Elevated serum B-cell activator factor levels predict rapid progressive interstitial lung disease in anti-melanoma differentiation associated protein 5 antibody positive dermatomyositis.

BACKGROUND: Rapid progressive interstitial lung disease (RP-ILD) is the leading cause of anti-melanoma differentiation associated protein 5 antibody positive dermatomyositis (anti-MDA5+DM) related death. Elevated serum B-cell activating factor (BAFF) levels have been implicated in connective tissue diseases associated ILD. Here, we evaluate whether BAFF could be a prognostic biomarker for predicting RP-ILD in anti-MDA5+DM patients. METHODS: Serums were collected from 39 patients with anti-MDA5+DM (20 with RP-ILD and 19 with non-RP-ILD), 20 antisynthase syndrome (ASS) patients and 20 healthy controls (HC). BAFF concentration was measured by an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. RESULTS: Serum BAFF level was higher in anti-MDA5+DM patients than those in ASS patients and HC (3882.32 ± 1880.09 vs. 2540.89 ± 1403.04 and 2486.28 ± 767.97 pg/mL, p = 0.0056 and 0.0038, respectively). Within anti-MDA5+DM groups, RP-ILD patients exhibited higher BAFF concentration than non-RP-ILD group (4549.78 ± 1839.97 vs. 3297.28 ± 1794.69 pg/mL, p = 0.04). The BAFF concentration was positively correlated with levels of C-reactive protein (CRP), dehydrogenase (LDH) and cytokeratin (CK) in anti-MDA5+DM patients (r = 0.350, p = 0.035; r = 0.393, p = 0.016; r = 0.518, p = 0.001; respectively). The best cut-off value of BAFF concentration was 2971.5 pg/mL by ROC curve (AUC area = 0.690, p = 0.045) and BAFF > 2971.5 pg/mL was an independent risk factor for RP-ILD using multivariate analysis (OR = 9.389, 95% CI = 1.609-54.769; p = 0.013). CONCLUSIONS: Serum BAFF could be a useful prognostic biomarker for early detecting RP-ILD risk in anti-MDA5+DM patients.

Rapidly progressive interstitial lung disease risk prediction in anti-MDA5 positive dermatomyositis: the CROSS model.

Background: The prognosis of anti-melanoma differentiation-associated gene 5 positive dermatomyositis (anti-MDA5+DM) is poor and heterogeneous. Rapidly progressive interstitial lung disease (RP-ILD) is these patients' leading cause of death. We sought to develop prediction models for RP-ILD risk in anti-MDA5+DM patients. Methods: Patients with anti-MDA5+DM were enrolled in two cohorts: 170 patients from the southern region of Jiangsu province (discovery cohort) and 85 patients from the northern region of Jiangsu province (validation cohort). Cox proportional hazards models were used to identify risk factors of RP-ILD. RP-ILD risk prediction models were developed and validated by testing every independent prognostic risk factor derived from the Cox model. Results: There are no significant differences in baseline clinical parameters and prognosis between discovery and validation cohorts. Among all 255 anti-MDA5+DM patients, with a median follow-up of 12 months, the incidence of RP-ILD was 36.86%. Using the discovery cohort, four variables were included in the final risk prediction model for RP-ILD: C-reactive protein (CRP) levels, anti-Ro52 antibody positivity, short disease duration, and male sex. A point scoring system was used to classify anti-MDA5+DM patients into moderate, high, and very high risk of RP-ILD. After one-year follow-up, the incidence of RP-ILD in the very high risk group was 71.3% and 85.71%, significantly higher than those in the high-risk group (35.19%, 41.69%) and moderate-risk group (9.54%, 6.67%) in both cohorts. Conclusions: The CROSS model is an easy-to-use prediction classification system for RP-ILD risk in anti-MDA5+DM patients. It has great application prospect in disease management.

Telitacicept in patients with active systemic lupus erythematosus: results of a phase 2b, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial.

