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1.
Epilepsy Behav ; 158: 109918, 2024 Jul 13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39003945

RESUMO

Status epilepticus is associated with high mortality and morbidity, both in the acute phase and over the long term. However, the long-term outcome of SE is not well studied, and there is no consensus on how to measure and predict it. Moreover, the factors that influence the long-term outcome of SE are complex and multifactorial, and may vary depending on the patient's characteristics, the SE etiology and type, and the treatment and complications. The aim of this article is to review the current literature on the mortality and morbidity of SE over the long term and to discuss the challenges and perspectives for future research. Proceedings of the 9th London-Innsbruck Colloquium on Status Epilepticus and acute seizures.

2.
Int J Infect Dis ; : 107169, 2024 Jul 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39002770

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Infectious diseases remain a major global health concern, including in China, with an estimated >10 million cases of infectious disease in 2019. We describe the burden of site-specific infectious diseases among Chinese adults. METHODS: From 2004 to 2008, the prospective China Kadoorie Biobank enrolled 512,726 adults aged 30-79 years from 10 diverse areas (5 rural, 5 urban) of China. During the 12 years of follow-up, 101,673 participants were hospitalised for any infectious disease. Descriptive analyses examined standardised incidence, mortality, and case fatality of infections. FINDINGS: The incidence of any infectious disease was 1856 per 100,000 person-years; respiratory tract infections (1069) were most common. The infectious disease mortality rate was 31.8 per 100,000 person years (20.3 and 9.4 for respiratory and non-respiratory infections, respectively) and case fatality was 2.2% (2.6% and 1.6% for respiratory and non-respiratory infections, respectively). Infectious disease incidence and mortality rates were higher at older ages and in rural areas. There were no clear sex-differences in infectious disease incidence rates, but mortality and case fatality rates were twice as high in men as in women. INTERPRETATION: Infectious diseases were common in Chinese adults. The observed burden of, and disparities in, site-specific infections can inform targeted prevention efforts. FUNDING: Kadoorie Foundation, Wellcome Trust, MRC, BHF, CR-UK, MoST, NNSF.

3.
Clin Infect Dis ; 79(Supplement_1): S8-S19, 2024 Jul 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38996039

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The Ethiopian government has developed the multisectoral cholera elimination plan (NCP) with an aim of reducing cholera incidence and case fatality rate (CFR). To better understand and monitor the progress of this plan, a comprehensive review of national cholera epidemiology is needed. METHODS: Reported data on cholera/acute watery diarrhea (AWD) cases in the past 20 years were extracted from the Ethiopian Public Health Institute and World Health Organization databases. Descriptive statistics, Pearson χ2, and logistic regression analyses were conducted. RESULTS: From January 2001 to November 2023, a total of 215 205 cholera/AWD cases, 2355 deaths with a cumulative CFR of 1.10% (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.092-1.095), and a mean annual incidence rate of 8.9/100 000 (95% CI, 6.5-11.3) were reported. Two major upsurges of cholera epidemics were found in the last two decades with mean attack rate (AR) of 20.57/100 000 in 2006-2010 and 14.83/100 000 in 2016-2020. Another resurgence of outbreaks occured in 2021-2023 (mean AR, 8.63/100 000). In 2015-2023, 54.0% (53 990/99 945) of cases were aged 15-44 years. National cholera CFR (3.13% [95% CI: 2.1-4.5]) was the highest in 2022. The 2015-2023 cumulative cholera CFR was different across regions: Benishangul Gumuz (6.07%), Gambela (1.89%), Sidama (1.42%), Southern Nation, Nationalities, and Peoples' (1.34%), Oromia (1.10%), and Amhara (1.09%). Cholera/AWD patients in older adults (≥45 years), severe dehydration, peak rainy season (June-August), and outpatients were associated with higher risk of death. CONCLUSIONS: Cholera has been a public health problem in Ethiopia with case fatalities still above the global target. Case management needs to be improved particularly in outpatients and older populations. Outbreak preparedness should be rolled out well in advance of the typical rainy seasons. Significant investments are essential to advance the cholera surveillance system at healthcare setting and community level. Underlying factors of cholera deaths per areas should be further investigated to guide appropriate interventions to meet the NCP target by 2028.


