Genome-wide association study and meta-analysis of phytosterols identifies a novel locus for serum levels of campesterol.

Sitosterolemia is a rare inherited disorder caused by mutations in the ABCG5/ABCG8 genes. These genes encode proteins involved in the transport of plant sterols. Mutations in these genes lead to decreased excretion of phytosterols, which can accumulate in the body and lead to a variety of health problems, including premature coronary artery disease. We conducted the first genome-wide association study (GWAS) in the Middle East/North Africa population to identify genetic determinants of plant sterol levels in Qatari people. GWAS was performed on serum levels of ß-sitosterol and campesterol using the Metabolon platform from Qatar Biobank (QBB) and genome sequence data provided by Qatar Genome Program. A trans-ancestry meta-analysis of data from our Qatari cohort with summary statistics from a previously published large cohort (9758 subjects) of European ancestry was conducted. Using conditional analysis, we identified two independent single nucleotide polymorphisms associated with ß-sitosterol (rs145164937 and rs4299376), and two others with campesterol (rs7598542 and rs75901165) in the Qatari population in addition to previously reported variants. All of them map to the ABCG5/8 locus except rs75901165 which is located within the Intraflagellar Transport 43 (IFT43) gene. The meta-analysis replicated most of the reported variants, and our study provided significant support for the association of variants in SCARB1 and ABO with sitosterolemia. Evaluation of a polygenic risk score devised from European GWAS data showed moderate performance when applied to QBB (adjusted-R2 = 0.082). These findings provide new insights into the genetic architecture of phytosterol metabolism while showing the importance including under-represented populations in future GWAS studies.

Polygenic Risk Is Associated With Long-Term Coronary Plaque Progression and High-Risk Plaque.

BACKGROUND: The longitudinal relation between coronary artery disease (CAD) polygenic risk score (PRS) and long-term plaque progression and high-risk plaque (HRP) features is unknown. OBJECTIVES: The goal of this study was to investigate the impact of CAD PRS on long-term coronary plaque progression and HRP. METHODS: Patients underwent CAD PRS measurement and prospective serial coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA) imaging. Coronary CTA scans were analyzed with a previously validated artificial intelligence-based algorithm (atherosclerosis imaging-quantitative computed tomography imaging). The relationship between CAD PRS and change in percent atheroma volume (PAV), percent noncalcified plaque progression, and HRP prevalence was investigated in linear mixed-effect models adjusted for baseline plaque volume and conventional risk factors. RESULTS: A total of 288 subjects (mean age 58 ± 7 years; 60% male) were included in this study with a median scan interval of 10.2 years. At baseline, patients with a high CAD PRS had a more than 5-fold higher PAV than those with a low CAD PRS (10.4% vs 1.9%; P < 0.001). Per 10 years of follow-up, a 1 SD increase in CAD PRS was associated with a 0.69% increase in PAV progression in the multivariable adjusted model. CAD PRS provided additional discriminatory benefit for above-median noncalcified plaque progression during follow-up when added to a model with conventional risk factors (AUC: 0.73 vs 0.69; P = 0.039). Patients with high CAD PRS had an OR of 2.85 (95% CI: 1.14-7.14; P = 0.026) and 6.16 (95% CI: 2.55-14.91; P < 0.001) for having HRP at baseline and follow-up compared with those with low CAD PRS. CONCLUSIONS: Polygenic risk is strongly associated with future long-term plaque progression and HRP in patients suspected of having CAD.

DeepRisk: A deep learning approach for genome-wide assessment of common disease risk.

The potential for being able to identify individuals at high disease risk solely based on genotype data has garnered significant interest. Although widely applied, traditional polygenic risk scoring methods fall short, as they are built on additive models that fail to capture the intricate associations among single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). This presents a limitation, as genetic diseases often arise from complex interactions between multiple SNPs. To address this challenge, we developed DeepRisk, a biological knowledge-driven deep learning method for modeling these complex, nonlinear associations among SNPs, to provide a more effective method for scoring the risk of common diseases with genome-wide genotype data. Evaluations demonstrated that DeepRisk outperforms existing PRS-based methods in identifying individuals at high risk for four common diseases: Alzheimer's disease, inflammatory bowel disease, type 2 diabetes, and breast cancer.