OBJECTIVES: This phase 2b, randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial evaluated the efficacy and safety of telitacicept, a novel fusion protein that neutralises signals of B lymphocyte stimulator and a proliferation-inducing ligand, in active systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). METHODS: Adult patients with active SLE (n=249) were recruited from 29 hospitals in China and randomised 1:1:1:1 to receive subcutaneous telitacicept at 80 mg (n=62), 160 mg (n=63), 240 mg (n=62) or placebo (n=62) once weekly in addition to standard therapy. The primary endpoint was the proportion of patients achieving an SLE Responder Index 4 (SRI-4) response at week 48. Missing data were imputed using the last observation carried forward method. RESULTS: At week 48, the proportion of patients achieving an SRI-4 response was 75.8% in the 240 mg telitacicept group, 68.3% in the 160 mg group, 71.0% in the 80 mg group and 33.9% in the placebo group (all p<0.001). Significant treatment responses were observed in secondary endpoints, including a ≥4-point reduction on the Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index, a lack of Physician's Global Assessment score worsening and a glucocorticoid dose reduction in the 240 mg group. Telitacicept was well tolerated, and the incidence of adverse events and serious adverse events was similar between the telitacicept and placebo groups. CONCLUSIONS: This phase 2b clinical trial met the primary endpoint. All telitacicept groups showed a significantly higher proportion of patients achieving an SRI-4 response than the placebo group at week 48, and all doses were well tolerated. These results support further investigations of telitacicept in clinical trials involving more diverse populations and larger sample sizes. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ClinicalTrials.gov Registry (NCT02885610).

Development and external validation of a prediction model for venous thromboembolism in systemic lupus erythematosus.

OBJECTIVE: Patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) have an increased risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). We conducted this study to develop a risk score algorithm for VTE in patients with SLE that provides individualised risk estimates. METHODS: We developed a clinical prediction model of VTE in 4502 patients with SLE based on the Chinese SLE Treatment and Research group cohort (CSTAR) from January 2009 to January 2020 and externally validated in 3780 patients with SLE in CSTAR from January 2020 to January 2022. Baseline data were obtained and VTE events were recorded during the follow-up. The prediction model was developed to predict VTE risk within 6 months in patients with SLE, using multivariate logistic regression and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator. SLE-VTE score and nomogram were established according to the model. RESULTS: A total of 4502 patients included in the development cohort, 135 had VTE events. The final prediction model (SLE-VTE score) included 11 variables: gender, age, body mass index, hyperlipidaemia, hypoalbuminaemia, C reactive protein, anti-ß2GPI antibodies, lupus anticoagulant, renal involvement, nervous system involvement and hydroxychloroquine, with area under the curve of 0.947 and 0.808 in the development (n=4502) and external validation cohort (n=3780), respectively. According to the net benefit and predicted probability thresholds, we recommend annual screening of VTE in high risk (≥1.03%) patients with SLE. CONCLUSION: Various factors are related to the occurrence of VTE in patients with SLE. The proposed SLE-VTE risk score can accurately predict the risk of VTE and help identify patients with SLE with a high risk of VTE who may benefit from thromboprophylaxis.

A prognostic model for systemic lupus erythematosus-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension: CSTAR-PAH cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Pulmonary arterial hypertension is a major cause of death in systemic lupus erythematosus, but there are no tools specialized for predicting survival in systemic lupus erythematosus-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension. RESEARCH QUESTION: To develop a practical model for predicting long-term prognosis in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension. METHODS: A prognostic model was developed from a multicenter, longitudinal national cohort of consecutively evaluated patients with systemic lupus erythematosus-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension. The study was conducted between November 2006 and February 2020. All-cause death was defined as the endpoint. Cox regression and least absolute shrinkage and selection operators were used to fit the model. Internal validation of the model was assessed by discrimination and calibration using bootstrapping. RESULTS: Of 310 patients included in the study, 81 (26.1%) died within a median follow-up of 5.94 years (interquartile range 4.67-7.46). The final prognostic model included eight variables: modified World Health Organization functional class, 6-min walking distance, pulmonary vascular resistance, estimated glomerular filtration rate, thrombocytopenia, mild interstitial lung disease, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide/brain natriuretic peptide level, and direct bilirubin level. A 5-year death probability predictive algorithm was established and validated using the C-index (0.77) and a satisfactory calibration curve. Risk stratification was performed based on the predicted probability to improve clinical decision-making. CONCLUSIONS: This new risk stratification model for systemic lupus erythematosus-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension may provide individualized prognostic probability using readily obtained clinical risk factors. External validation is required to demonstrate the accuracy of this model's predictions in diverse patient populations.

Latent Tuberculosis Infection and Associated Factors in Patients with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus: a Multicenter, Cross-Sectional Study.

