Natural History, Phenotype Spectrum and Clinical Outcomes of Desmin (DES)-Associated Cardiomyopathy.

Background: Pathogenic/likely pathogenic (P/LP) desmin (DES) variants cause heterogeneous cardiomyopathy and/or skeletal myopathy phenotypes. Limited data suggest a high incidence of major adverse cardiac events (MACE), including cardiac conduction disease (CCD), sustained ventricular arrhythmias (VA), and heart failure (HF) events (HF hospitalization, LVAD/cardiac transplant, HF-related death), in patients with P/LP DES variants. However, pleiotropic presentation and small cohort sizes have limited clinical phenotype and outcome characterization. Objectives: We aimed to describe the natural history, phenotype spectrum, familial penetrance and outcomes in patients with P/LP DES variants through a systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis using published reports. Methods: We searched Medline (PubMed) and Embase for studies that evaluated cardiac phenotypes in patients with P/LP DES variants. Cardiomyopathy diagnosis or occurrence of MACE were considered evidence of cardiac involvement/penetrance. Lifetime event-free survival from CCD, sustained VA, HF events, and composite MACE was assessed. Results: Out of 4,212 screened publications, 71 met the inclusion criteria. A total of 230 patients were included (52.6% male, 52.2% probands, median age: 31 years [22.0; 42.8] at first evaluation, median follow-up: 3 years [0; 11.0]). Overall, 124 (53.9%) patients were diagnosed with cardiomyopathy, predominantly dilated cardiomyopathy (14.8%), followed by restrictive cardiomyopathy (13.5%), whereas other forms were less common: arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy (7.0%), hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (6.1%), arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (5.2%), and other forms (7.4%). Overall, 132 (57.4%) patients developed MACE, with 96 [41.7%] having CCD, 36 [15.7%] sustained VA, and 43 [18.7%] HF events. Familial penetrance of cardiac disease was 63.6% among relatives with P/LP DES variants. Male sex was associated with increased risk of sustained VA (HR 2.28, p=0.02) and HF events (HR 2.45, p=0.008). Conclusions: DES cardiomyopathy exhibits heterogeneous phenotypes and distinct natural history, characterized by high familial penetrance and substantial MACE burden. Male patients face higher risk of sustained VA events.

Natural Course of Electrocardiographic Features in Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Cardiomyopathy and Their Relation to Ventricular Arrhythmic Events.

BACKGROUND: Electrocardiographic abnormalities are common in arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy and are included in the 2010 Task Force Criteria. Their time course, however, remains uncertain. In this retrospective observational study, we aimed to assess the long-term evolution of electrocardiographic characteristics and their relation to ventricular arrhythmias. METHODS AND RESULTS: Three hundred fifty-three patients with arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy as per the 2010 Task Force Criteria with 6871 automatically processed 12-lead digital ECGs were included. The relationship between the electrocardiographic parameters and the risk of ventricular arrhythmias was assessed at 10 years from the first ECG. Electrocardiographic parameters were compared between the first contact ECG, the ECG at diagnosis, and the most recent ECG. Median time between the first and the latest ECG was 6 [interquartile range, 1-14] years. Reductions of QRS voltage, R- and T-wave amplitudes between the first, diagnostic, and the latest ECGs were observed across precordial and extremity leads. Mean QRS duration increased from 96 to 102 ms (P<0.001), terminal activation duration (V1) from 47 to 52 ms (P<0.001), and QTc from 419 to 432 ms (P<0.001). T-wave inversions in leads V3 to V6 and aVF at first ECG were associated with ventricular arrhythmias (adjusted hazard ratio [HRadj][V3], 2.03 [95% CI, 1.23-3.34] and HRadj[aVF], 1.87 [95% CI, 1.13-3.08]). CONCLUSIONS: Depolarization and repolarization parameters evolved over time in patients with arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy, supporting the progressive nature of arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy. Electrocardiographic abnormalities may be detected before diagnosis and might, although not fulfilling the 2010 Task Force Criteria, be markers of early disease. T-wave inversion in leads V3 or aVF before diagnosis was associated with ventricular arrhythmias during follow-up.

Diagnostic value of late gadolinium enhancement at cardiovascular magnetic resonance to distinguish arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy from differentials.