Association of healthy lifestyle factors and genetic liability with bipolar disorder: Findings from the UK Biobank.

BACKGROUND: The interplay between genetic and lifestyle factors in the development of bipolar disorder (BD) remains unclear. METHODS: A cohort study was carried out on 365,517 participants from the UK Biobank. Lifestyle scores, based on smoking, physical activity, diet, alcohol consumption, sedentary behavior, sleep duration, and social contact, were grouped as favorable (scores 6-7), intermediate (scores 4-5), or unfavorable (scores 0-3). The BD polygenic risk score (PRS) was also categorized into high, intermediate, and low-risk groups using PRS tertiles. Cox regression models determined hazard ratios (HRs) and 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) for BD. RESULTS: During the 12.9-year follow-up, 529 individuals developed BD. Comparing those with favorable lifestyles to those with unfavorable participants, the HR of developing BD was 3.28 (95 % CI, 2.76-3.89). Similarly, individuals with a high PRS had a risk of 3.20 (95 % CI, 2.83-3.63) compared to those with a low PRS. Notably, individuals with both a high PRS and an unfavorable lifestyle had a significantly higher risk of BD (HR = 6.31, 95 % CI, 4.14-9.63) compared to those with a low PRS and a favorable lifestyle. Additionally, the interaction between PRS and lifestyle contributed an additional risk, with a relative excess risk of 1.74 (95 % CI, 0.40-3.07) and an attributable proportion due to the interaction of 0.37 (95 % CI, 0.16-0.58). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that genetic liability for BD, measured as PRS, and lifestyle have an additive effect on the risk of developing BD. A favorable lifestyle was associated with a reduced risk of developing BD.

Impact of hyperuricemia on CKD risk beyond genetic predisposition in a population-based cohort study.

The bidirectional effect of hyperuricemia on chronic kidney disease (CKD) underscores the importance of hyperuricemia as a risk factor for CKD. We evaluated the effect of hyperuricemia on the presence and development of CKD after considering genetic background by calculating polygenic risk scores (PRSs). We employed genome-wide association study summary statistics-excluding the United Kingdom Biobank (UKB) datasets among published CKD Gen Consortium papers-to calculate the PRSs for CKD in white background subjects. To validate PRS performance, we divided the UKB into two datasets to validate and test the data. We used logistic regression analysis to evaluate the association between hyperuricemia and CKD, and performed Kaplan-Meier survival analysis exclusively for subjects with available follow-up data. In total, 438,253 clinical data and 4,307,940 single nucleotide polymorphisms from 459,155 samples were included. We observed a significant positive association between PRS and CKD and the presence and development of CKD. Hyperuricemia significantly increased CKD risk (adjusted odds ratio 1.55, 95% confidence interval 1.48-1.61). The impact of hyperuricemia on CKD was maintained irrespective of PRS range. In addition, negative interaction between hyperuricemia and PRS for CKD was found. Survival analysis indicates that the presence of hyperuricemia significantly increased the risk of CKD development. The PRS for CKD thoroughly reflects the risk of CKD development. Hyperuricemia is a significant indicator of CKD risk, even after incorporating the genetic risk score for CKD. Irrespective of genetic risk, patients with a prospective risk of developing CKD require uric acid monitoring and management.

Colorectal Cancer Polygenic Risk Score Is Associated With Screening Colonoscopy Findings but Not Follow-Up Outcomes.