The objectives of this study were to screen for latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) among patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) using the T-SPOT.TB assay and to identify factors affecting the assay results. SLE patients were enrolled from 13 tertiary hospitals in eastern, central, and western China from September 2014 to March 2016 and were screened using the T-SPOT.TB assay to detect LTBI. Basic information about the subjects was collected, including gender, age, body mass index (BMI), course of disease, evidence of previous tuberculosis, Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index 2000 (SLEDAI-2K) score, and the use of glucocorticoids and immunosuppressants. Univariate analysis and multivariable logistic regression were performed to identify factors affecting the results of the T-SPOT.TB assay. In all, 2,229 SLE patients were screened using the T-SPOT.TB assay, of whom 334 patients tested positive, yielding a positivity rate of 15% (95% confidence interval [CI], 13.5% to 16.5%). The positivity rate was higher in male than female patients and had an increasing trend with age. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that patients over 40 (odds ratio [OR], 1.65; 95% CI, 1.29 to 2.10) and with evidence of previous tuberculosis (OR, 4.43; 95% CI, 2.81 to 6.99) were more likely to have positive T-SPOT.TB results, while patients with a SLEDAI-2K score of ≥10 (OR, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.43 to 0.88), a glucocorticoid dose of ≥60 mg/d (OR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.39 to 0.98), leflunomide (LEF) treatment (OR, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.29 to 0.88), or tacrolimus (FK506) treatment (OR, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.16 to 1.00) were more likely to have negative T-SPOT.TB results. The frequencies of CFP-10-specific gamma interferon (IFN-γ)-secreting T cells were significantly lower in SLE patients with severe disease activity or high-dose glucocorticoids (P < 0.05). The positivity rate of the T-SPOT.TB assay was 15% among SLE patients. Severe, active SLE disease and the use of high-dose glucocorticoids and some types of immunosuppressants are likely to result in negative T-SPOT.TB results. For SLE patients with the above conditions, diagnosing LTBI based on a positive T-SPOT.TB result may lead to underestimation of the prevalence. IMPORTANCE The burden of tuberculosis and systemic lupus erythematosus in China ranks among the top three in the world. Therefore, active screening for LTBI and preventive intervention in SLE patients are of great significance in China. In view of the lack of relevant data in a large sample, we conducted a multicenter, cross-sectional study using T-SPOT.TB as a screening method for LTBI, to investigate the prevalence of LTBI and analyze the factors affecting the results of the T-SPOT.TB assay in SLE patients. Our study showed that the overall positivity rate of the T-SPOT.TB assay in SLE patients was 15.0%, which was lower than the estimated LTBI prevalence in the general population in China (~20%). For SLE patients with severe, active disease, high-dose glucocorticoids, and some types of immunosuppressants, a diagnosis of LTBI based on only positive T-SPOT.TB results may lead to underestimation of the prevalence.

Deficient leptin receptor signaling in T cells of human SLE.

Background: Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a prototypic autoimmune disease mainly mediated by IgG autoantibody. While follicular helper T (Tfh) cells are crucial for supporting IgG autoantibody generation in human SLE, underlying mechanisms for Tfh cell mal-differentiation remain unclear. Methods: In total, 129 SLE patients and 37 healthy donors were recruited for this study. Circulating leptin was determined by ELISA from patients with SLE and healthy individuals. CD4 T cells isolated from SLE patients and healthy donors were activated with anti-CD3/CD28 beads under cytokine-unbiased conditions in the presence or absence of recombinant leptin protein, followed by detection for Tfh cell differentiation by quantifying intracellular transcription factor Bcl-6 and cytokine IL-21. AMPK activation was assessed by analyzing phosphor-AMPK using phosflow cytometry and immunoblots. Leptin receptor expression was determined using flow cytometry and its overexpression was achieved by transfection with an expression vector. Humanized SLE chimeras were induced by injecting patients' immune cells into immune-deficient NSG mice and used for translational studies. Results: Circulating leptin was elevated in patients with SLE, inversely associated with disease activity. In healthy individuals, leptin efficiently inhibited Tfh cell differentiation through inducing AMPK activation. Meanwhile, leptin receptor deficiency was a feature of CD4 T cells in SLE patients, impairing the inhibitory effect of leptin on the differentiation of Tfh cells. As a result, we observed the coexistence of high circulating leptin and increased Tfh cell frequencies in SLE patients. Accordingly, overexpression of leptin receptor in SLE CD4 T cells abrogated Tfh cell mal-differentiation and IgG anti-dsDNA generation in humanized lupus chimeras. Conclusion: Leptin receptor deficiency blocks the inhibitory effect of leptin on SLE Tfh cell differentiation, serving as a promising therapeutic target for lupus management.

Management of Rheumatoid Arthritis With a Digital Health Application: A Multicenter, Pragmatic Randomized Clinical Trial.