Assuntos
Cólera , Diarreia , Surtos de Doenças , Estações do Ano , Humanos , Cólera/epidemiologia , Cólera/mortalidade , Etiópia/epidemiologia , Incidência , Diarreia/epidemiologia , Diarreia/mortalidade , Diarreia/microbiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Estudos Retrospectivos , Adulto Jovem , Pré-Escolar , Masculino , Feminino , Criança , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Lactente , Idoso
4.
Transl Cancer Res ; 13(6): 2587-2595, 2024 Jun 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38988924

RESUMO

Background: Since the emergence of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) across the globe, patients with cancer have been found to have an increased risk of infection with COVID-19 and are highly likely to experience a severe disease course. This study analyzed the clinical outcomes of COVID-19 in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and identified the risk factors for adverse outcomes. Methods: The study included patients diagnosed with COVID-19 between January 2020 and April 2022 at the Samsung Medical Center in Seoul, Republic of Korea, who have a history of NSCLC. The case-fatality rate and risk factors for COVID-19 were analyzed using a machine-learning prediction method. Additionally, the study investigated the effect of COVID-19 on the systemic treatment of patients with advanced-stage NSCLC. Results: Overall, 1,127 patients were included in this study, with 10.3% of the patients being older than 75 years; of these patients, 51.8% were ex- or current smokers. Among the 584 patients cured after surgery, 91 had stable disease after concurrent chemo-radiotherapy, and 452 had recurrent or metastatic NSCLC. Among 452 patients with recurrent or metastatic NSCLC, 387 received systemic treatment in a palliative setting during COVID-19. Of these, 188 received targeted therapy, 111 received cytotoxic chemotherapy, 63 received immunotherapy +/- chemotherapy, and 26 received other agents. Among them, 94.6% of patients continued systemic treatment after the COVID-19 infection. Only one patient discontinued treatment because of complications of the COVID-19 infection, and 18 patients changed their systemic treatment because of disease progression. The case fatality rates were 0.86% for patients with early-stage NSCLC, 4.4% for patients with locally advanced NSCLC, and 9.96% for patients with advanced NSCLC. The factors associated with fatalities included palliative chemotherapy, type of palliative chemotherapy, age (≥75 years), diabetes, smoking history, history of lung radiotherapy, hypertension, sex, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). The predictive model using logistic regression and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) performed well [area under the curve (AUC) for logistic regression =0.84 and AUC for XGB =0.84]. Conclusions: The case fatality rate in patients with NSCLC was 4.8%, while most patients with advanced NSCLC continued to receive systemic treatment. However, patients with risk factors require careful management of COVID-19 complications.

5.
Pathog Glob Health ; : 1-10, 2024 Jul 20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39030703

RESUMO

The mortality rate of Nipah virus (NiV) can vary in different regions, and its pattern across timelines has yet to be assessed. The primary objective is to perform a comparative analysis of mortality rates across different timelines and countries. Articles reporting NiV mortality from inception to November 2023 were analyzed in PubMed, Ovid Embase, Scopus, and Web of Science databases. A meta-analysis utilizing random-effects models determined the mortality rate secondary to NiV complications. The initial search strategy yielded 1213 records, of which 36 articles met the inclusion criteria, comprising 2736 NiV patients. The Global mortality rate of the Nipah virus in the 2014-2023 decade was 80.1% (CI: 68.7-88.1%), indicating a significant 24% increase compared to the preceding decade (2004-2013) with a mortality rate of 54.1% (CI: 35.5-71.6%). Among the countries analyzed for overall mortality from 1994-2023, India experienced the highest mortality rate at 82.7% (CI: 74.6-88.6%), followed by Bangladesh at 62.1% (CI: 45.6-76.2%), Philippines at 52.9% (CI: 30-74.5%), Malaysia at 28.9% (CI: 21.4-37.9%), and Singapore at 21% (CI: 8-45%). Subgroup analysis revealed that India consistently had the highest mortality rate for the past two decades (91.7% and 89.3%). The primary complication leading to mortality was encephalitis, accounting for 95% of cases. This systematic review and meta-analysis revealed a noteworthy surge in NiV mortality rates, particularly in the current decade (2014-2023). The escalation, with India reporting a concerning level of mortality of 89.3-91.7% in the past decades, signifies a pressing public health challenge.