Background and Aims: Colorectal cancer (CRC) polygenic risk scores (PRS) may help personalize CRC prevention strategies. We investigated whether an existing PRS was associated with advanced neoplasia (AN) in a population undergoing screening and follow-up colonoscopy. Methods: We evaluated 10-year outcomes in the Cooperative Studies Program #380 screening colonoscopy cohort, which includes a biorepository of selected individuals with baseline AN (defined as CRC or adenoma ≥10 mm or villous histology, or high-grade dysplasia) and matched individuals without AN. A PRS was constructed from 136 prespecified CRC-risk single nucleotide polymorphisms. Multivariate logistic regression was used to evaluate the PRS for associations with AN prevalence at baseline screening colonoscopy or incident AN in participants with at least one follow-up colonoscopy. Results: The PRS was associated with AN risk at baseline screening colonoscopy (P = .004). Participants in the lowest PRS quintile had more than a 70% decreased risk of AN at baseline (odds ratio 0.29, 95% confidence interval 0.14-0.58; P < .001) compared to participants with a PRS in the middle quintile. Using a PRS cut-off of more than the first quintile to indicate need for colonoscopy as primary screening, the sensitivity for detecting AN at baseline is 91.8%. We did not observe a relationship between the PRS and incident AN during follow-up (P = .28). Conclusion: A PRS could identify individuals at low risk for prevalent AN. Ongoing work will determine whether this PRS can identify a subset of individuals at sufficiently low risk who could safely delay or be reassured about noninvasive screening. Otherwise, more research is needed to augment these genetic tools to predict incident AN during long-term follow-up.

Interplay between polygenic risk score and solar insolation: Implication for systemic lupus erythematosus diagnosis and pathogenesis.

OBJECTIVES: This research elucidates the correlation between solar radiation insolation, polygenic risk score (PRS), and systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) diagnosis, utilizing genomic, environmental, and clinical data. METHODS: We included 1,800 SLE participants and 1,800 controls from the Taiwan Precision Medicine Initiative, genotyped via the Affymetrix Genome-Wide TWB 2.0 SNP Array. The study employed a SLE-PRS tailored for individuals of Taiwanese ancestry, comprising 27 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). QGIS computed solar radiation insolation from participants' residences. We employed logistic regression to investigate the associations between SLE-PRS, solar insolation susceptibility, and SLE. Additive and multiplicative interactions were utilized to assess the interactions between solar insolation and SLE-PRS regarding the risk of SLE. RESULTS: SLE patients showed decreased solar insolation (p < 0.001). The highest decile of SLE-PRS exhibited a statistically significant lower solar insolation 1, 3, 6, and 12 months prior to diagnosis as compared to the lowest decile. Specifically, there were significant differences observed at 1 and 12 months (p = 0.025 and p = 0.004, respectively). It suggests that higher SLE-PRS correlated with reduced solar insolation tolerance. We observed an increase in SLE risk across ascending SLE-PRS percentiles exclusively in the high solar insolation group, not in the low solar insolation group. However, the interaction effect of SLE-PRS and solar insolation on SLE risk is not statistically significant. Compared to the lowest decile, the highest SLE-PRS decile showed a 10.98-fold increase in SLE risk (95 % CI, 3.773-31.952, p < 0.001). High SLE-PRS scores in conjunction with high solar insolation contribute to SLE incidence. CONCLUSIONS: Our study unveils the intertwined nature of UV insolation and polygenic risks in SLE. Future studies should explore the preventative potential of robust solar radiation protection for high-risk individuals before the disease onset.

Association of polygenic risk scores with Alzheimer's disease and plasma biomarkers among Chinese older adults: A community-based study.

