at 0.788 (95% CI: 0.734-0.841), indicating excellent discrimination accuracy. The calibration curves and clinical decision curves also demonstrated the good performance of the nomogram models. In patients with STEMI who underwent PCI, it was noted that a higher HbA1c of the ApoA1 ratio is significantly associated with in-hospital MACE. In addition, a nomogram is constructed having considered the above-mentioned risk factors to provide predictive information on in-hospital MACE occurrence in these patients. In particular, this tool is of great value to the clinical practitioners in determination of patients with a high risk.

Association between insulin resistance related indicators with the prognosis of patients with colorectal cancer.

BACKGROUND: The progression of colorectal cancer (CRC) has been linked to metabolism alteration. Because insulin resistance (IR) is the basic mechanism of metabolism alteration, IR related indicators are considered to be associated with prognostic of CRC. In this study, we compared the prognostic values of common IR related indicators for CRC and selected the best one. Moreover, we explored the association between that indicator and CRC prognosis and possible interactive covariates. METHODS: Medical records of patients with CRC (n = 1765) were retrieved from the Investigation on Nutrition Status and Clinical Outcome of Common Cancers (INSCOC) study. We compared the prognostic values of IR related indicators and select the best one using concordance index (C-index) and area under curve (AUC). Using Cox proportional hazard regression models, we evaluated the association between that indicator and CRC prognosis. Interaction tests were performed to evaluate possible interactions among covariates and the IR related indicator. RESULTS: Results of C-index and AUC indicated that the ratio of low-density lipoprotein-to-high-density lipoprotein (LHR) showed the highest ability to predict the prognosis of patients with CRC. LHR independently predicted CRC prognosis [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.14; 95 % confidence interval (CI) = 1.05-1.22; P = 0.001]. The interactions between LHR, and age (<65 vs. ≥65; P for interaction = 0.001) or neutrocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (<3 vs. ≥3; P for interaction = 0.055) were also observed. CONCLUSION: LHR was found to be the best IR related indicators to predict prognosis of CRC, and it was negatively correlated with the prognosis of patients with CRC. NLR and aging might interact with LHR.

Association between C-reactive protein-albumin-lymphocyte (CALLY) index and overall survival in patients with colorectal cancer: From the investigation on nutrition status and clinical outcome of common cancers study.

Background: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is among the most common malignant cancers worldwide, and its development is influenced by inflammation, nutrition, and the immune status. Therefore, we combined C-reactive protein (CRP), albumin, and lymphocyte, which could reflect above status, to be the CRP-albumin-lymphocyte (CALLY) index, and evaluated its association with overall survival (OS) in patients with CRC. Methods: The clinicopathological and laboratory characteristics of 1260 patients with CRC were collected from the Investigation on Nutrition Status and Clinical Outcome of Common Cancers (INSCOC) study. Cox regression analysis was performed to assess the association between the CALLY index and OS. A nomogram including sex, age, the CALLY index and TNM stage was constructed. The Concordance Index (C-index) was utilized to evaluate the prognostic value of the CALLY index and classical CRC prognostic factors, such as modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS), neutrocyte to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), systemic immune inflammation index (SII), and platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), as well as to assess the prognostic value of the nomogram and TNM stage. Results: Multivariate Cox regression analyses demonstrated that the CALLY index was independently associated with OS in patients with CRC [Hazard ratio (HR) = 0.91, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.87-0.95, P<0.001]. The CALLY index showed the highest prognostic value (C-index = 0.666, 95% CI = 0.638-0.694, P<0.001), followed by mGPS, NLR, SII, and PLR. The nomogram demonstrated higher prognostic value (C-index = 0.784, 95% CI = 0.762-0.807, P<0.001) than the TNM stage. Conclusion: The CALLY index was independently associated with OS in patients with CRC and showed higher prognostic value than classical CRC prognostic factors. The nomogram could provide more accurate prognostic prediction than TNM stage.

AIWW: a new nutrition-screening tool for the oncologic population.