6.
Traffic Inj Prev ; : 1-7, 2024 Jun 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38905109

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Motor vehicle incidents or apparatus crashes are a leading cause of firefighter fatalities in the United States. Nonuse of seat belts has been linked to some of these fatalities. This research seeks to understand the relationship between safety climate and seat belt use among firefighters, as findings will provide insights into factors that may bolster seat belt use and protect firefighters. METHODS: Data were collected from 208 career firefighters working for a city fire department in the southeastern United States. Structural equation modeling was used to test a hypothesized model and to assess the relationships between organizational safety climate, work group safety climate and seat belt use. RESULTS: It was determined that positive perceptions of workgroup safety climate, as a higher order factor, comprised of supervisor support, horizontal cohesion, and vertical cohesion, was positively associated with seat belt use within a sample of firefighters. Organizational level safety climate did not have a significant relationship with seat belt use but did positively influence workgroup safety climate perceptions. CONCLUSIONS: Safety climate has been associated with safety compliance and participation behaviors, but more research was needed to specifically examine the impact of safety climate on seat belt use in firefighters. The findings point to the importance of safety climate as a leading indicator and predictor of seat belt use. Bolstering safety climate through safety programs, commitment to safety, effective communication, supportive supervisors and cohesion should ultimately aid in bolstering seat belt use among firefighters, which is important to curtailing firefighter injuries and fatalities.

7.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38935482

RESUMO

The case fatality rate (CFR) is an important metric in the correctional setting because it permits assessment of the lethality of an infectious agent independent of its underlying variations in transmissibility and incidence. Several studies have reported that incarceration is associated with both increased COVID-19 incidence and mortality. CFR, sometimes referred to as infection fatality rate for COVID-19, was used to compare mortality in a population at two points in time. A retrospective cohort study design was used to assess age-adjusted mortality among people diagnosed with COVID-19 in the Texas prison system and the Texas nonincarcerated population from January 1, 2020, through December 31, 2021. For each 6-month period under study, the Texas prison population had a substantially lower age-adjusted CFR compared with the Texas nonincarcerated population. However, in the absence of information on underlying COVID-19 severity, comorbidities, and other potential confounding factors in these two populations, it is difficult to make strong inferences based on a comparison of their CFRs. Future research, with careful attention to bias and confounding, should examine the specific health system factors that may be used to reduce morbidity and mortality associated with infectious disease outbreaks in prisons.

