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The increasing prevalence of myopia worldwide presents a significant public health challenge. A key strategy to combat myopia is with early detection and prediction in children as such examination allows for effective intervention using readily accessible imaging technique. To this end, we introduced DeepMyopia, an artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled decision support system to detect and predict myopia onset and facilitate targeted interventions for children at risk using routine retinal fundus images. Based on deep learning architecture, DeepMyopia had been trained and internally validated on a large cohort of retinal fundus images (n = 1,638,315) and then externally tested on datasets from seven sites in China (n = 22,060). Our results demonstrated robustness of DeepMyopia, with AUCs of 0.908, 0.813, and 0.810 for 1-, 2-, and 3-year myopia onset prediction with the internal test set, and AUCs of 0.796, 0.808, and 0.767 with the external test set. DeepMyopia also effectively stratified children into low- and high-risk groups (p < 0.001) in both test sets. In an emulated randomized controlled trial (eRCT) on the Shanghai outdoor cohort (n = 3303) where DeepMyopia showed effectiveness in myopia prevention compared to NonCyc-based model, with an adjusted relative reduction (ARR) of -17.8%, 95% CI: -29.4%, -6.4%. DeepMyopia-assisted interventions attained quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) of 0.75 (95% CI: 0.53, 1.04) per person and avoided blindness years of 13.54 (95% CI: 9.57, 18.83) per 1 million persons compared to natural lifestyle with no active intervention. Our findings demonstrated DeepMyopia as a reliable and efficient AI-based decision support system for intervention guidance for children.
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The metabolic profile predating the onset of Parkinson's disease (PD) remains unclear. We aim to investigate the metabolites associated with incident and prevalent PD and their predictive values in the UK Biobank participants with metabolomics and genetic data at the baseline. A panel of 249 metabolites was quantified using a nuclear magnetic resonance analytical platform. PD was ascertained by self-reported history, hospital admission records and death registers. Cox proportional hazard models and logistic regression models were used to investigate the associations between metabolites and incident and prevalent PD, respectively. Area under receiver operating characteristics curves (AUC) were used to estimate the predictive values of models for future PD. Among 109,790 participants without PD at the baseline, 639 (0.58%) individuals developed PD after one year from the baseline during a median follow-up period of 12.2 years. Sixty-eight metabolites were associated with incident PD at nominal significance (P < 0.05), spanning lipids, lipid constituent of lipoprotein subclasses and ratios of lipid constituents. After multiple testing corrections (P < 9 × 10-4), polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFA) and omega-6 fatty acids remained significantly associated with incident PD, and PUFA was shared by incident and prevalent PD. Additionally, 14 metabolites were exclusively associated with prevalent PD, including amino acids, fatty acids, several lipoprotein subclasses and ratios of lipids. Adding these metabolites to the conventional risk factors yielded a comparable predictive performance to the risk-factor-based model (AUC = 0.766 vs AUC = 0.768, P = 0.145). Our findings suggested metabolic profiles provided additional knowledge to understand different pathways related to PD before and after its onset.
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Purpose: To identify the accelerometer-measured daily behaviors that mediate the association of refractive status with depressive disorders and enhance the understanding of behavioral differences in depression. Methods: Participants with baseline mean spherical equivalent (MSE) and 7-day accelerometer measurements from the UK Biobank were included in this cohort study. Refractive status was categorized as hyperopia and non-hyperopia. Four daily behaviors, including moderate to vigorous intensity physical activity (MVPA), light physical activity (LPA), sedentary, and sleep were recorded between 2013 and 2015. We also assessed 24-hour behavior patterns. Depression cases were defined through both questionnaires and hospital records over 10 years of follow-up. Results: Among 20,607 individuals, every 0.5-diopter increase in MSE was associated with a 6% higher risk of depressive disorders, with hyperopia participants at a higher risk than non-hyperopia participants (odds ratio, 1.14; 95% confidence interval, 1.05-1.23; P = 0.001). MVPA and sleep time significantly correlated with depressive disorders, with odds ratios of 0.79 and 1.14 (P < 0.05). MSE showed significant correlations with all four behaviors. The effects of MVPA and sleep duration on MSE and depressive disorders varied throughout the day. Mediation analyses showed that MVPA and sleep partially mediated the relationship between MSE and depressive disorders, with 35.2% of the association between moderate to high hyperopia and depression mediated by MVPA. Conclusions: Physical activity and sleep significantly mediate the relationship between MSE and depressive disorders. Translational Relevance: The mediation effect of MVPA highlights its therapeutic potential in reducing the risk of depression among individuals with moderate to severe hyperopia. Interventions aimed at increasing daytime MVPA and decreasing daytime sleep could enhance mental health in this vulnerable group.
