Adding ethnicity to cardiovascular risk prediction: External validation and model updating of SCORE2 using data from the HELIUS population cohort.

BACKGROUND: Current prediction models for mainland Europe do not include ethnicity, despite ethnic disparities in cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. SCORE2 performance was evaluated across the largest ethnic groups in the Netherlands and ethnic backgrounds were added to the model. METHODS: 11,614 participants, aged between 40 and 70 years without CVD, from the population-based multi-ethnic HELIUS study were included. Fine and Gray models were used to calculate sub-distribution hazard ratios (SHR) for South-Asian Surinamese, African Surinamese, Ghanaian, Turkish and Moroccan origin groups, representing their CVD risk relative to the Dutch group, on top of individual SCORE2 risk predictions. Model performance was evaluated by discrimination, calibration and net reclassification index (NRI). RESULTS: Overall, 274 fatal and non-fatal CVD events, and 146 non-cardiovascular deaths were observed during a median of 7.8 years follow-up (IQR 6.8-8.8). SHRs for CVD events were 1.86 (95 % CI 1.31-2.65) for the South-Asian Surinamese, 1.09 (95 % CI 0.76-1.56) for the African-Surinamese, 1.48 (95 % CI 0.94-2.31) for the Ghanaian, 1.63 (95 % CI 1.09-2.44) for the Turkish, and 0.67 (95 % CI 0.39-1.18) for the Moroccan origin groups. Adding ethnicity to SCORE2 yielded comparable calibration and discrimination [0.764 (95 % CI 0.735-0.792) vs. 0.769 (95 % CI 0.740-0.797)]. The NRI for adding ethnicity to SCORE2 was 0.24 (95 % CI 0.18-0.31) for events and - 0.12 (95 % CI -0.13-0.12) for non-events. CONCLUSIONS: Adding ethnicity to the SCORE2 risk prediction model in a middle-aged, multi-ethnic Dutch population did not improve overall discrimination but improved risk classification, potentially helping to address CVD disparities through timely treatment.

Adverse Lipid Profiles Are Associated with Lower Dementia Risk in Older People.

OBJECTIVE: Midlife dyslipidemia is associated with higher risk of dementia in late-life dementia, but the impact of late-life dyslipidemia on dementia risk is uncertain. This may be due to the large heterogeneity in cholesterol measures and study designs employed. We used detailed data from a large prospective cohort of older persons to comprehensively assess the relation between a broad range of cholesterol measures and incident dementia, addressing potential biases, confounders, and modifiers. DESIGN: Post hoc observational analysis based on data from a dementia prevention trial (PreDIVA). SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: 3392 community-dwelling individuals, without dementia, aged 70-78 years at baseline (recruited between June 2006 and March 2009). METHODS: Total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), triglycerides, and apolipoprotein A1 and B were assessed. Over a median of 6.7 years' follow-up, dementia was established by clinical diagnosis confirmed by independent outcome adjudication. Hazard ratios (HRs) for dementia and mortality were calculated using Cox regression. RESULTS: Dementia occurred in 231 (7%) participants. One-SD increase in LDL/HDL conveyed a 19% (P = .01) lower dementia risk and a 10% (P = .02) lower risk of dementia/mortality combined. This was independent of age, cardiovascular risk factors, cognitive function, apolipoprotein E genotype, and cholesterol-lowering drugs (CLD). This association was not influenced by the competing risk of mortality. Consistent and significant interactions suggested these associations were predominant in individuals with low body mass index (BMI) and higher education. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: Dyslipidemia in older individuals was associated with a lower risk of dementia. Low BMI and higher education level mitigate poor outcomes associated with dyslipidemia. These findings suggest that a different approach may be appropriate for interpreting lipid profiles that are conventionally considered adverse in older adults. Such an approach may aid predicting dementia risk and designing intervention studies aimed at reducing dementia risk in older populations.

Antihypertensive medication classes and risk of incident dementia in primary care patients: a longitudinal cohort study in the Netherlands.