8.
BMC Oral Health ; 24(1): 685, 2024 Jun 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38867180

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: To determine the prevalence, case-fatality rate, and associated risk-factors of Noma in children in Nigeria. METHODS: Search was conducted in PubMed, Google Scholar, and Cochrane Library databases. Data were extraction using a double-blind approach. Discrepancies were resolved by a third reviewer. Heterogeneity was evaluated using I2 statistics. Random-effects model was used for the meta-analysis and subgroup analysis was conducted. The study quality was evaluated using standard Critical-Appraisal-Checklist. RESULTS: Of the 1652 articles identified, 12 studies that met the inclusion criteria included 871 cases of Noma. Two studies had high-risk of bias and were excluded in the meta-analysis. Pooled prevalence of Noma was 2.95% (95%CI:2.19-3.71; Z = 7.60; p < 0.00001, I2:100.0). Case fatality was reported in one study. Sex-distribution had a male-to-female ratio of 1.1:1. Malnutrition (88.42%, 95%CI:52.84-124.00; I2:100.0), measles (40.60%; 95% CI:31.56-49.65; I2:100.0) and malaria (30.75%; 95% CI:30.06-31.45; I2:100.0) were the most notable associated risk-factors. Prevalence of Noma was non-significantly lower in southern (1.96%,95%CI:1.49-2.44;6 studies) than in northern (4.43%; 95%CI:-0.98-9.83; 4 studies) Nigeria. One study reported the prevalence of Noma in children younger than 5 years. CONCLUSIONS: About every 3 in 100 children in Nigeria had Noma and the prevalence was non-significantly higher in northern than southern Nigeria. Malnutrition, measles, and malaria were major associated risk-factors. Case-fatality rate and prevalence based on different age-groups were inconclusive.


Assuntos
Noma , Humanos , Nigéria/epidemiologia , Prevalência , Fatores de Risco , Criança , Noma/epidemiologia , Pré-Escolar
9.
Am J Med ; 2024 Jun 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38866303

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The efficacy and safety of adjunctive statin therapy in hospitalized patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) remains uncertain. METHODS: We systematically searched Medline, Embase, Cochrane, and ClinicalTrial.gov databases from March 2020 to late April 2024 for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing statin versus no statin use in patients hospitalized with Covid-19. We pooled risk ratios (RRs) and hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) applying a random-effects model. R version 4.3.1 was used for statistical analyses. RESULTS: We included 7 RCTs comprising 4,262 patients, of whom 2,645 (62%) were randomized to receive statin therapy. Compared with no statin, statin use significantly reduced case-fatality rate (RR 0.88; 95% CI 0.80-0.98; I2=0%). In a time-to-event analysis, we found similar results (HR 0.86; 95% CI 0.75-0.99; I2=0%). Statin use also significantly reduced World Health Organization (WHO) scale at 14 days (mean difference -0.27; 95% CI -0.54 to -0.01; I2=0%). There was no statistically significant difference between the two groups in length of hospital stay, elevation of liver enzymes, and C-reactive protein levels. CONCLUSIONS: In patients hospitalized with Covid-19, statins significantly reduced case-fatality rate and WHO scale score. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: No funding was used for this work. REGISTRATION: A prospective register was recorded in International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO) with the number CRD42023479007.

10.
Popul Health Metr ; 22(1): 10, 2024 Jun 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38831424

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: There are significant geographic inequities in COVID-19 case fatality rates (CFRs), and comprehensive understanding its country-level determinants in a global perspective is necessary. This study aims to quantify the country-specific risk of COVID-19 CFR and propose tailored response strategies, including vaccination strategies, in 156 countries. METHODS: Cross-temporal and cross-country variations in COVID-19 CFR was identified using extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) including 35 factors from seven dimensions in 156 countries from 28 January, 2020 to 31 January, 2022. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) was used to further clarify the clustering of countries by the key factors driving CFR and the effect of concurrent risk factors for each country. Increases in vaccination rates was simulated to illustrate the reduction of CFR in different classes of countries. FINDINGS: Overall COVID-19 CFRs varied across countries from 28 Jan 2020 to 31 Jan 31 2022, ranging from 68 to 6373 per 100,000 population. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the determinants of CFRs first changed from health conditions to universal health coverage, and then to a multifactorial mixed effect dominated by vaccination. In the Omicron period, countries were divided into five classes according to risk determinants. Low vaccination-driven class (70 countries) mainly distributed in sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America, and include the majority of low-income countries (95.7%) with many concurrent risk factors. Aging-driven class (26 countries) mainly distributed in high-income European countries. High disease burden-driven class (32 countries) mainly distributed in Asia and North America. Low GDP-driven class (14 countries) are scattered across continents. Simulating a 5% increase in vaccination rate resulted in CFR reductions of 31.2% and 15.0% for the low vaccination-driven class and the high disease burden-driven class, respectively, with greater CFR reductions for countries with high overall risk (SHAP value > 0.1), but only 3.1% for the ageing-driven class. CONCLUSIONS: Evidence from this study suggests that geographic inequities in COVID-19 CFR is jointly determined by key and concurrent risks, and achieving a decreasing COVID-19 CFR requires more than increasing vaccination coverage, but rather targeted intervention strategies based on country-specific risks.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Saúde Global , Aprendizado de Máquina , SARS-CoV-2 , Humanos , COVID-19/mortalidade , Fatores de Risco , Pandemias , Vacinas contra COVID-19 , Vacinação
11.
Med Trop Sante Int ; 4(1)2024 03 31.
Artigo em Francês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38846124