BACKGROUND: While late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) is proposed as a diagnostic criterion for arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC), the potential of LGE to distinguish ARVC from differentials remains unknown. We aimed to assess the diagnostic value of LGE for ARVC diagnosis. METHODS: We included 132 subjects (60% male, 47 ± 11 years) who had undergone cardiac magnetic resonance imaging with LGE assessment for ARVC or ARVC differentials. ARVC was diagnosed as per 2010 Task Force Criteria (n = 55). ARVC differentials consisted of familial/genetic dilated cardiomyopathy (n = 25), myocarditis (n = 13), sarcoidosis (n = 20), and amyloidosis (n = 19). The diagnosis of all differentials was based on the most current standard of reference. The presence of LGE was evaluated using a 7-segment right ventricle (RV) and 17-segment left ventricle (LV) model. Subsequently, we assessed LGE patterns for every patient individually for fulfilling LV- and/or RV-LGE per Padua criteria, independent of their clinical diagnosis (i.e. phenotype). Diagnostic values were analyzed using sensitivity and specificity for any RV-LGE, any LV-LGE, RV-LGE per Padua criteria, and prevalence graphs for LV-LGE per Padua criteria. The optimal integration of LGE for ARVC diagnosis was determined using classification and regression tree analysis. RESULTS: One-third (38%) of ARVC patients had RV-LGE, while half (51%) had LV-LGE. RV-LGE was less frequently observed in ARVC vs non-ARVC patients (38% vs 58%, p = 0.034) leading to a poor discriminatory potential (any RV-LGE: sensitivity 38%, specificity 42%; RV-LGE per Padua criteria: sensitivity 36%, specificity 44%). Compared to ARVC patients, non-ARVC patients more often had LV-LGE (91% vs 51%, p < 0.001) which was also more globally distributed (median 9 [interquartile range (IQR): 3-13] vs 0 [IQR: 0-3] segments, p < 0.001). The absence of anteroseptal and absence of extensive (≥5 segments) mid-myocardial LV-LGE, and absence of moderate (≥2 segments) mid-myocardial LV-LGE predicted ARVC with good diagnostic performance (sensitivity 93%, specificity 78%). CONCLUSION: LGE is often present in ARVC differentials and may lead to false positive diagnoses when used without knowledge of LGE patterns. Moderate RV-LGE without anteroseptal and mid-myocardial LV-LGE is typically observed in ARVC.

Long-Term Arrhythmic Follow-Up and Risk Stratification of Patients With Desmoplakin-Associated Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Cardiomyopathy.

Background: Patients with likely pathogenic/pathogenic desmoplakin (DSP) variants are poorly characterized. Some of them meet diagnostic criteria for arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC), but it is unclear how risk stratification strategies for ARVC perform in this setting. Objectives: The purpose of this study was to characterize arrhythmic outcomes and to test the performance of the recently validated ARVC risk calculator in patients with DSP likely pathogenic/pathogenic variants fulfilling definite 2010 ARVC Task Force Criteria (DSP-TFC+). Methods: DSP-TFC+ patients were enrolled from 20 institutions across 3 continents. Ventricular arrhythmias (VA), defined as a composite of sustained ventricular tachycardia (VT), appropriate implantable cardioverter defibrillator therapies, and ventricular fibrillation/sudden cardiac death events in follow-up, were reported as the primary outcome. We tested the performance of the ARVC risk calculator for VA prediction, reporting c-statistics. Results: Among 252 DSP-TFC+ patients (age 39.6 ± 16.9 years, 35.3% male), 94 (37.3%) experienced VA over 44.5 [IQR: 19.6-78.3] months. Patients with left ventricle involvement (n = 194) were at higher VA risk (log-rank P = 0.0239). History of nonsustained VT (aHR 2.097; P = 0.004) showed the strongest association with VA occurrence during the first 5-year follow-up. Neither age (P = 0.723) nor male sex (P = 0.200) was associated with VAs at follow-up. In 204 patients without VA at diagnosis, incident VA rate was high (32.8%; 7.37%/y). The ARVC risk calculator performed poorly overall (c-statistic 0.604 [0.594-0.614]) and very poorly in patients with left ventricular disease (c-statistic 0.558 [0.556-0.560]). Conclusions: DSP-TFC+ patients are at substantial risk for VAs. The ARVC risk calculator performs poorly in DSP-TFC+ patients suggesting need for a gene-specific risk algorithm. Meanwhile, DSP-TFC+ patients with nonsustained VT should be considered as high-risk.