Malnutrition is a common comorbidity among patients with cancer. However, no nutrition-screening tool has been recognized in this population. A quick and easy screening tool for nutrition with high sensitivity and easy-to-use is needed. Based on the previous 25 nutrition-screening tools, the Delphi method was made by the members of the Chinese Society of Nutritional Oncology to choose the most useful item from each category. According to these results, we built a nutrition-screening tool named age, intake, weight, and walking (AIWW). Malnutrition was defined based on the scored patient-generated subjective global assessment (PG-SGA). Concurrent validity was evaluated using the Kendall tau coefficient and kappa consistency between the malnutrition risks of AIWW, nutritional risk screening 2002 (NRS-2002), and malnutrition screening tool (MST). Clinical benefit was calculated by the decision curve analysis (DCA), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and continuous net reclassification improvement (cNRI). A total of 11,360 patients (male, n=6,024 (53.0%) were included in the final study cohort, and 6,363 patients had malnutrition based on PG-SGA. Based on AIWW, NRS-2002, and MST, 7,545, 3,469, and 1,840 patients were at risk of malnutrition, respectively. The sensitivities of AIWW, NRS-2002, and MST risks were 0.910, 0.531, and 0.285, and the specificities were 0.768, 0.946, and 0.975. The Kendall tau coefficients of AIWW, NRS-2002, and MST risks were 0.588, 0.501, and 0.326, respectively. The area under the curve of AIWW, NRS-2002, and MST risks were 0.785, 0.739, and 0.630, respectively. The IDI, cNRI, and DCA showed that AIWW is non-inferior to NRS-2002 (IDI: 0.002 (-0.009, 0.013), cNRI: -0.015 (-0.049, 0.020)). AIWW scores can also predict the survival of patients with cancer. The missed diagnosis rates of AIWW, NRS-2002, and MST were 0.09%, 49.0%, and 73.2%, respectively. AIWW showed a better nutrition-screening effect than NRS-2002 and MST for patients with cancer and could be recommended as an alternative nutrition-screening tool for this population.

The prognostic value of the combination of body composition and systemic inflammation in patients with cancer cachexia.

BACKGROUND: Changes in body composition and systemic inflammation are important characteristics of cancer cachexia. This multi-centre retrospective study aimed to explore the prognostic value of the combination of body composition and systemic inflammation in patients with cancer cachexia. METHODS: The modified advanced lung cancer inflammation index (mALI), which combines body composition and systemic inflammation, was defined as appendicular skeletal muscle index (ASMI) × serum albumin/neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio. The ASMI was estimated according to a previously validated anthropometric equation. Restricted cubic splines were used to evaluate the relationship between mALI and all-cause mortality in patients with cancer cachexia. Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazard regression analysis were used to evaluate the prognostic value of mALI in cancer cachexia. A receiver operator characteristic curve was used to compare the effectiveness of mALI and nutritional inflammatory indicators in predicting all-cause mortality in patients with cancer cachexia. RESULTS: A total of 2438 patients with cancer cachexia were enrolled, including 1431 males and 1007 females. The sex-specific optimal cut-off values of mALI for males and females were 7.12 and 6.52, respectively. There was a non-linear relationship between mALI and all-cause mortality in patients with cancer cachexia. Low mALI was significantly associated with poor nutritional status, high tumour burden, and high inflammation. Patients with low mALI had significantly lower overall survival (OS) than those with high mALI (39.5% vs. 65.5%, P < 0.001). In the male population, OS was significantly lower in the low mALI group than in the high group (34.3% vs. 59.2%, P < 0.001). Similar results were also observed in the female population (46.3% vs. 75.0%, P < 0.001). mALI was an independent prognostic factor for patients with cancer cachexia (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.974, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.959-0.990, P = 0.001). For every standard deviation [SD] increase in mALI, the risk of poor prognosis for patients with cancer cachexia was reduced by 2.9% (HR = 0.971, 95%CI = 0.943-0.964, P < 0.001) in males and 8.9% (HR = 0.911, 95%CI = 0.893-0.930, P < 0.001) in females. mALI is an effective complement to the traditional Tumour, Lymph Nodes, Metastasis (TNM) staging system for prognosis evaluation and a promising nutritional inflammatory indicator with a better prognostic effect than the most commonly used clinical nutritional inflammatory indicators. CONCLUSIONS: Low mALI is associated with poor survival in both male and female patients with cancer cachexia and is a practical and valuable prognostic assessment tool.

Comprehensive prognostic effects of systemic inflammation and Insulin resistance in women with breast cancer with different BMI: a prospective multicenter cohort.