RESUMO

Objective: To observe the evolution in malaria case-fatality rate among children under 5 years of age receiving care at the Bittou district hospital (CMA) after an improvement of the care practices. The management team implemented an emergency plan in 2016 with 5 components: i) health facilities staff sensitization to enable rapid referral of severe malaria cases to CMA; ii) reorganization of CMA paediatric emergencies to make a physician as the mainpoint of contact; iii) ensuring availability of supplies for severe malaria case management, including the availability of blood; iv) daily medical check-ups of hospitalized patients; v) reinforcement of clinical staff skills at all peripheral health facilities. At the same time were introduced i) free care for children under 5 years; ii) municipality involvement to finance ambulance fuel for the referrals of patients; iii) free blood collection in professional schools and soldiers; iv) a free telephone line between the health structures; v) presence of 5 medical doctors at the CMA. Material and methods: Analysis of data collected from the statistical yearbooks of the Ministry of Health of Burkina Faso from 2014 to 2021. Results: The malaria case-fatality rate (CFR) in under-five in the Bittou health district (1.39% and 1.52% in 2014 and 2015) was higher than the average for all districts in this region (1.08%). After implementation of the emergency plan, the malaria CFR in Bittou declined to 0% in 2016 and 2017, 0.2% in 2018, 0% in 2019, 0.07% in 2020 and 0.05% in 2021. The same trend was observed at the CMA level with 2.94% and 2.59% in 2014 and 2015, 0% in 2016 and 2017, 0.38% in 2018, 0% in 2019, then 0.17% and 0.47% in 2020 and 2021. Conclusion: Malaria control remains a challenge in Burkina Faso. However, the improved malaria CFRs observed in Bittou show that effective involvement of health district teams could potentially contribute to substantial reductions in malaria case-fatality risk.


Assuntos
Administração de Caso , Malária , Humanos , Burkina Faso/epidemiologia , Malária/mortalidade , Administração de Caso/organização & administração , Pré-Escolar , Lactente , Serviços Médicos de Emergência/organização & administração , Melhoria de Qualidade/organização & administração
12.
Nutrients ; 16(12)2024 Jun 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38931196

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is associated with high case fatality and significant healthcare costs. Recent studies emphasize the critical role of nutritional status in affecting outcomes in neurological disorders. This study investigates the relationship between the Prognostic Nutrition Index (PNI) and in-hospital complications and case fatality among patients with ICH. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was performed using data from the Changhua Christian Hospital Clinical Research Database between January 2015 and December 2022. Patients under 20 or over 100 years of age or with incomplete medical data were excluded. We utilized restricted cubic spline models, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, and ROC analysis to assess the association between PNI and clinical outcomes. Propensity score matching analysis was performed to balance these clinical variables between groups. RESULTS: In this study, 2402 patients with spontaneous ICH were assessed using the median PNI value of 42.77. The cohort was evenly divided between low and high PNI groups, predominantly male (59.1%), with an average age of 64 years. Patients with lower PNI scores at admission had higher in-hospital complications and increased 28- and 90-day case fatality rates. CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggests that PNI could serve as a valuable marker for predicting medical complications and case fatality in patients with spontaneous ICH.