IMPORTANCE: Digital health applications have been shown to be effective in the management of chronic diseases with simple treatment targets. The potential clinical value of digital health applications in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) has not been well studied. OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether assessing patient-reported outcomes using digital health applications could result in disease control for patients with RA. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This is a multicenter, open-label randomized clinical trial in 22 tertiary hospitals across China. Eligible participants were adult patients with RA. Participants were enrolled from November 1, 2018, to May 28, 2019, with a 12-month follow-up. The statisticians and rheumatologists who assessed disease activity were blinded. Investigators and participants were not blind to group assignment. Analysis was conducted from October 2020 to May 2022. INTERVENTIONS: Participants were randomly assigned at a 1:1 ratio (block size of 4) to a smart system of disease management group (SSDM) or a conventional care control group. Upon the completion of the 6-month parallel comparison, patients in the conventional care control group were instructed to use the SSDM application for an extension of 6 months. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The primary outcome was the rate of patients with disease activity score in 28 joints using the C-reactive protein (DAS28-CRP) of 3.2 or less at month 6. RESULTS: Of 3374 participants screened, 2204 were randomized, and 2197 patients with RA (mean [SD] age, 50.5 [12.4] years; 1812 [82.5%] female) were enrolled. The study included 1099 participants in the SSDM group and 1098 participants in the control group. At month 6, the rate of patients with DAS28-CRP of 3.2 or less was 71.0% (780 of 1099 patients) in the SSDM group vs 64.5% (708 of 1098 patients) in the control group (difference between groups, 6.6%; 95% CI, 2.7% to 10.4%; P = .001). At month 12, the rate of patients with DAS28-CRP of 3.2 or less in the control group increased to a level (77.7%) that was comparable with that (78,2%) in the SSDM group (difference between groups, -0.2%; 95% CI, -3.9% to 3.4%; P = .90). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this randomized clinical trial of RA, the use of a digital health application with patient-reported outcomes was associated with an increase in disease control rate. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03715595.

Comparison of Contributors to Mortality Differences in SLE Patients with Different Initial Disease Activity: A Larger Multicenter Cohort Study.

To explore the etiology of risk factors and quantify the mortality differences in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients with different initial disease activity. The Jiangsu Lupus database was established by collecting medical records from first-hospitalized SLE patients during 1999-2009 from 26 centers in Jiangsu province, China, and their survival status every five years. The initial SLEDAI scores [high (>12) vs. low-moderate (≤12)] differences in mortality attributable to risk factors were quantified using population attributable fraction (PAF), relative attributable risk (RAR) and adjusted relative risk (ARR). Among 2446 SLE patients, 83 and 176 deaths were observed in the low-moderate and high activity groups, with mortality rates of 7.7 and 14.0 per 1000 person years, respectively. Anemia was the leading contributor to mortality, with PAFs of 40.4 and 37.5 in the low-moderate and high activity groups, respectively, and explained 23.2% of the mortality differences with an ARR of 1.66 between the two groups. Cardiopulmonary involvement caused the highest PAFs in the low-moderate (20.5%) and high activity (13.6%) groups, explaining 18.3% of the mortality differences. The combination of anemia and cardiopulmonary involvement had the highest RAR, causing 39.8% of the mortality differences (ARR = 1.52) between the two groups. In addition, hypoalbuminemia and a decrease in the creatinine clearance rate accounted for 20-30% of deaths and explained 10-20% of the mortality differences between the two groups, while antimalarial drug nonuse accounted for about 35% of deaths and explained 3.6% of the mortality differences. Anemia, cardiopulmonary involvement and hypoalbuminemia may cause substantial mortality differences across disease activity states, suggesting additional strategies beyond disease activity assessment to monitor SLE outcomes.