To investigate the prognostic value of systemic inflammation and insulin resistance in women with breast cancer with different body mass index (BMI). This multicenter, prospective study included 514 women with breast cancer. Multivariate survival analysis showed that patients with high C-reactive protein (CRP), high CRP to albumin ratio (CAR), high lymphocyte to CRP ratio (LCR), high low-density lipoprotein cholesterol to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (LHR), and high triglyceride to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (TG/HDL-c) were significantly associated with worse prognosis. The mortality rate of patients with both high CAR and high LHR or both low LCR and high LHR were 3.91-fold or 3.89-fold higher than patients with both low CAR and low LHR or both high LCR and low LHR, respectively. Furthermore, the combination of LCR and LHR significantly predicted survival in patients within the high BMI group. The CRP, CAR, LCR, LHR, and TG/HDL-c were associated with poor survival in women with breast cancer. The combination of CAR and LHR or LCR and LHR could better predict the prognostic outcomes of women with breast cancer, while the combination of LCR and LHR could better predict the prognosis of those patients with overweight or obese patients.

A novel nutrition-related nomogram for the survival prediction of colorectal cancer-results from a multicenter study.

BACKGROUND: Precisely predicting the short- and long-term survival of patients with cancer is important. The tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage can accurately predict the long-term, but not short-term, survival of cancer. Nutritional status can affect the individual status and short-term outcomes of patients with cancer. Our hypothesis was that incorporating TNM stage and nutrition-related factors into one nomogram improves the survival prediction for patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). METHOD: This multicenter prospective primary cohort included 1373 patients with CRC, and the internal validation cohort enrolled 409 patients with CRC. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression analyses were used to select prognostic indicators and develop a nomogram. The concordance (C)-index, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to assess the prognostic discriminative ability of the nomogram, TNM stage, Patient-Generated Subjective Global Assessment (PGSGA), and TNM stage + PGSGA models. The overall survival (OS) curve of risk group stratification was calculated based on the nomogram risk score. RESULTS: TNM stage, radical resection, reduced food intake, activities and function declined, and albumin were selected to develop the nomogram. The C-index and calibration plots of the nomogram showed good discrimination and consistency for CRC. Additionally, the ROC curves and DCA of the nomogram showed better survival prediction abilities in CRC than the other models. The stratification curves of the different risk groups of the different TNM categories were significantly different. CONCLUSION: The novel nomogram showed good short- and long-term outcomes of OS in patients with CRC. This model provides a personalized and convenient prognostic prediction tool for clinical applications.

Nutrition-inflammation marker enhances prognostic value to ECOG performance status in overweight or obese patients with cancer.

BACKGROUND: Overweight or obese cancer patients are more likely to develop a proinflammatory status. The aim of this study was to investigate whether the nutrition-inflammation marker can provide additional prognostic information on top of well-established Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG-PS) in overweight or obese patients with cancer. METHODS: A total of 1667 overweight or obese cancer patients were enrolled in this study. We assessed the prediction accuracy of 10 nutrition-inflammation markers by time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and elucidated their association with overall survival by the Kaplan-Meier method and a Cox model. RESULTS: In this analysis, the majority of patients had a good performance status (ECOG-PS score ≤1; 88.3%). Both the area under ROC curves and the C-index of the lymphocyte-C-reactive protein ratio (LCR) demonstrated that LCR was the most significant nutrition-inflammation marker correlated with survival. In patients with good ECOG-PS, a low LCR was significantly associated with poorer prognosisand enhanced the predictive ability of one-year mortality. For specific tumor types, a low LCR was an independent prognostic factor for lung cancer, upper gastrointestinal cancer, and colorectal cancer, and it tended to be a significant predictor for breast cancer. In addition, those patients with a combined low LCR and poorer ECOG-PS (ECOG-PS score >1) showed the worst prognosis. CONCLUSION: The LCR is more strongly associated with overall survival than other nutrition-inflammation markers, and it is able to further detect patients with worse prognosis on top of ECOG-PS in overweight or obese patients with cancer.

Systemic inflammation with sarcopenia predicts survival in patients with gastric cancer.