Background: Hypertension is a modifiable risk factor for dementia affecting over 70% of individuals older than 60. Lowering dementia risk through preferential treatment with antihypertensive medication (AHM) classes that are otherwise equivalent in indication could offer a cost-effective, safe, and accessible approach to reducing dementia incidence globally. Certain AHM-classes have been associated with lower dementia risk, potentially attributable to angiotensin-II-receptor (Ang-II) stimulating properties. Previous study results have been inconclusive, possibly due to heterogeneous methodology and limited power. We aimed to comprehensively investigate associations between AHM (sub-)classes and dementia risk using large-scale continuous, real-world prescription and outcome data from primary care. Methods: We used data from three Dutch General Practice Registration Networks. Primary endpoints were clinical diagnosis of incident all-cause dementia and mortality. Using Cox regression analysis with time-dependent covariates, we compared the use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEi) to angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs), beta blockers, calcium channel blockers (CCBs), and diuretics; and Ang-II-stimulating- to Ang-II-inhibiting AHM. Findings: Of 133,355 AHM-using participants, 5877 (4.4%) developed dementia, and 14,079 (10.6%) died during a median follow-up of 7.6 [interquartile range = 4.1-11.0] years. Compared to ACEi, ARBs [HR = 0.86 (95% CI = 0.80-0.92)], beta blockers [HR = 0.81 (95% CI = 0.75-0.87)], CCBs [HR = 0.77 (95% CI = 0.71-0.84)], and diuretics [HR = 0.65 (95% CI = 0.61-0.70)] were associated with significantly lower dementia risks. Regarding competing risk of death, beta blockers [HR = 1.21 (95% CI = 1.15-1.27)] and diuretics [HR = 1.69 (95% CI = 1.60-1.78)] were associated with higher, CCBs with similar, and ARBs with lower [HR = 0.83 (95% CI = 0.80-0.87)] mortality risk. Dementia [HR = 0.88 (95% CI = 0.82-0.95)] and mortality risk [HR = 0.86 (95% CI = 0.82-0.91)] were lower for Ang-II-stimulating versus Ang-II-inhibiting AHM. There were no interactions with sex, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and number of AHM used. Interpretation: Among patients receiving AHM, ARBs, CCBs, and Ang-II-stimulating AHM were associated with lower dementia risk, without excess mortality explaining these results. Extensive subgroup and sensitivity analyses suggested that confounding by indication did not importantly influence our findings. Dementia risk may be influenced by AHM-classes' angiotensin-II-receptor stimulating properties. An RCT comparing BP treatment with different AHM classes with dementia as outcome is warranted. Funding: Netherlands Organisation for Health, Research and Development (ZonMw); Stoffels-Hornstra Foundation.

Visit-to-visit blood pressure variability and progression of white matter hyperintensities over 14 years.

Purpose: There is evidence that blood pressure variability (BPV) is associated with cerebral small vessel disease (SVD) and may therefore increase the risk of stroke and dementia. It remains unclear if BPV is associated with SVD progression over years. We examined whether visit-to-visit BPV is associated with white matter hyperintensity (WMH) progression over 14 years and MRI markers after 14 years.Materials and methods: We included participants with SVD from the Radboud University Nijmegen Diffusion tensor Magnetic resonance-imaging Cohort (RUNDMC) who underwent baseline assessment in 2006 and follow-up in 2011, 2015 and 2020. BPV was calculated as coefficient of variation (CV) of BP at all visits. Association between WMH progression rates over 14 years and BPV was examined using linear-mixed effects (LME) model. Regression models were used to examine association between BPV and MRI markers at final visit in participants.Results: A total of 199 participants (60.5 SD 6.6 years) who underwent four MRI scans and BP measurements were included, with mean follow-up of 13.7 (SD 0.5) years. Systolic BPV was associated with higher progression of WMH (ß = 0.013, 95% CI 0.005 - 0.022) and higher risk of incident lacunes (OR: 1.10, 95% CI 1.01-1.21). There was no association between systolic BPV and grey and white matter volumes, Peak Skeleton of Mean Diffusivity (PSMD) or microbleed count after 13.7 years.Conclusions: Visit-to-visit systolic BPV is associated with increased progression of WMH volumes and higher risk of incident lacunes over 14 years in participants with SVD. Future studies are needed to examine causality of this association.

High blood pressure (BP) is very common, especially among older individuals. BP is not constant but tends to go up and down over time.Earlier studies have shown that when your BP fluctuates more, this can give a higher risk of dementia, stroke, cardiovascular events and even mortality. Large BP fluctuations are likely damaging for your brain, but it remains unknown if it leads to progression of brain damage over a longer period of time.This study examined if fluctuations in BP over 14 years are associated with progression of brain damage in older individuals with a mean age of 60.5 years.The results indicate that markers of brain damage progress more in participants with more variation in BP.This suggests that fluctuations in BP can cause damage in your brain to progress more.However, it is difficult to determine based on these results if BP fluctuations are a cause or a result of brain damage. More research is needed to determine what the temporal order of this association is.If variations in BP can indeed damage the brain, we need to focus not only on lowering BP, but also on keeping BP stable when considering treatments.

Year-by-Year Blood Pressure Variability From Midlife to Death and Lifetime Dementia Risk.

