Spatiotemporal changes and background atmospheric factors associated with forest fires in Turkiye.

In this study, spatiotemporal analysis of forest fires in Turkiye was undertaken, with a specific focus on the large-scale atmospheric systems responsible for causing these fires. For this purpose, long-term variations in forest fires were classified based on the occurrence types (i.e. natural/lightning, negligence/inattention, arson, accident, unknown). The role of large-scale atmospheric circulations causing natural originated forest fires was investigated using NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis sea level pressure, and surface wind products for the selected episodes. According to the main results, Mediterranean (MeR), Aegean (AR), and Marmara (MR) regions of Turkiye are highly susceptible to forest fires. Statistically significant number of forest fires in the MeR and MR regions are associated with global warming trend of the Eastern Mediterranean Basin. In monthly distribution, forest fires frequently occur in the MeR part of Turkiye during September, August, and June months, respectively, and heat waves are responsible for forest fires in 2021. As a consequence of the extending summer Asiatic monsoon to the inner parts of Turkiye and the location of Azores surface high over Balkan Peninsula result in atmospheric blocking and associated calm weather conditions in the MeR (e.g. Mugla and Antalya provinces). When this blocking continues for a long time, southerly winds on the back slopes of the Taurus Mountains create a foehn effect, calm weather conditions and lack of moisture in the soil of Antalya and Mugla settlements trigger the formation of forest fires.

Temporal assessment of forest cover dynamics in response to forest fires and other environmental impacts using AI.

The rapid reduction of forests due to environmental impacts such as deforestation, global warming, natural disasters such as forest fires as well as various human activities is an escalating concern. The increasing frequency and severity of forest fires are causing significant harm to the ecosystem, economy, wildlife, and human safety. During dry and hot seasons, the likelihood of forest fires also increases. It is crucial to accurately monitor and analyze the large-scale changes in the forest cover to ensure sustainable forest management. Remote sensing technology helps to precisely study such changes in forest cover over a wide area over time. This research analyzes the impact of forest fires over time, identifies hotspots, and explores the environmental factors that affect forest cover change. Sentinel-2 imagery was utilized to study changes in Brunei Darussalam's forest cover area over five years from 2017 to 2022. An object-based approach, Simple Non-Iterative Clustering (SNIC), is employed to cluster the region using NDVI values and analyze the changes per cluster. The results indicate that the area of the clusters reduced where fire incidence occurred as well as the precipitation dropped. Between 2017 and 2022, the increased forest fires and decreased precipitation levels resulted in the change in cluster areas as follows: 66.11%, 69.46%, 68.32%, 73.88%, 77.27%, and 78.70%, respectively. Additionally, hotspots in response to forest fires each year were identified in the Belait district. This study will help forest managers assess the causes of forest cover loss and develop conservation and afforestation strategies.

Optimizing fuel treatments for community wildfire mitigation planning.

Fuel management is undertaken to mitigate the adverse consequences of wildfire. Finite mitigation budgets demand selective prioritization of forest stands for targeted fuel reduction treatments. A range of modeling methods have been used to identifiy optimal fuel treatment plans at various spatial and temporal scales of investigation; however, strategic analysis of fuel management alternatives can involve a range of limitations and challenges, including the prevalence of one-time solutions, static models lacking dynamic adaptability, and challenges in accounting for the stochastic nature of fire behaviour. To navigate these complexities, our study combines remote sensing-based analysis with a random search optimization algorithm to inform strategic fuel management and wildfire mitigation planning. For two communities in Alberta, Whitecourt and Hinton, we assessed landscape fire exposure within and around the built environment and rated hazardous fuels by the number of buildings they exposed (i.e., Building Exposure load, BEL). Through the assessment of BEL and the outcomes of the optimization algorithm, our model identified key areas for intervention, enabling a more informed allocation of mitigation resources. We found good alignment between expert-derived fuel treatment areas and our model-derived fuel reduction areas, PFRs, confirming the utility and relevance of our findings. The methodology is adaptable to diverse regional fuel characteristics and it also offers a phased implementation to assisting communities with financial constraints. The suggested systematic approach aids communities that lack local expertise in developing proactive fuel treatment strategies. Additionally, this study emphasizes the need to combine fuel treatment prioritization with community involvement, acknowledgment of potential local limitations, and financial planning to enhance its effectiveness and adaptability.