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Acelerometria , Transtorno Depressivo , Exercício Físico , Sono , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Transtorno Depressivo/epidemiologia , Transtorno Depressivo/psicologia , Adulto , Sono/fisiologia , Idoso , Comportamento Sedentário , Inquéritos e Questionários , Hiperopia/fisiopatologia , Hiperopia/epidemiologia , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
Meibomian gland dysfunction (MGD) is increasingly recognized as a critical contributor to evaporative dry eye, significantly impacting visual quality. With a global prevalence estimated at 35.8 %, it presents substantial challenges for clinicians. Conventional manual evaluation techniques for MGD face limitations characterized by inefficiencies, high subjectivity, limited big data processing capabilities, and a dearth of quantitative analytical tools. With rapidly advancing artificial intelligence (AI) techniques revolutionizing ophthalmology, studies are now leveraging sophisticated AI methodologies--including computer vision, unsupervised learning, and supervised learning--to facilitate comprehensive analyses of meibomian gland (MG) evaluations. These evaluations employ various techniques, including slit lamp examination, infrared imaging, confocal microscopy, and optical coherence tomography. This paradigm shift promises enhanced accuracy and consistency in disease evaluation and severity classification. While AI has achieved preliminary strides in meibomian gland evaluation, ongoing advancements in system development and clinical validation are imperative. We review the evolution of MG evaluation, juxtapose AI-driven methods with traditional approaches, elucidate the specific roles of diverse AI technologies, and explore their practical applications using various evaluation techniques. Moreover, we delve into critical considerations for the clinical deployment of AI technologies and envisages future prospects, providing novel insights into MG evaluation and fostering technological and clinical progress in this arena.
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Background: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) increases the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and is more prevalent in older adults. Retinal age gap, a biomarker of aging based on fundus images, has been previously developed and validated. This study aimed to investigate the association of retinal age gap with CKD and subsequent CVD complications. Methods: A deep learning model was trained to predict the retinal age using 19 200 fundus images of 11 052 participants without any medical history at baseline. Retinal age gap, calculated as retinal age predicted minus chronological age, was calculated for the remaining 35 906 participants. Logistic regression models and Cox proportional hazards regression models were used for the association analysis. Results: A total of 35 906 participants (56.75 ± 8.04 years, 55.68% female) were included in this study. In the cross-sectional analysis, each 1-year increase in retinal age gap was associated with a 2% increase in the risk of CKD prevalence [odds ratio 1.02, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01-1.04, P = .012]. A longitudinal analysis of 35 039 participants demonstrated that 2.87% of them developed CKD in follow-up, and each 1-year increase in retinal age gap was associated with a 3% increase in the risk of CKD incidence (hazard ratio 1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.05, P = .004). In addition, a total of 111 CKD patients (15.81%) developed CVD in follow-up, and each 1-year increase in retinal age gap was associated with a 10% increase in the risk of incident CVD (hazard ratio 1.10, 95% CI 1.03-1.17, P = .005). Conclusions: We found that retinal age gap was independently associated with the prevalence and incidence of CKD, and also associated with CVD complications in CKD patients. This supports the use of this novel biomarker in identifying individuals at high risk of CKD and CKD patients with increased risk of CVD.
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OBJECTIVES: To examine the associaiton between environmental measures and brain volumes and its potential mediators. STUDY DESIGN: This was a prospective study. METHODS: Our analysis included 34,454 participants (53.4% females) aged 40-73 years at baseline (between 2006 and 2010) from the UK Biobank. Brain volumes were measured using magnetic resonance imaging between 2014 and 2019. RESULTS: Greater proximity to greenspace buffered at 1000 m at baseline was associated with larger volumes of total brain measured 8.8 years after baseline assessment (standardized ß (95% CI) for each 10% increment in coverage: 0.013(0.005,0.020)), grey matter (0.013(0.006,0.020)), and white matter (0.011(0.004,0.017)) after adjustment for covariates and air pollution. The corresponding numbers for natural environment buffered at 1000 m were 0.010 (0.004,0.017), 0.009 (0.004,0.015), and 0.010 (0.004,0.016), respectively. Similar results were observed for greenspace and natural environment buffered at 300 m. The strongest mediator for the association between greenspace buffered at 1000 m and total brain volume was smoking (percentage (95% CI) of total variance explained: 7.9% (5.5-11.4%)) followed by mean sphered cell volume (3.3% (1.8-5.8%)), vitamin D (2.9% (1.6-5.1%)), and creatinine in blood (2.7% (1.6-4.7%)). Significant mediators combined explained 18.5% (13.2-25.3%) of the association with total brain volume and 32.9% (95% CI: 22.3-45.7%) of the association with grey matter volume. The percentage (95% CI) of the association between natural environment and total brain volume explained by significant mediators combined was 20.6% (14.7-28.1%)). CONCLUSIONS: Higher coverage percentage of greenspace and environment may benefit brain health by promoting healthy lifestyle and improving biomarkers including vitamin D and red blood cell indices.