Importance: High visit-to-visit blood pressure variability (BPV) in late life may reflect increased dementia risk better than mean systolic blood pressure (SBP). Evidence from midlife to late life could be crucial to understanding this association. Objective: To determine whether visit-to-visit BPV at different ages was differentially associated with lifetime incident dementia risk in community-dwelling individuals. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study analyzed data from the Adult Changes in Thought (ACT) study, an ongoing population-based prospective cohort study in the US. Participants were 65 years or older at enrollment, community-dwelling, and without dementia. The study focused on a subset of deceased participants with brain autopsy data and whose midlife to late-life blood pressure data were obtained from Kaiser Permanente Washington medical archives and collected as part of the postmortem brain donation program. In the ACT study, participants underwent biennial medical assessments, including cognitive screening. Data were collected from 1994 (ACT study enrollment) through November 2019 (data set freeze). Data analysis was performed between March 2020 and September 2023. Exposures: Visit-by-visit BPV at ages 60, 70, 80, and 90 years, calculated using the coefficient of variation of year-by-year SBP measurements over the preceding 10 years. Main Outcomes and Measures: All-cause dementia, which was adjudicated by a multidisciplinary outcome adjudication committee. Results: A total of 820 participants (mean [SD] age at enrollment, 77.0 [6.7] years) were analyzed and included 476 females (58.0%). A mean (SD) of 28.4 (8.4) yearly SBP measurements were available over 31.5 (9.0) years. The mean (SD) follow-up time was 32.2 (9.1) years in 27 885 person-years from midlife to death. Of the participants, 372 (45.4%) developed dementia. The number of participants who were alive without dementia and had available data for analysis ranged from 280 of those aged 90 years to 702 of those aged 70 years. Higher BPV was not associated with higher lifetime dementia risk at age 60, 70, or 80 years. At age 90 years, BPV was associated with 35% higher dementia risk (hazard ratio [HR], 1.35; 95% CI, 1.02-1.79). Meta-regression of HRs calculated separately for each age (60-90 years) indicated that associations of high BPV with higher dementia risk were present only at older ages, whereas the association of SBP with dementia gradually shifted direction linearly from being incrementally to inversely associated with older ages. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study, high BPV indicated increased lifetime dementia risk in late life but not in midlife. This result suggests that high BPV may indicate increased dementia risk in older age but might be less viable as a midlife dementia prevention target.

The challenge of dementia prevention trials and the role of quasi-experimental studies.

Observational studies have shown consistently that modifiable risk factors during life are associated with increased dementia risk in old age but randomized controlled trials (RCTs) on dementia prevention evaluating the treatment of these risk factors did not find consistent effects on cognitive outcomes. The discrepancy in findings is potentially attributable to inherent differences between the two study designs. Although RCTs are the gold standard for establishing causality, designing and conducting an RCT for dementia prevention is complex. Quasi-experimental studies (QESs) may contribute to investigating causality without randomization. QESs use variation in exposure to a risk factor or intervention in an observational setting to deduct causal effects. Design-specific approaches are used to control for confounding, the main caveat of QESs. In this article we address the challenges, opportunities, and limitations of QESs for research into dementia prevention. HIGHLIGHTS: Despite consistent associations between modifiable risk factors and dementia, the mostly neutral effects of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) challenge the causality of these associations. RCTs in the field of dementia prevention are often problematic due to ethical, practical, or financial constraints, and their results may have limited generalizability. Four quasi-experimental study (QES) designs may be suitable to study causality between risk factors and dementia; we critically appraise these study designs for dementia-prevention studies. We describe how specific QES designs can be used to study the effects of risk-factor modification for 12 known risk factors for dementia.

Antihypertensive medication classes and the risk of dementia over a decade of follow-up.

INTRODUCTION: Use of angiotensin II (ATII)-stimulating antihypertensive medication (AHM), including angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) and dihydropyridine calcium channel blockers (CCBs), has been associated with lower dementia risk. Previous studies had relatively short follow-up periods. The aim of this study is to investigate if these effects are sustained over longer periods. METHODS: This post hoc observational analysis was based on data from a dementia prevention trial (preDIVA and its observational extension), among Dutch community-dwelling older adults without prior diagnosis of dementia. Differential associations between AHM classes and incident dementia were studied after 7.0 and 10.4 years, based on the median follow-up durations of dementia cases and all participants. RESULTS: After 7 years, use of ATII-stimulating antihypertensives [hazard ratio = 0.68, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.47-1.00], ARBs (hazard ratio = 0.54, 95% CI = 0.31-0.94) and dihydropyridine CCBs (hazard ratio = 0.52, 95% CI = 0.30-0.91) was associated with lower dementia risk. After 10.4 years, associations for ATII-stimulating antihypertensives, ARBs and dihydropyridine CCBs attenuated (hazard ratio = 0.80, 95% CI = 0.61-1.04; hazard ratio = 0.75, 95% CI = 0.53-1.07; hazard ratio = 0.73, 95% CI = 0.51-1.04 respectively), but still suggested lower dementia risk when compared with use of other AHM classes. Results could not be explained by competing risk of mortality. CONCLUSION: Our results suggest that use of ARBs, dihydropyridine CCBs and ATII-stimulating antihypertensives is associated with lower dementia risk over a decade, although associations attenuate over time. Apart from methodological aspects, differential effects of antihypertensive medication classes on incident dementia may in part be temporary, or decrease with ageing.

