Prognostic value of temporal patterns of left atrial reservoir strain in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction.

BACKGROUND: We investigated whether repeatedly measured left atrial reservoir strain (LASr) in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) patients provides incremental prognostic value over a single baseline LASr value, and whether temporal patterns of LASr provide incremental prognostic value over temporal patterns of other echocardiographic markers and NT-proBNP. METHODS: In this prospective observational study, 153 patients underwent 6-monthly echocardiography, during a median follow-up of 2.5 years. Speckle tracking echocardiography was used to measure LASr. Hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated for LASr from Cox models (baseline) and joint models (repeated measurements). The primary endpoint (PEP) comprised HF hospitalization, left ventricular assist device, heart transplantation, and cardiovascular death. RESULTS: Mean age was 58 ± 11 years, 76% were men, 82% were in NYHA class I/II, mean LASr was 20.9% ± 11.3%, and mean LVEF was 29% ± 10%. PEP was reached by 50 patients. Baseline and repeated measurements of LASr (HR per SD change (95% CI) 0.20 (0.10-0.41) and (0.13 (0.10-0.29), respectively) were both significantly associated with the PEP, independent of both baseline and repeated measurements of other echo-parameters and NT-proBNP. Although LASr was persistently lower over time in patients with PEP, temporal trajectories did not diverge in patients with versus without the PEP as the PEP approached. CONCLUSION: LASr was associated with adverse events in HFrEF patients, independent of baseline and repeated other echo-parameters and NT-proBNP. Temporal trajectories of LASr showed decreased but stable values in patients with the PEP, and do not provide incremental prognostic value for clinical practice compared to single measurements of LASr.

Addition of routinely measured blood biomarkers significantly improves GRACE risk stratification in patients with myocardial infarction.

AIM: To investigate whether blood biomarkers measured routinely at hospital admission in myocardial infarction (MI) patients can improve the admission GRACE score for the composite endpoint of all-cause mortality and non-fatal MI at 6 months. METHODS: 2055 patients treated for MI in the Northwest clinics, the Netherlands, between 2013 and 2016 were examined. As part of the prevailing MI treatment protocol, 19 biomarkers were measured and the GRACE score was ascertained. Information on the composite endpoint was derived from municipal registries and electronic medical records. We applied elastic net logistic regression (LR) analysis to select biomarkers that had statistically significant additive prognostic value on top of the GRACE score. We then studied the prognostic performance of the LR model containing the GRACE score and the selected biomarkers. RESULTS: At six months follow-up 143 (6.96%) reached the composite endpoint. Nine variables were included in the final LR model: GRACE score, urea, sodium, potassium, alkaline phosphatase, LDL cholesterol, glucose, hemoglobin and C-reactive protein. This extended GRACE score model showed improved discrimination (C-statistic 0.76 vs 0.70, p = <0.001) and classification (continuous net reclassification index 0.49, p < 0.001) compared with the GRACE score only. CONCLUSION: The ability of the GRACE score for detecting MI patients at high risk for mortality or MI within 6 months, was significantly improved by adding several biomarkers measured routinely at admission.