Renal tubular acidosis and associated factors in patients with primary Sjögren's syndrome: a registry-based study.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the clinical features and factors associated with primary Sjögren's syndrome (pSS)-associated renal tubular acidosis (RTA). METHOD: This case-control study was based on a multicenter pSS registry established by the Chinese Rheumatism Data Center. Patients with pSS, including those with RTA and those without renal involvement, between May 2016 and March 2020 were included in the analysis. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data were also collected. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify factors that were associated with pSS-RTA. RESULTS: This study included 257 pSS patients with RTA and 4222 patients without renal involvement. Significantly younger age at disease onset (40.1 ± 14.1 vs. 46.2 ± 13.1 years, P < 0.001), longer diagnosis interval (15.0 interquartile range [IQR] [1.0, 48.0] vs. 6.0 IQR [0, 34.0] months, P < 0.001), higher EULAR Sjögren's syndrome disease activity index (9 IQR [5, 15] vs. 3 IQR [0, 8], P < 0.001), and a higher prevalence of decreased estimated glomerular filtration rate (25.0% vs. 6.6%, P < 0.001) were observed in pSS patients with RTA than in those without renal involvement. Factors that were independently associated with pSS-RTA included age at disease onset ≤ 35 years (odds ratio [OR] 3.00, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.27-3.97), thyroid disorders (OR 1.49, 95% CI 1.04-2.14), subjective dry mouth (OR 3.29, 95% CI 1.71-6.35), arthritis (OR 1.57, 95% CI 1.10-2.25), anti-SSB antibody positivity (OR 1.80, 95% CI 1.33-2.45), anemia (OR 1.67, 95% CI 1.26-2.21), elevated alkaline phosphatase level (OR 2.14, 95% CI 1.26-3.65), decreased albumin level (OR 1.61, 95% CI 1.00-2.60), and elevated erythrocyte sedimentation rate (OR 1.78, 95% CI 1.16-2.73). CONCLUSIONS: Delayed diagnosis and decreased kidney function are common in pSS patients with RTA. pSS should be considered in patients with RTA, and early recognition and treatment may be useful in slowing the deterioration of renal function in patients with pSS-RTA. Key Points • pSS patients with RTA have earlier disease onset and higher disease activity than pSS patients without RTA, but the diagnosis was frequently delayed. • Decreased kidney function are common in pSS patients with RTA. • Sjögren's syndrome should be considered in young female patients with unexplained RTA, whereas RTA should be screened in pSS patients with early disease onset and elevated ALP level.

Identification of Three Different Phenotypes in Anti-Melanoma Differentiation-Associated Gene 5 Antibody-Positive Dermatomyositis Patients: Implications for Prediction of Rapidly Progressive Interstitial Lung Disease.

OBJECTIVE: There is substantial heterogeneity among the phenotypes of patients with anti-melanoma differentiation-associated gene 5 antibody-positive (anti-MDA5+) dermatomyositis (DM), hindering disease assessment and management. This study aimed to identify distinct phenotype groups in patients with anti-MDA5+ DM and to determine the utility of these phenotypes in predicting patient outcomes. METHODS: A total of 265 patients with anti-MDA5+ DM were retrospectively enrolled in the study. An unsupervised hierarchical cluster analysis was performed to characterize the different phenotypes. RESULTS: Patients were stratified into 3 clusters characterized by markedly different features and outcomes. Cluster 1 (n = 108 patients) was characterized by mild risk of rapidly progressive interstitial lung disease (RPILD), with the cumulative incidence of non-RPILD being 85.2%. Cluster 2 (n = 72 patients) was characterized by moderate risk of RPILD, with the cumulative incidence of non-RPILPD being 73.6%. Patients in cluster 3 (n = 85 patients), which was characterized by a high risk of RPILD and a cumulative non-RPILD incidence of 32.9%, were more likely than patients in the other 2 subgroups to have anti-Ro 52 antibodies in conjunction with high titers of anti-MDA5 antibodies. All-cause mortality rates of 60%, 9.7%, and 3.7% were determined for clusters 3, 2, and 1, respectively (P < 0.0001). Decision tree analysis led to the development of a simple algorithm for anti-MDA5+ DM patient classification that included the following 8 variables: age >50 years, disease course of <3 months, myasthenia (proximal muscle weakness), arthritis, C-reactive protein level, creatine kinase level, anti-Ro 52 antibody titer, and anti-MDA5 antibody titer. This algorithm placed patients in the appropriate cluster with 78.5% accuracy in the development cohort and 70.0% accuracy in the external validation cohort. CONCLUSION: Cluster analysis identified 3 distinct clinical patterns and outcomes in our large cohort of anti-MDA5+ DM patients. Classification of DM patients into phenotype subgroups with prognostic values may help physicians improve the efficacy of clinical decision-making.

Coexistence of Anti-Ro52 Antibodies in Anti-MDA5 Antibody-Positive Dermatomyositis Is Highly Associated With Rapidly Progressive Interstitial Lung Disease and Mortality Risk.