Low Values for Blood Pressure, BMI, and Non-HDL Cholesterol and the Risk of Late-Life Dementia.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Low values of blood pressure, body mass index (BMI), and non-high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol have all been associated with increased dementia risk in late life, but whether these risk factors have an additive effect is unknown. This study assessed whether a combination of late-life low values for systolic blood pressure (SBP), BMI, and non-HDL cholesterol is associated with a higher dementia risk than individual low values of these risk factors. METHODS: This is a post hoc analysis based on an observational extended follow-up of the Prevention of Dementia by Intensive Vascular Care (preDIVA) trial, including community-dwelling individuals, aged 70-78 years and free from dementia at baseline. We assessed the association of baseline low values of SBP, BMI, and non-HDL cholesterol with incident dementia using Cox regression analyses. First, we assessed the respective associations between quintiles of each risk factor and dementia. Second, we explored whether combinations of low values for cardiovascular risk factors increased dementia risk, adjusted for interaction and potential confounders. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 10.3 years (interquartile range 7.0-10.9 years), 308 of 2,789 participants (11.0%) developed dementia, and 793 (28.4%) died. For all risk factors, the lowest quintile was associated with the highest adjusted risk for dementia. Individuals with 1, 2, and 3 low values had adjusted HRs of 1.18 (95% CI 0.93-1.51), 1.28 (95% CI 0.85-1.93), and 4.02 (95% CI 2.04-7.93), respectively, compared with those without any low values. This effect was not driven by any specific combination of 2 risk factors and could not be explained by competing risk of death. DISCUSSION: Older individuals with low values for SBP, BMI, or non-HDL cholesterol have a higher dementia risk compared with individuals without any low values. Dementia risk was substantially higher in individuals with low values for all 3 risk factors than expected based on a dose-response relationship. This suggests the presence of an overarching phenomenon that involves multiple risk factors simultaneously, rather than resulting from independent effects of each individual risk factor. TRIAL REGISTRATION INFORMATION: ISRCTN registry preDIVA: ISRCTN29711771. Date of study submission to ISRCTN registry: February 14, 2006. Recruitment start date: January 1, 2006. doi.org/10.1186/ISRCTN29711771.

Atherosclerotic risk is associated with cerebral perfusion - A cross-sectional study using arterial spin labeling MRI.

BACKGROUND: Arterial spin labeling (ASL) magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) may be a promising technique to evaluate the presence of cerebral atherosclerosis. We tested whether the new and easily calculated ASL MRI parameter for vascular and tissue signal distribution - 'spatial coefficient of variation' (ASL-sCoV) - is a better radiological marker for atherosclerotic risk than the more conventional markers of white matter hyperintensity (WMH) volume and cerebral blood flow (ASL-CBF). METHODS: Participants of the preDIVA trial (n = 195), aged 72-80 years with systolic hypertension (>140 mmHg) underwent two MRI scans two to three years apart. WMH volume was derived from 3D FLAIR-MRI; gray matter ASL-CBF and ASL-sCoV from ASL-MRI. Atherosclerotic risk was operationalized as 10-year cardiovascular risk by the Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation Older Persons (SCORE O.P) and calculated at baseline and follow-up. Data were analyzed using linear regression. RESULTS: ASL-CBF was associated with atherosclerotic risk scores at baseline (standardized-beta = -0.26, 95 %CI = -0.40 to -0.13, p < 0.001) but not at follow-up (standardized-beta = -0.14, 95 %CI = -0.33 to 0.04, p = 0.12). ASL-sCoV was associated with atherosclerotic risk scores at both time points (baseline standardized-beta = 0.23, 95 %CI = 0.10 to 0.36, p < 0.0001, follow-up standardized beta = 0.20, 95 %CI = 0.03 to 0.36, p = 0.02). WMH volume was not associated with atherosclerotic risk scores at either time-point. There were no longitudinal associations between changes in MRI parameters and baseline atherosclerotic risk scores. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that ASL-sCoV correlates better with atherosclerotic risk than the more conventional markers ASL-CBF and WMH volume. Our data reaffirm that non-invasive imaging with MRI is highly informative and could provide additional information about cerebrovascular damage.

Hypertension and Alzheimer's disease pathology at autopsy: A systematic review.