OBJECTIVE: The levels of platelet-related inflammation indicators and sarcopenia have been reported to affect the survival of patients with cancer. To evaluate the prognostic influence of platelet count (PLT), platelet lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and systemic immune inflammation index (SII), and SII combined with sarcopenia on the survival of patients with gastric cancer (GC). METHODS: A total of 1133 patients with GC (812 male and 321 female, average age: 59.43 years) were evaluated. Receiver-operating characteristic curves were used to determine the best cutoff values of PLT, PLR, and SII, and univariate and multivariate Cox risk regression models were used to evaluate whether SII is an independent predictor of overall survival (OS). The prognostic SS (SII-sarcopenia) was established based on SII and sarcopenia. Finally, a comprehensive analysis of the prognostic SS was performed. RESULTS: SII had the strongest prognostic effect. The SII and OS of patients with GC were in an inverted U-shape (adjusted HR = 1.07; 95% CI 0.97-1.19; adjusted P = 0.179). In patients with SII > 1800, SII was negatively correlated with OS (adjusted HR = 0.57; 95% CI 0.29-1.12; adjusted P = 0.102), however, there is no statistical difference. Interestingly, a high SS was associated with a poorer prognosis. The higher the SS score was, the worse the OS (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: SII is an independent prognostic indicator of GC, and high SII is related to poor prognosis. A higher SS score had worse survival. Thus, the prognostic SS is a reliable predictor of OS in patients with GC.

Association of systemic inflammation and low performance status with reduced survival outcome in older adults with cancer.

BACKGROUND: Inflammation is involved in the progression and prognosis of cancer because it can affect the physical status and prognosis of patients. Among numerous systemic inflammatory markers, the optimal prognostic indicator of older adults with cancer is still unclear. We aimed to identify an ideal inflammatory immune marker in older adults with cancer and assess the survival outcome combined with eastern cooperative oncology group performance status (ECOG PS). METHODS: We included 1767 older adults with cancer (66.2% males, 70.97 ± 5.49 years old) from a prospective cohort study. Fifteen systemic inflammatory biomarkers were compared to identify the optimal biomarker using prognostic area under the curve (AUC) and concordance index (C-index) analysis. The prognostic value of the clinical parameters was elucidated by performing uni- and multivariate analyses. RESULTS: The AUC, C-index, and the subgroup survival analysis of ECOG PS groups showed that the lymphocyte-C reactive protein ratio (LCR) and C-reactive protein/albumin ratio (CAR) were more accurate in reflecting patient prognosis than the other 13 inflammatory markers. Compared with patients in the high LCR group, those in the low LCR group had worse survival (hazard ratio (HR) 1.64, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) 1.42-1.91, p < 0.001). Compared with patients in the low CAR group, those in the high CAR group had worse survival (HR 1.65, 95% CI 1.43-1.91, p < 0.001). Older adults with cancer with an ECOG PS score of 2 or 3-4 and a high inflammation (low LCR, 13.3 months and 9.2 months, respectively; or high CAR, 9.6 months and 9.6 months, respectively) had shorter median survival time compared to those with an ECOG PS score of 0/1 and a low inflammation (high LCR, 77.4 months; or low CAR, 77.0 months). CONCLUSION: LCR and CAR might be the better predictive immune inflammatory factors for OS, which improved the survival prediction of different ECOG PS groups in older adults with cancer. High ECOG PS (≥2) and high inflammation increased the risk of death in older adults with cancer.

Novel Diagnostic and Prognostic Tools for Lung Cancer Cachexia: Based on Nutritional and Inflammatory Status.

Background: Cachexia is one of the most common complications affecting lung cancer patients that seriously affects their quality-of-life and survival time. This study aimed to analyze the predictors and prognostic factors of lung cancer cachexia as well as to develop a convenient and accurate clinical prediction tool for oncologists. Methods: In this multicenter cohort study, 4022 patients with lung cancer were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were randomly categorized into training and verification sets (7:3 ratio). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to determine the risk factors of cachexia in patients with lung cancer. Cox regression analysis was applied to determine independent prognostic factors in the patients with lung cancer cachexia. Meanwhile, two nomograms were established and evaluated by time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results: Stage, serum albumin, ALI, anemia, and surgery were independent risk factors for cachexia in patients with lung cancer. Patients with lung cancer cachexia have a shorter survival time. Sex, stage, serum albumin, ALI, KPS score, and surgery served as independent prognostic factors for patients with lung cancer cachexia. The area under the curves (AUCs) of diagnostic nomogram in the training and validation sets were 0.702 and 0.688, respectively, the AUCs of prognostic nomogram in the training set for 1-, 3-, and 5-year were 0.70, 0.72, and 0.75, respectively, while in the validation set the AUCs were 0.71, 0.75, and 0.79, respectively. The calibration curves and DCA of the two nomograms were consistent and the clinical benefit rate was high. Conclusion: Cachexia brings an additional economic burden and worsens the prognosis of lung cancer patients. The two nomograms can accurately screen and predict the probability of occurrence of cachexia in lung cancer and the prognosis of patients with lung cancer cachexia, and guide clinical work.