OBJECTIVE: Interstitial lung disease (ILD) is a common extramuscular complication contributing to significant morbidity and mortality in patients with dermatomyositis (DM) who are positive for antimelanoma differentiation-associated gene 5 antibody (anti-MDA5+). We conducted this study to investigate the association of anti-Ro52 antibodies with clinical characteristics and prognosis in patients with anti-MDA5+ DM. METHODS: We assessed a cohort of 246 patients with anti-MDA5+ DM. To calculate hazard ratios and 95% CIs for rapidly progressive ILD (RP-ILD) and death while controlling for potential confounders, variables selected by univariate Cox regression analysis were included in a multivariate Cox regression model with the stepwise forward-selection method. A 2-tailed analysis with P < 0.05 was considered to be statistically significant. RESULTS: A total of 246 patients with anti-MDA5+ DM were enrolled; 70 patients were male, and the patient group had an average age of 53.1 (12.4) years. Anti-Ro52 was present in 64.2% (158/246) patients. Patients with anti-MDA5+ DM who were positive for anti-Ro52 had a higher rate of RP-ILD (log-rank P < 0.001) and a higher mortality rate (log-rank P = 0.01). For patients with anti-MDA5+ DM who were positive for anti-Ro52, those with a short disease course and high inflammation were at increased risk of RP-ILD and death. The appearance of active rash was an independent protective factor of death. CONCLUSION: Anti-Ro52 antibodies were highly prevalent in patients with anti-MDA5+ DM, and their coexistence correlated with a higher rate of RP-ILD and mortality. Patients with a short disease course, with increased inflammation, and without rash were more likely to have a poor prognosis.

Time-dependent changes in RPILD and mortality risk in anti-MDA5+ DM patients: a cohort study of 272 cases in China.

OBJECTIVES: Anti-melanoma differentiation-associated gene 5 positive (anti-MDA5+) DM has a close relationship with rapidly progressive interstitial lung disease (RPILD) and is associated with high mortality. However, data regarding the time-dependent risk of RPILD and deaths during disease progression are limited. We conducted this study to investigate whether the risk of RPILD and death were time-dependent or not in anti-MDA5+ DM. METHODS: We assessed a cohort of 272 patients with anti-MDA5+ DM. The clinical characteristics of patients with anti-MDA5+ were collected, and COX regression was used to analyse independent risk factors for RPILD and death. We also described changes in risk of RPILD and death over time and their potential clinical implications. RESULTS: There were 272 anti-MDA5+ DM patients enrolled in this study. According to the multivariate cox regression analysis, short disease course, high CRP level, anti-Ro52 positive and anti-MDA5 titre (++∼+++) were independent risk factors of RPILD. High creatine kinase level, high CRP level and RPILD were independent risk factors for death, and >90% RPILD and 84% mortality occurred in the first 6 months after disease onset. Notably, the first 3 months is a particularly high-risk period, with 50% of RPILD and 46% of deaths occurring. Hazards regarding RPILD and mortality diminished over time during a median follow-up of 12 months. CONCLUSION: These results suggest significant, time-dependent changes in RPILD and mortality risk in anti-MDA5+ DM patients, providing a cut-off time window to estimate disease progression and poor prognosis.

Loss-of-function variants in SAT1 cause X-linked childhood-onset systemic lupus erythematosus.

OBJECTIVES: Families that contain multiple siblings affected with childhood onset of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) likely have strong genetic predispositions. We performed whole exome sequencing (WES) to identify familial rare risk variants and to assess their effects in lupus. METHODS: Sanger sequencing validated the two ultra-rare, predicted pathogenic risk variants discovered by WES and identified additional variants in 562 additional patients with SLE. Effects of a splice site variant and a frameshift variant were assessed using a Minigene assay and CRISPR/Cas9-mediated knock-in (KI) mice, respectively. RESULTS: The two familial ultra-rare, predicted loss-of-function (LOF) SAT1 variants exhibited X-linked recessive Mendelian inheritance in two unrelated African-American families. Each LOF variant was transmitted from the heterozygous unaffected mother to her two sons with childhood-onset SLE. The p.Asp40Tyr variant affected a splice donor site causing deleterious transcripts. The young hemizygous male and homozygous female Sat1 p.Glu92Leufs*6 KI mice spontaneously developed splenomegaly, enlarged glomeruli with leucocyte infiltration, proteinuria and elevated expression of type I interferon-inducible genes. SAT1 is highly expressed in neutrophils and encodes spermidine/spermine-N1-acetyltransferase 1 (SSAT1), a rate-limiting enzyme in polyamine catabolism. Young male KI mice exhibited neutrophil defects and decreased proportions of Foxp3 +CD4+ T-cell subsets. Circulating neutrophil counts and proportions of Foxp3 +CD4+ T cells correlated with decreased plasma levels of spermine in treatment-naive, incipient SLE patients. CONCLUSIONS: We identified two novel SAT1 LOF variants, showed the ability of the frameshift variant to confer murine lupus, highlighted the pathogenic role of dysregulated polyamine catabolism and identified SAT1 LOF variants as new monogenic causes for SLE.