Hypertension is an important risk factor for Alzheimer's disease (AD) and all-cause dementia. The mechanisms underlying this association are unclear. Hypertension may be associated with AD neuropathological changes (ADNC), but reports are sparse and inconsistent. This systematic review included 15 autopsy studies (n = 5879) from observational cohorts. Studies were highly heterogeneous regarding populations, follow-up duration, hypertension operationalization, neuropathological methods, and statistical analyses. Hypertension seems associated with higher plaque and tangle burden, but results are inconsistent. Four studies (n = 3993/5879; 68%), reported clear associations between hypertension and ADNC. Another four suggested that antihypertensive medication may protect against ADNC. Larger studies with longer follow-up reported the strongest relationships. Our findings suggest a positive association between hypertension and ADNC, but effects may be modest, and possibly attenuate with higher hypertension age and antihypertensive medication use. Investigating interactions among plaques, tangles, cerebrovascular pathology, and dementia may be key in better understanding hypertension's role in dementia development.

Diagnostic Accuracy of the Telephone Interview for Cognitive Status for the Detection of Dementia in Primary Care.

PURPOSE: Cognitive diagnostic work-up in primary care is not always physically feasible, owing to chronic disabilities and/or travel restrictions. The identification of dementia might be facilitated with diagnostic instruments that are time efficient and easy to perform, as well as useful in the remote setting. We assessed whether the Telephone Interview for Cognitive Status (TICS) might be a simple and accurate alternative for remote diagnostic cognitive screening in primary care. METHODS: We administered the TICS (range, 0-41) for 810 of 1,473 older people aged 84.5 (SD, 2.4) years. We scrutinized electronic health records for participants with TICS scores ≤30 and for a random sample of participants with TICS scores >30 for a dementia diagnosis using all data from the Prevention of Dementia by Intensive Vascular Care (preDIVA) trial for 8-12 years of follow-up. We used multiple imputation to correct for verification bias. RESULTS: Of the 810 participants, 155 (19.1%) had a TICS score ≤30, and 655 (80.9%) had a TICS score >30. Electronic health records yielded 8.4% (13/154) dementia diagnoses for participants with TICS ≤30 vs none with TICS >30. Multiple imputation for TICS >30 yielded a median of 7/655 (1.1%; interquartile range, 5-8) estimated dementia cases. After multiple imputation, the optimal cutoff score was ≤29, with mean sensitivity 65.4%, specificity 87.8%, positive predictive value 11.9%, negative predictive value 99.0%, and area under the curve 77.4% (95% CI, 56.3%-90.0%). CONCLUSIONS: In the present older population, the TICS performed well as a diagnostic screening instrument for excluding dementia and might be particularly useful when face-to-face diagnostic screening is not feasible in family practice or research settings. The potential reach to large numbers of people at low cost could contribute to more efficient medical management in primary care.

Association of Systolic Blood Pressure With Dementia Risk and the Role of Age, U-Shaped Associations, and Mortality.

IMPORTANCE: The optimal systolic blood pressure (SBP) to minimize the risk of dementia in older age is unknown. OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether the association between SBP and dementia risk is U-shaped and whether age and comorbidity play a role in this association. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cohort study used an individual participant data approach to analyze 7 prospective, observational, population-based cohort studies that were designed to evaluate incident dementia in older adults. These studies started between 1987 and 2006 in Europe and the US. Participants had no dementia diagnosis and had SBP and/or diastolic blood pressure (BP) data at baseline and incident dementia status during follow-up. Data analysis was conducted from November 7, 2019, to October 3, 2021. EXPOSURES: Baseline systolic BP. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: All-cause dementia (defined using Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders [Third Edition Revised] or Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders [Fourth Edition] and established at follow-up measurements or in clinical practice), mortality, and combined dementia and mortality were the outcomes. Covariates included baseline antihypertensive medication use, sex, educational level, body mass index, smoking status, diabetes, stroke history, myocardial infarction history, and polypharmacy. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used, and nonlinear associations were explored using natural splines. RESULTS: The study analyzed 7 cohort studies with a total of 17 286 participants, among whom 10 393 were women (60.1%) and the mean (SD) baseline age was 74.5 (7.3) years. Overall, dementia risk was lower for individuals with higher SBP, with the lowest risk associated with an SBP of approximately 185 mm Hg (95% CI, 161-230 mm Hg; P = .001). Stratified by overlapping 10-year baseline age groups, the lowest dementia risk was observed at somewhat lower systolic BP levels in those older than 75 years (158 [95% CI, 152-178] mm Hg to 170 [95% CI, 160-260] mm Hg). For mortality, there was a clear U-shaped association, with the lowest risk at 160 mm Hg (95% CI, 154-181 mm Hg; P < .001). This U-shape occurred across all age groups, with the lowest dementia risk associated with an SBP of 134 mm Hg (95% CI, 102-149 mm Hg; P = .03) in those aged 60 to 70 years and increasing to between 155 mm Hg (95% CI, 150-166 mm Hg; P < .001) and 166 mm Hg (95% CI, 154-260 mm Hg; P = .02) for age groups between 70 and 95 years. Combined dementia and mortality risk curves closely resembled those for mortality. Associations of diastolic BP with dementia risk were generally similar but were less distinct. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: This cohort study found that dementia risk was lower for older individuals with higher SBP levels and that more distinctly U-shaped associations appeared for those older than 75 years, but these associations cannot be explained by SBP-associated changes in mortality risk. The findings may warrant future trials on tailored BP management in older age groups that take life expectancy and health context into consideration.