INTRODUCTION: We examined the associations of polygenic risk score (PRS) with Alzheimer's disease (AD) and plasma biomarkers in the Chinese population. METHODS: This population-based study used baseline data from MIND-China (2018; n = 4873) and follow-up data from dementia-free individuals (2014-2018; n = 2117). We measured AD-related plasma biomarkers in a subsample (n = 1256). Data were analyzed using logistic and Cox regression models. RESULTS: We developed PRS with (PRSAPOE) and without (PRSnon- APOE) apolipoprotein E (APOE) gene. In the longitudinal analysis, PRSAPOE was associated with a multivariable-adjusted hazards ratio of 1.91 (95% CI = 1.13-3.23) for AD. PRSAPOE in combination with demographics yielded discriminative (area under the curve [AUC]) and predictive(C-statistic) accuracy of 0.80 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.77-0.84) and 0.80 (0.77-0.82), respectively. PRSnon- APOE showed an association with AD risk similar to PRSAPOE. PRSAPOE, but not PRSnon- APOE, was associated with reduced plasma Aß42/Aß40 ratio and increased Neurofilament light chain (NfL) (p < 0.05). DISCUSSION: The PRS with and without APOE gene, in combination with demographics, shows good discriminative and predictive ability for AD. The AD-related pathologies underlie AD risk associated with PRSAPOE. HIGHLIGHTS: The PRSAPOE and PRSnon- APOE were associated with AD risk in the Chinese population. The PRSAPOE and PRSnon- APOE, in combination with demographics, showed good discriminative and predictive ability for AD. The AD-related pathologies underlie the AD risk associated with PRSAPOE but not PRSnon- APOE.

Associations Between Genetic Risk, Physical Activities, and Distressing Psychotic-like Experiences.

BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS: Persistent distressing psychotic-like experiences (PLE) are associated with impaired functioning and future psychopathology. Prior research suggests that physical activities may be protective against psychopathology. However, it is unclear whether physical activities may interact with genetics in the development of psychosis. STUDY DESIGN: This study included 4679 participants of European ancestry from the Adolescent Brain Cognitive Development Study. Persistent distressing PLE was derived from the Prodromal-Questionnaire-Brief Child Version using four years of data. Generalized linear mixed models tested the association between polygenic risk score for schizophrenia (PRS-SCZ), physical activities, and PLE. The models adjusted for age, sex, parental education, income-to-needs ratio, family history of psychosis, body mass index, puberty status, principal components for PRS-SCZ, study site, and family. STUDY RESULTS: PRS-SCZ was associated with a greater risk for persistent distressing PLE (adjusted relative risk ratio (RRR) = 1.14, 95% CI [1.04, 1.24], P = .003). Physical activity was associated with less risk for persistent distressing PLE (adjusted RRR = 0.87, 95% CI [0.79, 0.96], P = .008). Moreover, physical activities moderated the association between PRS-SCZ and persistent distressing PLE (adjusted RRR = 0.89, 95% CI [0.81, 0.98], P = .015), such that the association was weaker as participants had greater participation in physical activities. CONCLUSIONS: These findings demonstrate that the interaction between genetic liability and physical activities is associated with trajectories of distressing PLE. Further research is needed to understand the mechanisms of physical activities and genetic liability for schizophrenia in the development of psychosis.

Integrating polygenic risk scores in the prediction of gestational diabetes risk in China.

Background: Polygenic risk scores (PRS) serve as valuable tools for connecting initial genetic discoveries with clinical applications in disease risk estimation. However, limited studies have explored the association between PRS and gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), particularly in predicting GDM risk among Chinese populations. Aim: To evaluate the relationship between PRS and GDM and explore the predictive capability of PRS for GDM risk in a Chinese population. Methods: A prospective cohort study was conducted, which included 283 GDM and 2,258 non-GDM cases based on demographic information on pregnancies. GDM was diagnosed using the oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) at 24-28 weeks. The strength of the association between PRS and GDM odds was assessed employing odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) derived from logistic regression. Receiver operating characteristic curves, net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were employed to evaluate the improvement in prediction achieved by the new model. Results: Women who developed GDM exhibited significantly higher PRS compared to control individuals (OR = 2.01, 95% CI = 1.33-3.07). The PRS value remained positively associated with fasting plasma glucose (FPG), 1-hour post-glucose load (1-h OGTT), and 2-hour post-glucose load (2-h OGTT) (all p < 0.05). The incorporation of PRS led to a statistically significant improvement in the area under the curve (0.71, 95% CI: 0.66-0.75, p = 0.024) and improved discrimination and classification (IDI: 0.007, 95% CI: 0.003-0.012, p < 0.001; NRI: 0.258, 95% CI: 0.135-0.382, p < 0.001). Conclusions: This study highlights the increased odds of GDM associated with higher PRS values and modest improvements in predictive capability for GDM.