Determination of forest fire risk with respect to Marchalina hellenica potential distribution to protect pine honey production sites in Turkey.

Turkey is the leading producer of pine honey worldwide, accounting for 90% of global production, largely due to the presence of Marchalina hellenica populations. However, in recent years, devastating forest fires have caused substantial damage to Pinus brutia forests and M. hellenica populations, leading to a dramatic decline in pine honey production areas. The urgency for early intervention procedures against forest fires and relocation of M. hellenica populations to other P. brutia forests has become apparent. A comprehensive assessment of 25 criteria was conducted to investigate the thresholds and behaviors of each criterion, which play a vital role in the distribution of M. hellenica, using the maximum entropy model (MaxEnt). To evaluate the impact of forest fires on the distribution of M. hellenica, the potential locations of pine honey production areas were determined for 2022. Furthermore, the susceptibility of forest fires was modeled for all pine honey production months. The findings revealed that forest fires have destroyed 384.9 km2 (12.8% of the total pine honey production area), predominantly in August and September, with the most severe damage in Marmaris (156 km2) and significant impacts in Ula, Köycegiz, and Milas. The analysis facilitates the estimation of new areas suitable for M. hellenica and pine honey production while providing valuable insights into strategies for mitigating forest fires and formulating proactive protection protocols.

Application of the wildland fire emissions inventory system to estimate fire emissions on forest lands of the United States.

BACKGROUND: Forests are significant terrestrial biomes for carbon storage, and annual carbon accumulation of forest biomass contributes offsets affecting net greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. The immediate loss of stored carbon through fire on forest lands reduces the annual offsets provided by forests. As such, the United States reporting includes annual estimates of direct fire emissions in conjunction with the overall forest stock and change estimates as a part of national greenhouse gas inventories within the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Forest fire emissions reported for the United States, such as the 129 Tg CO2 reported for 2022, are based on the Wildland Fire Emissions Inventory System (WFEIS). Current WFEIS estimates are included in the Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990-2022 published in 2024 by the United States Environmental Protection Agency. Here, we describe WFEIS the fire emissions inventory system we used to address current information needs, and an analysis to confirm compatibility of carbon mass between estimated forest fire emissions and carbon in forest stocks. RESULTS: The summaries of emissions from forests are consistent with previous reports that show rates and interannual variability in emissions and forest land area burned are generally greater in recent years relative to the 1990s. Both emissions and interannual variability are greater in the western United States. The years with the highest CO2 emissions from forest fires on the 48 conterminous states plus Alaska were 2004, 2005, and 2015. In some years, Alaska emissions exceed those of the 48 conterminous states, such as in 2022, for example. Comparison of forest fire emission to forest carbon stocks indicate there is unlikely any serious disconnect between inventory and fire emissions estimates. CONCLUSIONS: The WFEIS system is a user-driven approach made available via a web browser. Model results are compatible with the scope and reporting needs of the annual national greenhouse gas inventories.

Smoke-water treatment of seeds, an ancient technique for increasing seed vigor.

Germination is an essential phenomenon in the life cycle of plants, and a variety of external and internal factors influence it. Fire and the produced smoke have been vital environmental stimulants for the germination of seeds in many plant species, like Leucospermum cordifolium and Serruria florida. These plants do not germinate at all if fire and smoke are not present. This phenomenon of germination in plant species has existed in the ecosystem since ancient times. Various studies to study the response of seeds to smoke and its extracts have been undertaken for stimulation of germination by burning various plant materials and bubbling the smoke produced through water. The application of plant-derived smoke and smoke water is well known for promoting germination, breaking dormancy, and checking abiotic stress. This significantly indicates that plant-derived smoke contains some bioactive metabolites responsible for the physiological metabolism of seed germination and is involved in enhancing seed vigor. The present review deals with the ancient use of smoke and smoke extracts for seed priming, the cost-efficient method of its preparation, the mode of action of karrikins relating to its perception by plants, and its significant effects on various crops, including its ability to check biotic and abiotic stresses.

Effects of biochar on soil carbon pool stability in the Dahurian larch (Larix gmelinii) forest are regulated by the dominant soil microbial ecological strategy.