Sex Differences in the Relation Between Subjective Memory Complaints, Impairments in Instrumental Activities of Daily Living, and Risk of Dementia.

BACKGROUND: Older people with subjective memory complaints (SMC) and Instrumental Activities of Daily Living impairments (IADL-I) have an increased risk of developing dementia. Previous reports suggest that the predictive value of SMC and IADL-I may differ between sexes, leaving possible consequences for personalized risk prediction and prognosis. However, none of these studies addressed the competing risk of death, which may substantially differ between sexes. OBJECTIVE: We investigated sex-differences in the association between IADL-I, SMC, and incident dementia and mortality as competing risk. METHODS: 3,409 community-dwelling older people without dementia (mean age 74.3±2.5), were followed for 6.7 years (median). Baseline SMC were assessed using the 15-item Geriatric Depression Scale memory question, and IADL-I using the Academic Medical Center Linear Disability Score. Potential sex-differences in the predictive value of SMC and IADL-I were assessed using Cox regression models with an interaction term for sex. RESULTS: HRs for isolated SMC and SMC + IADL-I and risk of dementia were higher in women (HR: 2.02, 95% CI = 0.91-4.46, p = 0.08; HR:2.85, 95% CI = 1.65-4.91, p < 0.001) than in men (HR:1.52, 95% CI = 0.86-2.69, p = 0.18; HR:1.24, 95% CI = 0.62-2.49, p = 0.54), but these sex-differences were not significant. Conversely, HRs for isolated IADL-I and risk of mortality were higher in men (HR:1.56, 95% CI = 1.18-2.05, p = 0.002) than in women (HR:1.14, 95% CI = 0.80-1.62, p = 0.48), but again, these sex-differences were not significant. CONCLUSION: The predictive value of SMC and IADL-I for the risk of dementia and mortality was not significantly modified by sex. However, the competing risk of death for these factors differed considerably between men and women, suggesting it is an essential factor to consider when comparing sex-differences in IADL/dementia risk.

Postural and gait symptoms in de novo Parkinson's disease patients correlate with cholinergic white matter pathology.

INTRODUCTION: The postural instability gait difficulty motor subtype of patients with Parkinson's disease (PIGD-PD) has been associated with more severe cognitive pathology and a higher risk on dementia compared to the tremor-dominant subtype (TD-PD). Here, we investigated whether the microstructural integrity of the cholinergic projections from the nucleus basalis of Meynert (NBM) was different between these clinical subtypes. METHODS: Diffusion-weighted imaging data of 98 newly-diagnosed unmedicated PD patients (44 TD-PD and 54 PIGD-PD subjects) and 10 healthy controls, were analysed using diffusion tensor imaging, focusing on the white matter tracts associated with cholinergic projections from the NBM (NBM-WM) as the tract-of-interest. Quantitative tract-based and voxel-based analyses were performed using FA and MD as the estimates of white matter integrity. RESULTS: Voxel-based analyses indicated significantly lower FA in the frontal part of the medial and lateral NBM-WM tract of both hemispheres of PIGD-PD compared to TD-PD. Relative to healthy control, several clusters with significantly lower FA were observed in the frontolateral NBM-WM tract of both disease groups. Furthermore, significant correlations between the severity of the axial and gait impairment and NBM-WM FA and MD were found, which were partially mediated by NBM-WM state on subjects' attentional performance. CONCLUSIONS: The PIGD-PD subtype shows a loss of microstructural integrity of the NBM-WM tract, which suggests that a loss of cholinergic projections in this PD subtype already presents in de novo PD patients.

Apixaban versus no anticoagulation after anticoagulation-associated intracerebral haemorrhage in patients with atrial fibrillation in the Netherlands (APACHE-AF): a randomised, open-label, phase 2 trial.