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Purpose: This study investigated the distribution of fundus tessellation density (FTD) in a Chinese pediatric population and its potential in reflecting early myopic maculopathy (tessellated fundus). Methods: Participants were enrolled from kindergartens, primary schools, and middle schools, with cluster sampling in Shanghai, China. A series of ophthalmic examinations was conducted. Based on fundus photograph, FTD was quantitatively assessed using an artificial intelligence algorithm, and tessellated fundus was diagnosed by well-trained ophthalmologists. Results: A total of 14,234 participants aged four to 18 years were included, with 7421 boys (52.1%). Tessellated fundus was observed in 2200 (15.5%) participants. The median of FTD was 0.86% (range 0.0-42.1%). FTD increased with age and axial length. In the logistics regression, larger FTD was independently associated with tessellated fundus (P < 0.001). The area under curves of receiver operating characteristic curve for categorizing tessellated fundus using FTD was 0.774, and the cutoff point of FTD was 2.22%. Conclusions: The density of fundus tessellation was consistent with the severity of myopia. FTD could help diagnose the early stage of myopic maculopathy, tessellated fundus, providing a new pattern for myopia screening and detection of early myopic fundus changes. Translational Relevance: Quantification of fundus tessellation with artificial intelligence could help detect early myopic maculopathy.
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Fundo de Olho , Humanos , Masculino , Adolescente , Criança , Feminino , Pré-Escolar , China/epidemiologia , Curva ROC , Miopia Degenerativa/diagnóstico , Degeneração Macular/diagnóstico , Degeneração Macular/epidemiologia , Inteligência Artificial , FotografaçãoRESUMO
Real-world data (RWD) can be defined as all data generated during routine clinical care. This includes electronic health records, disease-specific registries, imaging databanks, and data linkage to administrative databases. In the field of neuro-ophthalmology, the intersection of RWD and clinical practice offers unprecedented opportunities to understand and treat rare diseases. However, translating RWD into real-world evidence (RWE) poses several challenges, including data quality, legal and ethical considerations, and sustainability of data sources. This review explores existing RWD sources in neuro-ophthalmology, such as patient registries and electronic health records, and discusses the challenges of data collection and standardisation. We focus on research questions that need to be answered in neuro-ophthalmology and provide an update on RWE generated from various RWD sources. We review and propose solutions to some of the key barriers that can limit translation of a collection of data into impactful clinical evidence. Careful data selection, management, analysis, and interpretation are critical to generate meaningful conclusions.
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Registros Eletrônicos de Saúde , Neurologia , Oftalmologia , Sistema de Registros , Humanos , Neurologia/normas , Bases de Dados Factuais , Medicina Baseada em EvidênciasRESUMO
PURPOSE: To investigate the efficacy and safety of repeated low-level red-light (RLRL) therapy combined with orthokeratology among children who, despite undergoing orthokeratology, exhibited an axial elongation of at least 0.50 mm over 1 year. DESIGN: Multicenter, randomized, parallel-group, single-blind clinical trial (ClinicaTrials.gov identifier, NCT04722874). PARTICIPANTS: Eligible children were 8-13 years of age with a cycloplegic spherical equivalent refraction of -1.00 to -5.00 diopters at the initial orthokeratology fitting examination and had annual axial length (AL) elongation of ≥0.50 mm despite undergoing orthokeratology. Forty-eight children were enrolled from March 2021 through January 2022, and the final follow-up was completed in March 2023. METHODS: Children were assigned randomly to the RLRL therapy combined with orthokeratology (RCO) group or to the orthokeratology group in a 2:1 ratio. The orthokeratology group wore orthokeratology lenses for at least 8 hours per night, whereas the RCO group received daily RLRL therapy twice daily for 3 minutes in addition to orthokeratology. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome was AL change measured at 12 months relative to baseline. The primary analysis was conducted in children who received the assigned intervention and completed at least 1 follow-up after randomization using the modified intention-to-treat principle. RESULTS: Forty-seven children (97.9%) were included in the analysis (30 in the RCO group and 17 in the orthokeratology group). The mean axial elongation rate before the trial was 0.60 mm/year and 0.61 mm/year in the RCO and orthokeratology groups, respectively. After 12 months, the adjusted mean AL changes were -0.02 mm (95% confidence interval [CI], -0.08 to +0.03 mm) in the RCO group and 0.27 mm (95% CI, 0.19-0.34 mm) in the orthokeratology group. The adjusted mean difference in AL change was -0.29 mm (95% CI, -0.44 to -0.14 mm) between the groups. The percentage of children achieving an uncorrected visual acuity of more than 20/25 was similar in the RCO (64.3%) and orthokeratology (65.5%) groups (P = 0.937). CONCLUSIONS: Combining RLRL therapy with orthokeratology may offer a promising approach to optimize axial elongation control among children with myopia. This approach also potentially allows children to achieve satisfactory visual acuity, reducing daytime dependence on corrective eyewear. FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S): Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found in the Footnotes and Disclosures at the end of this article.