Association of serum total bilirubin with survival outcomes in patients with cancer cachexia: A prospective, multicenter cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: Cancer cachexia is a systemic paraneoplastic phenomenon involving multiple organs, including the liver. Total bilirubin (TBIL) is an easily obtained blood biomarker that reflects liver homeostasis. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of serum TBIL in patients with cancer cachexia. METHODS: This study included 2282 patients from a multicenter research database who were diagnosed with cancer cachexia between June 2012 and December 2019. The hazard ratio (HR) for all-cause mortality was analyzed using Cox proportional hazards regression models. The association of serum TBIL with all-cause mortality was modeled with restricted cubic splines. The optimal cutoff value for TBIL was calculated with maximally selected rank statistics. RESULTS: Of the participants, there were 1327 (58.2%) men and 955 (41.8%) women. The mean patient age was 60.4 ± 1.5 y. The 12-mo all-cause mortality rate for patients with cancer cachexia was 29.5% (95% confidence interval [CI], 27.6%-31.3%), resulting in a rate of 209.58 events per 1000 patient-years. An inverted L-shaped association between TBIL and all-cause mortality was observed. The cutoff point for TBIL for the prediction of the time to mortality was <21.7 µmol/L. A high TBIL level but not the direct bilirubin or indirect bilirubin level was identified as an independent prognostic factor (HR, 1.60; 95% CI, 1.32-1.93). For patients with digestive system tumors, a high serum TBIL level (≥21.7 µmol/L) was significantly associated with mortality. CONCLUSION: High TBIL levels are associated with increased all-cause mortality in patients and might be a promising prognostic indicator in patients with cancer cachexia.

Prognostic Roles of Glucose to Lymphocyte Ratio and Modified Glasgow Prognosis Score in Patients With Non-small Cell Lung Cancer.

Background: Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is among the most prevalent malignancies worldwide. Previous studies have shown that the status of inflammation, nutrition and immune are closely related to overall survival (OS) of patients with NSCLC, but little is known about their interactive and combined roles. Hence, we chose glucose to lymphocyte ratio (GLR) and modified Glasgow Prognosis Score (mGPS) as prognostic factors and assessed the prognostic values of them for patients with NSCLC. Methods: Baseline clinicopathologic and laboratory characteristics of 862 patients with NSCLC were obtained from a multicenter prospective cohort. The Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to determine prognostic values of the clinical factors. A nomogram was also constructed integrating the clinical factors with clinical significance or independent prognostic values. Concordance index (C-index) was utilized to evaluate the prediction accuracy of the TNM stage and the nomogram. Results: Multivariate analyses demonstrated that GLR [Hazard ratio (HR) = 1.029, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.004-1.056, P = 0.023] and mGPS (score of 1: HR = 1.404, 95% CI = 1.143-1.726, P = 0.001; score of 2: HR = 1.515, 95% CI = 1.159-1.980, P = 0.002) were independent prognostic factors for patients with NSCLC. The C-indexes of the TNM stage and the nomogram were 0.642 (95% CI = 0.620-0.663) and 0.694 (95% CI = 0.671-0.717), respectively. Conclusion: GLR and mGPS were independent prognostic factors for patients with NSCLC. Moreover, our constructed nomogram might be superior in predicting prognosis of patients with NSCLC compared with the TNM stage.