Evaluation of the 2021 ESC recommendations for family screening in hereditary transthyretin cardiac amyloidosis.

AIMS: The 2021 European Society of Cardiology (ESC) screening recommendations for individuals carrying a pathogenic transthyretin amyloidosis variant (ATTRv) are based on expert opinion. We aimed to (i) determine the penetrance of ATTRv cardiomyopathy (ATTRv-CM) at baseline; (ii) examine the value of serial evaluation; and (iii) establish the yield of first-line diagnostic tests (i.e. electrocardiogram, echocardiogram, and laboratory tests) as per 2021 ESC position statement. METHODS AND RESULTS: We included 159 relatives (median age 55.6 [43.2-65.9] years, 52% male) at risk for ATTRv-CM from 10 centres. The primary endpoint, ATTRv-CM diagnosis, was defined as the presence of (i) cardiac tracer uptake in bone scintigraphy; or (ii) transthyretin-positive cardiac biopsy. The secondary endpoint was a composite of heart failure (New York Heart Association class ≥II) and pacemaker-requiring conduction disorders. At baseline, 40/159 (25%) relatives were diagnosed with ATTRv-CM. Of those, 20 (50%) met the secondary endpoint. Indication to screen (≤10 years prior to predicted disease onset and absence of extracardiac amyloidosis) had an excellent negative predictive value (97%). Other pre-screening predictors for ATTRv-CM were infrequently identified variants and male sex. Importantly, 13% of relatives with ATTRv-CM did not show any signs of cardiac involvement on first-line diagnostic tests. The yield of serial evaluation (n = 41 relatives; follow-up 3.1 [2.2-5.2] years) at 3-year interval was 9.4%. CONCLUSIONS: Screening according to the 2021 ESC position statement performs well in daily clinical practice. Clinicians should adhere to repeating bone scintigraphy after 3 years, as progressing to ATTRv-CM without signs of ATTRv-CM on first-line diagnostic tests or symptoms is common.

ECG-only explainable deep learning algorithm predicts the risk for malignant ventricular arrhythmia in phospholamban cardiomyopathy.

BACKGROUND: Phospholamban (PLN) p.(Arg14del) variant carriers are at risk for development of malignant ventricular arrhythmia (MVA). Accurate risk stratification allows timely implantation of intracardiac defibrillators and is currently performed with a multimodality prediction model. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate whether an explainable deep learning-based approach allows risk prediction with only electrocardiogram (ECG) data. METHODS: A total of 679 PLN p.(Arg14del) carriers without MVA at baseline were identified. A deep learning-based variational auto-encoder, trained on 1.1 million ECGs, was used to convert the 12-lead baseline ECG into its FactorECG, a compressed version of the ECG that summarizes it into 32 explainable factors. Prediction models were developed by Cox regression. RESULTS: The deep learning-based ECG-only approach was able to predict MVA with a C statistic of 0.79 (95% CI, 0.76-0.83), comparable to the current prediction model (C statistic, 0.83 [95% CI, 0.79-0.88]; P = .054) and outperforming a model based on conventional ECG parameters (low-voltage ECG and negative T waves; C statistic, 0.65 [95% CI, 0.58-0.73]; P < .001). Clinical simulations showed that a 2-step approach, with ECG-only screening followed by a full workup, resulted in 60% less additional diagnostics while outperforming the multimodal prediction model in all patients. A visualization tool was created to provide interactive visualizations (https://pln.ecgx.ai). CONCLUSION: Our deep learning-based algorithm based on ECG data only accurately predicts the occurrence of MVA in PLN p.(Arg14del) carriers, enabling more efficient stratification of patients who need additional diagnostic testing and follow-up.

Arrhythmic risk stratification in arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy.

Arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) is a heritable cardiomyopathy characterized by a predominantly arrhythmic presentation. It represents the leading cause of sudden cardiac death (SCD) among athletes and poses a significant morbidity threat in the general population. As a causative treatment for ARVC is still not available, the placement of an implantable cardioverter defibrillator represents the current cornerstone for SCD prevention in this setting. Thanks to international ARVC-dedicated efforts, significant steps have been achieved in recent years towards an individualized, patient-centred risk stratification approach. A novel risk calculator algorithm estimating the 5-year risk of arrhythmias of patients with ARVC has been introduced in clinical practice and subsequently validated. The purpose of this article is to summarize the body of evidence that has allowed the development of this tool and to discuss the best way to implement its use in the care of an individual patient.

The arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy phenotype associated with PKP2 c.1211dup variant.

BACKGROUND: The arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy (ACM) phenotype, with life-threatening ventricular arrhythmias and heart failure, varies according to genetic aetiology. We aimed to characterise the phenotype associated with the variant c.1211dup (p.Val406Serfs*4) in the plakophilin­2 gene (PKP2) and compare it with previously reported Dutch PKP2 founder variants. METHODS: Clinical data were collected retrospectively from medical records of 106 PKP2 c.1211dup heterozygous carriers. Using data from the Netherlands ACM Registry, c.1211dup was compared with 3 other truncating PKP2 variants (c.235C > T (p.Arg79*), c.397C > T (p.Gln133*) and c.2489+1G > A (p.?)). RESULTS: Of the 106 carriers, 47 (44%) were diagnosed with ACM, at a mean age of 41 years. By the end of follow-up, 29 (27%) had experienced sustained ventricular arrhythmias and 12 (11%) had developed heart failure, with male carriers showing significantly higher risks than females on these endpoints (p < 0.05). Based on available cardiac magnetic resonance imaging and echocardiographic data, 46% of the carriers showed either right ventricular dilatation and/or dysfunction, whereas a substantial minority (37%) had some form of left ventricular involvement. Both geographical distribution of carriers and haplotype analysis suggested PKP2 c.1211dup to be a founder variant originating from the South-Western coast of the Netherlands. Finally, a Cox proportional hazards model suggested significant differences in ventricular arrhythmia-free survival between 4 PKP2 founder variants, including c.1211dup. CONCLUSIONS: The PKP2 c.1211dup variant is a Dutch founder variant associated with a typical right-dominant ACM phenotype, but also left ventricular involvement, and a possibly more severe phenotype than other Dutch PKP2 founder variants.

The added value of abnormal regional myocardial function for risk prediction in arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy.

AIMS: A risk calculator for individualized prediction of first-time sustained ventricular arrhythmia (VA) in arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) patients has recently been developed and validated (www.ARVCrisk.com). This study aimed to investigate whether regional functional abnormalities, measured by echocardiographic deformation imaging, can provide additional prognostic value. METHODS AND RESULTS: From two referral centres, 150 consecutive patients with a definite ARVC diagnosis, no prior sustained VA, and an echocardiogram suitable for deformation analysis were included (aged 41 ± 17 years, 50% female). During a median follow-up of 6.3 (interquartile range 3.1-9.8) years, 37 (25%) experienced a first-time sustained VA. All tested left and right ventricular (LV and RV) deformation parameters were univariate predictors for first-time VA. While LV function did not add predictive value in multivariate analysis, two RV deformation parameters did; RV free wall longitudinal strain and regional RV deformation patterns remained independent predictors after adjusting for the calculator-predicted risk [hazard ratio 1.07 (95% CI 1.02-1.11); P = 0.004 and 4.45 (95% CI 1.07-18.57); P = 0.040, respectively] and improved its discriminative value (from C-statistic 0.78 to 0.82 in both; Akaike information criterion change > 2). Importantly, all patients who experienced VA within 5 years from the echocardiographic assessment had abnormal regional RV deformation patterns at baseline. CONCLUSIONS: This study showed that regional functional abnormalities measured by echocardiographic deformation imaging can further refine personalized arrhythmic risk prediction when added to the ARVC risk calculator. The excellent negative predictive value of normal RV deformation could support clinicians considering the timing of implantable cardioverter defibrillator implantation in patients with intermediate arrhythmic risk.

Druggable proteins influencing cardiac structure and function: Implications for heart failure therapies and cancer cardiotoxicity.