Biochar is widely used in integrated soil management, and can directly alter the soil environment and drastically affect the soil microbial community. Given the important role of soil microorganisms in the carbon cycling of soils, it is important to understand how biochar alters the stability of soil organic carbon (SOC) pools in Dahurian larch (Larix gmelinii) forests through microbial pathways unburned and high-severity burned soils to guide comprehensive soil management and restore ecological functions in postfire soils. This study employed the r/K ecological strategy theory to quantify the ecological strategy propensities of soil microbial communities. The ratio of oligotrophic species to copiotrophic species was used to measure these propensities. The study aimed to establish a link between the ecological strategy choices of microbial communities and SOC pools. We found: that (1) biochar increases the mass of SOC regardless of whether the soil has experienced fire, (2) biochar addition to unburned stands makes the K-strategy dominant in microbial communities, significantly decreasing the mineral-associated organic carbon (MAOC) to SOC ratio and weakening the of SOC pool stability; (3) biochar addition to high-severity burned stands shifts the dominant microbial strategy to r-strategy, restoring the damaged microbial community to its preburned state. The MAOC/SOC ratio significantly increased, contributing to the restoration of the SOC pool stability and enhancing the soil carbon sequestration capacity. This study elucidates the effects of biochar addition on the dominant ecological strategy of microbial communities and alterations in the structure and stability of SOC pools, which is important for understanding how biochar affects SOC pools through biochemical pathways, and provides important references for unraveling the relation between microbial ecological strategies and soil carbon pools.

Assessing forest fire dynamics and risk zones in Central Indian forests: a comparative study of the Khandwa and North Betul forest divisions of Madhya Pradesh.

Forest fires pose significant environmental and socioeconomic threats, particularly in regions such as Central India, where forest ecosystems are vital for biodiversity and local livelihoods. Understanding forest fire dynamics and identifying fire risk zones are crucial for effective mitigation. The current study explores the spatiotemporal dynamics of forest fires in the Khandwa and North Betul forest divisions in the Central Indian region over 22 years using Mann-Kendall and Sen's slope tests on MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) fire point data. We found a nonsignificant increase in forest fires in both divisions. Khandwa showed a nonsignificant slope rise of more than three events per year, while North Betul revealed an increase of around one event per year. The lack of statistical significance suggests that upward trends of forest fire events may result from random fluctuations rather than consistent patterns. Spatial autocorrelation analysis revealed significant clustering of fire incidents in both regions. Khandwa confirmed moderate clustering (Moran's I = 0.043), whereas North Betul showed robust clustering (Moran's I = 0.096). Kernel density estimation further identified high-risk clusters in both divisions, necessitating zonal-wise targeted fire management strategies. Fire risk zonation was developed using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP), combining 10 environmental and socioeconomic factors. The AHP model, validated using MODIS fire data, showed reliable accuracy. The results revealed many of both divisions in the high- to very high-risk categories. Approximately, 45% of the area of the Khandwa and nearly 50% of the area of North Betul fall under high to very high fire risk zones. Khandwa's high-risk areas mainly lie in the northern and southeastern parts, while North Betul lies in the northwestern and north-eastern regions. The identified fire-prone areas indicate the pressing need for local or region-specific fire prevention and mitigation strategies. Thus, the findings of this study provide valuable insights into forest fire risk management and contribute to more focused research and methodological developments.

Dynamic UAV Deployment Scheme Based on Edge Computing for Forest Fire Scenarios.

This study investigates the dynamic deployment of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) using edge computing in a forest fire scenario. We consider the dynamically changing characteristics of forest fires and the corresponding varying resource requirements. Based on this, this paper models a two-timescale UAV dynamic deployment scheme by considering the dynamic changes in the number and position of UAVs. In the slow timescale, we use a gate recurrent unit (GRU) to predict the number of future users and determine the number of UAVs based on the resource requirements. UAVs with low energy are replaced accordingly. In the fast timescale, a deep-reinforcement-learning-based UAV position deployment algorithm is designed to enable the low-latency processing of computational tasks by adjusting the UAV positions in real time to meet the ground devices' computational demands. The simulation results demonstrate that the proposed scheme achieves better prediction accuracy. The number and position of UAVs can be adapted to resource demand changes and reduce task execution delays.

UAVs-FFDB: A high-resolution dataset for advancing forest fire detection and monitoring using unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs).