Predictors of improvement in disease activity in first hospitalized patients with systemic lupus erythematosus: a multicenter retrospective study of a Chinese cohort.

OBJECTIVES: To analyze the relative factors of improvement in disease activity (IDA) after first hospitalized treatment based on the systemic lupus erythematosus disease activity index (SLEDAI). METHODS: A total of 1069 adult systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients who were hospitalized for the first time in 26 hospitals in Jiangsu Province from 1999 to 2009 were retrospectively analyzed. SLEDAI decrease ≥ 4 during hospitalization was identified as IDA. Relative factors of IDA were assessed by univariate and multivariate logistic regression. RESULTS: A total of 783 (73.2%) adult SLE patients showed IDA after the first hospitalization, while the remaining patients (n = 286) were in the non-IDA group. The IDA group had higher SLEDAI at admission; fewer patients had SLICC/ACR damage index (SDI) ≥ 1, comorbidities at admission, especially Sjögren's syndrome, abnormal serum creatinine, and glomerular filtration rate. More patients had mucocutaneous and musculoskeletal involvements, leukopenia, increased C-reactive protein, anti-dsDNA antibody positive, and hypocomplementemia at admission and were treated with methotrexate and leflunomide during hospitalization. After multivariate logistic regression analysis, SDI ≥ 1 (P = 0.005) and combined with Sjögren's syndrome (P < 0.001) at admission had negative association with IDA. Musculoskeletal involvement (P < 0.001), anti-dsDNA antibody positive (P = 0.012), hypocomplementemia (P = 0.001), and use of leflunomide (P = 0.030) were significantly related with IDA. CONCLUSION: Organ damage or comorbidities at admission were adverse to SLE improvement. Anti-dsDNA antibody positive, hypocomplementemia, musculoskeletal involvements, and leflunomide treatment had positive association with IDA of SLE. Key Points • Organ damage or comorbidities at admission were negatively correlated with SLE improvement. • Anti-dsDNA antibody positivity, hypocomplementemia, musculoskeletal involvements, and leflunomide treatment were positively associated with SLE improvement.

Risk assessment in systemic lupus erythematosus-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension: CSTAR-PAH cohort study.

Objective: This study evaluated the prognostic value of the multivariable risk assessment for systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE)-associated pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). Methods: A multicenter prospective cohort of SLE-associated PAH (CSTAR-PAH cohort) diagnosed based on right heart catheterization (RHC) was established. Baseline and follow-up records were collected. Three methods of risk assessment, including (1) the number of low-risk criteria, based on World Health Organization functional class (WHO FC), 6-min walking distance (6MWD), right atrial pressure (RAP), and cardiac index (CI); (2) the three-strata stratification based on the average risk score of four variables (WHO FC, 6MWD, RAP, and CI); and (3) the four-strata stratification based on COMPARE 2.0 model were applied. A risk-assessment method using three noninvasive low-risk criteria was applied at the first follow-up visit. Survival curves between patients with different risk groups were compared by Kaplan-Meier's estimation and log-rank test. Results: Three-hundred and ten patients were enrolled from 14 PAH centers. All methods of stratification at baseline and first follow-up significantly discriminated long-term survival. Survival rates were also significantly different based on the noninvasive risk assessment in first follow-up visit. Survival deteriorated with the escalation of risk from baseline to first follow-up. Patients with baseline serositis had a higher rate of risk improvement in their follow-up. Conclusion: The risk assessment has a significant prognostic value at both the baseline and first follow-up assessment of SLE-associated PAH. A noninvasive risk assessment can also be useful when RHC is not available during follow-up. Baseline serositis may be a predictor of good treatment response in patients with SLE-associated PAH.

Brain-Reactive Antibodies are Potential Biomarkers for Evaluating Therapeutic Efficacy in NPSLE Patients.