Dysfunction of either the right or left ventricle can lead to heart failure (HF) and subsequent morbidity and mortality. We performed a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of 16 cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging measurements of biventricular function and structure. Cis-Mendelian randomization (MR) was used to identify plasma proteins associating with CMR traits as well as with any of the following cardiac outcomes: HF, non-ischemic cardiomyopathy, dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM), atrial fibrillation, or coronary heart disease. In total, 33 plasma proteins were prioritized, including repurposing candidates for DCM and/or HF: IL18R (providing indirect evidence for IL18), I17RA, GPC5, LAMC2, PA2GA, CD33, and SLAF7. In addition, 13 of the 25 druggable proteins (52%; 95% confidence interval, 0.31 to 0.72) could be mapped to compounds with known oncological indications or side effects. These findings provide leads to facilitate drug development for cardiac disease and suggest that cardiotoxicities of several cancer treatments might represent mechanism-based adverse effects.

Individualized Family Screening for Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Cardiomyopathy.

BACKGROUND: Clinical guidelines recommend regular screening for arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) to monitor at-risk relatives, resulting in a significant burden on clinical resources. Prioritizing relatives on their probability of developing definite ARVC may provide more efficient patient care. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to determine the predictors and probability of ARVC development over time among at-risk relatives. METHODS: A total of 136 relatives (46% men, median age 25.5 years [IQR: 15.8-44.4 years]) from the Netherlands Arrhythmogenic Cardiomyopathy Registry without definite ARVC by 2010 task force criteria were included. Phenotype was ascertained using electrocardiography, Holter monitoring, and cardiac imaging. Subjects were divided into groups with "possible ARVC" (only genetic or familial predisposition) and "borderline ARVC" (1 minor task force criterion plus genetic or familial predisposition). Cox regression was performed to determine predictors and multistate modeling to assess the probability of ARVC development. Results were replicated in an unrelated Italian cohort (57% men, median age 37.0 years [IQR: 25.4-50.4 years]). RESULTS: At baseline, 93 subjects (68%) had possible ARVC, and 43 (32%) had borderline ARVC. Follow-up was available for 123 relatives (90%). After 8.1 years (IQR: 4.2-11.4 years), 41 (33%) had developed definite ARVC. Independent of baseline phenotype, symptomatic subjects (P = 0.014) and those 20 to 30 years of age (P = 0.002) had a higher hazard of developing definite ARVC. Furthermore, patients with borderline ARVC had a higher probability of developing definite ARVC compared with those with possible ARVC (1-year probability 13% vs 0.6%, 3-year probability 35% vs 5%; P < 0.01). External replication showed comparable results (P > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Symptomatic relatives, those 20 to 30 years of age, and those with borderline ARVC have a higher probability of developing definite ARVC. These patients may benefit from more frequent follow-up, while others may be monitored less often.

Circulating Biomarkers of Fibrosis Formation in Patients with Arrhythmogenic Cardiomyopathy.

Arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy (ACM) is a progressive inheritable disease which is characterized by a gradual fibro-(fatty) replacement of the myocardium. Visualization of diffuse and patchy fibrosis patterns is challenging using clinically applied cardiac imaging modalities (e.g., late gadolinium enhancement, LGE). During collagen synthesis and breakdown, carboxy-peptides are released into the bloodstream, specifically procollagen type-I carboxy-terminal propeptides (PICP) and collagen type-I carboxy-terminal telopeptides (ICTP). We collected the serum and EDTA blood samples and clinical data of 45 ACM patients (age 50.11 ± 15.53 years, 44% female), divided into 35 diagnosed ACM patients with a 2010 ARVC Task Force Criteria score (TFC) ≥ 4, and 10 preclinical variant carriers with a TFC < 4. PICP levels were measured using an enzyme-linked immune sorbent assay and ICTP levels with a radio immunoassay. Increased PICP/ICTP ratios suggest a higher collagen deposition. We found significantly higher PICP and PICP/ICTP levels in diagnosed patients compared to preclinical variant carriers (p < 0.036 and p < 0.027). A moderate negative correlation existed between right ventricular ejection fractions (RVEF) and the PICP/ICTP ratio (r = -0.46, p = 0.06). In addition, significant correlations with left ventricular function (LVEF r = -0.53, p = 0.03 and end-systolic volume r = 0.63, p = 0.02) were found. These findings indicate impaired contractile performance due to pro-fibrotic remodeling. Follow-up studies including a larger number of patients should be performed to substantiate our findings and the validity of those levels as potential promising biomarkers in ACM.