Forest ecosystems face increasing wildfire threats, demanding prompt and precise detection methods to ensure efficient fire control. However, real-time forest fire data accessibility and timeliness require improvement. Our study addresses the challenge through the introduction of the Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) based forest fire database (UAVs-FFDB), characterized by a dual composition. Firstly, it encompasses a collection of 1653 high-resolution RGB raw images meticulously captured utilizing a standard S500 quadcopter frame in conjunction with a RaspiCamV2 camera. Secondly, the database incorporates augmented data, culminating in a total of 15560 images, thereby enhancing the diversity and comprehensiveness of the dataset. These images were captured within a forested area adjacent to Adana Alparslan Türkes Science and Technology University in Adana, Turkey. Each raw image in the dataset spans dimensions from 353 × 314 to 640 × 480, while augmented data ranges from 398 × 358 to 640 × 480, resulting in a total dataset size of 692 MB for the raw data subset. In contrast, the augmented data subset accounts for a considerably larger size, totaling 6.76 GB. The raw images are obtained during a UAV surveillance mission, with the camera precisely angled a -180-degree to be horizontal to the ground. The images are taken from altitudes alternating between 5 - 15 meters to diversify the field of vision and to build a more inclusive database. During the surveillance operation, the UAV speed is 2 m/s on average. Following this, the dataset underwent meticulous annotation using the advanced annotation platform, Makesense.ai, enabling accurate demarcation of fire boundaries. This resource equips researchers with the necessary data infrastructure to develop innovative methodologies for early fire detection and continuous monitoring, enhancing efforts to protect ecosystems and human lives while promoting sustainable forest management practices. Additionally, the UAVs-FFDB dataset serves as a foundational cornerstone for the advancement and refinement of state-of-the-art AI-based methodologies, aiming to automate fire classification, recognition, detection, and segmentation tasks with unparalleled precision and efficacy.

Laboratory study on the characteristics of fresh and aged PM1 emitted from typical forest vegetation combustion in Southwest China.

The frequency and intensity of forest fires are amplified by climate change. Substantial quantities of PM1 emitted from forest fires can undergo gradual atmospheric dispersion and long-range transport, thus impacting air quality far from the source. However, the chemical composition and physical properties of PM emitted from forest fires and its changes during atmospheric transport remain uncertain. In this study, the evolution of organic carbon (OC), elemental carbon (EC), water-soluble ions, and water-soluble metals in the particulate phase of smoke emitted from the typical forest vegetation combustion in Southwest China before and after photo-oxidation was investigated in the laboratory. Two aging periods of 5 and 9 days were selected. The OC and TC mass concentrations tended to decrease after 9-days aged compared to fresh emissions. OP, OC2, and OC3 in PM1 are expected to be potential indicators of fresh smoke, while OC3 and OC4 may serve as suitable markers for identifying aged carbon sources from the typical forest vegetation combustion in Southwest China. K+ exhibited the highest abundant water-soluble ion in fresh PM1, whereas NO3- became the most abundant water-soluble ion in aged PM1. NH4NO3 emerged as the primary secondary inorganic aerosol emitted from typical forest vegetation combustion in Southwest China. Notably, a 5-day aging period proved insufficient for the complete formation of the secondary inorganic aerosols NH4NO3 and (NH4)2SO4. After aging, the mass concentration of the water-soluble metal Ni in PM1 from typical forest vegetation combustion in Southwest China decreased, while the mean mass concentrations of all other water-soluble metals increased in varying degrees. These findings provide valuable data support and theoretical guidance for studying the atmospheric evolution of forest fire aerosols, as well as contribute to policy formulation and management of atmospheric environment safety and human health.

Changes in aerosol properties at the El Arenosillo site in Southern Europe as a result of the 2023 Canadian forest fires.