Assuntos
Hemorragia Cerebral , Avaliação Nutricional , Estado Nutricional , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Hemorragia Cerebral/mortalidade , Hemorragia Cerebral/complicações , Estudos Retrospectivos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Prognóstico , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais
13.
JMIR Hum Factors ; 11: e57239, 2024 Jun 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38861717

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Overdose Fatality Review (OFR) is an important public health tool for shaping overdose prevention strategies in communities. However, OFR teams review only a few cases at a time, which typically represent a small fraction of the total fatalities in their jurisdiction. Such limited review could result in a partial understanding of local overdose patterns, leading to policy recommendations that do not fully address the broader community needs. OBJECTIVE: This study explored the potential to enhance conventional OFRs with a data dashboard, incorporating visualizations of touchpoints-events that precede overdoses-to highlight prevention opportunities. METHODS: We conducted 2 focus groups and a survey of OFR experts to characterize their information needs and design a real-time dashboard that tracks and measures decedents' past interactions with services in Indiana. Experts (N=27) were engaged, yielding insights on essential data features to incorporate and providing feedback to guide the development of visualizations. RESULTS: The findings highlighted the importance of showing decedents' interactions with health services (emergency medical services) and the justice system (incarcerations). Emphasis was also placed on maintaining decedent anonymity, particularly in small communities, and the need for training OFR members in data interpretation. The developed dashboard summarizes key touchpoint metrics, including prevalence, interaction frequency, and time intervals between touchpoints and overdoses, with data viewable at the county and state levels. In an initial evaluation, the dashboard was well received for its comprehensive data coverage and its potential for enhancing OFR recommendations and case selection. CONCLUSIONS: The Indiana touchpoints dashboard is the first to display real-time visualizations that link administrative and overdose mortality data across the state. This resource equips local health officials and OFRs with timely, quantitative, and spatiotemporal insights into overdose risk factors in their communities, facilitating data-driven interventions and policy changes. However, fully integrating the dashboard into OFR practices will likely require training teams in data interpretation and decision-making.


Assuntos
Overdose de Drogas , Grupos Focais , Design Centrado no Usuário , Humanos , Overdose de Drogas/prevenção & controle , Overdose de Drogas/epidemiologia , Indiana/epidemiologia , Inquéritos e Questionários
14.
Accid Anal Prev ; 205: 107676, 2024 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38875960

RESUMO

This study examines the variability in the impacts of factors influencing injury severity outcomes of elderly pedestrians (age >64) involved in vehicular crashes at intersections and non-intersections before, during, and after the COVID-19 pandemic. To account for unobserved heterogeneity in the crash data, a random parameters logit model with heterogeneity in the means approach is utilized to analyze vehicle-elderly pedestrian crash data from Seoul, South Korea, occurring between 2018 and 2022. Preliminary transferability tests revealed instability in factor impacts on injury severity outcomes, highlighting the need to estimate individual models across various road segments and time periods. Thus, the dataset was segregated by crash location (intersection/non-intersection) and period (before, during, and after COVID-19), with individual models estimated for each group. Results obtained from the analyses revealed that back injuries positively influenced fatalities at non-intersections after the pandemic and was negatively associated with fatalities at intersections before the pandemic. Additionally, several indicators demonstrated significant instability in their impact magnitudes across different road segments and crash years. During the pandemic, head injuries increased the probability of fatalities higher at non-intersections. After the pandemic, crosswalk locations decreased the possibility of fatalities more at intersections. Compared to intersection segments, the female indicator reduced the likelihood of fatal injuries at non-intersections more before, during, and after the pandemic. Before the pandemic, much older pedestrians experienced a greater decline in fatalities at intersections than non-intersections. This instability could be attributed to altered mobility patterns stemming from the COVID-19 pandemic. Overall, the study findings highlight the variability of determinants of fatal/severe injury outcomes among elderly pedestrians across various road segments and years, with the underlying cause of this fluctuation remaining unclear. Furthermore, the findings revealed that accounting for heterogeneity in the means of random parameters enhances model fit and provides valuable insights for safety professionals. The factor impact variability in the estimated models carries significant implications for elderly pedestrian safety, especially in scenarios where precise projections of the effects of alternative safety measures are essential. Road safety experts can leverage these findings to refine or update current policies to enhance elderly pedestrian safety at intersections and non-intersections.