Electrocardiographic findings in patients with arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy and right bundle branch block ventricular tachycardia.

AIMS: Little is known about patients with right bundle branch block (RBBB)-ventricular tachycardia (VT) and arrhythmogenic cardiomyopathy (ACM). Our aims were: (i) to describe electrocardiogram (ECG) characteristics of sinus rhythm (SR) and VT; (ii) to correlate SR with RBBB-VT ECGs; and (iii) to compare VT ECGs with electro-anatomic mapping (EAM) data. METHODS AND RESULTS: From the European Survey on ACM, 70 patients with spontaneous RBBB-VT were included. Putative left ventricular (LV) sites of origin (SOOs) were estimated with a VT-axis-derived methodology and confirmed by EAM data when available. Overall, 49 (70%) patients met definite Task Force Criteria. Low QRS voltage predominated in lateral leads (n = 37, 55%), but QRS fragmentation was more frequent in inferior leads (n = 15, 23%). T-wave inversion (TWI) was equally frequent in inferior (n = 28, 42%) and lateral (n = 27, 40%) leads. TWI in inferior leads was associated with reduced LV ejection fraction (LVEF; 46 ± 10 vs. 53 ± 8, P = 0.02). Regarding SOOs, the inferior wall harboured 31 (46%) SOOs, followed by the lateral wall (n = 17, 25%), the anterior wall (n = 15, 22%), and the septum (n = 4, 6%). EAM data were available for 16 patients and showed good concordance with the putative SOOs. In all patients with superior-axis RBBB-VT who underwent endo-epicardial VT activation mapping, VT originated from the LV. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with ACM and RBBB-VT, RBBB-VTs originated mainly from the inferior and lateral LV walls. SR depolarization and repolarization abnormalities were frequent and associated with underlying variants.

Towards automatic classification of cardiovascular magnetic resonance Task Force Criteria for diagnosis of arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy.

BACKGROUND: Arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) is diagnosed according to the Task Force Criteria (TFC) in which cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging plays an important role. Our study aims to apply an automatic deep learning-based segmentation for right and left ventricular CMR assessment and evaluate this approach for classification of the CMR TFC. METHODS: We included 227 subjects suspected of ARVC who underwent CMR. Subjects were classified into (1) ARVC patients fulfilling TFC; (2) at-risk family members; and (3) controls. To perform automatic segmentation, a Bayesian Dilated Residual Neural Network was trained and tested. Performance of automatic versus manual segmentation was assessed using Dice-coefficient and Hausdorff distance. Since automatic segmentation is most challenging in basal slices, manual correction of the automatic segmentation in the most basal slice was simulated (automatic-basal). CMR TFC calculated using manual and automatic-basal segmentation were compared using Cohen's Kappa (κ). RESULTS: Automatic segmentation was trained on CMRs of 70 subjects (39.6 ± 18.1 years, 47% female) and tested on 157 subjects (36.9 ± 17.6 years, 59% female). Dice-coefficient and Hausdorff distance showed good agreement between manual and automatic segmentations (≥ 0.89 and ≤ 10.6 mm, respectively) which further improved after simulated correction of the most basal slice (≥ 0.92 and ≤ 9.2 mm, p < 0.001). Pearson correlation of volumetric and functional CMR measurements was good to excellent (automatic (r = 0.78-0.99, p < 0.001) and automatic-basal (r = 0.88-0.99, p < 0.001) measurements). CMR TFC classification using automatic-basal segmentations was comparable to manual segmentations (κ 0.98 ± 0.02) with comparable diagnostic performance. CONCLUSIONS: Combining automatic segmentation of CMRs with correction of the most basal slice results in accurate CMR TFC classification of subjects suspected of ARVC.

Programmed Ventricular Stimulation as an Additional Primary Prevention Risk Stratification Tool in Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Cardiomyopathy: A Multinational Study.