From the beginning of May 2023 to the end of August 2023, the Northern Hemisphere experienced significant wildfire activity with the most widespread fires occurring in Canada. Forest fires in Canada destroyed more than 15.6 million hectares of forests. These wildfires worsened air quality across the region and other parts of the world. The smoke reached southern Europe by the end of June 2023. To better understand the consequences of such forest fires far from the site of origin, aerosol optical, microphysical and radiative properties were analyzed during this event for southern Europe using data from the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS), TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI), and Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET). TROPOMI aerosol index (AI) and the carbon monoxide (CO) product confirm that the smoke originated directly from these forest fires. AERONET data from the El Arenosillo site in southern Spain showed maximum aerosol optical depth (AOD) values on June 27 reached 2.36. Data on Angstrom Exponent (AE), aerosol volume size distribution (VSD), single scattering albedo (SSA), fine mode fraction (FMF), volume particle concentration, effective radius (REff), absorption AOD (AAOD), extinction AE (EAE) and absorption AE (AAE) showed that fine-mode particles with carbonaceous aerosols contribution predominated in the atmosphere above the El Arenosillo site. Direct aerosol radiative forcing (DARF) at the top (DARFTOA) and bottom of atmosphere (DARFBOA) were -103.1 and -198.93 Wm-2, respectively. The atmospheric aerosol radiative forcing (DARFATM) was found to be 95.83 Wm-2 and with a heating rate 2.69 K day-1, which indicates the resulting warming of the atmosphere.

Toward a more resilient Thailand: Developing a machine learning-powered forest fire warning system.

Forest fires in Thailand are a recurring and formidable challenge, inflicting widespread damage and ranking among the nation's most devastating natural disasters. Most detection methods are labor-intensive, lack speed for early detection, or result in high infrastructure costs. An essential approach to mitigating this issue involves establishing an efficient forest fire warning system based on amalgamating diverse available data sources and optimized algorithms. This research endeavors to develop a binary machine-learning classifier based on Thailand's forest fire occurrences from January 2019 to October 2022 using data acquired from satellite resources, including the Google Earth engine. We use four gas variables including carbon monoxide, sulfur dioxide, nitrogen dioxide, and ozone. The study explores a range of classification models, encompassing linear classifiers, gradient-boosting classifiers, and artificial neural networks. The XGBoost model is the top-performing option across various classification evaluation metrics. The model provides the accuracy of 99.6 % and ROC-AUC score of 0.939. These findings underscore the necessity for a comprehensive forest fire warning system that integrates gas measurement sensor devices and geospatial data. A feedback mechanism is also imperative to enable model retraining post-deployment, thereby diminishing reliance on geospatial attributes. Moreover, given that decision-tree-based algorithms consistently yield superior results, future research in machine learning for forest fire prediction should prioritize these approaches.

Mapping the natural disturbance risk to protective forests across the European Alps.

Mountain forests play an essential role in protecting people and infrastructure from natural hazards. However, forests are currently experiencing an increasing rate of natural disturbances (including windthrows, bark beetle outbreaks and forest fires) that may jeopardize their capacity to provide this ecosystem service in the future. Here, we mapped the risk to forests' protective service across the European Alps by integrating the risk components of hazard (in this case, the probability of a disturbance occurring), exposure (the proportion of forests that protect people or infrastructure), and vulnerability (the probability that the forests lose their protective structure after a disturbance). We combined satellite-based data on forest disturbances from 1986 to 2020 with data on key forest structural characteristics (cover and height) from spaceborne lidar (GEDI), and used ensemble models to predict disturbance probabilities and post-disturbance forest structure based on topographic and climatic predictors. Wind and bark beetles are dominant natural disturbance agents in the Alps, with a mean annual probability of occurrence of 0.05%, while forest fires were less likely (mean annual probability <0.01%), except in the south-western Alps. After a disturbance, over 40% of forests maintained their protective structure, highlighting the important role of residual living or dead trees. Within 30 years after wind and bark beetle disturbance, 61% of forests were likely to either maintain or recover their protective structure. Vulnerability to fires was higher, with 51% of forest still lacking sufficient protective structure 30 years after fire. Fire vulnerability was especially pronounced at dry sites, which also had a high fire hazard. Combining hazard and vulnerability with the exposure of protective forests we identified 186 Alpine municipalities with a high risk to protective forests due to wind and bark beetles, and 117 with a high fire risk. Mapping the disturbance risk to ecosystem services can help identify priority areas for increasing preparedness and managing forests towards lower susceptibility under an intensifying disturbance regime.

Preparation and Characterization of Chitosan/Hydroxypropyl Methylcellulose Temperature-Sensitive Hydrogel Containing Inorganic Salts for Forest Fire Suppression.