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Background: Alzheimer's disease (AD) and age-related macular degeneration (AMD) share similar pathological features, suggesting common genetic aetiologies between the two. Investigating gene associations between AD and AMD may provide useful insights into the underlying pathogenesis and inform integrated prevention and treatment for both diseases. Methods: A stratified quantile-quantile (QQ) plot was constructed to detect the pleiotropy among AD and AMD based on genome-wide association studies data from 17 008 patients with AD and 30 178 patients with AMD. A Bayesian conditional false discovery rate-based (cFDR) method was used to identify pleiotropic genes. UK Biobank was used to verify the pleiotropy analysis. Biological network and enrichment analysis were conducted to explain the biological reason for pleiotropy phenomena. A diagnostic test based on gene expression data was used to predict biomarkers for AD and AMD based on pleiotropic genes and their regulators. Results: Significant pleiotropy was found between AD and AMD (significant leftward shift on QQ plots). APOC1 and APOE were identified as pleiotropic genes for AD-AMD (cFDR <0.01). Network analysis revealed that APOC1 and APOE occupied borderline positions on the gene co-expression networks. Both APOC1 and APOE genes were enriched on the herpes simplex virus 1 infection pathway. Further, machine learning-based diagnostic tests identified that APOC1, APOE (areas under the curve (AUCs) >0.65) and their upstream regulators, especially ZNF131, ADNP2 and HINFP, could be potential biomarkers for both AD and AMD (AUCs >0.8). Conclusion: In this study, we confirmed the genetic pleiotropy between AD and AMD and identified APOC1 and APOE as pleiotropic genes. Further, the integration of multiomics data identified ZNF131, ADNP2 and HINFP as novel diagnostic biomarkers for AD and AMD.
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To develop and validate a machine learning based algorithm to estimate physical activity (PA) intensity using the smartwatch with the capacity to record PA and determine outdoor state. Two groups of participants, including 24 adults (13 males) and 18 children (9 boys), completed a sequential activity trial. During each trial, participants wore a smartwatch, and energy expenditure was measured using indirect calorimetry as gold standard. The support vector machine algorithm and the least squares regression model were applied for the metabolic equivalent (MET) estimation using raw data derived from the smartwatch. Exercise intensity was categorized based on MET values into sedentary activity (SED), light activity (LPA), moderate activity (MPA), and vigorous activity (VPA). The classification accuracy was evaluated using area under the ROC curve (AUC). The METs estimation accuracy were assessed via the mean absolute error (MAE), the correlation coefficient, Bland-Altman plots, and intraclass correlation (ICC). A total of 24 adults aged 21-34 years and 18 children aged 9-13 years participated in the study, yielding 1790 and 1246 data points for adults and children respectively for model building and validation. For adults, the AUC for classifying SED, MVPA, and VPA were 0.96, 0.88, and 0.86, respectively. The MAE between true METs and estimated METs was 0.75 METs. The correlation coefficient and ICC were 0.87 (p < 0.001) and 0.89, respectively. For children, comparable levels of accuracy were demonstrated, with the AUC for SED, MVPA, and VPA being 0.98, 0.89, and 0.85, respectively. The MAE between true METs and estimated METs was 0.80 METs. The correlation coefficient and ICC were 0.79 (p < 0.001) and 0.84, respectively. The developed model successfully estimated PA intensity with high accuracy in both adults and children. The application of this model enables independent investigation of PA intensity, facilitating research in health monitoring and potentially in areas such as myopia prevention and control.