Assuntos
Acidentes de Trânsito , COVID-19 , Pedestres , Humanos , COVID-19/mortalidade , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Acidentes de Trânsito/estatística & dados numéricos , Acidentes de Trânsito/mortalidade , Idoso , Pedestres/estatística & dados numéricos , República da Coreia/epidemiologia , Ferimentos e Lesões/epidemiologia , Ferimentos e Lesões/mortalidade , Masculino , Feminino , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais
15.
JMIR Public Health Surveill ; 10: e48043, 2024 Jun 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38848555

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic had a profound impact on the global health system and economic structure. Although the implementation of lockdown measures achieved notable success in curbing the spread of the pandemic, it concurrently incurred substantial socioeconomic costs. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to delineate an equilibrium between the economic losses and health benefits of lockdown measures, with the aim of identifying the optimal boundary conditions for implementing these measures at various pandemic phases. METHODS: This study used a model to estimate the half-lives of the observed case fatality rates of different strains. It was based on global infection and death data collected by the World Health Organization and strain sequence time series data provided by Nextstrain. The connection between the health benefits and economic losses brought by lockdown measures was established through the calculation of disability-adjusted life years. Taking China's city lockdowns as an example, this study determined the cost-benefit boundary of various lockdown measures during the evolution of COVID-19. RESULTS: The study reveals a direct proportionality between economic losses due to lockdowns and the observed case fatality rates of virus strains, a relationship that holds true irrespective of population size or per capita economic output. As SARS-CoV-2 strains evolve and population immunity shifts, there has been a notable decrease in the observed case fatality rate over time, exhibiting a half-life of roughly 8 months. This decline in fatality rates may offset the health benefits of maintaining unchanged lockdown measures, given that the resultant economic losses might exceed the health benefits. CONCLUSIONS: The initial enforcement of lockdown in Wuhan led to significant health benefits. However, with the decline in the observed case fatality rate of the virus strains, the economic losses increasingly outweighed the health benefits. Consequently, it is essential to consistently refine and enhance lockdown strategies in accordance with the evolving fatality and infection rates of different virus strains, thereby optimizing outcomes in anticipation of future pandemics.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Quarentena , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Humanos , China/epidemiologia , Efeitos Psicossociais da Doença , Análise Custo-Benefício , Pandemias/prevenção & controle
17.
J Infect ; 89(1): 106181, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38744376

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is an emerging viral hemorrhagic fever with high fatality rates. The blockade of pro-inflammatory cytokines presents a promising therapeutic strategy. METHODS: We conducted a randomized clinical trial at the 154th hospital, Xinyang, Henan Province. Eligible patients with severe SFTS disease were randomly assigned in a 1:2 ratio to receive either a single intravenous infusion of tocilizumab plus usual care; or usual care only. The primary outcome was the clinical status of death/survival at day 14, while secondary outcomes included improvement from baseline in liver and kidney damage and time required for hospital discharge. The efficacy of tocilizumab plus corticosteroid was compared to those receiving corticosteroid alone. The trial is registered with the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry website (ChiCTR2300076317). RESULTS: 63 eligible patients were assigned to the tocilizumab group and 126 to the control group. The addition of tocilizumab to usual care was associated with a reduced death rate (9.5%) compared to those received only usual care (23.0%), with an adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) of 0.37 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.15 to 0.91, P = 0.029). Combination therapy of tocilizumab and corticosteroids was associated with a significantly reduced fatality (aHR, 0.21; 95% CI, 0.08 to 0.56; P = 0.002) compared to those receiving corticosteroids alone. CONCLUSIONS: A significant benefit of reducing fatality in severe SFTS patients was observed by using tocilizumab. A combined therapy of tocilizumab plus corticosteroids was recommended for the therapy of severe SFTS.