BACKGROUND: In patients with atrial fibrillation who survive an anticoagulation-associated intracerebral haemorrhage, a decision must be made as to whether restarting or permanently avoiding anticoagulation is the best long-term strategy to prevent recurrent stroke and other vascular events. In APACHE-AF, we aimed to estimate the rates of non-fatal stroke or vascular death in such patients when treated with apixaban compared with when anticoagulation was avoided, to inform the design of a larger trial. METHODS: APACHE-AF was a prospective, randomised, open-label, phase 2 trial with masked endpoint assessment, done at 16 hospitals in the Netherlands. Patients who survived intracerebral haemorrhage while treated with anticoagulation for atrial fibrillation were eligible for inclusion 7-90 days after the haemorrhage. Participants also had a CHA2DS2-VASc score of at least 2 and a score on the modified Rankin scale (mRS) of 4 or less. Participants were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive oral apixaban (5 mg twice daily or a reduced dose of 2·5 mg twice daily) or to avoid anticoagulation (oral antiplatelet agents could be prescribed at the discretion of the treating physician) by a central computerised randomisation system, stratified by the intention to start or withhold antiplatelet therapy in participants randomised to avoiding anticoagulation, and minimised for age and intracerebral haemorrhage location. The primary outcome was a composite of non-fatal stroke or vascular death, whichever came first, during a minimum follow-up of 6 months, analysed using Cox proportional hazards modelling in the intention-to-treat population. APACHE-AF is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT02565693) and the Netherlands Trial Register (NL4395), and the trial is closed to enrolment at all participating sites. FINDINGS: Between Jan 15, 2015, and July 6, 2020, we recruited 101 patients (median age 78 years [IQR 73-83]; 55 [54%] were men and 46 [46%] were women; 100 [99%] were White and one [1%] was Black) a median of 46 days (IQR 21-74) after intracerebral haemorrhage. 50 were assigned to apixaban and 51 to avoid anticoagulation (of whom 26 [51%] started antiplatelet therapy). None were lost to follow-up. Over a median follow-up of 1·9 years (IQR 1·0-3·1; 222 person-years), non-fatal stroke or vascular death occurred in 13 (26%) participants allocated to apixaban (annual event rate 12·6% [95% CI 6·7-21·5]) and in 12 (24%) allocated to avoid anticoagulation (11·9% [95% CI 6·2-20·8]; adjusted hazard ratio 1·05 [95% CI 0·48-2·31]; p=0·90). Serious adverse events that were not outcome events occurred in 29 (58%) of 50 participants assigned to apixaban and 29 (57%) of 51 assigned to avoid anticoagulation. INTERPRETATION: Patients with atrial fibrillation who had an intracerebral haemorrhage while taking anticoagulants have a high subsequent annual risk of non-fatal stroke or vascular death, whether allocated to apixaban or to avoid anticoagulation. Our data underline the need for randomised controlled trials large enough to allow identification of subgroups in whom restarting anticoagulation might be either beneficial or hazardous. FUNDING: Dutch Heart Foundation (grant 2012T077).

Antihypertensive Medication Classes and the Risk of Dementia: A Systematic Review and Network Meta-Analysis.

OBJECTIVES: To systematically review and synthesize the evidence on differential associations between antihypertensive medication (AHM) classes and the risk of incident dementia. DESIGN: Systematic review and random effects frequentist network meta-analysis. Embase, MEDLINE, and the Cochrane library were searched from origin to December 2019. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and prospective cohort studies that compared associations of different AHM classes with incident all-cause dementia and/or Alzheimer's disease over at least 1 year of follow-up. MEASURES: All cause dementia and/or Alzheimer's disease. RESULTS: Fifteen observational studies and 7 RCTs were included. Data on AHM classes were available for 649,790 participants and dementia occurred in 19,600 (3.02%). Network meta-analysis showed that in observational studies, treatment with either calcium channel blockers (CCBs) or angiotensin II receptor blockers (ARBs) was associated with lower dementia risks than treatment with other antihypertensives: CCBs vs angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors (ACE inhibitors) (HR=0.84, 95% CI 0.74-0.95), beta blockers (HR=0.83, 95% CI 0.73-0.95) and diuretics (HR=0.89, 95% CI 0.78-1.01) and ARBs vs ACE inhibitors (HR=0.88, 95% CI 0.81-0.97), beta blockers (HR=0.87, 95% CI 0.77-0.99), and diuretics (HR=0.93, 95% CI 0.83-1.05). There were insufficient RCTs to create a robust network based on randomized data alone. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: Recommending CCBs or ARBs as preferred first-line antihypertensive treatment may significantly reduce the risk of dementia. If corroborated in a randomized setting, these findings reflect a low-cost and scalable opportunity to reduce dementia incidence worldwide.

Longitudinal relation between blood pressure, antihypertensive use and cerebral blood flow, using arterial spin labelling MRI.