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Algoritmos , Exercício Físico , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Exercício Físico/fisiologia , Criança , Adulto , Adolescente , Adulto Jovem , Metabolismo Energético/fisiologia , Calorimetria Indireta/métodos , Monitorização Fisiológica/métodos , Monitorização Fisiológica/instrumentação , Curva ROCRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The importance of age on the development of ocular conditions has been reported by numerous studies. Diabetes may have different associations with different stages of ocular conditions, and the duration of diabetes may affect the development of diabetic eye disease. While there is a dose-response relationship between the age at diagnosis of diabetes and the risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality, whether the age at diagnosis of diabetes is associated with incident ocular conditions remains to be explored. It is unclear which types of diabetes are more predictive of ocular conditions. AIM: To examine associations between the age of diabetes diagnosis and the incidence of cataract, glaucoma, age-related macular degeneration (AMD), and vision acuity. METHODS: Our analysis was using the UK Biobank. The cohort included 8709 diabetic participants and 17418 controls for ocular condition analysis, and 6689 diabetic participants and 13378 controls for vision analysis. Ocular diseases were identified using inpatient records until January 2021. Vision acuity was assessed using a chart. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 11.0 years, 3874, 665, and 616 new cases of cataract, glaucoma, and AMD, respectively, were identified. A stronger association between diabetes and incident ocular conditions was observed where diabetes was diagnosed at a younger age. Individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D) diagnosed at < 45 years [HR (95%CI): 2.71 (1.49-4.93)], 45-49 years [2.57 (1.17-5.65)], 50-54 years [1.85 (1.13-3.04)], or 50-59 years of age [1.53 (1.00-2.34)] had a higher risk of AMD independent of glycated haemoglobin. T2D diagnosed < 45 years [HR (95%CI): 2.18 (1.71-2.79)], 45-49 years [1.54 (1.19-2.01)], 50-54 years [1.60 (1.31-1.96)], or 55-59 years of age [1.21 (1.02-1.43)] was associated with an increased cataract risk. T2D diagnosed < 45 years of age only was associated with an increased risk of glaucoma [HR (95%CI): 1.76 (1.00-3.12)]. HRs (95%CIs) for AMD, cataract, and glaucoma associated with type 1 diabetes (T1D) were 4.12 (1.99-8.53), 2.95 (2.17-4.02), and 2.40 (1.09-5.31), respectively. In multivariable-adjusted analysis, individuals with T2D diagnosed < 45 years of age [ß 95%CI: 0.025 (0.009,0.040)] had a larger increase in LogMAR. The ß (95%CI) for LogMAR associated with T1D was 0.044 (0.014, 0.073). CONCLUSION: The younger age at the diagnosis of diabetes is associated with a larger relative risk of incident ocular diseases and greater vision loss.
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Age-related cataract and hearing difficulties are major sensory disorders that often co-exist in the global-wide elderly and have a tangible influence on the quality of life. However, the epidemiologic association between cataract and hearing difficulties remains unexplored, while little is known about whether the two share their genetic etiology. We first investigated the clinical association between cataract and hearing difficulties using the UK Biobank covering 502,543 individuals. Both unmatched analysis (adjusted for confounders) and a matched analysis (one control matched for each patient with cataract according to confounding factors) were undertaken and confirmed that cataract was associated with hearing difficulties (OR, 2.12; 95% CI, 1.98-2.27; OR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.86-2.23, respectively). Furthermore, we explored and quantified the shared genetic architecture of these two complex sensory disorders at the common variant level using the bivariate causal mixture model (MiXeR) and conditional/conjunctional false discovery rate method based on the largest available genome-wide association studies of cataract (N = 585,243) and hearing difficulties (N = 323,978). Despite detecting only a negligible genetic correlation, we observe polygenic overlap between cataract and hearing difficulties and identify 6 shared loci with mixed directions of effects. Follow-up analysis of the shared loci implicates candidate genes QKI, STK17A, TYR, NSF, and TCF4 likely contribute to the pathophysiology of cataracts and hearing difficulties. In conclusion, this study demonstrates the presence of epidemiologic association between cataract and hearing difficulties and provides new insights into the shared genetic architecture of these two disorders at the common variant level.