Extracellular water to total body water ratio predicts survival in cancer patients with sarcopenia: a multi-center cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Body water measured by bioelectrical impedance analysis (BIA) predicts the outcomes of many diseases. This study aimed to evaluate the relationship between body water and the prognosis of cancer patients with sarcopenia. METHODS: This study employed 287 cancer patients with sarcopenia underwent BIA from a prospective multicenter study of patients with cancer in China from 2013 to 2020. The primary outcome of interest was all-cause mortality presented as the longest time to follow-up available. Eight indicators of body water [total body water, extracellular water, intracellular water, free fat mass, active cell mass, extracellular water/intracellular water, extracellular water/total body water (ECW/TBW), and intracellular water/total body water] were included in the research. Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) = neutrophil (× 109)/lymphocyte (× 109). The discriminatory ability and prediction accuracy of each factor were assessed using the C-index. The hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using the Cox proportional hazard model. RESULTS: The median age was 65 years old, and 138 (48%) patients were men. During a mean follow-up of 46 months, 140 deaths were recorded, resulting in a rate of 204.6 events per 1000 patient-years. ECW/TBW showed the best predictive accuracy (C-index = 0.619) compared to the other indicators [p = 0.004, adjusted HR (95% CI) 1.70 (1.18,2.44)]. In the middle tertile (0.385-0.405), ECW/TBW had a strong independent negative association with patient survival [adjusted HR (95% CI) 2.88 (1.39-5.97), p = 0.004]. Patients who had a high ECW/TBW (ECW/TBW ≥ 0.395) combined with a high NLR had 3.84-fold risk of mortality (p < 0.001, 95% CI 1.99,7.38). CONCLUSIONS: ECW/TBW was better than other indicators in predicting survival of cancer patients with sarcopenia. High ECW/TBW combined with high NLR would further increase the risk of mortality. TRIAL REGISTRATION: The Investigation on Nutrition Status and Clinical Outcome of Common Cancers (INSCOC) (Chinese Clinical Trial Registry: ChiCTR1800020329, URL of registration: http://www.chictr.org.cn/showprojen.aspx?proj=31813 ).

Which anthropometric measurement is better for predicting survival of patients with cancer cachexia?

No relevant studies have yet been conducted to explore which measurement can best predict the survival time of patients with cancer cachexia. This study aimed to identify an anthropometric measurement that could predict the 1-year survival of patients with cancer cachexia. We conducted a nested case-control study using data from a multicentre clinical investigation of cancer from 2013 to 2020. Cachexia was defined using the Fearon criteria. A total of 262 patients who survived less than 1 year and 262 patients who survived more than 1 year were included in this study. Six candidate variables were selected based on clinical experience and previous studies. Five variables, BMI, mid-arm circumference, mid-arm muscle circumference, calf circumference and triceps skin fold (TSF), were selected for inclusion in the multivariable model. In the conditional logistic regression analysis, TSF (P = 0·014) was identified as a significant independent protective factor. A similar result was observed in all patients with cancer cachexia (n 3084). In addition, a significantly stronger positive association between TSF and the 1-year survival of patients with cancer cachexia was observed in participants aged > 65 years (OR: 0·94; 95 % CI 0·89, 0·99) than in those aged ≤ 65 years (OR: 0·96; 95 % CI 0·93, 0·99; Pinteraction = 0·013) and in participants with no chronic disease (OR: 0·92; 95 % CI 0·87, 0·97) than in those with chronic disease (OR: 0·97; 95 % CI 0·94, 1·00; Pinteraction = 0·049). According to this study, TSF might be a good anthropometric measurement for predicting 1-year survival in patients with cancer cachexia.

The prognostic effect of hemoglobin on patients with cancer cachexia: a multicenter retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To clarify the influence of hemoglobin on cancer cachexia and to determine whether hemoglobin affects the prognosis or quality of life of patients with cancer cachexia and whether these effects are caused by an interaction between hemoglobin and other factors. MATERIAL AND METHODS: This study was a multicenter cohort of 2715 patients with cancer cachexia diagnosed from June 2012 to December 2019. The primary outcomes and measures were overall survival (OS) time and all-cause mortality. The association between hemoglobin and all-cause mortality was evaluated using hazard ratios (HRs) and the restricted cubic spline model with a two-sided p-value. Optimal stratification was used to determine the threshold value. We also evaluated the cross-classification of hemoglobin and each variable with survival. RESULTS: Among the 2715 participants diagnosed with cancer cachexia, 1592 (58.6%) were male, and the mean (SD) age was 58.8 (11.7) years. The optimal cutoff point for hemoglobin as a predictor of cancer cachexia mortality was 140 g/L for males and 101 g/L for females in our research. The decrease in hemoglobin was positively correlated with all-cause mortality. These associations were consistent across cancer subtypes. In the multivariable analysis, after adjusting for sex, age, TNM stage, tumor type, radiotherapy, chemotherapy, Karnofsky performance status score, and other factors, patients diagnosed with cancer cachexia who had low hemoglobin levels were more likely to have a worse prognosis (HR 2.40; 95% CI, 1.12-1.51). CONCLUSION: Our results suggested that the proposed hemoglobin cutoff point would be valuable for prognostic prediction in patients with cancer cachexia, especially for long-term prognosis.