Associations of polygenic risk scores differentiating attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder from autism spectrum disorder with cognitive and cortical alterations in Schizophrenia patients.

Schizophrenia (SCZ) is a clinically and genetically heterogeneous disorder that shares genetic factors with autism spectrum disorder (ASD) and attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD). A genome-wide association study (GWAS) differentiating ADHD from ASD was performed recently. In this study, we investigated whether polygenic risk scores (PRSs) differentiating ASD from ADHD are associated with cognitive impairments and alterations in cortical structures in SCZ patients. Based on the GWAS data (9,315 ASD and 11,964 ADHD patients), PRSs differentiating ADHD from ASD (indicating a greater risk of ADHD and a lower risk of ASD) were calculated for SCZ patients (n = 168). Cognitive performance, including verbal comprehension (VC), perceptual organization (PO), working memory (WM), and processing speed (PS), was assessed using the WAIS-III (n = 145). The surface areas and cortical thicknesses of 34 bilateral brain regions were extracted using FreeSurfer (n = 126). We examined the associations of these PRSs with cognitive performance and cortical structures in SCZ patients. Among the four cognitive domains, a higher PRS, indicating a greater risk of ADHD, was associated with impaired WM in SCZ patients (beta=-0.21, p = 0.012). A lower PRS, indicating a greater risk of ASD, was associated with decreased surface areas of the left medial orbitofrontal (beta = 0.21, p = 8.29 × 10- 4), left entorhinal (beta = 0.21, p = 0.025), left postcentral (beta = 0.18, p = 7.52 × 10- 3), right fusiform (beta = 0.17, p = 6.64 × 10- 3), and left fusiform cortices (beta = 0.17, p = 7.77 × 10- 3) in SCZ patients. A higher PRS, indicating a greater risk of ADHD, was associated with decreased cortical thickness in the bilateral transverse temporal regions (left, beta=-0.17, p = 0.039; right, beta=-0.17, p = 0.045). Our study revealed a relationship between genetic factors that differentiate ADHD patients from ASD patients and both cortical structure and cognitive performance in SCZ patients. These findings suggest that the heterogeneity of SCZ might be partly derived from genetic factors related to neurodevelopmental and psychiatric disorders other than SCZ.

The HUNT lung-SNP model: genetic variants plus clinical variables improve lung cancer risk assessment over clinical models.

PURPOSE: The HUNT Lung Cancer Model (HUNT LCM) predicts individualized 6-year lung cancer (LC) risk among individuals who ever smoked cigarettes with high precision based on eight clinical variables. Can the performance be improved by adding genetic information? METHODS: A polygenic model was developed in the prospective Norwegian HUNT2 study with clinical and genotype data of individuals who ever smoked cigarettes (n = 30749, median follow up 15.26 years) where 160 LC were diagnosed within six years. It included the variables of the original HUNT LCM plus 22 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) highly associated with LC. External validation was performed in the prospective Norwegian Tromsø Study (n = 2663). RESULTS: The novel HUNT Lung-SNP model significantly improved risk ranking of individuals over the HUNT LCM in both HUNT2 (p < 0.001) and Tromsø (p < 0.05) cohorts. Furthermore, detection rate (number of participants selected to detect one LC case) was significantly better for the HUNT Lung-SNP vs. HUNT LCM in both cohorts (42 vs. 48, p = 0.003 and 11 vs. 14, p = 0.025, respectively) as well as versus the NLST, NELSON and 2021 USPSTF criteria. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was higher for the HUNT Lung-SNP in both cohorts, but significant only in HUNT2 (AUC 0.875 vs. 0.844, p < 0.001). However, the integrated discrimination improvement index (IDI) indicates a significant improvement of LC risk stratification by the HUNT Lung-SNP in both cohorts (IDI 0.019, p < 0.001 (HUNT2) and 0.013, p < 0.001 (Tromsø)). CONCLUSION: The HUNT Lung-SNP model could have a clinical impact on LC screening and has the potential to replace the HUNT LCM as well as the NLST, NELSON and 2021 USPSTF criteria in a screening setting. However, the model should be further validated in other populations and evaluated in a prospective trial setting.