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Catarata , Perda Auditiva , Idoso , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Humanos , Estudo de Associação Genômica Ampla/métodos , Qualidade de Vida , Audição , Predisposição Genética para Doença , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único , Loci Gênicos , Proteínas Serina-Treonina Quinases , Proteínas Reguladoras de ApoptoseRESUMO
Glaucoma is the commonest cause of irreversible blindness worldwide, with over 70% of people affected remaining undiagnosed. Early detection is crucial for halting progressive visual impairment in glaucoma patients, as there is no cure available. This narrative review aims to: identify reasons for the significant under-diagnosis of glaucoma globally, particularly in Australia, elucidate the role of primary healthcare in glaucoma diagnosis using Australian healthcare as an example, and discuss how recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI) can be implemented to improve diagnostic outcomes. Glaucoma is a prevalent disease in ageing populations and can have improved visual outcomes through appropriate treatment, making it essential for general medical practice. In countries such as Australia, New Zealand, Canada, USA, and the UK, optometrists serve as the gatekeepers for primary eye care, and glaucoma detection often falls on their shoulders. However, there is significant variation in the capacity for glaucoma diagnosis among eye professionals. Automation with Artificial Intelligence (AI) analysis of optic nerve photos can help optometrists identify high-risk changes and mitigate the challenges of image interpretation rapidly and consistently. Despite its potential, there are significant barriers and challenges to address before AI can be deployed in primary healthcare settings, including external validation, high quality real-world implementation, protection of privacy and cybersecurity, and medico-legal implications. Overall, the incorporation of AI technology in primary healthcare has the potential to reduce the global prevalence of undiagnosed glaucoma cases by improving diagnostic accuracy and efficiency.
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Inteligência Artificial , Glaucoma , Atenção Primária à Saúde , Humanos , Glaucoma/diagnóstico , Glaucoma/epidemiologia , Austrália/epidemiologia , PrevalênciaRESUMO
Background: Limited knowledge exists regarding the association between dementia incidence and vitamin D insufficiency/deficiency across seasons. Objective: This study aimed to evaluate the impact of seasonal serum vitamin D (25(OH)D) levels on dementia and its subtypes, considering potential modifiers. Methods: We analyzed 193,003 individuals aged 60-73 at baseline (2006-2010) from the UK Biobank cohort, with follow-up until 2018. 25(OH)D were measured at baseline, and incident dementia cases were identified through hospital records, death certificates, and self-reports. Results: Out of 1,874 documented all-cause dementia cases, the median follow-up duration was 8.9 years. Linear and nonlinear associations between 25(OH)D and dementia incidence across seasons were observed. In multivariable-adjusted analysis, 25(OH)D deficiency was associated with a 1.5-fold (95% CIs: 1.2-2.0), 2.2-fold (1.5-3.0), 2.0-fold (1.5-2.7), and 1.7-fold (1.3-2.3) increased incidence of all-cause dementia in spring, summer, autumn, and winter, respectively. Adjusting for seasonal variations, 25(OH)D insufficiency and deficiency were associated with a 1.3-fold (1.1-1.4) and 1.8-fold (1.6-2.2) increased dementia incidence, respectively. This association remained significant across subgroups, including baseline age, gender, and education levels. Furthermore, 25(OH)D deficiency was associated with a 1.4-fold (1.1-1.8) and 1.5-fold (1.1-2.0) higher incidence of Alzheimer's disease and vascular dementia, respectively. These associations remained significant across all subgroups. Conclusions: 25(OH)D deficiency is associated with an increased incidence of dementia and its subtypes throughout the year.
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Purpose: Glaucoma, a leading cause of blindness worldwide, is suspected to exhibit a notable association with psychological disturbances. This study aimed to investigate epidemiological associations and explore shared genetic architecture between glaucoma and mental traits, including depression and anxiety. Methods: Multivariable logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards regression models were employed to investigate longitudinal associations based on UK Biobank. A stepwise approach was used to explore the shared genetic architecture. First, linkage disequilibrium score regression inferred global genetic correlations. Second, MiXeR analysis quantified the number of shared causal variants. Third, specific shared loci were detected through conditional/conjunctional false discovery rate (condFDR/conjFDR) analysis and characterized for biological insights. Finally, two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) was conducted to investigate bidirectional causal associations. Results: Glaucoma was significantly associated with elevated risks of hospitalized depression (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.54; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-2.34) and anxiety (HR = 2.61; 95% CI, 1.70-4.01) compared to healthy controls. Despite the absence of global genetic correlations, MiXeR analysis revealed 300 variants shared between glaucoma and depression, and 500 variants shared between glaucoma and anxiety. Subsequent condFDR/conjFDR analysis discovered 906 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) jointly associated with glaucoma and depression and two associated with glaucoma and anxiety. The MR analysis did not support robust causal associations but indicated the existence of pleiotropic genetic variants influencing both glaucoma and depression. Conclusions: Our study enhances the existing epidemiological evidence and underscores the polygenic overlap between glaucoma and mental traits. This observation suggests a correlation shaped by pleiotropic genetic variants rather than being indicative of direct causal relationships.