Association of Systemic Inflammation and Overall Survival in Elderly Patients with Cancer Cachexia - Results from a Multicenter Study.

BACKGROUND: Systemic inflammation and cachexia are associated with adverse clinical outcomes in elderly patients with cancer. The survival outcomes of elderly patients with cancer cachexia (EPCC) with high inflammation and a high risk of mortality are unknown. This study aimed to investigate the impact of high inflammation on the prognosis of EPCC patients with high mortality. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This multicenter cohort study included 746 EPCC (age >65 years) with a mean age of 72.00 ± 5.24 years, of whom 489 (65.5%) were male. The cut-off value for the inflammation index was obtained using the optimal survival curve. The different inflammatory indicators were assessed using the concordance index (C-index), decision curve analysis (DCA), and prognostic receiver operating characteristic (ROC). The high mortality risk group of EPCC was defined by the 2011 Fearon Cancer Diagnostic Consensus. EPCC were divided into the high-risk group, which satisfies three diagnostic criteria, and a low-risk group, which satisfies only one or two diagnostic criteria. RESULTS: The C-index, DCA, and prognostic ROC indicated the superiority of advanced lung cancer inflammation index (ALI) compared with other indicators, including neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), prognostic nutritional index (PNI), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), and platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR). Whether ALI was used as a continuous or a categorical variable, ALI had a better prognostic value in EPCC compared with other inflammatory indicators. In particular, patients with low ALI (<25.03) had a worse overall survival (OS) than patients with high ALI (≥25.03) (P < 0.001, HR [95% CI] = 2.092 [1.590-2.751]). The combination effect analysis showed that the risk of mortality of the patients in the low-ALI and high-risk groups was 3.095-fold higher than that of patients in the high-ALI and low-risk groups. CONCLUSION: The prognostic and discriminative value of the inflammatory indicator ALI was better than that of NLR, PNI, SII, and PLR in EPCC. The high-risk group of EPCC with a low ALI would increase the death risk of OS.

Association Between Serum Creatinine Concentrations and Overall Survival in Patients With Colorectal Cancer: A Multi-Center Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most common malignancies throughout the world, with high rates of morbidity and mortality. Previous studies reported that serum creatinine (Scr) concentrations were associated with overall survival (OS) in cancer patients, but little is known about the association between Scr and OS in patients with CRC. This study investigated the relationship between Scr concentrations and OS in patients with CRC and examined possible effect modifiers. METHODS: A retrospective cohort, including 1,733 patients with CRC, was established from a multi-center clinical study. Patients were divided into low (<71 µmol/L in men or <59 µmol/L in women), normal (71-104 µmol/L in men or 59-85 µmol/L in women) and high (>104 µmol/L in men or >85 µmol/L in women) Scr groups. Cox regression analysis was used to examine association between Scr concentrations and OS. Stratified (subgroup) analyses were used to examine men and women separately. Interaction tests were used to evaluate associations between each variable and OS, as well as possible interactions of these variables with Scr levels. Cross-classified analyses were used only in men. RESULTS: Patients with low [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.43, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.19-1.72; P < 0.001] or high (HR = 1.89, 95% CI = 1.36-2.63; P < 0.001) Scr level had a significantly lower OS than patients with normal Scr levels. Significant interactions with Scr concentrations were observed for body mass index (P for interaction = 0.019) in men. CONCLUSION: Low or high Scr concentration is associated with significantly lower OS in patients with CRC. Future study is warranted to investigate the underlying mechanism.