Consistent cerebral blood flow (CBF) is fundamental to brain function. Cerebral autoregulation ensures CBF stability. Chronic hypertension can lead to disrupted cerebral autoregulation in older people, potentially leading to blood pressure levels interfering with CBF. This study tested whether low BP and AHD use are associated with contemporaneous low CBF, and whether longitudinal change in BP is associated with change in CBF, using arterial spin labelling (ASL) MRI, in a prospective longitudinal cohort of 186 community-dwelling older individuals with hypertension (77 ± 3 years, 53% female), 125 (67%) of whom with 3-year follow-up. Diastolic blood pressure, systolic blood pressure, mean arterial pressure, and pulse pressure were assessed as blood pressure parameters. As additional cerebrovascular marker, we evaluated the ASL signal spatial coefficient of variation (ASL SCoV), a measure of ASL signal heterogeneity that may reflect cerebrovascular health. We found no associations between any of the blood pressure measures and concurrent CBF nor between changes in blood pressure measures and CBF over three-year follow-up. Antihypertensive use was associated with lower grey matter CBF (-5.49 ml/100 g/min, 95%CI = -10.7|-0.27, p = 0.04) and higher ASL SCoV (0.32 SD, 95%CI = 0.12|0.52, p = 0.002). These results warrant future research on the potential relations between antihypertensive use and cerebral perfusion.

Association of Angiotensin II-Stimulating Antihypertensive Use and Dementia Risk: Post Hoc Analysis of the PreDIVA Trial.

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether angiotensin II-stimulating antihypertensives (thiazides, dihydropyridine calcium channel blockers, and angiotensin I receptor blockers) convey a lower risk of incident dementia compared to angiotensin II-inhibiting antihypertensives (angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, ß-blockers, and nondihydropyridine calcium channel blockers), in accordance with the "angiotensin hypothesis." METHODS: We performed Cox regression analyses of incident dementia (or mortality as competing risk) during 6-8 years of follow-up in a population sample of 1,909 community-dwelling individuals (54% women) without dementia, aged 70-78 (mean 74.5 ± 2.5) years. RESULTS: After a median of 6.7 years of follow-up, dementia status was available for 1,870 (98%) and mortality for 1,904 (>99%) participants. Dementia incidence was 5.6% (27/480) in angiotensin II-stimulating, 8.2% (59/721) in angiotensin II-inhibiting, and 6.9% (46/669) in both antihypertensive type users. Adjusted for dementia risk factors including blood pressure and medical history, angiotensin II-stimulating antihypertensive users had a 45% lower incident dementia rate (hazard ratio [HR], 0.55; 95% CI, 0.34-0.89) without excess mortality (HR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.64-1.16), and individuals using both types had a nonsignificant 20% lower dementia rate (HR, 0.80; 95% CI,0.53-1.20) without excess mortality (HR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.76-1.24), compared to angiotensin II-inhibiting antihypertensive users. Results were consistent for subgroups based on diabetes and stroke history, but may be specific for individuals without a history of cardiovascular disease. CONCLUSIONS: Users of angiotensin II-stimulating antihypertensives had lower dementia rates compared to angiotensin II-inhibiting antihypertensive users, supporting the angiotensin hypothesis. Confounding by indication must be examined further, although subanalyses suggest this did not influence results. If replicated, dementia prevention could become a compelling indication for older individuals receiving antihypertensive treatment.

Dementia risk scores as surrogate outcomes for lifestyle-based multidomain prevention trials-rationale, preliminary evidence and challenges.

INTRODUCTION: Although not designed as such, dementia risk scores might be useful surrogate outcomes for dementia prevention trials. Their suitability may be improved by using continuous scoring systems, taking into account all changes in risk factors, not only those crossing cut-off values. METHODS: In three large multidomain dementia prevention trials with 1.5 to 2 years of follow-up (Multidomain Alzheimer Preventive Trial, Prevention of Dementia by Intensive Vascular Care and Healthy Ageing Through Internet Counselling in the Elderly) we assessed (1) responsiveness (sensitivity to change) and (2) actual and simulated intervention effects of the original and crude/weighted z-score versions of the cardiovascular risk factors, aging and incidence of dementia, and Lifestyle for Brain Health scores. RESULTS: All versions of the risk scores were generally responsive, and able to detect small though statistically significant between-group differences after multidomain interventions. Simulated intervention effects were well detected in z-score versions as well as in the original scores. DISCUSSION: Dementia risk scores and their z-score versions show potential as surrogate outcomes. How changes in risk scores affect dementia remains to be determined.

[Lifestyle, genetics and the risk of dementia]. / Leefstijl, genetica en het risico op dementie.

An unhealthy lifestyle increases the risk of dementia. Two observational studies explored whether targeted health and lifestyle interventions could attenuate or even offset increased genetic risk. Results from these observational studies are inconclusive. However, after the age of 60, favourable lifestyle behaviours may have less impact in groups with high genetic risk. This might inspire researchers and clinicians to determine genetic risk prior to offering preventive interventions. However, this raises important ethical concerns and practical difficulties. Lifestyle interventions should take place irrespective of genetically determined risk of dementia.