Effective forest fire suppression remains a critical challenge, necessitating innovative solutions. Temperature-sensitive hydrogels represent a promising avenue in this endeavor. Traditional firefighting methods often struggle to address forest fires efficiently while mitigating ecological harm and optimizing resource utilization. In this study, a novel intelligent temperature-sensitive hydrogel was prepared specially for forest fire extinguishment. Utilizing a one-pot synthesis approach, this material demonstrates exceptional fluidity at ambient temperatures, facilitating convenient application and transport. Upon exposure to elevated temperatures, it undergoes a phase transition to form a solid, barrier-like structure essential for containing forest fires. The incorporation of environmentally friendly phosphorus salts into the chitosan/hydroxypropyl methylcellulose gel system enhances the formation of temperature-sensitive hydrogels, thereby enhancing their structural integrity and firefighting efficacy. Morphological and thermal stability analyses elucidate the outstanding performance, with the hydrogel forming a dense carbonized layer that acts as a robust barrier against the spread of forest fires. Additionally, comprehensive evaluations employing rheological tests, cone calorimeter tests, a swelling test, and infrared thermography reveal the multifaceted roles of temperature-sensitive hydrogels in forest fire prevention and suppression strategies.

Understanding the association between global forest fire products and hydrometeorological variables.

Climate change and anthropogenic activities have influenced the frequency and magnitude of forest fires both globally and regionally. While skilful short- to extended-range prediction of forest fires is essential for effective mitigation in local communities, it is also important to identify the implications of forest fires on different sectors, including water resources and sustainable development. Limited studies have investigated the association between forest fires and hydrometeorological variables at the regional scale in developing countries due to the lack of necessary datasets, which can now be leveraged using the newly hosted global reanalysis of fire danger indices (referred to as fire indices). The current study presents a comprehensive analysis of the spatio-temporal variations of eight fire indices across India, as well as their association with hydro-meteorological variables, such as precipitation, temperature, and the streamflow of a major river basin (Mahanadi) in India. The accuracy of these indices in capturing real fire events and the potential benefit of incorporating fire indices into long-term hydrologic simulations are also explored. The results show that fire indices can accurately yield fire seasons (i.e., post-monsoon and summer) in India. Furthermore, forest fires are found to be strongly associated with hydro-meteorological variables, typically resulting in low streamflow regimes. Fire indices can also capture actual fire events, maintaining high scalar accuracy. Finally, an improvement in uncalibrated hydrologic model simulations is observed when simulated streamflow is post-processed using the fire indices as predictors. Overall, the current study has valuable implications for fire indices forecasting and hydrologic simulations in ungauged basins.

Geospatial forest fire risk assessment and zoning by integrating MaxEnt in Gorkha District, Nepal.

Forest fires are an imminent danger to natural forest ecosystems, and carrying out zoning studies and forest fire risk assessments are of great practical significance in steering fire prevention, minimizing fire incidents, and limiting the environmental consequences of fire. Using the Gorkha district of Nepal as a case study, this study used remotely sensed high-temperature fire data as the forest fire sample. Nine parameters related to topography, climatic conditions, vegetation, and human intervention were used as environmental variables affecting fire occurrence. Next, a MaxEnt forest fire risk assessment model was generated with GIS and R, which analysed the contribution, significance, and responses of environmental variables to the forest fire in Gorkha District. The findings demonstrate that (1) following a test of sample locations for forest fires, the MaxEnt model has excellent relevance and practicality when applied to fire risk assessment; (2) Out of 2747 fire points in the forest, only 110 Spatio-temporally independent fire points were used for the model building having high and normal confidence level. Regarding Area Under Curve (AUC) values, the training data yielded results of 0.875, while the test data produced acceptable results of 0.861 with a standard deviation of 0.0322; (3) the importance of climatic and Land Use Land Cover (LULC) variables to forest fire are 56.2 % and 32.9 %, respectively, and their contribution to forest fire are 32 % and 47.6 %, respectively. (4) There are numerous and intricate ways that environmental factors influence forest fires. The forest fire response curves to the nine chosen environmental variables are complex and nonlinear rather than linear; Maximum temperature of the warmest month (bio_5), Isothermality (bio_3), Precipitation of Driest Quarter (bio_17) and mean Diurnal Range (bio_2) bear a nonlinear positive link with the possibility of forest fires. In contrast, elevation, slope, temperature seasonality (bio_4), distance from the settlement, and LULC have a favorable stimulating response to the possibility of forest fires within an appropriate interval. (5) In Gorkha, there are geographical differences in the risk of forest fires. Only 12.83 % of the whole area is made up of areas at significantly high risk or above, compared to 87.17 % for high-risk and below.