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Depressão , Glaucoma , Humanos , Ansiedade/genética , Cegueira , Depressão/epidemiologia , Depressão/genética , Glaucoma/genética , Desequilíbrio de LigaçãoRESUMO
It is unclear how metabolomic age is associated with the risk of a wide range of chronic diseases. Our analysis included 110,692 participants (training: n = 27,673; testing: n = 27,673; validating: n = 55,346) aged 39-71 years at baseline (2006-2010) from the UK Biobank. Incident chronic diseases were identified using inpatient records, or death registers until January 2021. Predicted metabolomic age was trained and tested based on 168 metabolomics. Metabolomic age was linked to the risk of 50 diseases in the validation dataset. The median follow-up duration for individual diseases ranged from 11.2 years to 11.9 years. After controlling for false discovery rate, chronological age-adjusted age gap (CAAG) was significantly associated with the incidence of 25 out of 50 chronic diseases. After adjustment for full covariates, associations with 15 chronic diseases remained significant. Greater CAAG was associated with increased risk of eight cardiometabolic disorders (including cardiovascular diseases and diabetes), some cancers, alcohol use disorder, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, chronic kidney disease, chronic liver disease and age-related macular degeneration. The association between CAAG and risk of peripheral vascular disease, other cardiac diseases, fracture, cataract and thyroid disorder was stronger among individuals with unhealthy diet than in those with healthy diet. The association between CAAG and risk of some conditions was stronger in younger individuals, those with metabolic disorders or low education. Metabolomic age plays an important role in the development of multiple chronic diseases. Healthy diet and high education may mitigate the risk for some chronic diseases due to metabolomic age acceleration.
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Vida Independente , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Doença Crônica , Estudos Prospectivos , Idoso , Masculino , Feminino , Adulto , Fatores de Risco , MetabolômicaRESUMO
Background: We aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of an artificial intelligence-(AI) based diabetic retinopathy (DR) screening system in the primary care setting for both non-Indigenous and Indigenous people living with diabetes in Australia. Methods: We performed a cost-effectiveness analysis between January 01, 2022 and August 01, 2023. A decision-analytic Markov model was constructed to simulate DR progression in a population of 1,197,818 non-Indigenous and 65,160 Indigenous Australians living with diabetes aged ≥20 years over 40 years. From a healthcare provider's perspective, we compared current practice to three primary care AI-based screening scenarios-(A) substitution of current manual grading, (B) scaling up to patient acceptance level, and (C) achieving universal screening. Study results were presented as incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), benefit-cost ratio (BCR), and net monetary benefits (NMB). A Willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of AU$50,000 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) and a discount rate of 3.5% were adopted in this study. Findings: With the status quo, the non-Indigenous diabetic population was projected to develop 96,269 blindness cases, resulting in AU$13,039.6 m spending on DR screening and treatment during 2020-2060. In comparison, all three intervention scenarios were effective and cost-saving. In particular, if a universal screening program was to be implemented (Scenario C), it would prevent 38,347 blindness cases, gain 172,090 QALYs and save AU$595.8 m, leading to a BCR of 3.96 and NMB of AU$9,200 m. Similar findings were also reported in the Indigenous population. With the status quo, 3,396 Indigenous individuals would develop blindness, which would cost the health system AU$796.0 m during 2020-2060. All three intervention scenarios were cost-saving for the Indigenous population. Notably, universal AI-based DR screening (Scenario C) would prevent 1,211 blindness cases and gain 9,800 QALYs in the Indigenous population, leading to a saving of AU$19.2 m with a BCR of 1.62 and NMB of AU$509 m. Interpretation: Our findings suggest that implementing AI-based DR screening in primary care is highly effective and cost-saving in both Indigenous and non-Indigenous populations. Funding: This project received grant funding from the Australian Government: the National Critical Research Infrastructure Initiative, Medical Research Future Fund (MRFAI00035) and the NHMRC Investigator Grant (APP1175405). The contents of the published material are solely the responsibility of the Administering Institution, a participating institution or individual authors and do not reflect the views of the NHMRC. This work was supported by the Global STEM Professorship Scheme (P0046113), the Fundamental Research Funds of the State Key Laboratory of Ophthalmology, Project of Investigation on Health Status of Employees in Financial Industry in Guangzhou, China (Z012014075). The Centre for Eye Research Australia receives Operational Infrastructure Support from the Victorian State Government. W.H. is supported by the Melbourne Research Scholarship established by the University of Melbourne. The funding source had no role in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript; and decision to submit the manuscript for publication.