Association of polygenic scores for autism with volumetric MRI phenotypes in cerebellum and brainstem in adults.

Previous research on autism spectrum disorders (ASD) have showed important volumetric alterations in the cerebellum and brainstem. Most of these studies are however limited to case-control studies with small clinical samples and including mainly children or adolescents. Herein, we aimed to explore the association between the cumulative genetic load (polygenic risk score, PRS) for ASD and volumetric alterations in the cerebellum and brainstem, as well as global brain tissue volumes of the brain among adults at the population level. We utilized the latest genome-wide association study of ASD by the Psychiatric Genetics Consortium (18,381 cases, 27,969 controls) and constructed the ASD PRS in an independent cohort, the UK Biobank. Regression analyses controlled for multiple comparisons with the false-discovery rate (FDR) at 5% were performed to investigate the association between ASD PRS and forty-four brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) phenotypes among ~ 31,000 participants. Primary analyses included sixteen MRI phenotypes: total volumes of the brain, cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), grey matter (GM), white matter (WM), GM of whole cerebellum, brainstem, and ten regions of the cerebellum (I_IV, V, VI, VIIb, VIIIa, VIIIb, IX, X, CrusI and CrusII). Secondary analyses included twenty-eight MRI phenotypes: the sub-regional volumes of cerebellum including the GM of the vermis and both left and right lobules of each cerebellar region. ASD PRS were significantly associated with the volumes of seven brain areas, whereby higher PRS were associated to reduced volumes of the whole brain, WM, brainstem, and cerebellar regions I-IV, IX, and X, and an increased volume of the CSF. Three sub-regional volumes including the left cerebellar lobule I-IV, cerebellar vermes VIIIb, and X were significantly and negatively associated with ASD PRS. The study highlights a substantial connection between susceptibility to ASD, its underlying genetic etiology, and neuroanatomical alterations of the adult brain.

Genetic Polymorphisms and Genetic Risk Scores Contribute to the Risk of Coronary Artery Disease (CAD) in a North Indian Population.

Coronary artery disease (CAD) is the leading cause of death in India. Many genetic polymorphisms play a role in regulating oxidative stress, blood pressure and lipid metabolism, contributing to the pathophysiology of CAD. This study examined the association between ten polymorphisms and CAD in the Jat Sikh population from Northern India, also considering polygenic risk scores. This study included 177 CAD cases and 175 healthy controls. The genetic information of GSTM1 (rs366631), GSTT1 (rs17856199), ACE (rs4646994), AGT M235T (rs699), AGT T174M (rs4762), AGTR1 A1166C (rs5186), APOA5 (rs3135506), APOC3 (rs5128), APOE (rs7412) and APOE (rs429358) and clinical information was collated. Statistical analyses were performed using SPSS version 27.0 and SNPstats. Significant independent associations were found for GST*M1, GST*T1, ACE, AGT M235T, AGT T174M, AGTR1 A1166C and APOA5 polymorphisms and CAD risk (all p < 0.05). The AGT CT haplotype was significantly associated with a higher CAD risk, even after controlling for covariates (adjusted OR = 3.93, 95% CI [2.39-6.48], p < 0.0001). The APOA5/C3 CC haplotype was also significantly associated with CAD (adjusted OR = 1.86, 95% CI [1.14-3.03], p < 0.05). A higher polygenic risk score was associated with increased CAD risk (adjusted OR = 1.98, 95% CI [1.68-2.34], p < 0.001). Seven polymorphisms were independently associated with an increase in the risk of CAD in this North Indian population. A considerable risk association of AGT, APOA5/C3 haplotypes and higher genetic risk scores is documented, which may have implications for clinical and public health applications.

Mapping associations of polygenic scores with autistic and ADHD traits in a single city region.