BACKGROUND: A novel risk calculator based on clinical characteristics and noninvasive tests that predicts the onset of clinical sustained ventricular arrhythmias (VA) in patients with arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) has been proposed and validated by recent studies. It remains unknown whether programmed ventricular stimulation (PVS) provides additional prognostic value. METHODS: All patients with a definite ARVC diagnosis, no history of sustained VAs at diagnosis, and PVS performed at baseline were extracted from 6 international ARVC registries. The calculator-predicted risk for sustained VA (sustained or implantable cardioverter defibrillator treated ventricular tachycardia [VT] or fibrillation, [aborted] sudden cardiac arrest) was assessed in all patients. Independent and combined performance of the risk calculator and PVS on sustained VA were assessed during a 5-year follow-up period. RESULTS: Two hundred eighty-eight patients (41.0±14.5 years, 55.9% male, right ventricular ejection fraction 42.5±11.1%) were enrolled. At PVS, 137 (47.6%) patients had inducible ventricular tachycardia. During a median of 5.31 [2.89-10.17] years of follow-up, 83 (60.6%) patients with a positive PVS and 37 (24.5%) with a negative PVS experienced sustained VA (P<0.001). Inducible ventricular tachycardia predicted clinical sustained VA during the 5-year follow-up and remained an independent predictor after accounting for the calculator-predicted risk (HR, 2.52 [1.58-4.02]; P<0.001). Compared with ARVC risk calculator predictions in isolation (C-statistic 0.72), addition of PVS inducibility showed improved prediction of VA events (C-statistic 0.75; log-likelihood ratio for nested models, P<0.001). PVS inducibility had a 76% [67-84] sensitivity and 68% [61-74] specificity, corresponding to log-likelihood ratios of 2.3 and 0.36 for inducible (likelihood ratio+) and noninducible (likelihood ratio-) patients, respectively. In patients with a ARVC risk calculator-predicted risk of clinical VA events <25% during 5 years (ie, low/intermediate subgroup), PVS had a 92.6% negative predictive value. CONCLUSIONS: PVS significantly improved risk stratification above and beyond the calculator-predicted risk of VA in a primary prevention cohort of patients with ARVC, mainly for patients considered to be at low and intermediate risk by the clinical risk calculator.

Longitudinal Prediction of Ventricular Arrhythmic Risk in Patients With Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Cardiomyopathy.

BACKGROUND: The arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) risk calculator stratifies risk for incident sustained ventricular arrhythmias (VA) at the time of ARVC diagnosis. However, included risk factors change over time, and how well the ARVC risk calculator performs at follow-up is unknown. METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis of patients with definite ARVC and without prior sustained VA. Risk factors for VA including age, nonsustained ventricular tachycardia, premature ventricular complex burden, T-wave inversions on electrocardiogram, cardiac syncope, right ventricular function, therapeutic medication use, and exercise intensity were assessed at the time of 2010 Task Force Criteria based ARVC diagnosis and upon repeat evaluations. Changes in these risk factors were analyzed over 5-year follow-up. The 5-year risk of VA was predicted longitudinally using (1) the baseline ARVC risk calculator prediction, (2) the ARVC risk prediction calculated using updated risk factors, and (3) time-varying Cox regression. Discrimination and calibration were assessed in comparison to observed VA event rates. RESULTS: Four hundred eight patients with ARVC experiencing 132 primary VA events were included. Matched comparison of risk factors at baseline versus at 5 years of follow-up revealed decreased burdens of premature ventricular complexes (-1200/day) and nonsustained ventricular tachycardia (-14%). Presence of significant right ventricular dysfunction and number of T-wave inversions on electrocardiogram were unchanged. Observed risk for VA decreased by 13% by 5 years follow-up. The baseline ARVC risk calculator's ability to predict 5-year VA risk worsened during follow-up (C statistics, 0.83 at diagnosis versus 0.68 at 5 years). Both the updated ARVC risk calculator (C statistics of 0.77) and time-varying Cox regression model (C statistics, 0.77) had strong discrimination. The updated ARVC risk calculator overestimated 5-year VA risk by an average of +6%. CONCLUSIONS: Risk factors for VA in ARVC are dynamic, and overall risk for incident sustained VA decreases during follow-up. Up-to-date risk factor assessment improves VA risk stratification.