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BACKGROUND: Little is known regarding the leading risk factors for dementia/Alzheimer's disease (AD) in individuals with and without APOE4. The identification of key risk factors for dementia/Alzheimer's disease (AD) in individuals with and without the APOE4 gene is of significant importance in global health. METHODS: Our analysis included 110,354 APOE4 carriers and 220,708 age- and sex-matched controls aged 40-73 years at baseline (between 2006-2010) from UK Biobank. Incident dementia was ascertained using hospital inpatient, or death records until January 2021. Individuals of non-European ancestry were excluded. Furthermore, individuals without medical record linkage were excluded from the analysis. Moderation analysis was tested for 134 individual factors. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 11.9 years, 4,764 cases of incident all-cause dementia and 2065 incident AD cases were documented. Hazard ratios (95% CIs) for all-cause dementia and AD associated with APOE4 were 2.70(2.55-2.85) and 3.72(3.40-4.07), respectively. In APOE4 carriers, the leading risk factors for all-cause dementia included low self-rated overall health, low household income, high multimorbidity risk score, long-term illness, high neutrophil percentage, and high nitrogen dioxide air pollution. In non-APOE4 carriers, the leading risk factors included high multimorbidity risk score, low overall self-rated health, low household income, long-term illness, high microalbumin in urine, high neutrophil count, and low greenspace percentage. Population attributable risk for these individual risk factors combined was 65.1%, and 85.8% in APOE4 and non-APOE4 carriers, respectively. For 20 risk factors including multimorbidity risk score, unhealthy lifestyle habits, and particulate matter air pollutants, their associations with incident dementia were stronger in non-APOE4 carriers. For only 2 risk factors (mother's history of dementia, low C-reactive protein), their associations with incident all-cause dementia were stronger in APOE4 carriers. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings provide evidence for personalized preventative approaches to dementia/AD in APOE4 and non-APOE4 carriers. A mother's history of dementia and low levels of C-reactive protein were more important risk factors of dementia in APOE4 carriers whereas leading risk factors including unhealthy lifestyle habits, multimorbidity risk score, inflammation and immune-related markers were more predictive of dementia in non-APOE4 carriers.
Assuntos
Doença de Alzheimer , Humanos , Doença de Alzheimer/genética , Apolipoproteína E4/genética , Biomarcadores , Proteína C-Reativa/análise , Genótipo , Estudos RetrospectivosRESUMO
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: To assess the relationship between frailty phenotypes and the risk of MVD among prediabetics in two prospective cohorts. METHODS: The study included 66,068 and 226 participants with prediabetes from the UK Biobank (UKB) and Chinese Ocular Imaging Project (COIP) in Guangzhou, China, respectively. Frailty was evaluated using the Fried phenotype, which includes weight loss, fatigue, low grip strength, low physical activity, and slow walking pace. The outcome was incident microvascular diseases, including diabetic retinopathy, nephropathy, and neuropathy in UKB, and decline rate of retinal capillary density in COIP. Cox models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95 % confidential intervals (CIs), and mixed linear model was used to determine the ß and 95 % CIs. RESULTS: At baseline, 27,491 (41.6 %) and 3332 (5.0 %) prediabetics were classified as pre-frail and frail, respectively in UKB. During a median follow-up of 8.9 years, 3784 cases of incident microvascular diseases were identified. Pre-frailty and frailty were significantly associated with a higher risk of microvascular diseases (HR 1.21 [1.12, 1.30] for pre-frailty; HR 1.60 [1.42, 1.81] for frailty). Compared to no frailty, the adjusted HRs for frailty were 1.42 (0.73, 2.76) for retinopathy, 1.49 (1.31, 1.70) for nephropathy, and 2.37 (1.69, 3.33) for neuropathy. Fatigue and walking pace were the strongest mediators of frailty and microvascular diseases. In the COIP, the lowest handgrip strength group exhibited 62%-63 % faster annually decline in retinal capillary density compared with the highest group (all P<0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Each frailty point is important for prediabetics because both pre-frailty and frailty phenotypes are strongly associated with an increased risk of microvascular diseases and its subtypes. Lower handgrip strength presents with faster decline in retinal capillary density.