BACKGROUND: The genetic and environmental aetiology of autistic and Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) traits is known to vary spatially, but does this translate into variation in the association of specific common genetic variants? METHODS: We mapped associations between polygenic scores for autism and ADHD and their respective traits in the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (N = 4,255-6,165) across the area surrounding Bristol, UK, and compared them to maps of environments associated with the prevalence of autism and ADHD. RESULTS: Our results suggest genetic associations vary spatially, with consistent patterns for autistic traits across polygenic scores constructed at different p-value thresholds. Patterns for ADHD traits were more variable across thresholds. We found that the spatial distributions often correlated with known environmental influences. CONCLUSIONS: These findings shed light on the factors that contribute to the complex interplay between the environment and genetic influences in autistic and ADHD traits.

Comparison of subjective cognitive decline and polygenic risk score in the prediction of all-cause dementia, Alzheimer's disease and vascular dementia.

BACKGROUND: Polygenic risk scores (PRS) and subjective cognitive decline (SCD) are associated with the risk of developing dementia. It remains to examine whether they can improve the established cardiovascular risk factors aging and dementia (CAIDE) model and how their predictive abilities compare. METHODS: The CAIDE model was applied to a sub-sample of a large, population-based cohort study (n = 5,360; aged 50-75) and evaluated for the outcomes of all-cause dementia, Alzheimer's disease (AD) and vascular dementia (VD) by calculating Akaike's information criterion (AIC) and the area under the curve (AUC). The improvement of the CAIDE model by PRS and SCD was further examined using the net reclassification improvement (NRI) method and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). RESULTS: During 17 years of follow-up, 410 participants were diagnosed with dementia, including 139 AD and 152 VD diagnoses. Overall, the CAIDE model showed high discriminative ability for all outcomes, reaching AUCs of 0.785, 0.793, and 0.789 for all-cause dementia, AD, and VD, respectively. Adding information on SCD significantly increased NRI for all-cause dementia (4.4%, p = 0.04) and VD (7.7%, p = 0.01). In contrast, prediction models for AD further improved when PRS was added to the model (NRI, 8.4%, p = 0.03). When APOE ε4 carrier status was included (CAIDE Model 2), AUCs increased, but PRS and SCD did not further improve the prediction. CONCLUSIONS: Unlike PRS, information on SCD can be assessed more efficiently, and thus, the model including SCD can be more easily transferred to the clinical setting. Nevertheless, the two variables seem negligible if APOE ε4 carrier status is available.

Association of Mosaic Chromosomal Alterations and Genetic Factors with the Risk of Cirrhosis.

Background and Aims: Age-related mosaic chromosomal alterations (mCAs) detected from genotyping of blood-derived DNA are structural somatic variants that indicate clonal hematopoiesis. This study aimed to investigate whether mCAs contribute to the risk of cirrhosis and modify the effect of a polygenic risk score (PRS) on cirrhosis risk prediction. Methods: mCA call sets of individuals with European ancestry were obtained from the UK Biobank. The PRS was constructed based on 12 susceptible single-nucleotide polymorphisms for cirrhosis. Cox proportional hazard models were applied to evaluate the associations between mCAs and cirrhosis risk. Results: Among 448,645 individuals with a median follow-up of 12.5 years, we identified 2,681 cases of cirrhosis, 1,775 cases of compensated cirrhosis, and 1,706 cases of decompensated cirrhosis. Compared to non-carriers, individuals with copy-neutral loss of heterozygosity mCAs had a significantly increased risk of cirrhosis (hazard ratio (HR) 1.42, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.12-1.81). This risk was higher in patients with expanded cell fractions of mCAs (cell fractions ≥10% vs. cell fractions <10%), especially for the risk of decompensated cirrhosis (HR 2.03 [95% CI 1.09-3.78] vs. 1.14 [0.80-1.64]). In comparison to non-carriers of mCAs with low genetic risk, individuals with expanded copy-neutral loss of heterozygosity and high genetic risk showed the highest cirrhosis risk (HR 5.39 [95% CI 2.41-12.07]). Conclusions: The presence of mCAs is associated with increased susceptibility to cirrhosis risk and could be combined with PRS for personalized cirrhosis risk stratification.