Purpose: Neuropsychiatric systemic lupus erythematosus (NPSLE) is the main cause of disability and death in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). It can cause cognitive impairment and organic brain syndrome. Brain-reactive antibodies, such as anti-DNA/anti-N-methyl-D-aspartate receptor (NMDAR) antibodies (DNRAbs), anti-microtubule-associated protein 2 (anti-MAP2) antibodies, and anti-glial fibrillary acidic protein (anti-GFAP) antibodies are thought to participate in the progression of NPSLE and thus considered potential diagnostic biomarkers, but whether they can be used for evaluating therapeutic efficacy in NPSLE is unknown. Patients and methods: Overall, 17 NPSLE patients and 10 non-SLE controls were included in this study. All the patients were treated with glucocorticoid (GC) pulse therapy. Serum and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) concentrations of DNRAbs and anti-MAP2 and anti-GFAP antibodies were measured using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. The differences between the CSF concentrations of these antibodies in NPSLE patients before and after GC pulse therapy were analyzed. Results: CSF concentrations of DNRAbs and anti-MAP2 and anti-GFAP antibodies were significantly higher in NPSLE patients compared to the non-SLE controls. Among the patients, CSF concentration of DNRAbs was significantly higher in the patients with acute confusional state (ACS) than in those with non-ACS diffuse NPSLE or focal NPSLE. Additionally, CSF concentration of DNRAbs was significantly correlated with QIgG (r=0.4884, P=0.0467) and IgG index (r=0.5319, P=0.0280) in NPSLE patients. Moreover, CSF concentrations of DNRAbs, anti-MAP2, and anti-GFAP antibodies and QIgG were significantly decreased after GC pulse therapy in NPSLE patients. Conclusion: These results indicate that CSF DNRAbs and anti-MAP2 and anti-GFAP antibodies are potential biomarkers for evaluating therapeutic efficacy in NPSLE.

Development and Verify of Survival Analysis Models for Chinese Patients With Systemic Lupus Erythematosus.

Background: The aim of this study is to develop survival analysis models of hospitalized systemic lupus erythematosus (h-SLE) patients in Jiangsu province using data mining techniques to predict patient survival outcomes and survival status. Methods: In this study, based on 1999-2009 survival data of 2453 hospitalized SLE (h-SLE) patients in Jiangsu Province, we not only used the Cox proportional hazards model to analyze patients' survival factors, but also used neural network models to predict survival outcomes. We used semi-supervised learning to label the censored data and introduced cost-sensitivity to achieve data augmentation, addressing category imbalance and pseudo label credibility. In addition, the risk score model was developed by logistic regression. Results: The overall accuracy of the survival outcome prediction model exceeded 0.7, and the sensitivity was close to 0.8, and through the comparative analysis of multiple indicators, our model outperformed traditional classifiers. The developed survival risk assessment model based on logistic regression found that there was a clear threshold, i.e., a survival threshold indicating the survival risk of patients, and cardiopulmonary and neuropsychiatric involvement, abnormal blood urea nitrogen levels and alanine aminotransferase level had the greatest impact on patient survival time. In addition, the study developed a graphical user interface (GUI) integrating survival analysis models to assist physicians in diagnosis and treatment. Conclusions: The proposed survival analysis scheme identifies disease-related pathogenic and prognosis factors, and has the potential to improve the effectiveness of clinical interventions.

Clinical and laboratorial outcome of different age-onset systemic lupus erythematosus patients in Jiangsu, China: a multicentre retrospective study.

Studies on clinical features of systemic lupus erythematosus among different age-onset patients are lacking in China. This multicentre study aimed to systemically compare clinical manifestations, comorbidities, organ involvement, and laboratory findings among 797 Chinese juvenile-onset, adult-onset, and late-onset SLE (JSLE, ASLE, and LSLE) patients. They were classified into JSLE, ASLE, and LSLE groups if first diagnosed at < 18, 18-50, and > 50 years old, respectively. Chi-square test and analysis of variance were employed for categorical and continuous variables respectively. In younger-onset patients, the SLE Disease Activity Index 2000 score was significantly higher (JSLE vs. ASLE vs. LSLE = 17.43 ± 9.139 vs. 16.34 ± 8.163 vs. 14.08 ± 6.474, p = 0.031). Mucocutaneous symptoms (79.5% vs. 73.4% vs. 62.0%, p = 0.042), especially malar rash (76.1% vs. 66.1% vs. 53.5%, p = 0.011) occurred more frequently, and proteinuria rate was higher (54.5% vs. 56.3% vs. 36.6%, p = 0.007). In later-onset patients, cardiopulmonary involvement increased (11.4% vs. 24.3% vs. 29.6%, p = 0.012). In ASLE, hypoalbuminemia rate elevated (46.6% vs. 59.9% vs. 47.9%, p = 0.015). Our study demonstrated in a Chinese population that JSLE may be more active and suffer mucocutaneous disorders, while LSLE tended to suffer cardiopulmonary involvement at-onset. These findings may help identify treatment priorities when facing different age-onset SLE patients.