A modest increase in fire weather overcomes resistance to fire spread in recently burned boreal forests.

Recently burned boreal forests have lower aboveground fuel loads, generating a negative feedback to subsequent wildfires. Despite this feedback, short-interval reburns (≤20 years between fires) are possible under extreme weather conditions. Reburns have consequences for ecosystem recovery, leading to enduring vegetation change. In this study, we characterize the strength of the fire-fuel feedback in recently burned Canadian boreal forests and the weather conditions that overwhelm resistance to fire spread in recently burned areas. We used a dataset of daily fire spread for thousands of large boreal fires, interpolated from remotely sensed thermal anomalies to which we associated local weather from ERA5-Land for each day of a fire's duration. We classified days with >3 ha of fire growth as spread days and defined burned pixels overlapping a fire perimeter ≤20 years old as short-interval reburns. Results of a logistic regression showed that the odds of fire spread in recently burned areas were ~50% lower than in long-interval fires; however, all Canadian boreal ecozones experienced short-interval reburning (1981-2021), with over 100,000 ha reburning annually. As fire weather conditions intensify, the resistance to fire spread declines, allowing fire to spread in recently burned areas. The weather associated with short-interval fire spread days was more extreme than the conditions during long-interval spread, but overall differences were modest (e.g. relative humidity 2.6% lower). The frequency of fire weather conducive to short-interval fire spread has significantly increased in the western boreal forest due to climate warming and drying (1981-2021). Our results suggest an ongoing degradation of fire-fuel feedbacks, which is likely to continue with climatic warming and drying.

Unveiling value patterns via deep reinforcement learning in heterogeneous data analytics.

Artificial intelligence has substantially improved the efficiency of data utilization across various sectors. However, the insufficient filtering of low-quality data poses challenges to uncertainty management, threatening system stability. In this study, we introduce a data-valuation approach employing deep reinforcement learning to elucidate the value patterns in data-driven tasks. By strategically optimizing with iterative sampling and feedback, our method is effective in diverse scenarios and consistently outperforms the classic methods in both accuracy and efficiency. In China's wind-power prediction, excluding 25% of the overall dataset deemed low-value led to a 10.5% improvement in accuracy. Utilizing just 42.8% of the dataset, the model discerned 80% of linear patterns, showcasing the data's intrinsic and transferable value. A nationwide analysis identified a data-value-sensitive geographic belt across 10 provinces, leading to robust policy recommendations informed by variances in power outputs and data values, as well as geographic climate factors.

Cumulative Effects of Watershed Disturbances and Run-of-river Dams on Mercury Cycling: Case Study and Recommendations for Environmental Managers.

Run-of-river power plants (ROR) represent the majority of hydroelectric plants worldwide. Their environmental impacts are not well documented and are believed to be limited, particularly regarding the contamination of food webs by methylmercury (MeHg), a neurotoxin. RORs are typically installed in small rivers where combined effects of watershed disturbances with dam construction can complicate environmental management. We report a multi-year case study on the Saint-Maurice River (Canada) where an unpredicted temporary increase in MeHg accumulation in predator fish was observed after the construction of two ROR plants. The associated pondages acted as sedimentation basins for mercury (Hg) and organic matter from a watershed disturbed by a forest fire and by logging. This fresh organic carbon likely fueled microbial MeHg production. Hg methylation was more associated with environmental conditions than to the presence of Hg, and main methylating microbial groups were identified. A constructed wetland was a site of significant Hg methylation but was not the main source of the fish Hg increase. Organic carbon degradation was the main driver of MeHg accumulation at the base of the food chain whereas trophic levels explained the variations at the top of the food chain. Overall, carbon cycling was a key driver of Hg dynamics in this system, and ROR plants can cause temporary (ca. 12 years) Hg increase in food webs when developed in disturbed watersheds, although this increase is smaller than for large reservoirs. Recommendations for future ROR construction are to establish a good environmental monitoring plan with initial high temporal resolution and to consider recent and potential watershed disturbances in the plan.