One-Year Mortality in Patients with Cancer Cachexia: Association with Albumin and Total Protein.

PURPOSE: Serum albumin can indicate the onset of cancer cachexia, provide information about a patient's nutritional status, and serve as a biomarker for the prognosis of patients with cancer cachexia. However, the relationship between serum albumin levels and mortality in patients with cancer cachexia remains unclear. We aimed to examine the association of albumin and total protein with 1-year mortality in patients with cancer cachexia. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We conducted a nested case-control study using data from a multicenter cancer clinical survey from 2013 to 2018. In total, 266 patients with cancer cachexia who survived for <1 year and 266 patients who survived for ≥1 year were included in this study. The participants were matched by age, sex, tumor type, tumor stage, and hospital site. The crude and adjusted risks of 1-year survival were estimated using odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) using logistic regression, with or without adjustment for covariates. RESULTS: Logistic regression analysis revealed a significantly negative linear association between albumin level and 1-year mortality in patients with cancer cachexia (p < 0.001). An L-shaped relationship existed between total protein and 1-year mortality, with a turning point at 70.4 g/L. When albumin was divided into quartiles, Q3 (OR: 0.40; 95% CI: 0.24, 0.68; p < 0.001) and Q4 (OR: 0.33; 95% CI: 0.19, 0.55; p < 0.001) were associated with higher 1-year survival than Q1 among patients with cancer cachexia. When total protein was divided into quartiles, Q2 (OR: 0.38; 95% CI: 0.23, 0.64; p < 0.001), Q3 (OR: 0.57; 95% CI: 0.33, 0.96; p = 0.035), and Q4 (OR: 0.43; 95% CI: 0.25, 0.72; p = 0.002) were associated with higher 1-year survival than Q1 among patients with cancer cachexia. CONCLUSION: Serum albumin and total protein may predict 1-year survival. Future clinical studies should lead to a more comprehensive understanding of the effects of serum protein levels in patients with cancer cachexia.

Geriatric Nutrition Risk Index: Prognostic factor related to inflammation in elderly patients with cancer cachexia.

BACKGROUND: Systemic inflammation and cachexia are associated with adverse clinical outcomes in elderly patients with cancer. The Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index (GNRI) is a simple and useful tool to assess these conditions, but its predictive ability for elderly patients with cancer cachexia (EPCC) is unknown. METHODS: This multicentre cohort study included 746 EPCC with an average age of 72.00 ± 5.24 years, of whom 489 (65.5%) were male. The patients were divided into two groups (high GNRI group ≥91.959 vs. low GNRI group <91.959) according to the optimal cut-off value of the ROC curve. The calibration curves were performed to analyse the prognostic, predictive ability of GNRI. Comprehensive survival analyses were utilized to explore the relationship between GNRI and the overall survival (OS) of EPCC. Interaction analysis was used to investigate the comprehensive effects of low GNRI and subgroup parameters on the OS of EPCC. RESULTS: In this study, a total of 2560 patients were diagnosed with cancer cachexia, including 746 cases of EPCC. During the 3.6 year median follow-up, we observed 403 deaths. The overall mortality rate for EPCC at 12 months was 34.3% (95% CI: 62.3% to 69.2%), and resulting in rate of 278 events per 1000 patient-years. The GNRI score of EPCC was significantly lower than those of young patients with cancer cachexia (P < 0.001). The 1, 3, and 5 year calibration curves showed that the GNRI score had good survival prediction in the OS of EPCC. The GNRI could predict the OS of EPCC, whether as a continuous variable or a categorical variable. Particularly, we also found that low GNRI score (<91.959) of EPCC had a worse prognosis than those with a high GNRI score (≥91.959, P = 0.001, HR = 1.728, 95% CI: 1.244-2.401). Consistent results were observed in the tumour subgroups of gastric cancer and colorectal cancer. Notably, similar results were observed in the sensitivity analysis. In the subgroup analysis, the low GNRI has a combined effect with age (<70 years) on poor OS of EPCC. The results of the prognostic risk model found that the lower the GNRI score, the greater the prognostic risk score, and the greater the risk of death in EPCC. CONCLUSIONS: For the first time, this study found that the GNRI score can serve as an independent prognostic factor for the OS of EPCC.