Assuntos
Corticosteroides , Anticorpos Monoclonais Humanizados , Quimioterapia Combinada , Febre Grave com Síndrome de Trombocitopenia , Humanos , Anticorpos Monoclonais Humanizados/uso terapêutico , Anticorpos Monoclonais Humanizados/administração & dosagem , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Febre Grave com Síndrome de Trombocitopenia/tratamento farmacológico , Febre Grave com Síndrome de Trombocitopenia/mortalidade , Corticosteroides/uso terapêutico , Corticosteroides/administração & dosagem , Idoso , Resultado do Tratamento , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , China , Adulto
18.
Leg Med (Tokyo) ; 69: 102459, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38761537

RESUMO

Hunting is commonly regarded as a prevalent leisure activity in many Western countries. Moreover, hunting-related shooting injuries and fatalities are an important issue in the forensic world. However, there is limited research investigating the necessity of a multidisciplinary approach to provide a thorough analysis of these deaths. Being able to distinguish between homicide and accidental death is crucial in hunting-related incidents. In cases of hunting incidents, it also becomes essential to identify the shooter among the participants of the hunting expedition. The authors report a case of death occurred during a wild boar hunting expedition. The autopsy revealed a penetrating gunshot wound that tore the internal iliac artery and caused massive blood loss. A careful and detailed examination of the events leading up to the hunter's death revealed that the bullet first hit a wild boar and then, due to the deflection of the bullet on the animal's humerus, the victim. These deductions represent the culmination of an exhaustive forensic investigation led by experts in multiple scientific and forensic disciplines.


Assuntos
Sus scrofa , Ferimentos por Arma de Fogo , Animais , Humanos , Masculino , Autopsia , Artéria Ilíaca/lesões , Expedições
19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38700425

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Fatality review is a public health approach designed to inform efforts to prevent fatalities of a certain kind (e.g., suicide, homicide) or in a specific setting or population (e.g., hospitals, youth). Despite extensive literature on fatality review generally, the literature on suicide review teams specifically is scant. The aim of this paper is to: describe the implementation of a local adult suicide review commission, detail examples of initial outcomes and recommendations developed by the commission, and provide recommendations and/or best practices for how to develop and implement an adult suicide review team. METHODS: We utilize framing questions from the American Association of Suicidology's psychological autopsy framework. By using these guiding questions in the discussion, members are invited to explore not only the stressors that may have more immediately preceded the suicide event itself, but to situate those stressors in the context of the individual's life course. RESULTS: Several recommendations proposed by our commission have resulted in tangible outcomes and are detailed using Haddon's Matrix as a guiding prevention planning tool. IMPLICATIONS: We have highlighted the need to move beyond looking at individual-level help-seeking to focus on structural/systemic issues that result in stress or create unsafe environments for at-risk individuals.

20.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38703260

RESUMO

A 15-year-old male was attacked by a large white shark while surfing. CT examination revealed an above-knee amputation of the right lower extremity with stripping of soft tissues from the groin distally. 3-dimensional volume rendering did not show any fragments of shark teeth but did reveal linear gouges, areas of shaving of cortical bone and an inverted 'V'-shaped defect at the distal margin of the femoral shaft. At autopsy these injuries were confirmed in addition to areas with fine parallel cross-striations matching the marginal serrations of the teeth of a white shark. Thus, while post mortem CT with 3-dimensional reconstruction at high resolution can show the nature and number of the bony injuries following shark attack, it is complimented by pathological examination which may find fine parallel grooves from teeth serrations. Post mortem 3-dimensional volume rendering may also help to find or exclude fragments of teeth, and silicone casting may provide a permanent record of bone lesions.

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