Polygenic risk score for blood pressure and lifestyle factors with overall and CVD mortality: a prospective cohort study in a Japanese population.

Although previous polygenic risk score (PRS) studies for cardiovascular disease (CVD) focused on incidence, few studies addressed CVD mortality and quantified risks by environmental exposures in different genetic liability groups. This prospective study aimed to examine the associations of blood pressure PRS with all-cause and CVD mortality and to quantify the attributable risk by modifiable lifestyles across different PRS strata. 9,296 participants in the Japan Multi-Institutional Collaborative Cohort Study without hypertension at baseline were analyzed in this analysis. PRS for systolic blood pressure and diastolic blood pressure (PRSSBP and PRSDBP) were developed using publicly available Biobank Japan GWAS summary statistics. CVD-related mortality was defined by the International Classification of Diseases 10th version (I00-I99). Cox-proportional hazard model was used to examine associations of PRSs and lifestyle variables (smoking, drinking, and dietary sodium intake) with mortality. During a median 12.6-year follow-up period, we observed 273 all-cause and 41 CVD mortality cases. Compared to the middle PRS group (20-80th percentile), adjusted hazard ratios for CVD mortality at the top PRS group ( > 90th percentile) were 3.67 for PRSSBP and 2.92 for PRSDBP. Attributable risks of CVD mortality by modifiable lifestyles were higher in the high PRS group ( > 80th percentile) compared with the low PRS group (0-80th percentile). In summary, blood pressure PRS is associated with CVD mortality in the general Japanese population. Our study implies that integrating PRS with lifestyle could contribute to identify target populations for lifestyle intervention even though improvement of discriminatory ability by PRS alone is limited.

GWAS-based polygenic risk scoring for predicting cerebral artery dissection in the Chinese population.

OBJECTIVE: Cerebral artery dissection (CeAD) is a rare but serious disease. Genetic risk assessment for CeAD is lacking in Chinese population. We performed genome-wide association study (GWAS) and computed polygenic risk score (PRS) to explore genetic susceptibility factors and prediction model of CeAD based on patients in Huashan Hospital. METHODS: A total of 210 CeAD patients and 280 controls were enrolled from June 2017 to September 2022 in Department of Neurology, Huashan Hospital, Fudan University. We performed GWAS to identify genetic variants associated with CeAD in 140 CeAD patients and 210 control individuals according to a case and control 1:1.5 design rule in the training dataset, while the other 70 patients with CeAD and 70 controls were used as validation. Then Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathway and Gene Ontology (GO) enrichment analyses were utilized to identify the significant pathways. We constructed a PRS by capturing all independent GWAS SNPs in the analysis and explored the predictivity of PRS, age, and sex for CeAD. RESULTS: Through GWAS analysis of the 140 cases and 210 controls in the training dataset, we identified 13 leading SNPs associated with CeAD at a genome-wide significance level of P < 5 × 10- 8. Among them, 10 SNPs were annotated in or near (in the upstream and downstream regions of ± 500Kb) 10 functional genes. rs34508376 (OR2L13) played a suggestive role in CeAD pathophysiology which was in line with previous observations in aortic aneurysms. The other nine genes were first-time associations in CeAD cases. GO enrichment analyses showed that these 10 genes have known roles in 20 important GO terms clustered into two groups: (1) cellular biological processes (BP); (2) molecular function (MF). We used genome-wide association data to compute PRS including 32 independent SNPs and constructed predictive model for CeAD by using age, sex and PRS as predictors both in training and validation test. The area under curve (AUC) of PRS predictive model for CeAD reached 99% and 95% in the training test and validation test respectively, which were significantly larger than the age and sex models of 83% and 86%. CONCLUSIONS: Our study showed that ten risk loci were associated with CeAD susceptibility, and annotated functional genes had roles in 20 important GO terms clustered into biological process and molecular function. The PRS derived from risk variants was associated with CeAD incidence after adjusting for age and sex both in training test and validation.